[negok] if the negative is genuine (e.g. a challenged call rolled for a debit), to drop it from this list for good. Only legs entered in the last 60 days are flagged.| Ticker | Sheet Row | Date | Status | Type | Premium | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOG | Aug'26 row 81 | 24-Jul-2026 | CLOSED | CC | $-580 | 350 CC [Income][roll] |
| MSTR | Aug'26 row 165 | 19-Aug-2026 | CLOSED | CC | $-460 | 114 CC [Income][neg ok][roll] |
| MSTR | Aug'26 row 166 | 19-Aug-2026 | CLOSED | CC | $-1,060 | 114 CC [Income][neg ok][roll] |
| 10 Aug–16 Aug | +$20,905 |
| 3 Aug–9 Aug | +$5,001 |
| 27 Jul–2 Aug | +$30,151 |
| 20 Jul–26 Jul | +$19,967 |
| 13 Jul–19 Jul | +$36,466 |
| 6 Jul–12 Jul | +$34,846 |
| Ticker | Realized | Pipeline | Next Month Forecast | Total | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MU | $14,272 | — | $6,205 | $20,477 | |
| SNDK | $3,247 | — | $3,170 | $6,417 | |
| IREN | $5,060 | $280 | — | $5,340 | |
| BMNR | $2,950 | — | $1,100 | $4,050 | |
| COIN | $3,746 | — | $105 | $3,851 | |
| GOOG | $1,270 | $1,445 | — | $2,715 | |
| NVDA | $2,540 | — | — | $2,540 | |
| RKLB | $1,934 | — | — | $1,934 | |
| GLXY | $1,800 | — | — | $1,800 | |
| QCOM | $835 | — | $920 | $1,755 | |
| SPCX | $1,715 | — | — | $1,715 | |
| AMZN | $805 | $625 | — | $1,430 | |
| MARA | — | $1,400 | — | $1,400 | |
| HIMS | $735 | $525 | — | $1,260 | |
| META | $1,050 | — | — | $1,050 | |
| SPY | $996 | — | — | $996 | |
| COPX | $700 | — | $220 | $920 | |
| INTC | $830 | — | — | $830 | |
| CRWV | $830 | — | — | $830 | |
| AMD | $740 | — | — | $740 | |
| MDB | $642 | — | — | $642 | |
| DELL | $372 | — | — | $372 | |
| APP | — | — | $211 | $211 | |
| NEM | $300 | — | -$200 | $100 | |
| MSTR | $1,442 | -$1,520 | — | -$78 | |
| GLD | -$90 | — | — | -$90 | |
| UAMY | -$100 | — | — | -$100 | |
| ENPH | -$1,180 | — | — | -$1,180 | |
| IGV | $636 | — | -$3,336 | -$2,700 |
| Ticker | Contracts | Entry Price (u) | Today's Price | Safe Strike | Cost (Debit) | Invested Capital | Max Loss | Odds of Max Lossfinishing below barrier | Risk Mult | Notional Exposure | Leverage | Income (Monthly)forward est. | Income (Monthly)historical avg | ROI on IC | ROI on ML | Max Loss % of Total | Recovery (months) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHORT TERM · income / covered-call book · 28 fortresses | |||||||||||||||||
| MU | 5 | $1,050 | $937.10 | $1,028.60 | $148.60 | $74,300 | $419,300 | — | 5.64x | $525,000 | 7.07x | $6,800 | $21,227 | 109.82% | 19.46% | 9.33% | 61.7 |
| GLD | 10 | $465 | $413.84 | $456.00 | $136.00 | $136,000 | $256,000 | 20%<$330 by Jan'28 | 1.88x | $465,000 | 3.42x | $566 CHECK | $3,650 | 4.99% | 2.65% | 5.70% | 452.5 |
