| FORTRESS | STOCK | LC | SP | HP | SC | BE‑SS | CC‑SS | GAP | RM | HP OTM% | STATUS | CTRS | IC | NOTIONAL | URGENCY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joint (...1782) | |||||||||||||||
| IREN (Joint) → +25C −47P +35P −55C |
$47.64 | 25 | 47 | 35 | 55 | $44.00 | $50.45 | 12 | 1.75x | 26.5% | SAFE | 20 | $32,000 | $95,280 | ROLL NOW (23d) |
| AMZN → +200C −250P +215P −275C |
$248.56 | 200 | 250 | 215 | 275 | $267.92 | $270.11 | 35 | 1.52x | 13.5% | SAFE | 5 | $33,960 | $124,280 | REPAIR PLAN (58d) |
| GOOG (Joint) +310C −355C |
$334.84 | 310 | 0 | 0 | 355 | $392.50 | $347.23 | 0 | 1.00x | 0.0% | N/A | 5 | $41,250 | $167,420 | LEAPS-ONLY |
| IBIT +75C |
$47.87 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $70.58 | $51.22 | 0 | 1.00x | 0.0% | N/A | 50 | $22,328 | $239,350 | LEAPS-ONLY |
| MSTR (Joint) +180C −170C |
$163.41 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 170 | $233.00 | $167.12 | 0 | 1.00x | 0.0% | N/A | 10 | $53,000 | $163,410 | LEAPS-ONLY |
| BMNR (Joint) +23C −18P +25P |
$27.52 | 23 | 18 | 25 | 0 | $36.42 | $24.04 | 0 | 1.00x | 9.2% | OK | 150 | $201,300 | $412,800 | OK |
| COPX +65C −90P +68P −92C |
$87.00 | 65 | 90 | 68 | 92 | $93.40 | $95.25 | 22 | 1.77x | 21.8% | SAFE | 20 | $56,800 | $174,000 | OK |
| HOOD +65C −95P +80P −145C |
$123.06 | 65 | 95 | 80 | 145 | $114.95 | $119.43 | 15 | 1.30x | 35.0% | SAFE | 10 | $49,950 | $123,060 | OK |
| MU (Joint) +670C −800P +420P −1150C |
$1070.40 | 670 | 800 | 420 | 1150 | $792.36 | $807.45 | 380 | 4.31x | 60.8% | SAFE | 1 | $11,472 | $107,040 | OK |
| Main (...1299) | |||||||||||||||
| IREN (Main) → +25C −47P +35P −55C |
$47.64 | 25 | 47 | 35 | 55 | $44.00 | $50.45 | 12 | 1.75x | 26.5% | SAFE | 20 | $32,000 | $95,280 | ROLL NOW (23d) |
| BMNR (Main) → +25C −18P +45P |
$27.52 | 25 | 18 | 45 | 0 | $65.83 | $58.98 | 0 | 1.00x | -63.5% | ITM | 50 | $204,150 | $137,600 | REPAIR PLAN (114d) |
| IGV +70C −111C |
$108.24 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 111 | $96.50 | $88.08 | 0 | 1.00x | 0.0% | N/A | 12 | $31,800 | $129,888 | LEAPS-ONLY |
| MARA (Main) +13C |
$13.38 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $16.75 | $10.87 | 0 | 1.00x | 0.0% | N/A | 400 | $150,000 | $535,200 | LEAPS-ONLY |
| BMNR (Main) +23C −18P +25P |
$27.52 | 23 | 18 | 25 | 0 | $53.26 | $46.63 | 0 | 1.00x | 9.2% | OK | 75 | $226,950 | $206,400 | OK |
| COIN (Main) +165C −240P +90P −240C |
$198.15 | 165 | 240 | 90 | 240 | $210.90 | $214.27 | 150 | 9.93x | 54.6% | SAFE | 8 | $13,440 | $158,520 | OK |
| COIN (Main) +500C −330P +300P −240C |
$198.15 | 500 | 330 | 300 | 240 | $563.00 | $364.48 | 30 | 1.48x | -51.4% | ITM | 25 | $157,500 | $495,375 | OK |
| DELL +310C −400P +320P −600C |
