Structure vs shares
Buying shares gives you one way to win: the price goes up. Bastion is a custom-built, highly sophisticated derivatives engine that rebuilds that same exposure into a structure that pays you every week, caps the catastrophe at a number you chose on day one, and ties up a fraction of the capital. It is not free — the price is real, and it is printed further down this page. But the trade is one you are paid handsomely to make.
Sized to the same maximum loss, dollar for dollar. That is the only honest way to compare them — and even then, equal max loss is not equal risk. The two machines spend the same loss budget in different places, and that difference is the whole story.
| Pure stock | Bastion | |
|---|---|---|
| Capital tied up | 100% of the position, in cash | Roughly half — and no margin loan anywhere |
| Income while you wait | Dividend, if any (~1–2%/yr on the index) | Weekly premium income, ~30–50× the dividend stream |
| Market up or flat | You earn the move | You earn a multiple of the move, plus the premium |
| Mild dip (to −8%) | Small loss | Premium absorbs it — often still ahead |
| Mid-size drawdown (−10% to −40%) | Smaller markdown | Marks 1.5–3× lower while it lasts — a number on a screen, not a bill, unless you sell into it |
| Crash (−50% and deeper) | Keeps falling, all the way to zero | Loss saturates at the floor — deeper is free |
| Worst case | Entire position (a hope, not a number) | Max loss — a number you picked before entering |
| Effort | Zero. Buy and forget | Weekly writes and rolls — a discipline, not a chore-free ride |
The construction — which contracts, at which levels, in which proportions — is the proprietary part, and it stays in the kitchen. What can be shown is what the machine delivers, because every one of these properties is measured on real runs against a live account:
Before entry, the maximum loss is a dollar figure you picked — not a hope about how far a crash can go. Below the structure's floor, further downside costs nothing more. Stock's only floor is zero.
The structure generates premium income in real cash, week after week, whether the market rises, drifts, or dips. On the index build it compounds to roughly 30–50× what the same dollars earn sitting in shares.
The same exposure is controlled with roughly half the cash and no margin loan, so a rising or flat market pays a multiple of what the shares pay — 4–6× on the index build, before the income is even counted.
In the modeled −20% to −50% crash with a vol spike, the book's spare borrowing capacity rises — the structure gets safer as the market falls, as long as its protection is kept current.
One machine, four temperaments — the next section prices all four, side by side, so you can pick the one that fits.
Same machine, four settings. Every build below is sized to the same $100K of maximum loss on the index — real numbers from a live run, not projections — so you can see exactly what each dial trades away for what it buys.
| Build | Capital tied up | Leverage | Income this year | Mark if the index drops 20% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPEARHEAD Least cash, most growth |
$25.0K | 5.0× | $26.3K | −$39.0K |
| HARVEST Biggest paycheck |
$68.9K | 4.5× | $55.3K | −$62.8K |
| BEDROCK Smoothest ride |
$46.8K | 2.1× | $20.3K | −$29.5K |
| BULWARK Lowest leverage |
$87.7K | 1.4× | $23.1K | −$34.2K |
Real, tool-computed figures from a live index run (SPY, Jul 30), each build re-sized to the same $100K risk budget so the row is the only variable. Leverage is exposure per dollar of capital committed, not a promised return. The mark is a vol-adjusted screen number at a moderate pullback — not a bill, per Section 4. At this depth Bedrock marks best of the four; Bulwark only takes the lead past roughly −45%, deeper than this table shows.
Ties up the least cash of the four and swings hardest both ways. For growth-focused investors who can shrug off the roughest screen.
The largest paycheck of the four, and the deepest markdown to go with it. For income-first investors who can sit through the widest swings.
Holds its marked value best of the four through an ordinary pullback (roughly −5% to −40%). For investors who most want to avoid a stomach-churning screen in the drawdowns that actually happen.
Ties up the most cash and carries the least leverage of the four — the smallest bet, dollar for dollar. Its markdown is not the gentlest in an ordinary pullback; that edge only shows up past roughly −45%, deeper than most real drawdowns go. For investors who want the least aggressive structure, not necessarily the smoothest screen.
The rest of this page walks through BEDROCK on the index in detail: of the four, it is the build tuned to hold its marked value best in the 5–30% drawdown band — which is where nearly every real index drawdown actually lives. The same walkthrough applies to any of the four; only the numbers above change.
Bastion is not bought on margin. The capital is committed upfront, not borrowed on top of the structure, so nothing forces a sale because the account ran out of buying power — there is no broker margin call arriving uninvited. The only thing that turns a markdown into a real loss is choosing to sell into it. Give the position real runway — a horizon like December 2028, not a headline about this quarter — and the pattern history keeps repeating (Section 6) is that the market has always eventually recovered. If you do not need the cash and you can look at a red number without acting on it, the mark on the screen is not your problem. That is the fortitude this page is asking for, and it is the whole price of admission.
The income keeps landing every week regardless of what the screen says, which is what makes that patience affordable rather than just possible (Section 5). One honest catch remains: the structure’s protection layer has to stay current as it comes up for renewal. Kept current, the modeled book gets safer as the market falls. Left to lapse, the floor you are counting on is not there. That is a maintenance duty on your own schedule, not a margin call — but it is real, and it is yours to keep up.
