GENERATED2026-09-22 21:49
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$297,589/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$56,887/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$240,702/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$72,865
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$-32,500
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 42 positions
2 · ROLL NOW2 · REPAIR PLAN7 · LEAPS-ONLY31 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · IC $502,060 · notional $1,649,316
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$48.10 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.66 121.75x 27.2% SAFE 20 $32,000$96,200 ROLL NOW (24d)
AMZN →
+200C −250P +215P −275C
$258.62 200250 215275 $267.92 $271.04 351.52x 16.9% SAFE 5 $33,960$129,312 REPAIR PLAN (59d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −355C
$358.58 3100 0355 $392.50 $348.57 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$179,290 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$48.71 750 00 $70.58 $51.06 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$243,550 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −170C
$169.67 1800 0170 $233.00 $166.22 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$169,670 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −18P +25P
$28.11 2318 250 $36.42 $23.72 01.00x 11.1% SAFE 150 $201,300$421,650 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −92C
$89.11 6590 6892 $93.40 $95.86 221.77x 23.7% SAFE 20 $56,800$178,220 OK
HOOD
+65C −95P +80P −145C
$125.06 6595 80145 $114.95 $119.68 151.30x 36.0% SAFE 10 $49,950$125,060 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P −1150C
$1063.64 670800 4201150 $792.36 $809.86 3804.31x 60.5% SAFE 1 $11,472$106,364 OK
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · IC $1,208,360 · notional $3,584,573
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$48.10 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.66 121.75x 27.2% SAFE 20 $32,000$96,200 ROLL NOW (24d)
BMNR (Main) →
+25C −18P +45P
$28.11 2518 450 $65.83 $58.67 01.00x -60.1% ITM 50 $204,150$140,550 REPAIR PLAN (115d)
IGV
+70C −111C
$106.78 700 0111 $96.50 $87.46 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$128,136 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+13C
$13.43 130 00 $16.75 $11.05 01.00x 0.0% N/A 400 $150,000$537,200 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Main)
+23C −18P +25P
$28.11 2318 250 $53.26 $46.37 01.00x 11.1% SAFE 75 $226,950$210,825 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +90P −240C
$200.59 165240 90240 $210.90 $215.36 1509.93x 55.1% SAFE 8 $13,440$160,472 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −240C
$200.59 500330 300240 $563.00 $360.41 301.48x -49.6% ITM 25 $157,500$501,475 OK
DELL
+310C −400P +320P −625C
$570.00 310400 320625 $562.50 $571.67 801.32x 43.9% SAFE 3 $75,750$171,000 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$20.75 1316 100 $17.33 $17.64 62.39x 51.8% SAFE 50 $21,650$103,750 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −445C
$397.66 320450 330445 $456.00 $468.73 1201.88x 17.0% SAFE 10 $136,000$397,660 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P −32C
$26.64 3838 1832 $39.71 $35.31 2010.05x 34.3% SAFE 125 $27,625$333,000 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −32C
$29.91 1020 532 $17.47 $19.08 154.04x 83.3% SAFE 15 $7,395$44,865 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +340P −1350C
$1063.64 8801010 3401350 $1028.60 $1048.41 6705.51x 68.0% SAFE 5 $74,300$531,820 OK
NVDA
+215C −225P +200P −232C
$227.62 215225 200232 $264.80 $228.86 251.50x 12.1% SAFE 10 $49,800$227,620 OK
Neville (...0865)10 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $441,025 · notional $2,372,858
SPY
+640C −782C
$774.15 6400 0782 $764.00 $701.56 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$928,980 LEAPS-ONLY
CRCL
+45C −65P +40P −115C
$95.57 4565 40115 $87.00 $90.71 251.60x 58.1% SAFE 5 $21,000$47,785 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −100C
$87.51 105120 40100 $125.45 $128.58 804.91x 54.3% SAFE 5 $10,225$43,755 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −375C
$358.58 300345 310375 $373.00 $346.05 351.48x 13.5% SAFE 15 $109,500$537,870 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −375C
$358.58 340405 360375 $398.00 $384.02 451.88x -0.4% ITM 5 $25,500$179,290 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −130C
$121.50 85100 35130 $114.00 $115.66 653.24x 71.2% SAFE 5 $14,500$60,748 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −58C
$48.10 4565 2158 $56.50 $58.24 4415.67x 56.3% SAFE 20 $6,000$96,200 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +390P −1250C
$1063.64 9701110 3901250 $1220.00 $1235.39 7203.88x 63.3% SAFE 2 $50,000$212,728 OK
SNDK
+1200C −1380P +810P −1950C
$1890.98 12001380 8101950 $1620.00 $1632.53 5702.36x 57.2% SAFE 1 $42,000$189,098 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −165C
$152.81 150195 135165 $186.00 $189.86 603.22x 11.7% SAFE 5 $13,500$76,405 OK
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $180,200 · notional $1,249,941
MARA (RetireInc)
+40C
$13.43 400 00 $41.04 $11.37 01.00x 0.0% N/A 500 $52,000$671,500 LEAPS-ONLY
AAPL
+240C −330P +285P −345C
$341.48 240330 285345 $334.64 $336.25 451.48x 16.5% SAFE 5 $47,320$170,740 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P −370C
$325.98 460540 185370 $588.00 $609.01 3553.77x 43.2% SAFE 1 $12,800$32,598 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$14.87 1717 100 $20.74 $18.29 72.87x 32.8% SAFE 25 $9,350$37,175 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$34.73 4560 200 $56.15 $58.92 406.48x 42.4% SAFE 10 $7,300$34,730 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −58C
$48.10 5070 2358 $63.43 $66.48 477.86x 52.2% SAFE 20 $13,700$96,200 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −170C
$169.67 125185 55170 $161.00 $164.21 13011.83x 67.6% SAFE 4 $4,800$67,868 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +100P −220C
$193.60 190210 100220 $224.00 $227.24 1104.24x 48.3% SAFE 5 $17,000$96,800 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P
$70.55 115135 450 $141.55 $147.31 904.39x 36.2% SAFE 6 $15,930$42,330 OK
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · overview rows

