GENERATED2026-07-23 21:43
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$114,259/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$77,562/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$36,697/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$125
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$13,250
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 47 positions
3 · REPAIR PLAN6 · LEAPS-ONLY38 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$41.90 2547 3555 $44.00 $48.81 121.75x 16.5% SAFE 20 $32,000$83,800 REPAIR PLAN (85d)
NOW →
+80C −110P +90P
$94.47 80110 900 $108.93 $113.73 201.72x 4.7% TIGHT 10 $27,850$94,465 REPAIR PLAN (85d)
UAMY →
+10C −12P +8P −7C
$5.71 1012 87 $12.45 $13.01 53.08x -31.4% ITM 25 $6,000$14,274 REPAIR PLAN (120d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −370C
$321.71 3100 0370 $392.50 $341.43 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$160,855 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$36.77 750 00 $70.58 $48.38 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$183,875 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −94C
$88.10 700 094 $96.50 $86.56 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$105,720 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+40C
$12.49 400 00 $40.55 $15.18 01.00x 0.0% N/A 200 $11,000$249,800 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −125C
$95.75 1800 0125 $233.00 $148.41 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$95,745 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C −758C
$741.33 6400 0758 $764.00 $692.69 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$889,590 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P −265C
$237.34 215260 230265 $256.25 $241.56 301.80x 3.1% TIGHT 10 $37,500$237,335 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P −465C
$404.40 460540 185465 $588.00 $602.52 3553.77x 54.3% SAFE 1 $12,800$40,440 OK
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −65P +25P −20C
$17.58 2365 2520 $30.29 $8.79 400.00x -42.2% ITM 150 $0$263,702 OK
BMNR (Main)
+25C −45P +15P −20C
$17.58 2545 1520 $44.46 $52.53 302.59x 14.7% SAFE 50 $94,550$87,901 OK
BMNR (Main)
+23C −65P +25P −20C
$17.58 2365 2520 $39.13 $8.79 400.00x -42.2% ITM 75 $0$131,851 OK
BMNR (RetireInc)
+10C −18P +10P −20C
$17.58 1018 1020 $17.13 $19.38 82.28x 43.1% SAFE 50 $31,250$87,901 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$15.28 1717 100 $20.74 $17.30 72.87x 34.6% SAFE 25 $9,350$38,200 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −210C
$162.14 165240 85210 $210.90 $215.91 15510.23x 47.6% SAFE 8 $13,440$129,715 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −210C
$162.14 500330 300210 $563.00 $333.75 301.48x -85.0% ITM 25 $157,500$405,360 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −215C
$162.14 145200 75215 $182.40 $188.20 1257.31x 53.7% SAFE 3 $5,940$48,643 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −85C
$79.08 6590 6885 $93.40 $94.50 221.77x 14.0% SAFE 20 $56,800$158,150 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −97C
$82.19 105120 4097 $125.45 $128.76 804.91x 51.3% SAFE 5 $10,225$41,095 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −475C
$441.47 340390 150475 $398.00 $408.12 2405.14x 66.0% SAFE 3 $17,400$132,440 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$39.11 4560 200 $56.15 $58.98 406.48x 48.9% SAFE 10 $7,300$39,109 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$14.34 1316 100 $17.33 $17.98 62.39x 30.2% SAFE 50 $21,650$71,675 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −390C
$372.11 320450 330390 $456.00 $471.60 1201.88x 11.3% SAFE 10 $136,000$372,105 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$24.68 3838 180 $39.71 $32.64 2010.05x 29.1% SAFE 125 $27,625$308,488 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −370C
$321.71 300345 310370 $373.00 $340.46 351.48x 3.6% TIGHT 15 $109,500$482,565 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −370C
$321.71 340405 360370 $398.00 $378.74 451.88x -11.9% ITM 5 $25,500$160,855 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −40C
$31.54 1020 540 $17.47 $19.75 154.04x 84.1% SAFE 15 $7,395$47,312 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −116C
$102.05 85100 35116 $114.00 $117.46 653.24x 65.7% SAFE 5 $14,500$51,025 OK
IREN (Joint)
+25C −47P +35P −51C
$41.90 2547 3551 $44.00 $48.81 121.75x 16.5% SAFE 20 $32,000$83,800 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −55C
$41.90 4565 2155 $56.50 $58.84 4415.67x 49.9% SAFE 20 $6,000$83,800 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −55C
$41.90 5070 2355 $63.43 $67.76 477.86x 45.1% SAFE 20 $13,700$83,800 OK
MARA (Joint)
+20C −17P +10P
$12.49 2017 100 $24.33 $19.45 72.62x 19.9% SAFE 50 $21,650$62,450 OK
MARA (Main)
+20C −25P +15P
$12.49 2025 150 $22.69 $18.38 1027.32x -20.1% ITM 200 $7,600$249,800 OK
MARA (Neville)
+25C −15P +13P
$12.49 2515 130 $26.40 $14.92 22.43x -4.1% ITM 250 $35,000$312,250 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −325C
$302.51 270340 150325 $362.90 $378.42 1903.05x 50.4% SAFE 1 $9,290$30,251 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −660C
$607.70 480650 330660 $601.50 $606.39 3205.38x 45.7% SAFE 3 $21,900$182,310 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −130C
$95.75 125185 55130 $161.00 $167.70 13011.83x 42.6% SAFE 4 $4,800$38,298 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P −1050C
$986.32 8801010 3201050 $1028.60 $1053.05 6905.64x 67.6% SAFE 5 $74,300$493,160 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P −1040C
$986.32 9701110 3701040 $1220.00 $1243.54 7403.96x 62.5% SAFE 2 $50,000$197,264 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P −106C
$93.89 88105 75106 $114.54 $118.42 302.11x 20.1% SAFE 5 $13,520$46,945 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P −220C
$208.67 140175 70220 $199.60 $202.18 1052.76x 66.5% SAFE 5 $29,800$104,335 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −208C
$172.77 190210 90208 $224.00 $229.15 1204.53x 47.9% SAFE 5 $17,000$86,385 OK
RIOT
+17C −40P +17P
$24.26 1740 170 $23.65 $34.24 234.17x 29.9% SAFE 50 $36,300$121,300 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −83C
$68.92 115135 4583 $141.55 $149.25 904.39x 34.7% SAFE 6 $15,930$41,352 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −165C
$115.72 150195 135165 $186.00 $182.58 603.22x -16.7% ITM 5 $13,500$57,860 OK

