GENERATED2026-07-30 21:44
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$159,103/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$106,593/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$52,510/yr
ROLL CREDITS
-$2,400
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$12,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 47 positions
3 · REPAIR PLAN6 · LEAPS-ONLY38 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P
$35.51 2547 350 $44.00 $50.66 121.75x 1.4% TIGHT 20 $32,000$71,010 REPAIR PLAN (78d)
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P
$35.51 2547 350 $44.00 $50.66 121.75x 1.4% TIGHT 20 $32,000$71,010 REPAIR PLAN (78d)
UAMY →
+10C −12P +8P −7C
$5.11 1012 87 $12.45 $13.14 53.08x -46.9% ITM 25 $6,000$12,763 REPAIR PLAN (113d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −350C
$332.14 3100 0350 $392.50 $344.39 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$166,070 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$36.73 750 00 $70.58 $49.11 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$183,675 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C
$92.26 700 00 $96.50 $86.69 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$110,706 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+40C −16C
$11.29 400 016 $40.55 $15.14 01.00x 0.0% N/A 200 $11,000$225,700 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −110C
$95.84 1800 0110 $233.00 $154.15 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$95,845 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C
$735.93 6400 00 $764.00 $698.17 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$883,116 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P
$233.91 215260 2300 $256.25 $242.92 301.80x 1.7% TIGHT 10 $37,500$233,910 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P
$398.13 460540 1850 $588.00 $608.46 3553.77x 53.5% SAFE 1 $12,800$39,814 OK
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −65P +25P −20C
$17.44 2365 2520 $30.29 $8.72 400.00x -43.3% ITM 150 $0$261,600 OK
BMNR (Main)
+25C −45P +15P −20C
$17.44 2545 1520 $44.46 302.59x 14.0% SAFE 50 $94,550$87,200 OK
BMNR (Main)
+23C −65P +25P −20C
$17.44 2365 2520 $39.13 $8.72 400.00x -43.3% ITM 75 $0$130,800 OK
BMNR (RetireInc)
+10C −18P +10P −20C
$17.44 1018 1020 $17.13 $19.85 82.28x 42.7% SAFE 50 $31,250$87,200 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$13.72 1717 100 $20.74 $17.70 72.87x 27.1% SAFE 25 $9,350$34,312 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −180C
$161.86 165240 85180 $210.90 $216.49 15510.23x 47.5% SAFE 8 $13,440$129,488 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −180C
$161.86 500330 300180 $563.00 $337.90 301.48x -85.3% ITM 25 $157,500$404,650 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −195C
$161.86 145200 75195 $182.40 $189.67 1257.31x 53.7% SAFE 3 $5,940$48,558 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$78.17 6590 680 $93.40 $95.22 221.77x 13.0% SAFE 20 $56,800$156,340 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P
$70.40 105120 400 $125.45 $129.91 804.91x 43.2% SAFE 5 $10,225$35,200 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −475C
$393.99 340390 150475 $398.00 $410.25 2405.14x 61.9% SAFE 3 $17,400$118,197 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$35.76 4560 200 $56.15 $58.88 406.48x 44.1% SAFE 10 $7,300$35,760 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$14.52 1316 100 $17.33 $17.69 62.39x 31.1% SAFE 50 $21,650$72,600 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −390C
$375.46 320450 330390 $456.00 $471.21 1201.88x 12.1% SAFE 10 $136,000$375,460 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$20.22 3838 180 $39.71 $34.80 2010.05x 13.4% SAFE 125 $27,625$252,735 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −350C
$332.14 300345 310350 $373.00 $342.61 351.48x 6.7% OK 15 $109,500$498,210 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −350C
$332.14 340405 360350 $398.00 $379.99 451.88x -8.4% ITM 5 $25,500$166,070 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P
$25.72 1020 50 $17.47 $19.86 154.04x 80.6% SAFE 15 $7,395$38,580 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P
$88.55 85100 350 $114.00 $118.90 653.24x 60.5% SAFE 5 $14,500$44,272 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P
$35.51 4565 210 $56.50 $60.44 4415.67x 40.9% SAFE 20 $6,000$71,010 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P
$35.51 5070 230 $63.43 $69.15 477.86x 35.2% SAFE 20 $13,700$71,010 OK
MARA (Joint)
+20C −17P +10P −16C
$11.29 2017 1016 $24.33 $19.48 72.62x 11.4% SAFE 50 $21,650$56,425 OK
MARA (Main)
+20C −25P +15P −16C
$11.29 2025 1516 $22.69 $19.06 1027.32x -32.9% ITM 200 $7,600$225,700 OK
MARA (Neville)
+25C −15P +13P −16C
$11.29 2515 1316 $26.40 $16.99 22.43x -15.2% ITM 250 $35,000$282,125 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −355C
$320.00 270340 150355 $362.90 $378.63 1903.05x 53.1% SAFE 1 $9,290$32,000 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −638C
$531.40 480650 330638 $601.50 $611.48 3205.38x 37.9% SAFE 3 $21,900$159,422 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −110C
$95.84 125185 55110 $161.00 $168.65 13011.83x 42.6% SAFE 4 $4,800$38,338 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P
$810.14 670800 4200 $792.36 $812.54 3804.31x 48.2% SAFE 1 $11,472$81,014 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P
$810.14 8801010 3200 $1028.60 $1059.64 6905.64x 60.5% SAFE 5 $74,300$405,072 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P
$810.14 9701110 3700 $1220.00 $1253.57 7403.96x 54.3% SAFE 2 $50,000$162,029 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P
$93.29 88105 750 $114.54 $118.84 302.11x 19.6% SAFE 5 $13,520$46,645 OK
NOW
+80C −110P +90P −120C
$109.36 80110 90120 $108.93 $114.26 201.72x 17.7% SAFE 10 $27,850$109,365 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P −210C
$192.18 140175 70210 $199.60 $203.20 1052.76x 63.6% SAFE 5 $29,800$96,090 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P
$146.68 190210 900 $224.00 $228.04 1204.53x 38.6% SAFE 5 $17,000$73,338 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P
$61.28 115135 450 $141.55 $149.79 904.39x 26.6% SAFE 6 $15,930$36,768 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −125C
$114.86 150195 135125 $186.00 $183.17 603.22x -17.5% ITM 5 $13,500$57,430 OK

