GENERATED2026-09-29 03:51
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$375,595/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$96,224/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$279,371/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$64,200
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$-13,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 42 positions
2 · REPAIR SOON3 · REPAIR PLAN7 · LEAPS-ONLY30 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · IC $502,060 · notional $1,563,448
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$41.90 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.13 121.75x 16.5% SAFE 20 $32,000$83,800 REPAIR SOON (18d)
AMZN →
+200C −250P +215P −258C
$245.89 200250 215258 $267.92 $270.22 351.52x 12.6% SAFE 5 $33,960$122,945 REPAIR PLAN (53d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −355C
$338.89 3100 0355 $392.50 $348.57 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$169,445 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$47.15 750 00 $70.58 $51.75 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$235,750 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −170C
$157.04 1800 0170 $233.00 $168.13 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$157,040 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −18P +25P
$26.80 2318 250 $36.42 $24.05 01.00x 6.7% OK 150 $201,300$402,000 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −90C
$85.31 6590 6890 $93.40 $96.40 221.77x 20.3% SAFE 20 $56,800$170,620 OK
HOOD
+65C −95P +80P
$116.47 6595 800 $114.95 $119.59 151.30x 31.3% SAFE 10 $49,950$116,470 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P −1250C
$1053.78 670800 4201250 $792.36 $805.19 3804.31x 60.1% SAFE 1 $11,472$105,378 OK
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · IC $1,208,360 · notional $3,394,746
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$41.90 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.13 121.75x 16.5% SAFE 20 $32,000$83,800 REPAIR SOON (18d)
BMNR (Main) →
+25C −18P +45P
$26.80 2518 450 $65.83 $59.94 01.00x -67.9% ITM 50 $204,150$134,000 REPAIR PLAN (109d)
IGV
+70C −111C
$105.47 700 0111 $96.50 $88.19 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$126,564 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+13C
$12.15 130 00 $16.75 $11.00 01.00x 0.0% N/A 400 $150,000$486,000 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Main)
+23C −18P +25P
$26.80 2318 250 $53.26 $46.70 01.00x 6.7% OK 75 $226,950$201,000 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +90P −240C
$192.06 165240 90240 $210.90 $212.16 1509.93x 53.1% SAFE 8 $13,440$153,648 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −240C
$192.06 500330 300240 $563.00 $368.80 301.48x -56.2% ITM 25 $157,500$480,150 OK
DELL
+310C −400P +320P
$540.58 310400 3200 $562.50 $570.39 801.32x 40.8% SAFE 3 $75,750$162,174 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$20.14 1316 100 $17.33 $17.50 62.39x 50.3% SAFE 50 $21,650$100,700 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −413C
