FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Generated: 2026-07-09 03:41:23
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$98,808/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$92,909/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$5,899/yr
ROLL CREDITS
-$1,400
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$4,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 38 positions
3 · ROLL NOW2 · REPAIR PLAN4 · LEAPS-ONLY29 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
BMNR →
+10C −18P +10P
$14.79 1018 100 $17.13 $19.86 82.28x 32.4% SAFE 50 $31,250$73,975 ROLL NOW (43d)
INTC →
+85C −100P +35P
$107.72 85100 350 $114.00 $116.51 653.24x 67.5% SAFE 5 $14,500$53,862 ROLL NOW (43d)
IREN (Neville) →
+45C −65P +21P −48C
$42.68 4565 2148 $56.50 $59.72 4415.67x 50.8% SAFE 20 $6,000$85,360 ROLL NOW (43d)
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$42.68 2547 3555 $44.00 $49.01 121.75x 18.0% SAFE 20 $32,000$85,360 REPAIR PLAN (99d)
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$42.68 2547 3555 $44.00 $49.01 121.75x 18.0% SAFE 20 $32,000$85,360 REPAIR PLAN (99d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −380C
$356.15 3100 0380 $392.50 $338.97 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$178,075 LEAPS-ONLY
GOOG (Main)
+310C −380C
$356.15 3100 0380 $392.50 $338.97 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $82,500$356,150 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −100C
$92.64 700 0100 $96.50 $87.08 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$111,168 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C
$745.22 6400 00 $764.00 $694.24 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$894,264 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P −252C
$242.86 215260 230252 $256.25 $240.04 301.80x 5.3% OK 10 $37,500$242,860 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P −600C
$522.56 460540 185600 $588.00 $601.12 3553.77x 64.6% SAFE 1 $12,800$52,256 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$12.27 1717 100 $20.74 $17.50 72.87x 18.5% SAFE 25 $9,350$30,662 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −215C
$160.89 165240 85215 $210.90 $217.75 15510.23x 47.2% SAFE 8 $13,440$128,713 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −215C
$160.89 145200 75215 $182.40 $188.27 1257.31x 53.4% SAFE 3 $5,940$48,267 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$73.10 6590 680 $93.40 $94.28 221.77x 7.0% OK 20 $56,800$146,200 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −90C
$89.19 105120 4090 $125.45 $128.58 804.91x 55.2% SAFE 5 $10,225$44,595 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −450C
$430.52 340390 150450 $398.00 $408.87 2405.14x 65.2% SAFE 3 $17,400$129,156 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$42.48 4560 200 $56.15 $60.21 406.48x 52.9% SAFE 10 $7,300$42,485 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$13.12 1316 100 $17.33 $18.02 62.39x 23.8% SAFE 50 $21,650$65,595 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −410C
$375.04 320450 330410 $456.00 $471.29 1201.88x 12.0% SAFE 10 $136,000$375,040 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$24.34 3838 180 $39.71 $33.71 2010.05x 28.1% SAFE 125 $27,625$304,250 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −380C
$356.15 300345 310380 $373.00 $338.45 351.48x 13.0% SAFE 15 $109,500$534,225 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −380C
$356.15 340405 360380 $398.00 $375.11 451.88x -1.1% ITM 5 $25,500$178,075 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −48C
$36.31 1020 548 $17.47 $19.80 154.04x 86.2% SAFE 15 $7,395$54,465 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −48C
$42.68 5070 2348 $63.43 $67.69 477.86x 46.1% SAFE 20 $13,700$85,360 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −410C
$359.27 270340 150410 $362.90 $374.70 1903.05x 58.2% SAFE 1 $9,290$35,927 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −630C
$601.03 480650 330630 $601.50 $604.16 3205.38x 45.1% SAFE 3 $21,900$180,309 OK
MSTR
+125C −185P +55P
$94.69 125185 550 $161.00 $168.21 13011.83x 41.9% SAFE 4 $4,800$37,874 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P
$947.25 8801010 3200 $1028.60 $1057.84 6905.64x 66.2% SAFE 5 $74,300$473,625 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P
$947.25 9701110 3700 $1220.00 $1246.91 7403.96x 60.9% SAFE 2 $50,000$189,450 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P −98C
$93.03 88105 7598 $114.54 $118.26 302.11x 19.4% SAFE 5 $13,520$46,517 OK
NOW
+80C −110P +90P −112C
$107.78 80110 90112 $108.93 $112.04 201.72x 16.5% SAFE 10 $27,850$107,780 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P
$204.44 140175 700 $199.60 $202.94 1052.76x 65.8% SAFE 5 $29,800$102,220 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −208C
$185.10 190210 90208 $224.00 $228.22 1204.53x 51.4% SAFE 5 $17,000$92,550 OK
RIOT
+17C −40P +17P
$21.21 1740 170 $23.65 $31.92 236.46x 19.9% SAFE 50 $21,075$106,075 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −101C
$82.89 115135 45101 $141.55 $147.99 904.39x 45.7% SAFE 6 $15,930$49,734 OK
SOFI
+10C −13P +5P
$17.64 1013 50 $15.75 $16.17 82.39x 71.6% SAFE 35 $20,125$61,723 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P
$145.52 150195 1350 $186.00 $181.17 603.22x 7.2% OK 5 $13,500$72,759 OK

