GENERATED2026-07-24 21:46
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$174,321/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$118,548/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$55,772/yr
ROLL CREDITS
-$6,950
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$9,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 47 positions
4 · REPAIR PLAN6 · LEAPS-ONLY37 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −51C
$38.80 2547 3551 $44.00 $48.17 121.75x 9.8% OK 20 $32,000$77,600 REPAIR PLAN (84d)
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$38.80 2547 3555 $44.00 $48.17 121.75x 9.8% OK 20 $32,000$77,600 REPAIR PLAN (84d)
NOW →
+80C −110P +90P
$96.34 80110 900 $108.93 $114.13 201.72x 6.6% OK 10 $27,850$96,340 REPAIR PLAN (84d)
UAMY →
+10C −12P +8P −7C
$5.39 1012 87 $12.45 $13.04 53.08x -39.0% ITM 25 $6,000$13,487 REPAIR PLAN (119d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C
$319.90 3100 00 $392.50 $341.26 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$159,950 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$36.42 750 00 $70.58 $48.58 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$182,100 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −94C
$88.04 700 094 $96.50 $86.56 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$105,648 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+40C −14C
$12.38 400 014 $40.55 $15.34 01.00x 0.0% N/A 200 $11,000$247,500 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C
$92.61 1800 00 $233.00 $150.48 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$92,615 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C
$738.76 6400 00 $764.00 $693.48 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$886,512 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P −255C
$233.23 215260 230255 $256.25 $241.45 301.80x 1.4% TIGHT 10 $37,500$233,230 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P −435C
$396.80 460540 185435 $588.00 $606.84 3553.77x 53.4% SAFE 1 $12,800$39,680 OK
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −65P +25P −20C
$16.00 2365 2520 $30.29 $8.00 400.00x -56.2% ITM 150 $0$240,000 OK
BMNR (Main)
+25C −45P +15P −20C
$16.00 2545 1520 $44.46 302.59x 6.2% OK 50 $94,550$80,000 OK
BMNR (Main)
+23C −65P +25P −20C
$16.00 2365 2520 $39.13 $8.00 400.00x -56.2% ITM 75 $0$120,000 OK
BMNR (RetireInc)
+10C −18P +10P −20C
$16.00 1018 1020 $17.13 $19.16 82.28x 37.5% SAFE 50 $31,250$80,000 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$14.98 1717 100 $20.74 $17.12 72.87x 33.2% SAFE 25 $9,350$37,450 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −210C
$156.50 165240 85210 $210.90 $215.48 15510.23x 45.7% SAFE 8 $13,440$125,200 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −210C
$156.50 500330 300210 $563.00 $330.14 301.48x -91.7% ITM 25 $157,500$391,250 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −195C
$156.50 145200 75195 $182.40 $186.34 1257.31x 52.1% SAFE 3 $5,940$46,950 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −85C
$77.98 6590 6885 $93.40 $94.84 221.77x 12.8% SAFE 20 $56,800$155,960 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −97C
$76.46 105120 4097 $125.45 $127.97 804.91x 47.7% SAFE 5 $10,225$38,230 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −475C
$436.55 340390 150475 $398.00 $408.23 2405.14x 65.6% SAFE 3 $17,400$130,964 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$38.03 4560 200 $56.15 $58.72 406.48x 47.4% SAFE 10 $7,300$38,035 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$14.04 1316 100 $17.33 $17.92 62.39x 28.8% SAFE 50 $21,650$70,206 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −390C
$371.72 320450 330390 $456.00 $472.11 1201.88x 11.2% SAFE 10 $136,000$371,720 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$23.59 3838 180 $39.71 $33.54 2010.05x 25.8% SAFE 125 $27,625$294,925 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P
$319.90 300345 3100 $373.00 $340.57 351.48x 3.1% TIGHT 15 $109,500$479,850 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P
$319.90 340405 3600 $398.00 $379.02 451.88x -12.5% ITM 5 $25,500$159,950 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −42C
$32.58 1020 542 $17.47 $18.82 154.04x 84.7% SAFE 15 $7,395$48,863 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P
$97.56 85100 350 $114.00 $115.82 653.24x 64.1% SAFE 5 $14,500$48,782 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −55C
$38.80 4565 2155 $56.50 $57.95 4415.67x 45.9% SAFE 20 $6,000$77,600 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −55C
$38.80 5070 2355 $63.43 $66.61 477.86x 40.7% SAFE 20 $13,700$77,600 OK
MARA (Joint)
+20C −17P +10P −14C
$12.38 2017 1014 $24.33 $19.28 72.62x 19.2% SAFE 50 $21,650$61,875 OK
MARA (Main)
+20C −25P +15P −14C
$12.38 2025 1514 $22.69 $17.69 1027.32x -21.2% ITM 200 $7,600$247,500 OK
MARA (Neville)
+25C −15P +13P −14C
$12.38 2515 1314 $26.40 $15.21 22.43x -5.1% ITM 250 $35,000$309,375 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −325C
$297.99 270340 150325 $362.90 $379.63 1903.05x 49.7% SAFE 1 $9,290$29,798 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −638C
$603.37 480650 330638 $601.50 $605.23 3205.38x 45.3% SAFE 3 $21,900$181,010 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P
$92.61 125185 550 $161.00 $167.61 13011.83x 40.6% SAFE 4 $4,800$37,046 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P −1050C
$946.68 8801010 3201050 $1028.60 $1055.91 6905.64x 66.2% SAFE 5 $74,300$473,340 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P −1125C
$946.68 9701110 3701125 $1220.00 $1246.41 7403.96x 60.9% SAFE 2 $50,000$189,336 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P −106C
$93.65 88105 75106 $114.54 $117.89 302.11x 19.9% SAFE 5 $13,520$46,825 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P −220C
$207.40 140175 70220 $199.60 $202.84 1052.76x 66.2% SAFE 5 $29,800$103,700 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −208C
$168.95 190210 90208 $224.00 $227.50 1204.53x 46.7% SAFE 5 $17,000$84,475 OK
RIOT
+17C −40P +17P −30C
$23.21 1740 1730 $23.65 $32.89 234.70x 26.8% SAFE 50 $31,050$116,050 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −83C
$67.66 115135 4583 $141.55 $147.44 904.39x 33.5% SAFE 6 $15,930$40,596 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −165C
$114.19 150195 135165 $186.00 $181.82 603.22x -18.2% ITM 5 $13,500$57,093 OK

