GENERATED2026-09-17 21:52
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$387,477/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$83,646/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$303,831/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$84,270
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$-3,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 40 positions
2 · REPAIR SOON1 · REPAIR PLAN7 · LEAPS-ONLY30 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
Joint (...1782)8 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · IC $452,110 · notional $1,354,013
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$43.43 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.69 121.75x 19.4% SAFE 20 $32,000$86,860 REPAIR SOON (29d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −355C
$340.76 3100 0355 $392.50 $347.15 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$170,380 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$43.22 750 00 $70.58 $51.18 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$216,100 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −170C
$129.17 1800 0170 $233.00 $165.77 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$129,170 LEAPS-ONLY
AMZN
+200C −250P +215P
$249.70 200250 2150 $267.92 $270.21 351.52x 13.9% SAFE 5 $33,960$124,850 OK
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −18P +25P
$23.63 2318 250 $36.42 $23.55 01.00x -5.8% ITM 150 $201,300$354,450 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$86.83 6590 680 $93.40 $96.29 221.77x 21.7% SAFE 20 $56,800$173,660 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P −1250C
$985.43 670800 4201250 $792.36 $813.14 3804.31x 57.4% SAFE 1 $11,472$98,543 OK
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · IC $1,208,360 · notional $3,203,219
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$43.43 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.69 121.75x 19.4% SAFE 20 $32,000$86,860 REPAIR SOON (29d)
BMNR (Main) →
+25C −18P +45P
$23.63 2518 450 $65.83 $57.83 01.00x -90.4% ITM 50 $204,150$118,150 REPAIR PLAN (120d)
IGV
+70C −111C
$105.40 700 0111 $96.50 $88.37 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$126,480 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+13C
$11.07 130 00 $16.75 $10.94 01.00x 0.0% N/A 400 $150,000$442,800 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Main)
+23C −18P +25P
$23.63 2318 250 $53.26 $46.22 01.00x -5.8% ITM 75 $226,950$177,225 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +90P
$166.80 165240 900 $210.90 $214.70 1509.93x 46.0% SAFE 8 $13,440$133,440 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P
$166.80 500330 3000 $563.00 $356.09 301.48x -79.9% ITM 25 $157,500$417,000 OK
DELL
+310C −400P +320P −595C
$579.43 310400 320595 $562.50 $571.48 801.32x 44.8% SAFE 3 $75,750$173,829 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$18.48 1316 100 $17.33 $17.83 62.39x 45.9% SAFE 50 $21,650$92,400 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −470C
$400.43 320450 330470 $456.00 $469.83 1201.88x 17.6% SAFE 10 $136,000$400,430 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P
$22.47 3838 180 $39.71 $34.36 2010.05x 22.1% SAFE 125 $27,625$280,875 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P
$28.61 1020 50 $17.47 $18.79 154.04x 82.5% SAFE 15 $7,395$42,915 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +340P −1210C
$985.43 8801010 3401210 $1028.60 $1050.34 6705.51x 65.5% SAFE 5 $74,300$492,715 OK
NVDA
+215C −225P +200P −222C
$218.10 215225 200222 $264.80 $229.85 251.50x 8.3% OK 10 $49,800$218,100 OK
Neville (...0865)10 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $433,989 · notional $2,319,512
SPY
+640C
$761.33 6400 00 $764.00 $704.26 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$913,596 LEAPS-ONLY
AMD
+420C −490P +350P −580C
$535.92 420490 350580 $489.91 $499.38 1403.01x 34.7% SAFE 2 $13,964$107,184 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −125C
$80.10 105120 40125 $125.45 $128.70 804.91x 50.1% SAFE 5 $10,225$40,050 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −355C
$340.76 300345 310355 $373.00 $345.66 351.48x 9.0% OK 15 $109,500$511,140 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −355C
$340.76 340405 360355 $398.00 $385.31 451.88x -5.6% ITM 5 $25,500$170,380 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −116C
$107.72 85100 35116 $114.00 $116.24 653.24x 67.5% SAFE 5 $14,500$53,858 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −55C
$43.43 4565 2155 $56.50 $58.20 4415.67x 51.6% SAFE 20 $6,000$86,860 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +390P −1250C
$985.43 9701110 3901250 $1220.00 $1237.82 7203.88x 60.4% SAFE 2 $50,000$197,086 OK
SNDK
+1200C −1380P +810P −1950C
$1621.84 12001380 8101950 $1620.00 $1635.75 5702.36x 50.1% SAFE 1 $42,000$162,184 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −165C
$154.35 150195 135165 $186.00 $189.63 603.22x 12.5% SAFE 5 $13,500$77,175 OK
RetireInc (...7291)8 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $132,880 · notional $927,623
MARA (RetireInc)
+40C
$11.07 400 00 $41.04 $10.74 01.00x 0.0% N/A 500 $52,000$553,500 LEAPS-ONLY
APP
+460C −540P +185P
$318.26 460540 1850 $588.00 $603.91 3553.77x 41.9% SAFE 1 $12,800$31,826 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$13.02 1717 100 $20.74 $17.77 72.87x 23.2% SAFE 25 $9,350$32,550 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$36.08 4560 200 $56.15 $58.45 406.48x 44.6% SAFE 10 $7,300$36,080 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −55C
$43.43 5070 2355 $63.43 $66.70 477.86x 47.0% SAFE 20 $13,700$86,860 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −170C
$129.17 125185 55170 $161.00 $165.31 13011.83x 57.4% SAFE 4 $4,800$51,668 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +100P −220C
$189.35 190210 100220 $224.00 $225.80 1104.24x 47.2% SAFE 5 $17,000$94,675 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P
$67.44 115135 450 $141.55 $149.29 904.39x 33.3% SAFE 6 $15,930$40,464 OK
Joint (...1782)8 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · overview rows

