FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Generated: 2026-07-09 13:30:45
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$97,333/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$92,909/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$4,424/yr
ROLL CREDITS
-$4,000
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$4,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 38 positions
3 · ROLL NOW2 · REPAIR PLAN4 · LEAPS-ONLY29 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
BMNR →
+10C −18P +10P
$14.83 1018 100 $17.13 $19.53 82.28x 32.6% SAFE 50 $31,250$74,150 ROLL NOW (43d)
INTC →
+85C −100P +35P
$111.09 85100 350 $114.00 $116.94 653.24x 68.5% SAFE 5 $14,500$55,545 ROLL NOW (43d)
IREN (Neville) →
+45C −65P +21P −48C
$43.57 4565 2148 $56.50 $59.13 4415.67x 51.8% SAFE 20 $6,000$87,140 ROLL NOW (43d)
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$43.57 2547 3555 $44.00 $49.58 121.75x 19.7% SAFE 20 $32,000$87,140 REPAIR PLAN (99d)
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$43.57 2547 3555 $44.00 $49.58 121.75x 19.7% SAFE 20 $32,000$87,140 REPAIR PLAN (99d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −380C
$358.81 3100 0380 $392.50 $338.26 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$179,405 LEAPS-ONLY
GOOG (Main)
+310C −380C
$358.81 3100 0380 $392.50 $338.26 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $82,500$358,810 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −100C
$92.69 700 0100 $96.50 $87.54 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$111,228 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C
$746.80 6400 00 $764.00 $695.07 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$896,160 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P −252C
$243.78 215260 230252 $256.25 $239.23 301.80x 5.7% OK 10 $37,500$243,780 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P −600C
$522.20 460540 185600 $588.00 $603.65 3553.77x 64.6% SAFE 1 $12,800$52,220 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$12.46 1717 100 $20.74 $17.13 72.87x 19.7% SAFE 25 $9,350$31,150 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −215C
$160.05 165240 85215 $210.90 $218.41 15510.23x 46.9% SAFE 8 $13,440$128,040 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −215C
$160.05 145200 75215 $182.40 $188.69 1257.31x 53.1% SAFE 3 $5,940$48,015 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$72.41 6590 680 $93.40 $93.93 221.77x 6.1% OK 20 $56,800$144,820 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −90C
$89.39 105120 4090 $125.45 $128.04 804.91x 55.3% SAFE 5 $10,225$44,695 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −450C
$433.95 340390 150450 $398.00 $410.30 2405.14x 65.4% SAFE 3 $17,400$130,185 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$43.05 4560 200 $56.15 $59.26 406.48x 53.5% SAFE 10 $7,300$43,050 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$13.11 1316 100 $17.33 $18.01 62.39x 23.8% SAFE 50 $21,650$65,575 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −410C
$373.51 320450 330410 $456.00 $470.52 1201.88x 11.6% SAFE 10 $136,000$373,510 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$24.90 3838 180 $39.71 $33.98 2010.05x 29.7% SAFE 125 $27,625$311,250 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −380C
$358.81 300345 310380 $373.00 $337.39 351.48x 13.6% SAFE 15 $109,500$538,215 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −380C
$358.81 340405 360380 $398.00 $375.10 451.88x -0.3% ITM 5 $25,500$179,405 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −48C
$36.19 1020 548 $17.47 $19.49 154.04x 86.2% SAFE 15 $7,395$54,285 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −48C
$43.57 5070 2348 $63.43 $68.67 477.86x 47.2% SAFE 20 $13,700$87,140 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −410C
$358.00 270340 150410 $362.90 $372.75 1903.05x 58.1% SAFE 1 $9,290$35,800 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −630C
$604.51 480650 330630 $601.50 $605.59 3205.38x 45.4% SAFE 3 $21,900$181,353 OK
MSTR
+125C −185P +55P
$94.60 125185 550 $161.00 $168.28 13011.83x 41.9% SAFE 4 $4,800$37,840 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P
$942.91 8801010 3200 $1028.60 $1051.37 6905.64x 66.1% SAFE 5 $74,300$471,455 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P
$942.91 9701110 3700 $1220.00 $1241.20 7403.96x 60.8% SAFE 2 $50,000$188,582 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P −98C
$93.20 88105 7598 $114.54 $118.33 302.11x 19.5% SAFE 5 $13,520$46,600 OK
NOW
+80C −110P +90P −112C
$108.20 80110 90112 $108.93 $112.08 201.72x 16.8% SAFE 10 $27,850$108,200 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P
$204.26 140175 700 $199.60 $202.77 1052.76x 65.7% SAFE 5 $29,800$102,130 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −208C
$186.96 190210 90208 $224.00 $229.29 1204.53x 51.9% SAFE 5 $17,000$93,478 OK
RIOT
+17C −40P +17P
$21.09 1740 170 $23.65 $31.60 236.62x 19.4% SAFE 50 $20,450$105,450 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −101C
$85.35 115135 45101 $141.55 $150.42 904.39x 47.3% SAFE 6 $15,930$51,210 OK
SOFI
+10C −13P +5P
$17.73 1013 50 $15.75 $16.18 82.39x 71.8% SAFE 35 $20,125$62,055 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P
$149.21 150195 1350 $186.00 $184.00 603.22x 9.5% OK 5 $13,500$74,605 OK

