GENERATED2026-07-30 19:20
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$202,828/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$93,027/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$109,801/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$10,416
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$28,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 47 positions
3 · REPAIR PLAN6 · LEAPS-ONLY38 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P
$31.35 2547 350 $44.00 $51.12 121.75x -11.6% ITM 20 $32,000$62,700 REPAIR PLAN (78d)
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P
$31.35 2547 350 $44.00 $51.12 121.75x -11.6% ITM 20 $32,000$62,700 REPAIR PLAN (78d)
UAMY →
+10C −12P +8P −7C
$5.00 1012 87 $12.45 $13.09 53.08x -50.0% ITM 25 $6,000$12,500 REPAIR PLAN (113d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −350C
$336.40 3100 0350 $392.50 $344.04 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$168,202 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$36.58 750 00 $70.58 $49.26 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$182,900 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C
$92.68 700 00 $96.50 $86.50 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$111,216 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+40C −16C
$10.45 400 016 $40.55 01.00x 0.0% N/A 200 $11,000$209,000 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −110C
$95.39 1800 0110 $233.00 $154.62 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$95,390 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C
$733.93 6400 00 $764.00 $702.66 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$880,716 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P
$233.42 215260 2300 $256.25 $249.41 301.80x 1.5% TIGHT 10 $37,500$233,424 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P
$393.60 460540 1850 $588.00 $600.05 3553.77x 53.0% SAFE 1 $12,800$39,360 OK
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −65P +25P −20C
$16.94 2365 2520 $30.29 $8.47 400.00x -47.6% ITM 150 $0$254,100 OK
BMNR (Main)
+25C −45P +15P −20C
$16.94 2545 1520 $44.46 302.59x 11.5% SAFE 50 $94,550$84,700 OK
BMNR (Main)
+23C −65P +25P −20C
$16.94 2365 2520 $39.13 $8.47 400.00x -47.6% ITM 75 $0$127,050 OK
BMNR (RetireInc)
+10C −18P +10P −20C
$16.94 1018 1020 $17.13 $19.25 82.28x 41.0% SAFE 50 $31,250$84,700 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$12.40 1717 100 $20.74 $17.63 72.87x 19.4% SAFE 25 $9,350$31,000 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −180C
$162.50 165240 85180 $210.90 $218.71 15510.23x 47.7% SAFE 8 $13,440$130,000 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −180C
$162.50 500330 300180 $563.00 $336.78 301.48x -84.6% ITM 25 $157,500$406,250 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −195C
$162.50 145200 75195 $182.40 $189.42 1257.31x 53.8% SAFE 3 $5,940$48,750 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$78.19 6590 680 $93.40 $97.23 221.77x 13.0% SAFE 20 $56,800$156,380 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P
$63.90 105120 400 $125.45 $132.02 804.91x 37.4% SAFE 5 $10,225$31,949 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −475C
$376.25 340390 150475 $398.00 $417.26 2405.14x 60.1% SAFE 3 $17,400$112,875 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$35.60 4560 200 $56.15 $60.03 406.48x 43.8% SAFE 10 $7,300$35,600 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$14.48 1316 100 $17.33 $18.72 62.39x 30.9% SAFE 50 $21,650$72,400 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −390C
$374.33 320450 330390 $456.00 $474.34 1201.88x 11.8% SAFE 10 $136,000$374,335 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$18.87 3838 180 $39.71 $33.38 2010.05x 7.3% OK 125 $27,625$235,854 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −350C
$336.40 300345 310350 $373.00 $342.87 351.48x 7.8% OK 15 $109,500$504,607 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −350C
$336.40 340405 360350 $398.00 $380.90 451.88x -7.0% ITM 5 $25,500$168,202 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P
$25.02 1020 50 $17.47 $19.79 154.04x 80.0% SAFE 15 $7,395$37,538 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P
$84.09 85100 350 $114.00 $118.36 653.24x 58.4% SAFE 5 $14,500$42,045 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P
$31.35 4565 210 $56.50 $60.00 4415.67x 33.0% SAFE 20 $6,000$62,700 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P
$31.35 5070 230 $63.43 $68.96 477.86x 26.6% SAFE 20 $13,700$62,700 OK
MARA (Joint)
+20C −17P +10P −16C
$10.45 2017 1016 $24.33 $24.81 72.62x 4.3% TIGHT 50 $21,650$52,250 OK
MARA (Main)
+20C −25P +15P −16C
$10.45 2025 1516 $22.69 $23.15 1027.32x -43.5% ITM 200 $7,600$209,000 OK
MARA (Neville)
+25C −15P +13P −16C
$10.45 2515 1316 $26.40 $24.66 22.43x -24.4% ITM 250 $35,000$261,250 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −355C
$327.00 270340 150355 $362.90 $383.45 1903.05x 54.1% SAFE 1 $9,290$32,700 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −638C
$536.99 480650 330638 $601.50 $558.85 3205.38x 38.5% SAFE 3 $21,900$161,097 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −110C
$95.39 125185 55110 $161.00 $170.00 13011.83x 42.3% SAFE 4 $4,800$38,156 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P
$756.50 670800 4200 $792.36 $826.27 3804.31x 44.5% SAFE 1 $11,472$75,650 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P
$756.50 8801010 3200 $1028.60 $1073.90 6905.64x 57.7% SAFE 5 $74,300$378,250 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P
$756.50 9701110 3700 $1220.00 $1265.83 7403.96x 51.1% SAFE 2 $50,000$151,300 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P
$92.60 88105 750 $114.54 $118.61 302.11x 19.0% SAFE 5 $13,520$46,300 OK
NOW
+80C −110P +90P −120C
$112.76 80110 90120 $108.93 $113.26 201.72x 20.2% SAFE 10 $27,850$112,760 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P −210C
$193.23 140175 70210 $199.60 $205.66 1052.76x 63.8% SAFE 5 $29,800$96,615 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P
$148.80 190210 900 $224.00 $221.41 1204.53x 39.5% SAFE 5 $17,000$74,400 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P
$60.19 115135 450 $141.55 $150.76 904.39x 25.2% SAFE 6 $15,930$36,114 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −125C
$114.36 150195 135125 $186.00 $185.70 603.22x -18.0% ITM 5 $13,500$57,180 OK

