GENERATED2026-07-31 21:50
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$126,091/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$97,768/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$28,323/yr
ROLL CREDITS
-$5,600
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$4,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 47 positions
3 · REPAIR PLAN6 · LEAPS-ONLY38 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P
$37.16 2547 350 $44.00 $48.46 121.75x 5.8% OK 20 $32,000$74,330 REPAIR PLAN (77d)
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P
$37.16 2547 350 $44.00 $48.46 121.75x 5.8% OK 20 $32,000$74,330 REPAIR PLAN (77d)
UAMY →
+10C −12P +8P −7C
$5.11 1012 87 $12.45 $13.09 53.08x -46.8% ITM 25 $6,000$12,775 REPAIR PLAN (112d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −350C
$342.69 3100 0350 $392.50 $344.08 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$171,345 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$35.83 750 00 $70.58 $49.07 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$179,125 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −97C
$93.89 700 097 $96.50 $88.43 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$112,668 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+40C
$11.57 400 00 $40.55 $15.22 01.00x 0.0% N/A 200 $11,000$231,300 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −110C
$92.62 1800 0110 $233.00 $153.87 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$92,623 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C
$742.42 6400 00 $764.00 $697.62 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$890,904 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+215C −260P +230P
$266.96 215260 2300 $256.25 $241.95 301.80x 13.8% SAFE 10 $37,500$266,959 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P
$394.58 460540 1850 $588.00 $608.07 3553.77x 53.1% SAFE 1 $12,800$39,458 OK
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −65P +25P −20C
$16.95 2365 2520 $30.29 $8.48 400.00x -47.4% ITM 150 $0$254,325 OK
BMNR (Main)
+25C −45P +15P −20C
$16.95 2545 1520 $44.46 302.59x 11.5% SAFE 50 $94,550$84,775 OK
BMNR (Main)
+23C −65P +25P −20C
$16.95 2365 2520 $39.13 $8.48 400.00x -47.4% ITM 75 $0$127,162 OK
BMNR (RetireInc)
+10C −18P +10P −20C
$16.95 1018 1020 $17.13 $19.12 82.28x 41.0% SAFE 50 $31,250$84,775 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$14.06 1717 100 $20.74 $16.80 72.87x 28.9% SAFE 25 $9,350$35,150 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −185C
$144.80 165240 85185 $210.90 $215.24 15510.23x 41.3% SAFE 8 $13,440$115,840 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −185C
$144.80 500330 300185 $563.00 $337.35 301.48x -107.2% ITM 25 $157,500$362,000 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −195C
$144.80 145200 75195 $182.40 $186.19 1257.31x 48.2% SAFE 3 $5,940$43,440 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$77.99 6590 680 $93.40 $94.65 221.77x 12.8% SAFE 20 $56,800$155,980 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P
$72.95 105120 400 $125.45 $127.77 804.91x 45.2% SAFE 5 $10,225$36,475 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −475C
$415.70 340390 150475 $398.00 $409.44 2405.14x 63.9% SAFE 3 $17,400$124,710 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P −41C
$37.34 4560 2041 $56.15 $58.78 406.48x 46.4% SAFE 10 $7,300$37,340 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$14.08 1316 100 $17.33 $17.80 62.39x 29.0% SAFE 50 $21,650$70,400 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −390C
$369.20 320450 330390 $456.00 $472.26 1201.88x 10.6% SAFE 10 $136,000$369,200 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$20.98 3838 180 $39.71 $33.49 2010.05x 16.6% SAFE 125 $27,625$262,250 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −350C
$342.69 300345 310350 $373.00 $340.14 351.48x 9.5% OK 15 $109,500$514,035 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −350C
$342.69 340405 360350 $398.00 $379.80 451.88x -5.1% ITM 5 $25,500$171,345 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P
$28.05 1020 50 $17.47 $19.10 154.04x 82.2% SAFE 15 $7,395$42,070 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P
$93.00 85100 350 $114.00 $115.82 653.24x 62.4% SAFE 5 $14,500$46,500 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P
$37.16 4565 210 $56.50 $57.53 4415.67x 43.5% SAFE 20 $6,000$74,330 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P
$37.16 5070 230 $63.43 $66.44 477.86x 38.1% SAFE 20 $13,700$74,330 OK
MARA (Joint)
+20C −17P +10P
$11.57 2017 100 $24.33 $18.63 72.62x 13.5% SAFE 50 $21,650$57,825 OK
MARA (Main)
+20C −25P +15P
$11.57 2025 150 $22.69 $18.06 1027.32x -29.7% ITM 200 $7,600$231,300 OK
MARA (Neville)
+25C −15P +13P
$11.57 2515 130 $26.40 $14.36 22.43x -12.4% ITM 250 $35,000$289,125 OK
MDB
+270C −340P +150P −355C
$334.10 270340 150355 $362.90 $381.94 1903.05x 55.1% SAFE 1 $9,290$33,410 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −570C
$547.25 480650 330570 $601.50 $606.87 3205.38x 39.7% SAFE 3 $21,900$164,175 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −110C
$92.62 125185 55110 $161.00 $166.96 13011.83x 40.6% SAFE 4 $4,800$37,049 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P −900C
$873.03 670800 420900 $792.36 $808.86 3804.31x 51.9% SAFE 1 $11,472$87,303 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P −900C
$873.03 8801010 320900 $1028.60 $1054.73 6905.64x 63.3% SAFE 5 $74,300$436,515 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P −985C
$873.03 9701110 370985 $1220.00 $1245.39 7403.96x 57.6% SAFE 2 $50,000$174,606 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P −100C
$92.75 88105 75100 $114.54 $117.30 302.11x 19.1% SAFE 5 $13,520$46,375 OK
NOW
+80C −110P +90P −120C
$110.88 80110 90120 $108.93 $114.51 201.72x 18.8% SAFE 10 $27,850$110,875 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P −205C
$197.34 140175 70205 $199.60 $202.76 1052.76x 64.5% SAFE 5 $29,800$98,670 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −165C
$146.84 190210 90165 $224.00 $228.30 1204.53x 38.7% SAFE 5 $17,000$73,422 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P
$65.19 115135 450 $141.55 $147.71 904.39x 31.0% SAFE 6 $15,930$39,114 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P
$110.94 150195 1350 $186.00 $183.02 603.22x -21.7% ITM 5 $13,500$55,468 OK

