GENERATED2026-09-18 03:51
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$393,199/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$86,155/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$307,044/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$79,190
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$-500
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 41 positions
2 · REPAIR SOON2 · REPAIR PLAN7 · LEAPS-ONLY30 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
Joint (...1782)8 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · IC $452,110 · notional $1,361,347
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$42.88 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.52 121.75x 18.4% SAFE 20 $32,000$85,750 REPAIR SOON (29d)
AMZN →
+200C −250P +215P −260C
$251.63 200250 215260 $267.92 $270.82 351.52x 14.6% SAFE 5 $33,960$125,815 REPAIR PLAN (64d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −355C
$343.74 3100 0355 $392.50 $349.35 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$171,870 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$43.34 750 00 $70.58 $51.34 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$216,700 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −170C
$132.07 1800 0170 $233.00 $166.45 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$132,070 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −18P +25P
$23.87 2318 250 $36.42 $23.42 01.00x -4.7% ITM 150 $201,300$358,050 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −92C
$86.61 6590 6892 $93.40 $95.98 221.77x 21.5% SAFE 20 $56,800$173,220 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P −1025C
$978.72 670800 4201025 $792.36 $813.89 3804.31x 57.1% SAFE 1 $11,472$97,872 OK
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · IC $1,208,360 · notional $3,244,273
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$42.88 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.52 121.75x 18.4% SAFE 20 $32,000$85,750 REPAIR SOON (29d)
BMNR (Main) →
+25C −18P +45P
$23.87 2518 450 $65.83 $58.68 01.00x -88.5% ITM 50 $204,150$119,350 REPAIR PLAN (120d)
IGV
+70C −111C
$105.88 700 0111 $96.50 $87.67 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$127,056 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+13C
$11.56 130 00 $16.75 $10.82 01.00x 0.0% N/A 400 $150,000$462,400 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Main)
+23C −18P +25P
$23.87 2318 250 $53.26 $46.11 01.00x -4.7% ITM 75 $226,950$179,025 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +90P −188C
$173.59 165240 90188 $210.90 $218.88 1509.93x 48.2% SAFE 8 $13,440$138,872 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −188C
$173.59 500330 300188 $563.00 $359.63 301.48x -72.8% ITM 25 $157,500$433,975 OK
DELL
+310C −400P +320P −595C
$592.45 310400 320595 $562.50 $569.97 801.32x 46.0% SAFE 3 $75,750$177,735 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$18.47 1316 100 $17.33 $17.72 62.39x 45.9% SAFE 50 $21,650$92,350 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −470C
$398.43 320450 330470 $456.00 $469.11 1201.88x 17.2% SAFE 10 $136,000$398,430 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P −26C
$22.28 3838 1826 $39.71 $35.45 2010.05x 21.5% SAFE 125 $27,625$278,500 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −32C
$27.80 1020 532 $17.47 $18.64 154.04x 82.0% SAFE 15 $7,395$41,700 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +340P −1210C
$978.72 8801010 3401210 $1028.60 $1047.89 6705.51x 65.3% SAFE 5 $74,300$489,360 OK
NVDA
+215C −225P +200P −232C
$219.77 215225 200232 $264.80 $229.94 251.50x 9.0% OK 10 $49,800$219,770 OK
Neville (...0865)10 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $433,989 · notional $2,326,266
SPY
+640C −770C
$763.15 6400 0770 $764.00 $704.49 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$915,780 LEAPS-ONLY
AMD
+420C −490P +350P −580C
$545.42 420490 350580 $489.91 $499.67 1403.01x 35.8% SAFE 2 $13,964$109,084 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −125C
$79.90 105120 40125 $125.45 $128.61 804.91x 49.9% SAFE 5 $10,225$39,950 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −358C
$343.74 300345 310358 $373.00 $344.31 351.48x 9.8% OK 15 $109,500$515,610 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −358C
$343.74 340405 360358 $398.00 $384.43 451.88x -4.7% ITM 5 $25,500$171,870 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −130C
$109.36 85100 35130 $114.00 $115.75 653.24x 68.0% SAFE 5 $14,500$54,680 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −50C
$42.88 4565 2150 $56.50 $58.25 4415.67x 51.0% SAFE 20 $6,000$85,750 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +390P −1250C
$978.72 9701110 3901250 $1220.00 $1237.20 7203.88x 60.2% SAFE 2 $50,000$195,744 OK
SNDK
+1200C −1380P +810P −1950C
$1605.28 12001380 8101950 $1620.00 $1634.95 5702.36x 49.5% SAFE 1 $42,000$160,528 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −165C
$154.54 150195 135165 $186.00 $189.47 603.22x 12.6% SAFE 5 $13,500$77,270 OK
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $180,200 · notional $1,122,365
MARA (RetireInc)
+40C
$11.56 400 00 $41.04 $10.91 01.00x 0.0% N/A 500 $52,000$578,000 LEAPS-ONLY
AAPL
+240C −330P +285P −345C
$337.93 240330 285345 $334.64 $337.85 451.48x 15.7% SAFE 5 $47,320$168,965 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P
$320.59 460540 1850 $588.00 $607.55 3553.77x 42.3% SAFE 1 $12,800$32,059 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$13.28 1717 100 $20.74 $18.17 72.87x 24.7% SAFE 25 $9,350$33,192 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$36.18 4560 200 $56.15 $58.77 406.48x 44.7% SAFE 10 $7,300$36,180 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −50C
$42.88 5070 2350 $63.43 $66.66 477.86x 46.4% SAFE 20 $13,700$85,750 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −170C
$132.07 125185 55170 $161.00 $165.53 13011.83x 58.4% SAFE 4 $4,800$52,828 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +100P −220C
$189.71 190210 100220 $224.00 $226.67 1104.24x 47.3% SAFE 5 $17,000$94,855 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −75C
$67.56 115135 4575 $141.55 $148.50 904.39x 33.4% SAFE 6 $15,930$40,536 OK
Joint (...1782)8 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · overview rows

