| FORTRESS | STOCK | LC | SP | HP | SC | BE‑SS | CC‑SS | GAP | RM | HP OTM% | STATUS | CTRS | IC | NOTIONAL | URGENCY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COIN (Main) → +165C −240P +85P −220C |
$184.90 | 165 | 240 | 85 | 220 | $210.90 | $216.02 | 155 | 10.23x | 54.0% | SAFE | 8 | $13,440 | $147,920 | ROLL NOW (42d) |
| CRWV → +105C −120P +40P −93C |
$88.73 | 105 | 120 | 40 | 93 | $125.45 | $128.65 | 80 | 4.91x | 54.9% | SAFE | 5 | $10,225 | $44,365 | ROLL NOW (42d) |
| DELL → +340C −390P +150P −550C |
$518.40 | 340 | 390 | 150 | 550 | $398.00 | $407.02 | 240 | 5.14x | 71.1% | SAFE | 3 | $17,400 | $155,520 | ROLL NOW (42d) |
| ENPH → +45C −60P +20P |
$36.12 | 45 | 60 | 20 | 0 | $56.15 | $58.70 | 40 | 6.48x | 44.6% | SAFE | 10 | $7,300 | $36,120 | ROLL NOW (42d) |
| ETHA → +13C −16P +10P |
$18.53 | 13 | 16 | 10 | 0 | $17.33 | $17.94 | 6 | 2.39x | 46.0% | SAFE | 50 | $21,650 | $92,650 | ROLL NOW (42d) |
| GLD → +320C −450P +330P −470C |
$406.36 | 320 | 450 | 330 | 470 | $456.00 | $470.49 | 120 | 1.88x | 18.8% | SAFE | 10 | $136,000 | $406,360 | ROLL NOW (42d) |
| INTC → +85C −100P +35P −103C |
$94.55 | 85 | 100 | 35 | 103 | $114.00 | $116.41 | 65 | 3.24x | 63.0% | SAFE | 5 | $14,500 | $47,275 | ROLL NOW (42d) |
| IREN (Neville) → +45C −65P +21P −48C |
$43.83 | 45 | 65 | 21 | 48 | $56.50 | $58.24 | 44 | 15.67x | 52.1% | SAFE | 20 | $6,000 | $87,660 | ROLL NOW (42d) |
| IREN (RetireInc) → +50C −70P +23P −48C |
$43.83 | 50 | 70 | 23 | 48 | $63.43 | $66.88 | 47 | 7.86x | 47.5% | SAFE | 20 | $13,700 | $87,660 | ROLL NOW (42d) |
| META → +480C −650P +330P −665C |
$616.43 | 480 | 650 | 330 | 665 | $601.50 | $606.88 | 320 | 5.38x | 46.5% | SAFE | 3 | $21,900 | $184,929 | ROLL NOW (42d) |
| MSTR (RetireInc) → +125C −185P +55P −170C |
$143.76 | 125 | 185 | 55 | 170 | $161.00 | $165.98 | 130 | 11.83x | 61.7% | SAFE | 4 | $4,800 | $57,504 | ROLL NOW (42d) |
| MU (Main) → +880C −1010P +320P −1120C |
$1001.50 | 880 | 1010 | 320 | 1120 | $1028.60 | $1050.55 | 690 | 5.64x | 68.0% | SAFE | 5 | $74,300 | $500,750 | ROLL NOW (42d) |
| MU (Neville) → +970C −1110P +370P −1120C |
$1001.50 | 970 | 1110 | 370 | 1120 | $1220.00 | $1239.28 | 740 | 3.96x | 63.1% | SAFE | 2 | $50,000 | $200,300 | ROLL NOW (42d) |
| NEM → +88C −105P +75P −125C |
$128.04 | 88 | 105 | 75 | 125 | $114.54 | $117.60 | 30 | 2.11x | 41.4% | SAFE | 5 | $13,520 | $64,020 | ROLL NOW (42d) |
| NOW → +80C −110P +90P −140C |
$141.95 | 80 | 110 | 90 | 140 | $108.93 | $115.10 | 20 | 1.72x | 36.6% | SAFE | 10 | $27,850 | $141,950 | ROLL NOW (42d) |
| QCOM → +190C −210P +90P −180C |
$167.51 | 190 | 210 | 90 | 180 | $224.00 | $227.60 | 120 | 4.53x | 46.3% | SAFE | 5 | $17,000 | $83,755 | ROLL NOW (42d) |
| RKLB → +115C −135P +45P −69C |
$64.03 | 115 | 135 | 45 | 69 | $141.55 | $148.06 | 90 | 4.39x | 29.7% | SAFE | 6 | $15,930 | $38,418 | ROLL NOW (42d) |
| AMZN → +200C −250P +215P −268C |
$258.13 | 200 | 250 | 215 | 268 | $267.92 | $271.29 | 35 | 1.52x | 16.7% | SAFE | 5 | $33,960 | $129,065 | REPAIR PLAN (77d) |
| IREN (Joint) → +25C −47P +35P −48C |
$43.83 | 25 | 47 | 35 | 48 | $44.00 | $50.88 | 12 | 1.75x | 20.1% | SAFE | 20 | $32,000 | $87,660 | REPAIR PLAN (42d) |
| IREN (Main) → +25C −47P +35P −48C |
$43.83 | 25 | 47 | 35 | 48 | $44.00 | $50.88 | 12 | 1.75x | 20.1% | SAFE | 20 | $32,000 | $87,660 | REPAIR PLAN (42d) |
| GOOG (Joint) +310C −365C |
$336.00 | 310 | 0 | 0 | 365 | $392.50 | $348.08 | 0 | 1.00x | 0.0% | N/A | 5 | $41,250 | $168,000 | LEAPS-ONLY |
| IBIT +75C |
$45.18 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $70.58 | $48.86 | 0 | 1.00x | 0.0% | N/A | 50 | $22,328 | $225,900 | LEAPS-ONLY |
| IGV +70C −125C |
$104.64 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 125 | $96.50 | $87.89 | 0 | 1.00x | 0.0% | N/A | 12 | $31,800 | $125,568 | LEAPS-ONLY |
| MARA (Main) +13C |
$11.36 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $16.75 | $10.92 | 0 | 1.00x | 0.0% | N/A | 400 | $150,000 | $454,400 | LEAPS-ONLY |
| MARA (RetireInc) +40C |
$11.36 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $41.04 | $10.86 | 0 | 1.00x | 0.0% | N/A | 500 | $52,000 | $568,000 | LEAPS-ONLY |
| MSTR (Joint) +180C −170C |
$143.76 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 170 | $233.00 | $161.82 | 0 | 1.00x | 0.0% | N/A | 10 | $53,000 | $143,760 | LEAPS-ONLY |
| SPY +640C |
$769.64 | 640 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $764.00 | $705.40 | 0 | 1.00x | 0.0% | N/A | 12 | $148,800 | $923,568 | LEAPS-ONLY |
| AMD +420C −490P +350P −510C |
