Crypto options comparison: MARA + BMNR sizes and structures, against the CRYPTO page targets

Built 2026-10-30 SGT from CBOE delayed quotes (last close; MARA $6.79, BMNR $20.39), priced at the natural (buy at the ask). Targets are the CRYPTO page's own tandem totals. Margin is the Repair / cockpit model calibrated to IBKR (Main x1.23); check IBKR's What-if in US market hours before any ticket. Read-only: nothing here places an order. Your chosen plan: the Crypto Sleeve tab of Portfolio Reset (500 MARA + 250 BMNR, 250 more at BMNR $30).
In plain words
IDEAL
$674k
Max Loss = the premium, paid once
margin ~$573k (model)
1,000x MARA 25C Dec 15 '28 + 840x BMNR 40C Jan 19 '29
IDEAL 75%
$505k
Max Loss = the premium, paid once
margin ~$430k (model)
750x MARA 25C Dec 15 '28 + 630x BMNR 40C Jan 19 '29
IDEAL 60%
$402k
Max Loss = the premium, paid once
margin ~$341k (model)
600x MARA 25C Dec 15 '28 + 500x BMNR 40C Jan 19 '29
IDEAL 50%
$337k
Max Loss = the premium, paid once
margin ~$286k (model)
500x MARA 25C Dec 15 '28 + 420x BMNR 40C Jan 19 '29
IDEAL 25%
$168k
Max Loss = the premium, paid once
margin ~$143k (model)
250x MARA 25C Dec 15 '28 + 210x BMNR 40C Jan 19 '29

Every size and the current book, together

The CRYPTO page's tandem columns: each column is ONE paired step (MARA on top, the BMNR price it is expected to reach at roughly the same time underneath). Top row: the current book's TOTAL from the CRYPTO page. Then each size's value at expiry with that pair reached, on the same shading scale as the book, so deeper green = worth more; a boxed cell is at or above the current book. Bottom block: each size's P&L (value minus the premium paid); it can never fall below minus its Max Loss.
MARA price$11$15$20$25$30$35
▼
$40
$50$60
▼
$70
$80$90
▼
$100
$125$150$175$200
BMNR price$22$30$35$45$55$60$70$80$90$100$115$135$150$190$225$260$300
Current book TOTAL (CRYPTO page)$594K$939K$1.4M$2.1M$2.8M$3.3M$4.0M$5.5M$6.9M$8.4M$10.1M$12.0M$13.7M$18.0M$22.2M$26.3M$30.6M
IDEAL value ($674K ML)$0$0$0$420K$1.8M$2.7M$4.0M$5.9M$7.7M$9.5M$11.8M$14.5M$16.7M$22.6M$28.0M$33.5M$39.3M
IDEAL 75% value ($505K ML)$0$0$0$315K$1.3M$2.0M$3.0M$4.4M$5.8M$7.2M$8.8M$10.9M$12.6M$16.9M$21.0M$25.1M$29.5M
IDEAL 60% value ($402K ML)$0$0$0$250K$1.1M$1.6M$2.4M$3.5M$4.6M$5.7M$7.0M$8.7M$10.0M$13.5M$16.8M$20.0M$23.5M
IDEAL 50% value ($337K ML)$0$0$0$210K$880K$1.3M$2.0M$2.9M$3.9M$4.8M$5.9M$7.2M$8.4M$11.3M$14.0M$16.7M$19.7M
IDEAL 25% value ($168K ML)$0$0$0$105K$440K$670K$1.0M$1.5M$1.9M$2.4M$3.0M$3.6M$4.2M$5.7M$7.0M$8.4M$9.8M
IDEAL P&L-$674K-$674K-$674K-$254K+$1.1M+$2.0M+$3.3M+$5.2M+$7.0M+$8.9M+$11.1M+$13.8M+$16.1M+$21.9M+$27.4M+$32.8M+$38.7M
IDEAL 75% P&L-$505K-$505K-$505K-$190K+$815K+$1.5M+$2.5M+$3.9M+$5.3M+$6.6M+$8.3M+$10.4M+$12.0M+$16.4M+$20.5M+$24.6M+$29.0M
IDEAL 60% P&L-$402K-$402K-$402K-$152K+$648K+$1.2M+$2.0M+$3.1M+$4.2M+$5.3M+$6.6M+$8.2M+$9.6M+$13.1M+$16.3M+$19.6M+$23.1M
IDEAL 50% P&L-$337K-$337K-$337K-$127K+$543K+$1.0M+$1.7M+$2.6M+$3.5M+$4.4M+$5.6M+$6.9M+$8.0M+$11.0M+$13.7M+$16.4M+$19.3M
IDEAL 25% P&L-$168K-$168K-$168K-$63K+$272K+$502K+$837K+$1.3M+$1.8M+$2.2M+$2.8M+$3.5M+$4.0M+$5.5M+$6.8M+$8.2M+$9.7M