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 29d

Stock: $42.88 HP: 18.4% OTM Current hedge: $23,914/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $25,550/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $69,933/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 23% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 2 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (49d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 32 (Jan 15, 120d) | Save $6,692/yr | Payback 11mo (0.90yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.08yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 25.4% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.94x | Margin (TIMS): $1,683
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 32 Jan 15 120d 25.4% $3.10 $-2.29 $-4,580 $18,858 $41,671 $6,692 15 $6,000 11mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
2 32 Dec 18 92d 25.4% $2.42 $-1.61 $-3,220 $19,202 $45,228 $6,348 15 $6,000 11mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
3 31 Dec 18 92d 27.7% $2.22 $-1.41 $-2,820 $17,615 $36,897 $7,935 16 $8,000 12mo 1mo 2.00x FAIL
4 33 Dec 18 92d 23.0% $2.74 $-1.93 $-3,860 $21,741 $49,394 $3,809 14 $4,000 13mo 1mo 1.88x FAIL
5 34 Dec 18 92d 20.7% $3.05 $-2.24 $-4,480 $24,201 $45,427 $1,349 13 $2,000 18mo 0mo 1.81x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $1.78 $35,600/yr $18,858/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $50 0.7σ, B $2.05 $41,000/yr $18,858/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 23% DRAWDOWN (stock $42.88 → $32.98, hedge $41,671/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $12,600/yr $41,671/yr DEFICIT $2,423/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $12,600/yr $41,671/yr DEFICIT $2,423/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($50, bid $2.05) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 23% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,423/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

AMZN: HP 215P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 64d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 2.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $251.63 HP: 14.6% OTM Current hedge: $9,268/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $8,365/yr SS: $267.92 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $20,467/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 11% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 3 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (42d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 215 → 210 (Jan 15, 120d) | Save $1,445/yr | Payback 21mo (1.73yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.11yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 16.5% OTM | RM 1.52x → 1.59x | Margin (TIMS): $4,313
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 210 Jan 15 120d 16.5% $4.55 $-1.50 $-750 $6,920 $14,600 $1,445 40 $2,500 21mo 1mo 1.59x PASS
2 205 Jan 15 120d 18.5% $3.80 $-0.75 $-375 $5,779 $12,167 $2,585 45 $5,000 23mo 3mo 1.66x PASS
3 205 Dec 18 92d 18.5% $2.94 $0.11 $55 $5,832 $12,497 $2,533 45 $5,000 24mo 3mo 1.66x PASS
4 180 Dec 18 92d 28.5% $1.04 $2.01 $1,005 $2,063 $4,027 $6,302 70 $17,500 33mo 8mo 2.03x FAIL
5 180 Jan 15 120d 28.5% $1.41 $1.64 $820 $2,144 $4,471 $6,220 70 $17,500 34mo 8mo 2.03x FAIL
6 185 Dec 18 92d 26.5% $1.24 $1.81 $905 $2,460 $5,078 $5,905 65 $15,000 30mo 7mo 1.96x FAIL
7 185 Jan 15 120d 26.5% $1.73 $1.32 $660 $2,631 $5,551 $5,734 65 $15,000 31mo 7mo 1.96x FAIL
8 190 Dec 18 92d 24.5% $1.51 $1.54 $770 $2,995 $6,447 $5,369 60 $12,500 28mo 6mo 1.88x FAIL
9 190 Jan 15 120d 24.5% $2.12 $0.93 $465 $3,224 $6,768 $5,140 60 $12,500 29mo 6mo 1.88x FAIL
10 195 Dec 18 92d 22.5% $1.91 $1.14 $570 $3,789 $8,034 $4,576 55 $10,000 26mo 5mo 1.81x FAIL
11 195 Jan 15 120d 22.5% $2.56 $0.49 $245 $3,893 $8,212 $4,471 55 $10,000 27mo 5mo 1.81x FAIL
12 200 Dec 18 92d 20.5% $2.35 $0.70 $350 $4,662 $10,117 $3,703 50 $7,500 24mo 4mo 1.74x FAIL
13 200 Jan 15 120d 20.5% $3.15 $-0.10 $-50 $4,791 $10,114 $3,574 50 $7,500 25mo 4mo 1.74x FAIL
14 210 Dec 18 92d 16.5% $3.65 $-0.60 $-300 $7,240 $15,473 $1,124 40 $2,500 27mo 1mo 1.59x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $275, B $2.27 $11,350/yr $6,920/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $265 0.6σ, B $4.45 $22,250/yr $6,920/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 11% DRAWDOWN (stock $251.63 → $223.20, hedge $14,600/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $950/yr $14,600/yr DEFICIT $1,138/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $1,700/yr $14,600/yr DEFICIT $1,075/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($265, bid $4.45) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 11% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,075/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · overview rows