$471.58 | 420 | 490 | 350 | 510 | $489.91 | $501.28 | 140 | 3.01x | 25.8% | SAFE | 2 | $13,964 | $94,316 | OK |
| APP +460C −540P +185P −332C |
$319.99 | 460 | 540 | 185 | 332 | $588.00 | $612.16 | 355 | 3.77x | 42.2% | SAFE | 1 | $12,800 | $31,999 | OK |
| BMNR (Joint) +23C −18P +25P |
$24.85 | 23 | 18 | 25 | 0 | $36.42 | $23.10 | 0 | 1.00x | -0.6% | ITM | 150 | $201,300 | $372,750 | OK |
| BMNR (Main) +25C −18P +45P |
$24.85 | 25 | 18 | 45 | 0 | $65.83 | $57.70 | 0 | 1.00x | -81.1% | ITM | 50 | $204,150 | $124,250 | OK |
| BMNR (Main) +23C −18P +25P |
$24.85 | 23 | 18 | 25 | 0 | $53.26 | $45.83 | 0 | 1.00x | -0.6% | ITM | 75 | $226,950 | $186,375 | OK |
| CLSK +17C −17P +10P |
$12.59 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 0 | $20.74 | $18.29 | 7 | 2.87x | 20.5% | SAFE | 25 | $9,350 | $31,463 | OK |
| COIN (Main) +500C −330P +300P −220C |
$184.90 | 500 | 330 | 300 | 220 | $563.00 | $354.84 | 30 | 1.48x | -62.2% | ITM | 25 | $157,500 | $462,250 | OK |
| COPX +65C −90P +68P −100C |
$90.40 | 65 | 90 | 68 | 100 | $93.40 | $95.28 | 22 | 1.77x | 24.8% | SAFE | 20 | $56,800 | $180,800 | OK |
| GLXY +38C −38P +18P −30C |
$26.24 | 38 | 38 | 18 | 30 | $39.71 | $35.05 | 20 | 10.05x | 33.3% | SAFE | 125 | $27,625 | $328,000 | OK |
| GOOG (Neville) +300C −345P +310P −350C |
$336.00 | 300 | 345 | 310 | 350 | $373.00 | $346.07 | 35 | 1.48x | 7.7% | OK | 15 | $109,500 | $504,000 | OK |
| GOOG (Neville) +340C −405P +360P −350C |
$336.00 | 340 | 405 | 360 | 350 | $398.00 | $384.80 | 45 | 1.88x | -7.1% | ITM | 5 | $25,500 | $168,000 | OK |
| HIMS +10C −20P +5P −36C |
$27.58 | 10 | 20 | 5 | 36 | $17.47 | $18.48 | 15 | 4.04x | 81.9% | SAFE | 15 | $7,395 | $41,370 | OK |
| MU (Joint) +670C −800P +420P −1050C |
$1001.50 | 670 | 800 | 420 | 1050 | $792.36 | $812.19 | 380 | 4.31x | 58.1% | SAFE | 1 | $11,472 | $100,150 | OK |
| NVDA +215C −225P +200P −240C |
$230.12 | 215 | 225 | 200 | 240 | $264.80 | $228.44 | 25 | 1.50x | 13.1% | SAFE | 10 | $49,800 | $230,120 | OK |
| SNDK +1200C −1380P +810P −1800C |
$1710.00 | 1200 | 1380 | 810 | 1800 | $1620.00 | $1640.82 | 570 | 2.36x | 52.6% | SAFE | 1 | $42,000 | $171,000 | OK |
| SPCX +150C −195P +135P −160C |
$148.93 | 150 | 195 | 135 | 160 | $186.00 | $189.20 | 60 | 3.22x | 9.4% | OK | 5 | $13,500 | $74,465 | OK |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | ASK | ROLL CR/SH | ROLL TOTAL | HEDGE/YR | STRESS/YR | SAVED/YR | GAP | ML+ | PAYBACK | PB+INC | NEW RM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | Dec 18 | 105d | 29.3% | $2.48 | $-1.18 | $-2,360 | $17,242 | $39,629 | $6,570 | 16 | $8,000 | 15mo | 1mo | 2.00x | PASS |
| 2 | 32 | Dec 18 | 105d | 27.0% | $2.82 | $-1.52 | $-3,040 | $19,606 | $43,105 | $4,206 | 15 | $6,000 | 17mo | 1mo | 1.94x | PASS |
| 3 | 33 | Dec 18 | 105d | 24.7% | $3.15 | $-1.85 | $-3,700 | $21,900 | $49,570 | $1,912 | 14 | $4,000 | 25mo | 1mo | 1.88x | FAIL |
| 4 | 34 | Dec 18 | 105d | 22.4% | $3.50 | $-2.20 | $-4,400 | $24,333 | $46,790 | $-521 | 13 | $2,000 | N/A | 0mo | 1.81x | FAIL |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS $51, B $2.05 | $42,171/yr | $17,242/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $51 0.6σ, B $2.05 | $42,171/yr | $17,242/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| AT 24% DRAWDOWN (stock $43.83 → $33.23, hedge $39,629/yr) | |||
| CC at SS income stress-adjusted | $9,463/yr | $39,629/yr | DEFICIT $2,514/mo |
| CC at MID income stress-adjusted | $9,463/yr | $39,629/yr | DEFICIT $2,514/mo |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | ASK | ROLL CR/SH | ROLL TOTAL | HEDGE/YR | STRESS/YR | SAVED/YR | GAP | ML+ | PAYBACK | PB+INC | NEW RM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | Dec 18 | 105d | 29.3% | $2.48 | $-1.18 | $-2,360 | $17,242 | $39,629 | $6,570 | 16 | $8,000 | 15mo | 1mo | 2.00x | PASS |
| 2 | 32 | Dec 18 | 105d | 27.0% | $2.82 | $-1.52 | $-3,040 | $19,606 | $43,105 | $4,206 | 15 | $6,000 | 17mo | 1mo | 1.94x | PASS |
| 3 | 33 | Dec 18 | 105d | 24.7% | $3.15 | $-1.85 | $-3,700 | $21,900 | $49,570 | $1,912 | 14 | $4,000 | 25mo | 1mo | 1.88x | FAIL |
| 4 | 34 | Dec 18 | 105d | 22.4% | $3.50 | $-2.20 | $-4,400 | $24,333 | $46,790 | $-521 | 13 | $2,000 | N/A | 0mo | 1.81x | FAIL |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS $51, B $2.05 | $42,171/yr | $17,242/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $51 0.6σ, B $2.05 | $42,171/yr | $17,242/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| AT 24% DRAWDOWN (stock $43.83 → $33.23, hedge $39,629/yr) | |||
