10 contracts (1,000 sh) | BE SS: $456.00 | CC-SS: $466.09 | IV: MEDIUM
| Contract | Expiry | Type | Status | Sigma | Survival | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5x $410 call | 31 Jul 2026 (22d) | FIGHT | ACTIVE | σ 1.67 | 95% | entry $7.37 |
| Max Loss | $256,000 | (ND $136.00 + SW $120) x 1000 |
| Normal income ref | $18,346/mo | 75% ann ROI on ML |
| Hedge rolling cost | $1,621/mo | |
| Unrealized P&L | $-131,915 | fortress legs from IBKR |
| Open leg | Acct | Credit/sh | In flight | Opened |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5x $410C 31 Jul 2026 | U10001299 | $3.30 | $1,650 | 2026-07-02 |
Each Friday gets its own recommended pick and full income ladder (safest strike per income rung, sized across your 10 contracts). The master ranks the two by E[net]/mo to pick one grand pick; both are shown here so you can choose the tenor that fits your roll cadence.
| Track | Expiry | Sell | Survival | Income/mo | E[net]/mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEXT FRIDAY 🏆 | 17 Jul 2026 · 8d | 10 × $380 | 75% | $9,900 | $1,974 |
| Rung | Sell | Expiry | DTE | OTM | Survival | Touch odds | Per cycle | Income/mo | Δ vs pick | Cap give-up | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| ▸ | cover hedge | 10 × $394 | 17 Jul | 8d | 6.5% | 95% | 10% | $460 | $1,725 | -$8,175 | $71,627 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 10 × $394 6.5% OTM over spot $370.05 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $0.53 mid) = $460 credit for the 8d cycle → $1,725/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $394) 95% Breach risk 5% POP (stays ≤ $394.53) 95% EV / mo +$1,188 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 4.7 mo [3.2-6.5] median, 0.1 mo faster than no FIGHT (4.9 mo) · 29% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 27% without) · ~2.4 challenges expected · median CC cash $-1,611 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 8% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$5,559 Free roll-up +$2/wk Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $399 @ 72% POP 61% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 10 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $8.51/sh now → $6.02 mid-life (likely $4.55–$8.26) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.46/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$5.56/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 235 simulated challenges: the $394 strike is typically first touched on day 6 of 8, at $397 (overshoots $3.22). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $394 is $72 below CC-SS $466.09: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.12/sh (~25% of the $0.46 collected) or spot ≥ $394.53 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $394)); NOT the premium you collected.
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.37 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $466.09, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-131,915 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$131,667 − CC assignment net of premium (10 × $394): -$71,627 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-71,875 (+$60,040 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-11,325 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-60,550, the opportunity cost of earning $1,725/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 🛡 safe yield | 10 × $389 | 17 Jul | 8d | 5.1% | 90% | 20% | $880 | $3,300 | -$6,600 | $76,207 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 10 × $389 5.1% OTM over spot $370.05 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $0.95 mid) = $880 credit for the 8d cycle → $3,300/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $389) 90% Breach risk 10% POP (stays ≤ $389.94) 91% EV / mo +$1,882 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 3.8 mo [3.0-6.0] median, 0.1 mo faster than no FIGHT (4.0 mo) · 27% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 24% without) · ~4.5 challenges expected · median CC cash $6,265 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 15% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$4,926 Free roll-up +$2/wk Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $396 @ 74% POP 65% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 10 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $8.21/sh now → $5.81 mid-life (likely $4.46–$7.78) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.88/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$4.93/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 464 simulated challenges: the $389 strike is typically first touched on day 6 of 8, at $392 (overshoots $2.74). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $389 is $77 below CC-SS $466.09: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.22/sh (~25% of the $0.88 collected) or spot ≥ $389.94 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $389)); NOT the premium you collected.
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.37 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $466.09, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-131,915 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$131,667 − CC assignment net of premium (10 × $389): -$76,207 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-76,455 (+$55,460 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-11,325 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-65,130, the opportunity cost of earning $3,300/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 33% normal ← lean | 10 × $384 | 17 Jul | 8d | 3.8% | 83% | 34% | $1,630 | $6,112 | -$3,788 | $80,457 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 10 × $384 3.8% OTM over spot $370.05 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $1.71 mid) = $1,630 credit for the 8d cycle → $6,112/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $384) 83% Breach risk 17% POP (stays ≤ $385.71) 86% EV / mo +$2,860 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 5.2 mo [3.6-7.1] median, 0.1 mo SLOWER than no FIGHT (5.1 mo): roll costs eat the credits at this rung · 29% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 22% without) · ~7.9 challenges expected · median CC cash $17,928 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 25% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$3,968 Free roll-up +$2/wk Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $393 @ 77% POP 69% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 10 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $7.92/sh now → $5.60 mid-life (likely $5.16–$8.26) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.63/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$3.97/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 743 simulated challenges: the $384 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 8, at $387 (overshoots $2.88). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $384 is $82 below CC-SS $466.09: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.41/sh (~25% of the $1.63 collected) or spot ≥ $385.71 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $384)); NOT the premium you collected.
