GENERATED2026-07-25 03:34
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$178,214/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$118,813/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$59,401/yr
ROLL CREDITS
-$4,650
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$9,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 47 positions
4 · REPAIR PLAN6 · LEAPS-ONLY37 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −48C
$37.49 2547 3548 $44.00 $49.48 121.75x 6.6% OK 20 $32,000$74,980 REPAIR PLAN (83d)
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$37.49 2547 3555 $44.00 $49.48 121.75x 6.6% OK 20 $32,000$74,980 REPAIR PLAN (83d)
NOW →
+80C −110P +90P −104C
$98.53 80110 90104 $108.93 $115.41 201.72x 8.7% OK 10 $27,850$98,530 REPAIR PLAN (83d)
UAMY →
+10C −12P +8P −7C
$5.18 1012 87 $12.45 $13.01 53.08x -44.6% ITM 25 $6,000$12,962 REPAIR PLAN (118d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −340C
$319.10 3100 0340 $392.50 $342.07 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$159,550 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$36.33 750 00 $70.58 $48.79 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$181,625 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −94C
$88.19 700 094 $96.50 $86.33 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$105,828 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+40C −16C
$12.26 400 016 $40.55 $15.40 01.00x 0.0% N/A 200 $11,000$245,100 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −100C
$92.19 1800 0100 $233.00 $150.16 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$92,190 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C −750C
$738.09 6400 0750 $764.00 $694.92 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$885,708 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P −255C
$231.82 215260 230255 $256.25 $242.30 301.80x 0.8% TIGHT 10 $37,500$231,825 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P −435C
$392.69 460540 185435 $588.00 $604.61 3553.77x 52.9% SAFE 1 $12,800$39,269 OK
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −65P +25P −20C
$15.84 2365 2520 $30.29 $7.92 400.00x -57.9% ITM 150 $0$237,525 OK
BMNR (Main)
+25C −45P +15P −20C
$15.84 2545 1520 $44.46 302.59x 5.3% OK 50 $94,550$79,175 OK
BMNR (Main)
+23C −65P +25P −20C
$15.84 2365 2520 $39.13 $7.92 400.00x -57.9% ITM 75 $0$118,762 OK
BMNR (RetireInc)
+10C −18P +10P −20C
$15.84 1018 1020 $17.13 $19.56 82.28x 36.8% SAFE 50 $31,250$79,175 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$14.63 1717 100 $20.74 $17.28 72.87x 31.6% SAFE 25 $9,350$36,575 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −180C
$157.48 165240 85180 $210.90 $215.39 15510.23x 46.0% SAFE 8 $13,440$125,984 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −180C
$157.48 500330 300180 $563.00 $334.59 301.48x -90.5% ITM 25 $157,500$393,700 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −195C
$157.48 145200 75195 $182.40 $186.38 1257.31x 52.4% SAFE 3 $5,940$47,244 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −85C
$77.58 6590 6885 $93.40 $94.83 221.77x 12.4% SAFE 20 $56,800$155,170 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −97C
$73.02 105120 4097 $125.45 $128.74 804.91x 45.2% SAFE 5 $10,225$36,510 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −475C
$435.06 340390 150475 $398.00 $407.94 2405.14x 65.5% SAFE 3 $17,400$130,518 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$36.92 4560 200 $56.15 $58.67 406.48x 45.8% SAFE 10 $7,300$36,920 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$14.04 1316 100 $17.33 $17.95 62.39x 28.7% SAFE 50 $21,650$70,175 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −390C
$371.74 320450 330390 $456.00 $472.73 1201.88x 11.2% SAFE 10 $136,000$371,735 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$22.76 3838 180 $39.71 $33.11 2010.05x 23.1% SAFE 125 $27,625$284,500 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −340C
$319.10 300345 310340 $373.00 $340.94 351.48x 2.9% TIGHT 15 $109,500$478,650 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −340C
$319.10 340405 360340 $398.00 $378.98 451.88x -12.8% ITM 5 $25,500$159,550 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −35C
$28.70 1020 535 $17.47 $18.93 154.04x 82.6% SAFE 15 $7,395$43,050 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −110C
$93.29 85100 35110 $114.00 $117.05 653.24x 62.5% SAFE 5 $14,500$46,645 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −50C
$37.49 4565 2150 $56.50 $58.38 4415.67x 44.0% SAFE 20 $6,000$74,980 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −48C
$37.49 5070 2348 $63.43 $67.20 477.86x 38.7% SAFE 20 $13,700$74,980 OK
MARA (Joint)
+20C −17P +10P −16C
$12.26 2017 1016 $24.33 $18.58 72.62x 18.4% SAFE 50 $21,650$61,275 OK
MARA (Main)
+20C −25P +15P −16C
$12.26 2025 1516 $22.69 $17.68 1027.32x -22.4% ITM 200 $7,600$245,100 OK
MARA (Neville)
+25C −15P +13P −16C
$12.26 2515 1316 $26.40 $14.63 22.43x -6.1% ITM 250 $35,000$306,375 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −325C
$297.82 270340 150325 $362.90 $382.66 1903.05x 49.6% SAFE 1 $9,290$29,782 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −638C
$600.20 480650 330638 $601.50 $606.00 3205.38x 45.0% SAFE 3 $21,900$180,060 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −100C
$92.19 125185 55100 $161.00 $167.92 13011.83x 40.3% SAFE 4 $4,800$36,876 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P −1050C
$915.80 8801010 3201050 $1028.60 $1055.47 6905.64x 65.1% SAFE 5 $74,300$457,900 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P −1100C
$915.80 9701110 3701100 $1220.00 $1247.62 7403.96x 59.6% SAFE 2 $50,000$183,160 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P −106C
$92.83 88105 75106 $114.54 $117.71 302.11x 19.2% SAFE 5 $13,520$46,418 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P −220C
$205.82 140175 70220 $199.60 $203.29 1052.76x 66.0% SAFE 5 $29,800$102,910 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −208C
$166.86 190210 90208 $224.00 $227.41 1204.53x 46.1% SAFE 5 $17,000$83,430 OK
RIOT
+17C −40P +17P
$22.42 1740 170 $23.65 $32.52 235.24x 24.2% SAFE 50 $27,100$112,100 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −75C
$64.09 115135 4575 $141.55 $148.26 904.39x 29.8% SAFE 6 $15,930$38,454 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −130C
$114.04 150195 135130 $186.00 $183.62 603.22x -18.4% ITM 5 $13,500$57,020 OK

