GENERATED2026-07-31 03:34
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$152,429/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$98,420/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$54,009/yr
ROLL CREDITS
-$5,400
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$4,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 47 positions
3 · REPAIR PLAN6 · LEAPS-ONLY38 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P
$37.20 2547 350 $44.00 $50.41 121.75x 5.9% OK 20 $32,000$74,390 REPAIR PLAN (77d)
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P
$37.20 2547 350 $44.00 $50.41 121.75x 5.9% OK 20 $32,000$74,390 REPAIR PLAN (77d)
UAMY →
+10C −12P +8P −7C
$5.28 1012 87 $12.45 $13.20 53.08x -42.2% ITM 25 $6,000$13,188 REPAIR PLAN (112d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −350C
$334.12 3100 0350 $392.50 $343.87 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$167,062 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$36.70 750 00 $70.58 $49.23 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$183,475 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −97C
$93.23 700 097 $96.50 $87.72 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$111,882 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+40C
$11.87 400 00 $40.55 $15.47 01.00x 0.0% N/A 200 $11,000$237,300 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −110C
$97.25 1800 0110 $233.00 $154.96 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$97,245 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C
$741.70 6400 00 $764.00 $697.81 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$890,034 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P
$239.42 215260 2300 $256.25 $242.34 301.80x 3.9% TIGHT 10 $37,500$239,420 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P
$403.55 460540 1850 $588.00 $608.15 3553.77x 54.2% SAFE 1 $12,800$40,355 OK
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −65P +25P −20C
$18.09 2365 2520 $30.29 $9.04 400.00x -38.2% ITM 150 $0$271,275 OK
BMNR (Main)
+25C −45P +15P −20C
$18.09 2545 1520 $44.46 $52.39 302.59x 17.1% SAFE 50 $94,550$90,425 OK
BMNR (Main)
+23C −65P +25P −20C
$18.09 2365 2520 $39.13 $9.04 400.00x -38.2% ITM 75 $0$135,638 OK
BMNR (RetireInc)
+10C −18P +10P −20C
$18.09 1018 1020 $17.13 $19.55 82.28x 44.7% SAFE 50 $31,250$90,425 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$14.55 1717 100 $20.74 $17.21 72.87x 31.3% SAFE 25 $9,350$36,375 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −185C
$163.91 165240 85185 $210.90 $217.01 15510.23x 48.1% SAFE 8 $13,440$131,128 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −185C
$163.91 500330 300185 $563.00 $339.62 301.48x -83.0% ITM 25 $157,500$409,775 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −195C
$163.91 145200 75195 $182.40 $188.20 1257.31x 54.2% SAFE 3 $5,940$49,173 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$79.55 6590 680 $93.40 $94.96 221.77x 14.5% SAFE 20 $56,800$159,090 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P
$74.52 105120 400 $125.45 $129.31 804.91x 46.3% SAFE 5 $10,225$37,260 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −475C
$408.82 340390 150475 $398.00 $408.62 2405.14x 63.3% SAFE 3 $17,400$122,646 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P −41C
$36.97 4560 2041 $56.15 $59.29 406.48x 45.9% SAFE 10 $7,300$36,970 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$14.54 1316 100 $17.33 $17.93 62.39x 31.2% SAFE 50 $21,650$72,675 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −390C
$377.25 320450 330390 $456.00 $470.98 1201.88x 12.5% SAFE 10 $136,000$377,255 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$21.50 3838 180 $39.71 $34.02 2010.05x 18.6% SAFE 125 $27,625$268,750 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −350C
$334.12 300345 310350 $373.00 $341.56 351.48x 7.2% OK 15 $109,500$501,188 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −350C
$334.12 340405 360350 $398.00 $380.06 451.88x -7.7% ITM 5 $25,500$167,062 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P
$27.18 1020 50 $17.47 $19.77 154.04x 81.6% SAFE 15 $7,395$40,778 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P
$91.62 85100 350 $114.00 $116.70 653.24x 61.8% SAFE 5 $14,500$45,810 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P
$37.20 4565 210 $56.50 $58.97 4415.67x 43.5% SAFE 20 $6,000$74,390 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P
$37.20 5070 230 $63.43 $67.69 477.86x 38.2% SAFE 20 $13,700$74,390 OK
MARA (Joint)
+20C −17P +10P
$11.87 2017 100 $24.33 $19.62 72.62x 15.7% SAFE 50 $21,650$59,325 OK
MARA (Main)
+20C −25P +15P
$11.87 2025 150 $22.69 $17.87 1027.32x -26.4% ITM 200 $7,600$237,300 OK
MARA (Neville)
+25C −15P +13P
$11.87 2515 130 $26.40 $15.52 22.43x -9.6% ITM 250 $35,000$296,625 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −355C
$324.80 270340 150355 $362.90 $378.71 1903.05x 53.8% SAFE 1 $9,290$32,480 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −570C
$534.35 480650 330570 $601.50 $608.73 3205.38x 38.2% SAFE 3 $21,900$160,304 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −110C
$97.25 125185 55110 $161.00 $168.76 13011.83x 43.4% SAFE 4 $4,800$38,898 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P −900C
$876.29 670800 420900 $792.36 $809.49 3804.31x 52.1% SAFE 1 $11,472$87,630 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P −900C
$876.29 8801010 320900 $1028.60 $1056.65 6905.64x 63.5% SAFE 5 $74,300$438,148 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P −985C
$876.29 9701110 370985 $1220.00 $1246.54 7403.96x 57.8% SAFE 2 $50,000$175,259 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P −100C
$95.80 88105 75100 $114.54 $118.90 302.11x 21.7% SAFE 5 $13,520$47,900 OK
NOW
+80C −110P +90P −120C
$110.09 80110 90120 $108.93 $114.79 201.72x 18.2% SAFE 10 $27,850$110,090 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P −205C
$194.09 140175 70205 $199.60 $202.80 1052.76x 63.9% SAFE 5 $29,800$97,048 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −165C
$151.29 190210 90165 $224.00 $228.92 1204.53x 40.5% SAFE 5 $17,000$75,648 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P
$64.53 115135 450 $141.55 $149.38 904.39x 30.3% SAFE 6 $15,930$38,718 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P
$111.85 150195 1350 $186.00 $183.01 603.22x -20.7% ITM 5 $13,500$55,925 OK

