GENERATED2026-09-28 21:48
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$321,948/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$62,368/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$259,580/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$72,675
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$-32,500
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 42 positions
2 · ROLL NOW2 · REPAIR PLAN7 · LEAPS-ONLY31 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · IC $502,060 · notional $1,587,240
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$43.72 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.57 121.75x 19.9% SAFE 20 $32,000$87,430 ROLL NOW (18d)
AMZN →
+200C −250P +215P −258C
$246.07 200250 215258 $267.92 $271.05 351.52x 12.6% SAFE 5 $33,960$123,035 REPAIR PLAN (53d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −355C
$339.46 3100 0355 $392.50 $348.01 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$169,730 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$47.43 750 00 $70.58 $51.66 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$237,150 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −170C
$159.45 1800 0170 $233.00 $169.16 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$159,450 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −18P +25P
$27.71 2318 250 $36.42 $24.42 01.00x 9.8% OK 150 $201,300$415,650 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −90C
$84.75 6590 6890 $93.40 $96.07 221.77x 19.8% SAFE 20 $56,800$169,490 OK
HOOD
+65C −95P +80P
$119.09 6595 800 $114.95 $119.50 151.30x 32.8% SAFE 10 $49,950$119,090 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P −1250C
$1062.15 670800 4201250 $792.36 $807.34 3804.31x 60.5% SAFE 1 $11,472$106,215 OK
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · IC $1,208,360 · notional $3,471,035
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$43.72 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.57 121.75x 19.9% SAFE 20 $32,000$87,430 ROLL NOW (18d)
BMNR (Main) →
+25C −18P +45P
$27.71 2518 450 $65.83 $59.37 01.00x -62.4% ITM 50 $204,150$138,550 REPAIR PLAN (109d)
IGV
+70C −111C
$104.11 700 0111 $96.50 $88.08 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$124,932 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+13C
$12.70 130 00 $16.75 $11.13 01.00x 0.0% N/A 400 $150,000$508,000 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Main)
+23C −18P +25P
$27.71 2318 250 $53.26 $46.90 01.00x 9.8% OK 75 $226,950$207,825 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +90P −240C
$196.74 165240 90240 $210.90 $215.18 1509.93x 54.3% SAFE 8 $13,440$157,392 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −240C
$196.74 500330 300240 $563.00 $370.61 301.48x -52.5% ITM 25 $157,500$491,850 OK
DELL
+310C −400P +320P −610C
$547.62 310400 320610 $562.50 $570.11 801.32x 41.6% SAFE 3 $75,750$164,286 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$20.36 1316 100 $17.33 $17.75 62.39x 50.9% SAFE 50 $21,650$101,775 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −430C
$380.87 320450 330430 $456.00 $470.59 1201.88x 13.4% SAFE 10 $136,000$380,870 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P −30C
$24.14 3838 1830 $39.71 $35.16 2010.05x 27.5% SAFE 125 $27,625$301,750 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −32C
$28.68 1020 532 $17.47 $18.57 154.04x 82.6% SAFE 15 $7,395$43,020 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +340P −1350C
$1062.15 8801010 3401350 $1028.60 $1045.04 6705.51x 68.0% SAFE 5 $74,300$531,075 OK
NVDA
+215C −225P +200P −230C
$232.28 215225 200230 $264.80 $229.11 251.50x 13.9% SAFE 10 $49,800$232,280 OK
Neville (...0865)10 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $441,025 · notional $2,291,986
SPY
+640C −782C
$767.86 6400 0782 $764.00 $701.88 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$921,432 LEAPS-ONLY
CRCL
+45C −65P +40P
$86.50 4565 400 $87.00 $92.08 251.60x 53.8% SAFE 5 $21,000$43,250 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −95C
$87.48 105120 4095 $125.45 $128.43 804.91x 54.3% SAFE 5 $10,225$43,740 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −355C
$339.46 300345 310355 $373.00 $345.85 351.48x 8.7% OK 15 $109,500$509,190 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −355C
$339.46 340405 360355 $398.00 $384.85 451.88x -6.1% ITM 5 $25,500$169,730 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −160C
$117.17 85100 35160 $114.00 $115.21 653.24x 70.1% SAFE 5 $14,500$58,585 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −55C
$43.72 4565 2155 $56.50 $58.26 4415.67x 52.0% SAFE 20 $6,000$87,430 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +390P −1250C
$1062.15 9701110 3901250 $1220.00 $1233.74 7203.88x 63.3% SAFE 2 $50,000$212,430 OK
SNDK