| MU | 2 | $1,235 | $937.10 | $1,220.00 | $250.00 | $50,000 | $198,000 | — | 3.96x | $247,000 | 4.94x | $904 CHECK | $9,302 | 21.70% | 5.48% | 4.41% | 219.0 |
| COIN | 8 | $211 | $160.20 | $210.90 | $16.80 | $13,440 | $137,440 | — | 10.23x | $168,800 | 12.56x | $236 | $732 | 21.05% | 2.06% | 3.06% | 582.9 |
| META | 3 | $604 | $546.03 | $601.50 | $73.00 | $21,900 | $117,900 | — | 5.38x | $181,200 | 8.27x | $621 CHECK | $2,745 | 34.03% | 6.32% | 2.62% | 189.9 |
| IREN | 20 | $65 | $42.84 | $63.43 | $6.85 | $13,700 | $107,700 | 50%<$23 by Jan'28 | 7.86x | $130,000 | 9.49x | $1,458 REALIZED | $1,458 | 127.72% | 16.25% | 2.40% | 73.9 |
| SNDK | 1 | $1,636 | $1,568.87 | $1,620.00 | $420.00 | $42,000 | $99,000 | 45%<$810 by Jan'28 | 2.36x | $163,600 | 3.90x | $4,240 | $6,494NEW | 121.15% | 51.40% | 2.20% | 23.3 |
| IREN | 20 | $58 | $42.84 | $56.50 | $3.00 | $6,000 | $94,000 | 48%<$21 by Jan'28 | 15.67x | $116,500 | 19.42x | $376 | $1,431 | 75.12% | 4.79% | 2.09% | 250.3 |
| DELL | 3 | $408 | $437.55 | $398.00 | $58.00 | $17,400 | $89,400 | — | 5.14x | $122,400 | 7.03x | $3,300 | $4,003 | 227.59% | 44.30% | 1.99% | 27.1 |
| NVDA | 5 | $202 | $217.56 | $199.60 | $59.60 | $29,800 | $82,300 | 7%<$70 by Jan'28 | 2.76x | $101,000 | 3.39x | $990 | $2,318 | 39.87% | 14.43% | 1.83% | 83.1 |
| QCOM | 5 | $228 | $161.91 | $224.00 | $34.00 | $17,000 | $77,000 | 24%<$90 by Jan'28 | 4.53x | $114,000 | 6.71x | $3,303 REALIZED | $3,303 | 233.17% | 51.48% | 1.71% | 23.3 |
| BMNR | 50 | $20 | $20.24 | $17.13 | $6.25 | $31,250 | $71,250 | — | 2.28x | $97,500 | 3.12x | $1,900 CHECK | $45 | 72.97% | 32.00% | 1.59% | 37.5 |
| RKLB | 6 | $148 | $75.84 | $141.55 | $26.55 | $15,930 | $69,930 | — | 4.39x | $88,800 | 5.57x | $9,672 REALIZED | $9,672 | 728.62% | 165.98% | 1.56% | 7.2 |
| MSTR | 4 | $163 | $104.25 | $161.00 | $12.00 | $4,800 | $56,800 | — | 11.83x | $65,200 | 13.58x | $538 REALIZED | $538 | 134.43% | 11.36% | 1.26% | 105.6 |
| IREN | 20 | $45 | $42.84 | $44.00 | $16.00 | $32,000 | $56,000 | 64%<$35 by Jan'28 | 1.75x | $90,000 | 2.81x | $640 | $1,668 | 24.01% | 13.72% | 1.25% | 87.5 |
| IREN | 20 | $45 | $42.84 | $44.00 | $16.00 | $32,000 | $56,000 | 64%<$35 by Jan'28 | 1.75x | $90,000 | 2.81x | $640 | $1,668 | 24.01% | 13.72% | 1.25% | 87.5 |
| ETHASKIP | 50 | $18 | $15.88 | $17.33 | $4.33 | $21,650 | $51,650 | 39%<$10 by Jan'28 | 2.39x | $88,400 | 4.08x | $137DEFERRED | $137 | SKIP | SKIP | 1.15% | 376.7 |
| AMZN | 5 | $269 | $265.84 | $267.92 | $67.92 | $33,960 | $51,460 | 35%<$215 by Jan'28 | 1.52x | $134,500 | 3.96x | $797 | $1,610NEW | 28.18% | 18.59% | 1.15% | 64.5 |
