GENERATED2026-09-23 21:49
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$303,635/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$61,577/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$242,058/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$70,335
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$-30,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 42 positions
2 · ROLL NOW3 · REPAIR PLAN7 · LEAPS-ONLY30 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · IC $502,060 · notional $1,635,294
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$48.52 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.64 121.75x 27.9% SAFE 20 $32,000$97,030 ROLL NOW (23d)
AMZN →
+200C −250P +215P −275C
$251.50 200250 215275 $267.92 $270.36 351.52x 14.5% SAFE 5 $33,960$125,750 REPAIR PLAN (58d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −355C
$342.72 3100 0355 $392.50 $347.26 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$171,360 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$48.53 750 00 $70.58 $51.22 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$242,650 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −170C
$167.35 1800 0170 $233.00 $165.05 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$167,350 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −18P +25P
$28.24 2318 250 $36.42 $23.69 01.00x 11.5% SAFE 150 $201,300$423,600 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −92C
$86.29 6590 6892 $93.40 $96.25 221.77x 21.2% SAFE 20 $56,800$172,580 OK
HOOD
+65C −95P +80P −145C
$126.24 6595 80145 $114.95 $119.47 151.30x 36.6% SAFE 10 $49,950$126,240 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P −1150C
$1087.34 670800 4201150 $792.36 $804.69 3804.31x 61.4% SAFE 1 $11,472$108,734 OK
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · IC $1,208,360 · notional $3,608,327
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$48.52 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.64 121.75x 27.9% SAFE 20 $32,000$97,030 ROLL NOW (23d)
BMNR (Main) →
+25C −18P +45P
$28.24 2518 450 $65.83 $58.81 01.00x -59.3% ITM 50 $204,150$141,200 REPAIR PLAN (114d)
IGV
+70C −111C
$107.68 700 0111 $96.50 $88.68 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$129,216 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+13C
$13.55 130 00 $16.75 $11.06 01.00x 0.0% N/A 400 $150,000$542,000 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Main)
+23C −18P +25P
$28.24 2318 250 $53.26 $46.36 01.00x 11.5% SAFE 75 $226,950$211,800 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +90P −240C
$202.92 165240 90240 $210.90 $216.02 1509.93x 55.6% SAFE 8 $13,440$162,336 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −240C
$202.92 500330 300240 $563.00 $367.04 301.48x -47.8% ITM 25 $157,500$507,300 OK
DELL
+310C −400P +320P
$554.20 310400 3200 $562.50 $570.39 801.32x 42.3% SAFE 3 $75,750$166,260 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$20.46 1316 100 $17.33 $17.73 62.39x 51.1% SAFE 50 $21,650$102,300 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −445C
$392.82 320450 330445 $456.00 $468.16 1201.88x 16.0% SAFE 10 $136,000$392,820 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P −32C
$27.10 3838 1832 $39.71 $34.93 2010.05x 35.4% SAFE 125 $27,625$338,750 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −35C
$30.23 1020 535 $17.47 $18.15 154.04x 83.5% SAFE 15 $7,395$45,345 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +340P −1350C
$1087.34 8801010 3401350 $1028.60 $1044.57 6705.51x 68.7% SAFE 5 $74,300$543,670 OK
NVDA
+215C −225P +200P −250C
$228.30 215225 200250 $264.80 $229.19 251.50x 12.4% SAFE 10 $49,800$228,300 OK
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · IC $180,200 · notional $1,255,240
AAPL →
+240C −330P +285P −360C
$338.42 240330 285360 $334.64 $337.22 451.48x 15.8% SAFE 5 $47,320$169,210 REPAIR PLAN (58d)
MARA (RetireInc)
+40C
$13.55 400 00 $41.04 $11.43 01.00x 0.0% N/A 500 $52,000$677,500 LEAPS-ONLY
APP
+460C −540P +185P −370C
$310.76 460540 185370 $588.00 $612.01 3553.77x 40.5% SAFE 1 $12,800$31,076 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$14.99 1717 100 $20.74 $18.04 72.87x 33.3% SAFE 25 $9,350$37,483 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$34.12 4560 200 $56.15 $58.70 406.48x 41.4% SAFE 10 $7,300$34,120 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −58C
