GENERATED2026-09-24 21:48
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$318,830/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$66,629/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$252,201/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$71,355
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$-30,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 42 positions
2 · ROLL NOW3 · REPAIR PLAN7 · LEAPS-ONLY30 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · IC $502,060 · notional $1,592,013
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$46.58 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.45 121.75x 24.9% SAFE 20 $32,000$93,160 ROLL NOW (22d)
AMZN →
+200C −250P +215P −275C
$246.49 200250 215275 $267.92 $270.64 351.52x 12.8% SAFE 5 $33,960$123,245 REPAIR PLAN (57d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −355C
$334.83 3100 0355 $392.50 $346.68 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$167,415 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$47.55 750 00 $70.58 $51.10 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$237,750 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −170C
$161.01 1800 0170 $233.00 $167.18 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$161,010 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −18P +25P
$27.42 2318 250 $36.42 $23.98 01.00x 8.8% OK 150 $201,300$411,300 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −92C
$85.97 6590 6892 $93.40 $96.16 221.77x 20.9% SAFE 20 $56,800$171,940 OK
HOOD
+65C −95P +80P −145C
$120.28 6595 80145 $114.95 $118.91 151.30x 33.5% SAFE 10 $49,950$120,280 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P −1150C
$1059.13 670800 4201150 $792.36 $811.05 3804.31x 60.3% SAFE 1 $11,472$105,913 OK
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · IC $1,208,360 · notional $3,510,518
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$46.58 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.45 121.75x 24.9% SAFE 20 $32,000$93,160 ROLL NOW (22d)
BMNR (Main) →
+25C −18P +45P
$27.42 2518 450 $65.83 $58.89 01.00x -64.1% ITM 50 $204,150$137,100 REPAIR PLAN (113d)
IGV
+70C −111C
$106.75 700 0111 $96.50 $87.35 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$128,094 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+13C
$13.31 130 00 $16.75 $10.79 01.00x 0.0% N/A 400 $150,000$532,400 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Main)
+23C −18P +25P
$27.42 2318 250 $53.26 $46.58 01.00x 8.8% OK 75 $226,950$205,650 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +90P −240C
$195.13 165240 90240 $210.90 $211.96 1509.93x 53.9% SAFE 8 $13,440$156,104 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −240C
$195.13 500330 300240 $563.00 $363.89 301.48x -53.7% ITM 25 $157,500$487,825 OK
DELL
+310C −400P +320P −600C
$541.70 310400 320600 $562.50 $570.97 801.32x 40.9% SAFE 3 $75,750$162,510 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$20.11 1316 100 $17.33 $17.68 62.39x 50.3% SAFE 50 $21,650$100,550 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −445C
$391.62 320450 330445 $456.00 $468.37 1201.88x 15.7% SAFE 10 $136,000$391,620 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P −32C
$25.75 3838 1832 $39.71 $35.18 2010.05x 32.0% SAFE 125 $27,625$321,875 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −35C
$27.55 1020 535 $17.47 $18.69 154.04x 81.9% SAFE 15 $7,395$41,325 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +340P −1350C
$1059.13 8801010 3401350 $1028.60 $1048.53 6705.51x 67.9% SAFE 5 $74,300$529,565 OK
NVDA
+215C −225P +200P −250C
$222.74 215225 200250 $264.80 $230.27 251.50x 10.2% SAFE 10 $49,800$222,740 OK
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · IC $180,200 · notional $1,229,064
AAPL →
+240C −330P +285P −360C
$334.85 240330 285360 $334.64 $336.43 451.48x 14.9% SAFE 5 $47,320$167,425 REPAIR PLAN (57d)
MARA (RetireInc)
+40C
$13.31 400 00 $41.04 $11.39 01.00x 0.0% N/A 500 $52,000$665,500 LEAPS-ONLY
APP
+460C −540P +185P −370C
$310.52 460540 185370 $588.00 $605.85 3553.77x 40.4% SAFE 1 $12,800$31,052 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$14.49 1717 100 $20.74 $18.00 72.87x 31.0% SAFE 25 $9,350$36,225 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$32.04 4560 200 $56.15 $58.89 406.48x 37.6% SAFE 10 $7,300$32,040 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −58C