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 29d

Stock: $43.43 HP: 19.4% OTM Current hedge: $24,166/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $26,158/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $84,103/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 24% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 3 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (49d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 32 (Jan 15, 120d) | Save $6,996/yr | Payback 10mo (0.86yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.07yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 26.3% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.94x | Margin (TIMS): $1,705
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 32 Jan 15 120d 26.3% $3.15 $-2.27 $-4,540 $19,162 $41,062 $6,996 15 $6,000 10mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
2 31 Dec 18 92d 28.6% $2.23 $-1.35 $-2,700 $17,695 $41,261 $8,464 16 $8,000 11mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
3 32 Dec 18 92d 26.3% $2.52 $-1.64 $-3,280 $19,996 $45,228 $6,163 15 $6,000 12mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
4 33 Dec 18 92d 24.0% $2.83 $-1.95 $-3,900 $22,455 $50,227 $3,703 14 $4,000 13mo 1mo 1.88x FAIL
5 34 Dec 18 92d 21.7% $3.10 $-2.22 $-4,440 $24,598 $47,053 $1,561 13 $2,000 15mo 0mo 1.81x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $2.00 $40,000/yr $19,162/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $51 0.7σ, B $2.00 $40,000/yr $19,162/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 24% DRAWDOWN (stock $43.43 → $32.87, hedge $41,062/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $8,800/yr $41,062/yr DEFICIT $2,689/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $8,800/yr $41,062/yr DEFICIT $2,689/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($51, bid $2.00) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 24% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,689/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · overview rows

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 29d

Stock: $43.43 HP: 19.4% OTM Current hedge: $24,166/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $26,158/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $84,103/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 24% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 3 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (49d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 32 (Jan 15, 120d) | Save $6,996/yr | Payback 10mo (0.86yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.07yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 26.3% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.94x | Margin (TIMS): $1,703
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 32 Jan 15 120d 26.3% $3.15 $-2.27 $-4,540 $19,162 $41,062 $6,996 15 $6,000 10mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
2 31 Dec 18 92d 28.6% $2.23 $-1.35 $-2,700 $17,695 $41,261 $8,464 16 $8,000 11mo 1mo 2.00x PASS
3 32 Dec 18 92d 26.3% $2.52 $-1.64 $-3,280 $19,996 $45,228 $6,163 15 $6,000 12mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
4 33 Dec 18 92d 24.0% $2.83 $-1.95 $-3,900 $22,455 $50,227 $3,703 14 $4,000 13mo 1mo 1.88x FAIL
5 34 Dec 18 92d 21.7% $3.10 $-2.22 $-4,440 $24,598 $47,053 $1,561 13 $2,000 15mo 0mo 1.81x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $2.00 $40,000/yr $19,162/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $51 0.7σ, B $2.00 $40,000/yr $19,162/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 24% DRAWDOWN (stock $43.43 → $32.87, hedge $41,062/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $8,800/yr $41,062/yr DEFICIT $2,689/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $8,800/yr $41,062/yr DEFICIT $2,689/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($51, bid $2.00) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 24% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,689/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

BMNR (Main): HP 45P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 120d

Stock: $23.63 HP: ITM Current hedge: $339,146/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $65.83 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 50 (5,000 sh) CC income: $98,365/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 26% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 5 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-20 INTRADAY (64d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 45 → 21 (Jan 15, 120d) | Save $293,825/yr | Payback N/A hedge only, N/A w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 11.1% OTM | RM 1.00x → 0.93x | Margin (TIMS): $394
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 21 Jan 15 120d 11.1% $2.98 $18.67 $93,350 $45,321 $44,560 $293,825 -3 $-15,000 N/A N/A 0.93x PASS
2 20 Jan 15 120d 15.4% $2.44 $19.21 $96,050 $37,108 $48,362 $302,038 -2 $-10,000 N/A N/A 0.95x PASS
3 19 Jan 15 120d 19.6% $2.03 $19.62 $98,100 $30,873 $52,925 $308,273 -1 $-5,000 N/A N/A 0.98x PASS
4 18 Jan 15 120d 23.8% $1.60 $20.05 $100,250 $24,333 $62,050 $314,812 0 $0 N/A N/A 1.00x PASS
5 17 Jan 15 120d 28.1% $1.33 $20.32 $101,600 $20,227 $56,271 $318,919 1 $5,000 0mo 0mo 1.02x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $58 — assignment locks a loss · $36, B $0.11 $5,500/yr $45,321/yr DEFICIT $3,318/mo
CC at MID $28 0.7σ, B $0.80 $40,000/yr $45,321/yr DEFICIT $443/mo
AT 26% DRAWDOWN (stock $23.63 → $17.49, hedge $44,560/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $5,500/yr $44,560/yr DEFICIT $3,255/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $5,500/yr $44,560/yr DEFICIT $3,255/mo
NOT SELF-FUNDING Requires ongoing capital even at MID
CC WRITING STRATEGY
NO SAFE CC STRATEGY at the current chain. Hedge bleeds even at MID strike. Either restructure (deeper-OTM HP, smaller position) or commit to ongoing capital subsidy.
FIGHT no published plan for this fortress (seam as of 2026-09-17 21:49). Fight plans cover uncovered deep-drawdown fortresses; a covered or shallow slice deliberately has none.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).