GENERATED2026-07-24 03:34
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$116,146/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$79,748/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$36,398/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$1,450
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$13,250
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 47 positions
3 · REPAIR PLAN6 · LEAPS-ONLY38 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$41.03 2547 3555 $44.00 $48.68 121.75x 14.7% SAFE 20 $32,000$82,060 REPAIR PLAN (84d)
NOW →
+80C −110P +90P
$92.42 80110 900 $108.93 $113.98 201.72x 2.6% TIGHT 10 $27,850$92,420 REPAIR PLAN (84d)
UAMY →
+10C −12P +8P −7C
$5.54 1012 87 $12.45 $12.92 53.08x -35.3% ITM 25 $6,000$13,862 REPAIR PLAN (119d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C
$318.60 3100 00 $392.50 $340.59 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$159,300 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$36.71 750 00 $70.58 $48.62 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$183,550 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −94C
$87.23 700 094 $96.50 $87.06 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$104,676 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+40C −14C
$12.99 400 014 $40.55 $15.53 01.00x 0.0% N/A 200 $11,000$259,900 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C
$94.75 1800 00 $233.00 $152.00 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$94,745 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C
$737.02 6400 00 $764.00 $693.32 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$884,424 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P −255C
$233.05 215260 230255 $256.25 $240.74 301.80x 1.3% TIGHT 10 $37,500$233,050 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P −435C
$398.18 460540 185435 $588.00 $606.03 3553.77x 53.5% SAFE 1 $12,800$39,818 OK
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −65P +25P −20C
$16.73 2365 2520 $30.29 $8.37 400.00x -49.4% ITM 150 $0$251,025 OK
BMNR (Main)
+25C −45P +15P −20C
$16.73 2545 1520 $44.46 302.59x 10.4% SAFE 50 $94,550$83,675 OK
BMNR (Main)
+23C −65P +25P −20C
$16.73 2365 2520 $39.13 $8.37 400.00x -49.4% ITM 75 $0$125,512 OK
BMNR (RetireInc)
+10C −18P +10P −20C
$16.73 1018 1020 $17.13 $19.60 82.28x 40.2% SAFE 50 $31,250$83,675 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$15.69 1717 100 $20.74 $17.24 72.87x 36.3% SAFE 25 $9,350$39,225 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −210C
$162.12 165240 85210 $210.90 $216.04 15510.23x 47.6% SAFE 8 $13,440$129,692 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −210C
$162.12 500330 300210 $563.00 $336.61 301.48x -85.1% ITM 25 $157,500$405,288 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −195C
$162.12 145200 75195 $182.40 $188.47 1257.31x 53.7% SAFE 3 $5,940$48,634 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −85C
$77.92 6590 6885 $93.40 $94.63 221.77x 12.7% SAFE 20 $56,800$155,840 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −97C
$81.37 105120 4097 $125.45 $128.89 804.91x 50.8% SAFE 5 $10,225$40,685 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −475C
$436.67 340390 150475 $398.00 $407.44 2405.14x 65.6% SAFE 3 $17,400$131,001 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$38.74 4560 200 $56.15 $58.99 406.48x 48.4% SAFE 10 $7,300$38,740 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$14.18 1316 100 $17.33 $17.88 62.39x 29.5% SAFE 50 $21,650$70,900 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −390C
$371.29 320450 330390 $456.00 $471.46 1201.88x 11.1% SAFE 10 $136,000$371,290 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$24.41 3838 180 $39.71 $32.76 2010.05x 28.3% SAFE 125 $27,625$305,062 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P
$318.60 300345 3100 $373.00 $339.69 351.48x 2.7% TIGHT 15 $109,500$477,900 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P
$318.60 340405 3600 $398.00 $377.70 451.88x -13.0% ITM 5 $25,500$159,300 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −42C
$32.72 1020 542 $17.47 $19.60 154.04x 84.7% SAFE 15 $7,395$49,080 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P
$100.13 85100 350 $114.00 $116.85 653.24x 65.0% SAFE 5 $14,500$50,065 OK
IREN (Joint)
+25C −47P +35P −51C
$41.03 2547 3551 $44.00 $48.68 121.75x 14.7% SAFE 20 $32,000$82,060 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −55C
$41.03 4565 2155 $56.50 $59.24 4415.67x 48.8% SAFE 20 $6,000$82,060 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −55C
$41.03 5070 2355 $63.43 $67.14 477.86x 43.9% SAFE 20 $13,700$82,060 OK
MARA (Joint)
+20C −17P +10P −14C
$12.99 2017 1014 $24.33 $19.21 72.62x 23.0% SAFE 50 $21,650$64,975 OK
MARA (Main)
+20C −25P +15P −14C
$12.99 2025 1514 $22.69 $18.35 1027.32x -15.4% ITM 200 $7,600$259,900 OK
MARA (Neville)
+25C −15P +13P −14C
$12.99 2515 1314 $26.40 $14.67 22.43x -0.0% ITM 250 $35,000$324,875 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −325C
$298.17 270340 150325 $362.90 $377.39 1903.05x 49.7% SAFE 1 $9,290$29,817 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −638C
$606.88 480650 330638 $601.50 $605.51 3205.38x 45.6% SAFE 3 $21,900$182,064 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P
$94.75 125185 550 $161.00 $168.63 13011.83x 41.9% SAFE 4 $4,800$37,898 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P −1050C
$990.54 8801010 3201050 $1028.60 $1053.32 6905.64x 67.7% SAFE 5 $74,300$495,268 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P −1125C
$990.54 9701110 3701125 $1220.00 $1242.85 7403.96x 62.6% SAFE 2 $50,000$198,107 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P −106C
$94.42 88105 75106 $114.54 $118.71 302.11x 20.6% SAFE 5 $13,520$47,208 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P −220C
$207.46 140175 70220 $199.60 $202.37 1052.76x 66.3% SAFE 5 $29,800$103,730 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −208C
$169.46 190210 90208 $224.00 $228.65 1204.53x 46.9% SAFE 5 $17,000$84,730 OK
RIOT
+17C −40P +17P −30C
$23.88 1740 1730 $23.65 $33.44 234.35x 28.8% SAFE 50 $34,375$119,375 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −83C
$69.59 115135 4583 $141.55 $149.00 904.39x 35.3% SAFE 6 $15,930$41,757 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −165C
$116.42 150195 135165 $186.00 $183.74 603.22x -16.0% ITM 5 $13,500$58,212 OK

