GENERATED2026-07-13 22:16
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$22,789/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (CHEAPEST)
$24,331/yr
Δ HEDGE (CHEAPEST vs CURRENT)
+$1,542/yr
ROLL DEBIT (CHEAPEST)
-$6,710
MAX LOSS REDUCTION (PROTECTIVE)
-$28,250
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 41 positions
3 · ROLL NOW4 · LEAPS-ONLY34 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
BMNR →
+10C −18P +10P
$14.57 1018 100 $17.13 $19.69 82.28x 31.4% SAFE 50 $31,250$72,850 ROLL NOW (39d)
INTC →
+85C −100P +35P
$104.98 85100 350 $114.00 $116.72 653.24x 66.7% SAFE 5 $14,500$52,492 ROLL NOW (39d)
IREN (Neville) →
+45C −65P +21P −50C
$41.26 4565 2150 $56.50 $59.45 4415.67x 49.1% SAFE 20 $6,000$82,520 ROLL NOW (39d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C
$353.40 3100 00 $392.50 $338.55 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$176,700 LEAPS-ONLY
GOOG (Main)
+310C
$353.40 3100 00 $392.50 $338.55 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $82,500$353,400 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −100C
$92.14 700 0100 $96.50 $86.31 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$110,568 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C −760C
$753.12 6400 0760 $764.00 $694.03 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$903,744 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P
$246.97 215260 2300 $256.25 $239.12 301.80x 6.9% OK 10 $37,500$246,970 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P
$461.47 460540 1850 $588.00 $602.47 3553.77x 59.9% SAFE 1 $12,800$46,147 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$12.52 1717 100 $20.74 $17.15 72.87x 20.1% SAFE 25 $9,350$31,288 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P
$158.49 165240 850 $210.90 $217.52 15510.23x 46.4% SAFE 8 $13,440$126,788 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P
$158.49 145200 750 $182.40 $188.72 1257.31x 52.7% SAFE 3 $5,940$47,546 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −82C
$75.81 6590 6882 $93.40 $94.74 221.77x 10.3% SAFE 20 $56,800$151,610 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −100C
$86.06 105120 40100 $125.45 $130.01 804.91x 53.5% SAFE 5 $10,225$43,030 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −480C
$430.79 340390 150480 $398.00 $410.44 2405.14x 65.2% SAFE 3 $17,400$129,237 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P −50C
$42.77 4560 2050 $56.15 $58.21 406.48x 53.2% SAFE 10 $7,300$42,770 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$13.37 1316 100 $17.33 $18.05 62.39x 25.2% SAFE 50 $21,650$66,850 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −390C
$370.26 320450 330390 $456.00 $472.25 1201.88x 10.9% SAFE 10 $136,000$370,260 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P −30C
