FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Generated: 2026-07-09 00:32:54
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$98,808/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$92,909/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$5,899/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$0
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$4,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 37 positions
3 · ROLL NOW2 · REPAIR PLAN4 · LEAPS-ONLY28 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
BMNR →
+10C −18P +10P
$14.45 1018 100 $17.13 $19.79 82.28x 30.8% SAFE 50 $31,250$72,225 ROLL NOW (43d)
INTC →
+85C −100P +35P
$107.33 85100 350 $114.00 $116.91 653.24x 67.4% SAFE 5 $14,500$53,665 ROLL NOW (43d)
IREN (Neville) →
+45C −65P +21P −60C
$41.16 4565 2160 $56.50 $59.04 4415.67x 49.0% SAFE 20 $6,000$82,330 ROLL NOW (43d)
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$41.16 2547 3555 $44.00 $48.08 121.75x 15.0% SAFE 20 $32,000$82,330 REPAIR PLAN (99d)
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$41.16 2547 3555 $44.00 $48.08 121.75x 15.0% SAFE 20 $32,000$82,330 REPAIR PLAN (99d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −380C
$358.47 3100 0380 $392.50 $337.66 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$179,235 LEAPS-ONLY
GOOG (Main)
+310C −380C
$358.47 3100 0380 $392.50 $337.66 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $82,500$358,470 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −100C
$92.03 700 0100 $96.50 $86.75 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$110,430 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C
$743.63 6400 00 $764.00 $693.97 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$892,356 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P −252C
$241.83 215260 230252 $256.25 $239.30 301.80x 4.9% TIGHT 10 $37,500$241,827 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P −600C
$517.47 460540 185600 $588.00 $604.68 3553.77x 64.2% SAFE 1 $12,800$51,747 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$12.16 1717 100 $20.74 $17.34 72.87x 17.8% SAFE 25 $9,350$30,400 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −215C
$160.10 165240 85215 $210.90 $218.93 15510.23x 46.9% SAFE 8 $13,440$128,084 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −215C
$160.10 145200 75215 $182.40 $189.88 1257.31x 53.2% SAFE 3 $5,940$48,032 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$72.04 6590 680 $93.40 $94.63 221.77x 5.6% OK 20 $56,800$144,080 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −90C
$85.88 105120 4090 $125.45 $128.66 804.91x 53.4% SAFE 5 $10,225$42,940 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −450C
$429.43 340390 150450 $398.00 $409.32 2405.14x 65.1% SAFE 3 $17,400$128,828 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$41.54 4560 200 $56.15 $58.96 406.48x 51.9% SAFE 10 $7,300$41,540 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$13.05 1316 100 $17.33 $17.95 62.39x 23.4% SAFE 50 $21,650$65,250 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −410C
$371.28 320450 330410 $456.00 $471.63 1201.88x 11.1% SAFE 10 $136,000$371,280 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$24.00 3838 180 $39.71 $33.31 2010.05x 27.1% SAFE 125 $27,625$300,062 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −380C
$358.47 300345 310380 $373.00 $338.39 351.48x 13.5% SAFE 15 $109,500$537,705 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −380C
$358.47 340405 360380 $398.00 $373.98 451.88x -0.4% ITM 5 $25,500$179,235 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −48C
$35.13 1020 548 $17.47 $18.58 154.04x 85.8% SAFE 15 $7,395$52,702 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −48C
$41.16 5070 2348 $63.43 $67.95 477.86x 44.1% SAFE 20 $13,700$82,330 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −410C
$356.71 270340 150410 $362.90 $374.89 1903.05x 57.9% SAFE 1 $9,290$35,672 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −630C
$604.86 480650 330630 $601.50 $604.55 3205.38x 45.4% SAFE 3 $21,900$181,458 OK
MSTR
+125C −185P +55P −112C
$94.08 125185 55112 $161.00 $169.55 13011.83x 41.5% SAFE 4 $4,800$37,632 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P
$941.00 8801010 3200 $1028.60 $1058.47 6905.64x 66.0% SAFE 5 $74,300$470,500 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P
$941.00 9701110 3700 $1220.00 $1248.70 7403.96x 60.7% SAFE 2 $50,000$188,200 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P −98C
$92.42 88105 7598 $114.54 $117.56 302.11x 18.8% SAFE 5 $13,520$46,210 OK
NOW
+80C −110P +90P −112C
$107.01 80110 90112 $108.93 $112.54 201.72x 15.9% SAFE 10 $27,850$107,010 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −208C
$184.99 190210 90208 $224.00 $229.83 1204.53x 51.3% SAFE 5 $17,000$92,495 OK
RIOT
+17C −40P +17P
$20.71 1740 170 $23.65 $30.96 237.19x 17.9% SAFE 50 $18,575$103,575 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −101C
$82.37 115135 45101 $141.55 $148.34 904.39x 45.4% SAFE 6 $15,930$49,422 OK
SOFI
+10C −13P +5P
$17.36 1013 50 $15.75 $16.33 82.39x 71.2% SAFE 35 $20,125$60,777 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P
$149.46 150195 1350 $186.00 $182.63 603.22x 9.7% OK 5 $13,500$74,729 OK

