FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Generated: 2026-07-10 22:08:37
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$18,511/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (CHEAPEST)
$22,493/yr
Δ HEDGE (CHEAPEST vs CURRENT)
+$3,982/yr
ROLL DEBIT (CHEAPEST)
-$4,830
MAX LOSS REDUCTION (PROTECTIVE)
-$36,500
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 38 positions
3 · ROLL NOW4 · LEAPS-ONLY31 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
BMNR →
+10C −18P +10P
$15.31 1018 100 $17.13 $19.59 82.28x 34.7% SAFE 50 $31,250$76,550 ROLL NOW (42d)
INTC →
+85C −100P +35P −130C
$109.31 85100 35130 $114.00 $117.49 653.24x 68.0% SAFE 5 $14,500$54,658 ROLL NOW (42d)
IREN (Neville) →
+45C −65P +21P −53C
$41.22 4565 2153 $56.50 $59.01 4415.67x 49.1% SAFE 20 $6,000$82,434 ROLL NOW (42d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C
$353.31 3100 00 $392.50 $338.45 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$176,655 LEAPS-ONLY
GOOG (Main)
+310C
$353.31 3100 00 $392.50 $338.45 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $82,500$353,310 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −100C
$93.86 700 0100 $96.50 $86.16 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$112,632 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C
$753.22 6400 00 $764.00 $693.69 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$903,864 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P −252C
$245.40 215260 230252 $256.25 $239.29 301.80x 6.3% OK 10 $37,500$245,400 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P −600C
$514.60 460540 185600 $588.00 $605.28 3553.77x 64.0% SAFE 1 $12,800$51,460 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$12.73 1717 100 $20.74 $16.97 72.87x 21.5% SAFE 25 $9,350$31,838 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P
$161.97 165240 850 $210.90 $215.43 15510.23x 47.5% SAFE 8 $13,440$129,576 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P
$161.97 145200 750 $182.40 $186.31 1257.31x 53.7% SAFE 3 $5,940$48,591 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$76.04 6590 680 $93.40 $94.12 221.77x 10.6% SAFE 20 $56,800$152,080 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P
$90.01 105120 400 $125.45 $129.00 804.91x 55.6% SAFE 5 $10,225$45,005 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P
$451.55 340390 1500 $398.00 $409.07 2405.14x 66.8% SAFE 3 $17,400$135,465 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P −50C
$45.06 4560 2050 $56.15 $58.31 406.48x 55.6% SAFE 10 $7,300$45,060 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$13.56 1316 100 $17.33 $18.03 62.39x 26.3% SAFE 50 $21,650$67,825 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −390C
$376.45 320450 330390 $456.00 $471.90 1201.88x 12.3% SAFE 10 $136,000$376,450 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$26.02 3838 180 $39.71 $34.18 2010.05x 32.7% SAFE 125 $27,625$325,250 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P
$353.31 300345 3100 $373.00 $336.46 351.48x 12.3% SAFE 15 $109,500$529,965 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P
$353.31 340405 3600 $398.00 $373.33 451.88x -1.9% ITM 5 $25,500$176,655 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −48C
$34.18 1020 548 $17.47 $18.26 154.04x 85.4% SAFE 15 $7,395$51,270 OK
IREN (Joint)
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$41.22 2547 3555 $44.00 $49.04 121.75x 15.1% SAFE 20 $32,000$82,434 OK
IREN (Main)
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$41.22 2547 3555 $44.00 $49.04 121.75x 15.1% SAFE 20 $32,000$82,434 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −53C
$41.22 5070 2353 $63.43 $67.91 477.86x 44.2% SAFE 20 $13,700$82,434 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −410C
$354.49 270340 150410 $362.90 $378.30 1903.05x 57.7% SAFE 1 $9,290$35,449 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −630C
$676.62 480650 330630 $601.50 $605.74 3205.38x 51.2% SAFE 3 $21,900$202,986 OK
MSTR
+125C −185P +55P
$97.17 125185 550 $161.00 $167.48 13011.83x 43.4% SAFE 4 $4,800$38,869 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P
$982.51 8801010 3200 $1028.60 $1057.54 6905.64x 67.4% SAFE 5 $74,300$491,255 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P
$982.51 9701110 3700 $1220.00 $1248.44 7403.96x 62.3% SAFE 2 $50,000$196,502 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P
$94.83 88105 750 $114.54 $118.01 302.11x 20.9% SAFE 5 $13,520$47,412 OK
NOW
+80C −110P +90P
$108.50 80110 900 $108.93 $113.06 201.72x 17.1% SAFE 10 $27,850$108,505 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P −212C
$206.61 140175 70212 $199.60 $203.14 1052.76x 66.1% SAFE 5 $29,800$103,305 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −208C
$187.96 190210 90208 $224.00 $228.04 1204.53x 52.1% SAFE 5 $17,000$93,980 OK
RIOT
+17C −40P +17P
$20.97 1740 170 $23.65 $31.29 236.79x 18.9% SAFE 50 $19,850$104,850 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −101C
$79.74 115135 45101 $141.55 $148.00 904.39x 43.6% SAFE 6 $15,930$47,844 OK
SOFI
+10C −13P +5P −23C
$19.11 1013 523 $15.75 $16.08 82.39x 73.8% SAFE 35 $20,125$66,902 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −175C
$148.30 150195 135175 $186.00 $182.75 603.22x 9.0% OK 5 $13,500$74,149 OK