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 85d

Stock: $41.90 HP: 16.5% OTM Current hedge: $56,682/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $161,595/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 10 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Nov 20, 120d) | Save $12,274/yr | Payback 2mo (0.16yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.01yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 18.9% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,566
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Nov 20 120d 18.9% $7.30 $-1.25 $-2,500 $44,408 $72,087 $12,274 13 $2,000 2mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 34 Oct 16 85d 18.9% $5.90 $0.15 $300 $50,671 $88,459 $6,012 13 $2,000 4mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
3 33 Nov 20 120d 21.2% $7.00 $-0.95 $-1,900 $42,583 $69,046 $14,099 14 $4,000 3mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
4 33 Oct 16 85d 21.2% $5.70 $0.35 $700 $48,953 $84,165 $7,729 14 $4,000 6mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
5 32 Nov 20 120d 23.6% $6.50 $-0.45 $-900 $39,542 $64,179 $17,141 15 $6,000 4mo 0mo 1.94x PASS
6 32 Oct 16 85d 23.6% $5.25 $0.80 $1,600 $45,088 $76,006 $11,594 15 $6,000 6mo 0mo 1.94x PASS
7 31 Nov 20 120d 26.0% $6.05 $0.00 $0 $36,804 $61,746 $19,878 16 $8,000 5mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
8 31 Oct 16 85d 26.0% $4.85 $1.20 $2,400 $41,653 $74,288 $15,029 16 $8,000 6mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
9 30 Nov 20 120d 28.4% $5.40 $0.65 $1,300 $32,850 $54,750 $23,832 17 $10,000 5mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
10 30 Oct 16 85d 28.4% $4.20 $1.85 $3,700 $36,071 $65,271 $20,612 17 $10,000 6mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 28 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $49, B $3.25 $65,000/yr $44,408/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $53 0.7σ, B $2.20 $44,000/yr $44,408/yr DEFICIT $34/mo
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $41.90 → $33.52, hedge $72,087/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $65,000/yr $72,087/yr DEFICIT $591/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $44,000/yr $72,087/yr DEFICIT $2,341/mo
SUSTAINABLE AT SS Conservative CC covers repaired hedge
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($49, bid $3.25). Hedge is light enough that conservative CCs cover it. Stress case unmodelled or insufficient data.