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 99d

Stock: $41.16 HP: 15.0% OTM Current hedge: $49,404/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $137,431/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 11 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Oct 16, 99d) | Save $2,949/yr | Payback 8mo (0.68yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.01yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 17.4% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,413
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Oct 16 99d 17.4% $6.30 $0.00 $0 $46,455 $62,419 $2,949 13 $2,000 8mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 33 Oct 16 99d 19.8% $5.85 $0.45 $900 $43,136 $63,045 $6,268 14 $4,000 8mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
3 33 Sep 18 71d 19.8% $4.65 $1.65 $3,300 $47,810 $87,908 $1,594 14 $4,000 30mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
4 32 Oct 16 99d 22.3% $5.15 $1.15 $2,300 $37,975 $60,096 $11,429 15 $6,000 6mo 0mo 1.94x PASS
5 32 Sep 18 71d 22.3% $4.35 $1.95 $3,900 $44,725 $83,796 $4,679 15 $6,000 15mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
6 31 Oct 16 99d 24.7% $4.80 $1.50 $3,000 $35,394 $55,303 $14,010 16 $8,000 7mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
7 31 Sep 18 71d 24.7% $3.85 $2.45 $4,900 $39,585 $77,113 $9,820 16 $8,000 10mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
8 30 Oct 16 99d 27.1% $4.30 $2.00 $4,000 $31,707 $48,667 $17,697 17 $10,000 7mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
9 30 Sep 18 71d 27.1% $3.45 $2.85 $5,700 $35,472 $67,859 $13,932 17 $10,000 9mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
10 29 Oct 16 99d 29.6% $4.20 $2.10 $4,200 $30,970 $44,980 $18,434 18 $12,000 8mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
11 29 Sep 18 71d 29.6% $3.15 $3.15 $6,300 $32,387 $62,718 $17,017 18 $12,000 8mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
12 34 Sep 18 71d 17.4% $5.15 $1.15 $2,300 $52,951 $87,035 $-3,547 13 $2,000 N/A 0mo 1.81x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $49, B $3.00 $60,000/yr $46,455/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $50 0.6σ, B $3.25 $65,000/yr $46,455/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $41.16 → $32.93, hedge $62,419/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $60,000/yr $62,419/yr DEFICIT $202/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $65,000/yr $62,419/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($50, bid $3.25). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 20% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 99d