BMNR: HP 10P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 42d

Stock: $15.31 Current HP: 10P (42d, 34.7% OTM) Current hedge: $7,821/yr Current ML: $71,250 CC income: $48,964/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $12,241/yr IV: HIGH 2 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 10 → 10P (Nov 20 '26, 133d, 34.7% OTM) | Cost: $10,291/yr (21% of CC) | New ML: $71,250 = ML | Roll DEBIT $3,200 | Margin (TIMS): $866
PROTECTIVE PICK: same as CHEAPEST (no higher-strike candidate clears the cost cap).
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 10 CHEAP PROT Nov 20 133d 34.7% $0.72 $0.75 $10,291 21% $71,250 = D $3,200
2 10 Jan 15 189d 34.7% $1.00 $1.16 $11,201 23% $71,250 = D $5,250
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $20, B $0.20 $10,286/yr $10,291/yr DEFICIT $0/mo
CC at MID $18 0.6σ, B $0.52 $26,743/yr $10,291/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($18, bid $0.52). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

IREN (Neville): HP 21P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 42d

Stock: $41.22 Current HP: 21P (42d, 49.1% OTM) Current hedge: $10,429/yr Current ML: $94,000 CC income: $115,521/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $28,880/yr IV: HIGH 15 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 21 → 21P (Sep 18 '26, 70d, 49.1% OTM) | Cost: $11,680/yr (10% of CC) | New ML: $94,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $1,540 | Margin (TIMS): $1,840
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 21 → 28P (Oct 16 '26, 98d, 32.1% OTM) | Cost: $26,816/yr (23% of CC) | New ML: $80,000 ↓ $14,000 | Roll DEBIT $6,500 | Margin (TIMS): $1,671
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 21 CHEAP Sep 18 70d 49.1% $0.67 $1.12 $11,680 10% $94,000 = D $1,540
2 21 Oct 16 98d 49.1% $1.11 $1.60 $11,918 10% $94,000 = D $2,500
3 22 Oct 16 98d 46.6% $1.31 $1.77 $13,185 11% $92,000 -$2,000 D $2,840
4 22 Sep 18 70d 46.6% $0.84 $1.28 $13,349 12% $92,000 -$2,000 D $1,860
5 23 Oct 16 98d 44.2% $1.52 $2.00 $14,898 13% $90,000 -$4,000 D $3,300
6 23 Sep 18 70d 44.2% $0.99 $1.47 $15,330 13% $90,000 -$4,000 D $2,240
7 24 Oct 16 98d 41.8% $1.76 $2.28 $16,984 15% $88,000 -$6,000 D $3,860
8 24 Sep 18 70d 41.8% $1.20 $1.66 $17,311 15% $88,000 -$6,000 D $2,620
9 25 Oct 16 98d 39.3% $2.04 $2.50 $18,622 16% $86,000 -$8,000 D $4,300
10 25 Sep 18 70d 39.3% $1.41 $1.88 $19,606 17% $86,000 -$8,000 D $3,060
11 26 Oct 16 98d 36.9% $2.34 $2.91 $21,677 19% $84,000 -$10,000 D $5,120
12 26 Sep 18 70d 36.9% $1.63 $2.11 $22,004 19% $84,000 -$10,000 D $3,520
13 28 PROT Oct 16 98d 32.1% $3.10 $3.60 $26,816 23% $80,000 -$14,000 D $6,500
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $60, B $0.91 $18,720/yr $11,680/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $52 0.6σ, B $1.70 $34,971/yr $11,680/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($60, bid $0.91). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

INTC: HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 42d

Stock: $109.31 Current HP: 35P (42d, 68.0% OTM) Current hedge: $261/yr Current ML: $47,000 CC income: $48,804/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $12,201/yr IV: HIGH 53 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Sep 18 '26, 70d, 68.0% OTM) | Cost: $521/yr (1% of CC) | New ML: $47,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $90 | Margin (TIMS): $3,144
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 80P (Oct 16 '26, 98d, 26.8% OTM) | Cost: $11,546/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $24,500 ↓ $22,500 | Roll DEBIT $3,090 | Margin (TIMS): $2,609
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Sep 18 70d 68.0% $0.10 $0.20 $521 1% $47,000 = D $90
2 36 Sep 18 70d 67.1% $0.06 $0.22 $574 1% $46,500 -$500 D $100
3 37 Sep 18 70d 66.2% $0.08 $0.24 $626 1% $46,000 -$1,000 D $110
4 40 Sep 18 70d 63.4% $0.16 $0.24 $626 1% $44,500 -$2,500 D $110
5 35 Oct 16 98d 68.0% $0.15 $0.35 $652 1% $47,000 = D $165
6 38 Sep 18 70d 65.2% $0.10 $0.26 $678 1% $45,500 -$1,500 D $120
7 39 Sep 18 70d 64.3% $0.11 $0.28 $730 1% $45,000 -$2,000 D $130
8 39 Oct 16 98d 64.3% $0.26 $0.47 $875 2% $45,000 -$2,000 D $225
9 42 Sep 18 70d 61.6% $0.18 $0.35 $912 2% $43,500 -$3,500 D $165
10 40 Oct 16 98d 63.4% $0.32 $0.50 $931 2% $44,500 -$2,500 D $240
11 43 Sep 18 70d 60.7% $0.21 $0.39 $1,017 2% $43,000 -$4,000 D $185
12 44 Sep 18 70d 59.7% $0.23 $0.41 $1,069 2% $42,500 -$4,500 D $195
13 80 PROT Oct 16 98d 26.8% $5.85 $6.20 $11,546 24% $24,500 -$22,500 D $3,090
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $118, B $8.85 $45,514/yr $521/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $127 0.4σ, B $6.25 $32,143/yr $521/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($118, bid $8.85). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).