$548.84 | 310 | 400 | 320 | 600 | $562.50 | $570.38 | 80 | 1.32x | 41.7% | SAFE | 3 | $75,750 | $164,652 | OK |
| ETHA +13C −16P +10P |
$20.20 | 13 | 16 | 10 | 0 | $17.33 | $17.83 | 6 | 2.39x | 50.5% | SAFE | 50 | $21,650 | $101,000 | OK |
| GLD +320C −450P +330P −445C |
$392.99 | 320 | 450 | 330 | 445 | $456.00 | $468.50 | 120 | 1.88x | 16.0% | SAFE | 10 | $136,000 | $392,990 | OK |
| GLXY +38C −38P +18P −32C |
$26.00 | 38 | 38 | 18 | 32 | $39.71 | $35.63 | 20 | 10.05x | 32.7% | SAFE | 125 | $27,625 | $325,000 | OK |
| HIMS +10C −20P +5P −35C |
$28.51 | 10 | 20 | 5 | 35 | $17.47 | $18.13 | 15 | 4.04x | 82.5% | SAFE | 15 | $7,395 | $42,765 | OK |
| MU (Main) +880C −1010P +340P −1350C |
$1070.40 | 880 | 1010 | 340 | 1350 | $1028.60 | $1046.24 | 670 | 5.51x | 68.2% | SAFE | 5 | $74,300 | $535,200 | OK |
| NVDA +215C −225P +200P −250C |
$225.13 | 215 | 225 | 200 | 250 | $264.80 | $228.85 | 25 | 1.50x | 11.2% | SAFE | 10 | $49,800 | $225,130 | OK |
| RetireInc (...7291) | |||||||||||||||
| AAPL → +240C −330P +285P −360C |
$336.37 | 240 | 330 | 285 | 360 | $334.64 | $336.54 | 45 | 1.48x | 15.3% | SAFE | 5 | $47,320 | $168,185 | REPAIR PLAN (58d) |
| MARA (RetireInc) +40C |
$13.38 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $41.04 | $11.42 | 0 | 1.00x | 0.0% | N/A | 500 | $52,000 | $669,000 | LEAPS-ONLY |
| APP +460C −540P +185P −370C |
$314.42 | 460 | 540 | 185 | 370 | $588.00 | $610.49 | 355 | 3.77x | 41.2% | SAFE | 1 | $12,800 | $31,442 | OK |
| CLSK +17C −17P +10P |
$14.54 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 0 | $20.74 | $18.42 | 7 | 2.87x | 31.2% | SAFE | 25 | $9,350 | $36,362 | OK |
| ENPH +45C −60P +20P |
$33.00 | 45 | 60 | 20 | 0 | $56.15 | $59.19 | 40 | 6.48x | 39.4% | SAFE | 10 | $7,300 | $33,000 | OK |
| IREN (RetireInc) +50C −70P +23P −58C |
$47.64 | 50 | 70 | 23 | 58 | $63.43 | $66.54 | 47 | 7.86x | 51.7% | SAFE | 20 | $13,700 | $95,280 | OK |
| MSTR (RetireInc) +125C −185P +55P −170C |
$163.41 | 125 | 185 | 55 | 170 | $161.00 | $163.77 | 130 | 11.83x | 66.3% | SAFE | 4 | $4,800 | $65,364 | OK |
| QCOM +190C −210P +100P −220C |
$197.15 | 190 | 210 | 100 | 220 | $224.00 | $226.37 | 110 | 4.24x | 49.3% | SAFE | 5 | $17,000 | $98,575 | OK |
| RKLB +115C −135P +45P |
$70.69 | 115 | 135 | 45 | 0 | $141.55 | $147.18 | 90 | 4.39x | 36.3% | SAFE | 6 | $15,930 | $42,414 | OK |
| Neville (...0865) | |||||||||||||||
| SPY +640C −782C |
$767.39 | 640 | 0 | 0 | 782 | $764.00 | $699.96 | 0 | 1.00x | 0.0% | N/A | 12 | $148,800 | $920,868 | LEAPS-ONLY |
| CRCL +45C −65P +40P −115C |
$91.98 | 45 | 65 | 40 | 115 | $87.00 | $90.30 | 25 | 1.60x | 56.5% | SAFE | 5 | $21,000 | $45,990 | OK |
| CRWV +105C −120P +40P −100C |
