GENERATED2026-09-25 21:49
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$318,723/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$65,309/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$253,414/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$69,380
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$-30,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 42 positions
2 · ROLL NOW3 · REPAIR PLAN7 · LEAPS-ONLY30 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · IC $502,060 · notional $1,592,934
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$44.73 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.05 121.75x 21.8% SAFE 20 $32,000$89,460 ROLL NOW (21d)
AMZN →
+200C −250P +215P −270C
$248.30 200250 215270 $267.92 $270.96 351.52x 13.4% SAFE 5 $33,960$124,150 REPAIR PLAN (56d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −355C
$340.48 3100 0355 $392.50 $346.80 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$170,240 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$47.39 750 00 $70.58 $51.27 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$236,950 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −170C
$159.29 1800 0170 $233.00 $167.29 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$159,290 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −18P +25P
$27.45 2318 250 $36.42 $23.42 01.00x 8.9% OK 150 $201,300$411,750 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$85.88 6590 680 $93.40 $95.92 221.77x 20.8% SAFE 20 $56,800$171,760 OK
HOOD
+65C −95P +80P
$119.97 6595 800 $114.95 $117.99 151.30x 33.3% SAFE 10 $49,950$119,970 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P −1150C
$1093.64 670800 4201150 $792.36 $808.68 3804.31x 61.6% SAFE 1 $11,472$109,364 OK
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · IC $1,208,360 · notional $3,493,087
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$44.73 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.05 121.75x 21.8% SAFE 20 $32,000$89,460 ROLL NOW (21d)
BMNR (Main) →
+25C −18P +45P
$27.45 2518 450 $65.83 $59.38 01.00x -63.9% ITM 50 $204,150$137,250 REPAIR PLAN (112d)
IGV
+70C −111C
$107.70 700 0111 $96.50 $88.08 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$129,240 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+13C
$12.53 130 00 $16.75 $10.74 01.00x 0.0% N/A 400 $150,000$501,200 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Main)
+23C −18P +25P
$27.45 2318 250 $53.26 $46.19 01.00x 8.9% OK 75 $226,950$205,875 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +90P −240C
$195.32 165240 90240 $210.90 $212.34 1509.93x 53.9% SAFE 8 $13,440$156,256 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −240C
$195.32 500330 300240 $563.00 $365.63 301.48x -53.6% ITM 25 $157,500$488,300 OK
DELL
+310C −400P +320P
$554.12 310400 3200 $562.50 $570.87 801.32x 42.3% SAFE 3 $75,750$166,236 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$20.27 1316 100 $17.33 $17.62 62.39x 50.7% SAFE 50 $21,650$101,350 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −430C
$391.98 320450 330430 $456.00 $467.84 1201.88x 15.8% SAFE 10 $136,000$391,975 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P −30C
$24.87 3838 1830 $39.71 $34.76 2010.05x 29.6% SAFE 125 $27,625$310,875 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −35C
$28.70 1020 535 $17.47 $18.26 154.04x 82.6% SAFE 15 $7,395$43,050 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +340P −1350C
$1093.64 8801010 3401350 $1028.60 $1044.78 6705.51x 68.9% SAFE 5 $74,300$546,820 OK
NVDA
+215C −225P +200P −230C
$225.20 215225 200230 $264.80 $229.78 251.50x 11.2% SAFE 10 $49,800$225,200 OK
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · IC $180,200 · notional $1,191,230
AAPL →
+240C −330P +285P −342C
$335.95 240330 285342 $334.64 $336.31 451.48x 15.2% SAFE 5 $47,320$167,975 REPAIR PLAN (56d)
MARA (RetireInc)
+40C
$12.53 400 00 $41.04 $11.23 01.00x 0.0% N/A 500 $52,000$626,500 LEAPS-ONLY
APP
+460C −540P +185P −370C
$311.93 460540 185370 $588.00 $610.87 3553.77x 40.7% SAFE 1 $12,800$31,193 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$13.91 1717 100 $20.74 $18.49 72.87x 28.1% SAFE 25 $9,350$34,788 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$32.70 4560 200 $56.15 $58.75 406.48x 38.8% SAFE 10 $7,300$32,700 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P