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 78d

Stock: $31.35 HP: ITM Current hedge: $101,414/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $81,572/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 12 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 28 (Nov 20, 113d) | Save $54,901/yr | Payback 3mo (0.26yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.10yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 10.7% OTM | RM 1.75x → 2.19x | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 28 Nov 20 113d 10.7% $7.20 $2.60 $5,208 $46,513 $52,973 $54,901 19 $14,000 3mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
2 28 Oct 16 78d 10.7% $6.30 $3.50 $7,008 $58,962 $67,254 $42,452 19 $14,000 4mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
3 27 Nov 20 113d 13.9% $6.75 $3.05 $6,108 $43,606 $55,235 $57,808 20 $16,000 3mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
4 27 Oct 16 78d 13.9% $5.80 $4.00 $8,008 $54,282 $69,724 $47,132 20 $16,000 4mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
5 26 Nov 20 113d 17.1% $6.60 $3.20 $6,408 $42,637 $59,434 $58,777 21 $18,000 4mo 2mo 2.31x PASS
6 26 Oct 16 78d 17.1% $5.20 $4.60 $9,208 $48,667 $75,808 $52,747 21 $18,000 4mo 2mo 2.31x PASS
7 25 Nov 20 113d 20.3% $5.95 $3.85 $7,708 $38,438 $59,434 $62,976 22 $20,000 4mo 2mo 2.38x PASS
8 25 Oct 16 78d 20.3% $4.90 $4.90 $9,808 $45,859 $75,340 $55,555 22 $20,000 4mo 2mo 2.38x PASS
9 24 Nov 20 113d 23.4% $5.20 $4.60 $9,208 $33,593 $55,558 $67,821 23 $22,000 4mo 2mo 2.44x PASS
10 24 Oct 16 78d 23.4% $4.55 $5.25 $10,508 $42,583 $69,256 $58,831 23 $22,000 4mo 2mo 2.44x PASS
11 23 Nov 20 113d 26.6% $5.05 $4.75 $9,508 $32,624 $51,358 $68,790 24 $24,000 4mo 2mo 2.50x PASS
12 23 Oct 16 78d 26.6% $4.10 $5.70 $11,408 $38,372 $64,109 $63,042 24 $24,000 5mo 2mo 2.50x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Sep 04 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $50, B $0.19 $3,800/yr $46,513/yr DEFICIT $3,559/mo
CC at MID $39 0.6σ, B $1.51 $30,200/yr $46,513/yr DEFICIT $1,359/mo
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $31.35 → $25.08, hedge $52,973/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $3,800/yr $52,973/yr DEFICIT $4,098/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $30,200/yr $52,973/yr DEFICIT $1,898/mo
NOT SELF-FUNDING Requires ongoing capital even at MID
CC WRITING STRATEGY
NO SAFE CC STRATEGY at the current chain. Hedge bleeds even at MID strike. Either restructure (deeper-OTM HP, smaller position) or commit to ongoing capital subsidy.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 78d