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 99d

Stock: $43.57 HP: 19.7% OTM Current hedge: $48,667/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $133,637/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 7 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Oct 16, 99d) | Save $2,212/yr | Payback 11mo (0.90yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.01yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 22.0% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Oct 16 99d 22.0% $6.30 $-1.00 $-2,000 $46,455 $63,414 $2,212 13 $2,000 11mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 33 Oct 16 99d 24.3% $5.55 $-0.25 $-500 $40,924 $61,939 $7,742 14 $4,000 6mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
3 33 Sep 18 71d 24.3% $4.40 $0.90 $1,800 $45,239 $86,366 $3,427 14 $4,000 14mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
4 32 Oct 16 99d 26.6% $5.20 $0.10 $200 $38,343 $56,409 $10,323 15 $6,000 7mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
5 32 Sep 18 71d 26.6% $4.05 $1.25 $2,500 $41,641 $78,655 $7,026 15 $6,000 10mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
6 31 Oct 16 99d 28.9% $4.80 $0.50 $1,000 $35,394 $54,934 $13,273 16 $8,000 7mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
7 31 Sep 18 71d 28.9% $3.95 $1.35 $2,700 $40,613 $76,599 $8,054 16 $8,000 12mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
8 34 Sep 18 71d 22.0% $5.15 $0.15 $300 $52,951 $88,423 $-4,284 13 $2,000 N/A 0mo 1.81x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $50, B $2.65 $53,000/yr $46,455/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $54 0.6σ, B $2.27 $45,400/yr $46,455/yr DEFICIT $88/mo
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $43.57 → $34.86, hedge $63,414/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $53,000/yr $63,414/yr DEFICIT $868/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $45,400/yr $63,414/yr DEFICIT $1,501/mo
SUSTAINABLE AT SS Conservative CC covers repaired hedge
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($50, bid $2.65). Hedge is light enough that conservative CCs cover it. Stress case unmodelled or insufficient data.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 99d

Stock: $43.57 HP: 19.7% OTM Current hedge: $48,667/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $133,637/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 7 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Oct 16, 99d) | Save $2,212/yr | Payback 11mo (0.90yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.01yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 22.0% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Oct 16 99d 22.0% $6.30 $-1.00 $-2,000 $46,455 $63,414 $2,212 13 $2,000 11mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 33 Oct 16 99d 24.3% $5.55 $-0.25 $-500 $40,924 $61,939 $7,742 14 $4,000 6mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
3 33 Sep 18 71d 24.3% $4.40 $0.90 $1,800 $45,239 $86,366 $3,427 14 $4,000 14mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
4 32 Oct 16 99d 26.6% $5.20 $0.10 $200 $38,343 $56,409 $10,323 15 $6,000 7mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
5 32 Sep 18 71d 26.6% $4.05 $1.25 $2,500 $41,641 $78,655 $7,026 15 $6,000 10mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
6 31 Oct 16 99d 28.9% $4.80 $0.50 $1,000 $35,394 $54,934 $13,273 16 $8,000 7mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
7 31 Sep 18 71d 28.9% $3.95 $1.35 $2,700 $40,613 $76,599 $8,054 16 $8,000 12mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
8 34 Sep 18 71d 22.0% $5.15 $0.15 $300 $52,951 $88,423 $-4,284 13 $2,000 N/A 0mo 1.81x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $50, B $2.65 $53,000/yr $46,455/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $54 0.6σ, B $2.27 $45,400/yr $46,455/yr DEFICIT $88/mo
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $43.57 → $34.86, hedge $63,414/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $53,000/yr $63,414/yr DEFICIT $868/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $45,400/yr $63,414/yr DEFICIT $1,501/mo
SUSTAINABLE AT SS Conservative CC covers repaired hedge
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($50, bid $2.65). Hedge is light enough that conservative CCs cover it. Stress case unmodelled or insufficient data.

BMNR: HP 10P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 43d

Stock: $14.83 Current HP: 10P (43d, 32.6% OTM) Current hedge: $10,610/yr Current ML: $71,250 CC income: $69,866/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $17,467/yr IV: HIGH 3 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 10 → 10P (Nov 20 '26, 134d, 32.6% OTM) | Cost: $11,713/yr (17% of CC) | New ML: $71,250 = ML | Roll DEBIT $3,400 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 10 → 11P (Nov 20 '26, 134d, 25.8% OTM) | Cost: $15,935/yr (23% of CC) | New ML: $66,250 ↓ $5,000 | Roll DEBIT $4,950 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 10 CHEAP Nov 20 134d 32.6% $0.83 $0.86 $11,713 17% $71,250 = D $3,400
2 10 Jan 15 190d 32.6% $1.15 $1.27 $12,199 17% $71,250 = D $5,450
3 11 PROT Nov 20 134d 25.8% $1.13 $1.17 $15,935 23% $66,250 -$5,000 D $4,950
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $20, B $0.20 $10,000/yr $11,713/yr DEFICIT $143/mo
CC at MID $18 0.6σ, B $0.60 $30,000/yr $11,713/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($18, bid $0.60). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

