GENERATED2026-08-07 03:34
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$151,322/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$93,402/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$57,919/yr
ROLL CREDITS
-$1,900
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$10,250
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 46 positions
1 · ROLL NOW5 · REPAIR PLAN6 · LEAPS-ONLY34 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
MDB →
+270C −340P +150P −410C
$369.49 270340 150410 $362.90 $376.22 1903.05x 59.4% SAFE 1 $9,290$36,949 ROLL NOW (43d)
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −51C
$38.54 2547 3551 $44.00 $49.65 121.75x 9.2% OK 20 $32,000$77,080 REPAIR PLAN (71d)
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −51C
$38.54 2547 3551 $44.00 $49.65 121.75x 9.2% OK 20 $32,000$77,080 REPAIR PLAN (71d)
IREN (Neville) →
+45C −65P +21P −51C
$38.54 4565 2151 $56.50 $58.62 4415.67x 45.5% SAFE 20 $6,000$77,080 REPAIR PLAN (71d)
IREN (RetireInc) →
+50C −70P +23P −51C
$38.54 5070 2351 $63.43 $67.36 477.86x 40.3% SAFE 20 $13,700$77,080 REPAIR PLAN (71d)
UAMY →
+10C −12P +8P −8C
$6.24 1012 88 $12.45 $13.10 53.08x -20.3% ITM 25 $6,000$15,588 REPAIR PLAN (106d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −355C
$356.43 3100 0355 $392.50 $340.82 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$178,215 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$36.45 750 00 $70.58 $48.65 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$182,225 LEAPS-ONLY
IGV
+70C −105C
$99.00 700 0105 $96.50 $86.90 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$118,800 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+40C
$10.90 400 00 $40.55 $15.51 01.00x 0.0% N/A 200 $11,000$218,000 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −110C
$96.50 1800 0110 $233.00 $158.29 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$96,505 LEAPS-ONLY
SPY
+640C
$768.86 6400 00 $764.00 $696.23 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$922,632 LEAPS-ONLY
APP
+460C −540P +185P
$335.08 460540 1850 $588.00 $609.37 3553.77x 44.8% SAFE 1 $12,800$33,508 OK
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −65P +25P −22C
$18.32 2365 2522 $30.29 $9.16 400.00x -36.4% ITM 150 $0$274,875 OK
BMNR (Main)
+25C −45P +15P −22C
$18.32 2545 1522 $44.46 $52.43 302.59x 18.1% SAFE 50 $94,550$91,625 OK
BMNR (Main)
+23C −65P +25P −22C
$18.32 2365 2522 $39.13 $9.16 400.00x -36.4% ITM 75 $0$137,438 OK
BMNR (RetireInc)
+10C −18P +10P −22C
$18.32 1018 1022 $17.13 $19.60 82.28x 45.4% SAFE 50 $31,250$91,625 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$12.78 1717 100 $20.74 $17.52 72.87x 21.8% SAFE 25 $9,350$31,950 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P
$147.20 165240 850 $210.90 $216.89 15510.23x 42.3% SAFE 8 $13,440$117,764 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P
$147.20 500330 3000 $563.00 $343.57 301.48x -103.8% ITM 25 $157,500$368,012 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P
$147.20 145200 750 $182.40 $187.77 1257.31x 49.1% SAFE 3 $5,940$44,161 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −100C
$86.03 6590 68100 $93.40 $94.24 221.77x 21.0% SAFE 20 $56,800$172,060 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P
$86.62 105120 400 $125.45 $129.05 804.91x 53.8% SAFE 5 $10,225$43,312 OK
DELL
+340C −390P +150P −540C
$445.52 340390 150540 $398.00 $408.12 2405.14x 66.3% SAFE 3 $17,400$133,658 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$39.41 4560 200 $56.15 $59.93 406.48x 49.3% SAFE 10 $7,300$39,410 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$14.39 1316 100 $17.33 $17.96 62.39x 30.5% SAFE 50 $21,650$71,950 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −480C
$388.57 320450 330480 $456.00 $469.45 1201.88x 15.1% SAFE 10 $136,000$388,570 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$20.02 3838 180 $39.71 $34.50 2010.05x 12.6% SAFE 125 $27,625$250,312 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −370C
$356.43 300345 310370 $373.00 $340.69 351.48x 13.0% SAFE 15 $109,500$534,645 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −370C
$356.43 340405 360370 $398.00 $377.56 451.88x -1.0% ITM 5 $25,500$178,215 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P
$29.70 1020 50 $17.47 $18.49 154.04x 83.2% SAFE 15 $7,395$44,550 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P
$100.58 85100 350 $114.00 $116.85 653.24x 65.2% SAFE 5 $14,500$50,288 OK
MARA (Joint)
+20C −17P +10P
$10.90 2017 100 $24.33 $19.36 72.62x 8.3% OK 50 $21,650$54,500 OK
MARA (Main)
+20C −25P +15P
$10.90 2025 150 $22.69 $17.95 1027.32x -37.6% ITM 200 $7,600$218,000 OK
MARA (Neville)
+25C −15P +13P
$10.90 2515 130 $26.40 $14.15 22.43x -19.3% ITM 250 $35,000$272,500 OK
META
+480C −650P +330P −610C
$588.91 480650 330610 $601.50 $605.19 3205.38x 44.0% SAFE 3 $21,900$176,673 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −110C
$96.50 125185 55110 $161.00 $167.17 13011.83x 43.0% SAFE 4 $4,800$38,602 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P −1200C
$895.03 670800 4201200 $792.36 $812.04 3804.31x 53.1% SAFE 1 $11,472$89,503 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P −1000C
$895.03 8801010 3201000 $1028.60 $1055.32 6905.64x 64.2% SAFE 5 $74,300$447,515 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P −1000C
$895.03 9701110 3701000 $1220.00 $1245.72 7403.96x 58.7% SAFE 2 $50,000$179,006 OK
NEM
+88C −105P +75P −125C
$105.31 88105 75125 $114.54 $117.64 302.11x 28.8% SAFE 5 $13,520$52,654 OK
NOW
+80C −110P +90P −150C
$116.62 80110 90150 $108.93 $115.63 201.72x 22.8% SAFE 10 $27,850$116,620 OK
NVDA
+140C −175P +70P −215C
$220.11 140175 70215 $199.60 $202.69 1052.76x 68.2% SAFE 5 $29,800$110,053 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +90P −230C
$160.98 190210 90230 $224.00 $229.01 1204.53x 44.1% SAFE 5 $17,000$80,490 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P
$76.37 115135 450 $141.55 $147.74 904.39x 41.1% SAFE 6 $15,930$45,822 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P
$111.79 150195 1350 $186.00 $185.63 603.22x -20.8% ITM 5 $13,500$55,895 OK

