GENERATED2026-09-24 03:51
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$312,678/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$63,679/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$248,999/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$73,365
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$-30,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 42 positions
2 · ROLL NOW3 · REPAIR PLAN7 · LEAPS-ONLY30 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · IC $502,060 · notional $1,606,640
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$47.64 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.45 121.75x 26.5% SAFE 20 $32,000$95,280 ROLL NOW (23d)
AMZN →
+200C −250P +215P −275C
$248.56 200250 215275 $267.92 $270.11 351.52x 13.5% SAFE 5 $33,960$124,280 REPAIR PLAN (58d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −355C
$334.84 3100 0355 $392.50 $347.23 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$167,420 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$47.87 750 00 $70.58 $51.22 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$239,350 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −170C
$163.41 1800 0170 $233.00 $167.12 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$163,410 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −18P +25P
$27.52 2318 250 $36.42 $24.04 01.00x 9.2% OK 150 $201,300$412,800 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −92C
$87.00 6590 6892 $93.40 $95.25 221.77x 21.8% SAFE 20 $56,800$174,000 OK
HOOD
+65C −95P +80P −145C
$123.06 6595 80145 $114.95 $119.43 151.30x 35.0% SAFE 10 $49,950$123,060 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P −1150C
$1070.40 670800 4201150 $792.36 $807.45 3804.31x 60.8% SAFE 1 $11,472$107,040 OK
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · IC $1,208,360 · notional $3,545,000
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$47.64 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.45 121.75x 26.5% SAFE 20 $32,000$95,280 ROLL NOW (23d)
BMNR (Main) →
+25C −18P +45P
$27.52 2518 450 $65.83 $58.98 01.00x -63.5% ITM 50 $204,150$137,600 REPAIR PLAN (114d)
IGV
+70C −111C
$108.24 700 0111 $96.50 $88.08 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$129,888 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+13C
$13.38 130 00 $16.75 $10.87 01.00x 0.0% N/A 400 $150,000$535,200 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Main)
+23C −18P +25P
$27.52 2318 250 $53.26 $46.63 01.00x 9.2% OK 75 $226,950$206,400 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +90P −240C
$198.15 165240 90240 $210.90 $214.27 1509.93x 54.6% SAFE 8 $13,440$158,520 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −240C
$198.15 500330 300240 $563.00 $364.48 301.48x -51.4% ITM 25 $157,500$495,375 OK
DELL
+310C −400P +320P −600C
$548.84 310400 320600 $562.50 $570.38 801.32x 41.7% SAFE 3 $75,750$164,652 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$20.20 1316 100 $17.33 $17.83 62.39x 50.5% SAFE 50 $21,650$101,000 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −445C
$392.99 320450 330445 $456.00 $468.50 1201.88x 16.0% SAFE 10 $136,000$392,990 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P −32C
$26.00 3838 1832 $39.71 $35.63 2010.05x 32.7% SAFE 125 $27,625$325,000 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −35C
$28.51 1020 535 $17.47 $18.13 154.04x 82.5% SAFE 15 $7,395$42,765 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +340P −1350C
$1070.40 8801010 3401350 $1028.60 $1046.24 6705.51x 68.2% SAFE 5 $74,300$535,200 OK
NVDA
+215C −225P +200P −250C
$225.13 215225 200250 $264.80 $228.85 251.50x 11.2% SAFE 10 $49,800$225,130 OK
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · IC $180,200 · notional $1,239,622
AAPL →
+240C −330P +285P −360C
$336.37 240330 285360 $334.64 $336.54 451.48x 15.3% SAFE 5 $47,320$168,185 REPAIR PLAN (58d)
MARA (RetireInc)
+40C
$13.38 400 00 $41.04 $11.42 01.00x 0.0% N/A 500 $52,000$669,000 LEAPS-ONLY
APP
+460C −540P +185P −370C
$314.42 460540 185370 $588.00 $610.49 3553.77x 41.2% SAFE 1 $12,800$31,442 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$14.54 1717 100 $20.74 $18.42 72.87x 31.2% SAFE 25 $9,350$36,362 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$33.00 4560 200 $56.15 $59.19 406.48x 39.4% SAFE 10 $7,300$33,000 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −58C
$47.64 5070 2358 $63.43 $66.54 477.86x 51.7% SAFE 20 $13,700$95,280 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −170C