The targets

GoalMARA priceBMNR priceMARA valueBMNR valueTotal
IDEAL$40$70$1.48M$2.51M$3.99M
IDEAL$70$100$4.48M$3.90M$8.38M
MOONSHOT$100$150$7.48M$6.21M$13.70M
The current book's value at each marked pair. The full IDEAL sleeve sizes each name to carry its own row (MARA to the MARA value, BMNR to the BMNR value), so it does not need the tandem to hold exactly. Sizing basis: value at expiry with the pair reached (the CRYPTO page's own basis); the "by end-2027" figures add the time value left if the pair arrives on 31 Dec 2027, volatility held still.

The sizes side by side

SleeveBuyCost = Max LossMargin (model)MARA $40 / BMNR $70
target $3.99M
MARA $70 / BMNR $100
target $8.38M
MARA $100 / BMNR $150
target $13.70M
Crypto -50% todayBiggest leg vs open interest
IDEAL1,000x MARA 25C Dec 15 '28 @ $1.53
840x BMNR 40C Jan 19 '29 @ $6.20
$674k$573k$4.02M
$5.20M if reached by end-2027
$9.54M
$10.22M if reached by end-2027
$16.74M
$17.18M if reached by end-2027
-$510k12%
IDEAL 75%750x MARA 25C Dec 15 '28 @ $1.53
630x BMNR 40C Jan 19 '29 @ $6.20
$505k$430k$3.02M
$3.90M if reached by end-2027
$7.16M
$7.67M if reached by end-2027
$12.55M
$12.88M if reached by end-2027
-$383k9%
IDEAL 60%600x MARA 25C Dec 15 '28 @ $1.53
500x BMNR 40C Jan 19 '29 @ $6.20
$402k$341k$2.40M
$3.10M if reached by end-2027
$5.70M
$6.11M if reached by end-2027
$10.00M
$10.26M if reached by end-2027
-$304k7%
IDEAL 50%500x MARA 25C Dec 15 '28 @ $1.53
420x BMNR 40C Jan 19 '29 @ $6.20
$337k$286k$2.01M
$2.60M if reached by end-2027
$4.77M
$5.11M if reached by end-2027
$8.37M
$8.59M if reached by end-2027
-$255k6%
IDEAL 25%250x MARA 25C Dec 15 '28 @ $1.53
210x BMNR 40C Jan 19 '29 @ $6.20
$168k$143k$1.00M
$1.30M if reached by end-2027
$2.38M
$2.56M if reached by end-2027
$4.18M
$4.29M if reached by end-2027
-$128k3%
Green = meets that target at expiry. Crypto -50% today = what the sleeve would be worth minus what it cost if both names halved tomorrow, volatility held still; it can never lose more than its cost. Open interest from CBOE; every leg is under half of it, so each can be built over a few sessions with limit orders.

Weekly 0.2-delta calls on the 50% and 25% sizes

Each Friday, sell the listed weekly call nearest 0.20 delta against part of the sleeve's long calls; close it the next Friday at intrinsic, or with a $0.01 penny buyback when it is out of the money (never left to expire or assign). Earnings weeks are skipped. Priced at the bid from the 2026-10-30 close; monthly = weekly x 30 / 7. Paths run 61 weeks to 31 Dec 2027 (4,000 each, weekly steps, the strike and premium kept at today's ratios to spot).
In plain words

The weekly call today

NameSpotWeekly (Nov 6 '26)Bid / askDeltaOut of the moneyImplied volLast 12 months realizedOpen interestPer contract a weekWeeks sold to end-2027Next earnings
MARA$6.778C$0.08 / $0.100.1818%115%85%3,267$856 of 612026-11-04
BMNR$20.1522.5C$0.19 / $0.210.1812%79%76%1,625$1956 of 612026-11-20