| CC at SS income stress-adjusted | $9,463/yr | $39,629/yr | DEFICIT $2,514/mo |
| CC at MID income stress-adjusted | $9,463/yr | $39,629/yr | DEFICIT $2,514/mo |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | ASK | ROLL CR/SH | ROLL TOTAL | HEDGE/YR | STRESS/YR | SAVED/YR | GAP | ML+ | PAYBACK | PB+INC | NEW RM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 210 | Nov 20 | 77d | 18.6% | $2.37 | $0.45 | $225 | $5,617 | $16,472 | $1,422 | 40 | $2,500 | 21mo | 2mo | 1.59x | PASS |
| 2 | 210 | Dec 18 | 105d | 18.6% | $3.25 | $-0.43 | $-215 | $5,649 | $12,080 | $1,390 | 40 | $2,500 | 22mo | 2mo | 1.59x | PASS |
| 3 | 205 | Nov 20 | 77d | 20.6% | $1.86 | $0.96 | $480 | $4,408 | $13,391 | $2,631 | 45 | $5,000 | 23mo | 3mo | 1.66x | PASS |
| 4 | 205 | Dec 18 | 105d | 20.6% | $2.58 | $0.24 | $120 | $4,484 | $9,820 | $2,555 | 45 | $5,000 | 23mo | 3mo | 1.66x | PASS |
| 5 | 185 | Nov 20 | 77d | 28.3% | $0.80 | $2.02 | $1,010 | $1,896 | $5,617 | $5,143 | 65 | $15,000 | 35mo | 9mo | 1.96x | FAIL |
| 6 | 185 | Dec 18 | 105d | 28.3% | $1.15 | $1.67 | $835 | $1,999 | $4,119 | $5,040 | 65 | $15,000 | 36mo | 9mo | 1.96x | FAIL |
| 7 | 190 | Nov 20 | 77d | 26.4% | $0.93 | $1.89 | $945 | $2,204 | $7,039 | $4,835 | 60 | $12,500 | 31mo | 8mo | 1.88x | FAIL |
| 8 | 190 | Dec 18 | 105d | 26.4% | $1.37 | $1.45 | $725 | $2,381 | $5,162 | $4,658 | 60 | $12,500 | 32mo | 8mo | 1.88x | FAIL |
| 9 | 195 | Nov 20 | 77d | 24.5% | $1.15 | $1.67 | $835 | $2,726 | $8,888 | $4,314 | 55 | $10,000 | 28mo | 6mo | 1.81x | FAIL |
| 10 | 195 | Dec 18 | 105d | 24.5% | $1.69 | $1.13 | $565 | $2,937 | $6,518 | $4,102 | 55 | $10,000 | 29mo | 6mo | 1.81x | FAIL |
| 11 | 200 | Nov 20 | 77d | 22.5% | $1.51 | $1.31 | $655 | $3,579 | $10,784 | $3,460 | 50 | $7,500 | 26mo | 5mo | 1.74x | FAIL |
| 12 | 200 | Dec 18 | 105d | 22.5% | $2.09 | $0.73 | $365 | $3,633 | $7,908 | $3,407 | 50 | $7,500 | 26mo | 5mo | 1.74x | FAIL |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS $275, B $3.70 | $19,029/yr | $5,617/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $275 0.7σ, B $3.70 | $19,029/yr | $5,617/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| AT 11% DRAWDOWN (stock $258.13 → $229.71, hedge $16,472/yr) | |||
| CC at SS income stress-adjusted | $1,337/yr | $16,472/yr | DEFICIT $1,261/mo |
| CC at MID income stress-adjusted | $1,337/yr | $16,472/yr | DEFICIT $1,261/mo |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | BID | ASK | HEDGE/YR | %CC | NEW ML | ΔML | ROLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ 1 | 85 CHEAP | Dec 18 | 105d | 54.0% | $0.49 | $0.75 | $2,086 | 2% | $137,440 | = | D $552 |
| 2 | 90 | Nov 20 | 77d | 51.3% | $0.30 | $0.55 | $2,086 | 2% | $133,440 | -$4,000 | D $392 |
| 3 | 90 | Dec 18 | 105d | 51.3% | $0.71 | $0.88 | $2,447 | 2% | $133,440 | -$4,000 | D $656 |
| 4 | 85 | Nov 20 | 77d | 54.0% | $0.03 | $0.68 | $2,579 | 3% | $137,440 | = | D $496 |
| 5 | 95 | Nov 20 | 77d | 48.6% | $0.44 | $0.77 | $2,920 | 3% | $129,440 | -$8,000 | D $568 |
| 6 | 95 | Dec 18 | 105d | 48.6% | $0.71 | $1.13 | $3,142 | 3% | $129,440 | -$8,000 | D $856 |
| 7 | 100 | Nov 20 | 77d | 45.9% | $0.50 | $0.87 | $3,299 | 3% | $125,440 | -$12,000 | D $648 |
| 8 | 105 | Nov 20 | 77d | 43.2% | $0.83 | $1.09 | $4,134 | 4% | $121,440 | -$16,000 | D $824 |
| 9 | 100 | Dec 18 | 105d | 45.9% | $1.31 | $1.49 | $4,144 | 4% | $125,440 | -$12,000 | D $1,144 |
| 10 | 105 | Dec 18 | 105d | 43.2% | $1.38 | $1.90 | $5,284 | 5% | $121,440 | -$16,000 | D $1,472 |
| 11 | 110 | Nov 20 | 77d | 40.5% | $1.09 | $1.43 | $5,423 | 5% | $117,440 | -$20,000 | D $1,096 |
| 12 | 110 | Dec 18 | 105d | 40.5% | $1.87 | $2.20 | $6,118 | 6% | $117,440 | -$20,000 | D $1,712 |
| ▶ 13 | 145 PROT | Nov 20 | 77d | 21.6% | $6.25 | $6.55 | $24,839 | 25% | $89,440 | -$48,000 | D $5,192 |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS $220, B $4.15 | $34,149/yr | $2,086/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $208 0.6σ, B $6.70 | $55,131/yr | $2,086/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | BID | ASK | HEDGE/YR | %CC | NEW ML | ΔML | ROLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ 1 | 10 CHEAP | Dec 18 | 105d | 46.0% | $0.09 | $0.14 | $2,433 | 2% | $51,650 | = | D $650 |
| 2 | 11 | Dec 18 | 105d | 40.6% | $0.14 | $0.18 | $3,129 | 3% | $46,650 | -$5,000 | D $850 |
| 3 | 12 | Dec 18 | 105d | 35.2% | $0.22 | $0.24 | $4,171 | 4% | $41,650 | -$10,000 | D $1,150 |
| 4 | 13 | Dec 18 | 105d | 29.8% | $0.33 | $0.34 | $5,910 | 5% | $36,650 | -$15,000 | D $1,650 |
| 5 | 14 | Dec 18 | 105d | 24.4% | $0.45 | $0.54 | $9,386 | 8% | $31,650 | -$20,000 | D $2,650 |