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 99d

Stock: $42.68 HP: 18.0% OTM Current hedge: $49,404/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $150,172/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 9 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Oct 16, 99d) | Save $2,949/yr | Payback 8mo (0.68yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.01yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 20.3% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,502
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Oct 16 99d 20.3% $6.30 $-0.35 $-700 $46,455 $67,322 $2,949 13 $2,000 8mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 33 Oct 16 99d 22.7% $5.40 $0.55 $1,100 $39,818 $61,939 $9,586 14 $4,000 5mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
3 33 Sep 18 71d 22.7% $4.45 $1.50 $3,000 $45,754 $86,366 $3,651 14 $4,000 13mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
4 32 Oct 16 99d 25.0% $5.00 $0.95 $1,900 $36,869 $57,146 $12,535 15 $6,000 6mo 0mo 1.94x PASS
5 32 Sep 18 71d 25.0% $4.05 $1.90 $3,800 $41,641 $79,683 $7,763 15 $6,000 9mo 0mo 1.94x PASS
6 31 Oct 16 99d 27.4% $4.80 $1.15 $2,300 $35,394 $54,197 $14,010 16 $8,000 7mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
7 31 Sep 18 71d 27.4% $3.70 $2.25 $4,500 $38,042 $75,570 $11,362 16 $8,000 8mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
8 30 Sep 18 71d 29.7% $3.15 $2.80 $5,600 $32,387 $69,401 $17,017 17 $10,000 7mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
9 30 Oct 16 99d 29.7% $4.40 $1.55 $3,100 $32,444 $49,773 $16,960 17 $10,000 7mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
10 34 Sep 18 71d 20.3% $5.15 $0.80 $1,600 $52,951 $93,872 $-3,547 13 $2,000 N/A 0mo 1.81x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $50, B $3.25 $65,000/yr $46,455/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $53 0.6σ, B $2.60 $52,000/yr $46,455/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $42.68 → $34.14, hedge $67,322/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $65,000/yr $67,322/yr DEFICIT $194/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $52,000/yr $67,322/yr DEFICIT $1,277/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($53, bid $2.60) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 20% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,277/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 99d