Income and its cost, by size and coverage

SizeCovered
MARA / BMNR
Weekly
(gross)
Monthly
(gross)
Ceiling to end-2027
(all expire worthless)
Last 12 months
(real path)
No view
typical / expected
No view, last year's vol
expected
IDEAL path
typical / expected
IDEAL path
1-in-10 bad
Down path
expected
One +50% weekOne +100% weekMargin (model)
calls only → with weeklies
IDEAL 50%25% · 125 / 105$3k$13k$168k+$97k+$8k / -$17k+$33k-$157k / -$383k-$1.01M-$10k-$21k-$70k$286k → $282k
50% · 250 / 210$6k$26k$335k+$194k+$16k / -$33k+$67k-$315k / -$765k-$2.03M-$20k-$43k-$140k$286k → $277k
100% · 500 / 420$12k$51k$671k+$389k+$32k / -$66k+$133k-$630k / -$1.53M-$4.05M-$40k-$86k-$280k$286k → $269k
IDEAL 25%25% · 62 / 52$1k$6k$83k+$48k+$4k / -$8k+$17k-$78k / -$190k-$502k-$5k-$11k-$35k$143k → $141k
50% · 125 / 105$3k$13k$168k+$97k+$8k / -$17k+$33k-$157k / -$383k-$1.01M-$10k-$21k-$70k$143k → $139k
100% · 250 / 210$6k$26k$335k+$194k+$16k / -$33k+$67k-$315k / -$765k-$2.03M-$20k-$43k-$140k$143k → $134k
Typical = the median path; expected = the average over paths (pulled down by the big rally paths); 1-in-10 bad = the 10th percentile. IDEAL path: the median reaches MARA $40 / BMNR $70 on 31 Dec 2027. Down path: the median halves. No view: the average price stays flat. The +50% / +100% weeks are the calls' loss net of the long calls' gain that same week. Margin is the cockpit model x Main's IBKR calibration (portfolio margin); the weekly barely moves it because the long calls already carry the scan. IBKR's What-if is the check.

The IDEAL path, with and without the weeklies

SizeCoverageSleeve P&L
$40 / $70 by end-2027
Weeklies
typical
Sleeve + weeklies
typical
Weeklies
expected
Sleeve + weeklies
expected
Weeklies
1-in-10 bad
IDEAL 50%25%+$2.26M-$157k+$2.10M-$383k+$1.88M-$1.01M
50%+$2.26M-$315k+$1.95M-$765k+$1.50M-$2.03M
100%+$2.26M-$630k+$1.63M-$1.53M+$731k-$4.05M
IDEAL 25%25%+$1.13M-$78k+$1.05M-$190k+$941k-$502k
50%+$1.13M-$157k+$974k-$383k+$748k-$1.01M
100%+$1.13M-$315k+$816k-$765k+$366k-$2.03M
Sleeve P&L = the long calls' value if the pair arrives on 31 Dec 2027 (time value left, volatility held still) minus the premium. The weeklies column is the whole weekly program over the same 61 weeks on paths whose median lands there.

Each size in detail

The CRYPTO page's "Price detail in tandem" table for each size: MARA and BMNR value at expiry with that pair reached, the TOTAL, the P&L at expiry, the P&L if the pair arrives on 31 Dec 2027 (time value left, volatility held still), and the current book's TOTAL for comparison.

IDEAL (full size)

1,000x MARA 25C Dec 15 '28 + 840x BMNR 40C Jan 19 '29 · cost $674K (= Max Loss) · breaks even at expiry by MARA $30 / BMNR $55
MARA price$11$15$20$25$30$35
▼
$40
$50$60
▼
$70
$80$90
▼
$100
$125$150$175$200
BMNR price$22$30$35$45$55$60$70$80$90$100$115$135$150$190$225$260$300
MARA value$0$0$0$0$500K$1.0M$1.5M$2.5M$3.5M$4.5M$5.5M$6.5M$7.5M$10.0M$12.5M$15.0M$17.5M
BMNR value$0$0$0$420K$1.3M$1.7M$2.5M$3.4M$4.2M$5.0M$6.3M$8.0M$9.2M$12.6M$15.5M$18.5M$21.8M
TOTAL (MARA + BMNR)$0$0$0$420K$1.8M$2.7M$4.0M$5.9M$7.7M$9.5M$11.8M$14.5M$16.7M$22.6M$28.0M$33.5M$39.3M
P&L at expiry (TOTAL − $674K paid)-$674K-$674K-$674K-$254K+$1.1M+$2.0M+$3.3M+$5.2M+$7.0M+$8.9M+$11.1M+$13.8M+$16.1M+$21.9M+$27.4M+$32.8M+$38.7M
P&L if reached by end-2027-$237K+$246K+$761K+$1.7M+$2.7M+$3.4M+$4.5M+$6.1M+$7.8M+$9.5M+$11.7M+$14.3M+$16.5M+$22.3M+$27.7M+$33.1M+$38.9M
Current book TOTAL (CRYPTO page)$594K$939K$1.4M$2.1M$2.8M$3.3M$4.0M$5.5M$6.9M$8.4M$10.1M$12.0M$13.7M$18.0M$22.2M$26.3M$30.6M

