Fortress Rebuild Dashboard

FORTRESS REBUILDLifecycle Manager v1.3

Cutoff: LEAPS expiring by none (all fortresses)
Accounts: Main:1299, Neville:0865, RetireInc:7291, Joint:1782

8 fortress structure(s) scanned · 4 account(s)

✓ SKIP: 8

▼ CC SUGGESTIONS: 5 uncapped + 3 capped + 3 roll-down

UNCAPPEDCOIN COIN IREN IREN MSTR

CAPPEDENPH IREN IREN

PORTFOLIO ROLLUP8 fortress(es)

CAPITAL LOCKED$115,180

CLOSE P/L−$229,690

STOCK FLAT−$227,980

STOCK @ CAP−$190,604

CC INC/MO$8,550

Summary · sorted by urgency

ACCOUNT	TICKER · CT	STOCK	CC STRIKE	CC EXPIRY	EARN	CC STATUS	CC SURV%	OUTLOOK	Δ$/DAY	STOCK FLAT	STOCK @ CAP	DECISION
RetireInc:7291	ENPH · 10c	$44.94	$50.00	Jul 17 '26 (6d)	18d	OTM -10.1%	85% T:30%	safe let theta work	+$85/d	−$14,805	−$9,242 @ $50.00	✓ SKIP →
Main:1299	IREN · 20c	$40.83	$50.00	Jul 17 '26 (6d)	—	OTM -18.3%	94% T:13%	safe let theta work	+$100/d	−$12,650	+$3,276 @ $50.00	✓ SKIP →
Joint:1782	IREN · 20c	$40.83	$50.00	Jul 17 '26 (6d)	—	OTM -18.3%	94% T:13%	safe let theta work	+$100/d	−$12,650	+$3,236 @ $50.00	✓ SKIP →
Main:1299	COIN · 8c	$159.80	—	—	20d	NO CC	—	—	—	−$52,332	—	✓ SKIP →
Neville:0865	IREN · 20c	$40.83	—	—	—	NO CC	—	—	—	−$38,260	—	✓ SKIP →
RetireInc:7291	MSTR · 4c	$94.90	—	—	20d	NO CC	—	—	—	−$32,040	—	✓ SKIP →
RetireInc:7291	COIN · 3c	$159.80	—	—	20d	NO CC	—	—	—	−$10,402	—	✓ SKIP →
RetireInc:7291	IREN · 20c	$40.83	—	—	—	NO CC	—	—	—	−$54,840	—	✓ SKIP →

✓ SKIP ENPH · 10c · RetireInc:7291

MARKET

STOCK$44.94entry ~$59.00 · -23.8%

CURRENT CC$50.00Jul 17 '26 · 6d

CC STATUSOTM -10.1%1.05σ · 85% surv · T:30%

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$56.15-24.9% vs spot

CC-SAFE STRIKE$58.66+30.5% vs spot

NET DEBIT *$7.30

CAP LOCKED *$7,300

LC DTE559d

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-14,805

CC BUYBACK-$510.00

CLOSE P/L$-15,315

SCENARIOS

STOCK FLAT$-14,805

STOCK @ $50.00$-9,242

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$99/pt+0.10δ/sh

CC INC/MO$2,550

WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 50 · RSI 50 · MACD bearish (falling) · 1σw 14.4%

Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $56.15.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.

ROUTES · expected value of each path

ROUTE	STOCK FLAT	@ CAP	E[P/L]	SURV / TOUCH	NOTES
CLOSE ALL	−$15,315	−$15,315	−$15,315	— / —	lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC	−$14,805	−$9,242	−$13,992	85% / 30%	ride to Jul 17 '26 (6d)
UNCAP	−$15,315	—	—	— / —	buy back CC $510.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +1099 $/pt)

REASON CC $50.00 is 10.1% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.51/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-14,805 · at cap $-9,242. Next round in 6d: sell ~$46.50 (~0.20/sh). Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $65.15. See BB ZONE in roll table below.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$45.00	Jan 21 '28	559d	$19.43	0.72	-0.016	$0.00	$19.43	100% extr delta 0.72
SP	$60.00	Jan 21 '28	559d	$27.10	0.40	-0.013	$15.06	$12.04	ITM 25.1% ITM
HP	$20.00	Sep 18 '26	69d	$0.17	0.02	-0.006	$0.00	$0.17	DEAD floor 45%
CC	$50.00	Jul 17 '26	6d	$0.51	0.19	-0.109	$0.00	$0.51	OTM 10.1% OTM · 1.05σ (85%) · close $510.00

✓ SKIP IREN · 20c · Main:1299

MARKET

STOCK$40.83entry ~$45.00 · -9.3%

CURRENT CC$50.00Jul 17 '26 · 6d

CC STATUSOTM -18.3%1.53σ · 94% surv · T:13%

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$44.00-7.8% vs spot

CC-SAFE STRIKE$48.18+18.0% vs spot

NET DEBIT *$16.00

CAP LOCKED *$32,000

LC DTE559d

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-12,650

CC BUYBACK-$600.00

CLOSE P/L$-13,250

SCENARIOS

STOCK FLAT$-12,650

STOCK @ $50.00$3,276

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.87

CC INC/MO$3,000

WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 33 · RSI 46 · MACD bearish (falling) · 1σw 15.2%

Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $63.43.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.

ROUTES · expected value of each path

ROUTE	STOCK FLAT	@ CAP	E[P/L]	SURV / TOUCH	NOTES
CLOSE ALL	−$13,250	−$13,250	−$13,250	— / —	lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC	−$12,650	+$3,276	−$11,652	94% / 13%	ride to Jul 17 '26 (6d)
UNCAP	−$13,250	—	—	— / —	buy back CC $600.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +1736 $/pt)

REASON CC $50.00 is 18.3% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.30/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-12,650 · at cap $3,276. Next round in 6d: sell ~$42.00 (~0.18/sh). Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $65.71. See BB ZONE in roll table below.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$25.00	Jan 21 '28	559d	$26.02	0.86	-0.012	$15.83	$10.20	39% extr delta 0.86
SP	$47.00	Jan 21 '28	559d	$22.52	0.29	-0.013	$6.17	$16.35	ITM 13.1% ITM
HP	$35.00	Oct 16 '26	97d	$6.17	0.28	-0.041	$0.00	$6.17	ACTIVE floor 86%
CC	$50.00	Jul 17 '26	6d	$0.30	0.11	-0.084	$0.00	$0.30	OTM 18.3% OTM · 1.53σ (94%) · close $600.00

✓ SKIP IREN · 20c · Joint:1782

MARKET

STOCK$40.83entry ~$45.00 · -9.3%

CURRENT CC$50.00Jul 17 '26 · 6d

CC STATUSOTM -18.3%1.53σ · 94% surv · T:13%

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$44.00-7.8% vs spot

CC-SAFE STRIKE$48.18+18.0% vs spot

NET DEBIT *$16.00

CAP LOCKED *$32,000

LC DTE559d

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-12,650

CC BUYBACK-$600.00

CLOSE P/L$-13,250

SCENARIOS

STOCK FLAT$-12,650

STOCK @ $50.00$3,236

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.87

CC INC/MO$3,000

WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 33 · RSI 46 · MACD bearish (falling) · 1σw 15.2%

ROUTES · expected value of each path

ROUTE	STOCK FLAT	@ CAP	E[P/L]	SURV / TOUCH	NOTES
CLOSE ALL	−$13,250	−$13,250	−$13,250	— / —	lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC	−$12,650	+$3,236	−$11,655	94% / 13%	ride to Jul 17 '26 (6d)
UNCAP	−$13,250	—	—	— / —	buy back CC $600.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +1732 $/pt)

REASON CC $50.00 is 18.3% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.30/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-12,650 · at cap $3,236. Next round in 6d: sell ~$42.00 (~0.18/sh). Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $65.71. See BB ZONE in roll table below.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$25.00	Jan 21 '28	559d	$26.02	0.86	-0.012	$15.83	$10.20	39% extr delta 0.86
SP	$47.00	Jan 21 '28	559d	$22.61	0.29	-0.013	$6.17	$16.44	ITM 13.1% ITM
HP	$35.00	Oct 16 '26	97d	$6.26	0.28	-0.041	$0.00	$6.26	ACTIVE floor 86%
CC	$50.00	Jul 17 '26	6d	$0.30	0.11	-0.084	$0.00	$0.30	OTM 18.3% OTM · 1.53σ (94%) · close $600.00

✓ SKIP COIN · 8c · Main:1299

MARKET

STOCK$159.80entry ~$211.00 · -24.3%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$210.90-32.0% vs spot

CC-SAFE STRIKE$218.48+36.7% vs spot

NET DEBIT *$16.80

CAP LOCKED *$13,440

LC DTE559d

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-52,332

CLOSE P/L$-52,332

SCENARIOS

STOCK FLAT—

STOCK @ CAP—

WEEKLY GATE · 🔵 PULLBACK %B 22 · RSI 40 · MACD bullish (rising) · 1σw 10.0%

Read: Cooling off inside the range. Good CC entry slightly OTM above spot, around the 1-sigma weekly move. Premium should be healthy because IV is usually elevated here. Suggested CC floor: $174.98.
Dashed line on chart: 20W MA (bounce target). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.