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 77d

Stock: $37.20 HP: 5.9% OTM Current hedge: $63,994/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $118,586/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 16 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Nov 20, 112d) | Save $14,784/yr | Payback 2mo (0.14yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.01yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 8.6% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,295
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Nov 20 112d 8.6% $7.55 $-1.35 $-2,700 $49,210 $51,458 $14,784 13 $2,000 2mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 34 Oct 16 77d 8.6% $6.25 $-0.05 $-100 $59,253 $56,836 $4,740 13 $2,000 5mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
3 33 Nov 20 112d 11.3% $7.10 $-0.90 $-1,800 $46,277 $53,740 $17,717 14 $4,000 3mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
4 33 Oct 16 77d 11.3% $5.60 $0.60 $1,200 $53,091 $62,998 $10,903 14 $4,000 4mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
5 32 Nov 20 112d 14.0% $6.50 $-0.30 $-600 $42,366 $54,717 $21,627 15 $6,000 3mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
6 32 Oct 16 77d 14.0% $5.15 $1.05 $2,100 $48,825 $65,368 $15,169 15 $6,000 5mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
7 31 Nov 20 112d 16.7% $6.25 $-0.05 $-100 $40,737 $57,976 $23,257 16 $8,000 4mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
8 31 Oct 16 77d 16.7% $4.80 $1.40 $2,800 $45,506 $69,634 $18,487 16 $8,000 5mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
9 30 Nov 20 112d 19.3% $5.60 $0.60 $1,200 $36,500 $61,594 $27,494 17 $10,000 4mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
10 30 Oct 16 77d 19.3% $4.30 $1.90 $3,800 $40,766 $74,422 $23,227 17 $10,000 5mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
11 29 Nov 20 112d 22.0% $5.10 $1.10 $2,200 $33,241 $57,683 $30,752 18 $12,000 5mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
12 29 Oct 16 77d 22.0% $3.90 $2.30 $4,600 $36,974 $69,208 $27,019 18 $12,000 5mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
13 28 Nov 20 112d 24.7% $4.65 $1.55 $3,100 $30,308 $52,795 $33,685 19 $14,000 5mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
14 28 Oct 16 77d 24.7% $3.50 $2.70 $5,400 $33,182 $63,994 $30,812 19 $14,000 5mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
15 27 Nov 20 112d 27.4% $4.35 $1.85 $3,700 $28,353 $49,210 $35,641 20 $16,000 5mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Sep 04 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $1.38 $28,389/yr $49,210/yr DEFICIT $1,735/mo
CC at MID $46 0.6σ, B $2.50 $51,429/yr $49,210/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $37.20 → $29.76, hedge $51,458/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $28,389/yr $51,458/yr DEFICIT $1,922/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $51,429/yr $51,458/yr DEFICIT $2/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($46, bid $2.50) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 20% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 77d