| 6 | 15 | Dec 18 | 105d | 19.1% | $0.68 | $0.71 | $12,340 | 11% | $26,650 | -$25,000 | D $3,500 |
| ▶ 7 | 16 PROT | Dec 18 | 105d | 13.7% | $0.94 | $0.97 | $16,860 | 15% | $21,650 | -$30,000 | D $4,800 |
| 8 | 17 | Dec 18 | 105d | 8.3% | $1.30 | $1.32 | $22,943 | 20% | $21,650 | -$30,000 | D $6,550 |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS $18, B $1.16 | $59,657/yr | $2,433/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $20 0.7σ, B $0.50 | $25,714/yr | $2,433/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | BID | ASK | HEDGE/YR | %CC | NEW ML | ΔML | ROLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ 1 | 330 CHEAP | Nov 20 | 77d | 18.8% | $0.95 | $1.05 | $4,977 | 12% | $256,000 | = | D $690 |
| 2 | 330 | Dec 18 | 105d | 18.8% | $1.46 | $1.63 | $5,666 | 14% | $256,000 | = | D $1,270 |
| 3 | 330 | Dec 31 | 118d | 18.8% | $1.71 | $1.88 | $5,815 | 14% | $256,000 | = | D $1,520 |
| 4 | 335 | Nov 20 | 77d | 17.6% | $1.12 | $1.23 | $5,831 | 14% | $251,000 | -$5,000 | D $870 |
| 5 | 335 | Dec 18 | 105d | 17.6% | $1.69 | $1.86 | $6,466 | 16% | $251,000 | -$5,000 | D $1,500 |
| 6 | 335 | Dec 31 | 118d | 17.6% | $2.00 | $2.15 | $6,650 | 16% | $251,000 | -$5,000 | D $1,790 |
| 7 | 340 | Nov 20 | 77d | 16.3% | $1.33 | $1.44 | $6,826 | 17% | $246,000 | -$10,000 | D $1,080 |
| 8 | 340 | Dec 18 | 105d | 16.3% | $2.01 | $2.17 | $7,543 | 19% | $246,000 | -$10,000 | D $1,810 |
| 9 | 340 | Dec 31 | 118d | 16.3% | $2.34 | $2.49 | $7,702 | 19% | $246,000 | -$10,000 | D $2,130 |
| 10 | 345 | Nov 20 | 77d | 15.1% | $1.59 | $1.73 | $8,201 | 20% | $241,000 | -$15,000 | D $1,370 |
| 11 | 345 | Dec 18 | 105d | 15.1% | $2.40 | $2.55 | $8,864 | 22% | $241,000 | -$15,000 | D $2,190 |
| 12 | 345 | Dec 31 | 118d | 15.1% | $2.77 | $2.98 | $9,218 | 23% | $241,000 | -$15,000 | D $2,620 |
| ▶ 13 | 350 PROT | Nov 20 | 77d | 13.9% | $1.92 | $2.08 | $9,860 | 24% | $236,000 | -$20,000 | D $1,720 |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS BELOW SS $470 — assignment locks a loss · $418, B $8.00 | $82,286/yr | $4,977/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $418 0.3σ, B $8.00 | $82,286/yr | $4,977/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | BID | ASK | HEDGE/YR | %CC | NEW ML | ΔML | ROLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ 1 | 90 CHEAP | Nov 20 | 77d | 36.6% | $0.69 | $0.80 | $3,792 | 1% | $47,850 | = | D $670 |
| 2 | 90 | Dec 18 | 105d | 36.6% | $1.14 | $1.22 | $4,241 | 1% | $47,850 | = | D $1,090 |
| 3 | 95 | Nov 20 | 77d | 33.1% | $0.95 | $1.10 | $5,214 | 1% | $42,850 | -$5,000 | D $970 |
| 4 | 92 | Dec 18 | 105d | 35.2% | $1.23 | $1.51 | $5,249 | 1% | $45,850 | -$2,000 | D $1,380 |
| 5 | 94 | Dec 18 | 105d | 33.8% | $1.45 | $1.65 | $5,736 | 1% | $43,850 | -$4,000 | D $1,520 |
| 6 | 95 | Dec 18 | 105d | 33.1% | $1.61 | $1.81 | $6,292 | 1% | $42,850 | -$5,000 | D $1,680 |
| 7 | 96 | Dec 18 | 105d | 32.4% | $1.68 | $1.92 | $6,674 | 1% | $41,850 | -$6,000 | D $1,790 |
| 8 | 100 | Nov 20 | 77d | 29.6% | $1.45 | $1.55 | $7,347 | 1% | $37,850 | -$10,000 | D $1,420 |
| 9 | 98 | Dec 18 | 105d | 31.0% | $1.88 | $2.16 | $7,509 | 1% | $39,850 | -$8,000 | D $2,030 |
| 10 | 100 | Dec 18 | 105d | 29.6% | $2.21 | $2.36 | $8,204 | 2% | $37,850 | -$10,000 | D $2,230 |
| 11 | 102 | Dec 18 | 105d | 28.1% | $2.50 | $2.77 | $9,629 | 2% | $35,850 | -$12,000 | D $2,640 |
| 12 | 104 | Dec 18 | 105d | 26.7% | $2.82 | $2.99 | $10,394 | 2% | $33,850 | -$14,000 | D $2,860 |
| ▶ 13 | 110 PROT | Dec 18 | 105d | 22.5% | $3.95 | $4.15 | $14,426 | 3% | $27,850 | -$20,000 | D $4,020 |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS $140, B $9.95 | $102,343/yr | $3,792/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $155 0.6σ, B $4.20 | $43,200/yr | $3,792/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | BID | ASK | HEDGE/YR | %CC | NEW ML | ΔML | ROLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ 1 | 75 CHEAP | Dec 18 | 105d | 41.4% | $0.15 | $0.29 | $504 | 0% | $28,520 | = | D $145 |
| 2 | 78 | Dec 18 | 105d | 39.5% | $0.10 | $0.35 | $608 | 1% | $27,270 | -$1,250 | D $175 |
| 3 | 80 | Dec 18 | 105d | 37.5% | $0.18 | $0.42 | $730 | 1% | $26,020 | -$2,500 | D $210 |
| 4 | 82 | Dec 18 | 105d | 35.6% | $0.23 | $0.48 | $834 | 1% | $24,770 | -$3,750 | D $240 |
| 5 | 90 | Nov 20 | 77d | 29.7% | $0.28 | $0.58 | $1,375 | 1% | $21,020 | -$7,500 | D $290 |
| 6 | 90 | Dec 18 | 105d | 29.7% | $0.64 | $0.93 | $1,616 | 2% | $21,020 | -$7,500 | D $465 |