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 78d

Stock: $35.51 HP: 1.4% OTM Current hedge: $79,551/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $106,479/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 16 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 32 (Nov 20, 113d) | Save $26,255/yr | Payback 3mo (0.23yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.05yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 9.9% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.94x | Margin (TIMS): $1,268
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 32 Nov 20 113d 9.9% $8.25 $-0.60 $-1,200 $53,296 $59,789 $26,255 15 $6,000 3mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
2 32 Oct 16 78d 9.9% $7.25 $0.40 $800 $67,853 $64,156 $11,699 15 $6,000 6mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
3 31 Nov 20 113d 12.7% $8.20 $-0.55 $-1,100 $52,973 $61,727 $26,578 16 $8,000 4mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
4 31 Oct 16 78d 12.7% $6.75 $0.90 $1,800 $63,173 $74,451 $16,378 16 $8,000 6mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
5 30 Nov 20 113d 15.5% $7.65 $0.00 $0 $49,420 $66,249 $30,131 17 $10,000 4mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
6 30 Oct 16 78d 15.5% $5.45 $2.20 $4,400 $51,006 $73,983 $28,545 17 $10,000 4mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
7 29 Nov 20 113d 18.3% $6.60 $1.05 $2,100 $42,637 $68,510 $36,914 18 $12,000 4mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
8 29 Oct 16 78d 18.3% $5.75 $1.90 $3,800 $53,814 $84,746 $25,737 18 $12,000 6mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
9 28 Nov 20 113d 21.1% $6.10 $1.55 $3,100 $39,407 $64,602 $40,144 19 $14,000 4mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
10 28 Oct 16 78d 21.1% $5.30 $2.35 $4,700 $49,603 $79,083 $29,949 19 $14,000 6mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
11 27 Nov 20 113d 24.0% $5.40 $2.25 $4,500 $34,885 $63,956 $44,666 20 $16,000 4mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
12 27 Oct 16 78d 24.0% $4.85 $2.80 $5,600 $45,391 $70,660 $34,160 20 $16,000 6mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
13 26 Nov 20 113d 26.8% $5.70 $1.95 $3,900 $36,823 $53,296 $42,728 21 $18,000 5mo 1mo 2.31x PASS
14 26 Oct 16 78d 26.8% $4.40 $3.25 $6,500 $41,179 $67,853 $38,372 21 $18,000 6mo 1mo 2.31x PASS
15 25 Nov 20 113d 29.6% $5.15 $2.50 $5,000 $33,270 $52,973 $46,281 22 $20,000 5mo 2mo 2.38x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Sep 04 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $0.01 $200/yr $53,296/yr DEFICIT $4,425/mo
CC at MID $45 0.7σ, B $1.90 $38,000/yr $53,296/yr DEFICIT $1,275/mo
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $35.51 → $28.40, hedge $59,789/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $200/yr $59,789/yr DEFICIT $4,966/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $38,000/yr $59,789/yr DEFICIT $1,816/mo
NOT SELF-FUNDING Requires ongoing capital even at MID
CC WRITING STRATEGY
NO SAFE CC STRATEGY at the current chain. Hedge bleeds even at MID strike. Either restructure (deeper-OTM HP, smaller position) or commit to ongoing capital subsidy.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 78d