ROUTES · expected value of each path

ROUTE	STOCK FLAT	@ CAP	E[P/L]	SURV / TOUCH	NOTES
CLOSE ALL	−$52,332	−$52,332	−$52,332	— / —	lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)	−$52,332	—	—	— / —	gear mode, upside open

REASON No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.69, theta=$-0.053/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $179.18. See BB ZONE in roll table below.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$165.00	Jan 21 '28	559d	$60.60	0.69	-0.053	$0.00	$60.60	100% extr delta 0.69
SP	$240.00	Jan 21 '28	559d	$110.85	0.49	-0.039	$80.20	$30.65	ITM 33.4% ITM
HP	$85.00	Oct 16 '26	97d	$1.64	0.05	-0.031	$0.00	$1.64	ACTIVE floor 53%
CC	— not present —

✓ SKIP IREN · 20c · Neville:0865

MARKET

STOCK$40.83entry ~$58.25 · -29.9%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$56.50-38.4% vs spot

CC-SAFE STRIKE$58.76+43.9% vs spot

NET DEBIT *$3.00

CAP LOCKED *$6,000

LC DTE559d

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-38,260

CLOSE P/L$-38,260

SCENARIOS

STOCK FLAT—

STOCK @ CAP—

WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 33 · RSI 46 · MACD bearish (falling) · 1σw 15.2%

ROUTES · expected value of each path

ROUTE	STOCK FLAT	@ CAP	E[P/L]	SURV / TOUCH	NOTES
CLOSE ALL	−$38,260	−$38,260	−$38,260	— / —	lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)	−$38,260	—	—	— / —	gear mode, upside open

REASON No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.74, theta=$-0.017/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $65.71. See BB ZONE in roll table below.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$45.00	Jan 21 '28	559d	$19.57	0.74	-0.017	$0.00	$19.57	100% extr delta 0.74
SP	$65.00	Jan 21 '28	559d	$36.27	0.39	-0.014	$24.17	$12.10	ITM 37.2% ITM
HP	$21.00	Aug 21 '26	41d	$0.57	0.05	-0.020	$0.00	$0.57	ACTIVE floor 51%
CC	— not present —

✓ SKIP MSTR · 4c · RetireInc:7291

MARKET

STOCK$94.90entry ~$163.00 · -41.8%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$161.00-69.7% vs spot

CC-SAFE STRIKE$167.55+76.6% vs spot

NET DEBIT *$12.00

CAP LOCKED *$4,800

LC DTE559d

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-32,040

CLOSE P/L$-32,040

SCENARIOS

STOCK FLAT—

STOCK @ CAP—

WEEKLY GATE · 🔵 PULLBACK %B 13 · RSI 34 · MACD bearish (falling) · 1σw 12.7%

Read: Cooling off inside the range. Good CC entry slightly OTM above spot, around the 1-sigma weekly move. Premium should be healthy because IV is usually elevated here. Suggested CC floor: $106.63.
Dashed line on chart: 20W MA (bounce target). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.

ROUTES · expected value of each path

ROUTE	STOCK FLAT	@ CAP	E[P/L]	SURV / TOUCH	NOTES
CLOSE ALL	−$32,040	−$32,040	−$32,040	— / —	lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)	−$32,040	—	—	— / —	gear mode, upside open

REASON No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.64, theta=$-0.039/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $137.31. See BB ZONE in roll table below.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$125.00	Jan 21 '28	559d	$35.83	0.64	-0.039	$0.00	$35.83	100% extr delta 0.64
SP	$185.00	Jan 21 '28	559d	$105.70	0.54	-0.027	$90.10	$15.60	ITM 48.7% ITM
HP	$55.00	Sep 18 '26	69d	$1.77	0.08	-0.048	$0.00	$1.77	ACTIVE floor 58%
CC	— not present —

✓ SKIP COIN · 3c · RetireInc:7291

MARKET

STOCK$159.80entry ~$185.00 · -13.6%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$182.40-14.1% vs spot

CC-SAFE STRIKE$191.41+19.8% vs spot

NET DEBIT *$19.80

CAP LOCKED *$5,940

LC DTE559d

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-10,402

CLOSE P/L$-10,402

SCENARIOS

STOCK FLAT—

STOCK @ CAP—

WEEKLY GATE · 🔵 PULLBACK %B 22 · RSI 40 · MACD bullish (rising) · 1σw 10.0%

ROUTES · expected value of each path

ROUTE	STOCK FLAT	@ CAP	E[P/L]	SURV / TOUCH	NOTES
CLOSE ALL	−$10,402	−$10,402	−$10,402	— / —	lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)	−$10,402	—	—	— / —	gear mode, upside open

REASON No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.74, theta=$-0.050/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $179.18. See BB ZONE in roll table below.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$145.00	Jan 21 '28	559d	$65.00	0.74	-0.050	$14.80	$50.20	77% extr delta 0.74
SP	$200.00	Jan 21 '28	559d	$80.72	0.41	-0.040	$40.20	$40.53	ITM 20.1% ITM
HP	$75.00	Sep 18 '26	69d	$0.85	0.02	-0.020	$0.00	$0.85	DEAD floor 47%
CC	— not present —

✓ SKIP IREN · 20c · RetireInc:7291

MARKET

STOCK$40.83entry ~$65.00 · -37.2%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$63.43-55.4% vs spot

CC-SAFE STRIKE$67.18+64.5% vs spot

NET DEBIT *$6.85

CAP LOCKED *$13,700

LC DTE559d

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-54,840

CLOSE P/L$-54,840

SCENARIOS

STOCK FLAT—

STOCK @ CAP—

WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 33 · RSI 46 · MACD bearish (falling) · 1σw 15.2%

ROUTES · expected value of each path

ROUTE	STOCK FLAT	@ CAP	E[P/L]	SURV / TOUCH	NOTES
CLOSE ALL	−$54,840	−$54,840	−$54,840	— / —	lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)	−$54,840	—	—	— / —	gear mode, upside open

REASON No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.71, theta=$-0.018/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $65.71. See BB ZONE in roll table below.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$50.00	Jan 21 '28	559d	$18.52	0.71	-0.018	$0.00	$18.52	100% extr delta 0.71
SP	$70.00	Jan 21 '28	559d	$40.40	0.41	-0.014	$29.17	$11.23	ITM 41.7% ITM
HP	$23.00	Sep 18 '26	69d	$1.31	0.09	-0.025	$0.00	$1.31	ACTIVE floor 56%
CC	— not present —

    CC SUGGESTIONS
  

5 uncapped + 3 capped + 3 roll-down position(s) · expiries ≤ 20d · delta band 0.05–0.40 · up to 3 algorithmic picks per ticker (▶ EV · ● safest · ⚠ risky harvest, drawdown rolldowns only)

RetireInc:7291 · ENPH · 10c · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS

MARKET

STOCK$44.94entry ~$59.00 · -23.8%

CURRENT CC$50.00Jul 17 '26 · 6d

CC STATUSOTM -10.1%1.05σ · 85% surv · T:30%

BUYBACK-$510.00

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$56.15-20.0% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$58.66+30.5% vs spot