| 7 | 85 | Dec 18 | 105d | 33.6% | $0.33 | $1.00 | $1,738 | 2% | $23,520 | -$5,000 | D $500 |
| 8 | 92 | Dec 18 | 105d | 27.8% | $0.73 | $1.20 | $2,086 | 2% | $19,770 | -$8,750 | D $600 |
| 9 | 95 | Nov 20 | 77d | 25.8% | $0.37 | $0.92 | $2,181 | 2% | $18,520 | -$10,000 | D $460 |
| 10 | 95 | Dec 18 | 105d | 25.8% | $1.04 | $1.35 | $2,346 | 2% | $18,520 | -$10,000 | D $675 |
| 11 | 88 | Dec 18 | 105d | 31.7% | $0.46 | $1.64 | $2,850 | 3% | $22,270 | -$6,250 | D $820 |
| 12 | 98 | Dec 18 | 105d | 23.9% | $1.30 | $1.87 | $3,250 | 3% | $17,270 | -$11,250 | D $935 |
| ▶ 13 | 105 PROT | Nov 20 | 77d | 18.0% | $1.62 | $2.07 | $4,906 | 5% | $13,520 | -$15,000 | D $1,035 |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS $126, B $7.30 | $37,543/yr | $504/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $139 0.7σ, B $2.62 | $13,474/yr | $504/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | BID | ASK | HEDGE/YR | %CC | NEW ML | ΔML | ROLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ 1 | 21 CHEAP | Nov 20 | 77d | 52.1% | $0.26 | $0.34 | $3,223 | 5% | $94,000 | = | D $620 |
| 2 | 22 | Nov 20 | 77d | 49.8% | $0.32 | $0.46 | $4,361 | 6% | $92,000 | -$2,000 | D $860 |
| 3 | 22 | Dec 18 | 105d | 49.8% | $0.58 | $0.69 | $4,797 | 7% | $92,000 | -$2,000 | D $1,320 |
| 4 | 23 | Nov 20 | 77d | 47.5% | $0.42 | $0.52 | $4,930 | 7% | $90,000 | -$4,000 | D $980 |
| 5 | 24 | Nov 20 | 77d | 45.2% | $0.50 | $0.59 | $5,594 | 8% | $88,000 | -$6,000 | D $1,120 |
| 6 | 25 | Nov 20 | 77d | 43.0% | $0.60 | $0.73 | $6,921 | 10% | $86,000 | -$8,000 | D $1,400 |
| 7 | 25 | Dec 18 | 105d | 43.0% | $0.97 | $1.08 | $7,509 | 11% | $86,000 | -$8,000 | D $2,100 |
| 8 | 26 | Nov 20 | 77d | 40.7% | $0.73 | $0.87 | $8,248 | 12% | $84,000 | -$10,000 | D $1,680 |
| 9 | 27 | Nov 20 | 77d | 38.4% | $0.90 | $1.01 | $9,575 | 14% | $82,000 | -$12,000 | D $1,960 |
| 10 | 27 | Dec 18 | 105d | 38.4% | $1.33 | $1.54 | $10,707 | 15% | $82,000 | -$12,000 | D $3,020 |
| 11 | 28 | Nov 20 | 77d | 36.1% | $1.07 | $1.18 | $11,187 | 16% | $80,000 | -$14,000 | D $2,300 |
| 12 | 29 | Nov 20 | 77d | 33.8% | $1.23 | $1.39 | $13,178 | 19% | $78,000 | -$16,000 | D $2,720 |
| ▶ 13 | 31 PROT | Dec 18 | 105d | 29.3% | $2.32 | $2.48 | $17,242 | 25% | $74,000 | -$20,000 | D $4,900 |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS $60, B $0.82 | $16,869/yr | $3,223/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $51 0.6σ, B $2.05 | $42,171/yr | $3,223/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | BID | ASK | HEDGE/YR | %CC | NEW ML | ΔML | ROLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ 1 | 35 CHEAP | Dec 18 | 105d | 63.0% | $0.08 | $0.11 | $191 | 1% | $47,000 | = | D $50 |
| 2 | 35 | Nov 20 | 77d | 63.0% | $0.01 | $0.10 | $237 | 1% | $47,000 | = | D $45 |
| 3 | 37 | Nov 20 | 77d | 60.9% | $0.01 | $0.13 | $308 | 1% | $46,000 | -$1,000 | D $60 |
| 4 | 38 | Dec 18 | 105d | 59.8% | $0.09 | $0.18 | $313 | 1% | $45,500 | -$1,500 | D $85 |
| 5 | 40 | Dec 18 | 105d | 57.7% | $0.12 | $0.18 | $313 | 1% | $44,500 | -$2,500 | D $85 |
| 6 | 42 | Nov 20 | 77d | 55.6% | $0.10 | $0.16 | $379 | 1% | $43,500 | -$3,500 | D $75 |
| 7 | 40 | Nov 20 | 77d | 57.7% | $0.01 | $0.18 | $427 | 2% | $44,500 | -$2,500 | D $85 |
| 8 | 45 | Nov 20 | 77d | 52.4% | $0.14 | $0.18 | $427 | 2% | $42,000 | -$5,000 | D $85 |
| 9 | 43 | Dec 18 | 105d | 54.5% | $0.15 | $0.27 | $469 | 2% | $43,000 | -$4,000 | D $130 |
| 10 | 45 | Dec 18 | 105d | 52.4% | $0.21 | $0.29 | $504 | 2% | $42,000 | -$5,000 | D $140 |
| 11 | 47 | Nov 20 | 77d | 50.3% | $0.11 | $0.25 | $593 | 2% | $41,000 | -$6,000 | D $120 |
| 12 | 47 | Dec 18 | 105d | 50.3% | $0.23 | $0.41 | $713 | 3% | $41,000 | -$6,000 | D $200 |
| ▶ 13 | 72 PROT | Dec 18 | 105d | 23.3% | $3.20 | $3.30 | $5,736 | 21% | $28,250 | -$18,750 | D $1,645 |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS $120, B $1.24 | $6,377/yr | $191/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $105 0.6σ, B $3.40 | $17,486/yr | $191/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | BID | ASK | HEDGE/YR | %CC | NEW ML | ΔML | ROLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ 1 | 55 CHEAP | Nov 20 | 77d | 61.7% | $0.36 | $0.44 | $834 | 2% | $56,800 | = | D $136 |
| 2 | 55 | Dec 18 | 105d | 61.7% | $0.43 | $0.79 | $1,098 | 3% | $56,800 | = | D $276 |
| 3 | 60 | Nov 20 | 77d | 58.3% | $0.39 | $0.62 | $1,176 | 3% | $54,800 | -$2,000 | D $208 |
| 4 | 60 | Dec 18 | 105d | 58.3% | $0.62 | $0.89 | $1,238 | 3% | $54,800 | -$2,000 | D $316 |
| 5 | 65 | Dec 18 | 105d | 54.8% | $0.82 | $1.00 | $1,390 | 3% | $52,800 | -$4,000 | D $360 |
