GENERATED2026-07-28 03:32
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$162,227/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$112,595/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$49,632/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$800
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$14,250
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 47 positions
3 · REPAIR PLAN6 · LEAPS-ONLY38 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −40C
$36.32 2547 3540 $44.00 $49.71 121.75x 3.6% TIGHT 20 $32,000$72,640 REPAIR PLAN (80d)
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −40C
$36.32 2547 3540 $44.00 $49.71 121.75x 3.6% TIGHT 20 $32,000$72,640 REPAIR PLAN (80d)
UAMY →
+10C −12P +8P −7C
$5.45 1012 87 $12.45 $13.25 53.08x -37.7% ITM 25 $6,000$13,612 REPAIR PLAN (115d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −340C
$327.50 3100 0340 $392.50 $343.84 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$163,750 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$36.77 750 00 $70.58 $48.92 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$183,875 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C
$91.08 700 00 $96.50 $86.85 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$109,296 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+40C −16C
$11.78 400 016 $40.55 $15.25 01.00x 0.0% N/A 200 $11,000$235,500 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −110C
$98.67 1800 0110 $233.00 $152.96 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$98,670 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C −750C
$739.69 6400 0750 $764.00 $694.95 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$887,628 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P −255C
$232.09 215260 230255 $256.25 $242.12 301.80x 0.9% TIGHT 10 $37,500$232,090 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P −435C
$410.99 460540 185435 $588.00 $607.09 3553.77x 55.0% SAFE 1 $12,800$41,099 OK
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −65P +25P −21C
$18.16 2365 2521 $30.29 $9.08 400.00x -37.6% ITM 150 $0$272,475 OK
BMNR (Main)
+25C −45P +15P −21C
$18.16 2545 1521 $44.46 $52.10 302.59x 17.4% SAFE 50 $94,550$90,825 OK
BMNR (Main)
+23C −65P +25P −21C
$18.16 2365 2521 $39.13 $9.08 400.00x -37.6% ITM 75 $0$136,238 OK
BMNR (RetireInc)
+10C −18P +10P −20C
$18.16 1018 1020 $17.13 $19.39 82.28x 44.9% SAFE 50 $31,250$90,825 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$13.97 1717 100 $20.74 $17.29 72.87x 28.4% SAFE 25 $9,350$34,938 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −180C
$167.38 165240 85180 $210.90 $217.97 15510.23x 49.2% SAFE 8 $13,440$133,908 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −180C
$167.38 500330 300180 $563.00 $336.38 301.48x -79.2% ITM 25 $157,500$418,462 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −195C
$167.38 145200 75195 $182.40 $187.85 1257.31x 55.2% SAFE 3 $5,940$50,216 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −80C
$77.88 6590 6880 $93.40 $94.49 221.77x 12.7% SAFE 20 $56,800$155,750 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −97C
$71.22 105120 4097 $125.45 $129.39 804.91x 43.8% SAFE 5 $10,225$35,612 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −475C
$426.29 340390 150475 $398.00 $409.11 2405.14x 64.8% SAFE 3 $17,400$127,886 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$37.84 4560 200 $56.15 $58.89 406.48x 47.1% SAFE 10 $7,300$37,840 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$14.70 1316 100 $17.33 $17.92 62.39x 31.9% SAFE 50 $21,650$73,475 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −390C
$374.68 320450 330390 $456.00 $471.57 1201.88x 11.9% SAFE 10 $136,000$374,680 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$22.53 3838 180 $39.71 $34.26 2010.05x 22.3% SAFE 125 $27,625$281,625 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −340C
$327.50 300345 310340 $373.00 $340.92 351.48x 5.3% OK 15 $109,500$491,250 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −340C
$327.50 340405 360340 $398.00 $379.25 451.88x -9.9% ITM 5 $25,500$163,750 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −35C
$30.18 1020 535 $17.47 $19.50 154.04x 83.4% SAFE 15 $7,395$45,278 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P
$92.29 85100 350 $114.00 $117.94 653.24x 62.1% SAFE 5 $14,500$46,145 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −40C
$36.32 4565 2140 $56.50 $59.42 4415.67x 42.2% SAFE 20 $6,000$72,640 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −40C
$36.32 5070 2340 $63.43 $67.95 477.86x 36.7% SAFE 20 $13,700$72,640 OK
MARA (Joint)
+20C −17P +10P −16C
$11.78 2017 1016 $24.33 $19.19 72.62x 15.1% SAFE 50 $21,650$58,875 OK
MARA (Main)
+20C −25P +15P −16C
$11.78 2025 1516 $22.69 $18.27 1027.32x -27.4% ITM 200 $7,600$235,500 OK
MARA (Neville)
+25C −15P +13P −16C
$11.78 2515 1316 $26.40 $14.68 22.43x -10.4% ITM 250 $35,000$294,375 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −325C
$311.87 270340 150325 $362.90 $382.29 1903.05x 51.9% SAFE 1 $9,290$31,187 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −638C
$595.69 480650 330638 $601.50 $605.47 3205.38x 44.6% SAFE 3 $21,900$178,707 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −110C
$98.67 125185 55110 $161.00 $168.09 13011.83x 44.3% SAFE 4 $4,800$39,468 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P −1000C
$897.75 8801010 3201000 $1028.60 $1057.44 6905.64x 64.4% SAFE 5 $74,300$448,872 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P −1020C
$897.75 9701110 3701020 $1220.00 $1247.95 7403.96x 58.8% SAFE 2 $50,000$179,549 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P −106C
$93.76 88105 75106 $114.54 $118.41 302.11x 20.0% SAFE 5 $13,520$46,880 OK
NOW
+80C −110P +90P −120C
$105.97 80110 90120 $108.93 $113.63 201.72x 15.1% SAFE 10 $27,850$105,972 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P −210C
$197.49 140175 70210 $199.60 $203.01 1052.76x 64.6% SAFE 5 $29,800$98,745 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −208C
$170.32 190210 90208 $224.00 $228.91 1204.53x 47.2% SAFE 5 $17,000$85,160 OK
RIOT
+17C −40P +17P
$22.00 1740 170 $23.65 $32.51 235.60x 22.7% SAFE 50 $24,975$109,975 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −72C
$66.50 115135 4572 $141.55 $149.33 904.39x 32.3% SAFE 6 $15,930$39,903 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −125C
$112.18 150195 135125 $186.00 $183.62 603.22x -20.3% ITM 5 $13,500$56,088 OK

