GENERATED2026-09-25 03:54
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$312,223/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$61,155/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$251,069/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$71,660
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$-30,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 42 positions
2 · ROLL NOW4 · REPAIR PLAN7 · LEAPS-ONLY29 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 6 actionable · IC $502,060 · notional $1,611,006
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$46.18 2547 3555 $44.00 $49.96 121.75x 24.2% SAFE 20 $32,000$92,360 ROLL NOW (22d)
AMZN →
+200C −250P +215P −270C
$249.50 200250 215270 $267.92 $270.84 351.52x 13.8% SAFE 5 $33,960$124,750 REPAIR PLAN (57d)
HOOD →
+65C −95P +80P −126C
$120.65 6595 80126 $114.95 $118.25 151.30x 33.7% SAFE 10 $49,950$120,650 REPAIR PLAN (113d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −355C
$338.18 3100 0355 $392.50 $347.88 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$169,090 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$47.87 750 00 $70.58 $51.22 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$239,350 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −170C
$162.33 1800 0170 $233.00 $166.91 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$162,330 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −18P +25P
$28.16 2318 250 $36.42 $24.23 01.00x 11.2% SAFE 150 $201,300$422,400 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$86.14 6590 680 $93.40 $96.19 221.77x 21.1% SAFE 20 $56,800$172,280 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P −1150C
$1077.96 670800 4201150 $792.36 $807.59 3804.31x 61.0% SAFE 1 $11,472$107,796 OK
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · IC $1,208,360 · notional $3,529,491
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$46.18 2547 3555 $44.00 $49.96 121.75x 24.2% SAFE 20 $32,000$92,360 ROLL NOW (22d)
BMNR (Main) →
+25C −18P +45P
$28.16 2518 450 $65.83 $58.94 01.00x -59.8% ITM 50 $204,150$140,800 REPAIR PLAN (113d)
IGV
+70C −111C
$107.51 700 0111 $96.50 $88.57 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$129,012 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+13C
$12.95 130 00 $16.75 $11.09 01.00x 0.0% N/A 400 $150,000$518,000 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Main)
+23C −18P +25P
$28.16 2318 250 $53.26 $46.75 01.00x 11.2% SAFE 75 $226,950$211,200 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +90P −240C
$199.57 165240 90240 $210.90 $215.84 1509.93x 54.9% SAFE 8 $13,440$159,656 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −240C
$199.57 500330 300240 $563.00 $361.19 301.48x -50.3% ITM 25 $157,500$498,925 OK
DELL
+310C −400P +320P
$542.26 310400 3200 $562.50 $570.41 801.32x 41.0% SAFE 3 $75,750$162,678 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$20.36 1316 100 $17.33 $17.59 62.39x 50.9% SAFE 50 $21,650$101,800 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −430C
$391.75 320450 330430 $456.00 $468.45 1201.88x 15.8% SAFE 10 $136,000$391,750 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P −30C
$25.30 3838 1830 $39.71 $34.94 2010.05x 30.8% SAFE 125 $27,625$316,250 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −35C
$29.34 1020 535 $17.47 $19.49 154.04x 83.0% SAFE 15 $7,395$44,010 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +340P −1350C
$1077.96 8801010 3401350 $1028.60 $1046.38 6705.51x 68.5% SAFE 5 $74,300$538,980 OK
NVDA
+215C −225P +200P −230C
$224.07 215225 200230 $264.80 $230.05 251.50x 10.7% SAFE 10 $49,800$224,070 OK
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · IC $180,200 · notional $1,213,494
AAPL →
+240C −330P +285P −342C
$336.92 240330 285342 $334.64 $336.33 451.48x 15.4% SAFE 5 $47,320$168,460 REPAIR PLAN (57d)
MARA (RetireInc)
+40C
$12.95 400 00 $41.04 $11.28 01.00x 0.0% N/A 500 $52,000$647,500 LEAPS-ONLY
APP
+460C −540P +185P −370C
$311.11 460540 185370 $588.00 $607.59 3553.77x 40.5% SAFE 1 $12,800$31,111 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$14.13 1717 100 $20.74 $18.07 72.87x 29.3% SAFE 25 $9,350$35,338 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$32.67 4560 200 $56.15 $58.97 406.48x 38.8% SAFE 10 $7,300$32,670 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −48C
$46.18 5070 2348 $63.43 $66.54 477.86x 50.2% SAFE 20 $13,700$92,360 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −170C