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 77d

Stock: $37.16 HP: 5.8% OTM Current hedge: $63,045/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $109,307/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 16 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Nov 20, 112d) | Save $14,162/yr | Payback 2mo (0.14yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.02yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 8.5% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,265
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Nov 20 112d 8.5% $7.50 $-1.40 $-2,800 $48,884 $50,611 $14,162 13 $2,000 2mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 34 Oct 16 77d 8.5% $6.15 $-0.05 $-100 $58,305 $58,447 $4,740 13 $2,000 5mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
3 33 Nov 20 112d 11.2% $7.00 $-0.90 $-1,800 $45,625 $52,567 $17,420 14 $4,000 3mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
4 33 Oct 16 77d 11.2% $5.65 $0.45 $900 $53,565 $61,766 $9,481 14 $4,000 5mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
5 32 Nov 20 112d 13.9% $6.45 $-0.35 $-700 $42,040 $53,870 $21,005 15 $6,000 3mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
6 32 Oct 16 77d 13.9% $5.15 $0.95 $1,900 $48,825 $65,084 $14,221 15 $6,000 5mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
7 31 Nov 20 112d 16.6% $6.00 $0.10 $200 $39,107 $56,151 $23,938 16 $8,000 4mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
8 31 Oct 16 77d 16.6% $4.75 $1.35 $2,700 $45,032 $68,876 $18,013 16 $8,000 5mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
9 30 Nov 20 112d 19.3% $5.50 $0.60 $1,200 $35,848 $58,758 $27,197 17 $10,000 4mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
10 30 Oct 16 77d 19.3% $4.30 $1.80 $3,600 $40,766 $72,668 $22,279 17 $10,000 5mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
11 29 Nov 20 112d 22.0% $5.05 $1.05 $2,100 $32,915 $56,379 $30,130 18 $12,000 5mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
12 29 Oct 16 77d 22.0% $3.85 $2.25 $4,500 $36,500 $68,260 $26,545 18 $12,000 5mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
13 28 Nov 20 112d 24.7% $4.70 $1.40 $2,800 $30,634 $52,795 $32,412 19 $14,000 5mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
14 28 Oct 16 77d 24.7% $3.50 $2.60 $5,200 $33,182 $63,045 $29,864 19 $14,000 6mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
15 27 Nov 20 112d 27.4% $4.30 $1.80 $3,600 $28,027 $48,884 $35,019 20 $16,000 5mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Sep 04 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $49, B $1.15 $23,657/yr $48,884/yr DEFICIT $2,102/mo
CC at MID $46 0.7σ, B $2.38 $48,960/yr $48,884/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $37.16 → $29.73, hedge $50,611/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $23,657/yr $50,611/yr DEFICIT $2,246/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $48,960/yr $50,611/yr DEFICIT $138/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($46, bid $2.38) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 20% drawdown, even MID is short ~$138/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 77d