| CRWV | 5 | $128 | $90.87 | $125.45 | $20.45 | $10,225 | $50,225 | 37%<$40 by Jan'28 | 4.91x | $64,000 | 6.26x | $133 CHECK | $1,661 | 15.63% | 3.18% | 1.12% | 377.1 |
| MU | 1 | $805 | $937.10 | $792.36 | $114.72 | $11,472 | $49,472 | — | 4.31x | $80,500 | 7.02x | $2,052 | $2,460NEW | 214.64% | 49.77% | 1.10% | 24.1 |
| APP | 1 | $601 | $310.79 | $588.00 | $128.00 | $12,800 | $48,300 | — | 3.77x | $60,100 | 4.70x | $1,542 REALIZED | $1,542 | 144.59% | 38.32% | 1.08% | 31.3 |
| NOW | 10 | $108 | $127.20 | $108.93 | $27.85 | $27,850 | $47,850 | — | 1.72x | $108,000 | 3.88x | $3,280 CHECK | $148 | 141.34% | 82.26% | 1.07% | 14.6 |
| ENPHSKIP | 10 | $59 | $39.37 | $56.15 | $7.30 | $7,300 | $47,300 | — | 6.48x | $59,000 | 8.08x | $628DEFERRED | $628 | SKIP | SKIP | 1.05% | 75.4 |
| INTC | 5 | $116 | $92.80 | $114.00 | $29.00 | $14,500 | $47,000 | 22%<$35 by Jan'28 | 3.24x | $58,250 | 4.02x | $430 CHECK | $2,768 | 35.55% | 10.97% | 1.05% | 109.4 |
| COIN | 3 | $185 | $160.20 | $182.40 | $19.80 | $5,940 | $43,440 | — | 7.31x | $55,500 | 9.34x | $209 | $373 | 42.18% | 5.77% | 0.97% | 208.0 |
| AMD | 2 | $494 | $466.42 | $489.91 | $69.82 | $13,964 | $41,964 | 46%<$350 by Jan'28 | 3.01x | $98,800 | 7.08x | $2,484 | $1,480NEW | 213.46% | 71.03% | 0.93% | 16.9 |
| NEM | 5 | $117 | $125.08 | $114.54 | $27.04 | $13,520 | $28,520 | — | 2.11x | $58,500 | 4.33x | $540 | $404 | 47.93% | 22.72% | 0.63% | 52.8 |
| MDB | 1 | $380 | $440.53 | $362.90 | $92.90 | $9,290 | $28,290 | — | 3.05x | $38,000 | 4.09x | $574 | $906 | 74.17% | 24.36% | 0.63% | 49.3 |
| Short subtotal | 280 | — | — | — | — | $719,991 | $2,523,491 | — | 3.50x | $3,669,550 | 5.10x | $48,226 +$765 deferred |
$84,373 | 83.75% | 23.87% | 56.45% | 50.3 |
| LONG TERM · structural — capital gains, not CC income · 20 fortresses | |||||||||||||||||
| GLXY | 125 | $37 | $21.90 | $39.71 | $2.21 | $27,625 | $277,625 | 61%<$17.5 by Jan'28 | 10.05x | $462,500 | 16.74x | $218 REALIZED | $218 | 9.48% | 0.94% | 6.18% | 1,271.8 |
| COIN | 25 | $330 | $160.20 | $563.00 | $63.00 | $157,500 | $232,500 | BREACHED13% back >$300 by Dec'27 | 1.48x | $825,000 | 5.24x | $2,289 REALIZED | $2,289 | 17.44% | 11.81% | 5.18% | 101.6 |
| BMNRSKIPHALF MAX | 50 | $22 | $20.24 | $65.83 | $40.83 | $204,150 | $219,150 | 55%<$15 by Jan'28 | 1.07x | $110,000 | 0.54x | $20DEFERRED | $20 | SKIP | SKIP | 4.88% | 11,193.4 |
| BMNRSKIPHALF MAX | 75 | $17 | $20.24 | $53.26 | $30.26 | $226,950 | $174,450 | BREACHED26% back >$25 by Jan'28 | 0.77x | $127,500 | 0.56x | $70DEFERRED | $70 | SKIP | SKIP | 3.88% | 2,479.7 |
| GOOG | 15 | $335 | $341.70 | $373.00 | $73.00 | $109,500 | $162,000 | 43%<$310 by Jan'28 | 1.48x | $502,500 | 4.59x | $4,140 | $4,152 | 45.37% | 30.67% | 3.61% | 39.1 |
