FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Generated: 2026-07-08 03:40:35
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$103,660/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$93,440/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$10,220/yr
ROLL CREDITS
-$1,600
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$4,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 37 positions
3 · ROLL NOW2 · REPAIR PLAN4 · LEAPS-ONLY28 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
BMNR →
+10C −18P +10P
$15.05 1018 100 $17.13 $19.57 82.28x 33.6% SAFE 50 $31,250$75,275 ROLL NOW (44d)
INTC →
+85C −100P +35P
$109.55 85100 350 $114.00 $116.74 653.24x 68.1% SAFE 5 $14,500$54,775 ROLL NOW (44d)
IREN (Neville) →
+45C −65P +21P −60C
$40.23 4565 2160 $56.50 $58.93 4415.67x 47.8% SAFE 20 $6,000$80,460 ROLL NOW (44d)
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −60C
$40.23 2547 3560 $44.00 $47.73 121.75x 13.0% SAFE 20 $32,000$80,460 REPAIR PLAN (100d)
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −60C
$40.23 2547 3560 $44.00 $47.73 121.75x 13.0% SAFE 20 $32,000$80,460 REPAIR PLAN (100d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −380C
$363.94 3100 0380 $392.50 $337.36 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$181,968 LEAPS-ONLY
GOOG (Main)
+310C −380C
$363.94 3100 0380 $392.50 $337.36 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $82,500$363,935 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −100C
$94.44 700 0100 $96.50 $85.37 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$113,328 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C −765C
$746.71 6400 0765 $764.00 $693.53 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$896,052 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P −252C
$245.44 215260 230252 $256.25 $239.14 301.80x 6.3% OK 10 $37,500$245,440 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P −600C
$529.14 460540 185600 $588.00 $603.44 3553.77x 65.0% SAFE 1 $12,800$52,914 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$12.53 1717 100 $20.74 $17.44 72.87x 20.2% SAFE 25 $9,350$31,312 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −215C
$164.24 165240 85215 $210.90 $215.90 15510.23x 48.2% SAFE 8 $13,440$131,392 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −185C
$164.24 145200 75185 $182.40 $185.45 1257.31x 54.3% SAFE 3 $5,940$49,272 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$74.24 6590 680 $93.40 $94.71 221.77x 8.4% OK 20 $56,800$148,480 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −90C
$83.23 105120 4090 $125.45 $128.62 804.91x 51.9% SAFE 5 $10,225$41,618 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −450C
$417.63 340390 150450 $398.00 $409.41 2405.14x 64.1% SAFE 3 $17,400$125,289 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$42.85 4560 200 $56.15 $58.90 406.48x 53.3% SAFE 10 $7,300$42,850 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$13.48 1316 100 $17.33 $17.91 62.39x 25.8% SAFE 50 $21,650$67,425 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −390C
$377.29 320450 330390 $456.00 $471.20 1201.88x 12.5% SAFE 10 $136,000$377,285 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$24.67 3838 180 $39.71 $33.00 2010.05x 29.1% SAFE 125 $27,625$308,375 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −375C
$363.94 300345 310375 $373.00 $336.65 351.48x 14.8% SAFE 15 $109,500$545,902 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −375C
$363.94 340405 360375 $398.00 $372.10 451.88x 1.1% TIGHT 5 $25,500$181,968 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −48C
$36.40 1020 548 $17.47 $18.78 154.04x 86.3% SAFE 15 $7,395$54,600 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −60C
$40.23 5070 2360 $63.43 $67.52 477.86x 42.8% SAFE 20 $13,700$80,460 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −410C
$363.10 270340 150410 $362.90 $377.42 1903.05x 58.7% SAFE 1 $9,290$36,310 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −630C
$615.63 480650 330630 $601.50 $601.89 3205.38x 46.4% SAFE 3 $21,900$184,690 OK
MSTR
+125C −185P +55P −112C
$98.53 125185 55112 $161.00 $167.50 13011.83x 44.2% SAFE 4 $4,800$39,412 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P −1180C
$919.00 8801010 3201180 $1028.60 $1056.41 6905.64x 65.2% SAFE 5 $74,300$459,498 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P −1180C
$919.00 9701110 3701180 $1220.00 $1245.13 7403.96x 59.7% SAFE 2 $50,000$183,799 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P −98C
$94.85 88105 7598 $114.54 $116.83 302.11x 20.9% SAFE 5 $13,520$47,425 OK
NOW
+80C −110P +90P −112C
$110.86 80110 90112 $108.93 $113.02 201.72x 18.8% SAFE 10 $27,850$110,860 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −208C
$181.01 190210 90208 $224.00 $228.13 1204.53x 50.3% SAFE 5 $17,000$90,505 OK
RIOT
+17C −40P +17P
$21.39 1740 170 $23.65 $31.60 236.24x 20.5% SAFE 50 $21,950$106,950 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −101C
$83.75 115135 45101 $141.55 $147.78 904.39x 46.3% SAFE 6 $15,930$50,250 OK
SOFI
+10C −13P +5P
$17.80 1013 50 $15.75 $16.11 82.39x 71.9% SAFE 35 $20,125$62,318 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −185C
$150.56 150195 135185 $186.00 $182.10 603.22x 10.3% SAFE 5 $13,500$75,280 OK