| 6 | 65 | Nov 20 | 77d | 54.8% | $0.52 | $0.74 | $1,403 | 3% | $52,800 | -$4,000 | D $256 |
| 7 | 70 | Nov 20 | 77d | 51.3% | $0.67 | $0.88 | $1,669 | 4% | $50,800 | -$6,000 | D $312 |
| 8 | 70 | Dec 18 | 105d | 51.3% | $1.11 | $1.34 | $1,863 | 4% | $50,800 | -$6,000 | D $496 |
| 9 | 75 | Nov 20 | 77d | 47.8% | $0.91 | $1.01 | $1,915 | 5% | $48,800 | -$8,000 | D $364 |
| 10 | 75 | Dec 18 | 105d | 47.8% | $1.37 | $1.61 | $2,239 | 5% | $48,800 | -$8,000 | D $604 |
| 11 | 80 | Nov 20 | 77d | 44.4% | $1.13 | $1.26 | $2,389 | 6% | $46,800 | -$10,000 | D $464 |
| 12 | 80 | Dec 18 | 105d | 44.4% | $1.83 | $1.95 | $2,711 | 6% | $46,800 | -$10,000 | D $740 |
| ▶ 13 | 110 PROT | Dec 18 | 105d | 23.5% | $7.35 | $7.50 | $10,429 | 25% | $34,800 | -$22,000 | D $2,960 |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS $170, B $5.25 | $21,600/yr | $834/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $165 0.7σ, B $6.20 | $25,509/yr | $834/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | BID | ASK | HEDGE/YR | %CC | NEW ML | ΔML | ROLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ 1 | 95 CHEAP | Nov 20 | 77d | 43.3% | $0.10 | $0.30 | $711 | 4% | $74,500 | -$2,500 | D $150 |
| 2 | 90 | Dec 18 | 105d | 46.3% | $0.11 | $0.42 | $730 | 4% | $77,000 | = | D $210 |
| 3 | 95 | Dec 18 | 105d | 43.3% | $0.20 | $0.48 | $834 | 5% | $74,500 | -$2,500 | D $240 |
| 4 | 100 | Nov 20 | 77d | 40.3% | $0.04 | $0.37 | $877 | 5% | $72,000 | -$5,000 | D $185 |
| 5 | 100 | Dec 18 | 105d | 40.3% | $0.32 | $0.51 | $886 | 5% | $72,000 | -$5,000 | D $255 |
| 6 | 105 | Nov 20 | 77d | 37.3% | $0.24 | $0.50 | $1,185 | 7% | $69,500 | -$7,500 | D $250 |
| 7 | 105 | Dec 18 | 105d | 37.3% | $0.17 | $0.78 | $1,356 | 8% | $69,500 | -$7,500 | D $390 |
| 8 | 110 | Dec 18 | 105d | 34.3% | $0.69 | $0.91 | $1,582 | 9% | $67,000 | -$10,000 | D $455 |
| 9 | 110 | Nov 20 | 77d | 34.3% | $0.17 | $0.68 | $1,612 | 9% | $67,000 | -$10,000 | D $340 |
| 10 | 115 | Nov 20 | 77d | 31.3% | $0.20 | $0.85 | $2,015 | 11% | $64,500 | -$12,500 | D $425 |
| 11 | 115 | Dec 18 | 105d | 31.3% | $0.96 | $1.36 | $2,364 | 13% | $64,500 | -$12,500 | D $680 |
| 12 | 120 | Nov 20 | 77d | 28.4% | $0.77 | $1.09 | $2,583 | 15% | $62,000 | -$15,000 | D $545 |
| ▶ 13 | 130 PROT | Nov 20 | 77d | 22.4% | $1.61 | $1.83 | $4,337 | 25% | $57,000 | -$20,000 | D $915 |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS $230, B $0.07 | $360/yr | $711/yr | DEFICIT $29/mo |
| CC at MID $180 0.6σ, B $4.00 | $20,571/yr | $711/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | BID | ASK | HEDGE/YR | %CC | NEW ML | ΔML | ROLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ 1 | 45 CHEAP PROT | Dec 18 | 105d | 29.7% | $1.96 | $2.10 | $4,380 | 20% | $69,930 | = | D $1,068 |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS BELOW SS $148 — assignment locks a loss · $90, B $0.29 | $1,790/yr | $4,380/yr | DEFICIT $216/mo |
| CC at MID $73 0.7σ, B $2.07 | $12,775/yr | $4,380/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | BID | ASK | HEDGE/YR | %CC | NEW ML | ΔML | ROLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ 1 | 23 CHEAP | Nov 20 | 77d | 47.5% | $0.42 | $0.52 | $4,930 | 7% | $107,700 | = | D $820 |
| 2 | 24 | Nov 20 | 77d | 45.2% | $0.50 | $0.59 | $5,594 | 8% | $105,700 | -$2,000 | D $960 |
| 3 | 25 | Nov 20 | 77d | 43.0% | $0.60 | $0.73 | $6,921 | 10% | $103,700 | -$4,000 | D $1,240 |
| 4 | 25 | Dec 18 | 105d | 43.0% | $0.97 | $1.08 | $7,509 | 11% | $103,700 | -$4,000 | D $1,940 |
| 5 | 26 | Nov 20 | 77d | 40.7% | $0.73 | $0.87 | $8,248 | 12% | $101,700 | -$6,000 | D $1,520 |
| 6 | 27 | Nov 20 | 77d | 38.4% | $0.90 | $1.01 | $9,575 | 14% | $99,700 | -$8,000 | D $1,800 |
| 7 | 27 | Dec 18 | 105d | 38.4% | $1.33 | $1.54 | $10,707 | 15% | $99,700 | -$8,000 | D $2,860 |
| 8 | 28 | Nov 20 | 77d | 36.1% | $1.07 | $1.18 | $11,187 | 16% | $97,700 | -$10,000 | D $2,140 |
| 9 | 29 | Nov 20 | 77d | 33.8% | $1.23 | $1.39 | $13,178 | 19% | $95,700 | -$12,000 | D $2,560 |
| 10 | 30 | Nov 20 | 77d | 31.6% | $1.44 | $1.55 | $14,695 | 21% | $93,700 | -$14,000 | D $2,880 |
| 11 | 30 | Dec 18 | 105d | 31.6% | $2.06 | $2.23 | $15,504 | 22% | $93,700 | -$14,000 | D $4,240 |
| ▶ 12 | 31 PROT | Dec 18 | 105d | 29.3% | $2.32 | $2.48 | $17,242 | 25% | $91,700 | -$16,000 | D $4,740 |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS $70, B $0.36 | $7,406/yr | $4,930/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $51 0.6σ, B $2.05 | $42,171/yr | $4,930/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | BID | ASK | HEDGE/YR | %CC | NEW ML | ΔML | ROLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ 1 | 40 CHEAP | Nov 20 | 77d | 54.9% | $0.18 | $0.33 | $782 | 2% | $50,225 | = | D $145 |
