GENERATED2026-07-20 21:42
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$128,580/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$127,750/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$830/yr
ROLL CREDITS
-$2,600
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$4,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 47 positions
1 · ROLL NOW2 · REPAIR PLAN6 · LEAPS-ONLY38 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
BMNR (RetireInc) →
+10C −18P +10P −18C
$16.25 1018 1018 $17.13 $19.35 82.28x 38.4% SAFE 50 $31,250$81,225 ROLL NOW (32d)
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −39C
$38.41 2547 3539 $44.00 $49.46 121.75x 8.9% OK 20 $32,000$76,820 REPAIR PLAN (88d)
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −39C
$38.41 2547 3539 $44.00 $49.46 121.75x 8.9% OK 20 $32,000$76,820 REPAIR PLAN (88d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −370C
$356.47 3100 0370 $392.50 $338.59 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$178,235 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C −38C
$36.59 750 038 $70.58 $48.52 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$182,925 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −96C
$93.04 700 096 $96.50 $86.97 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$111,648 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+40C −13C
$11.38 400 013 $40.55 $14.00 01.00x 0.0% N/A 200 $11,000$227,600 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −105C
$96.04 1800 0105 $233.00 $150.19 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$96,040 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C
$748.02 6400 00 $764.00 $694.42 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$897,624 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P −280C
$249.32 215260 230280 $256.25 $239.89 301.80x 7.7% OK 10 $37,500$249,320 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P −480C
$425.05 460540 185480 $588.00 $606.00 3553.77x 56.5% SAFE 1 $12,800$42,504 OK
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −65P +25P −16C
$16.25 2365 2516 $30.29 $8.12 400.00x -53.9% ITM 150 $0$243,675 OK
BMNR (Main)
+25C −45P +15P −18C
$16.25 2545 1518 $44.46 302.59x 7.7% OK 50 $94,550$81,225 OK
BMNR (Main)
+23C −65P +25P −18C
$16.25 2365 2518 $39.13 $8.12 400.00x -53.9% ITM 75 $0$121,838 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P −14C
$14.09 1717 1014 $20.74 $17.93 72.87x 29.0% SAFE 25 $9,350$35,225 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −170C
$158.26 165240 85170 $210.90 $218.84 15510.23x 46.3% SAFE 8 $13,440$126,608 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −170C
$158.26 500330 300170 $563.00 $335.39 301.48x -89.6% ITM 25 $157,500$395,650 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −190C
$158.26 145200 75190 $182.40 $189.53 1257.31x 52.6% SAFE 3 $5,940$47,478 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$73.99 6590 680 $93.40 $94.75 221.77x 8.1% OK 20 $56,800$147,980 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −84C
$78.38 105120 4084 $125.45 $130.05 804.91x 49.0% SAFE 5 $10,225$39,190 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −432C
$393.94 340390 150432 $398.00 $410.04 2405.14x 61.9% SAFE 3 $17,400$118,184 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P −45C
$40.32 4560 2045 $56.15 $58.10 406.48x 50.4% SAFE 10 $7,300$40,320 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$14.15 1316 100 $17.33 $18.03 62.39x 29.3% SAFE 50 $21,650$70,750 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −377C
$368.21 320450 330377 $456.00 $473.37 1201.88x 10.4% SAFE 10 $136,000$368,215 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P −27C
$22.57 3838 1827 $39.71 $33.39 2010.05x 22.5% SAFE 125 $27,625$282,125 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −370C
$356.47 300345 310370 $373.00 $337.72 351.48x 13.0% SAFE 15 $109,500$534,705 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −370C
$356.47 340405 360370 $398.00 $375.71 451.88x -1.0% ITM 5 $25,500$178,235 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −40C
$32.81 1020 540 $17.47 $18.57 154.04x 84.8% SAFE 15 $7,395$49,215 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −116C
$99.77 85100 35116 $114.00 $118.14 653.24x 64.9% SAFE 5 $14,500$49,882 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −42C
$38.41 4565 2142 $56.50 $59.46 4415.67x 45.3% SAFE 20 $6,000$76,820 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −42C
$38.41 5070 2342 $63.43 $68.08 477.86x 40.1% SAFE 20 $13,700$76,820 OK
MARA (Joint)
+20C −17P +10P −13C
$11.38 2017 1013 $24.33 $23.35 72.62x 12.1% SAFE 50 $21,650$56,900 OK
MARA (Main)
+20C −25P +15P −13C
$11.38 2025 1513 $22.69 $22.82 1027.32x -31.8% ITM 200 $7,600$227,600 OK
MARA (Neville)
+25C −15P +13P −13C
