FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Generated: 2026-07-10 10:06:29
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$20,814/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (CHEAPEST)
$25,516/yr
Δ HEDGE (CHEAPEST vs CURRENT)
+$4,702/yr
ROLL DEBIT (CHEAPEST)
-$8,775
MAX LOSS REDUCTION (PROTECTIVE)
-$42,250
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 38 positions
3 · ROLL NOW4 · LEAPS-ONLY31 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
BMNR →
+10C −18P +10P
$14.93 1018 100 $17.13 $20.00 82.28x 33.0% SAFE 50 $31,250$74,650 ROLL NOW (42d)
INTC →
+85C −100P +35P −130C
$111.80 85100 35130 $114.00 $115.98 653.24x 68.7% SAFE 5 $14,500$55,900 ROLL NOW (42d)
IREN (Neville) →
+45C −65P +21P −53C
$42.02 4565 2153 $56.50 $59.22 4415.67x 50.0% SAFE 20 $6,000$84,040 ROLL NOW (42d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −380C
$354.89 3100 0380 $392.50 $338.14 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$177,445 LEAPS-ONLY
GOOG (Main)
+310C −380C
$354.89 3100 0380 $392.50 $338.14 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $82,500$354,890 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −100C
$93.80 700 0100 $96.50 $86.26 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$112,560 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C
$750.77 6400 00 $764.00 $692.70 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$900,930 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P −252C
$246.46 215260 230252 $256.25 $238.67 301.80x 6.7% OK 10 $37,500$246,460 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P −600C
$518.00 460540 185600 $588.00 $601.34 3553.77x 64.3% SAFE 1 $12,800$51,800 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$13.01 1717 100 $20.74 $17.38 72.87x 23.1% SAFE 25 $9,350$32,525 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −215C
$160.03 165240 85215 $210.90 $217.71 15510.23x 46.9% SAFE 8 $13,440$128,024 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −215C
$160.03 145200 75215 $182.40 $188.32 1257.31x 53.1% SAFE 3 $5,940$48,009 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$75.88 6590 680 $93.40 $94.71 221.77x 10.4% SAFE 20 $56,800$151,750 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P
$89.95 105120 400 $125.45 $128.11 804.91x 55.5% SAFE 5 $10,225$44,975 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P
$450.11 340390 1500 $398.00 $408.20 2405.14x 66.7% SAFE 3 $17,400$135,033 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P −50C
$45.00 4560 2050 $56.15 $58.72 406.48x 55.6% SAFE 10 $7,300$45,000 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$13.33 1316 100 $17.33 $18.15 62.39x 25.0% SAFE 50 $21,650$66,650 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −390C
$377.80 320450 330390 $456.00 $471.25 1201.88x 12.7% SAFE 10 $136,000$377,800 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$25.32 3838 180 $39.71 $31.81 2010.05x 30.9% SAFE 125 $27,625$316,500 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −380C
$354.89 300345 310380 $373.00 $336.08 351.48x 12.6% SAFE 15 $109,500$532,335 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −380C
$354.89 340405 360380 $398.00 $373.06 451.88x -1.4% ITM 5 $25,500$177,445 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −48C
$35.39 1020 548 $17.47 $19.53 154.04x 85.9% SAFE 15 $7,395$53,085 OK
IREN (Joint)
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$42.02 2547 3555 $44.00 $48.37 121.75x 16.7% SAFE 20 $32,000$84,040 OK
IREN (Main)
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$42.02 2547 3555 $44.00 $48.37 121.75x 16.7% SAFE 20 $32,000$84,040 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −53C
$42.02 5070 2353 $63.43 $67.36 477.86x 45.3% SAFE 20 $13,700$84,040 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −410C
$363.14 270340 150410 $362.90 $380.86 1903.05x 58.7% SAFE 1 $9,290$36,314 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −630C
$641.90 480650 330630 $601.50 $614.59 3205.38x 48.6% SAFE 3 $21,900$192,570 OK
MSTR
+125C −185P +55P
$95.34 125185 550 $161.00 $171.13 13011.83x 42.3% SAFE 4 $4,800$38,136 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P −1100C
$989.95 8801010 3201100 $1028.60 $1053.20 6905.64x 67.7% SAFE 5 $74,300$494,975 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P −1100C
$989.95 9701110 3701100 $1220.00 $1243.91 7403.96x 62.6% SAFE 2 $50,000$197,990 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P
$94.88 88105 750 $114.54 $118.13 302.11x 20.9% SAFE 5 $13,520$47,438 OK
NOW
+80C −110P +90P
$108.90 80110 900 $108.93 $113.14 201.72x 17.4% SAFE 10 $27,850$108,900 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P −212C
$202.31 140175 70212 $199.60 $202.05 1052.76x 65.4% SAFE 5 $29,800$101,155 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −208C
$190.46 190210 90208 $224.00 $228.23 1204.53x 52.7% SAFE 5 $17,000$95,230 OK
RIOT
+17C −40P +17P
$21.62 1740 170 $23.65 $31.91 235.98x 21.4% SAFE 50 $23,075$108,075 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −101C
$83.80 115135 45101 $141.55 $148.06 904.39x 46.3% SAFE 6 $15,930$50,280 OK
SOFI
+10C −13P +5P −20C
$18.61 1013 520 $15.75 $16.15 82.39x 73.1% SAFE 35 $20,125$65,135 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −175C
$151.82 150195 135175 $186.00 $182.49 603.22x 11.1% SAFE 5 $13,500$75,912 OK