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 83d

Stock: $37.49 HP: 6.6% OTM Current hedge: $63,325/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $137,586/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 16 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Nov 20, 118d) | Save $14,143/yr | Payback 2mo (0.14yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.01yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 9.3% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,322
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Nov 20 118d 9.3% $7.95 $-1.55 $-3,100 $49,182 $52,214 $14,143 13 $2,000 2mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 34 Oct 16 83d 9.3% $6.65 $-0.25 $-500 $58,488 $59,719 $4,837 13 $2,000 5mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
3 33 Nov 20 118d 12.0% $7.60 $-1.20 $-2,400 $47,017 $54,379 $16,308 14 $4,000 3mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
4 33 Oct 16 83d 12.0% $6.15 $0.25 $500 $54,090 $62,798 $9,235 14 $4,000 5mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
5 32 Nov 20 118d 14.6% $7.05 $-0.65 $-1,300 $43,614 $56,544 $19,711 15 $6,000 4mo 0mo 1.94x PASS
6 32 Oct 16 83d 14.6% $5.70 $0.70 $1,400 $50,133 $66,316 $13,193 15 $6,000 5mo 0mo 1.94x PASS
7 31 Nov 20 118d 17.3% $6.45 $-0.05 $-100 $39,903 $58,709 $23,423 16 $8,000 4mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
8 31 Oct 16 83d 17.3% $5.25 $1.15 $2,300 $46,175 $69,834 $17,151 16 $8,000 6mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
9 30 Nov 20 118d 20.0% $6.10 $0.30 $600 $37,737 $60,008 $25,588 17 $10,000 5mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
10 30 Oct 16 83d 20.0% $4.80 $1.60 $3,200 $42,217 $72,560 $21,108 17 $10,000 6mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
11 29 Nov 20 118d 22.6% $5.60 $0.80 $1,600 $34,644 $56,915 $28,681 18 $12,000 5mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
12 29 Oct 16 83d 22.6% $4.40 $2.00 $4,000 $38,699 $67,723 $24,627 18 $12,000 6mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
13 28 Nov 20 118d 25.3% $5.20 $1.20 $2,400 $32,169 $52,585 $31,156 19 $14,000 5mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
14 28 Oct 16 83d 25.3% $4.00 $2.40 $4,800 $35,181 $63,325 $28,145 19 $14,000 6mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
15 27 Nov 20 118d 28.0% $4.70 $1.70 $3,400 $29,076 $49,182 $34,249 20 $16,000 6mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 28 (34d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $50, B $2.20 $46,588/yr $49,182/yr DEFICIT $216/mo
CC at MID $47 0.7σ, B $2.57 $54,424/yr $49,182/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $37.49 → $29.99, hedge $52,214/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $46,588/yr $52,214/yr DEFICIT $469/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $54,424/yr $52,214/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($47, bid $2.57). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 20% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 83d

