FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Generated: 2026-07-09 21:41:36
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$23,003/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (CHEAPEST)
$24,766/yr
Δ HEDGE (CHEAPEST vs CURRENT)
+$1,763/yr
ROLL DEBIT (CHEAPEST)
-$8,525
MAX LOSS REDUCTION (PROTECTIVE)
-$52,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 38 positions
3 · ROLL NOW4 · LEAPS-ONLY31 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
BMNR →
+10C −18P +10P
$14.70 1018 100 $17.13 $19.77 82.28x 32.0% SAFE 50 $31,250$73,500 ROLL NOW (43d)
INTC →
+85C −100P +35P
$115.91 85100 350 $114.00 $117.38 653.24x 69.8% SAFE 5 $14,500$57,952 ROLL NOW (43d)
IREN (Neville) →
+45C −65P +21P −48C
$44.24 4565 2148 $56.50 $58.06 4415.67x 52.5% SAFE 20 $6,000$88,480 ROLL NOW (43d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −380C
$355.31 3100 0380 $392.50 $338.43 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$177,655 LEAPS-ONLY
GOOG (Main)
+310C −380C
$355.31 3100 0380 $392.50 $338.43 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $82,500$355,310 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −100C
$92.01 700 0100 $96.50 $86.62 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$110,412 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C
$748.00 6400 00 $764.00 $694.40 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$897,600 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P −252C
$240.85 215260 230252 $256.25 $239.39 301.80x 4.5% TIGHT 10 $37,500$240,855 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P −600C
$515.93 460540 185600 $588.00 $605.76 3553.77x 64.1% SAFE 1 $12,800$51,593 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$12.74 1717 100 $20.74 $17.21 72.87x 21.5% SAFE 25 $9,350$31,850 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −215C
$157.15 165240 85215 $210.90 $216.70 15510.23x 45.9% SAFE 8 $13,440$125,720 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −215C
$157.15 145200 75215 $182.40 $188.78 1257.31x 52.3% SAFE 3 $5,940$47,145 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$74.44 6590 680 $93.40 $94.43 221.77x 8.7% OK 20 $56,800$148,880 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −90C
$93.42 105120 4090 $125.45 $127.81 804.91x 57.2% SAFE 5 $10,225$46,710 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −450C
$444.44 340390 150450 $398.00 $408.58 2405.14x 66.2% SAFE 3 $17,400$133,332 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$44.64 4560 200 $56.15 $58.88 406.48x 55.2% SAFE 10 $7,300$44,635 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$13.11 1316 100 $17.33 $18.00 62.39x 23.7% SAFE 50 $21,650$65,525 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −410C
$378.45 320450 330410 $456.00 $470.61 1201.88x 12.8% SAFE 10 $136,000$378,450 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$25.14 3838 180 $39.71 $32.96 2010.05x 30.4% SAFE 125 $27,625$314,250 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −380C
$355.31 300345 310380 $373.00 $337.20 351.48x 12.8% SAFE 15 $109,500$532,965 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −380C
$355.31 340405 360380 $398.00 $373.97 451.88x -1.3% ITM 5 $25,500$177,655 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −48C
$35.87 1020 548 $17.47 $19.81 154.04x 86.1% SAFE 15 $7,395$53,805 OK
IREN (Joint)
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$44.24 2547 3555 $44.00 $47.78 121.75x 20.9% SAFE 20 $32,000$88,480 OK
IREN (Main)
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$44.24 2547 3555 $44.00 $47.78 121.75x 20.9% SAFE 20 $32,000$88,480 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −48C
$44.24 5070 2348 $63.43 $66.18 477.86x 48.0% SAFE 20 $13,700$88,480 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −410C
$353.04 270340 150410 $362.90 $378.15 1903.05x 57.5% SAFE 1 $9,290$35,304 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −630C
$584.02 480650 330630 $601.50 $605.49 3205.38x 43.5% SAFE 3 $21,900$175,206 OK
MSTR
+125C −185P +55P
$94.45 125185 550 $161.00 $167.45 13011.83x 41.8% SAFE 4 $4,800$37,780 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P
$1022.43 8801010 3200 $1028.60 $1056.09 6905.64x 68.7% SAFE 5 $74,300$511,218 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P
$1022.43 9701110 3700 $1220.00 $1248.25 7403.96x 63.8% SAFE 2 $50,000$204,487 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P −98C
$93.88 88105 7598 $114.54 $117.46 302.11x 20.1% SAFE 5 $13,520$46,940 OK
NOW
+80C −110P +90P −112C
$104.92 80110 90112 $108.93 $113.06 201.72x 14.2% SAFE 10 $27,850$104,925 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P
$202.29 140175 700 $199.60 $202.89 1052.76x 65.4% SAFE 5 $29,800$101,145 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −208C
$190.77 190210 90208 $224.00 $228.92 1204.53x 52.8% SAFE 5 $17,000$95,385 OK
RIOT
+17C −40P +17P
$21.38 1740 170 $23.65 $31.52 236.25x 20.5% SAFE 50 $21,900$106,900 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −101C
$84.52 115135 45101 $141.55 $147.94 904.39x 46.8% SAFE 6 $15,930$50,712 OK
SOFI
+10C −13P +5P
$17.76 1013 50 $15.75 $15.84 82.39x 71.8% SAFE 35 $20,125$62,160 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P
$149.68 150195 1350 $186.00 $182.47 603.22x 9.8% OK 5 $13,500$74,838 OK