| 2 | 40 | Dec 18 | 105d | 54.9% | $0.44 | $0.50 | $869 | 3% | $50,225 | = | D $230 |
| 3 | 42 | Nov 20 | 77d | 52.1% | $0.23 | $0.47 | $1,114 | 3% | $48,975 | -$1,250 | D $215 |
| 4 | 45 | Nov 20 | 77d | 49.3% | $0.39 | $0.47 | $1,114 | 3% | $47,725 | -$2,500 | D $215 |
| 5 | 42 | Dec 18 | 105d | 52.1% | $0.57 | $0.65 | $1,130 | 3% | $48,975 | -$1,250 | D $305 |
| 6 | 45 | Dec 18 | 105d | 49.3% | $0.76 | $0.83 | $1,443 | 4% | $47,725 | -$2,500 | D $395 |
| 7 | 48 | Nov 20 | 77d | 46.5% | $0.55 | $0.62 | $1,469 | 4% | $46,475 | -$3,750 | D $290 |
| 8 | 48 | Dec 18 | 105d | 46.5% | $0.98 | $1.04 | $1,808 | 5% | $46,475 | -$3,750 | D $500 |
| 9 | 50 | Nov 20 | 77d | 43.6% | $0.65 | $0.80 | $1,896 | 6% | $45,225 | -$5,000 | D $380 |
| 10 | 50 | Dec 18 | 105d | 43.6% | $1.24 | $1.32 | $2,294 | 7% | $45,225 | -$5,000 | D $640 |
| 11 | 55 | Nov 20 | 77d | 38.0% | $1.17 | $1.31 | $3,105 | 9% | $42,725 | -$7,500 | D $635 |
| 12 | 55 | Dec 18 | 105d | 38.0% | $1.91 | $2.00 | $3,476 | 10% | $42,725 | -$7,500 | D $980 |
| ▶ 13 | 65 PROT | Dec 18 | 105d | 26.7% | $4.10 | $4.20 | $7,300 | 22% | $37,725 | -$12,500 | D $2,080 |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS BELOW SS $129 — assignment locks a loss · $125, B $0.97 | $4,989/yr | $782/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $101 0.6σ, B $3.95 | $20,314/yr | $782/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | BID | ASK | HEDGE/YR | %CC | NEW ML | ΔML | ROLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ 1 | 340 CHEAP | Nov 20 | 77d | 44.8% | $0.27 | $0.36 | $512 | 0% | $114,900 | -$3,000 | D $108 |
| 2 | 350 | Nov 20 | 77d | 43.2% | $0.33 | $0.40 | $569 | 0% | $111,900 | -$6,000 | D $120 |
| 3 | 350 | Dec 18 | 105d | 43.2% | $0.57 | $0.68 | $709 | 0% | $111,900 | -$6,000 | D $204 |
| 4 | 330 | Nov 20 | 77d | 46.5% | $0.04 | $0.50 | $711 | 0% | $117,900 | = | D $150 |
| 5 | 330 | Dec 18 | 105d | 46.5% | $0.15 | $0.71 | $740 | 1% | $117,900 | = | D $213 |
| 6 | 360 | Dec 18 | 105d | 41.6% | $0.68 | $0.78 | $813 | 1% | $108,900 | -$9,000 | D $234 |
| 7 | 340 | Dec 18 | 105d | 44.8% | $0.21 | $0.81 | $845 | 1% | $114,900 | -$3,000 | D $243 |
| 8 | 370 | Nov 20 | 77d | 40.0% | $0.22 | $0.63 | $896 | 1% | $105,900 | -$12,000 | D $189 |
| 9 | 380 | Nov 20 | 77d | 38.4% | $0.58 | $0.67 | $953 | 1% | $102,900 | -$15,000 | D $201 |
| 10 | 370 | Dec 18 | 105d | 40.0% | $0.85 | $0.94 | $980 | 1% | $105,900 | -$12,000 | D $282 |
| 11 | 360 | Nov 20 | 77d | 41.6% | $0.15 | $0.70 | $995 | 1% | $108,900 | -$9,000 | D $210 |
| 12 | 380 | Dec 18 | 105d | 38.4% | $1.03 | $1.13 | $1,178 | 1% | $102,900 | -$15,000 | D $339 |
| ▶ 13 | 565 PROT | Dec 18 | 105d | 8.3% | $26.80 | $27.25 | $28,418 | 20% | $47,400 | -$70,500 | D $8,175 |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS $610, B $30.45 | $93,960/yr | $512/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $660 0.7σ, B $10.85 | $33,480/yr | $512/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | BID | ASK | HEDGE/YR | %CC | NEW ML | ΔML | ROLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ 1 | 20 CHEAP | Nov 20 | 77d | 44.6% | $0.15 | $0.25 | $1,185 | 6% | $47,300 | = | D $250 |
| 2 | 20 | Dec 18 | 105d | 44.6% | $0.15 | $0.40 | $1,390 | 8% | $47,300 | = | D $400 |
| 3 | 22 | Nov 20 | 77d | 37.7% | $0.19 | $0.46 | $2,181 | 12% | $44,800 | -$2,500 | D $460 |
| 4 | 22 | Dec 18 | 105d | 37.7% | $0.38 | $0.64 | $2,225 | 12% | $44,800 | -$2,500 | D $640 |
| ▶ 5 | 25 PROT | Nov 20 | 77d | 30.8% | $0.57 | $0.66 | $3,129 | 17% | $42,300 | -$5,000 | D $660 |
| 6 | 25 | Dec 18 | 105d | 30.8% | $0.84 | $0.93 | $3,233 | 18% | $42,300 | -$5,000 | D $930 |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS BELOW SS $59 — assignment locks a loss · $55, B $0.49 | $5,013/yr | $1,185/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $40 0.6σ, B $1.30 | $13,371/yr | $1,185/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | BID | ASK | HEDGE/YR | %CC | NEW ML | ΔML | ROLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ 1 | 320 CHEAP | Dec 18 | 105d | 68.0% | $0.61 | $0.95 | $1,651 | 1% | $419,300 | = | D $455 |
| 2 | 330 | Dec 18 | 105d | 67.0% | $0.75 | $0.95 | $1,651 | 1% | $414,300 | -$5,000 | D $455 |
| 3 | 340 | Nov 20 | 77d | 66.1% | $0.37 | $0.70 | $1,659 | 1% | $409,300 | -$10,000 | D $330 |