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-14,805

SCENARIOS

HOLD FLAT$-14,805

HOLD @ $50.00$-9,242

RIDE E[P/L]$-13,992

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$99/pt

SIZE

SYNTH Δ1.10

SHARES1,000

Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (6d) · Jul 24 '26 (13d) · Jul 31 '26 (20d) · Aug 07 '26 (27d) · Aug 14 '26 (34d)

WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 50 · RSI 50 · MACD bearish (falling) · 1σw 14.4%

Forward roll suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ ● BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE ▸ if challenged	roll to 10×	Jul 31 '26 $63.00C · 20d ✓ CC-safe	$1.61	0.12	1.48σ	93%	+$1,100	$-13,705	$6,151	$-12,331	—

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$63	7 Aug 2026	17d left	-$0.65/sh	-$650 cycle -$230 [-$950…+$120] · 30% credit	67% surv 54%	+$4,400 SAFE cap gain +$19,205

FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	BB ZONE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$56.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-14%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+24.6%	$0.67	$160.00	0.12	1.39σ	92%	$6,757	$-14,645	$-13,650	$-2,485
	$46.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-29%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+2.4%	$4.06	$3,550	0.52	0.22σ	59%	$-847.78	$-11,255	$-10,773	$-10,090
	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-11%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+29.1%	$1.14	$630.00	0.20	1.14σ	87%	$9,426	$-14,175	$-12,351	$183.76
	$59.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-9%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+31.3%	$0.99	$480.00	0.18	1.21σ	89%	$10,375	$-14,325	$-12,575	$1,133
	$60.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-8%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+33.5%	$0.96	$450.00	0.16	1.28σ	90%	$11,444	$-14,355	$-12,691	$2,203
▶ ●	$63.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-3%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+40.2%	$1.61	$1,100	0.12	1.48σ	93%	$15,393	$-13,705	$-12,331	$6,151
30d	$46.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-29%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+2.4%	$4.66	$4,150	0.53	0.22σ	59%	$-247.78	$-10,655	$-10,175	$-9,490
30d	$57.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-13%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+26.8%	$2.21	$1,700	0.25	0.99σ	84%	$9,396	$-13,105	$-10,976	$154.31
30d	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-11%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+29.1%	$1.52	$1,015	0.23	1.05σ	85%	$9,811	$-13,790	$-11,689	$568.76
30d	$60.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-8%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+33.5%	$1.25	$745.00	0.20	1.17σ	88%	$11,739	$-14,060	$-12,055	$2,498
30d	$65.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-0%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+44.6%	$0.94	$430.00	0.13	1.45σ	93%	$16,922	$-14,375	$-12,739	$7,680
30d	$46.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-29%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+2.4%	$4.63	$4,125	0.54	0.23σ	59%	$-272.78	$-10,680	$-10,202	$-9,515
30d	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-11%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+29.1%	$1.75	$1,240	0.26	0.99σ	84%	$10,036	$-13,565	$-11,239	$793.76
30d	$60.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-8%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+33.5%	$1.90	$1,385	0.23	1.09σ	86%	$12,379	$-13,420	$-11,152	$3,138
30d	$65.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-0%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+44.6%	$1.00	$490.00	0.16	1.34σ	91%	$16,982	$-14,315	$-12,312	$7,740
30d	$70.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 7% (+7%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+55.8%	$0.83	$325.00	0.12	1.53σ	94%	$22,314	$-14,480	$-12,730	$13,072

⚠ 48 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Roll-down suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
⚠ RISKY HARVEST	roll down to 10×	Jul 17 '26 $48.50C · 6d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-1,024 if capped)	$0.77	0.28	0.78σ	78%	+$255.00	$-14,550	$-10,636	$-13,697	⚠ locks in $1,024 ($1.02/sh) loss if capped

ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	BB ZONE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
⚠	$48.50 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-26%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+7.9%	$0.77	$255.00	0.28	0.78σ	78%	$-1,394	$-14,550	$-13,697	$-10,636
	$49.50 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-24%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+10.1%	$0.49	$-15.00	0.22	0.96σ	83%	$-564.72	$-14,820	$-13,981	$-9,807

⚠ 7 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Main:1299 · IREN · 20c · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS

MARKET

STOCK$40.83entry ~$45.00 · -9.3%

CURRENT CC$50.00Jul 17 '26 · 6d

CC STATUSOTM -18.3%1.53σ · 94% surv · T:13%

BUYBACK-$600.00

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$44.00-7.2% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$48.18+18.0% vs spot

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-12,650

SCENARIOS

HOLD FLAT$-12,650

HOLD @ $50.00$3,276

RIDE E[P/L]$-11,652

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/pt

SIZE

SYNTH Δ0.87

SHARES2,000

Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (6d) · Jul 24 '26 (13d) · Jul 31 '26 (20d) · Aug 07 '26 (27d) · Aug 14 '26 (34d)

WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 33 · RSI 46 · MACD bearish (falling) · 1σw 15.2%

Forward roll suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) ▸ if challenged	roll to 20×	Jul 31 '26 $46.00C · 20d ✓ CC-safe	$2.84	0.40	0.58σ	72%	+$5,080	$-7,570	$1,410	$-5,034	—
● SAFEST VIABLE ▸ if challenged	roll to 20×	Jul 31 '26 $54.00C · 20d ✓ CC-safe	$1.08	0.20	1.17σ	88%	+$1,570	$-11,080	$11,792	$-8,301	—
▶ ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d)	roll to 20×	Aug 14 '26 $46.00C · 34d ✓ CC-safe	$3.98	0.45	0.52σ	70%	+$7,350	$-5,300	$3,680	$-2,577	+49% E[P/L] vs 20d · +14d

