GENERATED2026-08-06 21:43
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$143,873/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$104,163/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$39,711/yr
ROLL CREDITS
-$2,825
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$10,250
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 46 positions
1 · ROLL NOW3 · REPAIR PLAN6 · LEAPS-ONLY36 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
MDB →
+270C −340P +150P −410C
$370.56 270340 150410 $362.90 $383.61 1903.05x 59.5% SAFE 1 $9,290$37,056 ROLL NOW (43d)
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P
$38.13 2547 350 $44.00 $50.48 121.75x 8.2% OK 20 $32,000$76,260 REPAIR PLAN (71d)
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P
$38.13 2547 350 $44.00 $50.48 121.75x 8.2% OK 20 $32,000$76,260 REPAIR PLAN (71d)
UAMY →
+10C −12P +8P −8C
$6.16 1012 88 $12.45 $13.18 53.08x -21.8% ITM 25 $6,000$15,400 REPAIR PLAN (106d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −355C
$360.08 3100 0355 $392.50 $339.61 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$180,040 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$36.37 750 00 $70.58 $48.62 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$181,850 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −105C
$98.72 700 0105 $96.50 $88.39 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$118,464 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+40C
$10.93 400 00 $40.55 $15.38 01.00x 0.0% N/A 200 $11,000$218,500 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −110C
$96.85 1800 0110 $233.00 $156.95 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$96,850 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C
$769.99 6400 00 $764.00 $694.66 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$923,982 LEAPS-ONLY
APP
+460C −540P +185P
$345.89 460540 1850 $588.00 $612.88 3553.77x 46.5% SAFE 1 $12,800$34,590 OK
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −65P +25P −19C
$18.07 2365 2519 $30.29 $9.04 400.00x -38.3% ITM 150 $0$271,125 OK
BMNR (Main)
+25C −45P +15P −19C
$18.07 2545 1519 $44.46 $52.37 302.59x 17.0% SAFE 50 $94,550$90,375 OK
BMNR (Main)
+23C −65P +25P −19C
$18.07 2365 2519 $39.13 $9.04 400.00x -38.3% ITM 75 $0$135,562 OK
BMNR (RetireInc)
+10C −18P +10P −19C
$18.07 1018 1019 $17.13 $19.49 82.28x 44.7% SAFE 50 $31,250$90,375 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$13.02 1717 100 $20.74 $17.39 72.87x 23.2% SAFE 25 $9,350$32,550 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −160C
$148.40 165240 85160 $210.90 $219.20 15510.23x 42.7% SAFE 8 $13,440$118,716 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −160C
$148.40 500330 300160 $563.00 $342.90 301.48x -102.2% ITM 25 $157,500$370,988 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −160C
$148.40 145200 75160 $182.40 $189.10 1257.31x 49.5% SAFE 3 $5,940$44,518 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −100C
$86.68 6590 68100 $93.40 $93.97 221.77x 21.6% SAFE 20 $56,800$173,360 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P
$86.68 105120 400 $125.45 $128.95 804.91x 53.9% SAFE 5 $10,225$43,340 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −540C
$428.43 340390 150540 $398.00 $409.81 2405.14x 65.0% SAFE 3 $17,400$128,529 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$38.41 4560 200 $56.15 $59.60 406.48x 47.9% SAFE 10 $7,300$38,410 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$14.35 1316 100 $17.33 $17.98 62.39x 30.3% SAFE 50 $21,650$71,725 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −400C
$390.60 320450 330400 $456.00 $469.32 1201.88x 15.5% SAFE 10 $136,000$390,600 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$19.01 3838 180 $39.71 $33.85 2010.05x 7.9% OK 125 $27,625$237,625 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −370C
$360.08 300345 310370 $373.00 $338.50 351.48x 13.9% SAFE 15 $109,500$540,120 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −370C
$360.08 340405 360370 $398.00 $375.79 451.88x 0.0% TIGHT 5 $25,500$180,040 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P
$30.84 1020 50 $17.47 $19.21 154.04x 83.8% SAFE 15 $7,395$46,260 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −108C
$97.43 85100 35108 $114.00 $117.34 653.24x 64.1% SAFE 5 $14,500$48,715 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P
$38.13 4565 210 $56.50 $59.00 4415.67x 44.9% SAFE 20 $6,000$76,260 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P
$38.13 5070 230 $63.43 $67.60 477.86x 39.7% SAFE 20 $13,700$76,260 OK
MARA (Joint)
+20C −17P +10P
$10.93 2017 100 $24.33 $19.30 72.62x 8.5% OK 50 $21,650$54,625 OK
MARA (Main)
+20C −25P +15P
$10.93 2025 150 $22.69 $17.88 1027.32x -37.3% ITM 200 $7,600$218,500 OK
MARA (Neville)
+25C −15P +13P
$10.93 2515 130 $26.40 $13.82 22.43x -19.0% ITM 250 $35,000$273,125 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −610C
$591.30 480650 330610 $601.50 $606.17 3205.38x 44.2% SAFE 3 $21,900$177,391 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −110C
$96.85 125185 55110 $161.00 $167.45 13011.83x 43.2% SAFE 4 $4,800$38,740 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P −1200C
$849.41 670800 4201200 $792.36 $815.43 3804.31x 50.6% SAFE 1 $11,472$84,941 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P −1000C
$849.41 8801010 3201000 $1028.60 $1060.63 6905.64x 62.3% SAFE 5 $74,300$424,705 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P −1050C
$849.41 9701110 3701050 $1220.00 $1251.30 7403.96x 56.4% SAFE 2 $50,000$169,882 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P −125C
$104.86 88105 75125 $114.54 $117.50 302.11x 28.5% SAFE 5 $13,520$52,432 OK
NOW
+80C −110P +90P −120C
$113.55 80110 90120 $108.93 $115.28 201.72x 20.7% SAFE 10 $27,850$113,545 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P −215C
$222.71 140175 70215 $199.60 $203.66 1052.76x 68.6% SAFE 5 $29,800$111,355 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −230C
$157.12 190210 90230 $224.00 $229.96 1204.53x 42.7% SAFE 5 $17,000$78,560 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P
$74.76 115135 450 $141.55 $148.96 904.39x 39.8% SAFE 6 $15,930$44,856 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −131C
$109.55 150195 135131 $186.00 $184.95 603.22x -23.2% ITM 5 $13,500$54,775 OK