$11.38 2515 1313 $26.40 $15.84 22.43x -14.2% ITM 250 $35,000$284,500 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −350C
$316.81 270340 150350 $362.90 $381.60 1903.05x 52.7% SAFE 1 $9,290$31,681 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −630C
$641.62 480650 330630 $601.50 $606.57 3205.38x 48.6% SAFE 3 $21,900$192,486 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −105C
$96.04 125185 55105 $161.00 $167.91 13011.83x 42.7% SAFE 4 $4,800$38,416 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P −1050C
$890.85 8801010 3201050 $1028.60 $1055.15 6905.64x 64.1% SAFE 5 $74,300$445,422 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P −1040C
$890.85 9701110 3701040 $1220.00 $1244.73 7403.96x 58.5% SAFE 2 $50,000$178,169 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P −97C
$90.68 88105 7597 $114.54 $118.12 302.11x 17.3% SAFE 5 $13,520$45,340 OK
NOW
+80C −110P +90P
$100.52 80110 900 $108.93 $114.28 201.72x 10.5% SAFE 10 $27,850$100,515 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P −218C
$207.50 140175 70218 $199.60 $203.31 1052.76x 66.3% SAFE 5 $29,800$103,750 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −180C
$171.58 190210 90180 $224.00 $227.21 1204.53x 47.5% SAFE 5 $17,000$85,790 OK
RIOT
+17C −40P +17P −22C
$19.35 1740 1722 $23.65 $30.68 2310.79x 12.1% SAFE 50 $11,750$96,750 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −75C
$67.74 115135 4575 $141.55 $147.64 904.39x 33.6% SAFE 6 $15,930$40,644 OK
SOFI
+10C −13P +5P
$17.16 1013 50 $15.75 $16.10 82.39x 70.9% SAFE 35 $20,125$60,043 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −150C
$123.39 150195 135150 $186.00 $182.98 603.22x -9.4% ITM 5 $13,500$61,695 OK

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 88d

Stock: $38.41 HP: 8.9% OTM Current hedge: $64,290/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $127,430/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 14 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Oct 16, 88d) | Save $415/yr | Payback 58mo (4.82yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.02yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 11.5% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,284
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Oct 16 88d 11.5% $7.70 $-0.65 $-1,300 $63,875 $62,298 $415 13 $2,000 58mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 33 Oct 16 88d 14.1% $6.50 $0.55 $1,100 $53,920 $65,201 $10,369 14 $4,000 5mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
3 32 Oct 16 88d 16.7% $6.65 $0.40 $800 $55,165 $62,298 $9,125 15 $6,000 8mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
4 32 Sep 18 60d 16.7% $4.90 $2.15 $4,300 $59,617 $91,370 $4,673 15 $6,000 15mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
5 31 Oct 16 88d 19.3% $5.65 $1.40 $2,800 $46,869 $65,616 $17,420 16 $8,000 6mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
6 31 Sep 18 60d 19.3% $4.55 $2.50 $5,000 $55,358 $96,237 $8,931 16 $8,000 11mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
7 30 Oct 16 88d 21.9% $5.60 $1.45 $2,900 $46,455 $65,949 $17,835 17 $10,000 7mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
8 30 Sep 18 60d 21.9% $4.10 $2.95 $5,900 $49,883 $96,725 $14,406 17 $10,000 8mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
9 29 Oct 16 88d 24.5% $5.20 $1.85 $3,700 $43,136 $61,386 $21,153 18 $12,000 7mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
10 29 Sep 18 60d 24.5% $3.70 $3.35 $6,700 $45,017 $90,033 $19,273 18 $12,000 7mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
11 28 Oct 16 88d 27.1% $4.50 $2.55 $5,100 $37,330 $51,847 $26,960 19 $14,000 6mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
12 28 Sep 18 60d 27.1% $3.35 $3.70 $7,400 $40,758 $76,042 $23,531 19 $14,000 7mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
13 27 Oct 16 88d 29.7% $4.35 $2.70 $5,400 $36,085 $48,114 $28,205 20 $16,000 7mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
14 27 Sep 18 60d 29.7% $3.50 $3.55 $7,100 $42,583 $70,567 $21,706 20 $16,000 9mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
15 33 Sep 18 60d 14.1% $5.60 $1.45 $2,900 $68,133 $95,629 $-3,844 14 $4,000 N/A 0mo 1.88x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 21 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $50, B $2.41 $54,225/yr $63,875/yr DEFICIT $804/mo
CC at MID $48 0.7σ, B $2.83 $63,675/yr $63,875/yr DEFICIT $17/mo
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $38.41 → $30.73, hedge $62,298/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $54,225/yr $62,298/yr DEFICIT $673/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $63,675/yr $62,298/yr SELF-FUNDING
NOT SELF-FUNDING Requires ongoing capital even at MID
CC WRITING STRATEGY