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (20 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$46	7 Aug 2026	17d left	+$0.13/sh	+$256 cycle +$5,416 [-$1,050…-$47] · 24% credit	68% surv 55%	-$391 NOT cap gain +$12,259
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$47	7 Aug 2026	17d left	+$0.09/sh	+$179 cycle +$5,339 [-$852…-$70] · 24% credit	71% surv 59%	+$1,702 SAFE cap gain +$14,352
Max even-money escape in the band	~$47	7 Aug 2026	17d left	+$0.09/sh	+$179 cycle +$5,339 [-$852…-$70] · 24% credit	71% surv 59%	+$1,702 SAFE cap gain +$14,352
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$55	7 Aug 2026	17d left	-$2.40/sh	-$4,809 cycle +$351 [-$6,864…-$5,557]	83% surv 79%	+$12,139 SAFE cap gain +$24,789
budget: banked $5,160 debit $4,809 (93% used) → whole cycle still +$351 cash · rolled 20 ct earn ≈ $6,719/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (20 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$55	7 Aug 2026	17d left	+$0.25/sh	+$502 cycle +$2,502 [-$203…+$1,364] · 66% credit	71% surv 59%	+$14,291 SAFE cap gain +$26,941
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$54	7 Aug 2026	17d left	+$0.16/sh	+$328 cycle +$2,328 [-$585…+$1,323] · 54% credit	69% surv 56%	+$11,803 SAFE cap gain +$24,453
Max even-money escape in the band	~$56	14 Aug 2026	24d left	+$0.18/sh	+$353 cycle +$2,353 [-$832…+$1,578] · 52% credit	71% surv 61%	+$15,624 SAFE cap gain +$28,274
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$58	7 Aug 2026	17d left	-$0.90/sh	-$1,793 cycle +$207 [-$2,751…-$1,155] · 12% credit	75% surv 66%	+$17,987 SAFE cap gain +$30,637
budget: banked $2,000 debit $1,793 (90% used) → whole cycle still +$207 cash · rolled 20 ct earn ≈ $16,096/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	BB ZONE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$41.50 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-37%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+1.6%	$3.62	$6,650	0.53	0.18σ	57%	$-8,110	$-6,000	$-5,502	$-4,834
	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-28%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+15.1%	$1.60	$2,610	0.30	0.78σ	78%	$-2,599	$-10,040	$-7,717	$676.46
	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-27%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+17.6%	$1.36	$2,130	0.27	0.89σ	81%	$-1,343	$-10,520	$-8,180	$1,933
	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-25%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+20.0%	$1.20	$1,800	0.24	0.99σ	84%	$63.53	$-10,850	$-8,550	$3,339
	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-24%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+22.5%	$0.97	$1,330	0.21	1.08σ	86%	$1,330	$-11,320	$-9,103	$4,606
▾ show 9 more Jul 24 '26 row(s)
	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-22%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+24.9%	$0.78	$960.00	0.19	1.18σ	88%	$2,696	$-11,690	$-9,585	$5,972
	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-21%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+27.4%	$0.67	$740.00	0.16	1.27σ	90%	$4,213	$-11,910	$-9,937	$7,489
	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-19%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+29.8%	$0.60	$600.00	0.14	1.36σ	91%	$5,809	$-12,050	$-10,220	$9,085
	$54.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-18%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+32.3%	$0.49	$380.00	0.12	1.45σ	93%	$7,326	$-12,270	$-10,584	$10,602
	$55.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-16%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+34.7%	$0.42	$240.00	0.11	1.53σ	94%	$8,922	$-12,410	$-10,870	$12,198
	$56.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-15%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+37.2%	$0.34	$90.00	0.09	1.61σ	95%	$10,509	$-12,560	$-11,158	$13,785
	$57.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-13%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+39.6%	$0.31	$20.00	0.08	1.69σ	95%	$12,175	$-12,630	$-11,361	$15,451
	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-12%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+42.1%	$0.26	$-80.00	0.07	1.77σ	96%	$13,812	$-12,730	$-11,585	$17,088
	$59.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-10%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+44.5%	$0.33	$60.00	0.06	1.84σ	97%	$15,688	$-12,590	$-11,558	$18,964
	$42.00 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-36%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+2.9%	$4.30	$8,000	0.53	0.24σ	59%	$-5,892	$-4,650	$-3,826	$-2,616
▶	$46.00 ✓CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-30%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+12.7%	$2.84	$5,080	0.40	0.58σ	72%	$-1,866	$-7,570	$-5,034	$1,410
	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-28%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+15.1%	$2.50	$4,400	0.37	0.66σ	74%	$-809.42	$-8,250	$-5,507	$2,466
	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-27%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+17.6%	$2.43	$4,270	0.34	0.73σ	77%	$797.06	$-8,380	$-5,497	$4,073
	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-25%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+20.0%	$1.91	$3,220	0.31	0.81σ	79%	$1,484	$-9,430	$-6,467	$4,759
	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-24%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+22.5%	$1.77	$2,950	0.29	0.89σ	81%	$2,950	$-9,700	$-6,706	$6,226
●	$54.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-18%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+32.3%	$1.08	$1,570	0.20	1.17σ	88%	$8,516	$-11,080	$-8,301	$11,792
▾ show 16 more Jul 31 '26 row(s)
	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-22%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+24.9%	$1.52	$2,440	0.26	0.96σ	83%	$4,176	$-10,210	$-7,227	$7,452
	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-21%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+27.4%	$1.40	$2,200	0.24	1.03σ	85%	$5,673	$-10,450	$-7,509	$8,949
	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-19%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+29.8%	$1.29	$1,970	0.22	1.10σ	86%	$7,179	$-10,680	$-7,810	$10,455
	$55.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-16%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+34.7%	$1.02	$1,440	0.18	1.23σ	89%	$10,122	$-11,210	$-8,538	$13,398
	$56.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-15%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+37.2%	$0.90	$1,190	0.17	1.30σ	90%	$11,609	$-11,460	$-8,905	$14,885
	$57.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-13%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+39.6%	$0.83	$1,070	0.15	1.36σ	91%	$13,225	$-11,580	$-9,151	$16,501
	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-12%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+42.1%	$0.72	$840.00	0.14	1.42σ	92%	$14,732	$-11,810	$-9,508	$18,008
	$59.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-10%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+44.5%	$0.63	$660.00	0.13	1.49σ	93%	$16,288	$-11,990	$-9,819	$19,564
	$60.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-9%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+47.0%	$0.57	$530.00	0.11	1.54σ	94%	$17,895	$-12,120	$-10,079	$21,171
	$61.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-7%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+49.4%	$0.29	$-20.00	0.10	1.60σ	95%	$19,081	$-12,670	$-10,761	$22,357
	$62.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-6%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+51.9%	$0.51	$420.00	0.09	1.66σ	95%	$21,258	$-12,230	$-10,447	$24,534
	$63.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-4%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+54.3%	$0.42	$240.00	0.09	1.72σ	96%	$22,814	$-12,410	$-10,747	$26,090
	$64.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-3%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+56.8%	$0.42	$240.00	0.08	1.77σ	96%	$24,551	$-12,410	$-10,865	$27,826
	$65.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-1%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+59.2%	$0.48	$360.00	0.07	1.82σ	97%	$26,407	$-12,290	$-10,859	$29,683
	$66.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 0% (+0%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+61.7%	$0.36	$120.00	0.06	1.88σ	97%	$27,904	$-12,530	$-11,206	$31,179
	$67.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+64.1%	$0.46	$320.00	0.06	1.93σ	97%	$29,840	$-12,330	$-11,108	$33,116
30d	$42.00 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-36%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+2.9%	$5.35	$10,100	0.54	0.25σ	60%	$-3,792	$-2,550	$-1,732	$-515.90
30d	$45.00 ✓CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-32%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+10.2%	$3.85	$7,100	0.45	0.47σ	68%	$-1,582	$-5,550	$-3,229	$1,694
30d	$46.00 ✓CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-30%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+12.7%	$3.48	$6,350	0.43	0.54σ	70%	$-595.89	$-6,300	$-3,645	$2,680
30d	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-28%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+15.1%	$2.92	$5,240	0.40	0.61σ	73%	$30.58	$-7,410	$-4,491	$3,306
30d	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-27%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+17.6%	$3.29	$5,990	0.37	0.67σ	75%	$2,517	$-6,660	$-3,539	$5,793
▾ show 16 more Aug 07 '26 row(s)
30d	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-25%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+20.0%	$2.59	$4,580	0.35	0.74σ	77%	$2,844	$-8,070	$-4,805	$6,119
30d	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-24%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+22.5%	$2.57	$4,530	0.33	0.80σ	79%	$4,530	$-8,120	$-4,760	$7,806
30d	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-22%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+24.9%	$2.10	$3,610	0.31	0.87σ	81%	$5,346	$-9,040	$-5,628	$8,622
30d	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-21%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+27.4%	$2.04	$3,470	0.28	0.93σ	82%	$6,943	$-9,180	$-5,750	$10,219
30d	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-19%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+29.8%	$1.96	$3,330	0.26	0.99σ	84%	$8,539	$-9,320	$-5,905	$11,815
30d	$54.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-18%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+32.3%	$1.63	$2,660	0.25	1.05σ	85%	$9,606	$-9,990	$-6,616	$12,882
30d	$55.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-16%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+34.7%	$1.64	$2,670	0.23	1.11σ	87%	$11,352	$-9,980	$-6,668	$14,628
30d	$56.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-15%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+37.2%	$1.66	$2,720	0.21	1.16σ	88%	$13,139	$-9,930	$-6,698	$16,415
30d	$57.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-13%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+39.6%	$1.41	$2,220	0.20	1.22σ	89%	$14,375	$-10,430	$-7,291	$17,651
30d	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-12%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+42.1%	$1.06	$1,520	0.18	1.27σ	90%	$15,412	$-11,130	$-8,095	$18,688
30d	$59.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-10%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+44.5%	$1.60	$2,600	0.17	1.32σ	91%	$18,228	$-10,050	$-7,128	$21,504
30d	$60.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-9%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+47.0%	$0.95	$1,300	0.16	1.38σ	92%	$18,665	$-11,350	$-8,544	$21,941
30d	$61.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-7%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+49.4%	$0.86	$1,120	0.14	1.43σ	92%	$20,221	$-11,530	$-8,843	$23,497
30d	$62.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-6%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+51.9%	$0.85	$1,100	0.13	1.48σ	93%	$21,938	$-11,550	$-8,988	$25,214
30d	$65.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-1%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+59.2%	$0.80	$1,010	0.10	1.62σ	95%	$27,057	$-11,640	$-9,441	$30,333
30d	$70.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 7% (+7%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+71.4%	$0.49	$390.00	0.07	1.84σ	97%	$35,119	$-12,260	$-10,599	$38,395
30d	$43.00 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-35%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+5.3%	$4.90	$9,200	0.53	0.32σ	63%	$-2,955	$-3,450	$-2,043	$320.58
▶	$46.00 ✓CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-30%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+12.7%	$3.98	$7,350	0.45	0.52σ	70%	$404.11	$-5,300	$-2,577	$3,680
30d	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-28%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+15.1%	$3.55	$6,500	0.42	0.58σ	72%	$1,291	$-6,150	$-3,128	$4,566
30d	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-27%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+17.6%	$3.56	$6,530	0.40	0.64σ	74%	$3,057	$-6,120	$-2,859	$6,333
30d	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-25%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+20.0%	$3.60	$6,610	0.38	0.70σ	76%	$4,874	$-6,040	$-2,593	$8,149
30d	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-24%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+22.5%	$2.63	$4,670	0.36	0.76σ	77%	$4,670	$-7,980	$-4,395	$7,946
▾ show 10 more Aug 14 '26 row(s)
30d	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-22%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+24.9%	$2.62	$4,640	0.33	0.81σ	79%	$6,376	$-8,010	$-4,331	$9,652
30d	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-21%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+27.4%	$2.61	$4,620	0.32	0.87σ	81%	$8,093	$-8,030	$-4,294	$11,369
30d	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-19%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+29.8%	$2.14	$3,680	0.30	0.92σ	82%	$8,889	$-8,970	$-5,208	$12,165
30d	$54.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-18%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+32.3%	$2.29	$3,990	0.28	0.98σ	84%	$10,936	$-8,660	$-4,900	$14,212
30d	$55.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-16%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+34.7%	$1.88	$3,150	0.26	1.03σ	85%	$11,832	$-9,500	$-5,764	$15,108
30d	$60.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-9%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+47.0%	$1.23	$1,870	0.19	1.27σ	90%	$19,235	$-10,780	$-7,398	$22,511
30d	$65.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-1%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+59.2%	$0.91	$1,210	0.14	1.49σ	93%	$27,257	$-11,440	$-8,573	$30,533
30d	$70.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 7% (+7%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+71.4%	$0.59	$590.00	0.10	1.68σ	95%	$35,319	$-12,060	$-9,710	$38,595
30d	$75.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 14% (+14%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+83.7%	$0.60	$600.00	0.07	1.85σ	97%	$44,012	$-12,050	$-10,151	$47,288
30d	$80.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 22% (+22%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+95.9%	$0.62	$650.00	0.06	2.01σ	98%	$52,744	$-12,000	$-10,483	$56,020