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 80d

Stock: $36.32 HP: 3.6% OTM Current hedge: $69,806/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $117,577/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 16 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 33 (Nov 20, 115d) | Save $18,071/yr | Payback 3mo (0.22yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.03yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 9.1% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.88x | Margin (TIMS): $1,282
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 33 Nov 20 115d 9.1% $8.15 $-0.80 $-1,600 $51,735 $53,131 $18,071 14 $4,000 3mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
2 33 Oct 16 80d 9.1% $6.80 $0.55 $1,100 $62,050 $63,601 $7,756 14 $4,000 6mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
3 32 Nov 20 115d 11.9% $7.50 $-0.15 $-300 $47,609 $55,353 $22,198 15 $6,000 3mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
4 32 Oct 16 80d 11.9% $6.35 $1.00 $2,000 $57,944 $64,514 $11,862 15 $6,000 6mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
5 31 Nov 20 115d 14.6% $7.00 $0.35 $700 $44,435 $57,575 $25,371 16 $8,000 4mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
6 31 Oct 16 80d 14.6% $5.75 $1.60 $3,200 $52,469 $69,533 $17,338 16 $8,000 6mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
7 30 Nov 20 115d 17.4% $6.45 $0.90 $1,800 $40,943 $62,018 $28,863 17 $10,000 4mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
8 30 Oct 16 80d 17.4% $5.25 $2.10 $4,200 $47,906 $75,920 $21,900 17 $10,000 5mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
9 29 Nov 20 115d 20.2% $5.95 $1.40 $2,800 $37,770 $62,526 $32,037 18 $12,000 4mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
10 29 Oct 16 80d 20.2% $4.75 $2.60 $5,200 $43,344 $78,475 $26,462 18 $12,000 5mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
11 28 Nov 20 115d 22.9% $5.45 $1.90 $3,800 $34,596 $58,083 $35,211 19 $14,000 5mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
12 28 Oct 16 80d 22.9% $4.35 $3.00 $6,000 $39,694 $69,806 $30,112 19 $14,000 6mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
13 27 Nov 20 115d 25.7% $5.10 $2.25 $4,500 $32,374 $55,226 $37,432 20 $16,000 5mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
14 27 Oct 16 80d 25.7% $3.95 $3.40 $6,800 $36,044 $65,700 $33,762 20 $16,000 6mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
15 26 Nov 20 115d 28.4% $4.55 $2.80 $5,600 $28,883 $47,609 $40,924 21 $18,000 5mo 1mo 2.31x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 28 (31d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $50, B $1.51 $35,071/yr $51,735/yr DEFICIT $1,389/mo
CC at MID $45 0.7σ, B $2.53 $58,761/yr $51,735/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $36.32 → $29.06, hedge $53,131/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $35,071/yr $53,131/yr DEFICIT $1,505/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $58,761/yr $53,131/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($45, bid $2.53). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 20% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 80d

