FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Generated: 2026-07-10 21:51:52
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$19,206/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (CHEAPEST)
$23,042/yr
Δ HEDGE (CHEAPEST vs CURRENT)
+$3,836/yr
ROLL DEBIT (CHEAPEST)
-$5,240
MAX LOSS REDUCTION (PROTECTIVE)
-$36,500
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 38 positions
3 · ROLL NOW4 · LEAPS-ONLY31 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
BMNR →
+10C −18P +10P
$15.41 1018 100 $17.13 $19.73 82.28x 35.1% SAFE 50 $31,250$77,075 ROLL NOW (42d)
INTC →
+85C −100P +35P −130C
$109.50 85100 35130 $114.00 $117.68 653.24x 68.0% SAFE 5 $14,500$54,750 ROLL NOW (42d)
IREN (Neville) →
+45C −65P +21P −53C
$41.18 4565 2153 $56.50 $59.07 4415.67x 49.0% SAFE 20 $6,000$82,360 ROLL NOW (42d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −380C
$353.75 3100 0380 $392.50 $338.20 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$176,872 LEAPS-ONLY
GOOG (Main)
+310C −380C
$353.75 3100 0380 $392.50 $338.20 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $82,500$353,745 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −100C
$94.36 700 0100 $96.50 $86.73 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$113,232 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C
$753.05 6400 00 $764.00 $694.22 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$903,660 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P −252C
$246.81 215260 230252 $256.25 $238.89 301.80x 6.8% OK 10 $37,500$246,805 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P −600C
$526.70 460540 185600 $588.00 $601.62 3553.77x 64.9% SAFE 1 $12,800$52,670 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$12.96 1717 100 $20.74 $17.01 72.87x 22.9% SAFE 25 $9,350$32,412 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −215C
$164.20 165240 85215 $210.90 $215.82 15510.23x 48.2% SAFE 8 $13,440$131,362 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −215C
$164.20 145200 75215 $182.40 $186.24 1257.31x 54.3% SAFE 3 $5,940$49,261 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$75.86 6590 680 $93.40 $93.94 221.77x 10.4% SAFE 20 $56,800$151,710 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P
$89.65 105120 400 $125.45 $128.82 804.91x 55.4% SAFE 5 $10,225$44,825 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P
$448.01 340390 1500 $398.00 $409.46 2405.14x 66.5% SAFE 3 $17,400$134,403 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P −50C
$45.35 4560 2050 $56.15 $58.34 406.48x 55.9% SAFE 10 $7,300$45,355 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$13.62 1316 100 $17.33 $18.06 62.39x 26.6% SAFE 50 $21,650$68,075 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −390C
$376.21 320450 330390 $456.00 $472.17 1201.88x 12.3% SAFE 10 $136,000$376,210 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$26.11 3838 180 $39.71 $34.38 2010.05x 33.0% SAFE 125 $27,625$326,375 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −380C
$353.75 300345 310380 $373.00 $336.96 351.48x 12.4% SAFE 15 $109,500$530,618 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −380C
$353.75 340405 360380 $398.00 $373.64 451.88x -1.8% ITM 5 $25,500$176,872 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −48C
$34.19 1020 548 $17.47 $18.27 154.04x 85.4% SAFE 15 $7,395$51,285 OK
IREN (Joint)
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$41.18 2547 3555 $44.00 $49.27 121.75x 15.0% SAFE 20 $32,000$82,360 OK
IREN (Main)
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$41.18 2547 3555 $44.00 $49.27 121.75x 15.0% SAFE 20 $32,000$82,360 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −53C
$41.18 5070 2353 $63.43 $67.23 477.86x 44.1% SAFE 20 $13,700$82,360 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −410C
$360.10 270340 150410 $362.90 $378.31 1903.05x 58.3% SAFE 1 $9,290$36,010 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −630C
$665.70 480650 330630 $601.50 $602.26 3205.38x 50.4% SAFE 3 $21,900$199,709 OK
MSTR
+125C −185P +55P
$99.06 125185 550 $161.00 $168.20 13011.83x 44.5% SAFE 4 $4,800$39,624 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P
$972.92 8801010 3200 $1028.60 $1057.38 6905.64x 67.1% SAFE 5 $74,300$486,460 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P
$972.92 9701110 3700 $1220.00 $1246.65 7403.96x 62.0% SAFE 2 $50,000$194,584 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P
$94.97 88105 750 $114.54 $118.16 302.11x 21.0% SAFE 5 $13,520$47,485 OK
NOW
+80C −110P +90P
$109.10 80110 900 $108.93 $112.84 201.72x 17.5% SAFE 10 $27,850$109,100 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P −212C
$206.04 140175 70212 $199.60 $203.37 1052.76x 66.0% SAFE 5 $29,800$103,020 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −208C
$188.08 190210 90208 $224.00 $229.66 1204.53x 52.1% SAFE 5 $17,000$94,040 OK
RIOT
+17C −40P +17P
$21.13 1740 170 $23.65 $31.38 236.57x 19.5% SAFE 50 $20,650$105,650 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −101C
$81.32 115135 45101 $141.55 $148.11 904.39x 44.7% SAFE 6 $15,930$48,792 OK
SOFI
+10C −13P +5P −20C
$19.27 1013 520 $15.75 $16.32 82.39x 74.1% SAFE 35 $20,125$67,462 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −175C
$149.45 150195 135175 $186.00 $182.76 603.22x 9.7% OK 5 $13,500$74,725 OK