Stock: $42.68 HP: 18.0% OTM Current hedge: $49,404/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $150,172/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 9 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Oct 16, 99d) | Save $2,949/yr | Payback 8mo (0.68yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.01yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 20.3% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,502
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Oct 16 99d 20.3% $6.30 $-0.35 $-700 $46,455 $67,322 $2,949 13 $2,000 8mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 33 Oct 16 99d 22.7% $5.40 $0.55 $1,100 $39,818 $61,939 $9,586 14 $4,000 5mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
3 33 Sep 18 71d 22.7% $4.45 $1.50 $3,000 $45,754 $86,366 $3,651 14 $4,000 13mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
4 32 Oct 16 99d 25.0% $5.00 $0.95 $1,900 $36,869 $57,146 $12,535 15 $6,000 6mo 0mo 1.94x PASS
5 32 Sep 18 71d 25.0% $4.05 $1.90 $3,800 $41,641 $79,683 $7,763 15 $6,000 9mo 0mo 1.94x PASS
6 31 Oct 16 99d 27.4% $4.80 $1.15 $2,300 $35,394 $54,197 $14,010 16 $8,000 7mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
7 31 Sep 18 71d 27.4% $3.70 $2.25 $4,500 $38,042 $75,570 $11,362 16 $8,000 8mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
8 30 Sep 18 71d 29.7% $3.15 $2.80 $5,600 $32,387 $69,401 $17,017 17 $10,000 7mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
9 30 Oct 16 99d 29.7% $4.40 $1.55 $3,100 $32,444 $49,773 $16,960 17 $10,000 7mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
10 34 Sep 18 71d 20.3% $5.15 $0.80 $1,600 $52,951 $93,872 $-3,547 13 $2,000 N/A 0mo 1.81x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $50, B $3.25 $65,000/yr $46,455/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $53 0.6σ, B $2.60 $52,000/yr $46,455/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $42.68 → $34.14, hedge $67,322/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $65,000/yr $67,322/yr DEFICIT $194/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $52,000/yr $67,322/yr DEFICIT $1,277/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($53, bid $2.60) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 20% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,277/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

BMNR: HP 10P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 43d

Stock: $14.79 Current HP: 10P (43d, 32.4% OTM) Current hedge: $10,610/yr Current ML: $71,250 CC income: $67,779/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $16,945/yr IV: HIGH 3 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 10 → 10P (Nov 20 '26, 134d, 32.4% OTM) | Cost: $11,849/yr (17% of CC) | New ML: $71,250 = ML | Roll DEBIT $3,300 | Margin (TIMS): $831
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 10 → 11P (Nov 20 '26, 134d, 25.7% OTM) | Cost: $16,071/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $66,250 ↓ $5,000 | Roll DEBIT $4,850 | Margin (TIMS): $763
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 10 CHEAP Nov 20 134d 32.4% $0.85 $0.87 $11,849 17% $71,250 = D $3,300
2 10 Jan 15 190d 32.4% $1.17 $1.27 $12,199 18% $71,250 = D $5,300
3 11 PROT Nov 20 134d 25.7% $1.16 $1.18 $16,071 24% $66,250 -$5,000 D $4,850
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $20, B $0.20 $10,000/yr $11,849/yr DEFICIT $154/mo
CC at MID $18 0.6σ, B $0.57 $28,500/yr $11,849/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($18, bid $0.57). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