⚠ 15 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Roll-down suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV)	roll down to 20×	Jul 17 '26 $48.00C · 6d ✓ CC-safe	$0.50	0.17	1.25σ	89%	+$400.00	$-12,250	$202.94	$-10,923	—
⚠ RISKY HARVEST	roll down to 20×	Jul 17 '26 $47.00C · 6d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-44.00 if capped)	$0.66	0.21	1.09σ	86%	+$710.00	$-11,940	$-1,224	$-10,470	⚠ locks in $44.00 ($0.02/sh) loss if capped

ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	BB ZONE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$39.00 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-41%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	-4.5%	$3.83	$7,050	0.66	-0.25σ	50%	$-8,876	$-5,600	$-5,600	$-5,600
⚠	$47.00 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-28%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+15.1%	$0.66	$710.00	0.21	1.09σ	86%	$-4,499	$-11,940	$-10,470	$-1,224
▶	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-27%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+17.6%	$0.50	$400.00	0.17	1.25σ	89%	$-3,073	$-12,250	$-10,923	$202.94
	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-25%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+20.0%	$0.39	$170.00	0.13	1.39σ	92%	$-1,566	$-12,480	$-11,316	$1,709
	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-24%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+22.5%	$0.30	$0.00	0.11	1.53σ	94%	$0.00	$-12,650	$-11,653	$3,276
	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-22%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+24.9%	$0.23	$-130.00	0.09	1.67σ	95%	$1,606	$-12,780	$-11,938	$4,882
	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-21%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+27.4%	$0.18	$-240.00	0.07	1.80σ	96%	$3,233	$-12,890	$-12,186	$6,509
▾ show 1 more Jul 17 '26 row(s)
	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-19%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+29.8%	$0.14	$-330.00	0.06	1.92σ	97%	$4,879	$-12,980	$-12,395	$8,155

⚠ 7 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Joint:1782 · IREN · 20c · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS

MARKET

STOCK$40.83entry ~$45.00 · -9.3%

CURRENT CC$50.00Jul 17 '26 · 6d

CC STATUSOTM -18.3%1.53σ · 94% surv · T:13%

BUYBACK-$600.00

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$44.00-7.2% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$48.18+18.0% vs spot

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-12,650

SCENARIOS

HOLD FLAT$-12,650

HOLD @ $50.00$3,236

RIDE E[P/L]$-11,655

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/pt

SIZE

SYNTH Δ0.87

SHARES2,000

Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (6d) · Jul 24 '26 (13d) · Jul 31 '26 (20d) · Aug 07 '26 (27d) · Aug 14 '26 (34d)

WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 33 · RSI 46 · MACD bearish (falling) · 1σw 15.2%

Forward roll suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) ▸ if challenged	roll to 20×	Jul 31 '26 $46.00C · 20d ✓ CC-safe	$2.84	0.40	0.58σ	72%	+$5,080	$-7,570	$1,388	$-5,040	—
● SAFEST VIABLE ▸ if challenged	roll to 20×	Jul 31 '26 $54.00C · 20d ✓ CC-safe	$1.08	0.20	1.17σ	88%	+$1,570	$-11,080	$11,735	$-8,308	—
▶ ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d)	roll to 20×	Aug 14 '26 $46.00C · 34d ✓ CC-safe	$3.98	0.45	0.52σ	70%	+$7,350	$-5,300	$3,658	$-2,584	+49% E[P/L] vs 20d · +14d

