GENERATED2026-09-19 03:51
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$316,773/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$58,661/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$258,112/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$79,005
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$-27,500
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 43 positions
2 · ROLL NOW2 · REPAIR PLAN7 · LEAPS-ONLY32 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · IC $502,060 · notional $1,561,893
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$46.27 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.52 121.75x 24.4% SAFE 20 $32,000$92,540 ROLL NOW (28d)
AMZN →
+200C −250P +215P −260C
$254.12 200250 215260 $267.92 $270.26 351.52x 15.4% SAFE 5 $33,960$127,060 REPAIR PLAN (63d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −355C
$344.93 3100 0355 $392.50 $347.98 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$172,465 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$46.07 750 00 $70.58 $51.20 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$230,350 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −170C
$153.51 1800 0170 $233.00 $165.94 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$153,510 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −18P +25P
$26.10 2318 250 $36.42 $23.60 01.00x 4.2% TIGHT 150 $201,300$391,500 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −92C
$86.98 6590 6892 $93.40 $95.64 221.77x 21.8% SAFE 20 $56,800$173,960 OK
HOOD
+65C −95P +80P −130C
$119.31 6595 80130 $114.95 $119.67 151.30x 32.9% SAFE 10 $49,950$119,310 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P −1025C
$1011.98 670800 4201025 $792.36 $812.51 3804.31x 58.5% SAFE 1 $11,472$101,198 OK
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · IC $1,208,360 · notional $3,461,721
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$46.27 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.52 121.75x 24.4% SAFE 20 $32,000$92,540 ROLL NOW (28d)
BMNR (Main) →
+25C −18P +45P
$26.10 2518 450 $65.83 $58.44 01.00x -72.4% ITM 50 $204,150$130,500 REPAIR PLAN (119d)
IGV
+70C −111C
$104.39 700 0111 $96.50 $88.13 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$125,268 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+13C
$13.27 130 00 $16.75 $10.88 01.00x 0.0% N/A 400 $150,000$530,800 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Main)
+23C −18P +25P
$26.10 2318 250 $53.26 $46.29 01.00x 4.2% TIGHT 75 $226,950$195,750 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +90P −240C
$193.35 165240 90240 $210.90 $215.11 1509.93x 53.5% SAFE 8 $13,440$154,680 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −240C
$193.35 500330 300240 $563.00 $359.59 301.48x -55.2% ITM 25 $157,500$483,375 OK
DELL
+310C −400P +320P −625C
$573.36 310400 320625 $562.50 $571.19 801.32x 44.2% SAFE 3 $75,750$172,008 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$19.95 1316 100 $17.33 $17.79 62.39x 49.9% SAFE 50 $21,650$99,750 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −445C
$401.70 320450 330445 $456.00 $468.48 1201.88x 17.8% SAFE 10 $136,000$401,700 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P −32C
$24.60 3838 1832 $39.71 $35.10 2010.05x 28.9% SAFE 125 $27,625$307,500 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −32C
$27.94 1020 532 $17.47 $18.97 154.04x 82.1% SAFE 15 $7,395$41,910 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +340P −1210C
$1011.98 8801010 3401210 $1028.60 $1046.57 6705.51x 66.4% SAFE 5 $74,300$505,990 OK
NVDA
+215C −225P +200P −232C
$219.95 215225 200232 $264.80 $229.88 251.50x 9.1% OK 10 $49,800$219,950 OK
Neville (...0865)11 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $454,989 · notional $2,403,574
SPY
+640C −769C
