GENERATED2026-07-13 12:41
FORTRESS REBUILDLifecycle Manager v1.3
Cutoff: LEAPS expiring by none (all fortresses)
Accounts: Main:1299, Neville:0865, RetireInc:7291, Joint:1782
7 fortress structure(s) scanned · 4 account(s)
✓ SKIP: 7
▼ CC SUGGESTIONS: 4 uncapped + 3 capped + 3 roll-down
UNCAPPEDCOINCOINIRENIREN
CAPPEDENPHIRENIREN
PORTFOLIO ROLLUP7 fortress(es)
CAPITAL LOCKED$110,380
CLOSE P/L−$197,200
STOCK FLAT−$195,490
STOCK @ CAP−$154,144
CC INC/MO$12,825
Summary · sorted by urgency
ACCOUNT TICKER · CT STOCK CC STRIKE CC EXPIRY EARN CC STATUS CC SURV% OUTLOOK Δ$/DAY STOCK FLAT STOCK @ CAP DECISION
RetireInc:7291 ENPH · 10c $44.25 $50.00 Jul 17 '26 (4d) OTM -11.5% 93%
T:15%
safe
let theta work
+$127/d −$14,805 −$8,483
@ $50.00
✓ SKIP →
Main:1299 IREN · 20c $39.92 $50.00 Jul 17 '26 (4d) OTM -20.2% 98%
T:4%
safe
let theta work
+$150/d −$12,590 +$4,923
@ $50.00
✓ SKIP →
Joint:1782 IREN · 20c $39.92 $50.00 Jul 17 '26 (4d) OTM -20.2% 98%
T:4%
safe
let theta work
+$150/d −$12,590 +$4,923
@ $50.00
✓ SKIP →
Main:1299 COIN · 8c $156.10 NO CC −$52,236 ✓ SKIP →
Neville:0865 IREN · 20c $39.92 NO CC −$38,160 ✓ SKIP →
RetireInc:7291 COIN · 3c $156.10 NO CC −$10,370 ✓ SKIP →
RetireInc:7291 IREN · 20c $39.92 NO CC −$54,740 ✓ SKIP →
CALIBRATION · predicted vs realized (76 of 206 resolved, since 2026-07-03)
PRED SURV BUCKETNPREDICTED REALIZED OTMGAP
0-60%2051%90%+39pp
60-70%564%80%+16pp
70-80%776%86%+10pp
80-90%1886%100%+14pp
90-100%2695%100%+5pp
Touch odds: predicted 41% vs realized 11% (n=71, daily-close proxy, undercounts intraday touches).

✓ SKIP   ENPH · 10c · RetireInc:7291

MARKET
STOCK$44.25entry ~$59.00 · -25.0%
CURRENT CC$50.00Jul 17 '26 · 4d
CC STATUSOTM -11.5%1.45σ · 93% surv · T:15%
STRUCTURE
BE SAFE STRIKE$56.15-26.9% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$57.95+31.0% vs spot
NET DEBIT *$7.30
CAP LOCKED *$7,300
LC DTE557d
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-14,805
CC BUYBACK-$510.00
CLOSE P/L$-15,315
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-14,805
STOCK @ $50.00$-8,483
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$99/pt+0.10δ/sh
CC INC/MO$3,825
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTESTOCK FLAT@ CAPE[P/L] SURV / TOUCHNOTES
CLOSE ALL−$15,315−$15,315−$15,315— / —lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC−$14,805−$8,483−$14,33693% / 15%ride to Jul 17 '26 (4d)
UNCAP−$15,315— / —buy back CC $510.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +1099 $/pt)
REASON CC $50.00 is 11.5% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.51/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-14,805 · at cap $-8,483. Next round in 4d: sell ~$45.50 (~0.20/sh).
LEG STRIKE EXPIRY DTE MARK DELTA THETA INTR EXTR STATUS
LC $45.00 Jan 21 '28 557d $19.43 0.72 -0.016 $0.00 $19.43 100% extr delta 0.72
SP $60.00 Jan 21 '28 557d $27.10 0.40 -0.013 $15.75 $11.35 ITM 26.2% ITM
HP $20.00 Sep 18 '26 67d $0.17 0.02 -0.006 $0.00 $0.17 DEAD floor 45%
CC $50.00 Jul 17 '26 4d $0.51 0.19 -0.109 $0.00 $0.51 OTM 11.5% OTM · 1.45σ (93%) · close $510.00

✓ SKIP   IREN · 20c · Main:1299

MARKET
STOCK$39.92entry ~$45.00 · -11.3%
CURRENT CC$50.00Jul 17 '26 · 4d
CC STATUSOTM -20.2%2.05σ · 98% surv · T:4%
STRUCTURE
BE SAFE STRIKE$44.00-10.2% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$47.23+18.3% vs spot
NET DEBIT *$16.00
CAP LOCKED *$32,000
LC DTE557d
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-12,590
CC BUYBACK-$600.00
CLOSE P/L$-13,190
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-12,590
STOCK @ $50.00$4,923
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.87
CC INC/MO$4,500
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTESTOCK FLAT@ CAPE[P/L] SURV / TOUCHNOTES
CLOSE ALL−$13,190−$13,190−$13,190— / —lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC−$12,590+$4,923−$12,23598% / 4%ride to Jul 17 '26 (4d)
UNCAP−$13,190— / —buy back CC $600.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +1737 $/pt)
REASON CC $50.00 is 20.2% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.30/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-12,590 · at cap $4,923. Next round in 4d: sell ~$41.00 (~0.18/sh).
LEG STRIKE EXPIRY DTE MARK DELTA THETA INTR EXTR STATUS
LC $25.00 Jan 21 '28 557d $26.05 0.86 -0.012 $14.92 $11.13 43% extr delta 0.86
SP $47.00 Jan 21 '28 557d $22.51 0.29 -0.013 $7.08 $15.43 ITM 15.1% ITM
HP $35.00 Oct 16 '26 95d $6.17 0.28 -0.041 $0.00 $6.17 ACTIVE floor 88%
CC $50.00 Jul 17 '26 4d $0.30 0.11 -0.084 $0.00 $0.30 OTM 20.2% OTM · 2.05σ (98%) · close $600.00