$48.52 5070 2358 $63.43 $66.55 477.86x 52.6% SAFE 20 $13,700$97,030 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −170C
$167.35 125185 55170 $161.00 $163.31 13011.83x 67.1% SAFE 4 $4,800$66,940 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +100P −220C
$196.40 190210 100220 $224.00 $225.78 1104.24x 49.1% SAFE 5 $17,000$98,200 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P
$72.80 115135 450 $141.55 $148.02 904.39x 38.2% SAFE 6 $15,930$43,680 OK
Neville (...0865)10 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $441,025 · notional $2,339,894
SPY
+640C −782C
$771.25 6400 0782 $764.00 $701.63 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$925,500 LEAPS-ONLY
CRCL
+45C −65P +40P −115C
$95.85 4565 40115 $87.00 $91.63 251.60x 58.3% SAFE 5 $21,000$47,925 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −100C
$87.90 105120 40100 $125.45 $128.34 804.91x 54.5% SAFE 5 $10,225$43,950 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −375C
$342.72 300345 310375 $373.00 $344.70 351.48x 9.5% OK 15 $109,500$514,080 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −375C
$342.72 340405 360375 $398.00 $383.97 451.88x -5.0% ITM 5 $25,500$171,360 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −160C
$121.34 85100 35160 $114.00 $115.33 653.24x 71.2% SAFE 5 $14,500$60,670 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −58C
$48.52 4565 2158 $56.50 $58.21 4415.67x 56.7% SAFE 20 $6,000$97,030 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +390P −1250C
$1087.34 9701110 3901250 $1220.00 $1232.84 7203.88x 64.1% SAFE 2 $50,000$217,468 OK
SNDK
+1200C −1380P +810P −2200C
$1850.51 12001380 8102200 $1620.00 $1627.44 5702.36x 56.2% SAFE 1 $42,000$185,050 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −165C
$153.72 150195 135165 $186.00 $189.70 603.22x 12.2% SAFE 5 $13,500$76,860 OK
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · overview rows

AMZN: HP 215P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 58d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 2.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $251.50 HP: 14.5% OTM Current hedge: $9,062/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $8,405/yr SS: $267.92 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $23,922/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 11% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 6 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (36d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 215 → 210 (Jan 15, 114d) | Save $1,521/yr | Payback 20mo (1.64yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.10yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 16.5% OTM | RM 1.52x → 1.59x | Margin (TIMS): $4,333
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 210 Jan 15 114d 16.5% $4.30 $-1.65 $-825 $6,884 $14,808 $1,521 40 $2,500 20mo 1mo 1.59x PASS
2 210 Dec 18 86d 16.5% $3.30 $-0.65 $-325 $7,003 $19,629 $1,402 40 $2,500 21mo 1mo 1.59x PASS
3 200 Dec 18 86d 20.5% $2.07 $0.58 $290 $4,393 $13,157 $4,012 50 $7,500 22mo 3mo 1.74x PASS
4 205 Dec 18 86d 18.5% $2.72 $-0.07 $-35 $5,772 $16,128 $2,633 45 $5,000 23mo 2mo 1.66x PASS
5 205 Jan 15 114d 18.5% $3.65 $-1.00 $-500 $5,843 $12,167 $2,561 45 $5,000 23mo 2mo 1.66x PASS
6 200 Jan 15 114d 20.5% $2.89 $-0.24 $-120 $4,627 $9,925 $3,778 50 $7,500 24mo 3mo 1.74x PASS
7 180 Dec 18 86d 28.4% $0.87 $1.78 $890 $1,846 $5,772 $6,558 70 $17,500 32mo 7mo 2.03x FAIL
8 180 Jan 15 114d 28.4% $1.38 $1.27 $635 $2,209 $4,354 $6,195 70 $17,500 34mo 7mo 2.03x FAIL
9 185 Dec 18 86d 26.4% $1.08 $1.57 $785 $2,292 $7,003 $6,113 65 $15,000 29mo 6mo 1.96x FAIL
10 185 Jan 15 114d 26.4% $1.66 $0.99 $495 $2,657 $5,283 $5,747 65 $15,000 31mo 6mo 1.96x FAIL
11 190 Dec 18 86d 24.5% $1.33 $1.32 $660 $2,822 $8,701 $5,582 60 $12,500 27mo 5mo 1.88x FAIL
12 190 Jan 15 114d 24.5% $2.02 $0.63 $315 $3,234 $6,564 $5,171 60 $12,500 29mo 5mo 1.88x FAIL
13 195 Jan 15 114d 22.5% $2.34 $0.31 $155 $3,746 $8,084 $4,659 55 $10,000 26mo 4mo 1.81x FAIL