$87.74 | 105 | 120 | 40 | 100 | $125.45 | $129.94 | 80 | 4.91x | 54.4% | SAFE | 5 | $10,225 | $43,870 | OK |
| GOOG (Neville) +300C −345P +310P −375C |
$334.84 | 300 | 345 | 310 | 375 | $373.00 | $344.27 | 35 | 1.48x | 7.4% | OK | 15 | $109,500 | $502,260 | OK |
| GOOG (Neville) +340C −405P +360P −375C |
$334.84 | 340 | 405 | 360 | 375 | $398.00 | $384.25 | 45 | 1.88x | -7.5% | ITM | 5 | $25,500 | $167,420 | OK |
| INTC +85C −100P +35P −160C |
$121.67 | 85 | 100 | 35 | 160 | $114.00 | $115.44 | 65 | 3.24x | 71.2% | SAFE | 5 | $14,500 | $60,835 | OK |
| IREN (Neville) +45C −65P +21P −58C |
$47.64 | 45 | 65 | 21 | 58 | $56.50 | $57.92 | 44 | 15.67x | 55.9% | SAFE | 20 | $6,000 | $95,280 | OK |
| MU (Neville) +970C −1110P +390P −1250C |
$1070.40 | 970 | 1110 | 390 | 1250 | $1220.00 | $1232.79 | 720 | 3.88x | 63.6% | SAFE | 2 | $50,000 | $214,080 | OK |
| SNDK +1200C −1380P +810P −2200C |
$1813.00 | 1200 | 1380 | 810 | 2200 | $1620.00 | $1629.43 | 570 | 2.36x | 55.3% | SAFE | 1 | $42,000 | $181,300 | OK |
| SPCX +150C −195P +135P |
$148.50 | 150 | 195 | 135 | 0 | $186.00 | $189.70 | 60 | 3.22x | 9.1% | OK | 5 | $13,500 | $74,250 | OK |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | ASK | ROLL CR/SH | ROLL TOTAL | HEDGE/YR | STRESS/YR | SAVED/YR | GAP | ML+ | PAYBACK | PB+INC | NEW RM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 210 | Jan 15 | 114d | 15.5% | $4.60 | $-1.60 | $-800 | $7,364 | $16,169 | $1,681 | 40 | $2,500 | 18mo | 1mo | 1.59x | PASS |
| 2 | 205 | Jan 15 | 114d | 17.5% | $3.75 | $-0.75 | $-375 | $6,003 | $13,287 | $3,042 | 45 | $5,000 | 20mo | 3mo | 1.66x | PASS |
| 3 | 205 | Dec 18 | 86d | 17.5% | $2.88 | $0.12 | $60 | $6,112 | $17,613 | $2,933 | 45 | $5,000 | 20mo | 3mo | 1.66x | PASS |
| 4 | 200 | Dec 18 | 86d | 19.5% | $2.26 | $0.74 | $370 | $4,796 | $14,642 | $4,249 | 50 | $7,500 | 21mo | 4mo | 1.74x | PASS |
| 5 | 210 | Dec 18 | 86d | 15.5% | $3.60 | $-0.60 | $-300 | $7,640 | $21,433 | $1,405 | 40 | $2,500 | 21mo | 2mo | 1.59x | PASS |
| 6 | 200 | Jan 15 | 114d | 19.5% | $3.10 | $-0.10 | $-50 | $4,963 | $11,046 | $4,082 | 50 | $7,500 | 22mo | 4mo | 1.74x | PASS |
| 7 | 195 | Dec 18 | 86d | 21.5% | $1.83 | $1.17 | $585 | $3,883 | $11,778 | $5,162 | 55 | $10,000 | 23mo | 5mo | 1.81x | PASS |
| 8 | 195 | Jan 15 | 114d | 21.5% | $2.50 | $0.50 | $250 | $4,002 | $8,885 | $5,043 | 55 | $10,000 | 24mo | 5mo | 1.81x | PASS |
| 9 | 175 | Dec 18 | 86d | 29.6% | $0.73 | $2.27 | $1,135 | $1,549 | $3,883 | $7,496 | 75 | $20,000 | 32mo | 9mo | 2.10x | FAIL |
| 10 | 175 | Jan 15 | 114d | 29.6% | $1.10 | $1.90 | $950 | $1,761 | $2,930 | $7,284 | 75 | $20,000 | 33mo | 9mo | 2.10x | FAIL |
| 11 | 180 | Dec 18 | 86d | 27.6% | $0.95 | $2.05 | $1,025 | $2,016 | $6,112 | $7,029 | 70 | $17,500 | 30mo | 8mo | 2.03x | FAIL |