| SPY | 12 | $695 | $769.06 | $764.00 | $124.00 | $148,800 | $148,800 | 24%<$640 by Jan'28 | 1.00x | $834,000 | 5.60x | $4,795 CHECK | $1,179 | 38.67% | 38.67% | 3.31% | 31.0 |
| MARASKIPHALF MAX | 200 | $19 | $9.65 | $34.13 | $14.13 | $282,600 | $142,600 | BREACHED19% back >$15 by Jan'28 | 0.50x | $384,000 | 1.36x | N/A | $-36 | SKIP | SKIP | 3.17% | N/A |
| COPX | 20 | $93 | $88.28 | $93.40 | $28.40 | $56,800 | $100,800 | 39%<$68 by Jan'28 | 1.77x | $186,000 | 3.27x | $1,500 | $2,525 | 31.69% | 17.86% | 2.24% | 67.2 |
| BMNRSKIPHALF MAX | 150 | $17 | $20.24 | $36.42 | $13.42 | $201,300 | $96,300 | BREACHED26% back >$25 by Jan'28 | 0.48x | $255,000 | 1.27x | $141DEFERRED | $141 | SKIP | SKIP | 2.14% | 684.4 |
| MARA | 250 | $14 | $9.65 | $26.40 | $1.40 | $35,000 | $85,000 | BREACHED23% back >$13 by Jan'28 | 2.43x | $343,750 | 9.82x | n/a | $-181 | N/A | N/A | 1.89% | N/A |
| MSTR | 10 | $395 | $104.25 | $233.00 | $53.00 | $53,000 | $53,000 | — | 1.00x | $395,000 | 7.45x | $236 REALIZED | $236 | 5.34% | 5.34% | 1.18% | 224.9 |
| GOOG | 5 | $369 | $341.70 | $398.00 | $51.00 | $25,500 | $48,000 | BREACHED43% back >$360 by Jan'28 | 1.88x | $184,500 | 7.24x | $286 CHECK | $1,407 | 13.47% | 7.15% | 1.07% | 167.7 |
| MARASKIPHALF MAX | 50 | $17 | $9.65 | $30.91 | $10.91 | $54,550 | $44,550 | BREACHED19% back >$15 by Jan'28 | 0.82x | $86,250 | 1.58x | N/A | $-9 | SKIP | SKIP | 0.99% | N/A |
| SPCX | 5 | $178 | $139.65 | $186.00 | $27.00 | $13,500 | $43,500 | 55%<$135 by Mar'27 | 3.22x | $89,000 | 6.59x | $374 CHECK | $2,450 | 33.28% | 10.33% | 0.97% | 116.2 |
| GOOG | 5 | $335 | $341.70 | $392.50 | $82.50 | $41,250 | $41,250 | 43%<$310 by Dec'27 | 1.00x | $167,500 | 4.06x | $1,380 | $1,384 | 40.15% | 40.15% | 0.92% | 29.9 |
| IGV | 12 | $85 | $102.81 | $96.50 | $26.50 | $31,800 | $31,800 | — | 1.00x | $102,000 | 3.21x | $576 | $438 | 21.74% | 21.74% | 0.71% | 55.2 |
| HIMS | 15 | $20 | $31.09 | $17.47 | $4.93 | $7,395 | $29,895 | 11%<$5 by Jan'28 | 4.04x | $30,000 | 4.06x | $900 | $485 | 146.04% | 36.13% | 0.67% | 33.2 |
| CLSKSKIP | 25 | $17 | $11.67 | $20.74 | $3.74 | $9,350 | $26,850 | 62%<$10 by Jan'28 | 2.87x | $42,500 | 4.55x | N/A | $-942 | SKIP | SKIP | 0.60% | N/A |
| MARA | 200 | $12 | $9.65 | $40.55 | $0.55 | $11,000 | $11,000 | — | 1.00x | $246,000 | 22.36x | n/a | $-146 | N/A | N/A | 0.24% | N/A |
| IBITSKIP | 50 | $68 | $38.78 | $70.58 | $4.42 CR | $22,100 CR | $-22,100 | BREACHED9% back >$75 by Dec'27 | 1.00x | $337,500 | -15.27x | N/A | — | SKIP | SKIP | N/A | N/A |
| Long subtotal | 1299 | — | — | — | — | $1,675,470 | $1,946,970 | 41% under hedge | 1.16x | $5,710,500 | 3.41x | $16,695 +$231 deferred |
$15,679 | 27.88% | 15.83% | 43.55% | 75.8 |