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 84d

Stock: $41.03 HP: 14.7% OTM Current hedge: $56,488/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $126,964/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 12 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Nov 20, 119d) | Save $11,400/yr | Payback 2mo (0.18yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.01yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 17.1% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,473
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Nov 20 119d 17.1% $7.35 $-1.20 $-2,400 $45,088 $67,356 $11,400 13 $2,000 2mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 34 Oct 16 84d 17.1% $6.00 $0.15 $300 $52,143 $80,648 $4,345 13 $2,000 6mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
3 33 Nov 20 119d 19.6% $6.90 $-0.75 $-1,500 $42,328 $69,013 $14,160 14 $4,000 3mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
4 33 Oct 16 84d 19.6% $5.70 $0.45 $900 $49,536 $84,732 $6,952 14 $4,000 7mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
5 32 Nov 20 119d 22.0% $6.40 $-0.25 $-500 $39,261 $65,025 $17,228 15 $6,000 4mo 0mo 1.94x PASS
6 32 Oct 16 84d 22.0% $5.20 $0.95 $1,900 $45,190 $79,952 $11,298 15 $6,000 6mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
7 31 Nov 20 119d 24.4% $5.95 $0.20 $400 $36,500 $60,731 $19,988 16 $8,000 5mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
8 31 Oct 16 84d 24.4% $4.80 $1.35 $2,700 $41,714 $73,869 $14,774 16 $8,000 6mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
9 30 Nov 20 119d 26.9% $5.35 $0.80 $1,600 $32,819 $54,597 $23,669 17 $10,000 5mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
10 30 Oct 16 84d 26.9% $4.40 $1.75 $3,500 $38,238 $65,613 $18,250 17 $10,000 7mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
11 29 Nov 20 119d 29.3% $5.10 $1.05 $2,100 $31,286 $50,609 $25,202 18 $12,000 6mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
12 29 Oct 16 84d 29.3% $4.00 $2.15 $4,300 $34,762 $61,268 $21,726 18 $12,000 7mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 28 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $49, B $3.25 $66,857/yr $45,088/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $51 0.6σ, B $2.05 $42,171/yr $45,088/yr DEFICIT $243/mo
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $41.03 → $32.82, hedge $67,356/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $66,857/yr $67,356/yr DEFICIT $42/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $42,171/yr $67,356/yr DEFICIT $2,099/mo
SUSTAINABLE AT SS Conservative CC covers repaired hedge
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($49, bid $3.25). Hedge is light enough that conservative CCs cover it. Stress case unmodelled or insufficient data.