Stock: $37.49 HP: 6.6% OTM Current hedge: $63,325/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $137,586/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 16 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Nov 20, 118d) | Save $14,143/yr | Payback 2mo (0.14yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.01yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 9.3% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,322
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Nov 20 118d 9.3% $7.95 $-1.55 $-3,100 $49,182 $52,214 $14,143 13 $2,000 2mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 34 Oct 16 83d 9.3% $6.65 $-0.25 $-500 $58,488 $59,719 $4,837 13 $2,000 5mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
3 33 Nov 20 118d 12.0% $7.60 $-1.20 $-2,400 $47,017 $54,379 $16,308 14 $4,000 3mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
4 33 Oct 16 83d 12.0% $6.15 $0.25 $500 $54,090 $62,798 $9,235 14 $4,000 5mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
5 32 Nov 20 118d 14.6% $7.05 $-0.65 $-1,300 $43,614 $56,544 $19,711 15 $6,000 4mo 0mo 1.94x PASS
6 32 Oct 16 83d 14.6% $5.70 $0.70 $1,400 $50,133 $66,316 $13,193 15 $6,000 5mo 0mo 1.94x PASS
7 31 Nov 20 118d 17.3% $6.45 $-0.05 $-100 $39,903 $58,709 $23,423 16 $8,000 4mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
8 31 Oct 16 83d 17.3% $5.25 $1.15 $2,300 $46,175 $69,834 $17,151 16 $8,000 6mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
9 30 Nov 20 118d 20.0% $6.10 $0.30 $600 $37,737 $60,008 $25,588 17 $10,000 5mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
10 30 Oct 16 83d 20.0% $4.80 $1.60 $3,200 $42,217 $72,560 $21,108 17 $10,000 6mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
11 29 Nov 20 118d 22.6% $5.60 $0.80 $1,600 $34,644 $56,915 $28,681 18 $12,000 5mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
12 29 Oct 16 83d 22.6% $4.40 $2.00 $4,000 $38,699 $67,723 $24,627 18 $12,000 6mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
13 28 Nov 20 118d 25.3% $5.20 $1.20 $2,400 $32,169 $52,585 $31,156 19 $14,000 5mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
14 28 Oct 16 83d 25.3% $4.00 $2.40 $4,800 $35,181 $63,325 $28,145 19 $14,000 6mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
15 27 Nov 20 118d 28.0% $4.70 $1.70 $3,400 $29,076 $49,182 $34,249 20 $16,000 6mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 28 (34d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $50, B $2.20 $46,588/yr $49,182/yr DEFICIT $216/mo
CC at MID $47 0.7σ, B $2.57 $54,424/yr $49,182/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $37.49 → $29.99, hedge $52,214/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $46,588/yr $52,214/yr DEFICIT $469/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $54,424/yr $52,214/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($47, bid $2.57). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 20% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

NOW: HP 90P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 83d

Stock: $98.53 HP: 8.7% OTM Current hedge: $28,364/yr SS: $108.93 (unchanged) Shares: 1,000 CC income: $54,817/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 8 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 90 → 85 (Oct 16, 83d) | Save $7,916/yr | Payback 8mo (0.63yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.08yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 13.7% OTM | RM 1.72x → 1.90x | Margin (TIMS): $1,869
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 85 Oct 16 83d 13.7% $4.65 $1.55 $1,550 $20,449 $34,433 $7,916 25 $5,000 8mo 1mo 1.90x PASS
2 85 Nov 20 118d 13.7% $6.70 $-0.50 $-500 $20,725 $31,798 $7,640 25 $5,000 8mo 1mo 1.90x PASS
3 80 Oct 16 83d 18.8% $3.20 $3.00 $3,000 $14,072 $43,228 $14,292 30 $10,000 8mo 2mo 2.08x PASS
4 80 Nov 20 118d 18.8% $5.00 $1.20 $1,200 $15,466 $38,294 $12,898 30 $10,000 9mo 2mo 2.08x PASS
5 75 Oct 16 83d 23.9% $2.25 $3.95 $3,950 $9,895 $38,039 $18,470 35 $15,000 10mo 2mo 2.26x PASS
6 75 Nov 20 118d 23.9% $3.60 $2.60 $2,600 $11,136 $34,335 $17,229 35 $15,000 10mo 2mo 2.26x PASS
7 70 Oct 16 83d 29.0% $1.42 $4.78 $4,780 $6,245 $20,449 $22,120 40 $20,000 11mo 3mo 2.44x PASS
8 70 Nov 20 118d 29.0% $2.83 $3.37 $3,370 $8,754 $20,725 $19,611 40 $20,000 12mo 3mo 2.44x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 28 (34d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $116, B $1.67 $17,682/yr $20,449/yr DEFICIT $231/mo
CC at MID $110 0.7σ, B $2.80 $29,647/yr $20,449/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $98.53 → $78.82, hedge $34,433/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $17,682/yr $34,433/yr DEFICIT $1,396/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $29,647/yr $34,433/yr DEFICIT $399/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($110, bid $2.80) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 20% drawdown, even MID is short ~$399/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

UAMY: HP 8P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 118d (no viable candidates)

Stock: $5.18 Current HP: 8P (118d, -44.6% OTM) Current hedge: $23,199/yr Gap: 5 IV: HIGH
No HP candidates passed all filters. Reasons:
  • 1 candidate(s) priced
  • 1 rejected for being inside the 8% OTM floor (HIGH IV).

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).