14 195 Dec 18 86d 22.5% $1.78 $0.87 $435 $3,777 $10,717 $4,627 55 $10,000 26mo 4mo 1.81x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (30d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $275, B $1.95 $11,700/yr $6,884/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $265 0.6σ, B $3.90 $23,400/yr $6,884/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 11% DRAWDOWN (stock $251.50 → $223.05, hedge $14,808/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $1,140/yr $14,808/yr DEFICIT $1,139/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $1,860/yr $14,808/yr DEFICIT $1,079/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($265, bid $3.90) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 11% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,079/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 23d

Stock: $48.52 Current HP: 35P (23d, 27.9% OTM) Current hedge: $10,474/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $92,398/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $23,099/yr IV: HIGH 3 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (43d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Dec 18 '26, 86d, 27.9% OTM) | Cost: $19,693/yr (21% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $4,080 | Margin (TIMS): $1,747
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 36P (Dec 18 '26, 86d, 25.8% OTM) | Cost: $22,155/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $54,000 ↓ $2,000 | Roll DEBIT $4,660 | Margin (TIMS): $1,702
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Dec 18 86d 27.9% $2.10 $2.32 $19,693 21% $56,000 = D $4,080
2 35 Jan 15 114d 27.9% $2.83 $3.10 $19,851 21% $56,000 = D $5,640
3 36 PROT Dec 18 86d 25.8% $2.38 $2.61 $22,155 24% $54,000 -$2,000 D $4,660
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (30d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $3.35 $80,400/yr $19,693/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $56 0.7σ, B $1.92 $46,080/yr $19,693/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($51, bid $3.35). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · overview rows

BMNR (Main): HP 45P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 114d

Stock: $28.24 HP: ITM Current hedge: $289,759/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $65.83 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 50 (5,000 sh) CC income: $115,777/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 25% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 5 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-20 INTRADAY (58d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 45 → 25 (Jan 15, 114d) | Save $239,331/yr | Payback N/A hedge only, N/A w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 11.5% OTM | RM 1.00x → 0.83x | Margin (TIMS): $428
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 25 Jan 15 114d 11.5% $3.15 $14.30 $71,500 $50,428 $52,669 $239,331 -7 $-35,000 N/A N/A 0.83x PASS
2 24 Jan 15 114d 15.0% $2.68 $14.77 $73,850 $42,904 $56,671 $246,855 -6 $-30,000 N/A N/A 0.85x PASS
3 22 Jan 15 114d 20.3% $2.12 $15.33 $76,650 $33,939 $67,077 $255,820 -4 $-22,500 N/A N/A 0.89x PASS
4 21 Jan 15 114d 25.6% $1.65 $15.80 $79,000 $26,414 $76,042 $263,344 -3 $-15,000 N/A N/A 0.93x PASS
5 20 Jan 15 114d 29.2% $1.31 $16.14 $80,700 $20,971 $67,237 $268,787 -2 $-10,000 N/A N/A 0.95x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (30d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $59 — assignment locks a loss · $39, B $0.32 $19,200/yr $50,428/yr DEFICIT $2,602/mo
CC at MID $32 0.6σ, B $1.13 $67,800/yr $50,428/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 25% DRAWDOWN (stock $28.24 → $21.25, hedge $52,669/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $19,200/yr $52,669/yr DEFICIT $2,789/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $19,200/yr $52,669/yr DEFICIT $2,789/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($32, bid $1.13) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 25% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,789/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Main): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 23d