$46.58 5070 2358 $63.43 $66.44 477.86x 50.6% SAFE 20 $13,700$93,160 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −170C
$161.01 125185 55170 $161.00 $162.42 13011.83x 65.8% SAFE 4 $4,800$64,404 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +100P −220C
$194.84 190210 100220 $224.00 $227.07 1104.24x 48.7% SAFE 5 $17,000$97,420 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P
$69.73 115135 450 $141.55 $147.97 904.39x 35.5% SAFE 6 $15,930$41,838 OK
Neville (...0865)10 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $441,025 · notional $2,298,633
SPY
+640C −782C
$765.22 6400 0782 $764.00 $701.89 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$918,264 LEAPS-ONLY
CRCL
+45C −65P +40P −115C
$91.25 4565 40115 $87.00 $90.85 251.60x 56.2% SAFE 5 $21,000$45,625 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −100C
$88.14 105120 40100 $125.45 $128.60 804.91x 54.6% SAFE 5 $10,225$44,070 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −375C
$334.83 300345 310375 $373.00 $344.86 351.48x 7.4% OK 15 $109,500$502,245 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −375C
$334.83 340405 360375 $398.00 $383.90 451.88x -7.5% ITM 5 $25,500$167,415 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −160C
$125.71 85100 35160 $114.00 $117.04 653.24x 72.2% SAFE 5 $14,500$62,855 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −58C
$46.58 4565 2158 $56.50 $58.37 4415.67x 54.9% SAFE 20 $6,000$93,160 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +390P −1250C
$1059.13 9701110 3901250 $1220.00 $1233.97 7203.88x 63.2% SAFE 2 $50,000$211,826 OK
SNDK
+1200C −1380P +810P −2200C
$1797.53 12001380 8102200 $1620.00 $1626.10 5702.36x 54.9% SAFE 1 $42,000$179,753 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P
$146.84 150195 1350 $186.00 $189.26 603.22x 8.1% OK 5 $13,500$73,420 OK
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · overview rows

AMZN: HP 215P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 57d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 2.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $246.49 HP: 12.8% OTM Current hedge: $11,046/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $9,690/yr SS: $267.92 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $20,976/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 11% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 9 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (35d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 215 → 210 (Jan 15, 113d) | Save $1,696/yr | Payback 18mo (1.47yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.11yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 14.8% OTM | RM 1.52x → 1.59x | Margin (TIMS): $4,246
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 210 Jan 15 113d 14.8% $4.95 $-1.65 $-825 $7,994 $17,362 $1,696 40 $2,500 18mo 1mo 1.59x PASS
2 205 Jan 15 113d 16.8% $4.10 $-0.80 $-400 $6,622 $14,455 $3,069 45 $5,000 20mo 2mo 1.66x PASS
3 210 Dec 18 85d 14.8% $3.80 $-0.50 $-250 $8,159 $23,081 $1,531 40 $2,500 20mo 1mo 1.59x PASS
4 200 Jan 15 113d 18.9% $3.20 $0.10 $50 $5,168 $11,790 $4,522 50 $7,500 20mo 4mo 1.74x PASS
5 200 Dec 18 85d 18.9% $2.41 $0.89 $445 $5,174 $15,674 $4,516 50 $7,500 20mo 4mo 1.74x PASS
6 205 Dec 18 85d 16.8% $3.15 $0.15 $75 $6,763 $19,216 $2,927 45 $5,000 20mo 3mo 1.66x PASS
7 195 Dec 18 85d 20.9% $2.01 $1.29 $645 $4,316 $12,882 $5,375 55 $10,000 22mo 5mo 1.81x PASS
8 195 Jan 15 113d 20.9% $2.77 $0.53 $265 $4,474 $9,690 $5,217 55 $10,000 23mo 5mo 1.81x PASS
9 190 Dec 18 85d 22.9% $1.60 $1.70 $850 $3,435 $10,306 $6,255 60 $12,500 24mo 6mo 1.88x PASS
10 175 Dec 18 85d 29.0% $0.87 $2.43 $1,215 $1,868 $4,316 $7,822 75 $20,000 31mo 8mo 2.10x FAIL
11 175 Jan 15 113d 29.0% $1.22 $2.08 $1,040 $1,970 $3,246 $7,720 75 $20,000 31mo 8mo 2.10x FAIL
12 180 Dec 18 85d 27.0% $1.00 $2.30 $1,150 $2,147 $6,763 $7,543 70 $17,500 28mo 7mo 2.03x FAIL
13 180 Jan 15 113d 27.0% $1.52 $1.78 $890 $2,455 $5,087 $7,235 70 $17,500 29mo 7mo 2.03x FAIL
14 185 Dec 18 85d 24.9% $1.34 $1.96 $980 $2,877 $8,159 $6,813 65 $15,000 26mo 6mo 1.96x FAIL