NO SAFE CC STRATEGY at the current chain. Hedge bleeds even at MID strike. Either restructure (deeper-OTM HP, smaller position) or commit to ongoing capital subsidy.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 88d

Stock: $38.41 HP: 8.9% OTM Current hedge: $64,290/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $127,430/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 14 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Oct 16, 88d) | Save $415/yr | Payback 58mo (4.82yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.02yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 11.5% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,289
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Oct 16 88d 11.5% $7.70 $-0.65 $-1,300 $63,875 $62,298 $415 13 $2,000 58mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 33 Oct 16 88d 14.1% $6.50 $0.55 $1,100 $53,920 $65,201 $10,369 14 $4,000 5mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
3 32 Oct 16 88d 16.7% $6.65 $0.40 $800 $55,165 $62,298 $9,125 15 $6,000 8mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
4 32 Sep 18 60d 16.7% $4.90 $2.15 $4,300 $59,617 $91,370 $4,673 15 $6,000 15mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
5 31 Oct 16 88d 19.3% $5.65 $1.40 $2,800 $46,869 $65,616 $17,420 16 $8,000 6mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
6 31 Sep 18 60d 19.3% $4.55 $2.50 $5,000 $55,358 $96,237 $8,931 16 $8,000 11mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
7 30 Oct 16 88d 21.9% $5.60 $1.45 $2,900 $46,455 $65,949 $17,835 17 $10,000 7mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
8 30 Sep 18 60d 21.9% $4.10 $2.95 $5,900 $49,883 $96,725 $14,406 17 $10,000 8mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
9 29 Oct 16 88d 24.5% $5.20 $1.85 $3,700 $43,136 $61,386 $21,153 18 $12,000 7mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
10 29 Sep 18 60d 24.5% $3.70 $3.35 $6,700 $45,017 $90,033 $19,273 18 $12,000 7mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
11 28 Oct 16 88d 27.1% $4.50 $2.55 $5,100 $37,330 $51,847 $26,960 19 $14,000 6mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
12 28 Sep 18 60d 27.1% $3.35 $3.70 $7,400 $40,758 $76,042 $23,531 19 $14,000 7mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
13 27 Oct 16 88d 29.7% $4.35 $2.70 $5,400 $36,085 $48,114 $28,205 20 $16,000 7mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
14 27 Sep 18 60d 29.7% $3.50 $3.55 $7,100 $42,583 $70,567 $21,706 20 $16,000 9mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
15 33 Sep 18 60d 14.1% $5.60 $1.45 $2,900 $68,133 $95,629 $-3,844 14 $4,000 N/A 0mo 1.88x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 21 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $50, B $2.41 $54,225/yr $63,875/yr DEFICIT $804/mo
CC at MID $48 0.7σ, B $2.83 $63,675/yr $63,875/yr DEFICIT $17/mo
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $38.41 → $30.73, hedge $62,298/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $54,225/yr $62,298/yr DEFICIT $673/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $63,675/yr $62,298/yr SELF-FUNDING
NOT SELF-FUNDING Requires ongoing capital even at MID
CC WRITING STRATEGY
NO SAFE CC STRATEGY at the current chain. Hedge bleeds even at MID strike. Either restructure (deeper-OTM HP, smaller position) or commit to ongoing capital subsidy.

BMNR (RetireInc): HP 10P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Aug 21 '26, 32d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened cost cap 25% → 50% of CC to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $16.25 Current HP: 10P (32d, 38.4% OTM) Current hedge: $32,508/yr Current ML: $71,250 CC income: $51,799/yr Cost cap: 50% of CC = $25,900/yr IV: HIGH 2 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 10 → 10P (Sep 18 '26, 60d, 38.4% OTM) | Cost: $16,425/yr (32% of CC) | New ML: $71,250 = ML | Roll DEBIT $2,600 | Margin (TIMS): $897
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 10 → 11P (Sep 18 '26, 60d, 32.3% OTM) | Cost: $21,292/yr (41% of CC) | New ML: $66,250 ↓ $5,000 | Roll DEBIT $3,400 | Margin (TIMS): $810
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 10 CHEAP Sep 18 60d 38.4% $0.01 $0.54 $16,425 32% $71,250 = D $2,600
2 11 PROT Sep 18 60d 32.3% $0.01 $0.70 $21,292 41% $66,250 -$5,000 D $3,400
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 21 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $20, B $0.23 $12,938/yr $16,425/yr DEFICIT $291/mo
CC at MID $20 0.7σ, B $0.23 $12,938/yr $16,425/yr DEFICIT $291/mo
NOT SELF-FUNDING Requires ongoing capital even at MID
CC WRITING STRATEGY
NO SAFE CC STRATEGY at the current chain. Hedge bleeds even at MID strike. Either restructure (deeper-OTM HP, smaller position) or commit to ongoing capital subsidy.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).