$761.33 6400 0769 $764.00 $700.87 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$913,596 LEAPS-ONLY
AMD
+420C −490P +350P −580C
$551.49 420490 350580 $489.91 $498.65 1403.01x 36.5% SAFE 2 $13,964$110,298 OK
CRCL
+45C −65P +40P −100C
$91.67 4565 40100 $87.00 $91.96 251.60x 56.4% SAFE 5 $21,000$45,835 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −87C
$81.41 105120 4087 $125.45 $128.77 804.91x 50.9% SAFE 5 $10,225$40,705 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −358C
$344.93 300345 310358 $373.00 $343.76 351.48x 10.1% SAFE 15 $109,500$517,395 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −358C
$344.93 340405 360358 $398.00 $383.34 451.88x -4.4% ITM 5 $25,500$172,465 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −130C
$108.87 85100 35130 $114.00 $115.68 653.24x 67.9% SAFE 5 $14,500$54,435 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −50C
$46.27 4565 2150 $56.50 $58.10 4415.67x 54.6% SAFE 20 $6,000$92,540 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +390P −1250C
$1011.98 9701110 3901250 $1220.00 $1235.08 7203.88x 61.5% SAFE 2 $50,000$202,396 OK
SNDK
+1200C −1380P +810P −1950C
$1769.79 12001380 8101950 $1620.00 $1631.23 5702.36x 54.2% SAFE 1 $42,000$176,979 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −165C
$153.86 150195 135165 $186.00 $188.91 603.22x 12.3% SAFE 5 $13,500$76,930 OK
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $180,200 · notional $1,215,511
MARA (RetireInc)
+40C
$13.27 400 00 $41.04 $11.57 01.00x 0.0% N/A 500 $52,000$663,500 LEAPS-ONLY
AAPL
+240C −330P +285P −345C
$336.77 240330 285345 $334.64 $336.39 451.48x 15.4% SAFE 5 $47,320$168,385 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P −330C
$311.64 460540 185330 $588.00 $605.86 3553.77x 40.6% SAFE 1 $12,800$31,164 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$14.35 1717 100 $20.74 $18.11 72.87x 30.3% SAFE 25 $9,350$35,875 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$34.69 4560 200 $56.15 $59.12 406.48x 42.3% SAFE 10 $7,300$34,690 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −50C
$46.27 5070 2350 $63.43 $66.55 477.86x 50.3% SAFE 20 $13,700$92,540 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −170C
$153.51 125185 55170 $161.00 $164.09 13011.83x 64.2% SAFE 4 $4,800$61,404 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +100P −220C
$178.41 190210 100220 $224.00 $227.23 1104.24x 43.9% SAFE 5 $17,000$89,205 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −75C
$64.58 115135 4575 $141.55 $148.65 904.39x 30.3% SAFE 6 $15,930$38,748 OK
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · overview rows

AMZN: HP 215P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 63d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 2.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $254.12 HP: 15.4% OTM Current hedge: $8,517/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $7,821/yr SS: $267.92 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $17,288/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 11% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 1 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (41d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 215 → 210 (Jan 15, 119d) | Save $1,304/yr | Payback 23mo (1.92yr) hedge only, 2mo (0.13yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 17.4% OTM | RM 1.52x → 1.59x | Margin (TIMS): $4,383
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 210 Jan 15 119d 17.4% $4.25 $-1.49 $-745 $6,518 $13,496 $1,304 40 $2,500 23mo 2mo 1.59x PASS
2 180 Dec 18 91d 29.2% $1.00 $1.76 $880 $2,005 $3,570 $5,816 70 $17,500 36mo 9mo 2.03x FAIL
3 180 Jan 15 119d 29.2% $1.38 $1.38 $690 $2,116 $4,079 $5,705 70 $17,500 37mo 9mo 2.03x FAIL
4 185 Dec 18 91d 27.2% $1.22 $1.54 $770 $2,447 $4,532 $5,375 65 $15,000 33mo 8mo 1.96x FAIL