Stock: $37.16 HP: 5.8% OTM Current hedge: $63,045/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Shares: 2,000 CC income: $109,307/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 20% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 16 PASS
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Nov 20, 112d) | Save $14,162/yr | Payback 2mo (0.14yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.02yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 8.5% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,265
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Nov 20 112d 8.5% $7.50 $-1.40 $-2,800 $48,884 $50,611 $14,162 13 $2,000 2mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 34 Oct 16 77d 8.5% $6.15 $-0.05 $-100 $58,305 $58,447 $4,740 13 $2,000 5mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
3 33 Nov 20 112d 11.2% $7.00 $-0.90 $-1,800 $45,625 $52,567 $17,420 14 $4,000 3mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
4 33 Oct 16 77d 11.2% $5.65 $0.45 $900 $53,565 $61,766 $9,481 14 $4,000 5mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
5 32 Nov 20 112d 13.9% $6.45 $-0.35 $-700 $42,040 $53,870 $21,005 15 $6,000 3mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
6 32 Oct 16 77d 13.9% $5.15 $0.95 $1,900 $48,825 $65,084 $14,221 15 $6,000 5mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
7 31 Nov 20 112d 16.6% $6.00 $0.10 $200 $39,107 $56,151 $23,938 16 $8,000 4mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
8 31 Oct 16 77d 16.6% $4.75 $1.35 $2,700 $45,032 $68,876 $18,013 16 $8,000 5mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
9 30 Nov 20 112d 19.3% $5.50 $0.60 $1,200 $35,848 $58,758 $27,197 17 $10,000 4mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
10 30 Oct 16 77d 19.3% $4.30 $1.80 $3,600 $40,766 $72,668 $22,279 17 $10,000 5mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
11 29 Nov 20 112d 22.0% $5.05 $1.05 $2,100 $32,915 $56,379 $30,130 18 $12,000 5mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
12 29 Oct 16 77d 22.0% $3.85 $2.25 $4,500 $36,500 $68,260 $26,545 18 $12,000 5mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
13 28 Nov 20 112d 24.7% $4.70 $1.40 $2,800 $30,634 $52,795 $32,412 19 $14,000 5mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
14 28 Oct 16 77d 24.7% $3.50 $2.60 $5,200 $33,182 $63,045 $29,864 19 $14,000 6mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
15 27 Nov 20 112d 27.4% $4.30 $1.80 $3,600 $28,027 $48,884 $35,019 20 $16,000 5mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Sep 04 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $49, B $1.15 $23,657/yr $48,884/yr DEFICIT $2,102/mo
CC at MID $46 0.7σ, B $2.38 $48,960/yr $48,884/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 20% DRAWDOWN (stock $37.16 → $29.73, hedge $50,611/yr)
CC at SS vs stressed $23,657/yr $50,611/yr DEFICIT $2,246/mo
CC at MID vs stressed $48,960/yr $50,611/yr DEFICIT $138/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($46, bid $2.38) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 20% drawdown, even MID is short ~$138/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

UAMY: HP 8P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 112d (no viable candidates)

Stock: $5.11 Current HP: 8P (112d, -46.8% OTM) Current hedge: $0/yr Gap: 0 IV: MEDIUM
No HP candidates passed all filters. Reasons:
  • No candidate puts were priced for the roll-down DTE window. Try --hp-min-dte 60 or extend --hp-max-dte.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).