GENERATED2026-09-18 21:49
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$330,272/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$54,367/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$275,906/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$83,470
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$-20,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 41 positions
2 · ROLL NOW2 · REPAIR PLAN7 · LEAPS-ONLY30 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
Joint (...1782)8 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · IC $452,110 · notional $1,415,284
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$44.66 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.52 121.75x 21.6% SAFE 20 $32,000$89,327 ROLL NOW (28d)
AMZN →
+200C −250P +215P −260C
$252.42 200250 215260 $267.92 $270.05 351.52x 14.8% SAFE 5 $33,960$126,210 REPAIR PLAN (63d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −355C
$350.62 3100 0355 $392.50 $347.57 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$175,310 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$45.26 750 00 $70.58 $51.21 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$226,300 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −170C
$142.60 1800 0170 $233.00 $166.23 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$142,600 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −18P +25P
$25.52 2318 250 $36.42 $23.88 01.00x 2.0% TIGHT 150 $201,300$382,800 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −92C
$86.76 6590 6892 $93.40 $95.87 221.77x 21.6% SAFE 20 $56,800$173,520 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P −1025C
$992.17 670800 4201025 $792.36 $808.91 3804.31x 57.7% SAFE 1 $11,472$99,217 OK
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · IC $1,208,360 · notional $3,357,866
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$44.66 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.52 121.75x 21.6% SAFE 20 $32,000$89,327 ROLL NOW (28d)
BMNR (Main) →
+25C −18P +45P
$25.52 2518 450 $65.83 $58.04 01.00x -76.3% ITM 50 $204,150$127,600 REPAIR PLAN (119d)
IGV
+70C −111C
$104.14 700 0111 $96.50 $87.03 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$124,968 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+13C
$12.39 130 00 $16.75 $11.07 01.00x 0.0% N/A 400 $150,000$495,600 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Main)
+23C −18P +25P
$25.52 2318 250 $53.26 $46.44 01.00x 2.0% TIGHT 75 $226,950$191,400 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +90P −188C
$183.72 165240 90188 $210.90 $218.33 1509.93x 51.0% SAFE 8 $13,440$146,976 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −188C
$183.72 500330 300188 $563.00 $361.87 301.48x -63.3% ITM 25 $157,500$459,300 OK
DELL
+310C −400P +320P
$589.55 310400 3200 $562.50 $571.31 801.32x 45.7% SAFE 3 $75,750$176,865 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$19.24 1316 100 $17.33 $17.94 62.39x 48.0% SAFE 50 $21,650$96,200 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −470C
$399.26 320450 330470 $456.00 $468.52 1201.88x 17.3% SAFE 10 $136,000$399,265 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P −26C
$23.36 3838 1826 $39.71 $35.18 2010.05x 25.1% SAFE 125 $27,625$292,000 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −32C
$28.30 1020 532 $17.47 $18.72 154.04x 82.3% SAFE 15 $7,395$42,450 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +340P −1210C
$992.17 8801010 3401210 $1028.60 $1047.59 6705.51x 65.7% SAFE 5 $74,300$496,085 OK
NVDA
+215C −225P +200P −232C
$219.83 215225 200232 $264.80 $229.90 251.50x 9.0% OK 10 $49,800$219,830 OK
Neville (...0865)10 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $433,989 · notional $2,351,241
SPY
+640C −770C