5 185 Jan 15 119d 27.2% $1.63 $1.13 $565 $2,500 $5,061 $5,322 65 $15,000 34mo 8mo 1.96x FAIL
6 190 Dec 18 91d 25.2% $1.42 $1.34 $670 $2,848 $5,876 $4,974 60 $12,500 30mo 7mo 1.88x FAIL
7 190 Jan 15 119d 25.2% $1.96 $0.80 $400 $3,006 $6,211 $4,816 60 $12,500 31mo 7mo 1.88x FAIL
8 195 Dec 18 91d 23.3% $1.79 $0.97 $485 $3,590 $7,220 $4,232 55 $10,000 28mo 6mo 1.81x FAIL
9 195 Jan 15 119d 23.3% $2.38 $0.38 $190 $3,650 $7,668 $4,171 55 $10,000 29mo 6mo 1.81x FAIL
10 200 Dec 18 91d 21.3% $2.15 $0.61 $305 $4,312 $9,025 $3,510 50 $7,500 26mo 4mo 1.74x FAIL
11 200 Jan 15 119d 21.3% $2.88 $-0.12 $-60 $4,417 $9,202 $3,405 50 $7,500 26mo 4mo 1.74x FAIL
12 205 Dec 18 91d 19.3% $2.66 $0.10 $50 $5,335 $11,431 $2,487 45 $5,000 24mo 3mo 1.66x FAIL
13 205 Jan 15 119d 19.3% $3.50 $-0.74 $-370 $5,368 $11,119 $2,454 45 $5,000 24mo 3mo 1.66x FAIL
14 210 Dec 18 91d 17.4% $3.30 $-0.54 $-270 $6,618 $14,239 $1,203 40 $2,500 25mo 2mo 1.59x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $275, B $2.65 $13,629/yr $6,518/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $270 0.7σ, B $3.45 $17,743/yr $6,518/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 11% DRAWDOWN (stock $254.12 → $225.32, hedge $13,496/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $720/yr $13,496/yr DEFICIT $1,065/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $823/yr $13,496/yr DEFICIT $1,056/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($270, bid $3.45) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 11% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,056/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 28d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened cost cap 25% → 50% of CC to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $46.27 Current HP: 35P (28d, 24.4% OTM) Current hedge: $14,861/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $83,529/yr Cost cap: 50% of CC = $41,764/yr IV: HIGH 16 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (48d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Jan 15 '27, 119d, 24.4% OTM) | Cost: $21,777/yr (26% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $6,020 | Margin (TIMS): $1,655
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 42P (Jan 15 '27, 119d, 9.2% OTM) | Cost: $40,794/yr (49% of CC) | New ML: $42,000 ↓ $14,000 | Roll DEBIT $12,220 | Margin (TIMS): $1,374
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Jan 15 119d 24.4% $3.50 $3.55 $21,777 26% $56,000 = D $6,020
2 35 Nov 20 63d 24.4% $1.85 $2.00 $23,175 28% $56,000 = D $2,920
3 35 Dec 18 91d 24.4% $2.67 $2.89 $23,184 28% $56,000 = D $4,700
4 36 Dec 18 91d 22.2% $2.99 $3.30 $26,473 32% $54,000 -$2,000 D $5,520
5 37 Jan 15 119d 20.0% $4.20 $4.45 $27,298 33% $52,000 -$4,000 D $7,820
6 36 Nov 20 63d 22.2% $2.15 $2.45 $28,389 34% $54,000 -$2,000 D $3,820
7 37 Dec 18 91d 20.0% $3.30 $3.65 $29,280 35% $52,000 -$4,000 D $6,220
8 37 Nov 20 63d 20.0% $2.41 $2.65 $30,706 37% $52,000 -$4,000 D $4,220
9 38 Dec 18 91d 17.9% $3.70 $3.95 $31,687 38% $50,000 -$6,000 D $6,820
10 40 Jan 15 119d 13.6% $5.40 $5.70 $34,966 42% $46,000 -$10,000 D $10,320
11 39 Dec 18 91d 15.7% $4.10 $4.40 $35,297 42% $48,000 -$8,000 D $7,720
12 38 Nov 20 63d 17.9% $2.74 $3.05 $35,341 42% $50,000 -$6,000 D $5,020
13 42 PROT Jan 15 119d 9.2% $6.35 $6.65 $40,794 49% $42,000 -$14,000 D $12,220
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $2.84 $58,423/yr $21,777/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $54 0.7σ, B $2.08 $42,789/yr $21,777/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($51, bid $2.84). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · overview rows

BMNR (Main): HP 45P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 119d