$44.73 5070 230 $63.43 $66.15 477.86x 48.6% SAFE 20 $13,700$89,460 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −170C
$159.29 125185 55170 $161.00 $163.23 13011.83x 65.5% SAFE 4 $4,800$63,716 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +100P −220C
$199.99 190210 100220 $224.00 $227.28 1104.24x 50.0% SAFE 5 $17,000$99,995 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −85C
$74.84 115135 4585 $141.55 $148.35 904.39x 39.9% SAFE 6 $15,930$44,904 OK
Neville (...0865)10 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $441,025 · notional $2,317,418
SPY
+640C −782C
$769.54 6400 0782 $764.00 $702.21 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$923,448 LEAPS-ONLY
CRCL
+45C −65P +40P
$89.37 4565 400 $87.00 $88.74 251.60x 55.2% SAFE 5 $21,000$44,685 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −100C
$89.07 105120 40100 $125.45 $127.89 804.91x 55.1% SAFE 5 $10,225$44,535 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P
$340.48 300345 3100 $373.00 $344.05 351.48x 9.0% OK 15 $109,500$510,720 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P
$340.48 340405 3600 $398.00 $384.35 451.88x -5.7% ITM 5 $25,500$170,240 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −160C
$126.02 85100 35160 $114.00 $116.45 653.24x 72.2% SAFE 5 $14,500$63,010 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P
$44.73 4565 210 $56.50 $57.97 4415.67x 53.1% SAFE 20 $6,000$89,460 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +390P −1250C
$1093.64 9701110 3901250 $1220.00 $1233.92 7203.88x 64.3% SAFE 2 $50,000$218,728 OK
SNDK
+1200C −1380P +810P −2200C
$1786.67 12001380 8102200 $1620.00 $1630.43 5702.36x 54.7% SAFE 1 $42,000$178,668 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P
$147.85 150195 1350 $186.00 $189.97 603.22x 8.7% OK 5 $13,500$73,925 OK
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · overview rows

AMZN: HP 215P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 56d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 2.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $248.30 HP: 13.4% OTM Current hedge: $9,940/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $8,881/yr SS: $267.92 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $16,832/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 11% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 6 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (34d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 215 → 210 (Jan 15, 112d) | Save $1,711/yr | Payback 18mo (1.46yr) hedge only, 2mo (0.13yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 15.4% OTM | RM 1.52x → 1.59x | Margin (TIMS): $4,306
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 210 Jan 15 112d 15.4% $4.40 $-1.54 $-770 $7,170 $15,969 $1,711 40 $2,500 18mo 2mo 1.59x PASS
2 205 Jan 15 112d 17.4% $3.60 $-0.74 $-370 $5,866 $13,199 $3,015 45 $5,000 20mo 3mo 1.66x PASS
3 210 Dec 18 84d 15.4% $3.40 $-0.54 $-270 $7,387 $21,292 $1,494 40 $2,500 20mo 2mo 1.59x PASS
4 205 Dec 18 84d 17.4% $2.77 $0.09 $45 $6,018 $17,598 $2,862 45 $5,000 21mo 3mo 1.66x PASS
5 200 Dec 18 84d 19.5% $2.14 $0.72 $360 $4,649 $14,339 $4,231 50 $7,500 21mo 4mo 1.74x PASS
6 200 Jan 15 112d 19.5% $2.89 $-0.03 $-15 $4,709 $10,754 $4,171 50 $7,500 22mo 4mo 1.74x PASS
7 175 Dec 18 84d 29.5% $0.80 $2.06 $1,030 $1,738 $3,932 $7,142 75 $20,000 34mo 10mo 2.10x FAIL
8 175 Jan 15 112d 29.5% $1.11 $1.75 $875 $1,809 $2,949 $7,072 75 $20,000 34mo 10mo 2.10x FAIL
9 180 Dec 18 84d 27.5% $0.95 $1.91 $955 $2,064 $6,018 $6,817 70 $17,500 31mo 9mo 2.03x FAIL
10 180 Jan 15 112d 27.5% $1.30 $1.56 $780 $2,118 $4,514 $6,762 70 $17,500 31mo 9mo 2.03x FAIL
11 185 Dec 18 84d 25.5% $1.13 $1.73 $865 $2,455 $7,387 $6,426 65 $15,000 28mo 8mo 1.96x FAIL
12 185 Jan 15 112d 25.5% $1.66 $1.20 $600 $2,705 $5,540 $6,176 65 $15,000 29mo 8mo 1.96x FAIL
13 190 Dec 18 84d 23.5% $1.47 $1.39 $695 $3,194 $9,342 $5,687 60 $12,500 26mo 7mo 1.88x FAIL
14 190 Jan 15 112d 23.5% $2.01 $0.85 $425 $3,275 $7,007 $5,605 60 $12,500 27mo 7mo 1.88x FAIL