| TOTAL | 1579 | — | — | — | — | $2,395,461 | $4,470,461 | 18% under hedge | 1.87x | $9,380,050 | 3.92x | $64,921* +$995 deferred |
$100,052 | 55.26%* | 21.11%* | 100.00% | 56.8 |
| Cluster | Forts | Tickers | Max Loss | % of Book | ML Under Hedge (now) | ML Likely | Under / Likely / Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto beta | 21 | BMNR×4COIN×3MARA×4IREN×4GLXYCLSKETHACRWVMSTR×2 | $2,087,530 | 47% | $775,400 · 6 | $743,325 · 6 | |
| Mega-cap tech | 5 | GOOG×3AMZNMETA | $420,610 | 9% | $48,000 · 1 | — | |
| Semis / AI infra | 8 | AMDNVDAQCOMINTCMU×3DELL | $1,004,436 | 22% | — | — | |
| Precious metals | 2 | GLDNEM | $284,520 | 6% | — | — | |
| Materials | 1 | COPX | $100,800 | 2% | — | — | |
| Index ETF | 2 | SPYIGV | $180,600 | 4% | — | — | |
| Space / defense | 2 | SPCXRKLB | $113,430 | 3% | — | $43,500 · 1 | |
| Software / apps | 4 | HIMSAPPNOWMDB | $154,335 | 3% | — | — | |
| Clean energy | 1 | ENPH | $47,300 | 1% | — | — | |
| Other | 2 | IBITSNDK | $76,900 | 2% | $-22,100 · 1 | — |
| Ticker | Entry | Exit | Price | Notional MTM | CC Income | HP Rolls | DBB Cost | Net P&L | Recovery | Ann. ROI / Mths to Recover | Structure | IC / ML |
|---|
| Month | Fortresses | Capital (IC) | Capital (ML) | CC Income | ROI on IC | ROI on ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb'26 | 24 | $1,856,341 | $2,566,266 | +$115,167 | 81% | 59% |
| Mar'26 | 26 | $2,249,308 | $3,110,459 | +$99,190 | 52% | 38% |
| Apr'26 | 46 | $2,298,992 | $3,426,672 | +$65,000 | 34% | 23% |
| May'26 | 55 | $2,223,914 | $3,464,942 | +$26,465 | 14% | 9% |
| Jun'26 | 54 | $2,330,564 | $4,159,107 | +$85,163 | 44% | 25% |
| Jul'26 | 46 | $2,359,541 | $4,333,690 | +$127,640 | 64% | 35% |
| Aug'26 (MTD) | 47 | $2,363,205 | $4,374,730 | +$48,077 | 37% | 20% |
| BLENDED (since Feb 1) | — | — | — | +$566,702 | 46% | 29% |
| ACTIVE, RECENT (60d) | 47 | $2,357,152 | $4,318,894 | +$194,731 | 50% | 27% |
| Ticker | MTM (live P&L) | Net CC Premium | Cushion (net CC ÷ drawdown) |
|---|---|---|---|
| COIN×3UNDERWATER | −$280,580 | +$13,401 | 5% |
| MARA×4UNDERWATER | −$276,600 | −$1,280 | -0% |
| GLXYUNDERWATER | −$188,750 | +$2,725 | 1% |
| IBITUNDERWATER | −$143,600 | −$632 | -0% |
| MU×3RECOVERING | −$102,816 | +$63,297 | 62% |
| IREN×4UNDERWATER | −$83,780 | +$30,940 | 37% |
| MSTR×2UNDERWATER | −$76,500 | +$5,008 | 7% |
| GLDUNDERWATER | −$51,160 | +$22,780 | 45% |
| RKLBRECOVERING | −$43,296 | +$25,738 | 59% |
| QCOMUNDERWATER | −$33,045 | +$8,790 | 27% |
| APPUNDERWATER | −$29,021 | +$4,104 | 14% |
| ENPHUNDERWATER | −$19,630 | +$1,670 | 9% |
| SPCXUNDERWATER | −$19,175 | +$5,070 | 26% |
| CRWVUNDERWATER | −$18,565 | +$4,420 | 24% |