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (20 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$46	7 Aug 2026	17d left	+$0.13/sh	+$256 cycle +$5,416 [-$1,050…-$47] · 24% credit	68% surv 55%	-$391 NOT cap gain +$12,259
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$47	7 Aug 2026	17d left	+$0.09/sh	+$179 cycle +$5,339 [-$852…-$70] · 24% credit	71% surv 59%	+$1,702 SAFE cap gain +$14,352
Max even-money escape in the band	~$47	7 Aug 2026	17d left	+$0.09/sh	+$179 cycle +$5,339 [-$852…-$70] · 24% credit	71% surv 59%	+$1,702 SAFE cap gain +$14,352
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$55	7 Aug 2026	17d left	-$2.40/sh	-$4,809 cycle +$351 [-$6,864…-$5,557]	83% surv 79%	+$12,139 SAFE cap gain +$24,789
budget: banked $5,160 debit $4,809 (93% used) → whole cycle still +$351 cash · rolled 20 ct earn ≈ $6,719/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (20 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$55	7 Aug 2026	17d left	+$0.25/sh	+$502 cycle +$2,502 [-$203…+$1,364] · 66% credit	71% surv 59%	+$14,291 SAFE cap gain +$26,941
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$54	7 Aug 2026	17d left	+$0.16/sh	+$328 cycle +$2,328 [-$585…+$1,323] · 54% credit	69% surv 56%	+$11,803 SAFE cap gain +$24,453
Max even-money escape in the band	~$56	14 Aug 2026	24d left	+$0.18/sh	+$353 cycle +$2,353 [-$832…+$1,578] · 52% credit	71% surv 61%	+$15,624 SAFE cap gain +$28,274
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$58	7 Aug 2026	17d left	-$0.90/sh	-$1,793 cycle +$207 [-$2,751…-$1,155] · 12% credit	75% surv 66%	+$17,987 SAFE cap gain +$30,637
budget: banked $2,000 debit $1,793 (90% used) → whole cycle still +$207 cash · rolled 20 ct earn ≈ $16,096/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	BB ZONE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$41.50 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-37%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+1.6%	$3.62	$6,650	0.53	0.18σ	57%	$-8,073	$-6,000	$-5,503	$-4,837
	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-28%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+15.1%	$1.60	$2,610	0.30	0.78σ	78%	$-2,586	$-10,040	$-7,722	$649.85
	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-27%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+17.6%	$1.36	$2,130	0.27	0.89σ	81%	$-1,334	$-10,520	$-8,186	$1,902
	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-25%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+20.0%	$1.20	$1,800	0.24	0.99σ	84%	$67.84	$-10,850	$-8,556	$3,304
	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-24%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+22.5%	$0.97	$1,330	0.21	1.08σ	86%	$1,330	$-11,320	$-9,109	$4,566
▾ show 9 more Jul 24 '26 row(s)
	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-22%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+24.9%	$0.78	$960.00	0.19	1.18σ	88%	$2,692	$-11,690	$-9,590	$5,928
	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-21%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+27.4%	$0.67	$740.00	0.16	1.27σ	90%	$4,204	$-11,910	$-9,942	$7,441
	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-19%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+29.8%	$0.60	$600.00	0.14	1.36σ	91%	$5,796	$-12,050	$-10,224	$9,033
	$54.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-18%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+32.3%	$0.49	$380.00	0.12	1.45σ	93%	$7,309	$-12,270	$-10,589	$10,545
	$55.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-16%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+34.7%	$0.42	$240.00	0.11	1.53σ	94%	$8,901	$-12,410	$-10,873	$12,137
	$56.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-15%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+37.2%	$0.34	$90.00	0.09	1.61σ	95%	$10,483	$-12,560	$-11,162	$13,719
	$57.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-13%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+39.6%	$0.31	$20.00	0.08	1.69σ	95%	$12,145	$-12,630	$-11,364	$15,381
	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-12%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+42.1%	$0.26	$-80.00	0.07	1.77σ	96%	$13,777	$-12,730	$-11,588	$17,014
	$59.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-10%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+44.5%	$0.33	$60.00	0.06	1.84σ	97%	$15,649	$-12,590	$-11,561	$18,886
	$42.00 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-36%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+2.9%	$4.30	$8,000	0.53	0.24σ	59%	$-5,857	$-4,650	$-3,828	$-2,621
▶	$46.00 ✓CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-30%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+12.7%	$2.84	$5,080	0.40	0.58σ	72%	$-1,849	$-7,570	$-5,040	$1,388
	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-28%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+15.1%	$2.50	$4,400	0.37	0.66σ	74%	$-796.48	$-8,250	$-5,513	$2,440
	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-27%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+17.6%	$2.43	$4,270	0.34	0.73σ	77%	$805.68	$-8,380	$-5,504	$4,042
	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-25%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+20.0%	$1.91	$3,220	0.31	0.81σ	79%	$1,488	$-9,430	$-6,475	$4,724
	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-24%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+22.5%	$1.77	$2,950	0.29	0.89σ	81%	$2,950	$-9,700	$-6,713	$6,186
●	$54.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-18%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+32.3%	$1.08	$1,570	0.20	1.17σ	88%	$8,499	$-11,080	$-8,308	$11,735
▾ show 16 more Jul 31 '26 row(s)
	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-22%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+24.9%	$1.52	$2,440	0.26	0.96σ	83%	$4,172	$-10,210	$-7,234	$7,408
	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-21%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+27.4%	$1.40	$2,200	0.24	1.03σ	85%	$5,664	$-10,450	$-7,516	$8,901
	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-19%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+29.8%	$1.29	$1,970	0.22	1.10σ	86%	$7,166	$-10,680	$-7,817	$10,403
	$55.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-16%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+34.7%	$1.02	$1,440	0.18	1.23σ	89%	$10,101	$-11,210	$-8,544	$13,337
	$56.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-15%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+37.2%	$0.90	$1,190	0.17	1.30σ	90%	$11,583	$-11,460	$-8,911	$14,819
	$57.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-13%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+39.6%	$0.83	$1,070	0.15	1.36σ	91%	$13,195	$-11,580	$-9,157	$16,431
	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-12%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+42.1%	$0.72	$840.00	0.14	1.42σ	92%	$14,697	$-11,810	$-9,514	$17,934
	$59.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-10%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+44.5%	$0.63	$660.00	0.13	1.49σ	93%	$16,249	$-11,990	$-9,824	$19,486
	$60.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-9%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+47.0%	$0.57	$530.00	0.11	1.54σ	94%	$17,852	$-12,120	$-10,084	$21,088
	$61.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-7%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+49.4%	$0.29	$-20.00	0.10	1.60σ	95%	$19,034	$-12,670	$-10,766	$22,270
	$62.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-6%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+51.9%	$0.51	$420.00	0.09	1.66σ	95%	$21,206	$-12,230	$-10,451	$24,442
	$63.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-4%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+54.3%	$0.42	$240.00	0.09	1.72σ	96%	$22,758	$-12,410	$-10,751	$25,994
	$64.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-3%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+56.8%	$0.42	$240.00	0.08	1.77σ	96%	$24,490	$-12,410	$-10,869	$27,727
	$65.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-1%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+59.2%	$0.48	$360.00	0.07	1.82σ	97%	$26,342	$-12,290	$-10,862	$29,579
	$66.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 0% (+0%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+61.7%	$0.36	$120.00	0.06	1.88σ	97%	$27,835	$-12,530	$-11,209	$31,071
	$67.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+64.1%	$0.46	$320.00	0.06	1.93σ	97%	$29,767	$-12,330	$-11,111	$33,003
30d	$42.00 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-36%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+2.9%	$5.35	$10,100	0.54	0.25σ	60%	$-3,757	$-2,550	$-1,734	$-520.95
30d	$45.00 ✓CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-32%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+10.2%	$3.85	$7,100	0.45	0.47σ	68%	$-1,561	$-5,550	$-3,235	$1,676
30d	$46.00 ✓CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-30%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+12.7%	$3.48	$6,350	0.43	0.54σ	70%	$-578.64	$-6,300	$-3,651	$2,658
30d	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-28%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+15.1%	$2.92	$5,240	0.40	0.61σ	73%	$43.52	$-7,410	$-4,498	$3,280
30d	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-27%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+17.6%	$3.29	$5,990	0.37	0.67σ	75%	$2,526	$-6,660	$-3,547	$5,762
▾ show 16 more Aug 07 '26 row(s)
30d	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-25%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+20.0%	$2.59	$4,580	0.35	0.74σ	77%	$2,848	$-8,070	$-4,813	$6,084
30d	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-24%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+22.5%	$2.57	$4,530	0.33	0.80σ	79%	$4,530	$-8,120	$-4,768	$7,766
30d	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-22%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+24.9%	$2.10	$3,610	0.31	0.87σ	81%	$5,342	$-9,040	$-5,636	$8,578
30d	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-21%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+27.4%	$2.04	$3,470	0.28	0.93σ	82%	$6,934	$-9,180	$-5,759	$10,171
30d	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-19%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+29.8%	$1.96	$3,330	0.26	0.99σ	84%	$8,526	$-9,320	$-5,913	$11,763
30d	$54.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-18%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+32.3%	$1.63	$2,660	0.25	1.05σ	85%	$9,589	$-9,990	$-6,625	$12,825
30d	$55.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-16%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+34.7%	$1.64	$2,670	0.23	1.11σ	87%	$11,331	$-9,980	$-6,676	$14,567
30d	$56.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-15%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+37.2%	$1.66	$2,720	0.21	1.16σ	88%	$13,113	$-9,930	$-6,706	$16,349
30d	$57.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-13%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+39.6%	$1.41	$2,220	0.20	1.22σ	89%	$14,345	$-10,430	$-7,298	$17,581
30d	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-12%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+42.1%	$1.06	$1,520	0.18	1.27σ	90%	$15,377	$-11,130	$-8,102	$18,614
30d	$59.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-10%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+44.5%	$1.60	$2,600	0.17	1.32σ	91%	$18,189	$-10,050	$-7,135	$21,426
30d	$60.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-9%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+47.0%	$0.95	$1,300	0.16	1.38σ	92%	$18,622	$-11,350	$-8,551	$21,858
30d	$61.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-7%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+49.4%	$0.86	$1,120	0.14	1.43σ	92%	$20,174	$-11,530	$-8,850	$23,410
30d	$62.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-6%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+51.9%	$0.85	$1,100	0.13	1.48σ	93%	$21,886	$-11,550	$-8,994	$25,122
30d	$65.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-1%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+59.2%	$0.80	$1,010	0.10	1.62σ	95%	$26,992	$-11,640	$-9,446	$30,229
30d	$70.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 7% (+7%)	Aug 07 '26	27d	+71.4%	$0.49	$390.00	0.07	1.84σ	97%	$35,033	$-12,260	$-10,603	$38,270
30d	$43.00 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-35%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+5.3%	$4.90	$9,200	0.53	0.32σ	63%	$-2,925	$-3,450	$-2,046	$311.21
▶	$46.00 ✓CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-30%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+12.7%	$3.98	$7,350	0.45	0.52σ	70%	$421.36	$-5,300	$-2,584	$3,658
30d	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-28%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+15.1%	$3.55	$6,500	0.42	0.58σ	72%	$1,304	$-6,150	$-3,135	$4,540
30d	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-27%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+17.6%	$3.56	$6,530	0.40	0.64σ	74%	$3,066	$-6,120	$-2,867	$6,302
30d	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-25%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+20.0%	$3.60	$6,610	0.38	0.70σ	76%	$4,878	$-6,040	$-2,602	$8,114
30d	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-24%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+22.5%	$2.63	$4,670	0.36	0.76σ	77%	$4,670	$-7,980	$-4,404	$7,906
▾ show 10 more Aug 14 '26 row(s)
30d	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-22%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+24.9%	$2.62	$4,640	0.33	0.81σ	79%	$6,372	$-8,010	$-4,340	$9,608
30d	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-21%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+27.4%	$2.61	$4,620	0.32	0.87σ	81%	$8,084	$-8,030	$-4,303	$11,321
30d	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-19%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+29.8%	$2.14	$3,680	0.30	0.92σ	82%	$8,876	$-8,970	$-5,217	$12,113
30d	$54.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-18%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+32.3%	$2.29	$3,990	0.28	0.98σ	84%	$10,919	$-8,660	$-4,909	$14,155
30d	$55.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-16%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+34.7%	$1.88	$3,150	0.26	1.03σ	85%	$11,811	$-9,500	$-5,774	$15,047
30d	$60.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-9%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+47.0%	$1.23	$1,870	0.19	1.27σ	90%	$19,192	$-10,780	$-7,406	$22,428
30d	$65.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-1%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+59.2%	$0.91	$1,210	0.14	1.49σ	93%	$27,192	$-11,440	$-8,580	$30,429
30d	$70.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 7% (+7%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+71.4%	$0.59	$590.00	0.10	1.68σ	95%	$35,233	$-12,060	$-9,715	$38,470
30d	$75.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 14% (+14%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+83.7%	$0.60	$600.00	0.07	1.85σ	97%	$43,904	$-12,050	$-10,156	$47,140
30d	$80.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 22% (+22%)	Aug 14 '26	34d	+95.9%	$0.62	$650.00	0.06	2.01σ	98%	$52,615	$-12,000	$-10,487	$55,851