IDEAL 75%

750x MARA 25C Dec 15 '28 + 630x BMNR 40C Jan 19 '29 · cost $505K (= Max Loss) · breaks even at expiry by MARA $30 / BMNR $55
MARA price$11$15$20$25$30$35
▼
$40
$50$60
▼
$70
$80$90
▼
$100
$125$150$175$200
BMNR price$22$30$35$45$55$60$70$80$90$100$115$135$150$190$225$260$300
MARA value$0$0$0$0$375K$750K$1.1M$1.9M$2.6M$3.4M$4.1M$4.9M$5.6M$7.5M$9.4M$11.2M$13.1M
BMNR value$0$0$0$315K$945K$1.3M$1.9M$2.5M$3.1M$3.8M$4.7M$6.0M$6.9M$9.4M$11.7M$13.9M$16.4M
TOTAL (MARA + BMNR)$0$0$0$315K$1.3M$2.0M$3.0M$4.4M$5.8M$7.2M$8.8M$10.9M$12.6M$16.9M$21.0M$25.1M$29.5M
P&L at expiry (TOTAL − $505K paid)-$505K-$505K-$505K-$190K+$815K+$1.5M+$2.5M+$3.9M+$5.3M+$6.6M+$8.3M+$10.4M+$12.0M+$16.4M+$20.5M+$24.6M+$29.0M
P&L if reached by end-2027-$178K+$184K+$570K+$1.2M+$2.0M+$2.5M+$3.4M+$4.6M+$5.9M+$7.2M+$8.8M+$10.7M+$12.4M+$16.7M+$20.8M+$24.8M+$29.2M
Current book TOTAL (CRYPTO page)$594K$939K$1.4M$2.1M$2.8M$3.3M$4.0M$5.5M$6.9M$8.4M$10.1M$12.0M$13.7M$18.0M$22.2M$26.3M$30.6M

IDEAL 60%

600x MARA 25C Dec 15 '28 + 500x BMNR 40C Jan 19 '29 · cost $402K (= Max Loss) · breaks even at expiry by MARA $30 / BMNR $55
MARA price$11$15$20$25$30$35
▼
$40
$50$60
▼
$70
$80$90
▼
$100
$125$150$175$200
BMNR price$22$30$35$45$55$60$70$80$90$100$115$135$150$190$225$260$300
MARA value$0$0$0$0$300K$600K$900K$1.5M$2.1M$2.7M$3.3M$3.9M$4.5M$6.0M$7.5M$9.0M$10.5M
BMNR value$0$0$0$250K$750K$1.0M$1.5M$2.0M$2.5M$3.0M$3.8M$4.8M$5.5M$7.5M$9.2M$11.0M$13.0M
TOTAL (MARA + BMNR)$0$0$0$250K$1.1M$1.6M$2.4M$3.5M$4.6M$5.7M$7.0M$8.7M$10.0M$13.5M$16.8M$20.0M$23.5M
P&L at expiry (TOTAL − $402K paid)-$402K-$402K-$402K-$152K+$648K+$1.2M+$2.0M+$3.1M+$4.2M+$5.3M+$6.6M+$8.2M+$9.6M+$13.1M+$16.3M+$19.6M+$23.1M
P&L if reached by end-2027-$141K+$147K+$455K+$987K+$1.6M+$2.0M+$2.7M+$3.7M+$4.7M+$5.7M+$7.0M+$8.5M+$9.9M+$13.3M+$16.5M+$19.8M+$23.3M
Current book TOTAL (CRYPTO page)$594K$939K$1.4M$2.1M$2.8M$3.3M$4.0M$5.5M$6.9M$8.4M$10.1M$12.0M$13.7M$18.0M$22.2M$26.3M$30.6M