| 12 | 180 | Jan 15 | 114d | 27.6% | $1.44 | $1.56 | $780 | $2,305 | $4,611 | $6,740 | 70 | $17,500 | 31mo | 8mo | 2.03x | FAIL |
| 13 | 185 | Dec 18 | 86d | 25.6% | $1.17 | $1.83 | $915 | $2,483 | $7,640 | $6,562 | 65 | $15,000 | 27mo | 7mo | 1.96x | FAIL |
| 14 | 185 | Jan 15 | 114d | 25.6% | $1.64 | $1.36 | $680 | $2,625 | $5,763 | $6,420 | 65 | $15,000 | 28mo | 7mo | 1.96x | FAIL |
| 15 | 190 | Dec 18 | 86d | 23.6% | $1.49 | $1.51 | $755 | $3,162 | $9,549 | $5,883 | 60 | $12,500 | 25mo | 6mo | 1.88x | FAIL |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS $275, B $1.49 | $8,940/yr | $7,364/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $260 0.5σ, B $4.15 | $24,900/yr | $7,364/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| AT 11% DRAWDOWN (stock $248.56 → $220.53, hedge $16,169/yr) | |||
| CC at SS income stress-adjusted | $1,440/yr | $16,169/yr | DEFICIT $1,227/mo |
| CC at MID income stress-adjusted | $2,100/yr | $16,169/yr | DEFICIT $1,172/mo |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | BID | ASK | HEDGE/YR | %CC | NEW ML | ΔML | ROLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ 1 | 35 CHEAP | Dec 18 | 86d | 26.5% | $2.15 | $2.30 | $19,523 | 26% | $56,000 | = | D $4,080 |
| 2 | 35 | Jan 15 | 114d | 26.5% | $2.93 | $3.05 | $19,531 | 26% | $56,000 | = | D $5,580 |
| 3 | 36 | Dec 18 | 86d | 24.4% | $2.47 | $2.59 | $21,985 | 29% | $54,000 | -$2,000 | D $4,660 |
| 4 | 37 | Jan 15 | 114d | 22.3% | $3.65 | $3.75 | $24,013 | 32% | $52,000 | -$4,000 | D $6,980 |
| 5 | 37 | Dec 18 | 86d | 22.3% | $2.72 | $2.92 | $24,786 | 33% | $52,000 | -$4,000 | D $5,320 |
| 6 | 38 | Dec 18 | 86d | 20.2% | $3.05 | $3.25 | $27,587 | 36% | $50,000 | -$6,000 | D $5,980 |
| 7 | 39 | Dec 18 | 86d | 18.1% | $3.40 | $3.60 | $30,558 | 40% | $48,000 | -$8,000 | D $6,680 |
| 8 | 40 | Jan 15 | 114d | 16.0% | $4.80 | $4.90 | $31,377 | 41% | $46,000 | -$10,000 | D $9,280 |
| 9 | 40 | Dec 18 | 86d | 16.0% | $3.80 | $4.00 | $33,953 | 45% | $46,000 | -$10,000 | D $7,480 |
| ▶ 10 | 42 PROT | Jan 15 | 114d | 11.8% | $5.70 | $5.80 | $37,140 | 49% | $42,000 | -$14,000 | D $11,080 |
| 11 | 41 | Dec 18 | 86d | 13.9% | $4.25 | $4.40 | $37,349 | 49% | $44,000 | -$12,000 | D $8,280 |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS $51, B $3.00 | $72,000/yr | $19,523/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $55 0.7σ, B $1.81 | $43,440/yr | $19,523/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | ASK | ROLL CR/SH | ROLL TOTAL | HEDGE/YR | STRESS/YR | SAVED/YR | GAP | ML+ | PAYBACK | PB+INC | NEW RM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | Jan 15 | 114d | 9.2% | $3.25 | $14.90 | $74,500 | $52,029 | $45,145 | $245,735 | -7 | $-35,000 | N/A | N/A | 0.83x | PASS |