$163.41 125185 55170 $161.00 $163.77 13011.83x 66.3% SAFE 4 $4,800$65,364 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +100P −220C
$197.15 190210 100220 $224.00 $226.37 1104.24x 49.3% SAFE 5 $17,000$98,575 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P
$70.69 115135 450 $141.55 $147.18 904.39x 36.3% SAFE 6 $15,930$42,414 OK
Neville (...0865)10 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $441,025 · notional $2,306,153
SPY
+640C −782C
$767.39 6400 0782 $764.00 $699.96 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$920,868 LEAPS-ONLY
CRCL
+45C −65P +40P −115C
$91.98 4565 40115 $87.00 $90.30 251.60x 56.5% SAFE 5 $21,000$45,990 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −100C
$87.74 105120 40100 $125.45 $129.94 804.91x 54.4% SAFE 5 $10,225$43,870 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −375C
$334.84 300345 310375 $373.00 $344.27 351.48x 7.4% OK 15 $109,500$502,260 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −375C
$334.84 340405 360375 $398.00 $384.25 451.88x -7.5% ITM 5 $25,500$167,420 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −160C
$121.67 85100 35160 $114.00 $115.44 653.24x 71.2% SAFE 5 $14,500$60,835 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −58C
$47.64 4565 2158 $56.50 $57.92 4415.67x 55.9% SAFE 20 $6,000$95,280 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +390P −1250C
$1070.40 9701110 3901250 $1220.00 $1232.79 7203.88x 63.6% SAFE 2 $50,000$214,080 OK
SNDK
+1200C −1380P +810P −2200C
$1813.00 12001380 8102200 $1620.00 $1629.43 5702.36x 55.3% SAFE 1 $42,000$181,300 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P
$148.50 150195 1350 $186.00 $189.70 603.22x 9.1% OK 5 $13,500$74,250 OK
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · overview rows

AMZN: HP 215P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 58d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 2.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $248.56 HP: 13.5% OTM Current hedge: $10,226/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $9,045/yr SS: $267.92 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $18,359/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 11% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 8 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (36d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 215 → 210 (Jan 15, 114d) | Save $1,681/yr | Payback 18mo (1.49yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.12yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 15.5% OTM | RM 1.52x → 1.59x | Margin (TIMS): $4,266
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 210 Jan 15 114d 15.5% $4.60 $-1.60 $-800 $7,364 $16,169 $1,681 40 $2,500 18mo 1mo 1.59x PASS
2 205 Jan 15 114d 17.5% $3.75 $-0.75 $-375 $6,003 $13,287 $3,042 45 $5,000 20mo 3mo 1.66x PASS
3 205 Dec 18 86d 17.5% $2.88 $0.12 $60 $6,112 $17,613 $2,933 45 $5,000 20mo 3mo 1.66x PASS
4 200 Dec 18 86d 19.5% $2.26 $0.74 $370 $4,796 $14,642 $4,249 50 $7,500 21mo 4mo 1.74x PASS
5 210 Dec 18 86d 15.5% $3.60 $-0.60 $-300 $7,640 $21,433 $1,405 40 $2,500 21mo 2mo 1.59x PASS
6 200 Jan 15 114d 19.5% $3.10 $-0.10 $-50 $4,963 $11,046 $4,082 50 $7,500 22mo 4mo 1.74x PASS
7 195 Dec 18 86d 21.5% $1.83 $1.17 $585 $3,883 $11,778 $5,162 55 $10,000 23mo 5mo 1.81x PASS
8 195 Jan 15 114d 21.5% $2.50 $0.50 $250 $4,002 $8,885 $5,043 55 $10,000 24mo 5mo 1.81x PASS
9 175 Dec 18 86d 29.6% $0.73 $2.27 $1,135 $1,549 $3,883 $7,496 75 $20,000 32mo 9mo 2.10x FAIL
10 175 Jan 15 114d 29.6% $1.10 $1.90 $950 $1,761 $2,930 $7,284 75 $20,000 33mo 9mo 2.10x FAIL
11 180 Dec 18 86d 27.6% $0.95 $2.05 $1,025 $2,016 $6,112 $7,029 70 $17,500 30mo 8mo 2.03x FAIL
12 180 Jan 15 114d 27.6% $1.44 $1.56 $780 $2,305 $4,611 $6,740 70 $17,500 31mo 8mo 2.03x FAIL
13 185 Dec 18 86d 25.6% $1.17 $1.83 $915 $2,483 $7,640 $6,562 65 $15,000 27mo 7mo 1.96x FAIL
14 185 Jan 15 114d 25.6% $1.64 $1.36 $680 $2,625 $5,763 $6,420 65 $15,000 28mo 7mo 1.96x FAIL