Stock: $41.16 HP: 15.0% OTM Current hedge: $49,404/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $137,431/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 11 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Oct 16, 99d) | Save $2,949/yr | Payback 8mo (0.68yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.01yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 17.4% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,413
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Oct 16 99d 17.4% $6.30 $0.00 $0 $46,455 $62,419 $2,949 13 $2,000 8mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 33 Oct 16 99d 19.8% $5.85 $0.45 $900 $43,136 $63,045 $6,268 14 $4,000 8mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
3 33 Sep 18 71d 19.8% $4.65 $1.65 $3,300 $47,810 $87,908 $1,594 14 $4,000 30mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
4 32 Oct 16 99d 22.3% $5.15 $1.15 $2,300 $37,975 $60,096 $11,429 15 $6,000 6mo 0mo 1.94x PASS
5 32 Sep 18 71d 22.3% $4.35 $1.95 $3,900 $44,725 $83,796 $4,679 15 $6,000 15mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
6 31 Oct 16 99d 24.7% $4.80 $1.50 $3,000 $35,394 $55,303 $14,010 16 $8,000 7mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
7 31 Sep 18 71d 24.7% $3.85 $2.45 $4,900 $39,585 $77,113 $9,820 16 $8,000 10mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
8 30 Oct 16 99d 27.1% $4.30 $2.00 $4,000 $31,707 $48,667 $17,697 17 $10,000 7mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
9 30 Sep 18 71d 27.1% $3.45 $2.85 $5,700 $35,472 $67,859 $13,932 17 $10,000 9mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
10 29 Oct 16 99d 29.6% $4.20 $2.10 $4,200 $30,970 $44,980 $18,434 18 $12,000 8mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
11 29 Sep 18 71d 29.6% $3.15 $3.15 $6,300 $32,387 $62,718 $17,017 18 $12,000 8mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
12 34 Sep 18 71d 17.4% $5.15 $1.15 $2,300 $52,951 $87,035 $-3,547 13 $2,000 N/A 0mo 1.81x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $49, B $3.00 $60,000/yr $46,455/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $50 0.6σ, B $3.25 $65,000/yr $46,455/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $41.16 → $32.93, hedge $62,419/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $60,000/yr $62,419/yr DEFICIT $202/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $65,000/yr $62,419/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($50, bid $3.25). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 20% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

BMNR: HP 10P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 43d

Stock: $14.45 Current HP: 10P (43d, 30.8% OTM) Current hedge: $12,733/yr Current ML: $71,250 CC income: $57,901/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $14,475/yr IV: HIGH 2 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 10 → 10P (Jan 15 '27, 190d, 30.8% OTM) | Cost: $12,199/yr (21% of CC) | New ML: $71,250 = ML | Roll DEBIT $5,200 | Margin (TIMS): $824
PROTECTIVE PICK: same as CHEAPEST (no higher-strike candidate clears the cost cap).
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 10 CHEAP PROT Jan 15 190d 30.8% $1.10 $1.27 $12,199 21% $71,250 = D $5,200
2 10 Nov 20 134d 30.8% $0.88 $1.01 $13,756 24% $71,250 = D $3,900
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $20, B $0.20 $10,000/yr $12,199/yr DEFICIT $183/mo
CC at MID $17 0.6σ, B $0.65 $32,500/yr $12,199/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($17, bid $0.65). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