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.37 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $466.09, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-131,915 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$131,667 − CC assignment net of premium (10 × $384): -$80,457 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-80,705 (+$51,210 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-11,325 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-69,380, the opportunity cost of earning $6,112/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 🎯 50% normal | 10 × $380 | 17 Jul | 8d | 2.7% | 75% | 39% | $2,640 | $9,900 | — | $83,447 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 10 × $380 2.7% OTM over spot $370.05 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $2.71 mid) = $2,640 credit for the 8d cycle → $9,900/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $380) 75% Breach risk 25% POP (stays ≤ $382.71) 81% EV / mo +$3,932 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 4.6 mo [2.8-6.9] median, 0.1 mo faster than no FIGHT (4.7 mo) · 32% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 24% without) · ~12.0 challenges expected · median CC cash $28,799 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 39% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$2,794 Free roll-up +$2/wk Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $392 @ 79% POP 75% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 10 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $7.68/sh now → $5.43 mid-life (likely $5.68–$8.66) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $2.64/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$2.79/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 1,167 simulated challenges: the $380 strike is typically first touched on day 4 of 8, at $383 (overshoots $2.99). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $380 is $86 below CC-SS $466.09: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.66/sh (~25% of the $2.64 collected) or spot ≥ $382.71 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $380)); NOT the premium you collected.
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.37 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $466.09, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-131,915 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$131,667 − CC assignment net of premium (10 × $380): -$83,447 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-83,695 (+$48,220 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-11,325 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-72,370, the opportunity cost of earning $9,900/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 100% normal | 10 × $373 | 17 Jul | 8d | 0.8% | 58% | 85% | $5,350 | $20,062 | +$10,162 | $87,737 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 10 × $373 0.8% OTM over spot $370.05 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $5.45 mid) = $5,350 credit for the 8d cycle → $20,062/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $373) 58% Breach risk 42% POP (stays ≤ $378.45) 71% EV / mo +$5,437 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 4.8 mo [3.0-6.4] median, 0.1 mo faster than no FIGHT (4.8 mo) · 39% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 25% without) · ~27.7 challenges expected · median CC cash $43,258 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 68% Flat exit net (mid-life) +$199 Free roll-up +$2/wk Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $394 @ 90% POP 89% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 10 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $7.28/sh now → $5.15 mid-life (likely $6.88–$9.70) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $5.35/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets +$0.20/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 2,050 simulated challenges: the $373 strike is typically first touched on day 2 of 8, at $376 (overshoots $3.23). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $373 is $93 below CC-SS $466.09: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $1.34/sh (~25% of the $5.35 collected) or spot ≥ $378.45 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $373)); NOT the premium you collected.
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.37 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $466.09, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-131,915 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$131,667 − CC assignment net of premium (10 × $373): -$87,737 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-87,985 (+$43,930 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-11,325 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-76,660, the opportunity cost of earning $20,062/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Every eligible strike x expiry in the 2-45 DTE band (6 expiries scanned, 98 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.