$24.30 3838 1830 $39.71 $33.17 2010.05x 28.0% SAFE 125 $27,625$303,750 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P
$353.40 300345 3100 $373.00 $336.48 351.48x 12.3% SAFE 15 $109,500$530,100 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P
$353.40 340405 3600 $398.00 $373.94 451.88x -1.9% ITM 5 $25,500$176,700 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −48C
$34.51 1020 548 $17.47 $19.89 154.04x 85.5% SAFE 15 $7,395$51,765 OK
IREN (Joint)
+25C −47P +35P −50C
$41.26 2547 3550 $44.00 $48.81 121.75x 15.2% SAFE 20 $32,000$82,520 OK
IREN (Main)
+25C −47P +35P −50C
$41.26 2547 3550 $44.00 $48.81 121.75x 15.2% SAFE 20 $32,000$82,520 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −50C
$41.26 5070 2350 $63.43 $67.41 477.86x 44.3% SAFE 20 $13,700$82,520 OK
MARA (Joint)
+20C −17P +10P
$12.27 2017 100 $24.33 $19.09 72.62x 18.5% SAFE 50 $21,650$61,325 OK
MARA (Main)
+20C −25P +15P
$12.27 2025 150 $22.69 $18.65 1027.32x -22.3% ITM 200 $7,600$245,300 OK
MARA (Neville)
+25C −15P +13P
$12.27 2515 130 $26.40 $13.55 22.43x -6.0% ITM 250 $35,000$306,625 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −410C
$338.02 270340 150410 $362.90 $377.57 1903.05x 55.6% SAFE 1 $9,290$33,802 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −630C
$661.14 480650 330630 $601.50 $601.84 3205.38x 50.1% SAFE 3 $21,900$198,344 OK
MSTR
+125C −185P +55P
$91.05 125185 550 $161.00 $167.68 13011.83x 39.6% SAFE 4 $4,800$36,420 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P −1155C
$928.33 8801010 3201155 $1028.60 $1055.85 6905.64x 65.5% SAFE 5 $74,300$464,165 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P −1155C
$928.33 9701110 3701155 $1220.00 $1246.02 7403.96x 60.1% SAFE 2 $50,000$185,666 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P −100C
$93.90 88105 75100 $114.54 $118.64 302.11x 20.1% SAFE 5 $13,520$46,950 OK
NOW
+80C −110P +90P
$108.61 80110 900 $108.93 $112.61 201.72x 17.1% SAFE 10 $27,850$108,605 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P −225C
$208.96 140175 70225 $199.60 $202.81 1052.76x 66.5% SAFE 5 $29,800$104,480 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P
$186.88 190210 900 $224.00 $229.42 1204.53x 51.8% SAFE 5 $17,000$93,440 OK
RIOT
+17C −40P +17P −24C
$20.30 1740 1724 $23.65 $30.90 237.98x 16.2% SAFE 50 $16,480$101,480 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P
$78.32 115135 450 $141.55 $147.44 904.39x 42.5% SAFE 6 $15,930$46,992 OK
SOFI
+10C −13P +5P −23C
$18.49 1013 523 $15.75 $16.16 82.39x 73.0% SAFE 35 $20,125$64,715 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −175C
$138.54 150195 135175 $186.00 $183.06 603.22x 2.6% TIGHT 5 $13,500$69,272 OK