$378.24 320450 330413 $456.00 $469.45 1201.88x 12.8% SAFE 10 $136,000$378,240 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P −26C
$23.18 3838 1826 $39.71 $34.38 2010.05x 24.5% SAFE 125 $27,625$289,750 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −32C
$28.68 1020 532 $17.47 $18.76 154.04x 82.6% SAFE 15 $7,395$43,020 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +340P −1350C
$1053.78 8801010 3401350 $1028.60 $1041.85 6705.51x 67.7% SAFE 5 $74,300$526,890 OK
NVDA
+215C −225P +200P −240C
$228.81 215225 200240 $264.80 $229.32 251.50x 12.6% SAFE 10 $49,800$228,810 OK
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · IC $180,200 · notional $1,155,724
AAPL →
+240C −330P +285P −360C
$338.68 240330 285360 $334.64 $335.77 451.48x 15.8% SAFE 5 $47,320$169,340 REPAIR PLAN (53d)
MARA (RetireInc)
+40C
$12.15 400 00 $41.04 $11.28 01.00x 0.0% N/A 500 $52,000$607,500 LEAPS-ONLY
APP
+460C −540P +185P −335C
$307.33 460540 185335 $588.00 $608.22 3553.77x 39.8% SAFE 1 $12,800$30,733 OK
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$13.45 1717 100 $20.74 $18.40 72.87x 25.6% SAFE 25 $9,350$33,616 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$31.00 4560 200 $56.15 $58.42 406.48x 35.5% SAFE 10 $7,300$31,000 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −55C
$41.90 5070 2355 $63.43 $66.25 477.86x 45.1% SAFE 20 $13,700$83,800 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −170C
$157.04 125185 55170 $161.00 $162.40 13011.83x 65.0% SAFE 4 $4,800$62,816 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +100P −220C
$187.39 190210 100220 $224.00 $226.92 1104.24x 46.6% SAFE 5 $17,000$93,695 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −85C
$72.04 115135 4585 $141.55 $147.47 904.39x 37.5% SAFE 6 $15,930$43,224 OK
Neville (...0865)10 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $441,025 · notional $2,278,747
SPY
+640C −770C
$765.27 6400 0770 $764.00 $702.14 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$918,324 LEAPS-ONLY
CRCL
+45C −65P +40P
$86.02 4565 400 $87.00 $90.63 251.60x 53.5% SAFE 5 $21,000$43,010 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −95C
$85.50 105120 4095 $125.45 $128.41 804.91x 53.2% SAFE 5 $10,225$42,750 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −350C
$338.89 300345 310350 $373.00 $345.42 351.48x 8.5% OK 15 $109,500$508,335 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −350C
$338.89 340405 360350 $398.00 $385.09 451.88x -6.2% ITM 5 $25,500$169,445 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −160C
$115.92 85100 35160 $114.00 $116.00 653.24x 69.8% SAFE 5 $14,500$57,960 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −55C
$41.90 4565 2155 $56.50 $57.63 4415.67x 49.9% SAFE 20 $6,000$83,800 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +390P −1250C
$1053.78 9701110 3901250 $1220.00 $1232.00 7203.88x 63.0% SAFE 2 $50,000$210,756 OK
SNDK
+1200C −1380P +810P −1850C
$1714.37 12001380 8101850 $1620.00 $1632.16 5702.36x 52.8% SAFE 1 $42,000$171,437 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −155C
$145.86 150195 135155 $186.00 $190.02 603.22x 7.4% OK 5 $13,500$72,930 OK
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · overview rows