Fortress delta: 1.371 (IBKR) | Recovery@SS: +$131,667 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS) | Do-nothing @ SS: $-11,325
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $378 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $1.29 | 10/10 | $9,675 | $8,054 | 80% | 84% | +$4,642 | -$86,797 | 63.8% | $-87,045 (vs do-nothing $-75,720) |
| $380 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $1.91 | 10/10 | $9,550 | $7,929 | 79% | 83% | +$4,187 | -$84,177 | 61.9% | $-84,425 (vs do-nothing $-73,100) |
| $377 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $1.56 | 8/10 | $9,360 | $7,744 | 77% | 82% | +$4,240 | -$70,022 | 51.5% | $-72,485 (vs do-nothing $-61,160) |
| $379 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $2.15 | 9/10 | $9,675 | $8,057 | 76% | 81% | +$3,939 | -$76,443 | 56.2% | $-77,799 (vs do-nothing $-66,474) |
| $380 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $2.64 | 10/10 | $9,900 | $8,279 | 75% | 81% | +$3,932 | -$83,447 | 61.4% | $-83,695 (vs do-nothing $-72,370) |
| $376 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $1.84 | 7/10 | $9,660 | $8,047 | 74% | 80% | +$4,019 | -$61,773 | 45.4% | $-65,344 (vs do-nothing $-54,019) |
| $378 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $2.45 | 8/10 | $9,800 | $8,184 | 74% | 80% | +$3,775 | -$68,510 | 50.4% | $-70,973 (vs do-nothing $-59,648) |
| $379 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $2.93 | 9/10 | $9,889 | $8,270 | 73% | 79% | +$3,702 | -$75,741 | 55.7% | $-77,097 (vs do-nothing $-65,772) |
| $377 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $2.78 | 7/10 | $9,730 | $8,117 | 71% | 78% | +$3,539 | -$60,415 | 44.4% | $-63,986 (vs do-nothing $-52,661) |
| $378 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $3.25 | 8/10 | $9,750 | $8,134 | 71% | 78% | +$3,443 | -$67,870 | 49.9% | $-70,333 (vs do-nothing $-59,008) |
| $375 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $2.17 | 6/10 | $9,765 | $8,155 | 70% | 78% | +$3,743 | -$53,350 | 39.2% | $-58,029 (vs do-nothing $-46,704) |
| $378 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $3.55 | 10/10 | $9,682 | $8,061 | 70% | 77% | +$3,076 | -$84,537 | 62.2% | $-84,785 (vs do-nothing $-73,460) |
| $377 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $3.60 | 7/10 | $9,450 | $7,837 | 68% | 76% | +$3,149 | -$59,841 | 44.0% | $-63,412 (vs do-nothing $-52,087) |
Showing the 60 next-safest rows of 85.
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $376 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $3.15 | 6/10 | $9,450 | $7,840 | 68% | 76% | +$3,255 | -$52,162 | 38.4% | $-56,841 (vs do-nothing $-45,516) |
| $378 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $4.15 | 10/10 | $9,577 | $7,956 | 68% | 76% | +$2,977 | -$83,937 | 61.7% | $-84,185 (vs do-nothing $-72,860) |
| $377 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $3.95 | 9/10 | $9,695 | $8,077 | 67% | 76% | +$2,979 | -$76,623 | 56.3% | $-77,979 (vs do-nothing $-66,654) |
| $378 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $4.80 | 10/10 | $9,600 | $7,979 | 67% | 75% | +$2,909 | -$83,287 | 61.2% | $-83,535 (vs do-nothing $-72,210) |
| $374 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $2.54 | 5/10 | $9,525 | $7,917 | 66% | 76% | +$3,343 | -$44,774 | 32.9% | $-50,560 (vs do-nothing $-39,235) |
| $377 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $4.55 | 9/10 | $9,450 | $7,832 | 66% | 75% | +$2,827 | -$76,083 | 55.9% | $-77,439 (vs do-nothing $-66,114) |
| $376 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $4.00 | 7/10 | $10,500 | $8,887 | 66% | 75% | +$3,338 | -$60,261 | 44.3% | $-63,832 (vs do-nothing $-52,507) |
| $375 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $3.55 | 6/10 | $10,650 | $9,040 | 65% | 75% | +$3,462 | -$52,522 | 38.6% | $-57,201 (vs do-nothing $-45,876) |
| $376 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $4.35 | 8/10 | $9,491 | $7,875 | 65% | 75% | +$2,773 | -$68,590 | 50.4% | $-71,053 (vs do-nothing $-59,728) |
| $377 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $5.20 | 9/10 | $9,360 | $7,742 | 65% | 74% | +$2,729 | -$75,498 | 55.5% | $-76,854 (vs do-nothing $-65,529) |