+1200C −1380P +810P −2200C
$1714.29 12001380 8102200 $1620.00 $1631.58 5702.36x 52.8% SAFE 1 $42,000$171,429 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −155C
$149.54 150195 135155 $186.00 $190.21 603.22x 9.7% OK 5 $13,500$74,770 OK
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $180,200 · notional $1,192,091
MARA (RetireInc)
+40C
$12.70 400 00 $41.04 $11.57 01.00x 0.0% N/A 500 $52,000$635,000 LEAPS-ONLY
AAPL
+240C −330P +285P
$342.37 240330 2850 $334.64 $336.58 451.48x 16.8% SAFE 5 $47,320$171,185 OK
APP
+460C −540P +185P −335C
$311.68 460540 185335 $588.00 $609.37 3553.77x 40.6% SAFE 1 $12,800$31,168 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$13.92 1717 100 $20.74 $18.34 72.87x 28.2% SAFE 25 $9,350$34,800 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$31.27 4560 200 $56.15 $58.74 406.48x 36.0% SAFE 10 $7,300$31,270 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −55C
$43.72 5070 2355 $63.43 $66.74 477.86x 47.4% SAFE 20 $13,700$87,430 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −170C
$159.45 125185 55170 $161.00 $164.54 13011.83x 65.5% SAFE 4 $4,800$63,780 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +100P −220C
$188.06 190210 100220 $224.00 $226.48 1104.24x 46.8% SAFE 5 $17,000$94,030 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −85C
$72.38 115135 4585 $141.55 $147.27 904.39x 37.8% SAFE 6 $15,930$43,428 OK
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · overview rows

AMZN: HP 215P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 53d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 2.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $246.07 HP: 12.6% OTM Current hedge: $11,363/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $9,627/yr SS: $267.92 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $22,863/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 11% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 8 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (31d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 215 → 210 (Jan 15, 109d) | Save $1,674/yr | Payback 18mo (1.49yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.10yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 14.7% OTM | RM 1.52x → 1.59x | Margin (TIMS): $4,234
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 210 Jan 15 109d 14.7% $4.75 $-1.65 $-825 $7,953 $17,664 $1,674 40 $2,500 18mo 1mo 1.59x PASS
2 205 Jan 15 109d 16.7% $3.95 $-0.85 $-425 $6,614 $14,567 $3,014 45 $5,000 20mo 2mo 1.66x PASS
3 200 Dec 18 81d 18.7% $2.30 $0.80 $400 $5,182 $15,884 $4,445 50 $7,500 20mo 3mo 1.74x PASS
4 200 Jan 15 109d 18.7% $3.10 $0.00 $0 $5,190 $11,804 $4,437 50 $7,500 20mo 3mo 1.74x PASS
5 210 Dec 18 81d 14.7% $3.65 $-0.55 $-275 $8,224 $23,770 $1,404 40 $2,500 21mo 1mo 1.59x PASS
6 205 Dec 18 81d 16.7% $3.05 $0.05 $25 $6,872 $19,602 $2,755 45 $5,000 22mo 2mo 1.66x PASS
7 195 Dec 18 81d 20.8% $1.95 $1.15 $575 $4,394 $12,843 $5,234 55 $10,000 23mo 4mo 1.81x PASS
8 195 Jan 15 109d 20.8% $2.64 $0.46 $230 $4,420 $9,544 $5,207 55 $10,000 23mo 4mo 1.81x PASS
9 175 Dec 18 81d 28.9% $0.84 $2.26 $1,130 $1,893 $4,394 $7,735 75 $20,000 31mo 8mo 2.10x FAIL
10 175 Jan 15 109d 28.9% $1.21 $1.89 $945 $2,026 $3,265 $7,601 75 $20,000 32mo 8mo 2.10x FAIL
11 180 Dec 18 81d 26.9% $0.93 $2.17 $1,085 $2,095 $6,872 $7,532 70 $17,500 28mo 7mo 2.03x FAIL
12 180 Jan 15 109d 26.9% $1.46 $1.64 $820 $2,444 $5,107 $7,183 70 $17,500 29mo 7mo 2.03x FAIL
13 185 Dec 18 81d 24.8% $1.18 $1.92 $960 $2,659 $8,224 $6,969 65 $15,000 26mo 6mo 1.96x FAIL
14 185 Jan 15 109d 24.8% $1.77 $1.33 $665 $2,964 $6,111 $6,664 65 $15,000 27mo 6mo 1.96x FAIL
15 190 Jan 15 109d 22.8% $2.04 $1.06 $530 $3,416 $7,786 $6,212 60 $12,500 24mo 5mo 1.88x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $275, B $2.99 $16,819/yr $7,953/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $265 0.7σ, B $4.90 $27,562/yr $7,953/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 11% DRAWDOWN (stock $246.07 → $218.27, hedge $17,664/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $4,331/yr $17,664/yr DEFICIT $1,111/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $4,331/yr $17,664/yr DEFICIT $1,111/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($265, bid $4.90) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 11% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,111/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 18d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened cost cap 25% → 50% of CC to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $43.72 Current HP: 35P (18d, 19.9% OTM) Current hedge: $15,411/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $77,385/yr Cost cap: 50% of CC = $38,693/yr IV: HIGH 6 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (38d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Dec 18 '26, 81d, 19.9% OTM) | Cost: $24,333/yr (31% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $4,760 | Margin (TIMS): $1,519