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 100d

Stock: $40.23 HP: 13.0% OTM Current hedge: $51,830/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $132,765/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 11 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Oct 16, 100d) | Save $5,110/yr | Payback 5mo (0.39yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.01yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 15.5% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,341
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Oct 16 100d 15.5% $6.40 $-0.40 $-800 $46,720 $57,889 $5,110 13 $2,000 5mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 33 Oct 16 100d 18.0% $6.20 $-0.20 $-400 $45,260 $60,444 $6,570 14 $4,000 7mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
3 33 Sep 18 72d 18.0% $4.90 $1.10 $2,200 $49,681 $83,950 $2,149 14 $4,000 22mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
4 32 Oct 16 100d 20.5% $5.70 $0.30 $600 $41,610 $62,050 $10,220 15 $6,000 7mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
5 32 Sep 18 72d 20.5% $4.50 $1.50 $3,000 $45,625 $86,181 $6,205 15 $6,000 12mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
6 31 Oct 16 100d 22.9% $5.20 $0.80 $1,600 $37,960 $57,670 $13,870 16 $8,000 7mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
7 31 Sep 18 72d 22.9% $4.05 $1.95 $3,900 $41,062 $80,097 $10,768 16 $8,000 9mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
8 30 Oct 16 100d 25.4% $4.50 $1.50 $3,000 $32,850 $49,640 $18,980 17 $10,000 6mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
9 30 Sep 18 72d 25.4% $3.60 $2.40 $4,800 $36,500 $68,944 $15,330 17 $10,000 8mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
10 29 Oct 16 100d 27.9% $4.30 $1.70 $3,400 $31,390 $45,990 $20,440 18 $12,000 7mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
11 29 Sep 18 72d 27.9% $3.30 $2.70 $5,400 $33,458 $63,875 $18,372 18 $12,000 8mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
12 34 Sep 18 72d 15.5% $5.35 $0.65 $1,300 $54,243 $80,401 $-2,413 13 $2,000 N/A 0mo 1.81x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 07 (30d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $48, B $2.70 $64,800/yr $46,720/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $49 0.6σ, B $2.24 $53,760/yr $46,720/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $40.23 → $32.18, hedge $57,889/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $64,800/yr $57,889/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID vs stressed $53,760/yr $57,889/yr DEFICIT $344/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($48, bid $2.70). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 20% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 100d