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 84d

Stock: $38.80 HP: 9.8% OTM Current hedge: $59,964/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $141,729/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 14 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Nov 20, 119d) | Save $12,729/yr | Payback 2mo (0.16yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.01yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 12.4% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,391
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Nov 20 119d 12.4% $7.70 $-1.45 $-2,900 $47,235 $57,050 $12,729 13 $2,000 2mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 34 Oct 16 84d 12.4% $6.35 $-0.10 $-200 $55,185 $65,613 $4,780 13 $2,000 5mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
3 33 Nov 20 119d 14.9% $7.20 $-0.95 $-1,900 $44,168 $58,277 $15,796 14 $4,000 3mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
4 33 Oct 16 84d 14.9% $5.85 $0.40 $800 $50,839 $69,089 $9,125 14 $4,000 5mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
5 32 Nov 20 119d 17.5% $6.65 $-0.40 $-800 $40,794 $60,424 $19,170 15 $6,000 4mo 0mo 1.94x PASS
6 32 Oct 16 84d 17.5% $5.40 $0.85 $1,700 $46,929 $72,565 $13,036 15 $6,000 6mo 0mo 1.94x PASS
7 31 Nov 20 119d 20.1% $6.20 $0.05 $100 $38,034 $62,878 $21,931 16 $8,000 4mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
8 31 Oct 16 84d 20.1% $5.05 $1.20 $2,400 $43,887 $76,042 $16,077 16 $8,000 6mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
9 30 Nov 20 119d 22.7% $5.70 $0.55 $1,100 $34,966 $57,050 $24,998 17 $10,000 5mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
10 30 Oct 16 84d 22.7% $4.50 $1.75 $3,500 $39,107 $68,220 $20,857 17 $10,000 6mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
11 29 Nov 20 119d 25.3% $5.30 $0.95 $1,900 $32,513 $53,676 $27,452 18 $12,000 5mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
12 29 Oct 16 84d 25.3% $4.15 $2.10 $4,200 $36,065 $63,875 $23,899 18 $12,000 6mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
13 28 Nov 20 119d 27.8% $4.90 $1.35 $2,700 $30,059 $50,303 $29,905 19 $14,000 6mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
14 28 Oct 16 84d 27.8% $3.80 $2.45 $4,900 $33,024 $59,530 $26,940 19 $14,000 6mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 28 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $49, B $2.39 $49,166/yr $47,235/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $49 0.7σ, B $2.39 $49,166/yr $47,235/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $38.80 → $31.04, hedge $57,050/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $49,166/yr $57,050/yr DEFICIT $657/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $49,166/yr $57,050/yr DEFICIT $657/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($49, bid $2.39) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 20% drawdown, even MID is short ~$657/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 84d