$760.75 6400 0770 $764.00 $702.65 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$912,900 LEAPS-ONLY
AMD
+420C −490P +350P −580C
$549.84 420490 350580 $489.91 $498.82 1403.01x 36.3% SAFE 2 $13,964$109,968 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −125C
$80.91 105120 40125 $125.45 $128.96 804.91x 50.6% SAFE 5 $10,225$40,455 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −358C
$350.62 300345 310358 $373.00 $344.59 351.48x 11.6% SAFE 15 $109,500$525,930 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −358C
$350.62 340405 360358 $398.00 $383.14 451.88x -2.7% ITM 5 $25,500$175,310 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −130C
$109.56 85100 35130 $114.00 $115.74 653.24x 68.1% SAFE 5 $14,500$54,780 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −50C
$44.66 4565 2150 $56.50 $58.02 4415.67x 53.0% SAFE 20 $6,000$89,327 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +390P −1250C
$992.17 9701110 3901250 $1220.00 $1235.29 7203.88x 60.7% SAFE 2 $50,000$198,434 OK
SNDK
+1200C −1380P +810P −1950C
$1673.12 12001380 8101950 $1620.00 $1632.93 5702.36x 51.6% SAFE 1 $42,000$167,312 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −165C
$153.65 150195 135165 $186.00 $189.14 603.22x 12.1% SAFE 5 $13,500$76,825 OK
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $180,200 · notional $1,167,925
MARA (RetireInc)
+40C
$12.39 400 00 $41.04 $11.41 01.00x 0.0% N/A 500 $52,000$619,500 LEAPS-ONLY
AAPL
+240C −330P +285P −345C
$335.89 240330 285345 $334.64 $336.58 451.48x 15.2% SAFE 5 $47,320$167,945 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P
$319.30 460540 1850 $588.00 $604.32 3553.77x 42.1% SAFE 1 $12,800$31,930 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$13.75 1717 100 $20.74 $18.25 72.87x 27.3% SAFE 25 $9,350$34,375 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$35.70 4560 200 $56.15 $58.45 406.48x 44.0% SAFE 10 $7,300$35,700 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −50C
$44.66 5070 2350 $63.43 $66.47 477.86x 48.5% SAFE 20 $13,700$89,327 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −170C
$142.60 125185 55170 $161.00 $165.21 13011.83x 61.4% SAFE 4 $4,800$57,040 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +100P −220C
$185.88 190210 100220 $224.00 $225.62 1104.24x 46.2% SAFE 5 $17,000$92,940 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −75C
$65.28 115135 4575 $141.55 $147.13 904.39x 31.1% SAFE 6 $15,930$39,168 OK
Joint (...1782)8 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · overview rows

AMZN: HP 215P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 63d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 2.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $252.42 HP: 14.8% OTM Current hedge: $8,980/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $8,282/yr SS: $267.92 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $15,391/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 11% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 5 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (41d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 215 → 210 (Jan 15, 119d) | Save $1,457/yr | Payback 21mo (1.72yr) hedge only, 2mo (0.15yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 16.8% OTM | RM 1.52x → 1.59x | Margin (TIMS): $4,363
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 210 Jan 15 119d 16.8% $4.45 $-1.56 $-780 $6,825 $14,186 $1,457 40 $2,500 21mo 2mo 1.59x PASS
2 210 Dec 18 91d 16.8% $3.45 $-0.56 $-280 $6,919 $15,041 $1,363 40 $2,500 22mo 2mo 1.59x PASS
3 205 Jan 15 119d 18.8% $3.65 $-0.76 $-380 $5,598 $11,809 $2,684 45 $5,000 22mo 3mo 1.66x PASS
4 205 Dec 18 91d 18.8% $2.80 $0.09 $45 $5,615 $12,133 $2,666 45 $5,000 23mo 3mo 1.66x PASS
5 200 Dec 18 91d 20.8% $2.21 $0.68 $340 $4,432 $9,626 $3,849 50 $7,500 23mo 5mo 1.74x PASS