$162.33 125185 55170 $161.00 $163.20 13011.83x 66.1% SAFE 4 $4,800$64,932 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +100P −220C
$194.12 190210 100220 $224.00 $226.30 1104.24x 48.5% SAFE 5 $17,000$97,060 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −85C
$73.44 115135 4585 $141.55 $147.91 904.39x 38.7% SAFE 6 $15,930$44,064 OK
Neville (...0865)10 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $441,025 · notional $2,309,521
SPY
+640C −782C
$767.75 6400 0782 $764.00 $701.86 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$921,306 LEAPS-ONLY
CRCL
+45C −65P +40P −96C
$93.06 4565 4096 $87.00 $89.98 251.60x 57.0% SAFE 5 $21,000$46,530 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −100C
$90.29 105120 40100 $125.45 $127.89 804.91x 55.7% SAFE 5 $10,225$45,145 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −342C
$338.18 300345 310342 $373.00 $344.94 351.48x 8.3% OK 15 $109,500$507,270 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −342C
$338.18 340405 360342 $398.00 $384.87 451.88x -6.5% ITM 5 $25,500$169,090 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −160C
$127.17 85100 35160 $114.00 $115.44 653.24x 72.5% SAFE 5 $14,500$63,585 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −48C
$46.18 4565 2148 $56.50 $58.10 4415.67x 54.5% SAFE 20 $6,000$92,360 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +390P −1250C
$1077.96 9701110 3901250 $1220.00 $1234.47 7203.88x 63.8% SAFE 2 $50,000$215,592 OK
SNDK
+1200C −1380P +810P −2200C
$1749.68 12001380 8102200 $1620.00 $1628.35 5702.36x 53.7% SAFE 1 $42,000$174,968 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P
$147.35 150195 1350 $186.00 $189.54 603.22x 8.4% OK 5 $13,500$73,675 OK
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 6 actionable · overview rows

AMZN: HP 215P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 57d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 2.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $249.50 HP: 13.8% OTM Current hedge: $9,765/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $8,640/yr SS: $267.92 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $18,122/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 11% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 5 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (35d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 215 → 210 (Jan 15, 113d) | Save $1,696/yr | Payback 18mo (1.47yr) hedge only, 2mo (0.13yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 15.8% OTM | RM 1.52x → 1.59x | Margin (TIMS): $4,330
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 210 Jan 15 113d 15.8% $4.30 $-1.53 $-765 $6,945 $15,504 $1,696 40 $2,500 18mo 2mo 1.59x PASS
2 205 Dec 18 85d 17.8% $2.68 $0.09 $45 $5,754 $16,962 $2,886 45 $5,000 21mo 3mo 1.66x PASS
3 205 Jan 15 113d 17.8% $3.60 $-0.83 $-415 $5,814 $12,759 $2,826 45 $5,000 21mo 3mo 1.66x PASS
4 200 Dec 18 85d 19.8% $2.13 $0.64 $320 $4,573 $13,741 $4,067 50 $7,500 22mo 4mo 1.74x PASS
5 200 Jan 15 113d 19.8% $2.85 $-0.08 $-40 $4,603 $10,336 $4,038 50 $7,500 22mo 4mo 1.74x PASS
6 175 Dec 18 85d 29.9% $0.71 $2.06 $1,030 $1,524 $3,757 $7,116 75 $20,000 34mo 10mo 2.10x FAIL
7 175 Jan 15 113d 29.9% $1.06 $1.71 $855 $1,712 $2,826 $6,929 75 $20,000 35mo 10mo 2.10x FAIL
8 180 Dec 18 85d 27.9% $0.89 $1.88 $940 $1,911 $5,754 $6,730 70 $17,500 31mo 8mo 2.03x FAIL
9 180 Jan 15 113d 27.9% $1.26 $1.51 $755 $2,035 $4,328 $6,606 70 $17,500 32mo 8mo 2.03x FAIL
10 185 Dec 18 85d 25.9% $1.15 $1.62 $810 $2,469 $7,407 $6,171 65 $15,000 29mo 7mo 1.96x FAIL
11 185 Jan 15 113d 25.9% $1.59 $1.18 $590 $2,568 $5,572 $6,073 65 $15,000 30mo 7mo 1.96x FAIL
12 190 Jan 15 113d 23.8% $1.88 $0.89 $445 $3,036 $6,783 $5,604 60 $12,500 27mo 6mo 1.88x FAIL
13 190 Dec 18 85d 23.8% $1.43 $1.34 $670 $3,070 $9,018 $5,570 60 $12,500 27mo 6mo 1.88x FAIL
14 195 Jan 15 113d 21.8% $2.30 $0.47 $235 $3,715 $8,398 $4,926 55 $10,000 24mo 5mo 1.81x FAIL
15 195 Dec 18 85d 21.8% $1.75 $1.02 $510 $3,757 $11,165 $4,883 55 $10,000 25mo 5mo 1.81x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $275, B $4.00 $20,000/yr $6,945/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $270 0.7σ, B $5.05 $25,250/yr $6,945/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 11% DRAWDOWN (stock $249.50 → $221.45, hedge $15,504/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $2,850/yr $15,504/yr DEFICIT $1,055/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $3,800/yr $15,504/yr DEFICIT $975/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($270, bid $5.05) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 11% drawdown, even MID is short ~$975/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