Stock: $48.52 Current HP: 35P (23d, 27.9% OTM) Current hedge: $10,474/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $92,398/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $23,099/yr IV: HIGH 3 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (43d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Dec 18 '26, 86d, 27.9% OTM) | Cost: $19,693/yr (21% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $4,080 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 36P (Dec 18 '26, 86d, 25.8% OTM) | Cost: $22,155/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $54,000 ↓ $2,000 | Roll DEBIT $4,660 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Dec 18 86d 27.9% $2.10 $2.32 $19,693 21% $56,000 = D $4,080
2 35 Jan 15 114d 27.9% $2.83 $3.10 $19,851 21% $56,000 = D $5,640
3 36 PROT Dec 18 86d 25.8% $2.38 $2.61 $22,155 24% $54,000 -$2,000 D $4,660
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (30d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $3.35 $80,400/yr $19,693/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $56 0.7σ, B $1.92 $46,080/yr $19,693/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($51, bid $3.35). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · overview rows

AAPL: HP 285P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 58d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 3.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $338.42 HP: 15.8% OTM Current hedge: $4,814/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $5,135/yr SS: $334.64 (unchanged) Account: RetireInc (...7291) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $64,282/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 15% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 1 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (36d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 285 → 280 (Dec 18, 86d) | Save $870/yr | Payback 34mo (2.87yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.04yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 17.3% OTM | RM 1.48x → 1.53x | Margin (TIMS): $6,072
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 280 Dec 18 86d 17.3% $2.01 $-0.68 $-340 $4,265 $25,359 $870 50 $2,500 34mo 0mo 1.53x PASS
2 240 Dec 18 86d 29.1% $0.59 $0.74 $370 $1,252 $4,265 $3,883 90 $22,500 70mo 4mo 1.95x FAIL
3 240 Jan 15 114d 29.1% $0.88 $0.45 $225 $1,409 $3,218 $3,727 90 $22,500 72mo 4mo 1.95x FAIL
4 245 Dec 18 86d 27.6% $0.71 $0.62 $310 $1,507 $6,197 $3,629 85 $20,000 66mo 4mo 1.90x FAIL
5 250 Dec 18 86d 26.1% $0.78 $0.55 $275 $1,655 $7,427 $3,480 80 $17,500 60mo 3mo 1.85x FAIL
6 245 Jan 15 114d 27.6% $1.07 $0.26 $130 $1,713 $4,675 $3,423 85 $20,000 70mo 4mo 1.90x FAIL
7 250 Jan 15 114d 26.1% $1.12 $0.21 $105 $1,793 $5,603 $3,342 80 $17,500 63mo 3mo 1.85x FAIL
8 255 Dec 18 86d 24.6% $0.91 $0.42 $210 $1,931 $8,701 $3,204 75 $15,000 56mo 3mo 1.79x FAIL
9 255 Jan 15 114d 24.6% $1.29 $0.04 $20 $2,065 $6,564 $3,070 75 $15,000 59mo 3mo 1.79x FAIL
10 260 Dec 18 86d 23.2% $1.11 $0.22 $110 $2,356 $10,717 $2,780 70 $12,500 54mo 2mo 1.74x FAIL
11 260 Jan 15 114d 23.2% $1.49 $-0.16 $-80 $2,385 $8,084 $2,750 70 $12,500 55mo 2mo 1.74x FAIL
12 265 Dec 18 86d 21.7% $1.26 $0.07 $35 $2,674 $12,839 $2,462 65 $10,000 49mo 2mo 1.69x FAIL
13 265 Jan 15 114d 21.7% $1.74 $-0.41 $-205 $2,786 $9,685 $2,350 65 $10,000 51mo 2mo 1.69x FAIL
14 270 Dec 18 86d 20.2% $1.40 $-0.07 $-35 $2,971 $18,250 $2,165 60 $7,500 42mo 1mo 1.63x FAIL
15 270 Jan 15 114d 20.2% $2.04 $-0.71 $-355 $3,266 $13,768 $1,870 60 $7,500 48mo 1mo 1.63x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (30d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $340, B $8.65 $51,900/yr $4,265/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $355 0.8σ, B $3.00 $18,000/yr $4,265/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 15% DRAWDOWN (stock $338.42 → $287.66, hedge $25,359/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $240/yr $25,359/yr DEFICIT $2,093/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $240/yr $25,359/yr DEFICIT $2,093/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($355, bid $3.00) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 15% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,093/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).