GENERATED2026-07-10 22:19
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$18,511/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (CHEAPEST)
$22,493/yr
Δ HEDGE (CHEAPEST vs CURRENT)
+$3,982/yr
ROLL DEBIT (CHEAPEST)
-$4,830
MAX LOSS REDUCTION (PROTECTIVE)
-$40,500
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 38 positions
3 · ROLL NOW4 · LEAPS-ONLY31 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
BMNR →
+10C −18P +10P
$15.33 1018 100 $17.13 $19.61 82.28x 34.8% SAFE 50 $31,250$76,650 ROLL NOW (42d)
INTC →
+85C −100P +35P −130C
$109.23 85100 35130 $114.00 $117.41 653.24x 68.0% SAFE 5 $14,500$54,618 ROLL NOW (42d)
IREN (Neville) →
+45C −65P +21P −53C
$40.89 4565 2153 $56.50 $58.46 4415.67x 48.6% SAFE 20 $6,000$81,780 ROLL NOW (42d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C
$352.73 3100 00 $392.50 $338.55 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$176,365 LEAPS-ONLY
GOOG (Main)
+310C
$352.73 3100 00 $392.50 $338.55 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $82,500$352,730 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −100C
$93.75 700 0100 $96.50 $86.04 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$112,500 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C
$752.84 6400 00 $764.00 $694.30 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$903,408 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P −252C
$246.45 215260 230252 $256.25 $240.24 301.80x 6.7% OK 10 $37,500$246,450 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P −600C
$519.18 460540 185600 $588.00 $603.95 3553.77x 64.4% SAFE 1 $12,800$51,918 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$12.69 1717 100 $20.74 $16.93 72.87x 21.2% SAFE 25 $9,350$31,712 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P
$161.76 165240 850 $210.90 $214.67 15510.23x 47.5% SAFE 8 $13,440$129,408 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P
$161.76 145200 750 $182.40 $186.21 1257.31x 53.6% SAFE 3 $5,940$48,528 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$76.09 6590 680 $93.40 $94.11 221.77x 10.6% SAFE 20 $56,800$152,180 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P
$90.37 105120 400 $125.45 $128.90 804.91x 55.7% SAFE 5 $10,225$45,185 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −480C
$449.80 340390 150480 $398.00 $409.32 2405.14x 66.7% SAFE 3 $17,400$134,940 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P −50C
$45.19 4560 2050 $56.15 $58.44 406.48x 55.7% SAFE 10 $7,300$45,190 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$13.53 1316 100 $17.33 $17.99 62.39x 26.1% SAFE 50 $21,650$67,625 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −390C
$376.11 320450 330390 $456.00 $471.29 1201.88x 12.3% SAFE 10 $136,000$376,106 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$25.78 3838 180 $39.71 $33.95 2010.05x 32.1% SAFE 125 $27,625$322,250 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P
$352.73 300345 3100 $373.00 $336.97 351.48x 12.1% SAFE 15 $109,500$529,095 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P
$352.73 340405 3600 $398.00 $373.74 451.88x -2.1% ITM 5 $25,500$176,365 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −48C
$33.95 1020 548 $17.47 $18.04 154.04x 85.3% SAFE 15 $7,395$50,932 OK
IREN (Joint)
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$40.89 2547 3555 $44.00 $48.74 121.75x 14.4% SAFE 20 $32,000$81,780 OK
IREN (Main)
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$40.89 2547 3555 $44.00 $48.74 121.75x 14.4% SAFE 20 $32,000$81,780 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −53C
$40.89 5070 2353 $63.43 $67.51 477.86x 43.8% SAFE 20 $13,700$81,780 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −410C
$351.81 270340 150410 $362.90 $378.42 1903.05x 57.4% SAFE 1 $9,290$35,181 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −630C
$666.09 480650 330630 $601.50 $603.50 3205.38x 50.5% SAFE 3 $21,900$199,827 OK
MSTR
+125C −185P +55P
$97.01 125185 550 $161.00 $167.48 13011.83x 43.3% SAFE 4 $4,800$38,802 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P
$975.76 8801010 3200 $1028.60 $1055.93 6905.64x 67.2% SAFE 5 $74,300$487,880 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P
$975.76 9701110 3700 $1220.00 $1246.26 7403.96x 62.1% SAFE 2 $50,000$195,152 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P
$95.05 88105 750 $114.54 $118.18 302.11x 21.1% SAFE 5 $13,520$47,525 OK
NOW
+80C −110P +90P
$108.57 80110 900 $108.93 $112.13 201.72x 17.1% SAFE 10 $27,850$108,570 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P −212C
$207.55 140175 70212 $199.60 $203.07 1052.76x 66.3% SAFE 5 $29,800$103,775 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −208C
$186.77 190210 90208 $224.00 $227.09 1204.53x 51.8% SAFE 5 $17,000$93,385 OK
RIOT
+17C −40P +17P
$20.91 1740 170 $23.65 $31.08 236.89x 18.7% SAFE 50 $19,525$104,525 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −101C
$80.29 115135 45101 $141.55 $148.02 904.39x 44.0% SAFE 6 $15,930$48,174 OK
SOFI
+10C −13P +5P −23C
$19.05 1013 523 $15.75 $16.13 82.39x 73.7% SAFE 35 $20,125$66,658 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −175C
$148.16 150195 135175 $186.00 $182.63 603.22x 8.9% OK 5 $13,500$74,080 OK