AMZN: HP 215P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 59d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 2.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $258.62 HP: 16.9% OTM Current hedge: $7,176/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $7,379/yr SS: $267.92 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $19,070/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 12% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 2 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (37d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 215 → 210 (Dec 18, 87d) | Save $1,275/yr | Payback 24mo (1.96yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.12yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 18.8% OTM | RM 1.52x → 1.59x | Margin (TIMS): $4,530
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 210 Dec 18 87d 18.8% $2.91 $-0.77 $-385 $6,104 $19,614 $1,275 40 $2,500 24mo 1mo 1.59x PASS
2 210 Jan 15 115d 18.8% $3.85 $-1.71 $-855 $6,110 $14,838 $1,270 40 $2,500 24mo 1mo 1.59x PASS
3 185 Dec 18 87d 28.5% $1.09 $1.05 $525 $2,286 $6,104 $5,093 65 $15,000 35mo 7mo 1.96x FAIL
4 185 Jan 15 115d 28.5% $1.54 $0.60 $300 $2,444 $4,618 $4,935 65 $15,000 36mo 7mo 1.96x FAIL
5 190 Dec 18 87d 26.5% $1.32 $0.82 $410 $2,769 $7,447 $4,610 60 $12,500 33mo 6mo 1.88x FAIL
6 190 Jan 15 115d 26.5% $1.80 $0.34 $170 $2,857 $5,634 $4,523 60 $12,500 33mo 6mo 1.88x FAIL
7 195 Dec 18 87d 24.6% $1.50 $0.64 $320 $3,147 $9,020 $4,233 55 $10,000 28mo 5mo 1.81x FAIL
8 195 Jan 15 115d 24.6% $2.10 $0.04 $20 $3,333 $6,824 $4,047 55 $10,000 30mo 5mo 1.81x FAIL
9 200 Dec 18 87d 22.7% $1.86 $0.28 $140 $3,902 $11,118 $3,478 50 $7,500 26mo 4mo 1.74x FAIL
10 200 Jan 15 115d 22.7% $2.62 $-0.48 $-240 $4,158 $8,411 $3,222 50 $7,500 28mo 4mo 1.74x FAIL
11 205 Dec 18 87d 20.7% $2.36 $-0.22 $-110 $4,951 $13,530 $2,429 45 $5,000 25mo 3mo 1.66x FAIL
12 205 Jan 15 115d 20.7% $3.25 $-1.11 $-555 $5,158 $10,236 $2,222 45 $5,000 27mo 3mo 1.66x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (31d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $275, B $3.55 $20,613/yr $6,104/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $275 0.7σ, B $3.55 $20,613/yr $6,104/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 12% DRAWDOWN (stock $258.63 → $228.47, hedge $19,614/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $929/yr $19,614/yr DEFICIT $1,557/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $929/yr $19,614/yr DEFICIT $1,557/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($275, bid $3.55) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 12% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,557/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 24d