| 2 | 24 | Jan 15 | 114d | 12.8% | $2.94 | $15.21 | $76,050 | $47,066 | $49,947 | $250,697 | -6 | $-30,000 | N/A | N/A | 0.85x | PASS |
| 3 | 22 | Jan 15 | 114d | 18.2% | $2.16 | $15.99 | $79,950 | $34,579 | $59,553 | $263,184 | -4 | $-22,500 | N/A | N/A | 0.89x | PASS |
| 4 | 21 | Jan 15 | 114d | 23.7% | $1.80 | $16.35 | $81,750 | $28,816 | $71,559 | $268,947 | -3 | $-15,000 | N/A | N/A | 0.93x | PASS |
| 5 | 20 | Jan 15 | 114d | 27.3% | $1.40 | $16.75 | $83,750 | $22,412 | $60,033 | $275,351 | -2 | $-10,000 | N/A | N/A | 0.95x | PASS |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS BELOW SS $59 — assignment locks a loss · $39, B $0.28 | $16,800/yr | $52,029/yr | DEFICIT $2,936/mo |
| CC at MID $31 0.6σ, B $1.07 | $64,200/yr | $52,029/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| AT 24% DRAWDOWN (stock $27.52 → $20.81, hedge $45,145/yr) | |||
| CC at SS income stress-adjusted | $16,800/yr | $45,145/yr | DEFICIT $2,362/mo |
| CC at MID income stress-adjusted | $16,800/yr | $45,145/yr | DEFICIT $2,362/mo |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | BID | ASK | HEDGE/YR | %CC | NEW ML | ΔML | ROLL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ 1 | 35 CHEAP | Dec 18 | 86d | 26.5% | $2.15 | $2.30 | $19,523 | 26% | $56,000 | = | D $4,080 |
| 2 | 35 | Jan 15 | 114d | 26.5% | $2.93 | $3.05 | $19,531 | 26% | $56,000 | = | D $5,580 |
| 3 | 36 | Dec 18 | 86d | 24.4% | $2.47 | $2.59 | $21,985 | 29% | $54,000 | -$2,000 | D $4,660 |
| 4 | 37 | Jan 15 | 114d | 22.3% | $3.65 | $3.75 | $24,013 | 32% | $52,000 | -$4,000 | D $6,980 |
| 5 | 37 | Dec 18 | 86d | 22.3% | $2.72 | $2.92 | $24,786 | 33% | $52,000 | -$4,000 | D $5,320 |
| 6 | 38 | Dec 18 | 86d | 20.2% | $3.05 | $3.25 | $27,587 | 36% | $50,000 | -$6,000 | D $5,980 |
| 7 | 39 | Dec 18 | 86d | 18.1% | $3.40 | $3.60 | $30,558 | 40% | $48,000 | -$8,000 | D $6,680 |
| 8 | 40 | Jan 15 | 114d | 16.0% | $4.80 | $4.90 | $31,377 | 41% | $46,000 | -$10,000 | D $9,280 |
| 9 | 40 | Dec 18 | 86d | 16.0% | $3.80 | $4.00 | $33,953 | 45% | $46,000 | -$10,000 | D $7,480 |
| ▶ 10 | 42 PROT | Jan 15 | 114d | 11.8% | $5.70 | $5.80 | $37,140 | 49% | $42,000 | -$14,000 | D $11,080 |
| 11 | 41 | Dec 18 | 86d | 13.9% | $4.25 | $4.40 | $37,349 | 49% | $44,000 | -$12,000 | D $8,280 |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS $51, B $3.00 | $72,000/yr | $19,523/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $55 0.7σ, B $1.81 | $43,440/yr | $19,523/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| # | NEW HP | EXPIRY | DTE | OTM% | ASK | ROLL CR/SH | ROLL TOTAL | HEDGE/YR | STRESS/YR | SAVED/YR | GAP | ML+ | PAYBACK | PB+INC | NEW RM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 280 | Dec 18 | 86d | 16.8% | $2.02 | $-0.67 | $-335 | $4,287 | $13,263 | $891 | 50 | $2,500 | 34mo | 1mo | 1.53x | PASS |