IREN (Neville): HP 21P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 43d

Stock: $42.68 Current HP: 21P (43d, 50.8% OTM) Current hedge: $10,356/yr Current ML: $94,000 CC income: $150,172/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $37,543/yr IV: HIGH 22 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 21 → 21P (Sep 18 '26, 71d, 50.8% OTM) | Cost: $11,413/yr (8% of CC) | New ML: $94,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $1,640 | Margin (TIMS): $1,933
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 21 → 32P (Oct 16 '26, 99d, 25.0% OTM) | Cost: $36,869/yr (25% of CC) | New ML: $72,000 ↓ $22,000 | Roll DEBIT $9,420 | Margin (TIMS): $1,649
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 21 CHEAP Sep 18 71d 50.8% $0.91 $1.11 $11,413 8% $94,000 = D $1,640
2 21 Oct 16 99d 50.8% $1.30 $1.75 $12,904 9% $94,000 = D $2,920
3 22 Sep 18 71d 48.5% $0.96 $1.33 $13,675 9% $92,000 -$2,000 D $2,080
4 22 Oct 16 99d 48.5% $1.50 $1.88 $13,863 9% $92,000 -$2,000 D $3,180
5 23 Sep 18 71d 46.1% $1.25 $1.48 $15,217 10% $90,000 -$4,000 D $2,380
6 23 Oct 16 99d 46.1% $1.78 $2.24 $16,517 11% $90,000 -$4,000 D $3,900
7 24 Sep 18 71d 43.8% $1.43 $1.68 $17,273 12% $88,000 -$6,000 D $2,780
8 24 Oct 16 99d 43.8% $2.03 $2.52 $18,582 12% $88,000 -$6,000 D $4,460
9 25 Sep 18 71d 41.4% $1.65 $1.93 $19,844 13% $86,000 -$8,000 D $3,280
10 25 Oct 16 99d 41.4% $2.17 $2.79 $20,573 14% $86,000 -$8,000 D $5,000
11 26 Sep 18 71d 39.1% $1.91 $2.12 $21,797 15% $84,000 -$10,000 D $3,660
12 26 Oct 16 99d 39.1% $2.55 $2.99 $22,047 15% $84,000 -$10,000 D $5,400
13 32 PROT Oct 16 99d 25.0% $4.65 $5.00 $36,869 25% $72,000 -$22,000 D $9,420
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $53, B $2.60 $52,000/yr $11,413/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $53 0.5σ, B $2.60 $52,000/yr $11,413/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($53, bid $2.60). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

INTC: HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 43d

Stock: $107.72 Current HP: 35P (43d, 67.5% OTM) Current hedge: $340/yr Current ML: $47,000 CC income: $46,530/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $11,632/yr IV: HIGH 50 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Sep 18 '26, 71d, 67.5% OTM) | Cost: $591/yr (1% of CC) | New ML: $47,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $105 | Margin (TIMS): $3,251
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 78P (Oct 16 '26, 99d, 28.1% OTM) | Cost: $10,968/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $25,750 ↓ $21,250 | Roll DEBIT $2,965 | Margin (TIMS): $2,930
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Sep 18 71d 67.5% $0.12 $0.23 $591 1% $47,000 = D $105
2 36 Sep 18 71d 66.6% $0.14 $0.25 $643 1% $46,500 -$500 D $115
3 37 Sep 18 71d 65.7% $0.16 $0.25 $643 1% $46,000 -$1,000 D $115
4 35 Oct 16 99d 67.5% $0.16 $0.41 $756 2% $47,000 = D $195
5 40 Sep 18 71d 62.9% $0.20 $0.30 $771 2% $44,500 -$2,500 D $140
6 39 Sep 18 71d 63.8% $0.19 $0.32 $823 2% $45,000 -$2,000 D $150
7 38 Sep 18 71d 64.7% $0.11 $0.35 $900 2% $45,500 -$1,500 D $165
8 39 Oct 16 99d 63.8% $0.32 $0.50 $922 2% $45,000 -$2,000 D $240
9 40 Oct 16 99d 62.9% $0.36 $0.54 $995 2% $44,500 -$2,500 D $260
10 42 Sep 18 71d 61.0% $0.25 $0.40 $1,028 2% $43,500 -$3,500 D $190
11 41 Oct 16 99d 61.9% $0.36 $0.57 $1,051 2% $44,000 -$3,000 D $275
12 43 Sep 18 71d 60.1% $0.28 $0.43 $1,105 2% $43,000 -$4,000 D $205
13 78 PROT Oct 16 99d 28.1% $5.55 $5.95 $10,968 24% $25,750 -$21,250 D $2,965
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $117, B $9.25 $46,250/yr $591/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $125 0.4σ, B $7.10 $35,500/yr $591/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($117, bid $9.25). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).