6 180 Dec 18 91d 28.7% $0.98 $1.91 $955 $1,965 $3,830 $6,316 70 $17,500 33mo 10mo 2.03x FAIL
7 180 Jan 15 119d 28.7% $1.37 $1.52 $760 $2,101 $4,294 $6,180 70 $17,500 34mo 10mo 2.03x FAIL
8 185 Dec 18 91d 26.7% $1.26 $1.63 $815 $2,527 $4,813 $5,755 65 $15,000 31mo 9mo 1.96x FAIL
9 185 Jan 15 119d 26.7% $1.67 $1.22 $610 $2,561 $5,291 $5,720 65 $15,000 31mo 9mo 1.96x FAIL
10 190 Dec 18 91d 24.7% $1.52 $1.37 $685 $3,048 $6,217 $5,233 60 $12,500 29mo 7mo 1.88x FAIL
11 190 Jan 15 119d 24.7% $2.07 $0.82 $410 $3,175 $6,595 $5,107 60 $12,500 29mo 7mo 1.88x FAIL
12 195 Dec 18 91d 22.7% $1.86 $1.03 $515 $3,730 $7,621 $4,551 55 $10,000 26mo 6mo 1.81x FAIL
13 195 Jan 15 119d 22.7% $2.48 $0.41 $205 $3,803 $8,051 $4,478 55 $10,000 27mo 6mo 1.81x FAIL
14 200 Jan 15 119d 20.8% $3.05 $-0.16 $-80 $4,678 $9,662 $3,604 50 $7,500 25mo 5mo 1.74x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $275, B $2.28 $11,726/yr $6,825/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $270 0.8σ, B $3.20 $16,457/yr $6,825/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 11% DRAWDOWN (stock $252.42 → $224.02, hedge $14,186/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $977/yr $14,186/yr DEFICIT $1,101/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $1,234/yr $14,186/yr DEFICIT $1,079/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($270, bid $3.20) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 11% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,079/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 28d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened cost cap 25% → 50% of CC to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $44.66 Current HP: 35P (28d, 21.6% OTM) Current hedge: $17,468/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $82,264/yr Cost cap: 50% of CC = $41,132/yr IV: HIGH 12 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (48d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Jan 15 '27, 119d, 21.6% OTM) | Cost: $23,618/yr (29% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $6,420 | Margin (TIMS): $1,543
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 40P (Jan 15 '27, 119d, 10.4% OTM) | Cost: $37,113/yr (45% of CC) | New ML: $46,000 ↓ $10,000 | Roll DEBIT $10,820 | Margin (TIMS): $1,336
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Jan 15 119d 21.6% $3.60 $3.85 $23,618 29% $56,000 = D $6,420
2 35 Dec 18 91d 21.6% $2.91 $3.10 $24,868 30% $56,000 = D $4,920
3 35 Nov 20 63d 21.6% $2.13 $2.33 $26,998 33% $56,000 = D $3,380
4 36 Dec 18 91d 19.4% $3.25 $3.50 $28,077 34% $54,000 -$2,000 D $5,720
5 37 Jan 15 119d 17.2% $4.60 $4.65 $28,525 35% $52,000 -$4,000 D $8,020
6 36 Nov 20 63d 19.4% $2.40 $2.65 $30,706 37% $54,000 -$2,000 D $4,020
7 37 Dec 18 91d 17.2% $3.65 $3.85 $30,885 38% $52,000 -$4,000 D $6,420
8 37 Nov 20 63d 17.2% $2.74 $3.00 $34,762 42% $52,000 -$4,000 D $4,720
9 38 Dec 18 91d 14.9% $4.05 $4.35 $34,896 42% $50,000 -$6,000 D $7,420
10 40 PROT Jan 15 119d 10.4% $5.80 $6.05 $37,113 45% $46,000 -$10,000 D $10,820
11 39 Dec 18 91d 12.7% $4.45 $4.75 $38,104 46% $48,000 -$8,000 D $8,220
12 38 Nov 20 63d 14.9% $3.10 $3.35 $38,817 47% $50,000 -$6,000 D $5,420
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $2.14 $44,023/yr $23,618/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $52 0.7σ, B $1.98 $40,731/yr $23,618/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($51, bid $2.14). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · overview rows

BMNR (Main): HP 45P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 119d