IDEAL 50%

500x MARA 25C Dec 15 '28 + 420x BMNR 40C Jan 19 '29 · cost $337K (= Max Loss) · breaks even at expiry by MARA $30 / BMNR $55
MARA price$11$15$20$25$30$35
▼
$40
$50$60
▼
$70
$80$90
▼
$100
$125$150$175$200
BMNR price$22$30$35$45$55$60$70$80$90$100$115$135$150$190$225$260$300
MARA value$0$0$0$0$250K$500K$750K$1.2M$1.8M$2.2M$2.8M$3.2M$3.8M$5.0M$6.2M$7.5M$8.8M
BMNR value$0$0$0$210K$630K$840K$1.3M$1.7M$2.1M$2.5M$3.1M$4.0M$4.6M$6.3M$7.8M$9.2M$10.9M
TOTAL (MARA + BMNR)$0$0$0$210K$880K$1.3M$2.0M$2.9M$3.9M$4.8M$5.9M$7.2M$8.4M$11.3M$14.0M$16.7M$19.7M
P&L at expiry (TOTAL − $337K paid)-$337K-$337K-$337K-$127K+$543K+$1.0M+$1.7M+$2.6M+$3.5M+$4.4M+$5.6M+$6.9M+$8.0M+$11.0M+$13.7M+$16.4M+$19.3M
P&L if reached by end-2027-$119K+$123K+$380K+$826K+$1.3M+$1.7M+$2.3M+$3.1M+$3.9M+$4.8M+$5.9M+$7.1M+$8.3M+$11.1M+$13.8M+$16.5M+$19.5M
Current book TOTAL (CRYPTO page)$594K$939K$1.4M$2.1M$2.8M$3.3M$4.0M$5.5M$6.9M$8.4M$10.1M$12.0M$13.7M$18.0M$22.2M$26.3M$30.6M

IDEAL 25%

250x MARA 25C Dec 15 '28 + 210x BMNR 40C Jan 19 '29 · cost $168K (= Max Loss) · breaks even at expiry by MARA $30 / BMNR $55
MARA price$11$15$20$25$30$35
▼
$40
$50$60
▼
$70
$80$90
▼
$100
$125$150$175$200
BMNR price$22$30$35$45$55$60$70$80$90$100$115$135$150$190$225$260$300
MARA value$0$0$0$0$125K$250K$375K$625K$875K$1.1M$1.4M$1.6M$1.9M$2.5M$3.1M$3.8M$4.4M
BMNR value$0$0$0$105K$315K$420K$630K$840K$1.1M$1.3M$1.6M$2.0M$2.3M$3.1M$3.9M$4.6M$5.5M
TOTAL (MARA + BMNR)$0$0$0$105K$440K$670K$1.0M$1.5M$1.9M$2.4M$3.0M$3.6M$4.2M$5.7M$7.0M$8.4M$9.8M
P&L at expiry (TOTAL − $168K paid)-$168K-$168K-$168K-$63K+$272K+$502K+$837K+$1.3M+$1.8M+$2.2M+$2.8M+$3.5M+$4.0M+$5.5M+$6.8M+$8.2M+$9.7M
P&L if reached by end-2027-$59K+$61K+$190K+$413K+$665K+$849K+$1.1M+$1.5M+$2.0M+$2.4M+$2.9M+$3.6M+$4.1M+$5.6M+$6.9M+$8.3M+$9.7M
Current book TOTAL (CRYPTO page)$594K$939K$1.4M$2.1M$2.8M$3.3M$4.0M$5.5M$6.9M$8.4M$10.1M$12.0M$13.7M$18.0M$22.2M$26.3M$30.6M

Calls vs fortresses on the long-runway expiries

For each name at the IDEAL targets: the cheapest mix of listed calls (an exact LP over every strike), the fortress (LC + short put + hedge put, 1:1:1) with the lowest Max Loss, and the lowest-Max-Loss fortress that costs nothing up front. Every leg is at most half its strike's open interest. Max Loss is the cash to hold so nothing is ever force-sold (the margin guide's ML ≤ cash rule).
GoalNameExpiryStructureLegsCash outMax Loss
(cash to hold, no forced sale)
Margin (model)Crypto -50% today
IDEALMARADec 15 '28Calls only972x 25C, 29x 32C$152k$152k$98k-$110k
IDEALBMNRJan 19 '29Calls only837x 40C$519k$519k$472k-$379k

Why not a fortress here

Before any ticket