HOOD: HP 80P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 113d (no viable candidates)

Stock: $120.65 Current HP: 80P (113d, 33.7% OTM) Current hedge: $0/yr Gap: 0 Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 10 (1,000 sh) IV: MEDIUM
No HP candidates passed all filters. Reasons:
  • No candidate puts were priced for the roll-down DTE window. Try --hp-min-dte 60 or extend --hp-max-dte.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 22d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened cost cap 25% → 50% of CC to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $46.18 Current HP: 35P (22d, 24.2% OTM) Current hedge: $11,282/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $60,596/yr Cost cap: 50% of CC = $30,298/yr IV: HIGH 6 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (42d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Jan 15 '27, 113d, 24.2% OTM) | Cost: $20,673/yr (34% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $5,860 | Margin (TIMS): $1,643
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 38P (Dec 18 '26, 85d, 17.7% OTM) | Cost: $29,629/yr (49% of CC) | New ML: $50,000 ↓ $6,000 | Roll DEBIT $6,360 | Margin (TIMS): $1,476
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 35 CHEAP Jan 15 113d 24.2% $3.10 $3.20 $20,673 34% $56,000 = D $5,860
2 35 Dec 18 85d 24.2% $2.32 $2.43 $20,869 34% $56,000 = D $4,320
3 36 Dec 18 85d 22.0% $2.35 $2.75 $23,618 39% $54,000 -$2,000 D $4,960
4 37 Jan 15 113d 19.9% $3.80 $3.90 $25,195 42% $52,000 -$4,000 D $7,260
5 37 Dec 18 85d 19.9% $2.75 $3.10 $26,624 44% $52,000 -$4,000 D $5,660
▶ 6 38 PROT Dec 18 85d 17.7% $3.20 $3.45 $29,629 49% $50,000 -$6,000 D $6,360
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $50, B $3.00 $60,000/yr $20,673/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $54 0.7σ, B $1.97 $39,400/yr $20,673/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($50, bid $3.00). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · overview rows

BMNR (Main): HP 45P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 113d

Stock: $28.16 HP: ITM Current hedge: $297,976/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $65.83 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 50 (5,000 sh) CC income: $105,523/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 24% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 5 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-20 INTRADAY (57d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 45 → 25 (Jan 15, 113d) | Save $247,909/yr | Payback N/A hedge only, N/A w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 11.2% OTM | RM 1.00x → 0.83x | Margin (TIMS): $414
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 25 Jan 15 113d 11.2% $3.10 $14.55 $72,750 $50,066 $50,228 $247,909 -7 $-35,000 N/A N/A 0.83x PASS
2 24 Jan 15 113d 14.8% $2.65 $15.00 $75,000 $42,799 $55,073 $255,177 -6 $-30,000 N/A N/A 0.85x PASS
3 22 Jan 15 113d 20.1% $2.07 $15.58 $77,900 $33,431 $65,571 $264,544 -4 $-22,500 N/A N/A 0.89x PASS
4 21 Jan 15 113d 25.4% $1.57 $16.08 $80,400 $25,356 $75,100 $272,619 -3 $-15,000 N/A N/A 0.93x PASS
5 20 Jan 15 113d 29.0% $1.34 $16.31 $81,550 $21,642 $58,142 $276,334 -2 $-10,000 N/A N/A 0.95x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $59 — assignment locks a loss · $35, B $0.83 $41,500/yr $50,066/yr DEFICIT $714/mo
CC at MID $33 0.7σ, B $1.05 $52,500/yr $50,066/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 24% DRAWDOWN (stock $28.16 → $21.30, hedge $50,228/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $41,500/yr $50,228/yr DEFICIT $727/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $41,500/yr $50,228/yr DEFICIT $727/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($33, bid $1.05) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 24% drawdown, even MID is short ~$727/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Main): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 22d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened cost cap 25% → 50% of CC to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $46.18 