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 38P (Dec 18 '26, 81d, 13.1% OTM) | Cost: $34,698/yr (45% of CC) | New ML: $50,000 ↓ $6,000 | Roll DEBIT $7,060 | Margin (TIMS): $1,337
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 35 CHEAP Dec 18 81d 19.9% $2.52 $2.70 $24,333 31% $56,000 = D $4,760
2 35 Jan 15 109d 19.9% $3.30 $3.65 $24,445 32% $56,000 = D $6,660
3 36 Dec 18 81d 17.6% $2.89 $3.05 $27,488 36% $54,000 -$2,000 D $5,460
4 37 Jan 15 109d 15.4% $4.05 $4.50 $30,138 39% $52,000 -$4,000 D $8,360
5 37 Dec 18 81d 15.4% $3.20 $3.70 $33,346 43% $52,000 -$4,000 D $6,760
▶ 6 38 PROT Dec 18 81d 13.1% $3.65 $3.85 $34,698 45% $50,000 -$6,000 D $7,060
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $1.61 $36,225/yr $24,333/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $50 0.6σ, B $1.79 $40,275/yr $24,333/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($51, bid $1.61). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · overview rows

BMNR (Main): HP 45P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 109d

Stock: $27.71 HP: ITM Current hedge: $310,585/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $65.83 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 50 (5,000 sh) CC income: $92,335/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 24% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 5 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-20 INTRADAY (53d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 45 → 25 (Jan 15, 109d) | Save $256,170/yr | Payback N/A hedge only, N/A w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 9.8% OTM | RM 1.00x → 0.83x | Margin (TIMS): $374
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 25 Jan 15 109d 9.8% $3.25 $14.70 $73,500 $54,415 $52,908 $256,170 -7 $-35,000 N/A N/A 0.83x PASS
2 24 Jan 15 109d 13.4% $2.88 $15.07 $75,350 $48,220 $57,094 $262,365 -6 $-30,000 N/A N/A 0.85x PASS
3 22 Jan 15 109d 18.8% $2.23 $15.72 $78,600 $37,337 $67,140 $273,248 -4 $-22,500 N/A N/A 0.89x PASS
4 21 Jan 15 109d 24.2% $1.74 $16.21 $81,050 $29,133 $78,860 $281,452 -3 $-15,000 N/A N/A 0.93x PASS
5 20 Jan 15 109d 27.8% $1.44 $16.51 $82,550 $24,110 $63,624 $286,475 -2 $-10,000 N/A N/A 0.95x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $59 — assignment locks a loss · $35, B $0.52 $29,250/yr $54,415/yr DEFICIT $2,097/mo
CC at MID $32 0.7σ, B $0.66 $37,125/yr $54,415/yr DEFICIT $1,441/mo
AT 24% DRAWDOWN (stock $27.71 → $20.94, hedge $52,908/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $29,250/yr $52,908/yr DEFICIT $1,972/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $29,250/yr $52,908/yr DEFICIT $1,972/mo
NOT SELF-FUNDING Requires ongoing capital even at MID
CC WRITING STRATEGY
NO SAFE CC STRATEGY at the current chain. Hedge bleeds even at MID strike. Either restructure (deeper-OTM HP, smaller position) or commit to ongoing capital subsidy.
FIGHT no published plan for this fortress (seam as of 2026-09-28 21:45). Fight plans cover uncovered deep-drawdown fortresses; a covered or shallow slice deliberately has none.

IREN (Main): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 18d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened cost cap 25% → 50% of CC to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $43.72 Current HP: 35P (18d, 19.9% OTM) Current hedge: $15,411/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $77,385/yr Cost cap: 50% of CC = $38,693/yr IV: HIGH 6 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (38d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Dec 18 '26, 81d, 19.9% OTM) | Cost: $24,333/yr (31% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $4,760 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 38P (Dec 18 '26, 81d, 13.1% OTM) | Cost: $34,698/yr (45% of CC) | New ML: $50,000 ↓ $6,000 | Roll DEBIT $7,060 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 35 CHEAP Dec 18 81d 19.9% $2.52 $2.70 $24,333 31% $56,000 = D $4,760
2 35 Jan 15 109d 19.9% $3.30 $3.65 $24,445 32% $56,000 = D $6,660
3 36 Dec 18 81d 17.6% $2.89 $3.05 $27,488 36% $54,000 -$2,000 D $5,460
4 37 Jan 15 109d 15.4% $4.05 $4.50 $30,138 39% $52,000 -$4,000 D $8,360
5 37 Dec 18 81d 15.4% $3.20 $3.70 $33,346 43% $52,000 -$4,000 D $6,760
▶ 6 38 PROT Dec 18 81d 13.1% $3.65 $3.85 $34,698 45% $50,000 -$6,000 D $7,060
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $1.61 $36,225/yr $24,333/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $50 0.6σ, B $1.79 $40,275/yr $24,333/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($51, bid $1.61). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).