BMNR: HP 10P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 43d

Stock: $14.70 Current HP: 10P (43d, 32.0% OTM) Current hedge: $11,459/yr Current ML: $71,250 CC income: $58,154/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $14,538/yr IV: HIGH 2 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 10 → 10P (Jan 15 '27, 190d, 32.0% OTM) | Cost: $12,775/yr (22% of CC) | New ML: $71,250 = ML | Roll DEBIT $5,700 | Margin (TIMS): $846
PROTECTIVE PICK: same as CHEAPEST (no higher-strike candidate clears the cost cap).
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 10 CHEAP PROT Jan 15 190d 32.0% $1.10 $1.33 $12,775 22% $71,250 = D $5,700
2 10 Nov 20 134d 32.0% $0.77 $0.98 $13,347 23% $71,250 = D $3,950
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $20, B $0.05 $2,500/yr $12,775/yr DEFICIT $856/mo
CC at MID $18 0.6σ, B $0.45 $22,500/yr $12,775/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($18, bid $0.45). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

IREN (Neville): HP 21P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 43d

Stock: $44.24 Current HP: 21P (43d, 52.5% OTM) Current hedge: $11,205/yr Current ML: $94,000 CC income: $139,341/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $34,835/yr IV: HIGH 23 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 21 → 21P (Oct 16 '26, 99d, 52.5% OTM) | Cost: $11,503/yr (8% of CC) | New ML: $94,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $2,740 | Margin (TIMS): $1,956
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 21 → 32P (Oct 16 '26, 99d, 27.7% OTM) | Cost: $34,288/yr (25% of CC) | New ML: $72,000 ↓ $22,000 | Roll DEBIT $8,920 | Margin (TIMS): $1,719
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 21 CHEAP Oct 16 99d 52.5% $0.93 $1.56 $11,503 8% $94,000 = D $2,740
2 21 Sep 18 71d 52.5% $0.54 $1.13 $11,618 8% $94,000 = D $1,880
3 22 Oct 16 99d 50.3% $1.17 $1.70 $12,535 9% $92,000 -$2,000 D $3,020
4 22 Sep 18 71d 50.3% $0.73 $1.23 $12,646 9% $92,000 -$2,000 D $2,080
5 23 Oct 16 99d 48.0% $1.28 $1.96 $14,453 10% $90,000 -$4,000 D $3,540
6 23 Sep 18 71d 48.0% $0.82 $1.44 $14,806 11% $90,000 -$4,000 D $2,500
7 24 Oct 16 99d 45.8% $1.50 $2.17 $16,001 11% $88,000 -$6,000 D $3,960
8 24 Sep 18 71d 45.8% $0.96 $1.61 $16,554 12% $88,000 -$6,000 D $2,840
9 25 Oct 16 99d 43.5% $1.71 $2.29 $16,886 12% $86,000 -$8,000 D $4,200
10 25 Sep 18 71d 43.5% $1.26 $1.84 $18,918 14% $86,000 -$8,000 D $3,300
11 26 Oct 16 99d 41.2% $1.96 $2.67 $19,688 14% $84,000 -$10,000 D $4,960
12 26 Sep 18 71d 41.2% $1.33 $2.02 $20,769 15% $84,000 -$10,000 D $3,660
13 32 PROT Oct 16 99d 27.7% $3.80 $4.65 $34,288 25% $72,000 -$22,000 D $8,920
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $55, B $2.17 $43,400/yr $11,503/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $55 0.5σ, B $2.17 $43,400/yr $11,503/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($55, bid $2.17). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

INTC: HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 43d

Stock: $115.91 Current HP: 35P (43d, 69.8% OTM) Current hedge: $340/yr Current ML: $47,000 CC income: $80,785/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $20,196/yr IV: HIGH 64 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Sep 18 '26, 71d, 69.8% OTM) | Cost: $488/yr (1% of CC) | New ML: $47,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $85 | Margin (TIMS): $3,378
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 95P (Oct 16 '26, 99d, 18.0% OTM) | Cost: $19,080/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $17,000 ↓ $30,000 | Roll DEBIT $5,165 | Margin (TIMS): $2,496
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Sep 18 71d 69.8% $0.10 $0.19 $488 1% $47,000 = D $85
2 36 Sep 18 71d 68.9% $0.07 $0.21 $540 1% $46,500 -$500 D $95
3 37 Sep 18 71d 68.1% $0.08 $0.23 $591 1% $46,000 -$1,000 D $105
4 39 Sep 18 71d 66.4% $0.12 $0.26 $668 1% $45,000 -$2,000 D $120
5 35 Oct 16 99d 69.8% $0.04 $0.39 $719 1% $47,000 = D $185
6 40 Sep 18 71d 65.5% $0.15 $0.28 $720 1% $44,500 -$2,500 D $130
7 39 Oct 16 99d 66.4% $0.24 $0.43 $793 1% $45,000 -$2,000 D $205
8 38 Sep 18 71d 67.2% $0.03 $0.31 $797 1% $45,500 -$1,500 D $145
9 40 Oct 16 99d 65.5% $0.27 $0.46 $848 1% $44,500 -$2,500 D $220
10 42 Sep 18 71d 63.8% $0.17 $0.33 $848 1% $43,500 -$3,500 D $155
11 43 Sep 18 71d 62.9% $0.20 $0.36 $925 1% $43,000 -$4,000 D $170
12 41 Sep 18 71d 64.6% $0.07 $0.37 $951 1% $44,000 -$3,000 D $175
13 95 PROT Oct 16 99d 18.0% $9.95 $10.35 $19,080 24% $17,000 -$30,000 D $5,165
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $118, B $12.65 $63,250/yr $488/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $133 0.4σ, B $7.55 $37,750/yr $488/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($118, bid $12.65). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).