Stock: $36.32 HP: 3.6% OTM Current hedge: $69,806/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $117,577/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 16 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 33 (Nov 20, 115d) | Save $18,071/yr | Payback 3mo (0.22yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.03yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 9.1% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.88x | Margin (TIMS): $1,282
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 33 Nov 20 115d 9.1% $8.15 $-0.80 $-1,600 $51,735 $53,131 $18,071 14 $4,000 3mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
2 33 Oct 16 80d 9.1% $6.80 $0.55 $1,100 $62,050 $63,601 $7,756 14 $4,000 6mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
3 32 Nov 20 115d 11.9% $7.50 $-0.15 $-300 $47,609 $55,353 $22,198 15 $6,000 3mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
4 32 Oct 16 80d 11.9% $6.35 $1.00 $2,000 $57,944 $64,514 $11,862 15 $6,000 6mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
5 31 Nov 20 115d 14.6% $7.00 $0.35 $700 $44,435 $57,575 $25,371 16 $8,000 4mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
6 31 Oct 16 80d 14.6% $5.75 $1.60 $3,200 $52,469 $69,533 $17,338 16 $8,000 6mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
7 30 Nov 20 115d 17.4% $6.45 $0.90 $1,800 $40,943 $62,018 $28,863 17 $10,000 4mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
8 30 Oct 16 80d 17.4% $5.25 $2.10 $4,200 $47,906 $75,920 $21,900 17 $10,000 5mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
9 29 Nov 20 115d 20.2% $5.95 $1.40 $2,800 $37,770 $62,526 $32,037 18 $12,000 4mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
10 29 Oct 16 80d 20.2% $4.75 $2.60 $5,200 $43,344 $78,475 $26,462 18 $12,000 5mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
11 28 Nov 20 115d 22.9% $5.45 $1.90 $3,800 $34,596 $58,083 $35,211 19 $14,000 5mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
12 28 Oct 16 80d 22.9% $4.35 $3.00 $6,000 $39,694 $69,806 $30,112 19 $14,000 6mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
13 27 Nov 20 115d 25.7% $5.10 $2.25 $4,500 $32,374 $55,226 $37,432 20 $16,000 5mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
14 27 Oct 16 80d 25.7% $3.95 $3.40 $6,800 $36,044 $65,700 $33,762 20 $16,000 6mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
15 26 Nov 20 115d 28.4% $4.55 $2.80 $5,600 $28,883 $47,609 $40,924 21 $18,000 5mo 1mo 2.31x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 28 (31d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $50, B $1.51 $35,071/yr $51,735/yr DEFICIT $1,389/mo
CC at MID $45 0.7σ, B $2.53 $58,761/yr $51,735/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $36.32 → $29.06, hedge $53,131/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $35,071/yr $53,131/yr DEFICIT $1,505/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $58,761/yr $53,131/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($45, bid $2.53). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 20% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

UAMY: HP 8P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 115d

Stock: $5.45 HP: ITM Current hedge: $22,614/yr SS: $12.45 (unchanged) Shares: 2,500 CC income: $14,491/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 1 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 8 → 5 (Nov 20, 115d) | Save $13,489/yr | Payback 6mo (0.46yr) hedge only, 3mo (0.22yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 8.2% OTM | RM 3.08x → 4.12x | Margin (TIMS): $172
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 5 Nov 20 115d 8.2% $1.15 $1.60 $4,000 $9,125 $9,125 $13,489 8 $6,250 6mo 3mo 4.12x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Aug 28 (31d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $9, B $0.05 $1,452/yr $9,125/yr DEFICIT $639/mo
CC at MID $6 0.6σ, B $0.30 $8,710/yr $9,125/yr DEFICIT $35/mo
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $5.45 → $4.36, hedge $9,125/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $1,452/yr $9,125/yr DEFICIT $639/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $8,710/yr $9,125/yr DEFICIT $35/mo
NOT SELF-FUNDING Requires ongoing capital even at MID
CC WRITING STRATEGY
NO SAFE CC STRATEGY at the current chain. Hedge bleeds even at MID strike. Either restructure (deeper-OTM HP, smaller position) or commit to ongoing capital subsidy.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).