FORTRESS FIGHT: IWM @ $248.90

SS: $265.00  |  20 contracts (2,000 sh)  |  2026-03-24 23:02

IWM @ $248.90   UNDERWATER $16.10 (6.1% below SS)

20 contracts (2,000 sh)  |  SS: $265.00  |  IV: MEDIUM

LC: $190 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $92.459/sh)
SP: $250 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $21.583/sh)
HP: $220 exp 2026-06-30 (entry $6.418/sh)

Current CCs

ContractExpiryTypeStatusSigmaSurvivalEntry
20x $265 call2 Apr 2026 (9d)CONSROLLσ 1.1888%entry $1.55
>>> ROLL ALERT: 20 contract(s) need immediate action
20x $265 call (2 Apr 2026, 9d DTE, sigma 1.18)
Buyback: ~$0.46 ask
TargetBidNet/shTotal (20 ct)New sigmaType
$249 17 Apr 2026$7.98+$7.52+$15,0400.00OUT+DOWN
$249 2 Apr 2026$5.37+$4.91+$9,8200.01DOWN
$265 17 Apr 2026$1.69+$1.23+$2,4600.72OUT
$266 17 Apr 2026$1.46+$1.00+$2,0000.77OUT+UP

Economics

Max Loss$214,589(ND $77.29 + SW $30) x 2000
Normal income ref$13,412/mo75% ann ROI on ML
Hedge rolling cost$3,245/mo
FIGHT CC$251 call, $3.70 bidexp 31 Mar 2026 (7d DTE)
Conservative CC$265 call, $0.58 bidexp 6 Apr 2026 (13d DTE)

FIGHT Allocation

ContractsIncome/moNet/moCC→SS Gap
Cover hedge1/20$4,129$884$1,030
Match normal10/20$17,196$13,951$10,300
Full FIGHT20/20$31,714$28,469$20,600

FIGHT Options (exp 31 Mar 2026, 7d DTE)

OTM%StrikeBid$/ct/moHedge CtMatch CtGap/ctGap@HedgeGap@MatchNet@Match
1%$251$3.70$1,5861/2010/20$1,030$1,030$10,300$13,951
2%$254$2.40$1,0291/2016/20$860$860$13,760$13,748
3%$256$1.71$7331/2020/20$729$729$14,580$11,412
5%$261$0.61$2615/2020/20$339$1,695$6,780$1,984

* = cannot fully match normal income with 20 contracts

TRADE RECOMMENDATION (match normal income)
Sell 10: IWM $251 call (exp 31 Mar 2026, 7d DTE, ~$3.70 bid)
Keep 10: $265 CC (~$0.58 bid)
Net income: $13,951/mo (target $13,412)
Gap CC→SS: $1,030/ct ($10,300 across 10 contracts)

Legend

Max Loss (ML)Worst-case loss: (Net Debit + Spread Width) x shares. ND = LC entry - SP entry + HP entry. SW = SP strike - HP strike.
Normal income refTarget monthly income: IV-based annual ROI on ML / 12 (LOW 45%, MED 75%, HIGH 95%)
Hedge rolling costMonthly cost to maintain the HP (protective put): (30 / HP_DTE) x HP_ask x shares
FIGHT CCShort-dated, near-ATM covered call for income recovery
Conservative CCStandard CC at safe strike (far OTM when underwater)
Cover hedgeMin FIGHT contracts to pay for the hedge rolling cost
Match normalFIGHT contracts needed to reach normal income target
Gap/ctNet gap risk per contract: (SS - strike - bid) x 100. Max loss if stock rallies to SS, net of premium received.
Gap@HedgeTotal gap risk at cover-hedge contract count
Gap@MatchTotal gap risk at match-normal contract count
Net@MatchMonthly income after hedge cost at match-normal level
fortress_fight.py v1.1  |  2026-03-24 23:02