BMNR: HP 10P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 39d

Stock: $14.57 Current HP: 10P (39d, 31.4% OTM) Current hedge: $9,827/yr Current ML: $71,250 CC income: $47,599/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $11,900/yr IV: HIGH 1 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 10 → 10P (Jan 15 '27, 186d, 31.4% OTM) | Cost: $11,774/yr (25% of CC) | New ML: $71,250 = ML | Roll DEBIT $5,150 | Margin (TIMS): $797
PROTECTIVE PICK: same as CHEAPEST (no higher-strike candidate clears the cost cap).
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 10 CHEAP PROT Jan 15 186d 31.4% $1.10 $1.20 $11,774 25% $71,250 = D $5,150
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $20, B $0.17 $9,563/yr $11,774/yr DEFICIT $184/mo
CC at MID $17 0.6σ, B $0.48 $27,000/yr $11,774/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($17, bid $0.48). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

IREN (Neville): HP 21P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 39d

Stock: $41.26 Current HP: 21P (39d, 49.1% OTM) Current hedge: $12,541/yr Current ML: $94,000 CC income: $99,878/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $24,970/yr IV: HIGH 13 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 21 → 21P (Sep 18 '26, 67d, 49.1% OTM) | Cost: $11,985/yr (12% of CC) | New ML: $94,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $1,460 | Margin (TIMS): $1,852
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 21 → 27P (Oct 16 '26, 95d, 34.6% OTM) | Cost: $23,821/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $82,000 ↓ $12,000 | Roll DEBIT $5,460 | Margin (TIMS): $1,715
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 21 CHEAP Sep 18 67d 49.1% $0.78 $1.10 $11,985 12% $94,000 = D $1,460
2 21 Oct 16 95d 49.1% $1.21 $1.72 $13,217 13% $94,000 = D $2,700
3 22 Oct 16 95d 46.7% $1.42 $1.95 $14,984 15% $92,000 -$2,000 D $3,160
4 22 Sep 18 67d 46.7% $0.94 $1.43 $15,581 16% $92,000 -$2,000 D $2,120
5 23 Oct 16 95d 44.3% $1.65 $2.19 $16,828 17% $90,000 -$4,000 D $3,640
6 23 Sep 18 67d 44.3% $1.12 $1.62 $17,651 18% $90,000 -$4,000 D $2,500
7 24 Oct 16 95d 41.8% $1.85 $2.46 $18,903 19% $88,000 -$6,000 D $4,180
8 24 Sep 18 67d 41.8% $1.26 $1.83 $19,939 20% $88,000 -$6,000 D $2,920
9 25 Oct 16 95d 39.4% $2.15 $2.64 $20,286 20% $86,000 -$8,000 D $4,540
10 26 Oct 16 95d 37.0% $2.27 $2.83 $21,746 22% $84,000 -$10,000 D $4,920
11 25 Sep 18 67d 39.4% $1.43 $2.06 $22,445 22% $86,000 -$8,000 D $3,380
12 27 PROT Oct 16 95d 34.6% $2.65 $3.10 $23,821 24% $82,000 -$12,000 D $5,460
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $60, B $1.13 $25,425/yr $11,985/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $52 0.6σ, B $1.87 $42,075/yr $11,985/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($60, bid $1.13). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

INTC: HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 39d

Stock: $104.98 Current HP: 35P (39d, 66.7% OTM) Current hedge: $421/yr Current ML: $47,000 CC income: $28,187/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $7,047/yr IV: HIGH 43 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Sep 18 '26, 67d, 66.7% OTM) | Cost: $572/yr (2% of CC) | New ML: $47,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $100 | Margin (TIMS): $2,807
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 68P (Sep 18 '26, 67d, 35.7% OTM) | Cost: $6,074/yr (22% of CC) | New ML: $30,750 ↓ $16,250 | Roll DEBIT $1,110 | Margin (TIMS): $2,584
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Sep 18 67d 66.7% $0.10 $0.21 $572 2% $47,000 = D $100
2 36 Sep 18 67d 65.7% $0.04 $0.23 $626 2% $46,500 -$500 D $110
3 40 Sep 18 67d 61.9% $0.15 $0.24 $654 2% $44,500 -$2,500 D $115
4 37 Sep 18 67d 64.8% $0.05 $0.25 $681 2% $46,000 -$1,000 D $120
5 35 Oct 16 95d 66.7% $0.12 $0.36 $692 2% $47,000 = D $175
6 38 Sep 18 67d 63.8% $0.07 $0.27 $735 3% $45,500 -$1,500 D $130
7 39 Sep 18 67d 62.9% $0.08 $0.29 $790 3% $45,000 -$2,000 D $140
8 39 Oct 16 95d 62.9% $0.22 $0.48 $922 3% $45,000 -$2,000 D $235
9 41 Sep 18 67d 60.9% $0.11 $0.34 $926 3% $44,000 -$3,000 D $165
10 42 Sep 18 67d 60.0% $0.14 $0.36 $981 3% $43,500 -$3,500 D $175
11 40 Oct 16 95d 61.9% $0.25 $0.52 $999 4% $44,500 -$2,500 D $255
12 43 Sep 18 67d 59.0% $0.17 $0.39 $1,062 4% $43,000 -$4,000 D $190
13 68 PROT Sep 18 67d 35.7% $1.99 $2.23 $6,074 22% $30,750 -$16,250 D $1,110
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 14 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $117, B $6.70 $37,688/yr $572/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $122 0.4σ, B $5.50 $30,938/yr $572/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($117, bid $6.70). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).