IREN (Neville): HP 21P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 43d

Stock: $41.16 Current HP: 21P (43d, 49.0% OTM) Current hedge: $14,091/yr Current ML: $94,000 CC income: $137,431/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $34,358/yr IV: HIGH 19 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 21 → 21P (Sep 18 '26, 71d, 49.0% OTM) | Cost: $12,030/yr (9% of CC) | New ML: $94,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $1,640 | Margin (TIMS): $1,868
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 21 → 30P (Oct 16 '26, 99d, 27.1% OTM) | Cost: $31,707/yr (23% of CC) | New ML: $76,000 ↓ $18,000 | Roll DEBIT $7,900 | Margin (TIMS): $1,629
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 21 CHEAP Sep 18 71d 49.0% $1.00 $1.17 $12,030 9% $94,000 = D $1,640
2 21 Oct 16 99d 49.0% $1.30 $1.75 $12,904 9% $94,000 = D $2,800
3 22 Oct 16 99d 46.6% $1.52 $1.81 $13,346 10% $92,000 -$2,000 D $2,920
4 22 Sep 18 71d 46.6% $1.17 $1.34 $13,777 10% $92,000 -$2,000 D $1,980
5 23 Oct 16 99d 44.1% $1.76 $2.24 $16,517 12% $90,000 -$4,000 D $3,780
6 24 Oct 16 99d 41.7% $2.03 $2.38 $17,549 13% $88,000 -$6,000 D $4,060
7 23 Sep 18 71d 44.1% $1.25 $1.72 $17,685 13% $90,000 -$4,000 D $2,740
8 24 Sep 18 71d 41.7% $1.43 $1.93 $19,844 14% $88,000 -$6,000 D $3,160
9 25 Sep 18 71d 39.3% $1.77 $1.99 $20,461 15% $86,000 -$8,000 D $3,280
10 25 Oct 16 99d 39.3% $2.32 $2.79 $20,573 15% $86,000 -$8,000 D $4,880
11 26 Oct 16 99d 36.8% $2.73 $2.80 $20,646 15% $84,000 -$10,000 D $4,900
12 26 Sep 18 71d 36.8% $2.07 $2.27 $23,339 17% $84,000 -$10,000 D $3,840
13 30 PROT Oct 16 99d 27.1% $4.10 $4.30 $31,707 23% $76,000 -$18,000 D $7,900
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $50, B $3.25 $65,000/yr $12,030/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $50 0.5σ, B $3.25 $65,000/yr $12,030/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($50, bid $3.25). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

INTC: HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 43d

Stock: $107.33 Current HP: 35P (43d, 67.4% OTM) Current hedge: $340/yr Current ML: $47,000 CC income: $45,690/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $11,422/yr IV: HIGH 50 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Sep 18 '26, 71d, 67.4% OTM) | Cost: $591/yr (1% of CC) | New ML: $47,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $105 | Margin (TIMS): $3,243
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 78P (Oct 16 '26, 99d, 27.8% OTM) | Cost: $10,968/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $25,750 ↓ $21,250 | Roll DEBIT $2,965 | Margin (TIMS): $2,919
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Sep 18 71d 67.4% $0.12 $0.23 $591 1% $47,000 = D $105
2 36 Sep 18 71d 66.5% $0.14 $0.26 $668 1% $46,500 -$500 D $120
3 35 Oct 16 99d 67.4% $0.16 $0.41 $756 2% $47,000 = D $195
4 37 Sep 18 71d 65.5% $0.16 $0.30 $771 2% $46,000 -$1,000 D $140
5 40 Sep 18 71d 62.7% $0.25 $0.30 $771 2% $44,500 -$2,500 D $140
6 39 Sep 18 71d 63.7% $0.22 $0.33 $848 2% $45,000 -$2,000 D $155
7 38 Sep 18 71d 64.6% $0.11 $0.35 $900 2% $45,500 -$1,500 D $165
8 39 Oct 16 99d 63.7% $0.36 $0.50 $922 2% $45,000 -$2,000 D $240
9 40 Oct 16 99d 62.7% $0.42 $0.55 $1,014 2% $44,500 -$2,500 D $265
10 42 Sep 18 71d 60.9% $0.29 $0.44 $1,131 2% $43,500 -$3,500 D $210
11 43 Sep 18 71d 59.9% $0.33 $0.44 $1,131 2% $43,000 -$4,000 D $210
12 45 Sep 18 71d 58.1% $0.40 $0.44 $1,131 2% $42,000 -$5,000 D $210
13 78 PROT Oct 16 99d 27.8% $5.75 $5.95 $10,968 24% $25,750 -$21,250 D $2,965
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $117, B $9.05 $45,250/yr $591/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $125 0.4σ, B $6.95 $34,750/yr $591/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($117, bid $9.05). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).