Stock: $35.51 HP: 1.4% OTM Current hedge: $79,551/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $106,479/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 16 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 32 (Nov 20, 113d) | Save $26,255/yr | Payback 3mo (0.23yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.05yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 9.9% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.94x | Margin (TIMS): $1,268
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 32 Nov 20 113d 9.9% $8.25 $-0.60 $-1,200 $53,296 $59,789 $26,255 15 $6,000 3mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
2 32 Oct 16 78d 9.9% $7.25 $0.40 $800 $67,853 $64,156 $11,699 15 $6,000 6mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
3 31 Nov 20 113d 12.7% $8.20 $-0.55 $-1,100 $52,973 $61,727 $26,578 16 $8,000 4mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
4 31 Oct 16 78d 12.7% $6.75 $0.90 $1,800 $63,173 $74,451 $16,378 16 $8,000 6mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
5 30 Nov 20 113d 15.5% $7.65 $0.00 $0 $49,420 $66,249 $30,131 17 $10,000 4mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
6 30 Oct 16 78d 15.5% $5.45 $2.20 $4,400 $51,006 $73,983 $28,545 17 $10,000 4mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
7 29 Nov 20 113d 18.3% $6.60 $1.05 $2,100 $42,637 $68,510 $36,914 18 $12,000 4mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
8 29 Oct 16 78d 18.3% $5.75 $1.90 $3,800 $53,814 $84,746 $25,737 18 $12,000 6mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
9 28 Nov 20 113d 21.1% $6.10 $1.55 $3,100 $39,407 $64,602 $40,144 19 $14,000 4mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
10 28 Oct 16 78d 21.1% $5.30 $2.35 $4,700 $49,603 $79,083 $29,949 19 $14,000 6mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
11 27 Nov 20 113d 24.0% $5.40 $2.25 $4,500 $34,885 $63,956 $44,666 20 $16,000 4mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
12 27 Oct 16 78d 24.0% $4.85 $2.80 $5,600 $45,391 $70,660 $34,160 20 $16,000 6mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
13 26 Nov 20 113d 26.8% $5.70 $1.95 $3,900 $36,823 $53,296 $42,728 21 $18,000 5mo 1mo 2.31x PASS
14 26 Oct 16 78d 26.8% $4.40 $3.25 $6,500 $41,179 $67,853 $38,372 21 $18,000 6mo 1mo 2.31x PASS
15 25 Nov 20 113d 29.6% $5.15 $2.50 $5,000 $33,270 $52,973 $46,281 22 $20,000 5mo 2mo 2.38x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Sep 04 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $0.01 $200/yr $53,296/yr DEFICIT $4,425/mo
CC at MID $45 0.7σ, B $1.90 $38,000/yr $53,296/yr DEFICIT $1,275/mo
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $35.51 → $28.40, hedge $59,789/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $200/yr $59,789/yr DEFICIT $4,966/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $38,000/yr $59,789/yr DEFICIT $1,816/mo
NOT SELF-FUNDING Requires ongoing capital even at MID
CC WRITING STRATEGY
NO SAFE CC STRATEGY at the current chain. Hedge bleeds even at MID strike. Either restructure (deeper-OTM HP, smaller position) or commit to ongoing capital subsidy.

UAMY: HP 8P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 113d (no viable candidates)

Stock: $5.11 Current HP: 8P (113d, -46.9% OTM) Current hedge: $0/yr Gap: 0 IV: MEDIUM
No HP candidates passed all filters. Reasons:
  • No candidate puts were priced for the roll-down DTE window. Try --hp-min-dte 60 or extend --hp-max-dte.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).