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 18d

Stock: $41.90 HP: 16.5% OTM Current hedge: $19,872/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $26,454/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $73,944/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 22% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 2 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (38d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 32 (Jan 15, 109d) | Save $7,903/yr | Payback 9mo (0.76yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.07yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 23.6% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.94x | Margin (TIMS): $1,621
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 32 Jan 15 109d 23.6% $2.77 $-2.36 $-4,720 $18,551 $39,179 $7,903 15 $6,000 9mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
2 30 Jan 15 109d 28.4% $2.10 $-1.69 $-3,380 $14,064 $29,133 $12,390 17 $10,000 10mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $1.21 $27,225/yr $18,551/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $48 0.6σ, B $1.53 $34,425/yr $18,551/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 22% DRAWDOWN (stock $41.90 → $32.78, hedge $39,179/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $10,350/yr $39,179/yr DEFICIT $2,402/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $10,350/yr $39,179/yr DEFICIT $2,402/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($48, bid $1.53) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 22% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,402/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

AMZN: HP 215P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 53d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 2.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $245.89 HP: 12.6% OTM Current hedge: $11,191/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $9,292/yr SS: $267.92 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $22,691/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 11% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 8 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (31d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 215 → 210 (Jan 15, 109d) | Save $1,674/yr | Payback 18mo (1.49yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.10yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 14.6% OTM | RM 1.52x → 1.59x | Margin (TIMS): $4,236
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 210 Jan 15 109d 14.6% $4.55 $-1.55 $-775 $7,618 $17,162 $1,674 40 $2,500 18mo 1mo 1.59x PASS
2 205 Jan 15 109d 16.6% $3.70 $-0.70 $-350 $6,195 $14,064 $3,097 45 $5,000 19mo 2mo 1.66x PASS
3 205 Dec 18 81d 16.6% $2.80 $0.20 $100 $6,309 $18,926 $2,984 45 $5,000 20mo 2mo 1.66x PASS
4 200 Dec 18 81d 18.7% $2.20 $0.80 $400 $4,957 $15,434 $4,336 50 $7,500 21mo 3mo 1.74x PASS
5 200 Jan 15 109d 18.7% $2.97 $0.03 $15 $4,973 $11,469 $4,320 50 $7,500 21mo 3mo 1.74x PASS
6 195 Dec 18 81d 20.7% $1.75 $1.25 $625 $3,943 $12,505 $5,350 55 $10,000 22mo 4mo 1.81x PASS
7 195 Jan 15 109d 20.7% $2.41 $0.59 $295 $4,035 $9,292 $5,257 55 $10,000 23mo 4mo 1.81x PASS
8 210 Dec 18 81d 14.6% $3.55 $-0.55 $-275 $7,998 $23,094 $1,294 40 $2,500 23mo 1mo 1.59x PASS
9 175 Dec 18 81d 28.8% $0.74 $2.26 $1,130 $1,667 $3,943 $7,625 75 $20,000 31mo 8mo 2.10x FAIL
10 175 Jan 15 109d 28.8% $1.03 $1.97 $985 $1,725 $2,930 $7,568 75 $20,000 32mo 8mo 2.10x FAIL
11 180 Dec 18 81d 26.8% $0.91 $2.09 $1,045 $2,050 $6,309 $7,242 70 $17,500 29mo 7mo 2.03x FAIL
12 180 Jan 15 109d 26.8% $1.28 $1.72 $860 $2,143 $4,688 $7,149 70 $17,500 29mo 7mo 2.03x FAIL
13 185 Dec 18 81d 24.8% $1.11 $1.89 $945 $2,501 $7,998 $6,792 65 $15,000 27mo 6mo 1.96x FAIL
14 185 Jan 15 109d 24.8% $1.59 $1.41 $705 $2,662 $5,944 $6,630 65 $15,000 27mo 6mo 1.96x FAIL
15 190 Dec 18 81d 22.7% $1.38 $1.62 $810 $3,109 $10,026 $6,183 60 $12,500 24mo 5mo 1.88x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $275, B $2.72 $15,300/yr $7,618/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $265 0.7σ, B $4.75 $26,719/yr $7,618/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 11% DRAWDOWN (stock $245.89 → $218.50, hedge $17,162/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $3,938/yr $17,162/yr DEFICIT $1,102/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $3,938/yr $17,162/yr DEFICIT $1,102/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($265, bid $4.75) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 11% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,102/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · overview rows

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 18d

Stock: $41.90 HP: 16.5% OTM Current hedge: $19,872/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $26,454/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $73,944/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 22% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 2 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (38d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 32 (Jan 15, 109d) | Save $7,903/yr | Payback 9mo (0.76yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.07yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 23.6% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.94x | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 32 Jan 15 109d 23.6% $2.77 $-2.36 $-4,720 $18,551 $39,179 $7,903 15 $6,000 9mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
2 30 Jan 15 109d 28.4% $2.10 $-1.69 $-3,380 $14,064 $29,133 $12,390 17 $10,000 10mo 1mo 2.06x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $1.21 $27,225/yr $18,551/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $48 0.6σ, B $1.53 $34,425/yr $18,551/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 22% DRAWDOWN (stock $41.90 → $32.78, hedge $39,179/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $10,350/yr $39,179/yr DEFICIT $2,402/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $10,350/yr $39,179/yr DEFICIT $2,402/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($48, bid $1.53) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 22% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,402/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