| $376 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $5.00 | 8/10 | $9,231 | $7,615 | 64% | 74% | +$2,687 | -$68,070 | 50.1% | $-70,533 (vs do-nothing $-59,208) |
| $375 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $4.45 | 6/10 | $10,012 | $8,402 | 63% | 74% | +$3,067 | -$51,982 | 38.2% | $-56,661 (vs do-nothing $-45,336) |
| $376 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $5.60 | 9/10 | $10,080 | $8,462 | 63% | 73% | +$2,794 | -$76,038 | 55.9% | $-77,394 (vs do-nothing $-66,069) |
| $375 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $4.85 | 7/10 | $9,259 | $7,646 | 63% | 73% | +$2,671 | -$60,366 | 44.4% | $-63,937 (vs do-nothing $-52,612) |
| $373 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $2.97 | 5/10 | $11,138 | $9,530 | 62% | 74% | +$3,609 | -$45,059 | 33.1% | $-50,845 (vs do-nothing $-39,520) |
| $374 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $3.95 | 5/10 | $9,875 | $8,267 | 62% | 73% | +$2,968 | -$44,069 | 32.4% | $-49,855 (vs do-nothing $-38,530) |
| $375 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $5.45 | 8/10 | $10,062 | $8,446 | 62% | 73% | +$2,811 | -$68,510 | 50.4% | $-70,973 (vs do-nothing $-59,648) |
| $375 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $6.05 | 8/10 | $9,680 | $8,064 | 61% | 72% | +$2,582 | -$68,030 | 50.0% | $-70,493 (vs do-nothing $-59,168) |
| $374 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $4.85 | 6/10 | $10,912 | $9,302 | 61% | 72% | +$3,088 | -$52,342 | 38.5% | $-57,021 (vs do-nothing $-45,696) |
| $374 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $5.25 | 7/10 | $10,023 | $8,410 | 60% | 72% | +$2,668 | -$60,786 | 44.7% | $-64,357 (vs do-nothing $-53,032) |
| $374 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $5.90 | 7/10 | $9,531 | $7,918 | 60% | 72% | +$2,522 | -$60,331 | 44.4% | $-63,902 (vs do-nothing $-52,577) |
| $373 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $4.40 | 5/10 | $11,000 | $9,392 | 60% | 72% | +$3,083 | -$44,344 | 32.6% | $-50,130 (vs do-nothing $-38,805) |
| $374 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $6.45 | 8/10 | $10,320 | $8,704 | 59% | 71% | +$2,559 | -$68,510 | 50.4% | $-70,973 (vs do-nothing $-59,648) |
| $372 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $3.40 | 4/10 | $10,200 | $8,595 | 58% | 72% | +$2,948 | -$36,275 | 26.7% | $-43,169 (vs do-nothing $-31,844) |
| $373 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $5.35 | 5/10 | $10,031 | $8,424 | 58% | 71% | +$2,719 | -$43,869 | 32.3% | $-49,655 (vs do-nothing $-38,330) |
| $373 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $5.70 | 6/10 | $9,327 | $7,717 | 58% | 71% | +$2,316 | -$52,432 | 38.6% | $-57,111 (vs do-nothing $-45,786) |
| $373 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $6.35 | 7/10 | $10,258 | $8,645 | 57% | 71% | +$2,540 | -$60,716 | 44.6% | $-64,287 (vs do-nothing $-52,962) |
| $373 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $7.00 | 7/10 | $9,800 | $8,187 | 57% | 70% | +$2,393 | -$60,261 | 44.3% | $-63,832 (vs do-nothing $-52,507) |
| $372 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $4.90 | 4/10 | $9,800 | $8,195 | 57% | 70% | +$2,584 | -$35,675 | 26.2% | $-42,569 (vs do-nothing $-31,244) |
| $372 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $5.80 | 5/10 | $10,875 | $9,267 | 56% | 71% | +$3,386 | -$44,144 | 32.5% | $-49,930 (vs do-nothing $-38,605) |
| $372 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $6.25 | 6/10 | $10,227 | $8,617 | 56% | 70% | +$2,460 | -$52,702 | 38.8% | $-57,381 (vs do-nothing $-46,056) |
| $372 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $6.85 | 6/10 | $9,485 | $7,874 | 55% | 70% | +$2,222 | -$52,342 | 38.5% | $-57,021 (vs do-nothing $-45,696) |
| $372 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $7.50 | 7/10 | $10,500 | $8,887 | 55% | 69% | +$2,441 | -$60,611 | 44.6% | $-64,182 (vs do-nothing $-52,857) |
| $371 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $3.90 | 4/10 | $11,700 | $10,095 | 54% | 70% | +$3,064 | -$36,475 | 26.8% | $-43,369 (vs do-nothing $-32,044) |
| $371 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $5.40 | 4/10 | $10,800 | $9,195 | 54% | 69% | +$2,627 | -$35,875 | 26.4% | $-42,769 (vs do-nothing $-31,444) |
| $371 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $6.35 | 4/10 | $9,525 | $7,920 | 53% | 70% | +$2,864 | -$35,495 | 26.1% | $-42,389 (vs do-nothing $-31,064) |