15 195 Dec 18 84d 21.5% $1.81 $1.05 $525 $3,932 $11,624 $4,948 55 $10,000 24mo 6mo 1.81x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $275, B $3.60 $18,514/yr $7,170/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $270 0.7σ, B $4.60 $23,657/yr $7,170/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 11% DRAWDOWN (stock $248.30 → $220.56, hedge $15,969/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $3,446/yr $15,969/yr DEFICIT $1,044/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $3,446/yr $15,969/yr DEFICIT $1,044/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($270, bid $4.60) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 11% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,044/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 21d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened cost cap 25% → 50% of CC to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $44.73 Current HP: 35P (21d, 21.8% OTM) Current hedge: $12,167/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $81,707/yr Cost cap: 50% of CC = $40,854/yr IV: HIGH 9 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (41d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Jan 15 '27, 112d, 21.8% OTM) | Cost: $22,487/yr (28% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $6,300 | Margin (TIMS): $1,558
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 40P (Jan 15 '27, 112d, 10.6% OTM) | Cost: $36,174/yr (44% of CC) | New ML: $46,000 ↓ $10,000 | Roll DEBIT $10,500 | Margin (TIMS): $1,324
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 35 CHEAP Jan 15 112d 21.8% $3.00 $3.45 $22,487 28% $56,000 = D $6,300
2 35 Dec 18 84d 21.8% $2.34 $2.67 $23,204 28% $56,000 = D $4,740
3 36 Dec 18 84d 19.5% $2.54 $2.99 $25,985 32% $54,000 -$2,000 D $5,380
4 37 Jan 15 112d 17.3% $4.00 $4.30 $28,027 34% $52,000 -$4,000 D $8,000
5 37 Dec 18 84d 17.3% $2.89 $3.40 $29,548 36% $52,000 -$4,000 D $6,200
6 38 Dec 18 84d 15.0% $3.40 $3.80 $33,024 40% $50,000 -$6,000 D $7,000
▶ 7 40 PROT Jan 15 112d 10.6% $5.20 $5.55 $36,174 44% $46,000 -$10,000 D $10,500
8 39 Dec 18 84d 12.8% $3.65 $4.20 $36,500 45% $48,000 -$8,000 D $7,800
9 40 Dec 18 84d 10.6% $4.40 $4.65 $40,411 49% $46,000 -$10,000 D $8,700
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $2.09 $42,994/yr $22,487/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $52 0.7σ, B $1.86 $38,263/yr $22,487/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($51, bid $2.09). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · overview rows

BMNR (Main): HP 45P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 112d

Stock: $27.45 HP: ITM Current hedge: $303,895/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $65.83 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 50 (5,000 sh) CC income: $104,250/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 25% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 5 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-20 INTRADAY (56d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 45 → 25 (Jan 15, 112d) | Save $250,123/yr | Payback N/A hedge only, N/A w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 8.9% OTM | RM 1.00x → 0.83x | Margin (TIMS): $382
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 25 Jan 15 112d 8.9% $3.30 $14.10 $70,500 $53,772 $46,440 $250,123 -7 $-35,000 N/A N/A 0.83x PASS
2 24 Jan 15 112d 12.6% $2.74 $14.66 $73,300 $44,647 $48,884 $259,248 -6 $-30,000 N/A N/A 0.85x PASS
3 22 Jan 15 112d 18.0% $2.25 $15.15 $75,750 $36,663 $59,475 $267,232 -4 $-22,500 N/A N/A 0.89x PASS
4 21 Jan 15 112d 23.5% $1.81 $15.59 $77,950 $29,493 $71,696 $274,402 -3 $-15,000 N/A N/A 0.93x PASS
5 20 Jan 15 112d 27.1% $1.34 $16.06 $80,300 $21,835 $70,882 $282,060 -2 $-10,000 N/A N/A 0.95x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $59 — assignment locks a loss · $35, B $0.67 $34,457/yr $53,772/yr DEFICIT $1,610/mo
CC at MID $32 0.7σ, B $1.07 $55,029/yr $53,772/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 25% DRAWDOWN (stock $27.45 → $20.72, hedge $46,440/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $34,457/yr $46,440/yr DEFICIT $999/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $34,457/yr $46,440/yr DEFICIT $999/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($32, bid $1.07) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 25% drawdown, even MID is short ~$999/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Main): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 21d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened cost cap 25% → 50% of CC to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $44.73 Current HP: 35P (21d, 21.8% OTM) Current hedge: $12,167/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $81,707/yr Cost cap: 50% of CC = $40,854/yr IV: HIGH 9 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (41d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Jan 15 '27, 112d, 21.8% OTM) | Cost: $22,487/yr (28% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $6,300 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 40P (Jan 15 '27, 112d, 10.6% OTM) | Cost: $36,174/yr (44% of CC) | New ML: $46,000 ↓ $10,000 | Roll DEBIT $10,500 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 35 CHEAP Jan 15 112d 21.8% $3.00 $3.45 $22,487 28% $56,000 = D $6,300