15 190 Dec 18 86d 23.6% $1.49 $1.51 $755 $3,162 $9,549 $5,883 60 $12,500 25mo 6mo 1.88x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (30d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $275, B $1.49 $8,940/yr $7,364/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $260 0.5σ, B $4.15 $24,900/yr $7,364/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 11% DRAWDOWN (stock $248.56 → $220.53, hedge $16,169/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $1,440/yr $16,169/yr DEFICIT $1,227/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $2,100/yr $16,169/yr DEFICIT $1,172/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($260, bid $4.15) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 11% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,172/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 23d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened cost cap 25% → 50% of CC to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $47.64 Current HP: 35P (23d, 26.5% OTM) Current hedge: $9,204/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $75,621/yr Cost cap: 50% of CC = $37,811/yr IV: HIGH 11 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (43d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Dec 18 '26, 86d, 26.5% OTM) | Cost: $19,523/yr (26% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $4,080 | Margin (TIMS): $1,698
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 42P (Jan 15 '27, 114d, 11.8% OTM) | Cost: $37,140/yr (49% of CC) | New ML: $42,000 ↓ $14,000 | Roll DEBIT $11,080 | Margin (TIMS): $1,432
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Dec 18 86d 26.5% $2.15 $2.30 $19,523 26% $56,000 = D $4,080
2 35 Jan 15 114d 26.5% $2.93 $3.05 $19,531 26% $56,000 = D $5,580
3 36 Dec 18 86d 24.4% $2.47 $2.59 $21,985 29% $54,000 -$2,000 D $4,660
4 37 Jan 15 114d 22.3% $3.65 $3.75 $24,013 32% $52,000 -$4,000 D $6,980
5 37 Dec 18 86d 22.3% $2.72 $2.92 $24,786 33% $52,000 -$4,000 D $5,320
6 38 Dec 18 86d 20.2% $3.05 $3.25 $27,587 36% $50,000 -$6,000 D $5,980
7 39 Dec 18 86d 18.1% $3.40 $3.60 $30,558 40% $48,000 -$8,000 D $6,680
8 40 Jan 15 114d 16.0% $4.80 $4.90 $31,377 41% $46,000 -$10,000 D $9,280
9 40 Dec 18 86d 16.0% $3.80 $4.00 $33,953 45% $46,000 -$10,000 D $7,480
10 42 PROT Jan 15 114d 11.8% $5.70 $5.80 $37,140 49% $42,000 -$14,000 D $11,080
11 41 Dec 18 86d 13.9% $4.25 $4.40 $37,349 49% $44,000 -$12,000 D $8,280
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (30d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $3.00 $72,000/yr $19,523/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $55 0.7σ, B $1.81 $43,440/yr $19,523/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($51, bid $3.00). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · overview rows

BMNR (Main): HP 45P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 114d

Stock: $27.52 HP: ITM Current hedge: $297,763/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $65.83 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 50 (5,000 sh) CC income: $116,698/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 24% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 5 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-20 INTRADAY (58d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 45 → 25 (Jan 15, 114d) | Save $245,735/yr | Payback N/A hedge only, N/A w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 9.2% OTM | RM 1.00x → 0.83x | Margin (TIMS): $391
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 25 Jan 15 114d 9.2% $3.25 $14.90 $74,500 $52,029 $45,145 $245,735 -7 $-35,000 N/A N/A 0.83x PASS
2 24 Jan 15 114d 12.8% $2.94 $15.21 $76,050 $47,066 $49,947 $250,697 -6 $-30,000 N/A N/A 0.85x PASS
3 22 Jan 15 114d 18.2% $2.16 $15.99 $79,950 $34,579 $59,553 $263,184 -4 $-22,500 N/A N/A 0.89x PASS
4 21 Jan 15 114d 23.7% $1.80 $16.35 $81,750 $28,816 $71,559 $268,947 -3 $-15,000 N/A N/A 0.93x PASS
5 20 Jan 15 114d 27.3% $1.40 $16.75 $83,750 $22,412 $60,033 $275,351 -2 $-10,000 N/A N/A 0.95x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (30d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $59 — assignment locks a loss · $39, B $0.28 $16,800/yr $52,029/yr DEFICIT $2,936/mo
CC at MID $31 0.6σ, B $1.07 $64,200/yr $52,029/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 24% DRAWDOWN (stock $27.52 → $20.81, hedge $45,145/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $16,800/yr $45,145/yr DEFICIT $2,362/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $16,800/yr $45,145/yr DEFICIT $2,362/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($31, bid $1.07) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 24% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,362/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Main): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 23d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened cost cap 25% → 50% of CC to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $47.64 Current HP: 35P (23d, 26.5% OTM) Current hedge: $9,204/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $75,621/yr Cost cap: 50% of CC = $37,811/yr IV: HIGH 11 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (43d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Dec 18 '26, 86d, 26.5% OTM) | Cost: $19,523/yr (26% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $4,080 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 42P (Jan 15 '27, 114d, 11.8% OTM) | Cost: $37,140/yr (49% of CC) | New ML: $42,000 ↓ $14,000 | Roll DEBIT $11,080 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Dec 18 86d 26.5% $2.15 $2.30 $19,523 26% $56,000 = D $4,080