Stock: $38.80 HP: 9.8% OTM Current hedge: $59,964/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $141,729/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 14 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Nov 20, 119d) | Save $12,729/yr | Payback 2mo (0.16yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.01yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 12.4% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,390
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Nov 20 119d 12.4% $7.70 $-1.45 $-2,900 $47,235 $57,050 $12,729 13 $2,000 2mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 34 Oct 16 84d 12.4% $6.35 $-0.10 $-200 $55,185 $65,613 $4,780 13 $2,000 5mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
3 33 Nov 20 119d 14.9% $7.20 $-0.95 $-1,900 $44,168 $58,277 $15,796 14 $4,000 3mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
4 33 Oct 16 84d 14.9% $5.85 $0.40 $800 $50,839 $69,089 $9,125 14 $4,000 5mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
5 32 Nov 20 119d 17.5% $6.65 $-0.40 $-800 $40,794 $60,424 $19,170 15 $6,000 4mo 0mo 1.94x PASS
6 32 Oct 16 84d 17.5% $5.40 $0.85 $1,700 $46,929 $72,565 $13,036 15 $6,000 6mo 0mo 1.94x PASS
7 31 Nov 20 119d 20.1% $6.20 $0.05 $100 $38,034 $62,878 $21,931 16 $8,000 4mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
8 31 Oct 16 84d 20.1% $5.05 $1.20 $2,400 $43,887 $76,042 $16,077 16 $8,000 6mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
9 30 Nov 20 119d 22.7% $5.70 $0.55 $1,100 $34,966 $57,050 $24,998 17 $10,000 5mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
10 30 Oct 16 84d 22.7% $4.50 $1.75 $3,500 $39,107 $68,220 $20,857 17 $10,000 6mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
11 29 Nov 20 119d 25.3% $5.30 $0.95 $1,900 $32,513 $53,676 $27,452 18 $12,000 5mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
12 29 Oct 16 84d 25.3% $4.15 $2.10 $4,200 $36,065 $63,875 $23,899 18 $12,000 6mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
13 28 Nov 20 119d 27.8% $4.90 $1.35 $2,700 $30,059 $50,303 $29,905 19 $14,000 6mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
14 28 Oct 16 84d 27.8% $3.80 $2.45 $4,900 $33,024 $59,530 $26,940 19 $14,000 6mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 28 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $49, B $2.39 $49,166/yr $47,235/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $49 0.7σ, B $2.39 $49,166/yr $47,235/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $38.80 → $31.04, hedge $57,050/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $49,166/yr $57,050/yr DEFICIT $657/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $49,166/yr $57,050/yr DEFICIT $657/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($49, bid $2.39) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 20% drawdown, even MID is short ~$657/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

NOW: HP 90P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 84d

Stock: $96.34 HP: 6.6% OTM Current hedge: $32,155/yr SS: $108.93 (unchanged) Shares: 1,000 CC income: $41,250/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 8 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 90 → 85 (Nov 20, 119d) | Save $8,077/yr | Payback 7mo (0.62yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.10yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 11.8% OTM | RM 1.72x → 1.90x | Margin (TIMS): $1,792
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 85 Nov 20 119d 11.8% $7.85 $-1.15 $-1,150 $24,078 $30,795 $8,077 25 $5,000 7mo 1mo 1.90x PASS
2 85 Oct 16 84d 11.8% $5.70 $1.00 $1,000 $24,768 $33,849 $7,387 25 $5,000 8mo 1mo 1.90x PASS
3 80 Oct 16 84d 17.0% $3.90 $2.80 $2,800 $16,946 $40,802 $15,208 30 $10,000 8mo 2mo 2.08x PASS
4 80 Nov 20 119d 17.0% $6.25 $0.45 $450 $19,170 $36,316 $12,985 30 $10,000 9mo 2mo 2.08x PASS
5 75 Oct 16 84d 22.2% $2.88 $3.82 $3,820 $12,514 $44,321 $19,640 35 $15,000 9mo 3mo 2.26x PASS
6 75 Nov 20 119d 22.2% $4.45 $2.25 $2,250 $13,649 $39,567 $18,506 35 $15,000 10mo 3mo 2.26x PASS
7 70 Oct 16 84d 27.3% $1.97 $4.73 $4,730 $8,560 $33,676 $23,595 40 $20,000 10mo 4mo 2.44x PASS
8 70 Nov 20 119d 27.3% $3.20 $3.50 $3,500 $9,815 $29,905 $22,340 40 $20,000 11mo 4mo 2.44x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 28 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $114, B $0.89 $9,154/yr $24,078/yr DEFICIT $1,244/mo
CC at MID $108 0.7σ, B $2.16 $22,217/yr $24,078/yr DEFICIT $155/mo
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $96.34 → $77.07, hedge $30,795/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $9,154/yr $30,795/yr DEFICIT $1,803/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $22,217/yr $30,795/yr DEFICIT $715/mo
NOT SELF-FUNDING Requires ongoing capital even at MID
CC WRITING STRATEGY
NO SAFE CC STRATEGY at the current chain. Hedge bleeds even at MID strike. Either restructure (deeper-OTM HP, smaller position) or commit to ongoing capital subsidy.

UAMY: HP 8P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 119d (no viable candidates)

Stock: $5.39 Current HP: 8P (119d, -39.0% OTM) Current hedge: $22,237/yr Gap: 5 IV: HIGH
No HP candidates passed all filters. Reasons:
  • 1 candidate(s) priced
  • 1 rejected for being inside the 8% OTM floor (HIGH IV).

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).