⚠ 15 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Roll-down suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV)	roll down to 20×	Jul 17 '26 $48.00C · 6d ✓ CC-safe	$0.50	0.17	1.25σ	89%	+$400.00	$-12,250	$172.01	$-10,926	—
⚠ RISKY HARVEST	roll down to 20×	Jul 17 '26 $47.00C · 6d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-44.00 if capped)	$0.66	0.21	1.09σ	86%	+$710.00	$-11,940	$-1,250	$-10,473	⚠ locks in $44.00 ($0.02/sh) loss if capped

ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	BB ZONE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$39.00 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-41%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	-4.5%	$3.83	$7,050	0.66	-0.25σ	50%	$-8,836	$-5,600	$-5,600	$-5,600
⚠	$47.00 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-28%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+15.1%	$0.66	$710.00	0.21	1.09σ	86%	$-4,486	$-11,940	$-10,473	$-1,250
▶	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-27%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+17.6%	$0.50	$400.00	0.17	1.25σ	89%	$-3,064	$-12,250	$-10,926	$172.01
	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-25%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+20.0%	$0.39	$170.00	0.13	1.39σ	92%	$-1,562	$-12,480	$-11,319	$1,674
	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-24%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+22.5%	$0.30	$0.00	0.11	1.53σ	94%	$0.00	$-12,650	$-11,656	$3,236
	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-22%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+24.9%	$0.23	$-130.00	0.09	1.67σ	95%	$1,602	$-12,780	$-11,940	$4,838
	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-21%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+27.4%	$0.18	$-240.00	0.07	1.80σ	96%	$3,224	$-12,890	$-12,188	$6,461
▾ show 1 more Jul 17 '26 row(s)
	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-19%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+29.8%	$0.14	$-330.00	0.06	1.92σ	97%	$4,866	$-12,980	$-12,396	$8,103

⚠ 7 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Main:1299 · COIN · 8c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS

MARKET

STOCK$159.80entry ~$211.00 · -24.3%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$210.90-24.2% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$218.48+36.7% vs spot

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-52,332

SCENARIOS

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$109/pt

SIZE

SYNTH Δ1.14

SHARES800

Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (6d) · Jul 24 '26 (13d) · Jul 31 '26 (20d)

WEEKLY GATE · 🔵 PULLBACK %B 22 · RSI 40 · MACD bullish (rising) · 1σw 10.0%

New CC suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV)	sell 8×	Jul 31 '26 $220.00C · 20d ✓ CC-safe	$0.73	0.06	1.79σ	96%	+$584.00	$-51,748	$2,991	$-49,717	—

CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	BB ZONE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$190.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (+6%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+18.9%	$0.36	$288.00	0.05	1.81σ	96%	$27,748	$-52,044	$-51,072	$-24,584
	$205.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (+14%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+28.3%	$0.56	$452.00	0.06	1.78σ	96%	$41,552	$-51,880	$-50,335	$-10,780
	$170.00 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-5%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+6.4%	$7.30	$5,840	0.39	0.44σ	67%	$15,115	$-46,492	$-43,431	$-37,217
▶	$220.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+23%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+37.7%	$0.73	$584.00	0.06	1.79σ	96%	$55,323	$-51,748	$-49,717	$2,991

⚠ 35 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Neville:0865 · IREN · 20c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS

MARKET

STOCK$40.83entry ~$58.25 · -29.9%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$56.50-27.7% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$58.76+43.9% vs spot

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-38,260

SCENARIOS

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$156/pt

SIZE

SYNTH Δ1.08

SHARES2,000

Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (6d) · Jul 24 '26 (13d) · Jul 31 '26 (20d)

WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 33 · RSI 46 · MACD bearish (falling) · 1σw 15.2%

New CC suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV)	sell 20×	Jul 31 '26 $59.00C · 20d ✓ CC-safe	$0.63	0.13	1.49σ	93%	+$1,260	$-37,000	$2,176	$-34,305	—
● SAFEST VIABLE	sell 20×	Jul 31 '26 $67.00C · 20d ✓ CC-safe	$0.46	0.06	1.93σ	97%	+$920.00	$-37,340	$19,084	$-35,822	—

CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	BB ZONE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$53.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-19%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+29.8%	$0.14	$270.00	0.06	1.92σ	97%	$26,511	$-37,990	$-37,263	$-11,749
	$45.00 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-32%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+10.2%	$2.16	$4,320	0.38	0.57σ	72%	$13,313	$-33,940	$-31,386	$-24,947
	$59.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-10%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+44.5%	$0.33	$660.00	0.06	1.84σ	97%	$39,836	$-37,600	$-36,319	$1,576
	$60.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-9%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+47.0%	$0.18	$370.00	0.06	1.91σ	97%	$41,702	$-37,890	$-36,737	$3,442
	$46.00 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-30%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+12.7%	$2.84	$5,680	0.40	0.58σ	72%	$16,829	$-32,580	$-29,431	$-21,431
▶	$59.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-10%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+44.5%	$0.63	$1,260	0.13	1.49σ	93%	$40,436	$-37,000	$-34,305	$2,176
	$60.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-9%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+47.0%	$0.57	$1,130	0.11	1.54σ	94%	$42,462	$-37,130	$-34,596	$4,202
	$61.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-7%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+49.4%	$0.29	$580.00	0.10	1.60σ	95%	$44,068	$-37,680	$-35,310	$5,808
	$62.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-6%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+51.9%	$0.51	$1,020	0.09	1.66σ	95%	$46,664	$-37,240	$-35,026	$8,404
	$63.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-4%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+54.3%	$0.42	$840.00	0.09	1.72σ	96%	$48,640	$-37,420	$-35,355	$10,380
●	$67.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+64.1%	$0.46	$920.00	0.06	1.93σ	97%	$57,344	$-37,340	$-35,822	$19,084
▾ show 3 more Jul 31 '26 row(s)
	$64.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-3%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+56.8%	$0.42	$840.00	0.08	1.77σ	96%	$50,796	$-37,420	$-35,502	$12,536
	$65.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-1%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+59.2%	$0.48	$960.00	0.07	1.82σ	97%	$53,072	$-37,300	$-35,523	$14,812
	$66.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 0% (+0%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+61.7%	$0.36	$720.00	0.06	1.88σ	97%	$54,988	$-37,540	$-35,896	$16,728

⚠ 34 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

RetireInc:7291 · MSTR · 4c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS

MARKET

STOCK$94.90entry ~$163.00 · -41.8%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$161.00-41.1% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$167.55+76.6% vs spot

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-32,040

SCENARIOS

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$43/pt

SIZE

SYNTH Δ1.11

SHARES400

Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (6d) · Jul 24 '26 (13d) · Jul 31 '26 (20d)

WEEKLY GATE · 🔵 PULLBACK %B 13 · RSI 34 · MACD bearish (falling) · 1σw 12.7%

Read: Cooling off inside the range. Good CC entry slightly OTM above spot, around the 1-sigma weekly move. Premium should be healthy because IV is usually elevated here. Suggested CC floor: $106.63.
Dashed line on chart: 20W MA (bounce target). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.

⚠ No CC-safe roll. The CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so the current CC and every roll candidate would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe option per expiry is shown below for reference (tagged NOT CC-safe); the rest are collapsed.

New CC suggestions

⚠ NO VIABLE ABOVE-SS PICK: Stock ($94.90) is below Safe Strike ($161.00) and no candidate in this table reaches SS within the delta band. Selling ANY of the below-SS strikes would cap the fortress below breakeven. Consider: (1) ride uncapped until stock recovers, (2) rebuild with a lower LC, or (3) close and re-enter at current levels. Below-SS rows shown for reference only.

CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

STRIKE	BB ZONE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
$116.00 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-16%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+22.2%	$0.26	$104.00	0.05	1.85σ	97%	$9,442	$-31,936	$-31,637	$-22,598
$127.00 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-8%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+33.8%	$0.37	$148.00	0.05	1.84σ	97%	$14,355	$-31,892	$-31,427	$-17,685
$140.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (+2%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+47.5%	$0.46	$184.00	0.05	1.88σ	97%	$20,144	$-31,856	$-31,263	$-11,896

⚠ 80 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

RetireInc:7291 · COIN · 3c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS

MARKET

STOCK$159.80entry ~$185.00 · -13.6%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$182.40-12.4% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$191.41+19.8% vs spot

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-10,402

SCENARIOS

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$38/pt

SIZE

SYNTH Δ1.13

SHARES300

Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (6d) · Jul 24 '26 (13d) · Jul 31 '26 (20d)

WEEKLY GATE · 🔵 PULLBACK %B 22 · RSI 40 · MACD bullish (rising) · 1σw 10.0%

New CC suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV)	sell 3×	Jul 31 '26 $190.00C · 20d ✓ CC-safe	$3.82	0.19	1.06σ	85%	+$1,146	$-9,256	$936.66	$-7,772	—
● SAFEST VIABLE	sell 3×	Jul 31 '26 $210.00C · 20d ✓ CC-safe	$1.25	0.09	1.57σ	94%	+$375.00	$-10,028	$6,916	$-9,035	—

CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	BB ZONE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$190.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (+6%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+18.9%	$0.36	$108.00	0.05	1.81σ	96%	$10,301	$-10,294	$-9,934	$-101.34
	$167.50 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-7%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+4.8%	$5.33	$1,598	0.38	0.43σ	67%	$4,196	$-8,805	$-7,936	$-6,206
	$195.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (+9%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+22.0%	$0.93	$279.00	0.09	1.50σ	93%	$12,160	$-10,124	$-9,326	$1,757
	$200.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (+12%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+25.2%	$0.73	$220.50	0.07	1.65σ	95%	$13,789	$-10,182	$-9,505	$3,386
	$205.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (+14%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+28.3%	$0.56	$169.50	0.06	1.78σ	96%	$15,425	$-10,233	$-9,659	$5,023
	$170.00 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-5%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+6.4%	$7.30	$2,190	0.39	0.44σ	67%	$5,633	$-8,212	$-7,076	$-4,770
▶	$190.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (+6%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+18.9%	$3.82	$1,146	0.19	1.06σ	85%	$11,339	$-9,256	$-7,772	$936.66
	$195.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (+9%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+22.0%	$1.83	$550.50	0.16	1.19σ	88%	$12,431	$-9,852	$-8,469	$2,029
	$200.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (+12%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+25.2%	$1.90	$568.50	0.13	1.32σ	91%	$14,137	$-9,834	$-8,575	$3,734
	$205.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (+14%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+28.3%	$1.22	$366.00	0.11	1.45σ	93%	$15,622	$-10,036	$-8,911	$5,219
●	$210.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (+17%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+31.4%	$1.25	$375.00	0.09	1.57σ	94%	$17,319	$-10,028	$-9,035	$6,916
	$215.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (+20%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+34.5%	$0.90	$270.00	0.07	1.68σ	95%	$18,901	$-10,132	$-9,264	$8,499
▾ show 1 more Jul 31 '26 row(s)
	$220.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+23%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+37.7%	$0.73	$219.00	0.06	1.79σ	96%	$20,538	$-10,184	$-9,430	$10,135

⚠ 26 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

RetireInc:7291 · IREN · 20c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS

MARKET

STOCK$40.83entry ~$65.00 · -37.2%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$63.43-35.6% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$67.18+64.5% vs spot

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-54,840

SCENARIOS

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$61/pt

SIZE

SYNTH Δ1.03

SHARES2,000

Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (6d) · Jul 24 '26 (13d) · Jul 31 '26 (20d)

WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 33 · RSI 46 · MACD bearish (falling) · 1σw 15.2%

New CC suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ ● BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE	sell 20×	Jul 31 '26 $67.00C · 20d ✓ CC-safe	$0.46	0.06	1.93σ	97%	+$920.00	$-53,920	$14.82	$-52,469	—

CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	BB ZONE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$53.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-19%)	Jul 17 '26	6d	+29.8%	$0.14	$270.00	0.06	1.92σ	97%	$25,353	$-54,570	$-53,875	$-29,487
	$60.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-9%)	Jul 24 '26	13d	+47.0%	$0.18	$370.00	0.06	1.91σ	97%	$39,879	$-54,470	$-53,368	$-14,961
	$46.00 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-30%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+12.7%	$2.84	$5,680	0.40	0.58σ	72%	$16,337	$-49,160	$-46,150	$-38,503
▶ ●	$67.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Jul 31 '26	20d	+64.1%	$0.46	$920.00	0.06	1.93σ	97%	$54,855	$-53,920	$-52,469	$14.82

⚠ 44 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Safe Strike = max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2) Decisions driven by CC status + LC runway + sigma survival + proactive rolls (v1.2) Read-only — review each action in TWS before trading python3 fortress_rebuild.py --help