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 29d

Stock: $42.88 HP: 18.4% OTM Current hedge: $23,914/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $25,550/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $69,933/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 23% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 2 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (49d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 32 (Jan 15, 120d) | Save $6,692/yr | Payback 11mo (0.90yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.08yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 25.4% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.94x | Margin (TIMS): $1,683
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 32 Jan 15 120d 25.4% $3.10 $-2.29 $-4,580 $18,858 $41,671 $6,692 15 $6,000 11mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
2 32 Dec 18 92d 25.4% $2.42 $-1.61 $-3,220 $19,202 $45,228 $6,348 15 $6,000 11mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
3 31 Dec 18 92d 27.7% $2.22 $-1.41 $-2,820 $17,615 $36,897 $7,935 16 $8,000 12mo 1mo 2.00x FAIL
4 33 Dec 18 92d 23.0% $2.74 $-1.93 $-3,860 $21,741 $49,394 $3,809 14 $4,000 13mo 1mo 1.88x FAIL
5 34 Dec 18 92d 20.7% $3.05 $-2.24 $-4,480 $24,201 $45,427 $1,349 13 $2,000 18mo 0mo 1.81x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $1.78 $35,600/yr $18,858/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $50 0.7σ, B $2.05 $41,000/yr $18,858/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 23% DRAWDOWN (stock $42.88 → $32.98, hedge $41,671/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $12,600/yr $41,671/yr DEFICIT $2,423/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $12,600/yr $41,671/yr DEFICIT $2,423/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($50, bid $2.05) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 23% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,423/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

BMNR (Main): HP 45P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 120d

Stock: $23.87 HP: ITM Current hedge: $336,104/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $65.83 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 50 (5,000 sh) CC income: $64,751/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 25% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 5 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-20 INTRADAY (64d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 45 → 21 (Jan 15, 120d) | Save $294,585/yr | Payback N/A hedge only, N/A w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 12.0% OTM | RM 1.00x → 0.93x | Margin (TIMS): $410
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 21 Jan 15 120d 12.0% $2.73 $17.82 $89,100 $41,519 $42,127 $294,585 -3 $-15,000 N/A N/A 0.93x PASS
2 20 Jan 15 120d 16.2% $2.21 $18.34 $91,700 $33,610 $45,929 $302,494 -2 $-10,000 N/A N/A 0.95x PASS
3 19 Jan 15 120d 20.4% $1.85 $18.70 $93,500 $28,135 $56,575 $307,969 -1 $-5,000 N/A N/A 0.98x PASS
4 18 Jan 15 120d 24.6% $1.45 $19.10 $95,500 $22,052 $66,460 $314,052 0 $0 N/A N/A 1.00x PASS
5 17 Jan 15 120d 28.8% $1.37 $19.18 $95,900 $20,835 $51,708 $315,269 1 $5,000 0mo 0mo 1.02x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $59 — assignment locks a loss · $36, B $0.22 $11,000/yr $41,519/yr DEFICIT $2,543/mo
CC at MID $28 0.6σ, B $0.96 $48,000/yr $41,519/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 25% DRAWDOWN (stock $23.87 → $17.91, hedge $42,127/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $11,000/yr $42,127/yr DEFICIT $2,594/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $11,000/yr $42,127/yr DEFICIT $2,594/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($28, bid $0.96) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 25% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,594/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).