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 71d

Stock: $38.13 HP: 8.2% OTM Current hedge: $61,176/yr Roll-fwd baseline: $51,651/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $107,150/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 33% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 8 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-08-27 AMC (21d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Nov 20, 106d) | Save $12,969/yr | Payback 2mo (0.15yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.02yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 10.8% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,290
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Nov 20 106d 10.8% $7.00 $-1.55 $-3,100 $48,208 $38,428 $12,969 13 $2,000 2mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 33 Nov 20 106d 13.5% $6.45 $-1.00 $-2,000 $44,420 $40,150 $16,756 14 $4,000 3mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
3 32 Nov 20 106d 16.1% $5.95 $-0.50 $-1,000 $40,976 $43,593 $20,200 15 $6,000 4mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
4 31 Nov 20 106d 18.7% $5.50 $-0.05 $-100 $37,877 $45,315 $23,299 16 $8,000 4mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
5 30 Nov 20 106d 21.3% $5.00 $0.45 $900 $34,434 $47,381 $26,742 17 $10,000 4mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
6 29 Nov 20 106d 23.9% $4.65 $0.80 $1,600 $32,024 $51,858 $29,152 18 $12,000 5mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
7 28 Nov 20 106d 26.6% $4.20 $1.25 $2,500 $28,925 $53,924 $32,252 19 $14,000 5mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
8 27 Nov 20 106d 29.2% $3.85 $1.60 $3,200 $26,514 $59,089 $34,662 20 $16,000 6mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Sep 11 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $1.13 $22,600/yr $48,208/yr DEFICIT $2,134/mo
CC at MID $47 0.6σ, B $2.20 $44,000/yr $48,208/yr DEFICIT $351/mo
AT 33% DRAWDOWN (stock $38.13 → $25.70, hedge $38,428/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $9,800/yr $38,428/yr DEFICIT $2,386/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $9,800/yr $38,428/yr DEFICIT $2,386/mo
NOT SELF-FUNDING Requires ongoing capital even at MID
CC WRITING STRATEGY
NO SAFE CC STRATEGY at the current chain. Hedge bleeds even at MID strike. Either restructure (deeper-OTM HP, smaller position) or commit to ongoing capital subsidy.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 71d

Stock: $38.13 HP: 8.2% OTM Current hedge: $61,176/yr Roll-fwd baseline: $51,651/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $107,150/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 33% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 8 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-08-27 AMC (21d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Nov 20, 106d) | Save $12,969/yr | Payback 2mo (0.15yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.02yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 10.8% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,290
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Nov 20 106d 10.8% $7.00 $-1.55 $-3,100 $48,208 $38,428 $12,969 13 $2,000 2mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 33 Nov 20 106d 13.5% $6.45 $-1.00 $-2,000 $44,420 $40,150 $16,756 14 $4,000 3mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
3 32 Nov 20 106d 16.1% $5.95 $-0.50 $-1,000 $40,976 $43,593 $20,200 15 $6,000 4mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
4 31 Nov 20 106d 18.7% $5.50 $-0.05 $-100 $37,877 $45,315 $23,299 16 $8,000 4mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
5 30 Nov 20 106d 21.3% $5.00 $0.45 $900 $34,434 $47,381 $26,742 17 $10,000 4mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
6 29 Nov 20 106d 23.9% $4.65 $0.80 $1,600 $32,024 $51,858 $29,152 18 $12,000 5mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
7 28 Nov 20 106d 26.6% $4.20 $1.25 $2,500 $28,925 $53,924 $32,252 19 $14,000 5mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
8 27 Nov 20 106d 29.2% $3.85 $1.60 $3,200 $26,514 $59,089 $34,662 20 $16,000 6mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Sep 11 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $1.13 $22,600/yr $48,208/yr DEFICIT $2,134/mo
CC at MID $47 0.6σ, B $2.20 $44,000/yr $48,208/yr DEFICIT $351/mo
AT 33% DRAWDOWN (stock $38.13 → $25.70, hedge $38,428/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $9,800/yr $38,428/yr DEFICIT $2,386/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $9,800/yr $38,428/yr DEFICIT $2,386/mo
NOT SELF-FUNDING Requires ongoing capital even at MID
CC WRITING STRATEGY
NO SAFE CC STRATEGY at the current chain. Hedge bleeds even at MID strike. Either restructure (deeper-OTM HP, smaller position) or commit to ongoing capital subsidy.