| METAUNDERWATER | −$17,391 | +$7,305 | 42% |
| CLSKUNDERWATER | −$13,325 | −$1,950 | -15% |
| INTCRECOVERING | −$11,850 | +$8,910 | 75% |
| COPXRECOVERING | −$9,440 | +$6,720 | 71% |
| ETHAUNDERWATER | −$9,000 | +$500 | 6% |
| SNDKUNDERWATER | −$6,713 | +$3,247 | 48% |
| AMDUNDERWATER | −$5,516 | +$740 | 13% |
| AMZNRECOVERING | −$1,580 | +$805 | 51% |
| GOOG×3RECOVERED | −$250 | +$25,200 | 10081% |
| NEMPROFIT | +$4,040 | +$1,660 | ✓ in profit |
| MDBPROFIT | +$6,053 | +$2,410 | ✓ in profit |
| NVDAPROFIT | +$7,780 | +$3,275 | ✓ in profit |
| DELLPROFIT | +$8,865 | +$7,233 | ✓ in profit |
| HIMSPROFIT | +$16,635 | +$2,055 | ✓ in profit |
| NOWPROFIT | +$19,200 | +$850 | ✓ in profit |
| IGVPROFIT | +$21,372 | +$2,232 | ✓ in profit |
| BMNR×4PROFIT | +$67,800 | +$1,342 | ✓ in profit |
| SPYPROFIT | +$88,872 | +$4,956 | ✓ in profit |
| Ticker | Jan'26 | Feb'26 | Mar'26 | Apr'26 | May'26 | Jun'26 | Jul'26 | Aug'26 | Total | W/L |
|---|
model_ledger.jsonl; grade matured windows with sheet_to_pf.py --score-model — after a month it starts answering "which tickers stood up to their predictions", including whether the exclusions were right.
Built for: capital preservation · all-weather income · diversification · ROIC. Not financial advice.| Constituent | Role | Cluster | Max Loss alloc | Weight | Invested Capital | Exp. Income /mo | ROI on ML | ROI on IC | V27 Fwd /moexpected value | FIGHT /mo@ -25% drawdown · ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLD | BALLAST | Precious metals | $150,000 | 15% | $102,351 | $2,138 | 17% | 25% | $4,280 | $8,906FIGHT |
| GOOG | CORE | Mega-cap tech | $150,000 | 15% | $100,125 | $4,145 | 33% | 50% | $4,383 | $10,355FIGHT |
| MU | YIELD | Semis / AI infra | $150,000 | 15% | $56,832 | $7,422 | 59% | 157% | $13,070 | $47,762HOLD |
| SPY | BALLAST | Index ETF | $84,990 | 8% | $51,391 | $673 | 10% | 16% | $1,438 | $1,586FIGHT |
| IREN | CRYPTO | Crypto beta | $80,000 | 8% | $21,345live | $1,588 | 24% | 89% | — | — |
| META | CORE | Mega-cap tech | $74,403 | 7% | $38,158 | $1,732 | 28% | 54% | $2,092 | $8,012FIGHT |
| RKLBCAPPED | YIELD | Space / defense | $71,620 | 7% | $43,660 | $5,968 | 100% | 164% | $3,125 | $17,751HOLD |
| COPX | CORE | Materials | $68,445 | 7% | $38,568live | $1,715 | 30% | 53% | — | — |
| NVDA | CORE | Semis / AI infra | $62,834 | 6% | $44,299 | $1,770 | 34% | 48% | $2,160 | $7,335FIGHT |
| DELL | YIELD | Semis / AI infra | $41,693 | 4% | $34,886 | $1,867 | 54% | 64% | $1,315 | $5,636HOLD |
| QCOM | YIELD | Semis / AI infra | $34,405 | 3% | $7,596live | $1,476 | 51% | 233% | — | — |
| IGV | BALLAST | Index ETF | $31,609 | 3% | $12,455 | $436 | 17% | 42% | $732 | $2,466FIGHT |