2 35 Dec 18 84d 21.8% $2.34 $2.67 $23,204 28% $56,000 = D $4,740
3 36 Dec 18 84d 19.5% $2.54 $2.99 $25,985 32% $54,000 -$2,000 D $5,380
4 37 Jan 15 112d 17.3% $4.00 $4.30 $28,027 34% $52,000 -$4,000 D $8,000
5 37 Dec 18 84d 17.3% $2.89 $3.40 $29,548 36% $52,000 -$4,000 D $6,200
6 38 Dec 18 84d 15.0% $3.40 $3.80 $33,024 40% $50,000 -$6,000 D $7,000
▶ 7 40 PROT Jan 15 112d 10.6% $5.20 $5.55 $36,174 44% $46,000 -$10,000 D $10,500
8 39 Dec 18 84d 12.8% $3.65 $4.20 $36,500 45% $48,000 -$8,000 D $7,800
9 40 Dec 18 84d 10.6% $4.40 $4.65 $40,411 49% $46,000 -$10,000 D $8,700
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $2.09 $42,994/yr $22,487/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $52 0.7σ, B $1.86 $38,263/yr $22,487/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($51, bid $2.09). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · overview rows

AAPL: HP 285P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 56d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 3.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $335.95 HP: 15.2% OTM Current hedge: $4,888/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $5,345/yr SS: $334.64 (unchanged) Account: RetireInc (...7291) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $50,025/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 10% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 1 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (34d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 285 → 280 (Dec 18, 84d) | Save $978/yr | Payback 31mo (2.56yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.05yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 16.7% OTM | RM 1.48x → 1.53x | Margin (TIMS): $6,059
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 280 Dec 18 84d 16.7% $2.01 $-0.70 $-350 $4,367 $13,470 $978 50 $2,500 31mo 1mo 1.53x PASS
2 240 Dec 18 84d 28.6% $0.49 $0.82 $410 $1,065 $2,564 $4,280 90 $22,500 63mo 5mo 1.95x FAIL
3 240 Jan 15 112d 28.6% $0.76 $0.55 $275 $1,238 $1,923 $4,106 90 $22,500 66mo 5mo 1.95x FAIL
4 245 Dec 18 84d 27.1% $0.63 $0.68 $340 $1,369 $3,020 $3,976 85 $20,000 60mo 4mo 1.90x FAIL
5 245 Jan 15 112d 27.1% $0.90 $0.41 $205 $1,467 $2,265 $3,878 85 $20,000 62mo 4mo 1.90x FAIL
6 250 Dec 18 84d 25.6% $0.71 $0.60 $300 $1,543 $4,367 $3,802 80 $17,500 55mo 4mo 1.85x FAIL
7 250 Jan 15 112d 25.6% $0.98 $0.33 $165 $1,597 $3,275 $3,748 80 $17,500 56mo 4mo 1.85x FAIL
8 255 Dec 18 84d 24.1% $0.85 $0.46 $230 $1,847 $5,345 $3,498 75 $15,000 51mo 3mo 1.79x FAIL
9 255 Jan 15 112d 24.1% $1.27 $0.04 $20 $2,069 $4,008 $3,275 75 $15,000 55mo 3mo 1.79x FAIL
10 260 Dec 18 84d 22.6% $1.04 $0.27 $135 $2,260 $6,387 $3,085 70 $12,500 49mo 3mo 1.74x FAIL
11 260 Jan 15 112d 22.6% $1.45 $-0.14 $-70 $2,363 $4,791 $2,982 70 $12,500 50mo 3mo 1.74x FAIL
12 265 Dec 18 84d 21.1% $1.18 $0.13 $65 $2,564 $7,713 $2,781 65 $10,000 43mo 2mo 1.69x FAIL
13 265 Jan 15 112d 21.1% $1.76 $-0.45 $-225 $2,868 $5,785 $2,477 65 $10,000 48mo 2mo 1.69x FAIL
14 270 Dec 18 84d 19.6% $1.39 $-0.08 $-40 $3,020 $9,234 $2,325 60 $7,500 39mo 2mo 1.63x FAIL
15 270 Jan 15 112d 19.6% $2.04 $-0.73 $-365 $3,324 $6,925 $2,021 60 $7,500 45mo 2mo 1.63x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $340, B $9.15 $47,057/yr $4,367/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $355 0.7σ, B $3.95 $20,314/yr $4,367/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 10% DRAWDOWN (stock $335.95 → $302.36, hedge $13,470/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $3,240/yr $13,470/yr DEFICIT $853/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $771/yr $13,470/yr DEFICIT $1,058/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($355, bid $3.95) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 10% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,058/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).