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 71d

Stock: $38.54 HP: 9.2% OTM Current hedge: $55,007/yr Roll-fwd baseline: $46,830/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $103,629/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 31% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 8 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-08-27 AMC (21d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Nov 20, 106d) | Save $11,965/yr | Payback 2mo (0.17yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.02yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 11.8% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,298
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Nov 20 106d 11.8% $6.25 $-1.35 $-2,700 $43,042 $37,808 $11,965 13 $2,000 2mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 33 Nov 20 106d 14.4% $5.85 $-0.95 $-1,900 $40,288 $39,530 $14,719 14 $4,000 3mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
3 32 Nov 20 106d 17.0% $5.30 $-0.40 $-800 $36,500 $41,252 $18,507 15 $6,000 4mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
4 31 Nov 20 106d 19.6% $4.85 $0.05 $100 $33,401 $45,040 $21,606 16 $8,000 4mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
5 30 Nov 20 106d 22.2% $4.45 $0.45 $900 $30,646 $47,106 $24,361 17 $10,000 5mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
6 29 Nov 20 106d 24.8% $4.00 $0.90 $1,800 $27,547 $51,582 $27,460 18 $12,000 5mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
7 28 Nov 20 106d 27.3% $3.60 $1.30 $2,600 $24,792 $53,992 $30,215 19 $14,000 6mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
8 27 Nov 20 106d 29.9% $3.25 $1.65 $3,300 $22,382 $59,502 $32,625 20 $16,000 6mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Sep 11 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $50, B $1.98 $39,600/yr $43,042/yr DEFICIT $287/mo
CC at MID $47 0.6σ, B $2.22 $44,400/yr $43,042/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 31% DRAWDOWN (stock $38.54 → $26.50, hedge $37,808/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $8,800/yr $37,808/yr DEFICIT $2,417/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $8,800/yr $37,808/yr DEFICIT $2,417/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($47, bid $2.22) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 31% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,417/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 71d

Stock: $38.54 HP: 9.2% OTM Current hedge: $55,007/yr Roll-fwd baseline: $46,830/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $103,629/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 31% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 8 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-08-27 AMC (21d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 34 (Nov 20, 106d) | Save $11,965/yr | Payback 2mo (0.17yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.02yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 11.8% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.81x | Margin (TIMS): $1,298
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 34 Nov 20 106d 11.8% $6.25 $-1.35 $-2,700 $43,042 $37,808 $11,965 13 $2,000 2mo 0mo 1.81x PASS
2 33 Nov 20 106d 14.4% $5.85 $-0.95 $-1,900 $40,288 $39,530 $14,719 14 $4,000 3mo 0mo 1.88x PASS
3 32 Nov 20 106d 17.0% $5.30 $-0.40 $-800 $36,500 $41,252 $18,507 15 $6,000 4mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
4 31 Nov 20 106d 19.6% $4.85 $0.05 $100 $33,401 $45,040 $21,606 16 $8,000 4mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
5 30 Nov 20 106d 22.2% $4.45 $0.45 $900 $30,646 $47,106 $24,361 17 $10,000 5mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
6 29 Nov 20 106d 24.8% $4.00 $0.90 $1,800 $27,547 $51,582 $27,460 18 $12,000 5mo 1mo 2.12x PASS
7 28 Nov 20 106d 27.3% $3.60 $1.30 $2,600 $24,792 $53,992 $30,215 19 $14,000 6mo 1mo 2.19x PASS
8 27 Nov 20 106d 29.9% $3.25 $1.65 $3,300 $22,382 $59,502 $32,625 20 $16,000 6mo 1mo 2.25x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Sep 11 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $50, B $1.98 $39,600/yr $43,042/yr DEFICIT $287/mo
CC at MID $47 0.6σ, B $2.22 $44,400/yr $43,042/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 31% DRAWDOWN (stock $38.54 → $26.50, hedge $37,808/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $8,800/yr $37,808/yr DEFICIT $2,417/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $8,800/yr $37,808/yr DEFICIT $2,417/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($47, bid $2.22) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 31% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,417/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Neville): HP 21P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 71d (no viable candidates)