BMNR: HP 10P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 42d

Stock: $14.93 Current HP: 10P (42d, 33.0% OTM) Current hedge: $9,560/yr Current ML: $71,250 CC income: $58,018/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $14,504/yr IV: HIGH 2 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 10 → 10P (Jan 15 '27, 189d, 33.0% OTM) | Cost: $13,325/yr (23% of CC) | New ML: $71,250 = ML | Roll DEBIT $6,150 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
PROTECTIVE PICK: same as CHEAPEST (no higher-strike candidate clears the cost cap).
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 10 CHEAP PROT Jan 15 189d 33.0% $1.13 $1.38 $13,325 23% $71,250 = D $6,150
2 10 Nov 20 133d 33.0% $0.76 $0.99 $13,585 23% $71,250 = D $4,200
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $20, B $0.05 $2,571/yr $13,325/yr DEFICIT $896/mo
CC at MID $18 0.6σ, B $0.58 $29,829/yr $13,325/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($18, bid $0.58). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

IREN (Neville): HP 21P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 42d

Stock: $42.02 Current HP: 21P (42d, 50.0% OTM) Current hedge: $10,950/yr Current ML: $94,000 CC income: $122,764/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $30,691/yr IV: HIGH 18 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 21 → 21P (Oct 16 '26, 98d, 50.0% OTM) | Cost: $11,695/yr (10% of CC) | New ML: $94,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $2,540 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 21 → 29P (Oct 16 '26, 98d, 31.0% OTM) | Cost: $27,934/yr (23% of CC) | New ML: $78,000 ↓ $16,000 | Roll DEBIT $6,900 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 21 CHEAP Oct 16 98d 50.0% $0.93 $1.57 $11,695 10% $94,000 = D $2,540
2 21 Sep 18 70d 50.0% $0.54 $1.13 $11,784 10% $94,000 = D $1,660
3 22 Oct 16 98d 47.6% $1.04 $1.60 $11,918 10% $92,000 -$2,000 D $2,600
4 22 Sep 18 70d 47.6% $0.86 $1.20 $12,514 10% $92,000 -$2,000 D $1,800
5 23 Sep 18 70d 45.3% $1.07 $1.33 $13,870 11% $90,000 -$4,000 D $2,060
6 23 Oct 16 98d 45.3% $1.28 $1.96 $14,600 12% $90,000 -$4,000 D $3,320
7 24 Oct 16 98d 42.9% $1.50 $2.17 $16,164 13% $88,000 -$6,000 D $3,740
8 24 Sep 18 70d 42.9% $1.21 $1.66 $17,311 14% $88,000 -$6,000 D $2,720
9 25 Oct 16 98d 40.5% $2.05 $2.56 $19,069 16% $86,000 -$8,000 D $4,520
10 25 Sep 18 70d 40.5% $1.51 $1.86 $19,397 16% $86,000 -$8,000 D $3,120
11 26 Sep 18 70d 38.1% $1.58 $2.02 $21,066 17% $84,000 -$10,000 D $3,440
12 26 Oct 16 98d 38.1% $2.04 $2.87 $21,379 17% $84,000 -$10,000 D $5,140
13 29 PROT Oct 16 98d 31.0% $3.10 $3.75 $27,934 23% $78,000 -$16,000 D $6,900
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $60, B $1.40 $28,800/yr $11,695/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $54 0.7σ, B $1.07 $22,011/yr $11,695/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($60, bid $1.40). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

INTC: HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 42d

Stock: $111.80 Current HP: 35P (42d, 68.7% OTM) Current hedge: $304/yr Current ML: $47,000 CC income: $66,605/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $16,651/yr IV: HIGH 58 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Sep 18 '26, 70d, 68.7% OTM) | Cost: $495/yr (1% of CC) | New ML: $47,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $85 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 88P (Oct 16 '26, 98d, 21.7% OTM) | Cost: $15,364/yr (23% of CC) | New ML: $20,750 ↓ $26,250 | Roll DEBIT $4,115 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Sep 18 70d 68.7% $0.10 $0.19 $495 1% $47,000 = D $85
2 36 Sep 18 70d 67.8% $0.05 $0.21 $548 1% $46,500 -$500 D $95
3 40 Sep 18 70d 64.2% $0.15 $0.22 $574 1% $44,500 -$2,500 D $100
4 37 Sep 18 70d 66.9% $0.07 $0.23 $600 1% $46,000 -$1,000 D $105
5 35 Oct 16 98d 68.7% $0.09 $0.36 $670 1% $47,000 = D $170
6 39 Sep 18 70d 65.1% $0.17 $0.26 $678 1% $45,000 -$2,000 D $120
7 39 Oct 16 98d 65.1% $0.24 $0.45 $838 1% $45,000 -$2,000 D $215
8 38 Sep 18 70d 66.0% $0.02 $0.34 $886 1% $45,500 -$1,500 D $160
9 42 Sep 18 70d 62.4% $0.20 $0.34 $886 1% $43,500 -$3,500 D $160
10 40 Oct 16 98d 64.2% $0.27 $0.48 $894 1% $44,500 -$2,500 D $230
11 43 Sep 18 70d 61.5% $0.19 $0.36 $939 1% $43,000 -$4,000 D $170
12 41 Sep 18 70d 63.3% $0.04 $0.38 $991 1% $44,000 -$3,000 D $180
13 88 PROT Oct 16 98d 21.7% $7.90 $8.25 $15,364 23% $20,750 -$26,250 D $4,115
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $116, B $11.35 $58,371/yr $495/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $129 0.4σ, B $7.20 $37,029/yr $495/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($116, bid $11.35). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).