Income paths to December 2028
Cumulative expected-net income, per $100K risk budget · index book, all four builds from Section 3 · straight-line projection of the current rate, not a forecast
Each line is that build’s current expected-net rate (Section 3) run forward at a constant pace — it does not assume premium levels stay fixed, reinvestment, or compounding, and real weeks will run above and below it. The point is not the exact dollar; it is that the meter keeps running the entire time the screen is showing you a markdown.
| By | SPEARHEAD | HARVEST | BEDROCK | BULWARK |
|---|
This week, in cash — real quotes, Jul 30
$30.0K
Expected-net income sitting on the board across 18 open positions in the live portfolio right now — real prices, this Friday’s money, not a model’s.
Prorated to monthly
$45.8K
The same book on a monthly run-rate, at an average 85% modeled survival per write. Dollars parked in the shares instead would earn a dividend, if that.
Those are expected-net figures, not brochure numbers. Every candidate credit is discounted by the odds the market runs at it and what escaping would cost; a write that only looks good before that haircut never makes the board. Gross premium is what sellers advertise; expected net is what lands in the account — and it is the only number this system plans around.
The stream is also what powers the wait. In a drawdown, stock can only sit and hope. Bastion keeps writing above its defended level — reduced income, not zero — so the months a markdown takes to heal are financed months. Drawdown is a season with a payroll, not a verdict to be accepted.
This is where the drawdown fear stops being imagined and starts being measured. The markdown band and the floor are fixed properties of the build; the only question is how often the market actually visits them, and for how long — and for the index, there is nearly a century of answers. Every row below is a real kind of S&P year, with the modeled BEDROCK outcome per $100K of loss budget beside it.
| SPY, one year out | Years like it | Stock | Bastion (BEDROCK) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +30% | 1995, 2013 | +$30K | ≈ +$68K | Bastion 2.3× |
| +20% | 2017, 2023, 2024 | +$20K | ≈ +$58K | Bastion 2.9× |
| +10% | 2004, 2016 | +$10K | ≈ +$42K | Bastion 4.2× |
| Flat | 2011, 2015 | ~$0 | ≈ +$25K | Bastion runs away |
| −10% | 2000 | −$10K | ≈ −$14K | Nearly a wash |
| −18% | 2022 | −$18K | ≈ −$39K on the screen | Stock marks better by $21K |
| −37% | 2008 — the modern worst | −$37K | ≈ −$90K on the screen | Stock marks better by $53K |
| −50% or worse | Never — worst close since 1926 is −44% (1931) | −$50K, still falling | Capped at the budget | Territory only stock can visit |
Modeled outcomes on the index book, equal max-loss sizing, per $100K of loss budget. Year examples are S&P calendar-year closes, rounded to the nearest row. The red cells are marks at the year boundary — what the account would show, not money spent; they realize only on unwind.
Now read it top to bottom with the frequencies attached. The green rows are where the index lives: roughly three years in four land there. The markdown rows come about once a decade (2022-class), the deep one once in a generation (2008) — and both were seasons, not endings: 2022’s drawdown round-tripped in about two years, and even 2008’s in about four. Sitting through the round trip is precisely what Bastion is paid for: the income engine keeps writing through every month of it, so the years of the wait arrive with a payroll attached — while the shareholder waits for free.
One more thing the terminal table cannot show, and it is BEDROCK’s whole specialty: the path. Of the four builds, BEDROCK is tuned to hold its marked account value steadiest through the 5–30% drawdown band — which is where nearly every real index drawdown lives and dies. The table above prices the endings; BEDROCK is bought for the ride between them.
Everything above is the index book — the conservative telling. Point the same machine at a high-vol single name like TSLA and everything roughly doubles. The premium runs about twice as dense as the index build — dense enough that on paper a year and a half of challenge-adjusted income rebuilds the entire risk budget, and the machine marks ahead of the shares across the whole modeled range.
What doubles for you
2× income
Premium density roughly twice the index book’s — the machine earns its whole risk budget back in about eighteen months of writes.
What doubles against you
2× endurance
Wilder marks on the screen along the way, more cycles challenged, and no room for sloppy weeks — the discipline has to be flawless to collect the model’s number.
That is the whole single-name story, and it needs no more detail than that: the index version of this bet needs the model to be roughly right, the TSLA version needs it to be right and flawlessly executed. Paid much more, to endure much more. Same coin, heavier on both sides — which is why the index book is the telling this page stands on.
Most years
3 of 4
Roughly three years in four end at a level where Bastion beats the shares outright — up, flat, or gently down.
The losing case
1 of 4
A mid-size drawdown year where stock marks better while the markdown lasts. Known in advance, budgeted for, financed by the other three — and historically healed in months to a few years.
Equal max loss is not equal risk — it is a reallocation. Bastion concentrates its markdowns into the probable band, where history says they heal in months to a few years, and collects a 30–50× income stream as rent for sitting through them. Pure stock spreads the same budget thinly all the way to zero and collects almost nothing. One of these is a machine built on purpose. The other is a hope with a ticker symbol.
Own the upside. Rent out the noise. Put a floor under the rest. That is the whole pitch — and every number behind it lives in the dashboards next door.