Stock: $26.10 HP: ITM Current hedge: $308,256/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $65.83 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 50 (5,000 sh) CC income: $98,250/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 25% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 5 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-20 INTRADAY (63d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 45 → 24 (Jan 15, 119d) | Save $256,113/yr | Payback N/A hedge only, N/A w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 8.0% OTM | RM 1.00x → 0.85x | Margin (TIMS): $389
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 24 Jan 15 119d 8.0% $3.40 $15.95 $79,750 $52,143 $43,708 $256,113 -6 $-30,000 N/A N/A 0.85x PASS
2 22 Jan 15 119d 13.8% $2.71 $16.64 $83,200 $41,561 $49,076 $266,695 -4 $-22,500 N/A N/A 0.89x PASS
3 21 Jan 15 119d 19.5% $2.10 $17.25 $86,250 $32,206 $59,044 $276,050 -3 $-15,000 N/A N/A 0.93x PASS
4 20 Jan 15 119d 23.4% $1.72 $17.63 $88,150 $26,378 $65,179 $281,878 -2 $-10,000 N/A N/A 0.95x PASS
5 19 Jan 15 119d 27.2% $1.44 $17.91 $89,550 $22,084 $60,578 $286,172 -1 $-5,000 N/A N/A 0.98x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $58 — assignment locks a loss · $39, B $0.24 $12,343/yr $52,143/yr DEFICIT $3,317/mo
CC at MID $30 0.6σ, B $1.15 $59,143/yr $52,143/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 25% DRAWDOWN (stock $26.10 → $19.61, hedge $43,708/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $12,343/yr $43,708/yr DEFICIT $2,614/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $12,343/yr $43,708/yr DEFICIT $2,614/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($30, bid $1.15) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 25% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,614/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Main): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 28d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened cost cap 25% → 50% of CC to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $46.27 Current HP: 35P (28d, 24.4% OTM) Current hedge: $14,861/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $83,529/yr Cost cap: 50% of CC = $41,764/yr IV: HIGH 16 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (48d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Jan 15 '27, 119d, 24.4% OTM) | Cost: $21,777/yr (26% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $6,020 | Margin (TIMS): $1,656
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 42P (Jan 15 '27, 119d, 9.2% OTM) | Cost: $40,794/yr (49% of CC) | New ML: $42,000 ↓ $14,000 | Roll DEBIT $12,220 | Margin (TIMS): $1,375
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Jan 15 119d 24.4% $3.50 $3.55 $21,777 26% $56,000 = D $6,020
2 35 Nov 20 63d 24.4% $1.85 $2.00 $23,175 28% $56,000 = D $2,920
3 35 Dec 18 91d 24.4% $2.67 $2.89 $23,184 28% $56,000 = D $4,700
4 36 Dec 18 91d 22.2% $2.99 $3.30 $26,473 32% $54,000 -$2,000 D $5,520
5 37 Jan 15 119d 20.0% $4.20 $4.45 $27,298 33% $52,000 -$4,000 D $7,820
6 36 Nov 20 63d 22.2% $2.15 $2.45 $28,389 34% $54,000 -$2,000 D $3,820
7 37 Dec 18 91d 20.0% $3.30 $3.65 $29,280 35% $52,000 -$4,000 D $6,220
8 37 Nov 20 63d 20.0% $2.41 $2.65 $30,706 37% $52,000 -$4,000 D $4,220
9 38 Dec 18 91d 17.9% $3.70 $3.95 $31,687 38% $50,000 -$6,000 D $6,820
10 40 Jan 15 119d 13.6% $5.40 $5.70 $34,966 42% $46,000 -$10,000 D $10,320
11 39 Dec 18 91d 15.7% $4.10 $4.40 $35,297 42% $48,000 -$8,000 D $7,720
12 38 Nov 20 63d 17.9% $2.74 $3.05 $35,341 42% $50,000 -$6,000 D $5,020
13 42 PROT Jan 15 119d 9.2% $6.35 $6.65 $40,794 49% $42,000 -$14,000 D $12,220
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $2.84 $58,423/yr $21,777/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $54 0.7σ, B $2.08 $42,789/yr $21,777/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($51, bid $2.84). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).