BMNR: HP 10P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 42d

Stock: $15.33 Current HP: 10P (42d, 34.8% OTM) Current hedge: $7,821/yr Current ML: $71,250 CC income: $50,304/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $12,576/yr IV: HIGH 2 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 10 → 10P (Nov 20 '26, 133d, 34.8% OTM) | Cost: $10,291/yr (20% of CC) | New ML: $71,250 = ML | Roll DEBIT $3,200 | Margin (TIMS): $862
PROTECTIVE PICK: same as CHEAPEST (no higher-strike candidate clears the cost cap).
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 10 CHEAP PROT Nov 20 133d 34.8% $0.73 $0.75 $10,291 20% $71,250 = D $3,200
2 10 Jan 15 189d 34.8% $1.08 $1.12 $10,815 21% $71,250 = D $5,050
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $20, B $0.20 $10,286/yr $10,291/yr DEFICIT $0/mo
CC at MID $18 0.6σ, B $0.52 $26,743/yr $10,291/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($18, bid $0.52). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

IREN (Neville): HP 21P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 42d

Stock: $40.89 Current HP: 21P (42d, 48.6% OTM) Current hedge: $10,429/yr Current ML: $94,000 CC income: $133,714/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $33,429/yr IV: HIGH 19 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 21 → 21P (Sep 18 '26, 70d, 48.6% OTM) | Cost: $11,680/yr (9% of CC) | New ML: $94,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $1,540 | Margin (TIMS): $1,839
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 21 → 30P (Oct 16 '26, 98d, 26.6% OTM) | Cost: $32,403/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $76,000 ↓ $18,000 | Roll DEBIT $8,000 | Margin (TIMS): $1,609
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 21 CHEAP Sep 18 70d 48.6% $0.67 $1.12 $11,680 9% $94,000 = D $1,540
2 21 Oct 16 98d 48.6% $1.11 $1.60 $11,918 9% $94,000 = D $2,500
3 22 Oct 16 98d 46.2% $1.31 $1.77 $13,185 10% $92,000 -$2,000 D $2,840
4 22 Sep 18 70d 46.2% $0.84 $1.28 $13,349 10% $92,000 -$2,000 D $1,860
5 23 Oct 16 98d 43.8% $1.52 $2.00 $14,898 11% $90,000 -$4,000 D $3,300
6 23 Sep 18 70d 43.8% $0.99 $1.47 $15,330 11% $90,000 -$4,000 D $2,240
7 24 Oct 16 98d 41.3% $1.76 $2.28 $16,984 13% $88,000 -$6,000 D $3,860
8 24 Sep 18 70d 41.3% $1.20 $1.66 $17,311 13% $88,000 -$6,000 D $2,620
9 25 Oct 16 98d 38.9% $2.04 $2.50 $18,622 14% $86,000 -$8,000 D $4,300
10 25 Sep 18 70d 38.9% $1.41 $1.88 $19,606 15% $86,000 -$8,000 D $3,060
11 26 Oct 16 98d 36.4% $2.34 $2.91 $21,677 16% $84,000 -$10,000 D $5,120
12 26 Sep 18 70d 36.4% $1.63 $2.11 $22,004 16% $84,000 -$10,000 D $3,520
13 30 PROT Oct 16 98d 26.6% $3.60 $4.35 $32,403 24% $76,000 -$18,000 D $8,000
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $60, B $0.96 $19,749/yr $11,680/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $52 0.6σ, B $1.70 $34,971/yr $11,680/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($60, bid $0.96). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

INTC: HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 42d

Stock: $109.23 Current HP: 35P (42d, 68.0% OTM) Current hedge: $261/yr Current ML: $47,000 CC income: $48,107/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $12,027/yr IV: HIGH 53 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Sep 18 '26, 70d, 68.0% OTM) | Cost: $521/yr (1% of CC) | New ML: $47,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $90 | Margin (TIMS): $3,140
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 80P (Oct 16 '26, 98d, 26.8% OTM) | Cost: $11,453/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $24,500 ↓ $22,500 | Roll DEBIT $3,065 | Margin (TIMS): $2,609
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Sep 18 70d 68.0% $0.10 $0.20 $521 1% $47,000 = D $90
2 36 Sep 18 70d 67.0% $0.06 $0.22 $574 1% $46,500 -$500 D $100
3 37 Sep 18 70d 66.1% $0.08 $0.24 $626 1% $46,000 -$1,000 D $110
4 40 Sep 18 70d 63.4% $0.16 $0.24 $626 1% $44,500 -$2,500 D $110
5 35 Oct 16 98d 68.0% $0.15 $0.34 $633 1% $47,000 = D $160
6 38 Sep 18 70d 65.2% $0.10 $0.26 $678 1% $45,500 -$1,500 D $120
7 39 Sep 18 70d 64.3% $0.11 $0.28 $730 2% $45,000 -$2,000 D $130
8 39 Oct 16 98d 64.3% $0.26 $0.47 $875 2% $45,000 -$2,000 D $225
9 42 Sep 18 70d 61.6% $0.18 $0.35 $912 2% $43,500 -$3,500 D $165
10 40 Oct 16 98d 63.4% $0.32 $0.50 $931 2% $44,500 -$2,500 D $240
11 43 Sep 18 70d 60.6% $0.21 $0.38 $991 2% $43,000 -$4,000 D $180
12 44 Sep 18 70d 59.7% $0.23 $0.40 $1,043 2% $42,500 -$4,500 D $190
13 80 PROT Oct 16 98d 26.8% $5.80 $6.15 $11,453 24% $24,500 -$22,500 D $3,065
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $118, B $8.85 $45,514/yr $521/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $127 0.4σ, B $6.25 $32,143/yr $521/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($118, bid $8.85). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).