UAMY: HP 8P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 106d

Stock: $6.16 HP: ITM Current hedge: $21,521/yr SS: $12.45 (unchanged) Account: RetireInc (...7291) Contracts: 25 (2,500 sh) CC income: $13,767/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 33% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 1 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-08-14 AMC (8d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 8 → 5 (Nov 20, 106d) | Save $13,774/yr | Payback 5mo (0.45yr) hedge only, 3mo (0.23yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 18.8% OTM | RM 3.08x → 4.12x | Margin (TIMS): $237
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 5 Nov 20 106d 18.8% $0.90 $1.35 $3,375 $7,748 $9,987 $13,774 8 $6,250 5mo 3mo 4.12x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Sep 11 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $13 — assignment locks a loss · $10, B $0.05 $1,250/yr $7,748/yr DEFICIT $541/mo
CC at MID $8 0.6σ, B $0.25 $6,250/yr $7,748/yr DEFICIT $125/mo
AT 33% DRAWDOWN (stock $6.16 → $4.13, hedge $9,987/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $1,250/yr $9,987/yr DEFICIT $728/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $1,250/yr $9,987/yr DEFICIT $728/mo
NOT SELF-FUNDING Requires ongoing capital even at MID
CC WRITING STRATEGY
NO SAFE CC STRATEGY at the current chain. Hedge bleeds even at MID strike. Either restructure (deeper-OTM HP, smaller position) or commit to ongoing capital subsidy.

MDB: HP 150P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Sep 18 '26, 43d

Stock: $370.56 Current HP: 150P (43d, 59.5% OTM) Current hedge: $1,613/yr Current ML: $28,290 If HP lapses: ML $43,290 (+$15,000) Account: Neville (...0865) Contracts: 1 (100 sh) CC income: $28,718/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $7,179/yr IV: MEDIUM 18 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-09-01 AMC (26d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 150 → 150P (Nov 20 '26, 106d, 59.5% OTM) | Cost: $854/yr (3% of CC) | New ML: $28,290 = ML | Roll DEBIT $248 | Margin (TIMS): $7,874
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 150 → 270P (Nov 20 '26, 106d, 27.1% OTM) | Cost: $6,198/yr (22% of CC) | New ML: $16,290 ↓ $12,000 | Roll DEBIT $1,800 | Margin (TIMS): $6,167
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 150 CHEAP Nov 20 106d 59.5% $0.24 $2.48 $854 3% $28,290 = D $248
2 155 Nov 20 106d 58.2% $0.42 $2.65 $912 3% $27,790 -$500 D $265
3 160 Nov 20 106d 56.8% $0.47 $2.96 $1,019 4% $27,290 -$1,000 D $296
4 165 Nov 20 106d 55.5% $0.33 $3.30 $1,136 4% $26,790 -$1,500 D $330
5 170 Nov 20 106d 54.1% $1.03 $3.50 $1,205 4% $26,290 -$2,000 D $350
6 175 Nov 20 106d 52.8% $1.31 $3.55 $1,222 4% $25,790 -$2,500 D $355
7 180 Nov 20 106d 51.4% $1.42 $4.05 $1,395 5% $25,290 -$3,000 D $405
8 185 Nov 20 106d 50.1% $1.73 $4.20 $1,446 5% $24,790 -$3,500 D $420
9 190 Nov 20 106d 48.7% $2.12 $4.75 $1,636 6% $24,290 -$4,000 D $475
10 195 Nov 20 106d 47.4% $1.76 $5.40 $1,859 6% $23,790 -$4,500 D $540
11 200 Nov 20 106d 46.0% $2.65 $5.65 $1,946 7% $23,290 -$5,000 D $565
12 210 Nov 20 106d 43.3% $3.75 $6.65 $2,290 8% $22,290 -$6,000 D $665
13 270 PROT Nov 20 106d 27.1% $12.95 $18.00 $6,198 22% $16,290 -$12,000 D $1,800
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Sep 11 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $385, B $28.50 $28,500/yr $854/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $430 0.6σ, B $14.45 $14,450/yr $854/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($385, bid $28.50). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).