2 35 Jan 15 114d 26.5% $2.93 $3.05 $19,531 26% $56,000 = D $5,580
3 36 Dec 18 86d 24.4% $2.47 $2.59 $21,985 29% $54,000 -$2,000 D $4,660
4 37 Jan 15 114d 22.3% $3.65 $3.75 $24,013 32% $52,000 -$4,000 D $6,980
5 37 Dec 18 86d 22.3% $2.72 $2.92 $24,786 33% $52,000 -$4,000 D $5,320
6 38 Dec 18 86d 20.2% $3.05 $3.25 $27,587 36% $50,000 -$6,000 D $5,980
7 39 Dec 18 86d 18.1% $3.40 $3.60 $30,558 40% $48,000 -$8,000 D $6,680
8 40 Jan 15 114d 16.0% $4.80 $4.90 $31,377 41% $46,000 -$10,000 D $9,280
9 40 Dec 18 86d 16.0% $3.80 $4.00 $33,953 45% $46,000 -$10,000 D $7,480
10 42 PROT Jan 15 114d 11.8% $5.70 $5.80 $37,140 49% $42,000 -$14,000 D $11,080
11 41 Dec 18 86d 13.9% $4.25 $4.40 $37,349 49% $44,000 -$12,000 D $8,280
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (30d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $3.00 $72,000/yr $19,523/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $55 0.7σ, B $1.81 $43,440/yr $19,523/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($51, bid $3.00). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · overview rows

AAPL: HP 285P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 58d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 3.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $336.37 HP: 15.3% OTM Current hedge: $4,688/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $5,178/yr SS: $334.64 (unchanged) Account: RetireInc (...7291) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $50,505/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 10% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 1 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (36d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 285 → 280 (Dec 18, 86d) | Save $891/yr | Payback 34mo (2.80yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.05yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 16.8% OTM | RM 1.48x → 1.53x | Margin (TIMS): $6,023
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 280 Dec 18 86d 16.8% $2.02 $-0.67 $-335 $4,287 $13,263 $891 50 $2,500 34mo 1mo 1.53x PASS
2 240 Dec 18 86d 28.6% $0.57 $0.78 $390 $1,210 $2,504 $3,968 90 $22,500 68mo 5mo 1.95x FAIL
3 240 Jan 15 114d 28.6% $0.76 $0.59 $295 $1,217 $1,889 $3,961 90 $22,500 68mo 5mo 1.95x FAIL
4 245 Dec 18 86d 27.2% $0.62 $0.73 $365 $1,316 $3,056 $3,862 85 $20,000 62mo 4mo 1.90x FAIL
5 245 Jan 15 114d 27.2% $0.90 $0.45 $225 $1,441 $2,305 $3,737 85 $20,000 64mo 4mo 1.90x FAIL
6 250 Dec 18 86d 25.7% $0.73 $0.62 $310 $1,549 $4,287 $3,629 80 $17,500 58mo 4mo 1.85x FAIL
7 250 Jan 15 114d 25.7% $1.06 $0.29 $145 $1,697 $3,234 $3,481 80 $17,500 60mo 4mo 1.85x FAIL
8 255 Dec 18 86d 24.2% $0.88 $0.47 $235 $1,867 $5,178 $3,310 75 $15,000 54mo 3mo 1.79x FAIL
9 260 Dec 18 86d 22.7% $1.00 $0.35 $175 $2,122 $6,303 $3,056 70 $12,500 49mo 3mo 1.74x FAIL
10 255 Jan 15 114d 24.2% $1.34 $0.01 $5 $2,145 $3,906 $3,033 75 $15,000 59mo 3mo 1.79x FAIL
11 260 Jan 15 114d 22.7% $1.43 $-0.08 $-40 $2,289 $4,755 $2,889 70 $12,500 52mo 3mo 1.74x FAIL
12 265 Dec 18 86d 21.2% $1.18 $0.17 $85 $2,504 $7,640 $2,674 65 $10,000 45mo 2mo 1.69x FAIL
13 265 Jan 15 114d 21.2% $1.70 $-0.35 $-175 $2,721 $5,763 $2,456 65 $10,000 49mo 2mo 1.69x FAIL
14 270 Dec 18 86d 19.7% $1.44 $-0.09 $-45 $3,056 $9,231 $2,122 60 $7,500 42mo 2mo 1.63x FAIL
15 270 Jan 15 114d 19.7% $2.05 $-0.70 $-350 $3,282 $6,964 $1,896 60 $7,500 47mo 2mo 1.63x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 23 (30d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $340, B $7.30 $43,800/yr $4,287/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $350 0.6σ, B $3.70 $22,200/yr $4,287/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 10% DRAWDOWN (stock $336.37 → $302.73, hedge $13,263/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $1,800/yr $13,263/yr DEFICIT $955/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $660/yr $13,263/yr DEFICIT $1,050/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($350, bid $3.70) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 10% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,050/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).