Stock: $40.23 HP: 13.0% OTM Current hedge: $51,830/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $132,765/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 11 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Oct 16, 100d) | Save $5,110/yr | Payback 5mo (0.39yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.01yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 15.5% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,341
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Oct 16 100d 15.5% $6.40 $-0.40 $-800 $46,720 $57,889 $5,110 13 $2,000 5mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 33 Oct 16 100d 18.0% $6.20 $-0.20 $-400 $45,260 $60,444 $6,570 14 $4,000 7mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
3 33 Sep 18 72d 18.0% $4.90 $1.10 $2,200 $49,681 $83,950 $2,149 14 $4,000 22mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
4 32 Oct 16 100d 20.5% $5.70 $0.30 $600 $41,610 $62,050 $10,220 15 $6,000 7mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
5 32 Sep 18 72d 20.5% $4.50 $1.50 $3,000 $45,625 $86,181 $6,205 15 $6,000 12mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
6 31 Oct 16 100d 22.9% $5.20 $0.80 $1,600 $37,960 $57,670 $13,870 16 $8,000 7mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
7 31 Sep 18 72d 22.9% $4.05 $1.95 $3,900 $41,062 $80,097 $10,768 16 $8,000 9mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
8 30 Oct 16 100d 25.4% $4.50 $1.50 $3,000 $32,850 $49,640 $18,980 17 $10,000 6mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
9 30 Sep 18 72d 25.4% $3.60 $2.40 $4,800 $36,500 $68,944 $15,330 17 $10,000 8mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
10 29 Oct 16 100d 27.9% $4.30 $1.70 $3,400 $31,390 $45,990 $20,440 18 $12,000 7mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
11 29 Sep 18 72d 27.9% $3.30 $2.70 $5,400 $33,458 $63,875 $18,372 18 $12,000 8mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
12 34 Sep 18 72d 15.5% $5.35 $0.65 $1,300 $54,243 $80,401 $-2,413 13 $2,000 N/A 0mo 1.81x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 07 (30d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $48, B $2.70 $64,800/yr $46,720/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $49 0.6σ, B $2.24 $53,760/yr $46,720/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $40.23 → $32.18, hedge $57,889/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $64,800/yr $57,889/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID vs stressed $53,760/yr $57,889/yr DEFICIT $344/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($48, bid $2.70). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 20% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

BMNR: HP 10P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 44d

Stock: $15.05 Current HP: 10P (44d, 33.6% OTM) Current hedge: $8,710/yr Current ML: $71,250 CC income: $78,755/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $19,689/yr IV: HIGH 4 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 10 → 10P (Nov 20 '26, 135d, 33.6% OTM) | Cost: $11,491/yr (15% of CC) | New ML: $71,250 = ML | Roll DEBIT $3,450 | Margin (TIMS): $868
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 10 → 12P (Jan 15 '27, 191d, 20.3% OTM) | Cost: $19,014/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $61,250 ↓ $10,000 | Roll DEBIT $9,150 | Margin (TIMS): $778
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 10 CHEAP Nov 20 135d 33.6% $0.72 $0.85 $11,491 15% $71,250 = D $3,450
2 10 Jan 15 191d 33.6% $1.05 $1.25 $11,944 15% $71,250 = D $5,450
3 11 Nov 20 135d 26.9% $1.10 $1.13 $15,276 19% $66,250 -$5,000 D $4,850
4 12 PROT Jan 15 191d 20.3% $1.86 $1.99 $19,014 24% $61,250 -$10,000 D $9,150
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 07 (30d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $20, B $0.30 $18,000/yr $11,491/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $18 0.6σ, B $0.57 $34,200/yr $11,491/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($20, bid $0.30). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