Stock: $25.52 HP: ITM Current hedge: $321,292/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $65.83 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 50 (5,000 sh) CC income: $104,036/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 25% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 5 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-20 INTRADAY (63d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 45 → 22 (Jan 15, 119d) | Save $273,750/yr | Payback N/A hedge only, N/A w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 11.8% OTM | RM 1.00x → 0.89x | Margin (TIMS): $431
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 22 Jan 15 119d 11.8% $3.10 $16.85 $84,250 $47,542 $47,082 $273,750 -4 $-22,500 N/A N/A 0.89x PASS
2 21 Jan 15 119d 17.7% $2.41 $17.54 $87,700 $36,960 $56,284 $284,332 -3 $-15,000 N/A N/A 0.93x PASS
3 20 Jan 15 119d 21.6% $1.94 $18.01 $90,050 $29,752 $63,952 $291,540 -2 $-10,000 N/A N/A 0.95x PASS
4 19 Jan 15 119d 25.5% $1.60 $18.35 $91,750 $24,538 $65,945 $296,754 -1 $-5,000 N/A N/A 0.98x PASS
5 18 Jan 15 119d 29.5% $1.38 $18.57 $92,850 $21,164 $56,744 $300,128 0 $0 N/A N/A 1.00x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $58 — assignment locks a loss · $39, B $0.13 $6,686/yr $47,542/yr DEFICIT $3,405/mo
CC at MID $30 0.7σ, B $0.74 $38,057/yr $47,542/yr DEFICIT $790/mo
AT 25% DRAWDOWN (stock $25.52 → $19.16, hedge $47,082/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $6,686/yr $47,082/yr DEFICIT $3,366/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $6,686/yr $47,082/yr DEFICIT $3,366/mo
NOT SELF-FUNDING Requires ongoing capital even at MID
CC WRITING STRATEGY
NO SAFE CC STRATEGY at the current chain. Hedge bleeds even at MID strike. Either restructure (deeper-OTM HP, smaller position) or commit to ongoing capital subsidy.
FIGHT no published plan for this fortress (seam as of 2026-09-18 21:45). Fight plans cover uncovered deep-drawdown fortresses; a covered or shallow slice deliberately has none.

IREN (Main): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 28d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened cost cap 25% → 50% of CC to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $44.66 Current HP: 35P (28d, 21.6% OTM) Current hedge: $17,468/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $82,264/yr Cost cap: 50% of CC = $41,132/yr IV: HIGH 12 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (48d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Jan 15 '27, 119d, 21.6% OTM) | Cost: $23,618/yr (29% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $6,420 | Margin (TIMS): $1,543
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 40P (Jan 15 '27, 119d, 10.4% OTM) | Cost: $37,113/yr (45% of CC) | New ML: $46,000 ↓ $10,000 | Roll DEBIT $10,820 | Margin (TIMS): $1,336
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Jan 15 119d 21.6% $3.60 $3.85 $23,618 29% $56,000 = D $6,420
2 35 Dec 18 91d 21.6% $2.91 $3.10 $24,868 30% $56,000 = D $4,920
3 35 Nov 20 63d 21.6% $2.13 $2.33 $26,998 33% $56,000 = D $3,380
4 36 Dec 18 91d 19.4% $3.25 $3.50 $28,077 34% $54,000 -$2,000 D $5,720
5 37 Jan 15 119d 17.2% $4.60 $4.65 $28,525 35% $52,000 -$4,000 D $8,020
6 36 Nov 20 63d 19.4% $2.40 $2.65 $30,706 37% $54,000 -$2,000 D $4,020
7 37 Dec 18 91d 17.2% $3.65 $3.85 $30,885 38% $52,000 -$4,000 D $6,420
8 37 Nov 20 63d 17.2% $2.74 $3.00 $34,762 42% $52,000 -$4,000 D $4,720
9 38 Dec 18 91d 14.9% $4.05 $4.35 $34,896 42% $50,000 -$6,000 D $7,420
10 40 PROT Jan 15 119d 10.4% $5.80 $6.05 $37,113 45% $46,000 -$10,000 D $10,820
11 39 Dec 18 91d 12.7% $4.45 $4.75 $38,104 46% $48,000 -$8,000 D $8,220
12 38 Nov 20 63d 14.9% $3.10 $3.35 $38,817 47% $50,000 -$6,000 D $5,420
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $2.14 $44,023/yr $23,618/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $52 0.7σ, B $1.98 $40,731/yr $23,618/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($51, bid $2.14). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).