Current HP: 35P (22d, 24.2% OTM) Current hedge: $11,282/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $60,596/yr Cost cap: 50% of CC = $30,298/yr IV: HIGH 6 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (42d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Jan 15 '27, 113d, 24.2% OTM) | Cost: $20,673/yr (34% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $5,860 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 38P (Dec 18 '26, 85d, 17.7% OTM) | Cost: $29,629/yr (49% of CC) | New ML: $50,000 ↓ $6,000 | Roll DEBIT $6,360 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 35 CHEAP Jan 15 113d 24.2% $3.10 $3.20 $20,673 34% $56,000 = D $5,860
2 35 Dec 18 85d 24.2% $2.32 $2.43 $20,869 34% $56,000 = D $4,320
3 36 Dec 18 85d 22.0% $2.35 $2.75 $23,618 39% $54,000 -$2,000 D $4,960
4 37 Jan 15 113d 19.9% $3.80 $3.90 $25,195 42% $52,000 -$4,000 D $7,260
5 37 Dec 18 85d 19.9% $2.75 $3.10 $26,624 44% $52,000 -$4,000 D $5,660
▶ 6 38 PROT Dec 18 85d 17.7% $3.20 $3.45 $29,629 49% $50,000 -$6,000 D $6,360
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $50, B $3.00 $60,000/yr $20,673/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $54 0.7σ, B $1.97 $39,400/yr $20,673/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($50, bid $3.00). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · overview rows

AAPL: HP 285P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 57d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 3.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $336.92 HP: 15.4% OTM Current hedge: $4,482/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $5,089/yr SS: $334.64 (unchanged) Account: RetireInc (...7291) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $55,042/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 10% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 1 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (35d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 285 → 280 (Dec 18, 85d) | Save $945/yr | Payback 32mo (2.65yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.04yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 16.9% OTM | RM 1.48x → 1.53x | Margin (TIMS): $6,071
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 280 Dec 18 85d 16.9% $1.93 $-0.65 $-325 $4,144 $12,990 $945 50 $2,500 32mo 1mo 1.53x PASS
2 240 Dec 18 85d 28.8% $0.48 $0.80 $400 $1,031 $2,362 $4,058 90 $22,500 67mo 5mo 1.95x FAIL
3 240 Jan 15 113d 28.8% $0.70 $0.58 $290 $1,131 $1,777 $3,958 90 $22,500 68mo 5mo 1.95x FAIL
4 245 Dec 18 85d 27.3% $0.56 $0.72 $360 $1,202 $2,920 $3,886 85 $20,000 62mo 4mo 1.90x FAIL
5 250 Dec 18 85d 25.8% $0.67 $0.61 $305 $1,439 $4,144 $3,650 80 $17,500 58mo 4mo 1.85x FAIL
6 245 Jan 15 113d 27.3% $0.91 $0.37 $185 $1,470 $2,196 $3,619 85 $20,000 66mo 4mo 1.90x FAIL
7 250 Jan 15 113d 25.8% $0.99 $0.29 $145 $1,599 $3,117 $3,490 80 $17,500 60mo 4mo 1.85x FAIL
8 255 Dec 18 85d 24.3% $0.78 $0.50 $250 $1,675 $5,089 $3,414 75 $15,000 53mo 3mo 1.79x FAIL
9 255 Jan 15 113d 24.3% $1.21 $0.07 $35 $1,954 $3,828 $3,134 75 $15,000 57mo 3mo 1.79x FAIL
10 260 Dec 18 85d 22.8% $0.92 $0.36 $180 $1,975 $6,098 $3,113 70 $12,500 48mo 3mo 1.74x FAIL
11 260 Jan 15 113d 22.8% $1.46 $-0.18 $-90 $2,358 $4,587 $2,731 70 $12,500 55mo 3mo 1.74x FAIL
12 265 Dec 18 85d 21.3% $1.10 $0.18 $90 $2,362 $7,622 $2,727 65 $10,000 44mo 2mo 1.69x FAIL
13 265 Jan 15 113d 21.3% $1.74 $-0.46 $-230 $2,810 $5,733 $2,278 65 $10,000 53mo 2mo 1.69x FAIL
14 270 Dec 18 85d 19.9% $1.36 $-0.08 $-40 $2,920 $8,910 $2,169 60 $7,500 42mo 2mo 1.63x FAIL
15 270 Jan 15 113d 19.9% $1.94 $-0.66 $-330 $3,133 $6,702 $1,955 60 $7,500 46mo 2mo 1.63x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (36d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $340, B $9.95 $49,750/yr $4,144/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $355 0.7σ, B $4.35 $21,750/yr $4,144/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 10% DRAWDOWN (stock $336.92 → $303.23, hedge $12,990/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $3,350/yr $12,990/yr DEFICIT $803/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $600/yr $12,990/yr DEFICIT $1,032/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($355, bid $4.35) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 10% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,032/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).