FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Generated: 2026-07-08 21:38:25
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$24,969/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (CHEAPEST)
$26,569/yr
Δ HEDGE (CHEAPEST vs CURRENT)
+$1,600/yr
ROLL DEBIT (CHEAPEST)
-$8,930
MAX LOSS REDUCTION (PROTECTIVE)
-$39,750
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 37 positions
3 · ROLL NOW4 · LEAPS-ONLY30 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
BMNR →
+10C −18P +10P
$14.72 1018 100 $17.13 $19.93 82.28x 32.1% SAFE 50 $31,250$73,625 ROLL NOW (44d)
INTC →
+85C −100P +35P
$108.99 85100 350 $114.00 $116.75 653.24x 67.9% SAFE 5 $14,500$54,496 ROLL NOW (44d)
IREN (Neville) →
+45C −65P +21P −60C
$41.99 4565 2160 $56.50 $60.03 4415.67x 50.0% SAFE 20 $6,000$83,980 ROLL NOW (44d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −380C
$361.57 3100 0380 $392.50 $338.68 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$180,788 LEAPS-ONLY
GOOG (Main)
+310C −380C
$361.57 3100 0380 $392.50 $338.68 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $82,500$361,575 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −100C
$92.64 700 0100 $96.50 $84.91 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$111,168 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C −765C
$743.47 6400 0765 $764.00 $693.91 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$892,164 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P −252C
$242.13 215260 230252 $256.25 $239.37 301.80x 5.0% OK 10 $37,500$242,135 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P −600C
$517.49 460540 185600 $588.00 $602.08 3553.77x 64.3% SAFE 1 $12,800$51,749 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$12.59 1717 100 $20.74 $17.13 72.87x 20.6% SAFE 25 $9,350$31,475 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −215C
$160.51 165240 85215 $210.90 $217.94 15510.23x 47.0% SAFE 8 $13,440$128,408 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −185C
$160.51 145200 75185 $182.40 $188.67 1257.31x 53.3% SAFE 3 $5,940$48,153 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$73.04 6590 680 $93.40 $94.68 221.77x 6.9% OK 20 $56,800$146,080 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −90C
$84.83 105120 4090 $125.45 $129.90 804.91x 52.8% SAFE 5 $10,225$42,415 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −450C
$435.00 340390 150450 $398.00 $409.02 2405.14x 65.5% SAFE 3 $17,400$130,500 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$42.19 4560 200 $56.15 $59.11 406.48x 52.6% SAFE 10 $7,300$42,190 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$13.12 1316 100 $17.33 $18.05 62.39x 23.8% SAFE 50 $21,650$65,575 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −390C
$373.98 320450 330390 $456.00 $471.45 1201.88x 11.8% SAFE 10 $136,000$373,980 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$24.18 3838 180 $39.71 $34.07 2010.05x 27.6% SAFE 125 $27,625$302,250 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −375C
$361.57 300345 310375 $373.00 $338.33 351.48x 14.3% SAFE 15 $109,500$542,362 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −375C
$361.57 340405 360375 $398.00 $375.36 451.88x 0.4% TIGHT 5 $25,500$180,788 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −48C
$36.01 1020 548 $17.47 $18.94 154.04x 86.1% SAFE 15 $7,395$54,015 OK
IREN (Joint)
+25C −47P +35P −60C
$41.99 2547 3560 $44.00 $49.33 121.75x 16.6% SAFE 20 $32,000$83,980 OK
IREN (Main)
+25C −47P +35P −60C
$41.99 2547 3560 $44.00 $49.33 121.75x 16.6% SAFE 20 $32,000$83,980 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −60C
$41.99 5070 2360 $63.43 $67.79 477.86x 45.2% SAFE 20 $13,700$83,980 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −410C
$362.39 270340 150410 $362.90 $378.31 1903.05x 58.6% SAFE 1 $9,290$36,239 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −630C
$606.50 480650 330630 $601.50 $604.99 3205.38x 45.6% SAFE 3 $21,900$181,950 OK
MSTR
+125C −185P +55P −112C
$93.60 125185 55112 $161.00 $168.66 13011.83x 41.2% SAFE 4 $4,800$37,440 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P −1180C
$941.03 8801010 3201180 $1028.60 $1055.42 6905.64x 66.0% SAFE 5 $74,300$470,515 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P −1180C
$941.03 9701110 3701180 $1220.00 $1245.63 7403.96x 60.7% SAFE 2 $50,000$188,206 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P −98C
$94.41 88105 7598 $114.54 $118.96 302.11x 20.6% SAFE 5 $13,520$47,205 OK
NOW
+80C −110P +90P −112C
$106.70 80110 90112 $108.93 $111.45 201.72x 15.7% SAFE 10 $27,850$106,700 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −208C
$184.29 190210 90208 $224.00 $228.73 1204.53x 51.2% SAFE 5 $17,000$92,145 OK
RIOT
+17C −40P +17P
$21.67 1740 170 $23.65 $32.43 235.93x 21.6% SAFE 50 $23,350$108,350 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −101C
$85.12 115135 45101 $141.55 $147.54 904.39x 47.1% SAFE 6 $15,930$51,072 OK
SOFI
+10C −13P +5P
$17.50 1013 50 $15.75 $16.27 82.39x 71.4% SAFE 35 $20,125$61,250 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −185C
$151.52 150195 135185 $186.00 $182.26 603.22x 10.9% SAFE 5 $13,500$75,760 OK