✓ SKIP   IREN · 20c · Joint:1782

MARKET
STOCK$39.92entry ~$45.00 · -11.3%
CURRENT CC$50.00Jul 17 '26 · 4d
CC STATUSOTM -20.2%2.05σ · 98% surv · T:4%
STRUCTURE
BE SAFE STRIKE$44.00-10.2% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$47.23+18.3% vs spot
NET DEBIT *$16.00
CAP LOCKED *$32,000
LC DTE557d
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-12,590
CC BUYBACK-$600.00
CLOSE P/L$-13,190
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-12,590
STOCK @ $50.00$4,923
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.87
CC INC/MO$4,500
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTESTOCK FLAT@ CAPE[P/L] SURV / TOUCHNOTES
CLOSE ALL−$13,190−$13,190−$13,190— / —lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC−$12,590+$4,923−$12,23598% / 4%ride to Jul 17 '26 (4d)
UNCAP−$13,190— / —buy back CC $600.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +1737 $/pt)
REASON CC $50.00 is 20.2% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.30/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-12,590 · at cap $4,923. Next round in 4d: sell ~$41.00 (~0.18/sh).
LEG STRIKE EXPIRY DTE MARK DELTA THETA INTR EXTR STATUS
LC $25.00 Jan 21 '28 557d $26.05 0.86 -0.012 $14.92 $11.13 43% extr delta 0.86
SP $47.00 Jan 21 '28 557d $22.51 0.29 -0.013 $7.08 $15.43 ITM 15.1% ITM
HP $35.00 Oct 16 '26 95d $6.17 0.28 -0.041 $0.00 $6.17 ACTIVE floor 88%
CC $50.00 Jul 17 '26 4d $0.30 0.11 -0.084 $0.00 $0.30 OTM 20.2% OTM · 2.05σ (98%) · close $600.00

✓ SKIP   COIN · 8c · Main:1299

MARKET
STOCK$156.10entry ~$211.00 · -26.0%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
BE SAFE STRIKE$210.90-35.1% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$214.69+37.5% vs spot
NET DEBIT *$16.80
CAP LOCKED *$13,440
LC DTE557d
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-52,236
CLOSE P/L$-52,236
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT
STOCK @ CAP
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTESTOCK FLAT@ CAPE[P/L] SURV / TOUCHNOTES
CLOSE ALL−$52,236−$52,236−$52,236— / —lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)−$52,236— / —gear mode, upside open
REASON No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.69, theta=$-0.053/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own.
LEG STRIKE EXPIRY DTE MARK DELTA THETA INTR EXTR STATUS
LC $165.00 Jan 21 '28 557d $60.67 0.69 -0.053 $0.00 $60.67 100% extr delta 0.69
SP $240.00 Jan 21 '28 557d $110.80 0.49 -0.039 $83.90 $26.90 ITM 35.0% ITM
HP $85.00 Oct 16 '26 95d $1.64 0.05 -0.031 $0.00 $1.64 ACTIVE floor 54%
CC— not present —

✓ SKIP   IREN · 20c · Neville:0865

MARKET
STOCK$39.92entry ~$58.25 · -31.5%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
BE SAFE STRIKE$56.50-41.5% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$57.79+44.8% vs spot
NET DEBIT *$3.00
CAP LOCKED *$6,000
LC DTE557d
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-38,160
CLOSE P/L$-38,160
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT
STOCK @ CAP
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTESTOCK FLAT@ CAPE[P/L] SURV / TOUCHNOTES
CLOSE ALL−$38,160−$38,160−$38,160— / —lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)−$38,160— / —gear mode, upside open
REASON No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.74, theta=$-0.017/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own.
LEG STRIKE EXPIRY DTE MARK DELTA THETA INTR EXTR STATUS
LC $45.00 Jan 21 '28 557d $19.61 0.74 -0.017 $0.00 $19.61 100% extr delta 0.74
SP $65.00 Jan 21 '28 557d $36.25 0.39 -0.014 $25.08 $11.17 ITM 38.6% ITM
HP $21.00 Aug 21 '26 39d $0.57 0.05 -0.020 $0.00 $0.57 ACTIVE floor 53%
CC— not present —

✓ SKIP   COIN · 3c · RetireInc:7291

MARKET
STOCK$156.10entry ~$185.00 · -15.6%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
BE SAFE STRIKE$182.40-16.8% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$187.59+20.2% vs spot
NET DEBIT *$19.80
CAP LOCKED *$5,940
LC DTE557d
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-10,370
CLOSE P/L$-10,370
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT
STOCK @ CAP
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTESTOCK FLAT@ CAPE[P/L] SURV / TOUCHNOTES
CLOSE ALL−$10,370−$10,370−$10,370— / —lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)−$10,370— / —gear mode, upside open
REASON No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.74, theta=$-0.050/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own.
LEG STRIKE EXPIRY DTE MARK DELTA THETA INTR EXTR STATUS
LC $145.00 Jan 21 '28 557d $65.07 0.74 -0.050 $11.10 $53.97 83% extr delta 0.74
SP $200.00 Jan 21 '28 557d $80.68 0.41 -0.040 $43.90 $36.78 ITM 22.0% ITM
HP $75.00 Sep 18 '26 67d $0.85 0.02 -0.020 $0.00 $0.85 DEAD floor 48%
CC— not present —