BMNR: HP 10P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 42d

Stock: $15.41 Current HP: 10P (42d, 35.1% OTM) Current hedge: $7,821/yr Current ML: $71,250 CC income: $45,000/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $11,250/yr IV: HIGH 1 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 10 → 10P (Nov 20 '26, 133d, 35.1% OTM) | Cost: $10,840/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $71,250 = ML | Roll DEBIT $3,350 | Margin (TIMS): $874
PROTECTIVE PICK: same as CHEAPEST (no higher-strike candidate clears the cost cap).
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 10 CHEAP PROT Nov 20 133d 35.1% $0.65 $0.79 $10,840 24% $71,250 = D $3,350
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $20, B $0.20 $10,286/yr $10,840/yr DEFICIT $46/mo
CC at MID $18 0.7σ, B $0.55 $28,286/yr $10,840/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($18, bid $0.55). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

IREN (Neville): HP 21P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 42d

Stock: $41.18 Current HP: 21P (42d, 49.0% OTM) Current hedge: $11,124/yr Current ML: $94,000 CC income: $112,393/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $28,098/yr IV: HIGH 15 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 21 → 21P (Sep 18 '26, 70d, 49.0% OTM) | Cost: $11,680/yr (10% of CC) | New ML: $94,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $1,800 | Margin (TIMS): $1,840
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 21 → 28P (Oct 16 '26, 98d, 32.0% OTM) | Cost: $27,189/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $80,000 ↓ $14,000 | Roll DEBIT $6,860 | Margin (TIMS): $1,668
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 21 CHEAP Sep 18 70d 49.0% $0.67 $1.12 $11,680 10% $94,000 = D $1,800
2 21 Oct 16 98d 49.0% $1.11 $1.60 $11,918 11% $94,000 = D $2,760
3 22 Oct 16 98d 46.6% $1.31 $1.77 $13,185 12% $92,000 -$2,000 D $3,100
4 22 Sep 18 70d 46.6% $0.84 $1.28 $13,349 12% $92,000 -$2,000 D $2,120
5 23 Oct 16 98d 44.1% $1.52 $2.00 $14,898 13% $90,000 -$4,000 D $3,560
6 23 Sep 18 70d 44.1% $0.99 $1.47 $15,330 14% $90,000 -$4,000 D $2,500
7 24 Oct 16 98d 41.7% $1.76 $2.28 $16,984 15% $88,000 -$6,000 D $4,120
8 24 Sep 18 70d 41.7% $1.20 $1.66 $17,311 15% $88,000 -$6,000 D $2,880
9 25 Oct 16 98d 39.3% $2.04 $2.55 $18,995 17% $86,000 -$8,000 D $4,660
10 25 Sep 18 70d 39.3% $1.41 $1.88 $19,606 17% $86,000 -$8,000 D $3,320
11 26 Oct 16 98d 36.9% $2.32 $2.91 $21,677 19% $84,000 -$10,000 D $5,380
12 26 Sep 18 70d 36.9% $1.63 $2.11 $22,004 20% $84,000 -$10,000 D $3,780
13 28 PROT Oct 16 98d 32.0% $2.93 $3.65 $27,189 24% $80,000 -$14,000 D $6,860
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $60, B $1.00 $20,571/yr $11,680/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $52 0.6σ, B $1.70 $34,971/yr $11,680/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($60, bid $1.00). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

INTC: HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 42d

Stock: $109.50 Current HP: 35P (42d, 68.0% OTM) Current hedge: $261/yr Current ML: $47,000 CC income: $49,093/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $12,273/yr IV: HIGH 53 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Sep 18 '26, 70d, 68.0% OTM) | Cost: $521/yr (1% of CC) | New ML: $47,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $90 | Margin (TIMS): $3,145
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 80P (Oct 16 '26, 98d, 26.9% OTM) | Cost: $11,546/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $24,500 ↓ $22,500 | Roll DEBIT $3,090 | Margin (TIMS): $2,610
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Sep 18 70d 68.0% $0.10 $0.20 $521 1% $47,000 = D $90
2 36 Sep 18 70d 67.1% $0.06 $0.22 $574 1% $46,500 -$500 D $100
3 37 Sep 18 70d 66.2% $0.08 $0.24 $626 1% $46,000 -$1,000 D $110
4 40 Sep 18 70d 63.5% $0.16 $0.24 $626 1% $44,500 -$2,500 D $110
5 35 Oct 16 98d 68.0% $0.15 $0.35 $652 1% $47,000 = D $165
6 38 Sep 18 70d 65.3% $0.10 $0.27 $704 1% $45,500 -$1,500 D $125
7 39 Sep 18 70d 64.4% $0.11 $0.28 $730 1% $45,000 -$2,000 D $130
8 39 Oct 16 98d 64.4% $0.26 $0.47 $875 2% $45,000 -$2,000 D $225
9 40 Oct 16 98d 63.5% $0.32 $0.50 $931 2% $44,500 -$2,500 D $240
10 42 Sep 18 70d 61.6% $0.18 $0.36 $939 2% $43,500 -$3,500 D $170
11 43 Sep 18 70d 60.7% $0.21 $0.39 $1,017 2% $43,000 -$4,000 D $185
12 41 Sep 18 70d 62.6% $0.10 $0.42 $1,095 2% $44,000 -$3,000 D $200
13 80 PROT Oct 16 98d 26.9% $5.85 $6.20 $11,546 24% $24,500 -$22,500 D $3,090
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $118, B $8.85 $45,514/yr $521/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $127 0.4σ, B $6.25 $32,143/yr $521/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($118, bid $8.85). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).