Stock: $31.35 HP: ITM Current hedge: $101,414/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $81,572/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 12 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 28 (Nov 20, 113d) | Save $54,901/yr | Payback 3mo (0.26yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.10yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 10.7% OTM | RM 1.75x → 2.19x | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 28 Nov 20 113d 10.7% $7.20 $2.60 $5,208 $46,513 $52,973 $54,901 19 $14,000 3mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
2 28 Oct 16 78d 10.7% $6.30 $3.50 $7,008 $58,962 $67,254 $42,452 19 $14,000 4mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
3 27 Nov 20 113d 13.9% $6.75 $3.05 $6,108 $43,606 $55,235 $57,808 20 $16,000 3mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
4 27 Oct 16 78d 13.9% $5.80 $4.00 $8,008 $54,282 $69,724 $47,132 20 $16,000 4mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
5 26 Nov 20 113d 17.1% $6.60 $3.20 $6,408 $42,637 $59,434 $58,777 21 $18,000 4mo 2mo 2.31x PASS
6 26 Oct 16 78d 17.1% $5.20 $4.60 $9,208 $48,667 $75,808 $52,747 21 $18,000 4mo 2mo 2.31x PASS
7 25 Nov 20 113d 20.3% $5.95 $3.85 $7,708 $38,438 $59,434 $62,976 22 $20,000 4mo 2mo 2.38x PASS
8 25 Oct 16 78d 20.3% $4.90 $4.90 $9,808 $45,859 $75,340 $55,555 22 $20,000 4mo 2mo 2.38x PASS
9 24 Nov 20 113d 23.4% $5.20 $4.60 $9,208 $33,593 $55,558 $67,821 23 $22,000 4mo 2mo 2.44x PASS
10 24 Oct 16 78d 23.4% $4.55 $5.25 $10,508 $42,583 $69,256 $58,831 23 $22,000 4mo 2mo 2.44x PASS
11 23 Nov 20 113d 26.6% $5.05 $4.75 $9,508 $32,624 $51,358 $68,790 24 $24,000 4mo 2mo 2.50x PASS
12 23 Oct 16 78d 26.6% $4.10 $5.70 $11,408 $38,372 $64,109 $63,042 24 $24,000 5mo 2mo 2.50x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Sep 04 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $50, B $0.19 $3,800/yr $46,513/yr DEFICIT $3,559/mo
CC at MID $39 0.6σ, B $1.51 $30,200/yr $46,513/yr DEFICIT $1,359/mo
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $31.35 → $25.08, hedge $52,973/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $3,800/yr $52,973/yr DEFICIT $4,098/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $30,200/yr $52,973/yr DEFICIT $1,898/mo
NOT SELF-FUNDING Requires ongoing capital even at MID
CC WRITING STRATEGY
NO SAFE CC STRATEGY at the current chain. Hedge bleeds even at MID strike. Either restructure (deeper-OTM HP, smaller position) or commit to ongoing capital subsidy.

UAMY: HP 8P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 113d (no viable candidates)

Stock: $5.00 Current HP: 8P (113d, -50.0% OTM) Current hedge: $0/yr Gap: 0 IV: MEDIUM
No HP candidates passed all filters. Reasons:
  • No candidate puts were priced for the roll-down DTE window. Try --hp-min-dte 60 or extend --hp-max-dte.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).