✓ SKIP   IREN · 20c · RetireInc:7291

MARKET
STOCK$39.92entry ~$65.00 · -38.6%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
BE SAFE STRIKE$63.43-58.9% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$66.24+65.9% vs spot
NET DEBIT *$6.85
CAP LOCKED *$13,700
LC DTE557d
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-54,740
CLOSE P/L$-54,740
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT
STOCK @ CAP
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTESTOCK FLAT@ CAPE[P/L] SURV / TOUCHNOTES
CLOSE ALL−$54,740−$54,740−$54,740— / —lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)−$54,740— / —gear mode, upside open
REASON No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.71, theta=$-0.018/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own.
LEG STRIKE EXPIRY DTE MARK DELTA THETA INTR EXTR STATUS
LC $50.00 Jan 21 '28 557d $18.55 0.71 -0.018 $0.00 $18.55 100% extr delta 0.71
SP $70.00 Jan 21 '28 557d $40.38 0.41 -0.014 $30.08 $10.30 ITM 43.0% ITM
HP $23.00 Sep 18 '26 67d $1.31 0.09 -0.025 $0.00 $1.31 ACTIVE floor 58%
CC— not present —
CC SUGGESTIONS
4 uncapped + 3 capped + 3 roll-down position(s) · expiries ≤ 20d · delta band 0.05–0.40 · up to 3 algorithmic picks per ticker (▶ EV · ● safest · ⚠ risky harvest, drawdown rolldowns only)

RetireInc:7291 · ENPH · 10c · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS

MARKET
STOCK$44.25entry ~$59.00 · -25.0%
CURRENT CC$50.00Jul 17 '26 · 4d
CC STATUSOTM -11.5%1.45σ · 93% surv · T:15%
BUYBACK-$510.00
STRUCTURE
BE SAFE STRIKE$56.15-21.2% · reference
CC-SAFE STRIKE$57.95+31.0% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-14,805
SCENARIOS
HOLD FLAT$-14,805
HOLD @ $50.00$-8,483
RIDE E[P/L]$-14,336
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$99/pt
SIZE
SYNTH Δ1.10
SHARES1,000
Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (4d) · Jul 24 '26 (11d) · Jul 31 '26 (18d) · Aug 07 '26 (25d) · Aug 14 '26 (32d)
Forward roll suggestions
PICKACTIONEXPIRY · STRIKEMIDΔσSURV%NET CREDITFLATCAPE[P/L]NOTES
BEST EV (≥65% SURV)
▸ if challenged
roll to 10×Jul 31 '26
$57.00C · 18d
✓ CC-safe
$1.240.211.18σ88%+$730.00$-14,075$-57.07$-12,408
SAFEST VIABLE
▸ if challenged
roll to 10×Jul 31 '26
$63.00C · 18d
✓ CC-safe
$1.600.121.61σ95%+$1,090$-13,715$6,900$-12,618
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
  STRIKE EXPIRY DTE %OTM MID NET CREDIT $ Δ SIGMA SURV% CAP GAIN STOCK FLAT E[P/L] P/L @ CAP
$56.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +26.6% $0.67 $160.00 0.12 1.60σ 95% $6,757 $-14,645 $-13,938 $-1,727
$45.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +1.7% $4.55 $4,040 0.55 0.19σ 57% $-1,457 $-10,765 $-10,414 $-9,940
$57.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +28.8% $1.24 $730.00 0.21 1.18σ 88% $8,426 $-14,075 $-12,408 $-57.07
$58.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +31.1% $1.12 $610.00 0.19 1.25σ 90% $9,406 $-14,195 $-12,609 $922.37
$59.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +33.3% $0.97 $460.00 0.18 1.33σ 91% $10,355 $-14,345 $-12,848 $1,872
$60.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +35.6% $0.94 $430.00 0.16 1.40σ 92% $11,424 $-14,375 $-12,976 $2,941
$63.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +42.4% $1.60 $1,090 0.12 1.61σ 95% $15,383 $-13,715 $-12,618 $6,900
$70.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +58.2% $0.43 $-85.00 0.05 2.05σ 98% $21,904 $-14,890 $-14,324 $13,421
30d $46.00 ✗<CC-safe Aug 07 '26 25d +4.0% $4.60 $4,090 0.52 0.28σ 61% $-307.78 $-10,715 $-9,964 $-8,791
30d $57.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 07 '26 25d +28.8% $2.18 $1,670 0.25 1.08σ 86% $9,366 $-13,135 $-11,164 $882.93
30d $58.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 07 '26 25d +31.1% $1.50 $995.00 0.23 1.14σ 87% $9,791 $-13,810 $-11,889 $1,307
30d $60.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 07 '26 25d +35.6% $1.23 $725.00 0.19 1.26σ 90% $11,719 $-14,080 $-12,288 $3,236
30d $65.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 07 '26 25d +46.9% $0.93 $420.00 0.13 1.55σ 94% $16,912 $-14,385 $-12,998 $8,428
30d $46.00 ✗<CC-safe Aug 14 '26 32d +4.0% $4.58 $4,065 0.53 0.28σ 61% $-332.78 $-10,740 $-9,989 $-8,816
30d $57.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 14 '26 32d +28.8% $1.61 $1,100 0.27 1.00σ 84% $8,796 $-13,705 $-11,489 $312.93
30d $58.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 14 '26 32d +31.1% $1.72 $1,210 0.25 1.06σ 86% $10,006 $-13,595 $-11,408 $1,522
30d $60.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 14 '26 32d +35.6% $1.88 $1,365 0.22 1.17σ 88% $12,359 $-13,440 $-11,345 $3,876
30d $65.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 14 '26 32d +46.9% $0.98 $470.00 0.16 1.42σ 92% $16,962 $-14,335 $-12,553 $8,478
▾ show 1 more Aug 14 '26 row(s)
⚠ 43 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
Roll-down suggestions
PICKACTIONEXPIRY · STRIKEMIDΔσSURV%NET CREDITFLATCAPE[P/L]NOTES
RISKY HARVESTroll down to 10×Jul 17 '26
$49.00C · 4d
✗ NOT CC-safe ($-904.00 if capped)
$0.660.241.23σ89%+$150.00$-14,655$-9,433$-14,082⚠ locks in $904.00 ($0.90/sh) loss if capped
ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
  STRIKE EXPIRY DTE %OTM MID NET CREDIT $ Δ SIGMA SURV% CAP GAIN STOCK FLAT E[P/L] P/L @ CAP
$49.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +10.7% $0.66 $150.00 0.24 1.23σ 89% $-949.45 $-14,655 $-14,082 $-9,433
$49.50 ✗<CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +11.9% $0.49 $-15.00 0.22 1.34σ 91% $-564.72 $-14,820 $-14,298 $-9,048
⚠ 7 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Main:1299 · IREN · 20c · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS

MARKET
STOCK$39.92entry ~$45.00 · -11.3%
CURRENT CC$50.00Jul 17 '26 · 4d
CC STATUSOTM -20.2%2.05σ · 98% surv · T:4%
BUYBACK-$600.00
STRUCTURE
BE SAFE STRIKE$44.00-9.3% · reference
CC-SAFE STRIKE$47.23+18.3% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-12,590
SCENARIOS
HOLD FLAT$-12,590
HOLD @ $50.00$4,923
RIDE E[P/L]$-12,235
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/pt
SIZE
SYNTH Δ0.87
SHARES2,000
Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (4d) · Jul 24 '26 (11d) · Jul 31 '26 (18d) · Aug 07 '26 (25d) · Aug 14 '26 (32d)
Forward roll suggestions
PICKACTIONEXPIRY · STRIKEMIDΔσSURV%NET CREDITFLATCAPE[P/L]NOTES
BEST EV (≥65% SURV)
▸ if challenged
roll to 20×Jul 31 '26
$43.00C · 18d
✓ CC-safe
$4.420.500.42σ66%+$8,240$-4,350$1,001$-2,539
SAFEST VIABLE
▸ if challenged
roll to 20×Jul 31 '26
$50.00C · 18d
✓ CC-safe
$1.780.291.01σ84%+$2,970$-9,620$7,893$-6,871
ALSO CONSIDER
(within 30d)
roll to 20×Aug 14 '26
$44.00C · 32d
✓ CC-safe
$4.770.500.46σ68%+$8,940$-3,650$3,438$-1,351+47% E[P/L] vs 20d · +14d
ALSO CONSIDER
(within 30d)
roll to 20×Aug 14 '26
$45.00C · 32d
✓ CC-safe
$4.030.101.39σ92%+$7,450$-5,140$3,686$-4,418+8pp surv vs 20d · +14d
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
  STRIKE EXPIRY DTE %OTM MID NET CREDIT $ Δ SIGMA SURV% CAP GAIN STOCK FLAT E[P/L] P/L @ CAP
$42.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +5.2% $3.47 $6,340 0.51 0.36σ 64% $-7,559 $-6,250 $-4,949 $-2,636
$46.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +15.2% $1.85 $3,110 0.34 0.84σ 80% $-3,839 $-9,480 $-7,356 $1,083
$47.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +17.7% $1.61 $2,630 0.31 0.95σ 83% $-2,582 $-9,960 $-7,862 $2,340
$48.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +20.2% $1.38 $2,150 0.27 1.06σ 86% $-1,325 $-10,440 $-8,423 $3,598
$49.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +22.7% $1.21 $1,820 0.24 1.17σ 88% $82.65 $-10,770 $-8,871 $5,005
▾ show 10 more Jul 24 '26 row(s)
$42.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +5.2% $4.32 $8,040 0.53 0.33σ 63% $-5,859 $-4,550 $-3,204 $-936.31
$43.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +7.7% $4.42 $8,240 0.50 0.42σ 66% $-3,921 $-4,350 $-2,539 $1,001
$45.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +12.7% $3.17 $5,740 0.43 0.59σ 72% $-2,947 $-6,850 $-4,411 $1,976
$46.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +15.2% $2.86 $5,120 0.40 0.68σ 75% $-1,829 $-7,470 $-4,848 $3,093
$47.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +17.7% $2.51 $4,420 0.37 0.76σ 78% $-792.06 $-8,170 $-5,436 $4,130
$48.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +20.2% $2.44 $4,290 0.34 0.85σ 80% $815.29 $-8,300 $-5,515 $5,738
$50.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +25.3% $1.78 $2,970 0.29 1.01σ 84% $2,970 $-9,620 $-6,871 $7,893
▾ show 18 more Jul 31 '26 row(s)
30d $42.00 ✗<CC-safe Aug 07 '26 25d +5.2% $5.37 $10,140 0.54 0.32σ 63% $-3,759 $-2,450 $-1,096 $1,164
30d $44.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 07 '26 25d +10.2% $4.62 $8,640 0.48 0.47σ 68% $-1,784 $-3,950 $-1,694 $3,138
30d $45.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 07 '26 25d +12.7% $3.87 $7,140 0.45 0.55σ 71% $-1,547 $-5,450 $-2,872 $3,376
30d $46.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 07 '26 25d +15.2% $3.50 $6,390 0.43 0.62σ 73% $-559.41 $-6,200 $-3,373 $4,363
30d $47.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 07 '26 25d +17.7% $2.94 $5,280 0.40 0.69σ 76% $67.94 $-7,310 $-4,301 $4,990
▾ show 17 more Aug 07 '26 row(s)
30d $43.00 ✗<CC-safe Aug 14 '26 32d +7.7% $4.92 $9,240 0.53 0.39σ 65% $-2,921 $-3,350 $-1,482 $2,001
$44.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 14 '26 32d +10.2% $4.77 $8,940 0.50 0.46σ 68% $-1,484 $-3,650 $-1,351 $3,438
$45.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 14 '26 32d +12.7% $4.03 $7,450 0.10 1.39σ 92% $-1,237 $-5,140 $-4,418 $3,686
30d $46.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 14 '26 32d +15.2% $4.00 $7,390 0.45 0.59σ 72% $440.59 $-5,200 $-2,255 $5,363
30d $47.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 14 '26 32d +17.7% $3.57 $6,540 0.43 0.65σ 74% $1,328 $-6,050 $-2,880 $6,250
30d $48.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 14 '26 32d +20.2% $3.58 $6,570 0.40 0.71σ 76% $3,095 $-6,020 $-2,679 $8,018
30d $49.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 14 '26 32d +22.7% $3.62 $6,650 0.38 0.77σ 78% $4,913 $-5,940 $-2,479 $9,835
▾ show 5 more Aug 14 '26 row(s)
⚠ 5 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
Roll-down suggestions
PICKACTIONEXPIRY · STRIKEMIDΔσSURV%NET CREDITFLATCAPE[P/L]NOTES
BEST EV (≥65% SURV)roll down to 20×Jul 17 '26
$47.00C · 4d
✓ CC-safe
$0.670.211.51σ93%+$730.00$-11,860$440.46$-11,057
SAFEST VIABLEroll down to 20×Jul 17 '26
$48.00C · 4d
✓ CC-safe
$0.510.171.70σ96%+$420.00$-12,170$1,868$-11,541
RISKY HARVESTroll down to 20×Jul 17 '26
$46.00C · 4d
✗ NOT CC-safe ($-24.00 if capped)
$0.890.251.32σ91%+$1,170$-11,420$-856.90$-10,432⚠ locks in $24.00 ($0.01/sh) loss if capped
ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
  STRIKE EXPIRY DTE %OTM MID NET CREDIT $ Δ SIGMA SURV% CAP GAIN STOCK FLAT E[P/L] P/L @ CAP
$39.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d -2.3% $3.85 $7,110 0.66 -0.14σ 50% $-10,403 $-5,480 $-5,480 $-5,480
$46.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +15.2% $0.89 $1,170 0.25 1.32σ 91% $-5,779 $-11,420 $-10,432 $-856.90
$47.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +17.7% $0.67 $730.00 0.21 1.51σ 93% $-4,482 $-11,860 $-11,057 $440.46
$48.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +20.2% $0.51 $420.00 0.17 1.70σ 96% $-3,055 $-12,170 $-11,541 $1,868
$49.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +22.7% $0.40 $190.00 0.14 1.88σ 97% $-1,547 $-12,400 $-11,922 $3,375
$50.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +25.3% $0.30 $0.00 0.11 2.05σ 98% $0.00 $-12,590 $-12,234 $4,923
$51.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +27.8% $0.23 $-130.00 0.09 2.21σ 99% $1,607 $-12,720 $-12,460 $6,530
$52.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +30.3% $0.18 $-240.00 0.07 2.37σ 99% $3,235 $-12,830 $-12,641 $8,157
▾ show 1 more Jul 17 '26 row(s)
⚠ 6 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Joint:1782 · IREN · 20c · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS

MARKET
STOCK$39.92entry ~$45.00 · -11.3%
CURRENT CC$50.00Jul 17 '26 · 4d
CC STATUSOTM -20.2%2.05σ · 98% surv · T:4%
BUYBACK-$600.00
STRUCTURE
BE SAFE STRIKE$44.00-9.3% · reference
CC-SAFE STRIKE$47.23+18.3% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-12,590
SCENARIOS
HOLD FLAT$-12,590
HOLD @ $50.00$4,923
RIDE E[P/L]$-12,235
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/pt
SIZE
SYNTH Δ0.87
SHARES2,000
Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (4d) · Jul 24 '26 (11d) · Jul 31 '26 (18d) · Aug 07 '26 (25d) · Aug 14 '26 (32d)
Forward roll suggestions
PICKACTIONEXPIRY · STRIKEMIDΔσSURV%NET CREDITFLATCAPE[P/L]NOTES
BEST EV (≥65% SURV)
▸ if challenged
roll to 20×Jul 31 '26
$43.00C · 18d
✓ CC-safe
$4.420.500.42σ66%+$8,240$-4,350$1,001$-2,539
SAFEST VIABLE
▸ if challenged
roll to 20×Jul 31 '26
$50.00C · 18d
✓ CC-safe
$1.780.291.01σ84%+$2,970$-9,620$7,893$-6,871
ALSO CONSIDER
(within 30d)
roll to 20×Aug 14 '26
$44.00C · 32d
✓ CC-safe
$4.770.500.46σ68%+$8,940$-3,650$3,438$-1,351+47% E[P/L] vs 20d · +14d
ALSO CONSIDER
(within 30d)
roll to 20×Aug 14 '26
$45.00C · 32d
✓ CC-safe
$4.030.101.39σ92%+$7,450$-5,140$3,686$-4,418+8pp surv vs 20d · +14d
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
  STRIKE EXPIRY DTE %OTM MID NET CREDIT $ Δ SIGMA SURV% CAP GAIN STOCK FLAT E[P/L] P/L @ CAP
$42.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +5.2% $3.47 $6,340 0.51 0.36σ 64% $-7,559 $-6,250 $-4,949 $-2,636
$46.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +15.2% $1.85 $3,110 0.34 0.84σ 80% $-3,839 $-9,480 $-7,356 $1,083
$47.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +17.7% $1.61 $2,630 0.31 0.95σ 83% $-2,582 $-9,960 $-7,862 $2,340
$48.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +20.2% $1.38 $2,150 0.27 1.06σ 86% $-1,325 $-10,440 $-8,423 $3,598
$49.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +22.7% $1.21 $1,820 0.24 1.17σ 88% $82.65 $-10,770 $-8,871 $5,005
▾ show 10 more Jul 24 '26 row(s)
$42.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +5.2% $4.32 $8,040 0.53 0.33σ 63% $-5,859 $-4,550 $-3,204 $-936.31
$43.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +7.7% $4.42 $8,240 0.50 0.42σ 66% $-3,921 $-4,350 $-2,539 $1,001
$45.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +12.7% $3.17 $5,740 0.43 0.59σ 72% $-2,947 $-6,850 $-4,411 $1,976
$46.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +15.2% $2.86 $5,120 0.40 0.68σ 75% $-1,829 $-7,470 $-4,848 $3,093
$47.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +17.7% $2.51 $4,420 0.37 0.76σ 78% $-792.06 $-8,170 $-5,436 $4,130
$48.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +20.2% $2.44 $4,290 0.34 0.85σ 80% $815.29 $-8,300 $-5,515 $5,738
$50.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +25.3% $1.78 $2,970 0.29 1.01σ 84% $2,970 $-9,620 $-6,871 $7,893
▾ show 18 more Jul 31 '26 row(s)
30d $42.00 ✗<CC-safe Aug 07 '26 25d +5.2% $5.37 $10,140 0.54 0.32σ 63% $-3,759 $-2,450 $-1,096 $1,164
30d $44.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 07 '26 25d +10.2% $4.62 $8,640 0.48 0.47σ 68% $-1,784 $-3,950 $-1,694 $3,138
30d $45.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 07 '26 25d +12.7% $3.87 $7,140 0.45 0.55σ 71% $-1,547 $-5,450 $-2,872 $3,376
30d $46.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 07 '26 25d +15.2% $3.50 $6,390 0.43 0.62σ 73% $-559.41 $-6,200 $-3,373 $4,363
30d $47.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 07 '26 25d +17.7% $2.94 $5,280 0.40 0.69σ 76% $67.94 $-7,310 $-4,301 $4,990
▾ show 17 more Aug 07 '26 row(s)
30d $43.00 ✗<CC-safe Aug 14 '26 32d +7.7% $4.92 $9,240 0.53 0.39σ 65% $-2,921 $-3,350 $-1,482 $2,001
$44.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 14 '26 32d +10.2% $4.77 $8,940 0.50 0.46σ 68% $-1,484 $-3,650 $-1,351 $3,438
$45.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 14 '26 32d +12.7% $4.03 $7,450 0.10 1.39σ 92% $-1,237 $-5,140 $-4,418 $3,686
30d $46.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 14 '26 32d +15.2% $4.00 $7,390 0.45 0.59σ 72% $440.59 $-5,200 $-2,255 $5,363
30d $47.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 14 '26 32d +17.7% $3.57 $6,540 0.43 0.65σ 74% $1,328 $-6,050 $-2,880 $6,250
30d $48.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 14 '26 32d +20.2% $3.58 $6,570 0.40 0.71σ 76% $3,095 $-6,020 $-2,679 $8,018
30d $49.00 ✓CC-safe Aug 14 '26 32d +22.7% $3.62 $6,650 0.38 0.77σ 78% $4,913 $-5,940 $-2,479 $9,835
▾ show 5 more Aug 14 '26 row(s)
⚠ 5 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
Roll-down suggestions
PICKACTIONEXPIRY · STRIKEMIDΔσSURV%NET CREDITFLATCAPE[P/L]NOTES
BEST EV (≥65% SURV)roll down to 20×Jul 17 '26
$47.00C · 4d
✓ CC-safe
$0.670.211.51σ93%+$730.00$-11,860$440.46$-11,057
SAFEST VIABLEroll down to 20×Jul 17 '26
$48.00C · 4d
✓ CC-safe
$0.510.171.70σ96%+$420.00$-12,170$1,868$-11,541
RISKY HARVESTroll down to 20×Jul 17 '26
$46.00C · 4d
✗ NOT CC-safe ($-24.00 if capped)
$0.890.251.32σ91%+$1,170$-11,420$-856.90$-10,432⚠ locks in $24.00 ($0.01/sh) loss if capped
ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
  STRIKE EXPIRY DTE %OTM MID NET CREDIT $ Δ SIGMA SURV% CAP GAIN STOCK FLAT E[P/L] P/L @ CAP
$39.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d -2.3% $3.85 $7,110 0.66 -0.14σ 50% $-10,403 $-5,480 $-5,480 $-5,480
$46.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +15.2% $0.89 $1,170 0.25 1.32σ 91% $-5,779 $-11,420 $-10,432 $-856.90
$47.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +17.7% $0.67 $730.00 0.21 1.51σ 93% $-4,482 $-11,860 $-11,057 $440.46
$48.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +20.2% $0.51 $420.00 0.17 1.70σ 96% $-3,055 $-12,170 $-11,541 $1,868
$49.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +22.7% $0.40 $190.00 0.14 1.88σ 97% $-1,547 $-12,400 $-11,922 $3,375
$50.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +25.3% $0.30 $0.00 0.11 2.05σ 98% $0.00 $-12,590 $-12,234 $4,923
$51.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +27.8% $0.23 $-130.00 0.09 2.21σ 99% $1,607 $-12,720 $-12,460 $6,530
$52.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +30.3% $0.18 $-240.00 0.07 2.37σ 99% $3,235 $-12,830 $-12,641 $8,157
▾ show 1 more Jul 17 '26 row(s)
⚠ 6 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Main:1299 · COIN · 8c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS

MARKET
STOCK$156.10entry ~$211.00 · -26.0%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
BE SAFE STRIKE$210.90-26.0% · reference
CC-SAFE STRIKE$214.69+37.5% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-52,236
SCENARIOS
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$109/pt
SIZE
SYNTH Δ1.14
SHARES800
Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (4d) · Jul 24 '26 (11d) · Jul 31 '26 (18d)
New CC suggestions
PICKACTIONEXPIRY · STRIKEMIDΔσSURV%CREDITFLATCAPE[P/L]NOTES
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLEsell Jul 31 '26
$215.00C · 18d
✓ CC-safe
$0.910.071.89σ97%+$728.00$-51,508$2,052$-49,939
CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
  STRIKE EXPIRY DTE %OTM MID CREDIT $ Δ SIGMA SURV% CAP GAIN STOCK FLAT E[P/L] P/L @ CAP
$190.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +21.7% $0.37 $296.00 0.05 2.48σ 99% $31,123 $-51,940 $-51,740 $-21,113
$205.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +31.3% $0.57 $460.00 0.06 2.10σ 98% $44,927 $-51,776 $-50,976 $-7,309
$170.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +8.9% $7.34 $5,872 0.40 0.59σ 72% $18,512 $-46,364 $-42,875 $-33,724
$215.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +37.7% $0.91 $728.00 0.07 1.89σ 97% $54,288 $-51,508 $-49,939 $2,052
$220.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +40.9% $0.74 $592.00 0.06 2.00σ 98% $58,699 $-51,644 $-50,331 $6,463
⚠ 33 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Neville:0865 · IREN · 20c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS

MARKET
STOCK$39.92entry ~$58.25 · -31.5%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
BE SAFE STRIKE$56.50-29.3% · reference
CC-SAFE STRIKE$57.79+44.8% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-38,160
SCENARIOS
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$156/pt
SIZE
SYNTH Δ1.08
SHARES2,000
Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (4d) · Jul 24 '26 (11d) · Jul 31 '26 (18d)
New CC suggestions
PICKACTIONEXPIRY · STRIKEMIDΔσSURV%CREDITFLATCAPE[P/L]NOTES
BEST EV (≥65% SURV)sell 20×Jul 31 '26
$58.00C · 18d
✓ CC-safe
$0.730.141.57σ94%+$1,460$-36,700$2,284$-34,451
SAFEST VIABLEsell 20×Jul 31 '26
$67.00C · 18d
✓ CC-safe
$0.460.062.10σ98%+$920.00$-37,240$21,150$-36,207
CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
  STRIKE EXPIRY DTE %OTM MID CREDIT $ Δ SIGMA SURV% CAP GAIN STOCK FLAT E[P/L] P/L @ CAP
$53.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +32.8% $0.14 $270.00 0.06 2.51σ 99% $28,473 $-37,890 $-37,721 $-9,687
$45.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +12.7% $2.18 $4,360 0.38 0.72σ 76% $15,313 $-33,800 $-31,220 $-22,847
$58.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +45.3% $0.26 $520.00 0.07 2.02σ 98% $39,504 $-37,640 $-36,798 $1,344
$59.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +47.8% $0.33 $660.00 0.06 2.10σ 98% $41,800 $-37,500 $-36,768 $3,640
$60.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +50.3% $0.18 $370.00 0.06 2.18σ 99% $43,666 $-37,790 $-37,154 $5,506
$46.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +15.2% $2.86 $5,720 0.40 0.68σ 75% $18,830 $-32,440 $-29,186 $-19,330
$58.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +45.3% $0.73 $1,460 0.14 1.57σ 94% $40,444 $-36,700 $-34,451 $2,284
$59.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +47.8% $0.63 $1,260 0.13 1.64σ 95% $42,400 $-36,900 $-34,814 $4,240
$60.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +50.3% $0.57 $1,130 0.11 1.70σ 96% $44,426 $-37,030 $-35,103 $6,266
$61.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +52.8% $0.29 $580.00 0.10 1.76σ 96% $46,032 $-37,580 $-35,803 $7,872
$62.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +55.3% $0.51 $1,020 0.09 1.82σ 97% $48,629 $-37,140 $-35,507 $10,469
$67.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +67.8% $0.46 $920.00 0.06 2.10σ 98% $59,310 $-37,240 $-36,207 $21,150
▾ show 4 more Jul 31 '26 row(s)
⚠ 32 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