| 2 | 240 | Dec 18 | 86d | 28.6% | $0.57 | $0.78 | $390 | $1,210 | $2,504 | $3,968 | 90 | $22,500 | 68mo | 5mo | 1.95x | FAIL |
| 3 | 240 | Jan 15 | 114d | 28.6% | $0.76 | $0.59 | $295 | $1,217 | $1,889 | $3,961 | 90 | $22,500 | 68mo | 5mo | 1.95x | FAIL |
| 4 | 245 | Dec 18 | 86d | 27.2% | $0.62 | $0.73 | $365 | $1,316 | $3,056 | $3,862 | 85 | $20,000 | 62mo | 4mo | 1.90x | FAIL |
| 5 | 245 | Jan 15 | 114d | 27.2% | $0.90 | $0.45 | $225 | $1,441 | $2,305 | $3,737 | 85 | $20,000 | 64mo | 4mo | 1.90x | FAIL |
| 6 | 250 | Dec 18 | 86d | 25.7% | $0.73 | $0.62 | $310 | $1,549 | $4,287 | $3,629 | 80 | $17,500 | 58mo | 4mo | 1.85x | FAIL |
| 7 | 250 | Jan 15 | 114d | 25.7% | $1.06 | $0.29 | $145 | $1,697 | $3,234 | $3,481 | 80 | $17,500 | 60mo | 4mo | 1.85x | FAIL |
| 8 | 255 | Dec 18 | 86d | 24.2% | $0.88 | $0.47 | $235 | $1,867 | $5,178 | $3,310 | 75 | $15,000 | 54mo | 3mo | 1.79x | FAIL |
| 9 | 260 | Dec 18 | 86d | 22.7% | $1.00 | $0.35 | $175 | $2,122 | $6,303 | $3,056 | 70 | $12,500 | 49mo | 3mo | 1.74x | FAIL |
| 10 | 255 | Jan 15 | 114d | 24.2% | $1.34 | $0.01 | $5 | $2,145 | $3,906 | $3,033 | 75 | $15,000 | 59mo | 3mo | 1.79x | FAIL |
| 11 | 260 | Jan 15 | 114d | 22.7% | $1.43 | $-0.08 | $-40 | $2,289 | $4,755 | $2,889 | 70 | $12,500 | 52mo | 3mo | 1.74x | FAIL |
| 12 | 265 | Dec 18 | 86d | 21.2% | $1.18 | $0.17 | $85 | $2,504 | $7,640 | $2,674 | 65 | $10,000 | 45mo | 2mo | 1.69x | FAIL |
| 13 | 265 | Jan 15 | 114d | 21.2% | $1.70 | $-0.35 | $-175 | $2,721 | $5,763 | $2,456 | 65 | $10,000 | 49mo | 2mo | 1.69x | FAIL |
| 14 | 270 | Dec 18 | 86d | 19.7% | $1.44 | $-0.09 | $-45 | $3,056 | $9,231 | $2,122 | 60 | $7,500 | 42mo | 2mo | 1.63x | FAIL |
| 15 | 270 | Jan 15 | 114d | 19.7% | $2.05 | $-0.70 | $-350 | $3,282 | $6,964 | $1,896 | 60 | $7,500 | 47mo | 2mo | 1.63x | FAIL |
| SCENARIO | CC INCOME | HEDGE COST | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC at SS $340, B $7.30 | $43,800/yr | $4,287/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| CC at MID $350 0.6σ, B $3.70 | $22,200/yr | $4,287/yr | SELF-FUNDING |
| AT 10% DRAWDOWN (stock $336.37 → $302.73, hedge $13,263/yr) | |||
| CC at SS income stress-adjusted | $1,800/yr | $13,263/yr | DEFICIT $955/mo |
| CC at MID income stress-adjusted | $660/yr | $13,263/yr | DEFICIT $1,050/mo |
HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.
Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.
EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.
Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).