IREN (Neville): HP 21P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 44d

Stock: $40.23 Current HP: 21P (44d, 47.8% OTM) Current hedge: $10,784/yr Current ML: $94,000 CC income: $132,765/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $33,191/yr IV: HIGH 18 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 21 → 21P (Oct 16 '26, 100d, 47.8% OTM) | Cost: $11,680/yr (9% of CC) | New ML: $94,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $2,240 | Margin (TIMS): $1,756
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 21 → 30P (Oct 16 '26, 100d, 25.4% OTM) | Cost: $32,850/yr (25% of CC) | New ML: $76,000 ↓ $18,000 | Roll DEBIT $8,040 | Margin (TIMS): $1,553
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 21 CHEAP Oct 16 100d 47.8% $1.12 $1.60 $11,680 9% $94,000 = D $2,240
2 21 Sep 18 72d 47.8% $0.91 $1.21 $12,268 9% $94,000 = D $1,460
3 22 Oct 16 100d 45.3% $1.47 $1.90 $13,870 10% $92,000 -$2,000 D $2,840
4 22 Sep 18 72d 45.3% $1.07 $1.53 $15,512 12% $92,000 -$2,000 D $2,100
5 23 Oct 16 100d 42.8% $1.50 $2.30 $16,790 13% $90,000 -$4,000 D $3,640
6 23 Sep 18 72d 42.8% $1.01 $1.73 $17,540 13% $90,000 -$4,000 D $2,500
7 24 Sep 18 72d 40.3% $1.44 $1.86 $18,858 14% $88,000 -$6,000 D $2,760
8 24 Oct 16 100d 40.3% $1.90 $2.60 $18,980 14% $88,000 -$6,000 D $4,240
9 25 Oct 16 100d 37.9% $2.07 $2.90 $21,170 16% $86,000 -$8,000 D $4,840
10 25 Sep 18 72d 37.9% $1.59 $2.10 $21,292 16% $86,000 -$8,000 D $3,240
11 26 Oct 16 100d 35.4% $2.42 $3.25 $23,725 18% $84,000 -$10,000 D $5,540
12 26 Sep 18 72d 35.4% $2.05 $2.40 $24,333 18% $84,000 -$10,000 D $3,840
13 30 PROT Oct 16 100d 25.4% $4.25 $4.50 $32,850 25% $76,000 -$18,000 D $8,040
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 07 (30d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $49, B $2.24 $53,760/yr $11,680/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $49 0.5σ, B $2.24 $53,760/yr $11,680/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($49, bid $2.24). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

INTC: HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 44d

Stock: $109.55 Current HP: 35P (44d, 68.1% OTM) Current hedge: $373/yr Current ML: $47,000 CC income: $48,502/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $12,125/yr IV: HIGH 52 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Sep 18 '26, 72d, 68.1% OTM) | Cost: $634/yr (1% of CC) | New ML: $47,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $115 | Margin (TIMS): $3,012
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 80P (Oct 16 '26, 100d, 27.0% OTM) | Cost: $11,771/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $24,500 ↓ $22,500 | Roll DEBIT $3,215 | Margin (TIMS): $2,705
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Sep 18 72d 68.1% $0.12 $0.25 $634 1% $47,000 = D $115
2 36 Sep 18 72d 67.1% $0.14 $0.27 $684 1% $46,500 -$500 D $125
3 37 Sep 18 72d 66.2% $0.16 $0.28 $710 1% $46,000 -$1,000 D $130
4 40 Sep 18 72d 63.5% $0.25 $0.32 $811 2% $44,500 -$2,500 D $150
5 39 Sep 18 72d 64.4% $0.20 $0.33 $836 2% $45,000 -$2,000 D $155
6 35 Oct 16 100d 68.1% $0.17 $0.46 $840 2% $47,000 = D $220
7 38 Sep 18 72d 65.3% $0.12 $0.35 $887 2% $45,500 -$1,500 D $165
8 39 Oct 16 100d 64.4% $0.37 $0.50 $912 2% $45,000 -$2,000 D $240
9 40 Oct 16 100d 63.5% $0.42 $0.53 $967 2% $44,500 -$2,500 D $255
10 42 Sep 18 72d 61.7% $0.28 $0.41 $1,039 2% $43,500 -$3,500 D $195
11 43 Sep 18 72d 60.7% $0.32 $0.43 $1,090 2% $43,000 -$4,000 D $205
12 42 Oct 16 100d 61.7% $0.40 $0.61 $1,113 2% $43,500 -$3,500 D $295
13 80 PROT Oct 16 100d 27.0% $6.20 $6.45 $11,771 24% $24,500 -$22,500 D $3,215
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 07 (30d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $117, B $9.40 $56,400/yr $634/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $127 0.4σ, B $6.55 $39,300/yr $634/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($117, bid $9.40). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).