NOW: HP 90P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 85d

Stock: $94.47 HP: 4.7% OTM Current hedge: $36,285/yr SS: $108.93 (unchanged) Shares: 1,000 CC income: $64,559/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 8 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 90 → 85 (Nov 20, 120d) | Save $11,496/yr | Payback 5mo (0.43yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.07yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 10.0% OTM | RM 1.72x → 1.90x | Margin (TIMS): $1,771
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 85 Nov 20 120d 10.0% $8.15 $-1.00 $-1,000 $24,790 $27,725 $11,496 25 $5,000 5mo 1mo 1.90x PASS
2 85 Oct 16 85d 10.0% $5.85 $1.30 $1,300 $25,121 $29,694 $11,165 25 $5,000 5mo 1mo 1.90x PASS
3 80 Oct 16 85d 15.3% $4.40 $2.75 $2,750 $18,894 $36,564 $17,391 30 $10,000 7mo 1mo 2.08x PASS
4 80 Nov 20 120d 15.3% $6.40 $0.75 $750 $19,467 $33,048 $16,819 30 $10,000 7mo 1mo 2.08x PASS
5 75 Oct 16 85d 20.6% $3.00 $4.15 $4,150 $12,882 $45,367 $23,403 35 $15,000 8mo 2mo 2.26x PASS
6 75 Nov 20 120d 20.6% $4.65 $2.50 $2,500 $14,144 $37,762 $22,142 35 $15,000 8mo 2mo 2.26x PASS
7 70 Oct 16 85d 25.9% $2.07 $5.08 $5,080 $8,889 $25,121 $27,396 40 $20,000 9mo 3mo 2.44x PASS
8 70 Nov 20 120d 25.9% $3.40 $3.75 $3,750 $10,342 $24,790 $25,944 40 $20,000 9mo 3mo 2.44x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 28 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $112, B $1.45 $14,500/yr $24,790/yr DEFICIT $857/mo
CC at MID $106 0.7σ, B $3.20 $32,000/yr $24,790/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $94.47 → $75.57, hedge $27,725/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $14,500/yr $27,725/yr DEFICIT $1,102/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $32,000/yr $27,725/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($106, bid $3.20). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 20% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

UAMY: HP 8P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 120d

Stock: $5.71 HP: ITM Current hedge: $21,292/yr SS: $12.45 (unchanged) Shares: 2,500 CC income: $17,379/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 1 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 8 → 5 (Nov 20, 120d) | Save $12,927/yr | Payback 6mo (0.48yr) hedge only, 2mo (0.21yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 12.4% OTM | RM 3.08x → 4.12x | Margin (TIMS): $204
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 5 Nov 20 120d 12.4% $1.10 $1.45 $3,625 $8,365 $8,365 $12,927 8 $6,250 6mo 2mo 4.12x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 28 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $10, B $0.05 $1,250/yr $8,365/yr DEFICIT $593/mo
CC at MID $7 0.6σ, B $0.20 $5,000/yr $8,365/yr DEFICIT $280/mo
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $5.71 → $4.57, hedge $8,365/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $1,250/yr $8,365/yr DEFICIT $593/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $5,000/yr $8,365/yr DEFICIT $280/mo
NOT SELF-FUNDING Requires ongoing capital even at MID
CC WRITING STRATEGY
NO SAFE CC STRATEGY at the current chain. Hedge bleeds even at MID strike. Either restructure (deeper-OTM HP, smaller position) or commit to ongoing capital subsidy.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).