BMNR: HP 10P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 44d

Stock: $14.72 Current HP: 10P (44d, 32.1% OTM) Current hedge: $10,784/yr Current ML: $71,250 CC income: $57,403/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $14,351/yr IV: HIGH 2 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 10 → 10P (Jan 15 '27, 191d, 32.1% OTM) | Cost: $13,186/yr (23% of CC) | New ML: $71,250 = ML | Roll DEBIT $6,000 | Margin (TIMS): $843
PROTECTIVE PICK: same as CHEAPEST (no higher-strike candidate clears the cost cap).
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 10 CHEAP PROT Jan 15 191d 32.1% $1.14 $1.38 $13,186 23% $71,250 = D $6,000
2 10 Nov 20 135d 32.1% $0.81 $1.01 $13,654 24% $71,250 = D $4,150
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 07 (30d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $20, B $0.15 $9,000/yr $13,186/yr DEFICIT $349/mo
CC at MID $18 0.7σ, B $0.50 $30,000/yr $13,186/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($18, bid $0.50). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

IREN (Neville): HP 21P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 44d

Stock: $41.99 Current HP: 21P (44d, 50.0% OTM) Current hedge: $13,770/yr Current ML: $94,000 CC income: $124,807/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $31,202/yr IV: HIGH 17 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 21 → 21P (Oct 16 '26, 100d, 50.0% OTM) | Cost: $12,775/yr (10% of CC) | New ML: $94,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $2,820 | Margin (TIMS): $1,856
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 21 → 29P (Oct 16 '26, 100d, 30.9% OTM) | Cost: $30,660/yr (25% of CC) | New ML: $78,000 ↓ $16,000 | Roll DEBIT $7,720 | Margin (TIMS): $1,677
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 21 CHEAP Oct 16 100d 50.0% $1.30 $1.75 $12,775 10% $94,000 = D $2,820
2 21 Sep 18 72d 50.0% $0.86 $1.34 $13,586 11% $94,000 = D $2,000
3 22 Oct 16 100d 47.6% $1.52 $1.99 $14,527 12% $92,000 -$2,000 D $3,300
4 22 Sep 18 72d 47.6% $1.03 $1.52 $15,411 12% $92,000 -$2,000 D $2,360
5 23 Oct 16 100d 45.2% $1.76 $2.24 $16,352 13% $90,000 -$4,000 D $3,800
6 23 Sep 18 72d 45.2% $1.22 $1.72 $17,439 14% $90,000 -$4,000 D $2,760
7 24 Oct 16 100d 42.8% $2.03 $2.52 $18,396 15% $88,000 -$6,000 D $4,360
8 24 Sep 18 72d 42.8% $1.43 $1.93 $19,568 16% $88,000 -$6,000 D $3,180
9 25 Oct 16 100d 40.5% $2.31 $2.79 $20,367 16% $86,000 -$8,000 D $4,900
10 25 Sep 18 72d 40.5% $1.65 $2.15 $21,799 17% $86,000 -$8,000 D $3,620
11 26 Oct 16 100d 38.1% $2.62 $3.15 $22,995 18% $84,000 -$10,000 D $5,620
12 26 Sep 18 72d 38.1% $1.93 $2.43 $24,638 20% $84,000 -$10,000 D $4,180
13 29 PROT Oct 16 100d 30.9% $3.65 $4.20 $30,660 25% $78,000 -$16,000 D $7,720
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 07 (30d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $52, B $1.95 $46,800/yr $12,775/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $52 0.6σ, B $1.95 $46,800/yr $12,775/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($52, bid $1.95). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

INTC: HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 44d

Stock: $108.99 Current HP: 35P (44d, 67.9% OTM) Current hedge: $415/yr Current ML: $47,000 CC income: $54,640/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $13,660/yr IV: HIGH 54 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Sep 18 '26, 72d, 67.9% OTM) | Cost: $608/yr (1% of CC) | New ML: $47,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $110 | Margin (TIMS): $3,178
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 82P (Oct 16 '26, 100d, 24.3% OTM) | Cost: $13,596/yr (25% of CC) | New ML: $23,250 ↓ $23,750 | Roll DEBIT $3,715 | Margin (TIMS): $2,734
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Sep 18 72d 67.9% $0.11 $0.24 $608 1% $47,000 = D $110
2 36 Sep 18 72d 67.0% $0.13 $0.27 $684 1% $46,500 -$500 D $125
3 37 Sep 18 72d 66.1% $0.15 $0.29 $735 1% $46,000 -$1,000 D $135
4 40 Sep 18 72d 63.3% $0.22 $0.32 $811 1% $44,500 -$2,500 D $150
5 39 Sep 18 72d 64.2% $0.19 $0.33 $836 2% $45,000 -$2,000 D $155
6 35 Oct 16 100d 67.9% $0.14 $0.46 $840 2% $47,000 = D $220
7 38 Sep 18 72d 65.1% $0.10 $0.35 $887 2% $45,500 -$1,500 D $165
8 39 Oct 16 100d 64.2% $0.35 $0.50 $912 2% $45,000 -$2,000 D $240
9 40 Oct 16 100d 63.3% $0.39 $0.57 $1,040 2% $44,500 -$2,500 D $275
10 42 Sep 18 72d 61.5% $0.27 $0.42 $1,065 2% $43,500 -$3,500 D $200
11 43 Sep 18 72d 60.5% $0.30 $0.45 $1,141 2% $43,000 -$4,000 D $215
12 41 Sep 18 72d 62.4% $0.17 $0.46 $1,166 2% $44,000 -$3,000 D $220
13 82 PROT Oct 16 100d 24.3% $6.95 $7.45 $13,596 25% $23,250 -$23,750 D $3,715
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 07 (30d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $117, B $8.80 $52,800/yr $608/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $126 0.4σ, B $6.30 $37,800/yr $608/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($117, bid $8.80). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).