Stock: $38.54 Current HP: 21P (71d, 45.5% OTM) Current hedge: $8,945/yr Gap: 44 Account: Neville (...0865) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) IV: HIGH
No HP candidates passed all filters. Reasons:
  • 22 candidate(s) priced

IREN (RetireInc): HP 23P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 71d (no viable candidates)

Stock: $38.54 Current HP: 23P (71d, 40.3% OTM) Current hedge: $12,132/yr Gap: 47 Account: RetireInc (...7291) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) IV: HIGH
No HP candidates passed all filters. Reasons:
  • 22 candidate(s) priced

UAMY: HP 8P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 106d

Stock: $6.24 HP: ITM Current hedge: $20,230/yr SS: $12.45 (unchanged) Account: RetireInc (...7291) Contracts: 25 (2,500 sh) CC income: $18,986/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 33% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 1 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-08-14 AMC (8d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 8 → 5 (Nov 20, 106d) | Save $12,913/yr | Payback 6mo (0.48yr) hedge only, 2mo (0.20yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 19.8% OTM | RM 3.08x → 4.12x | Margin (TIMS): $232
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 5 Nov 20 106d 19.8% $0.85 $1.40 $3,500 $7,317 $9,340 $12,913 8 $6,250 6mo 2mo 4.12x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Sep 11 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $13 — assignment locks a loss · $10, B $0.05 $1,250/yr $7,317/yr DEFICIT $506/mo
CC at MID $8 0.6σ, B $0.40 $10,000/yr $7,317/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 33% DRAWDOWN (stock $6.24 → $4.19, hedge $9,340/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $1,250/yr $9,340/yr DEFICIT $674/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $1,250/yr $9,340/yr DEFICIT $674/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($8, bid $0.40) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 33% drawdown, even MID is short ~$674/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

MDB: HP 150P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Sep 18 '26, 43d

Stock: $369.49 Current HP: 150P (43d, 59.4% OTM) Current hedge: $3,820/yr Current ML: $28,290 If HP lapses: ML $43,290 (+$15,000) Account: Neville (...0865) Contracts: 1 (100 sh) CC income: $34,090/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $8,523/yr IV: HIGH 15 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-09-01 AMC (26d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 150 → 155P (Nov 20 '26, 106d, 58.1% OTM) | Cost: $723/yr (2% of CC) | New ML: $27,790 ↓ $500 | Roll DEBIT $210 | Margin (TIMS): $7,811
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 150 → 300P (Nov 20 '26, 106d, 18.8% OTM) | Cost: $7,971/yr (23% of CC) | New ML: $13,290 ↓ $15,000 | Roll DEBIT $2,315 | Margin (TIMS): $5,736
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 155 CHEAP Nov 20 106d 58.1% $0.76 $2.10 $723 2% $27,790 -$500 D $210
2 160 Nov 20 106d 56.7% $0.42 $2.34 $806 2% $27,290 -$1,000 D $234
3 175 Nov 20 106d 52.6% $1.11 $3.45 $1,188 3% $25,790 -$2,500 D $345
4 200 Nov 20 106d 45.9% $0.02 $3.70 $1,274 4% $23,290 -$5,000 D $370
5 220 Nov 20 106d 40.5% $5.10 $5.65 $1,946 6% $21,290 -$7,000 D $565
6 230 Nov 20 106d 37.8% $6.40 $6.90 $2,376 7% $20,290 -$8,000 D $690
7 190 Nov 20 106d 48.6% $0.03 $6.95 $2,393 7% $24,290 -$4,000 D $695
8 210 Nov 20 106d 43.2% $3.15 $7.25 $2,496 7% $22,290 -$6,000 D $725
9 240 Nov 20 106d 35.0% $7.00 $10.60 $3,650 11% $19,290 -$9,000 D $1,060
10 250 Nov 20 106d 32.3% $8.40 $13.30 $4,580 13% $18,290 -$10,000 D $1,330
11 260 Nov 20 106d 29.6% $10.65 $15.30 $5,268 15% $17,290 -$11,000 D $1,530
12 270 Nov 20 106d 26.9% $12.75 $17.65 $6,078 18% $16,290 -$12,000 D $1,765
13 300 PROT Nov 20 106d 18.8% $21.35 $23.15 $7,971 23% $13,290 -$15,000 D $2,315
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Sep 11 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $380, B $32.30 $32,300/yr $723/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $430 0.6σ, B $16.15 $16,150/yr $723/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($380, bid $32.30). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).