| $371 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $6.70 | 6/10 | $10,964 | $9,353 | 53% | 69% | +$2,390 | -$53,032 | 39.0% | $-57,711 (vs do-nothing $-46,386) |
| $371 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $7.35 | 6/10 | $10,177 | $8,567 | 53% | 69% | +$2,228 | -$52,642 | 38.7% | $-57,321 (vs do-nothing $-45,996) |
| $371 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $8.00 | 6/10 | $9,600 | $7,990 | 53% | 69% | +$2,102 | -$52,252 | 38.4% | $-56,931 (vs do-nothing $-45,606) |
| $370 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $8.60 | 6/10 | $10,320 | $8,710 | 51% | 68% | +$2,202 | -$52,492 | 38.6% | $-57,171 (vs do-nothing $-45,846) |
| $370 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $8.00 | 5/10 | $9,231 | $7,623 | 51% | 68% | +$2,003 | -$44,044 | 32.4% | $-49,830 (vs do-nothing $-38,505) |
| $370 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $7.30 | 5/10 | $9,955 | $8,347 | 51% | 68% | +$2,097 | -$44,394 | 32.6% | $-50,180 (vs do-nothing $-38,855) |
| $370 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $6.90 | 4/10 | $10,350 | $8,745 | 51% | 69% | +$2,971 | -$35,675 | 26.2% | $-42,569 (vs do-nothing $-31,244) |
| $370 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $6.00 | 4/10 | $12,000 | $10,395 | 51% | 68% | +$2,796 | -$36,035 | 26.5% | $-42,929 (vs do-nothing $-31,604) |
| $370 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $4.45 | 3/10 | $10,012 | $8,410 | 50% | 68% | +$2,383 | -$27,491 | 20.2% | $-35,493 (vs do-nothing $-24,168) |
| $369 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $9.15 | 6/10 | $10,980 | $9,370 | 49% | 67% | +$2,211 | -$52,762 | 38.8% | $-57,441 (vs do-nothing $-46,116) |
| $369 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $8.50 | 5/10 | $9,808 | $8,200 | 49% | 67% | +$1,944 | -$44,294 | 32.6% | $-50,080 (vs do-nothing $-38,755) |
| $369 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $7.90 | 5/10 | $10,773 | $9,165 | 48% | 67% | +$2,163 | -$44,594 | 32.8% | $-50,380 (vs do-nothing $-39,055) |
| $369 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $7.45 | 4/10 | $11,175 | $9,570 | 48% | 68% | +$3,029 | -$35,855 | 26.4% | $-42,749 (vs do-nothing $-31,424) |
| $369 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $6.55 | 3/10 | $9,825 | $8,223 | 48% | 67% | +$2,093 | -$27,161 | 20.0% | $-35,163 (vs do-nothing $-23,838) |
| $368 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $9.75 | 5/10 | $9,750 | $8,142 | 47% | 66% | +$1,875 | -$44,169 | 32.5% | $-49,955 (vs do-nothing $-38,630) |
| $368 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $9.10 | 5/10 | $10,500 | $8,892 | 47% | 66% | +$1,970 | -$44,494 | 32.7% | $-50,280 (vs do-nothing $-38,955) |
| $369 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $5.05 | 3/10 | $11,362 | $9,760 | 46% | 67% | +$2,470 | -$27,611 | 20.3% | $-35,613 (vs do-nothing $-24,288) |
| $368 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $8.50 | 4/10 | $9,273 | $7,668 | 46% | 66% | +$1,752 | -$35,835 | 26.3% | $-42,729 (vs do-nothing $-31,404) |
| $368 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $8.05 | 4/10 | $12,075 | $10,470 | 45% | 67% | +$3,113 | -$36,015 | 26.5% | $-42,909 (vs do-nothing $-31,584) |
| $367 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $10.35 | 5/10 | $10,350 | $8,742 | 45% | 65% | +$1,883 | -$44,369 | 32.6% | $-50,155 (vs do-nothing $-38,830) |
| $368 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $7.15 | 3/10 | $10,725 | $9,123 | 45% | 65% | +$2,112 | -$27,281 | 20.1% | $-35,283 (vs do-nothing $-23,958) |
| $367 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $9.70 | 5/10 | $11,192 | $9,585 | 45% | 65% | +$1,965 | -$44,694 | 32.9% | $-50,480 (vs do-nothing $-39,155) |
| $367 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $9.10 | 4/10 | $9,927 | $8,322 | 44% | 65% | +$1,742 | -$35,995 | 26.5% | $-42,889 (vs do-nothing $-31,564) |
| $366 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $11.00 | 5/10 | $11,000 | $9,392 | 43% | 65% | +$1,918 | -$44,544 | 32.8% | $-50,330 (vs do-nothing $-39,005) |
Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 10 contracts at the conservative CC.