| 4 | 320 | Nov 20 | 77d | 68.0% | $0.25 | $0.73 | $1,730 | 1% | $419,300 | = | D $345 |
| 5 | 350 | Nov 20 | 77d | 65.1% | $0.53 | $0.75 | $1,778 | 1% | $404,300 | -$15,000 | D $355 |
| 6 | 360 | Nov 20 | 77d | 64.1% | $0.51 | $0.80 | $1,896 | 1% | $399,300 | -$20,000 | D $380 |
| 7 | 370 | Nov 20 | 77d | 63.1% | $0.59 | $0.86 | $2,038 | 1% | $394,300 | -$25,000 | D $410 |
| 8 | 360 | Dec 18 | 105d | 64.1% | $0.90 | $1.19 | $2,068 | 1% | $399,300 | -$20,000 | D $575 |
| 9 | 350 | Dec 18 | 105d | 65.1% | $0.88 | $1.21 | $2,103 | 1% | $404,300 | -$15,000 | D $585 |
| 10 | 400 | Nov 20 | 77d | 60.1% | $0.68 | $0.90 | $2,133 | 1% | $379,300 | -$40,000 | D $430 |
| 11 | 340 | Dec 18 | 105d | 66.1% | $0.65 | $1.24 | $2,155 | 1% | $409,300 | -$10,000 | D $600 |
| 12 | 380 | Nov 20 | 77d | 62.1% | $0.62 | $0.93 | $2,204 | 1% | $389,300 | -$30,000 | D $445 |
| ▶ 13 | 790 PROT | Nov 20 | 77d | 21.1% | $28.45 | $29.75 | $70,511 | 24% | $184,300 | -$235,000 | D $14,855 |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS $1055, B $56.65 | $291,343/yr | $1,651/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $1080 0.4σ, B $48.75 | $250,714/yr | $1,651/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | BID | ASK | HEDGE/YR | %CC | NEW ML | ΔML | ROLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ 1 | 370 CHEAP | Nov 20 | 77d | 63.1% | $0.59 | $0.86 | $815 | 1% | $198,000 | = | D $142 |
| 2 | 400 | Nov 20 | 77d | 60.1% | $0.68 | $0.90 | $853 | 1% | $192,000 | -$6,000 | D $150 |
| 3 | 380 | Nov 20 | 77d | 62.1% | $0.62 | $0.93 | $882 | 1% | $196,000 | -$2,000 | D $156 |
| 4 | 370 | Dec 18 | 105d | 63.1% | $0.91 | $1.28 | $890 | 1% | $198,000 | = | D $226 |
| 5 | 380 | Dec 18 | 105d | 62.1% | $1.00 | $1.35 | $939 | 1% | $196,000 | -$2,000 | D $240 |
| 6 | 400 | Dec 18 | 105d | 60.1% | $1.24 | $1.55 | $1,078 | 1% | $192,000 | -$6,000 | D $280 |
| 7 | 390 | Nov 20 | 77d | 61.1% | $0.69 | $1.14 | $1,081 | 1% | $194,000 | -$4,000 | D $198 |
| 8 | 410 | Nov 20 | 77d | 59.1% | $0.78 | $1.15 | $1,090 | 1% | $190,000 | -$8,000 | D $200 |
| 9 | 390 | Dec 18 | 105d | 61.1% | $1.08 | $1.61 | $1,119 | 1% | $194,000 | -$4,000 | D $292 |
| 10 | 410 | Dec 18 | 105d | 59.1% | $1.28 | $1.70 | $1,182 | 1% | $190,000 | -$8,000 | D $310 |
| 11 | 420 | Nov 20 | 77d | 58.1% | $0.91 | $1.26 | $1,195 | 1% | $188,000 | -$10,000 | D $222 |
| 12 | 420 | Dec 18 | 105d | 58.1% | $1.48 | $1.87 | $1,300 | 1% | $188,000 | -$10,000 | D $344 |
| ▶ 13 | 800 PROT | Dec 18 | 105d | 20.1% | $42.00 | $43.50 | $30,243 | 24% | $112,000 | -$86,000 | D $8,670 |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS BELOW SS $1,239 — assignment locks a loss · $1080, B $48.75 | $100,286/yr | $815/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $1080 0.4σ, B $48.75 | $100,286/yr | $815/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | BID | ASK | HEDGE/YR | %CC | NEW ML | ΔML | ROLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ 1 | 150 CHEAP | Dec 18 | 105d | 71.1% | $0.11 | $0.22 | $229 | 0% | $89,400 | = | D $66 |
| 2 | 150 | Nov 20 | 77d | 71.1% | $0.01 | $0.20 | $284 | 0% | $89,400 | = | D $60 |
| 3 | 195 | Nov 20 | 77d | 62.4% | $0.12 | $0.20 | $284 | 0% | $75,900 | -$13,500 | D $60 |
| 4 | 185 | Nov 20 | 77d | 64.3% | $0.10 | $0.37 | $526 | 0% | $78,900 | -$10,500 | D $111 |
| 5 | 190 | Nov 20 | 77d | 63.3% | $0.12 | $0.37 | $526 | 0% | $77,400 | -$12,000 | D $111 |
| 6 | 200 | Nov 20 | 77d | 61.4% | $0.02 | $0.39 | $555 | 0% | $74,400 | -$15,000 | D $117 |
| 7 | 175 | Dec 18 | 105d | 66.2% | $0.11 | $0.59 | $615 | 0% | $81,900 | -$7,500 | D $177 |
| 8 | 180 | Dec 18 | 105d | 65.3% | $0.13 | $0.75 | $782 | 0% | $80,400 | -$9,000 | D $225 |
| 9 | 190 | Dec 18 | 105d | 63.3% | $0.20 | $0.79 | $824 | 0% | $77,400 | -$12,000 | D $237 |
| 10 | 200 | Dec 18 | 105d | 61.4% | $0.28 | $0.96 | $1,001 | 0% | $74,400 | -$15,000 | D $288 |
| 11 | 195 | Dec 18 | 105d | 62.4% | $0.23 | $1.00 | $1,043 | 0% | $75,900 | -$13,500 | D $300 |
| 12 | 230 | Nov 20 | 77d | 55.6% | $0.16 | $0.78 | $1,109 | 0% | $65,400 | -$24,000 | D $234 |
| ▶ 13 | 390 PROT | Nov 20 | 77d | 24.8% | $9.95 | $12.10 | $17,207 | 2% | $17,400 | -$72,000 | D $3,630 |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS $510, B $42.65 | $131,606/yr | $229/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $580 0.6σ, B $17.65 | $54,463/yr | $229/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.
Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.
EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.
Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).