IREN (Neville): HP 21P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 43d

Stock: $43.57 Current HP: 21P (43d, 51.8% OTM) Current hedge: $13,751/yr Current ML: $94,000 CC income: $133,637/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $33,409/yr IV: HIGH 19 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 21 → 21P (Sep 18 '26, 71d, 51.8% OTM) | Cost: $11,413/yr (9% of CC) | New ML: $94,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $2,040 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 21 → 30P (Sep 18 '26, 71d, 31.1% OTM) | Cost: $32,387/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $76,000 ↓ $18,000 | Roll DEBIT $6,120 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 21 CHEAP Sep 18 71d 51.8% $0.91 $1.11 $11,413 9% $94,000 = D $2,040
2 21 Oct 16 99d 51.8% $1.30 $1.75 $12,904 10% $94,000 = D $3,320
3 22 Sep 18 71d 49.5% $0.96 $1.33 $13,675 10% $92,000 -$2,000 D $2,480
4 22 Oct 16 99d 49.5% $1.50 $1.88 $13,863 10% $92,000 -$2,000 D $3,580
5 23 Oct 16 99d 47.2% $1.77 $2.24 $16,517 12% $90,000 -$4,000 D $4,300
6 23 Sep 18 71d 47.2% $1.25 $1.68 $17,273 13% $90,000 -$4,000 D $3,180
7 24 Sep 18 71d 44.9% $1.43 $1.68 $17,273 13% $88,000 -$6,000 D $3,180
8 24 Oct 16 99d 44.9% $1.95 $2.52 $18,582 14% $88,000 -$6,000 D $4,860
9 25 Sep 18 71d 42.6% $1.65 $1.93 $19,844 15% $86,000 -$8,000 D $3,680
10 25 Oct 16 99d 42.6% $2.18 $2.79 $20,573 15% $86,000 -$8,000 D $5,400
11 26 Oct 16 99d 40.3% $2.55 $2.99 $22,047 16% $84,000 -$10,000 D $5,800
12 26 Sep 18 71d 40.3% $1.75 $2.32 $23,854 18% $84,000 -$10,000 D $4,460
13 30 PROT Sep 18 71d 31.1% $2.99 $3.15 $32,387 24% $76,000 -$18,000 D $6,120
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $55, B $2.19 $43,800/yr $11,413/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $55 0.6σ, B $2.19 $43,800/yr $11,413/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($55, bid $2.19). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

INTC: HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 43d

Stock: $111.09 Current HP: 35P (43d, 68.5% OTM) Current hedge: $340/yr Current ML: $47,000 CC income: $55,739/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $13,935/yr IV: HIGH 54 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Sep 18 '26, 71d, 68.5% OTM) | Cost: $565/yr (1% of CC) | New ML: $47,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $100 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 82P (Oct 16 '26, 99d, 25.7% OTM) | Cost: $13,365/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $23,250 ↓ $23,750 | Roll DEBIT $3,615 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Sep 18 71d 68.5% $0.10 $0.22 $565 1% $47,000 = D $100
2 36 Sep 18 71d 67.6% $0.10 $0.24 $617 1% $46,500 -$500 D $110
3 37 Sep 18 71d 66.7% $0.12 $0.26 $668 1% $46,000 -$1,000 D $120
4 40 Sep 18 71d 64.0% $0.20 $0.29 $745 1% $44,500 -$2,500 D $135
5 35 Oct 16 99d 68.5% $0.10 $0.41 $756 1% $47,000 = D $195
6 39 Sep 18 71d 64.9% $0.16 $0.30 $771 1% $45,000 -$2,000 D $140
7 38 Sep 18 71d 65.8% $0.10 $0.35 $900 2% $45,500 -$1,500 D $165
8 39 Oct 16 99d 64.9% $0.30 $0.49 $903 2% $45,000 -$2,000 D $235
9 40 Oct 16 99d 64.0% $0.35 $0.53 $977 2% $44,500 -$2,500 D $255
10 42 Sep 18 71d 62.2% $0.23 $0.39 $1,002 2% $43,500 -$3,500 D $185
11 41 Sep 18 71d 63.1% $0.13 $0.42 $1,080 2% $44,000 -$3,000 D $200
12 43 Sep 18 71d 61.3% $0.27 $0.42 $1,080 2% $43,000 -$4,000 D $200
13 82 PROT Oct 16 99d 25.7% $6.45 $7.25 $13,365 24% $23,250 -$23,750 D $3,615
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $117, B $10.30 $51,500/yr $565/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $128 0.4σ, B $7.00 $35,000/yr $565/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($117, bid $10.30). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).