15 185 Jan 15 113d 24.9% $1.83 $1.47 $735 $2,956 $6,137 $6,735 65 $15,000 27mo 6mo 1.96x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $275, B $3.50 $17,500/yr $7,994/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $265 0.6σ, B $5.60 $28,000/yr $7,994/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 11% DRAWDOWN (stock $246.49 → $218.78, hedge $17,362/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $3,750/yr $17,362/yr DEFICIT $1,134/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $4,750/yr $17,362/yr DEFICIT $1,051/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($265, bid $5.60) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 11% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,051/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 22d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened cost cap 25% → 50% of CC to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $46.58 Current HP: 35P (22d, 24.9% OTM) Current hedge: $12,277/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $58,954/yr Cost cap: 50% of CC = $29,477/yr IV: HIGH 4 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (42d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Jan 15 '27, 113d, 24.9% OTM) | Cost: $21,319/yr (36% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $6,000 | Margin (TIMS): $1,656
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 37P (Jan 15 '27, 113d, 20.6% OTM) | Cost: $28,425/yr (48% of CC) | New ML: $52,000 ↓ $4,000 | Roll DEBIT $8,200 | Margin (TIMS): $1,574
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Jan 15 113d 24.9% $2.96 $3.30 $21,319 36% $56,000 = D $6,000
2 36 Dec 18 85d 22.7% $2.55 $2.84 $24,391 41% $54,000 -$2,000 D $5,080
3 35 Dec 18 85d 24.9% $2.16 $2.85 $24,476 42% $56,000 = D $5,100
4 37 PROT Jan 15 113d 20.6% $3.70 $4.40 $28,425 48% $52,000 -$4,000 D $8,200
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $3.05 $61,000/yr $21,319/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $54 0.6σ, B $2.25 $45,000/yr $21,319/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($51, bid $3.05). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · overview rows

BMNR (Main): HP 45P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 113d

Stock: $27.42 HP: ITM Current hedge: $302,821/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $65.83 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 50 (5,000 sh) CC income: $104,272/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 25% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 5 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-20 INTRADAY (57d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 45 → 25 (Jan 15, 113d) | Save $248,717/yr | Payback N/A hedge only, N/A w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 8.8% OTM | RM 1.00x → 0.83x | Margin (TIMS): $371
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 25 Jan 15 113d 8.8% $3.35 $14.50 $72,500 $54,104 $47,967 $248,717 -7 $-35,000 N/A N/A 0.83x PASS
2 24 Jan 15 113d 12.5% $2.95 $14.90 $74,500 $47,644 $52,004 $255,177 -6 $-30,000 N/A N/A 0.85x PASS
3 22 Jan 15 113d 17.9% $2.25 $15.60 $78,000 $36,338 $60,080 $266,482 -4 $-22,500 N/A N/A 0.89x PASS
4 21 Jan 15 113d 23.4% $1.81 $16.04 $80,200 $29,232 $73,000 $273,588 -3 $-15,000 N/A N/A 0.93x PASS
5 20 Jan 15 113d 27.1% $1.45 $16.40 $82,000 $23,418 $71,869 $279,403 -2 $-10,000 N/A N/A 0.95x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $59 — assignment locks a loss · $35, B $0.67 $33,500/yr $54,104/yr DEFICIT $1,717/mo
CC at MID $32 0.7σ, B $0.60 $30,000/yr $54,104/yr DEFICIT $2,009/mo
AT 25% DRAWDOWN (stock $27.42 → $20.65, hedge $47,967/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $33,500/yr $47,967/yr DEFICIT $1,206/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $33,500/yr $47,967/yr DEFICIT $1,206/mo
NOT SELF-FUNDING Requires ongoing capital even at MID
CC WRITING STRATEGY
NO SAFE CC STRATEGY at the current chain. Hedge bleeds even at MID strike. Either restructure (deeper-OTM HP, smaller position) or commit to ongoing capital subsidy.
FIGHT no published plan for this fortress (seam as of 2026-09-24 21:44). Fight plans cover uncovered deep-drawdown fortresses; a covered or shallow slice deliberately has none.