NOW: HP 90P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 84d

Stock: $92.42 HP: 2.6% OTM Current hedge: $37,804/yr SS: $108.93 (unchanged) Shares: 1,000 CC income: $52,843/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 8 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 90 → 85 (Nov 20, 119d) | Save $11,579/yr | Payback 5mo (0.43yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.08yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 8.0% OTM | RM 1.72x → 1.90x | Margin (TIMS): $1,717
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 85 Nov 20 119d 8.0% $8.55 $-0.15 $-150 $26,225 $23,066 $11,579 25 $5,000 5mo 1mo 1.90x PASS
2 85 Oct 16 84d 8.0% $6.45 $1.95 $1,950 $28,027 $23,768 $9,777 25 $5,000 6mo 1mo 1.90x PASS
3 80 Oct 16 84d 13.4% $4.50 $3.90 $3,900 $19,554 $30,286 $18,250 30 $10,000 7mo 2mo 2.08x PASS
4 80 Nov 20 119d 13.4% $6.45 $1.95 $1,950 $19,784 $28,126 $18,020 30 $10,000 7mo 2mo 2.08x PASS
5 75 Oct 16 84d 18.8% $3.10 $5.30 $5,300 $13,470 $38,325 $24,333 35 $15,000 7mo 2mo 2.26x PASS
6 75 Nov 20 119d 18.8% $4.80 $3.60 $3,600 $14,723 $33,954 $23,081 35 $15,000 8mo 2mo 2.26x PASS
7 70 Oct 16 84d 24.3% $2.06 $6.34 $6,340 $8,951 $28,027 $28,852 40 $20,000 8mo 3mo 2.44x PASS
8 70 Nov 20 119d 24.3% $3.40 $5.00 $5,000 $10,429 $26,225 $27,375 40 $20,000 9mo 3mo 2.44x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 28 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $110, B $1.81 $18,617/yr $26,225/yr DEFICIT $634/mo
CC at MID $103 0.6σ, B $3.10 $31,886/yr $26,225/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $92.42 → $73.94, hedge $23,066/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $18,617/yr $23,066/yr DEFICIT $371/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $31,886/yr $23,066/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($103, bid $3.10). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 20% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

UAMY: HP 8P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 119d

Stock: $5.54 HP: ITM Current hedge: $21,854/yr SS: $12.45 (unchanged) Shares: 2,500 CC income: $18,449/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 1 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 8 → 5 (Nov 20, 119d) | Save $13,419/yr | Payback 6mo (0.47yr) hedge only, 2mo (0.20yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 9.8% OTM | RM 3.08x → 4.12x | Margin (TIMS): $186
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 5 Nov 20 119d 9.8% $1.10 $1.60 $4,000 $8,435 $8,435 $13,419 8 $6,250 6mo 2mo 4.12x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 28 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $9, B $0.05 $1,286/yr $8,435/yr DEFICIT $596/mo
CC at MID $7 0.7σ, B $0.25 $6,429/yr $8,435/yr DEFICIT $167/mo
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $5.54 → $4.44, hedge $8,435/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $1,286/yr $8,435/yr DEFICIT $596/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $6,429/yr $8,435/yr DEFICIT $167/mo
NOT SELF-FUNDING Requires ongoing capital even at MID
CC WRITING STRATEGY
NO SAFE CC STRATEGY at the current chain. Hedge bleeds even at MID strike. Either restructure (deeper-OTM HP, smaller position) or commit to ongoing capital subsidy.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).