RetireInc:7291 · COIN · 3c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS

MARKET
STOCK$156.10entry ~$185.00 · -15.6%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
BE SAFE STRIKE$182.40-14.4% · reference
CC-SAFE STRIKE$187.59+20.2% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-10,370
SCENARIOS
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$38/pt
SIZE
SYNTH Δ1.13
SHARES300
Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (4d) · Jul 24 '26 (11d) · Jul 31 '26 (18d)
New CC suggestions
PICKACTIONEXPIRY · STRIKEMIDΔσSURV%CREDITFLATCAPE[P/L]NOTES
BEST EV (≥65% SURV)sell Jul 31 '26
$185.00C · 18d
✓ CC-safe
$3.720.231.09σ86%+$1,116$-9,254$500.93$-7,909
SAFEST VIABLEsell Jul 31 '26
$210.00C · 18d
✓ CC-safe
$1.260.091.77σ96%+$378.00$-9,992$8,201$-9,300
CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
  STRIKE EXPIRY DTE %OTM MID CREDIT $ Δ SIGMA SURV% CAP GAIN STOCK FLAT E[P/L] P/L @ CAP
$165.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +5.7% $3.59 $1,077 0.37 0.82σ 79% $4,081 $-9,292 $-8,676 $-6,289
$187.50 ✓CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +20.1% $0.45 $135.00 0.07 2.36σ 99% $10,733 $-10,234 $-10,138 $363.74
$190.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +21.7% $0.37 $111.00 0.05 2.48σ 99% $11,553 $-10,258 $-10,184 $1,184
$167.50 ✗<CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +7.3% $5.37 $1,610 0.38 0.65σ 74% $5,457 $-8,760 $-7,770 $-4,912
$187.50 ✓CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +20.1% $1.57 $469.50 0.14 1.53σ 94% $11,068 $-9,900 $-9,234 $698.24
$190.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +21.7% $1.37 $411.00 0.12 1.63σ 95% $11,853 $-9,958 $-9,362 $1,484
$195.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +24.9% $0.94 $282.00 0.09 1.80σ 96% $13,412 $-10,088 $-9,615 $3,042
$200.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +28.1% $0.74 $223.50 0.07 1.96σ 97% $15,041 $-10,146 $-9,773 $4,671
▾ show 1 more Jul 24 '26 row(s)
$170.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +8.9% $7.34 $2,202 0.40 0.59σ 72% $6,894 $-8,168 $-6,873 $-3,476
$185.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +18.5% $3.72 $1,116 0.23 1.09σ 86% $10,870 $-9,254 $-7,909 $500.93
$187.50 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +20.1% $3.52 $1,054 0.22 1.17σ 88% $11,653 $-9,315 $-8,025 $1,283
$190.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +21.7% $3.84 $1,152 0.19 1.24σ 89% $12,594 $-9,218 $-7,990 $2,225
$195.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +24.9% $1.85 $556.50 0.16 1.38σ 92% $13,686 $-9,813 $-8,722 $3,317
$200.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +28.1% $1.91 $571.50 0.13 1.52σ 94% $15,389 $-9,798 $-8,848 $5,019
$210.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +34.5% $1.26 $378.00 0.09 1.77σ 96% $18,571 $-9,992 $-9,300 $8,201
▾ show 3 more Jul 31 '26 row(s)
⚠ 19 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

RetireInc:7291 · IREN · 20c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS

MARKET
STOCK$39.92entry ~$65.00 · -38.6%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
BE SAFE STRIKE$63.43-37.1% · reference
CC-SAFE STRIKE$66.24+65.9% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-54,740
SCENARIOS
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$61/pt
SIZE
SYNTH Δ1.03
SHARES2,000
Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (4d) · Jul 24 '26 (11d) · Jul 31 '26 (18d)
New CC suggestions
PICKACTIONEXPIRY · STRIKEMIDΔσSURV%CREDITFLATCAPE[P/L]NOTES
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLEsell 20×Jul 31 '26
$67.00C · 18d
✓ CC-safe
$0.460.062.10σ98%+$920.00$-53,820$1,999$-52,832
CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
  STRIKE EXPIRY DTE %OTM MID CREDIT $ Δ SIGMA SURV% CAP GAIN STOCK FLAT E[P/L] P/L @ CAP
$53.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 17 '26 4d +32.8% $0.14 $270.00 0.06 2.51σ 99% $27,231 $-54,470 $-54,308 $-27,509
$60.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 24 '26 11d +50.3% $0.18 $370.00 0.06 2.18σ 99% $41,760 $-54,370 $-53,762 $-12,980
$46.00 ✗<CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +15.2% $2.86 $5,720 0.40 0.68σ 75% $18,252 $-49,020 $-45,909 $-36,488
$66.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +65.3% $0.36 $720.00 0.06 2.05σ 98% $54,478 $-54,020 $-52,934 $-262.36
$67.00 ✓CC-safe Jul 31 '26 18d +67.8% $0.46 $920.00 0.06 2.10σ 98% $56,739 $-53,820 $-52,832 $1,999
⚠ 43 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
Safe Strike = max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2) Decisions driven by CC status + LC runway + sigma survival + proactive rolls (v1.2) Read-only — review each action in TWS before trading python3 fortress_rebuild.py --help
● LIVE IBKR · as of 12:41:04 · 7 fortress(es) · auto-refresh 15s · weekly-gate / BB panels reflect bootstrap telemetry (yfinance close), not the live spot