Stock: $48.10 Current HP: 35P (24d, 27.2% OTM) Current hedge: $11,254/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $89,964/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $22,491/yr IV: HIGH 2 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (44d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Jan 15 '27, 115d, 27.2% OTM) | Cost: $20,313/yr (23% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $5,700 | Margin (TIMS): $1,749
PROTECTIVE PICK: same as CHEAPEST (no higher-strike candidate clears the cost cap).
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP PROT Jan 15 115d 27.2% $2.98 $3.20 $20,313 23% $56,000 = D $5,700
2 35 Dec 18 87d 27.2% $2.27 $2.44 $20,474 23% $56,000 = D $4,180
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (31d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $3.40 $78,968/yr $20,313/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $56 0.7σ, B $2.04 $47,381/yr $20,313/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($51, bid $3.40). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · overview rows

BMNR (Main): HP 45P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 115d

Stock: $28.11 HP: ITM Current hedge: $290,413/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $65.83 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 50 (5,000 sh) CC income: $111,907/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 25% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 5 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-20 INTRADAY (59d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 45 → 25 (Jan 15, 115d) | Save $239,630/yr | Payback N/A hedge only, N/A w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 11.1% OTM | RM 1.00x → 0.83x | Margin (TIMS): $431
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 25 Jan 15 115d 11.1% $3.20 $14.65 $73,250 $50,783 $55,702 $239,630 -7 $-35,000 N/A N/A 0.83x PASS
2 24 Jan 15 115d 14.6% $2.99 $14.86 $74,300 $47,450 $55,702 $242,963 -6 $-30,000 N/A N/A 0.85x PASS
3 22 Jan 15 115d 20.0% $2.36 $15.49 $77,450 $37,452 $67,604 $252,961 -4 $-22,500 N/A N/A 0.89x PASS
4 21 Jan 15 115d 25.3% $1.86 $15.99 $79,950 $29,517 $77,761 $260,896 -3 $-15,000 N/A N/A 0.93x PASS
5 20 Jan 15 115d 28.9% $1.56 $16.29 $81,450 $24,757 $69,033 $265,657 -2 $-10,000 N/A N/A 0.95x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (31d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $59 — assignment locks a loss · $39, B $0.30 $17,419/yr $50,783/yr DEFICIT $2,780/mo
CC at MID $32 0.6σ, B $1.20 $69,677/yr $50,783/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 25% DRAWDOWN (stock $28.11 → $21.11, hedge $55,702/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $17,419/yr $55,702/yr DEFICIT $3,190/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $17,419/yr $55,702/yr DEFICIT $3,190/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($32, bid $1.20) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 25% drawdown, even MID is short ~$3,190/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Main): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 24d

Stock: $48.10 Current HP: 35P (24d, 27.2% OTM) Current hedge: $11,254/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $89,964/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $22,491/yr IV: HIGH 2 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (44d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Jan 15 '27, 115d, 27.2% OTM) | Cost: $20,313/yr (23% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $5,700 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
PROTECTIVE PICK: same as CHEAPEST (no higher-strike candidate clears the cost cap).
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP PROT Jan 15 115d 27.2% $2.98 $3.20 $20,313 23% $56,000 = D $5,700
2 35 Dec 18 87d 27.2% $2.27 $2.44 $20,474 23% $56,000 = D $4,180
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (31d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $3.40 $78,968/yr $20,313/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $56 0.7σ, B $2.04 $47,381/yr $20,313/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($51, bid $3.40). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).