IREN (Main): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 22d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened cost cap 25% → 50% of CC to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $46.58 Current HP: 35P (22d, 24.9% OTM) Current hedge: $12,277/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $58,954/yr Cost cap: 50% of CC = $29,477/yr IV: HIGH 4 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (42d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Jan 15 '27, 113d, 24.9% OTM) | Cost: $21,319/yr (36% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $6,000 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 37P (Jan 15 '27, 113d, 20.6% OTM) | Cost: $28,425/yr (48% of CC) | New ML: $52,000 ↓ $4,000 | Roll DEBIT $8,200 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
1 35 CHEAP Jan 15 113d 24.9% $2.96 $3.30 $21,319 36% $56,000 = D $6,000
2 36 Dec 18 85d 22.7% $2.55 $2.84 $24,391 41% $54,000 -$2,000 D $5,080
3 35 Dec 18 85d 24.9% $2.16 $2.85 $24,476 42% $56,000 = D $5,100
4 37 PROT Jan 15 113d 20.6% $3.70 $4.40 $28,425 48% $52,000 -$4,000 D $8,200
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $3.05 $61,000/yr $21,319/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $54 0.6σ, B $2.25 $45,000/yr $21,319/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($51, bid $3.05). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · overview rows

AAPL: HP 285P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 57d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 3.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $334.85 HP: 14.9% OTM Current hedge: $4,963/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $5,539/yr SS: $334.64 (unchanged) Account: RetireInc (...7291) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $47,169/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 10% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 2 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (35d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 285 → 280 (Dec 18, 85d) | Save $1,009/yr | Payback 30mo (2.48yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.05yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 16.4% OTM | RM 1.48x → 1.53x | Margin (TIMS): $6,027
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 280 Dec 18 85d 16.4% $2.11 $-0.64 $-320 $4,530 $13,956 $1,009 50 $2,500 30mo 1mo 1.53x PASS
2 275 Dec 18 85d 17.9% $1.74 $-0.27 $-135 $3,736 $11,487 $1,804 55 $5,000 33mo 1mo 1.58x PASS
3 235 Dec 18 85d 29.8% $0.47 $1.00 $500 $1,009 $2,319 $4,530 95 $25,000 66mo 6mo 2.00x FAIL
4 240 Dec 18 85d 28.3% $0.55 $0.92 $460 $1,181 $2,770 $4,359 90 $22,500 62mo 5mo 1.95x FAIL
5 240 Jan 15 113d 28.3% $0.76 $0.71 $355 $1,227 $2,083 $4,312 90 $22,500 63mo 5mo 1.95x FAIL
6 235 Jan 15 113d 29.8% $0.79 $0.68 $340 $1,276 $1,744 $4,264 95 $25,000 70mo 6mo 2.00x FAIL
7 245 Jan 15 113d 26.8% $0.89 $0.58 $290 $1,437 $2,326 $4,102 85 $20,000 59mo 5mo 1.90x FAIL
8 245 Dec 18 85d 26.8% $0.67 $0.80 $400 $1,439 $3,092 $4,101 85 $20,000 59mo 5mo 1.90x FAIL
9 250 Dec 18 85d 25.3% $0.73 $0.74 $370 $1,567 $4,530 $3,972 80 $17,500 53mo 4mo 1.85x FAIL
10 250 Jan 15 113d 25.3% $1.05 $0.42 $210 $1,696 $3,408 $3,844 80 $17,500 55mo 4mo 1.85x FAIL
11 255 Dec 18 85d 23.8% $0.96 $0.51 $255 $2,061 $5,539 $3,478 75 $15,000 52mo 4mo 1.79x FAIL
12 255 Jan 15 113d 23.8% $1.33 $0.14 $70 $2,148 $4,167 $3,391 75 $15,000 53mo 4mo 1.79x FAIL
13 260 Dec 18 85d 22.4% $1.08 $0.39 $195 $2,319 $6,549 $3,221 70 $12,500 47mo 3mo 1.74x FAIL
14 260 Jan 15 113d 22.4% $1.55 $-0.08 $-40 $2,503 $4,926 $3,036 70 $12,500 49mo 3mo 1.74x FAIL
15 265 Dec 18 85d 20.9% $1.29 $0.18 $90 $2,770 $8,159 $2,770 65 $10,000 43mo 2mo 1.69x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $340, B $9.15 $45,750/yr $4,530/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $355 0.7σ, B $4.05 $20,250/yr $4,530/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 10% DRAWDOWN (stock $334.85 → $301.37, hedge $13,956/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $3,600/yr $13,956/yr DEFICIT $863/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $950/yr $13,956/yr DEFICIT $1,084/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($355, bid $4.05) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 10% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,084/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).