Stock: $37.20 HP: 5.9% OTM Current hedge: $63,994/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $118,586/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 16 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Nov 20, 112d) | Save $14,784/yr | Payback 2mo (0.14yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.01yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 8.6% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,294
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Nov 20 112d 8.6% $7.55 $-1.35 $-2,700 $49,210 $51,458 $14,784 13 $2,000 2mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 34 Oct 16 77d 8.6% $6.25 $-0.05 $-100 $59,253 $56,836 $4,740 13 $2,000 5mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
3 33 Nov 20 112d 11.3% $7.10 $-0.90 $-1,800 $46,277 $53,740 $17,717 14 $4,000 3mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
4 33 Oct 16 77d 11.3% $5.60 $0.60 $1,200 $53,091 $62,998 $10,903 14 $4,000 4mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
5 32 Nov 20 112d 14.0% $6.50 $-0.30 $-600 $42,366 $54,717 $21,627 15 $6,000 3mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
6 32 Oct 16 77d 14.0% $5.15 $1.05 $2,100 $48,825 $65,368 $15,169 15 $6,000 5mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
7 31 Nov 20 112d 16.7% $6.25 $-0.05 $-100 $40,737 $57,976 $23,257 16 $8,000 4mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
8 31 Oct 16 77d 16.7% $4.80 $1.40 $2,800 $45,506 $69,634 $18,487 16 $8,000 5mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
9 30 Nov 20 112d 19.3% $5.60 $0.60 $1,200 $36,500 $61,594 $27,494 17 $10,000 4mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
10 30 Oct 16 77d 19.3% $4.30 $1.90 $3,800 $40,766 $74,422 $23,227 17 $10,000 5mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
11 29 Nov 20 112d 22.0% $5.10 $1.10 $2,200 $33,241 $57,683 $30,752 18 $12,000 5mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
12 29 Oct 16 77d 22.0% $3.90 $2.30 $4,600 $36,974 $69,208 $27,019 18 $12,000 5mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
13 28 Nov 20 112d 24.7% $4.65 $1.55 $3,100 $30,308 $52,795 $33,685 19 $14,000 5mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
14 28 Oct 16 77d 24.7% $3.50 $2.70 $5,400 $33,182 $63,994 $30,812 19 $14,000 5mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
15 27 Nov 20 112d 27.4% $4.35 $1.85 $3,700 $28,353 $49,210 $35,641 20 $16,000 5mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Sep 04 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $1.38 $28,389/yr $49,210/yr DEFICIT $1,735/mo
CC at MID $46 0.6σ, B $2.50 $51,429/yr $49,210/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $37.20 → $29.76, hedge $51,458/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $28,389/yr $51,458/yr DEFICIT $1,922/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $51,429/yr $51,458/yr DEFICIT $2/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($46, bid $2.50) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 20% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

UAMY: HP 8P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 112d (no viable candidates)

Stock: $5.28 Current HP: 8P (112d, -42.2% OTM) Current hedge: $24,442/yr Gap: 5 IV: HIGH
No HP candidates passed all filters. Reasons:
  • 1 candidate(s) priced
  • 1 rejected for being inside the 8% OTM floor (HIGH IV).

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).