BMNR (Main): HP 45P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 109d

Stock: $26.80 HP: ITM Current hedge: $320,631/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $65.83 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 50 (5,000 sh) CC income: $91,671/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 24% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 5 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-20 INTRADAY (53d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 45 → 24 (Jan 15, 109d) | Save $272,913/yr | Payback N/A hedge only, N/A w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 10.4% OTM | RM 1.00x → 0.85x | Margin (TIMS): $378
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 24 Jan 15 109d 10.4% $2.85 $14.95 $74,750 $47,718 $43,532 $272,913 -6 $-30,000 N/A N/A 0.85x PASS
2 22 Jan 15 109d 16.0% $2.25 $15.55 $77,750 $37,672 $52,741 $282,959 -4 $-22,500 N/A N/A 0.89x PASS
3 21 Jan 15 109d 21.6% $1.70 $16.10 $80,500 $28,463 $63,624 $292,167 -3 $-15,000 N/A N/A 0.93x PASS
4 20 Jan 15 109d 25.4% $1.36 $16.44 $82,200 $22,771 $66,972 $297,860 -2 $-10,000 N/A N/A 0.95x PASS
5 19 Jan 15 109d 29.1% $1.13 $16.67 $83,350 $18,920 $56,089 $301,711 -1 $-5,000 N/A N/A 0.98x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $60 — assignment locks a loss · $35, B $0.45 $25,312/yr $47,718/yr DEFICIT $1,867/mo
CC at MID $31 0.7σ, B $1.00 $56,250/yr $47,718/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 24% DRAWDOWN (stock $26.80 → $20.34, hedge $43,532/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $25,312/yr $43,532/yr DEFICIT $1,518/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $25,312/yr $43,532/yr DEFICIT $1,518/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($31, bid $1.00) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 24% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,518/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · overview rows

AAPL: HP 285P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 53d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 5.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $338.68 HP: 15.8% OTM Current hedge: $4,029/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $4,596/yr SS: $334.64 (unchanged) Account: RetireInc (...7291) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $62,916/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 10% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 11 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (31d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 285 → 280 (Dec 18, 81d) | Save $811/yr | Payback 37mo (3.08yr) hedge only, 0mo (0.04yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 17.3% OTM | RM 1.48x → 1.53x | Margin (TIMS): $6,074
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 280 Dec 18 81d 17.3% $1.68 $-0.67 $-335 $3,785 $12,167 $811 50 $2,500 37mo 0mo 1.53x PASS
2 275 Dec 18 81d 18.8% $1.40 $-0.39 $-195 $3,154 $10,139 $1,442 55 $5,000 42mo 1mo 1.58x PASS
3 270 Dec 18 81d 20.3% $1.16 $-0.15 $-75 $2,614 $8,336 $1,983 60 $7,500 45mo 1mo 1.63x PASS
4 275 Jan 15 109d 18.8% $2.00 $-0.99 $-495 $3,349 $7,534 $1,248 55 $5,000 48mo 1mo 1.58x PASS
5 265 Dec 18 81d 21.8% $0.97 $0.04 $20 $2,185 $6,872 $2,411 65 $10,000 50mo 2mo 1.69x PASS
6 270 Jan 15 109d 20.3% $1.70 $-0.69 $-345 $2,846 $6,195 $1,750 60 $7,500 51mo 1mo 1.63x PASS
7 265 Jan 15 109d 21.8% $1.39 $-0.38 $-190 $2,327 $5,107 $2,269 65 $10,000 53mo 2mo 1.69x PASS
8 280 Jan 15 109d 17.3% $2.42 $-1.41 $-705 $4,052 $9,041 $544 50 $2,500 55mo 0mo 1.53x PASS
9 260 Dec 18 81d 23.2% $0.84 $0.17 $85 $1,893 $5,768 $2,704 70 $12,500 55mo 2mo 1.74x PASS
10 260 Jan 15 109d 23.2% $1.17 $-0.16 $-80 $1,959 $4,286 $2,637 70 $12,500 57mo 2mo 1.74x PASS
11 255 Dec 18 81d 24.7% $0.69 $0.32 $160 $1,555 $4,596 $3,042 75 $15,000 59mo 3mo 1.79x PASS
12 240 Jan 15 109d 29.1% $0.59 $0.42 $210 $988 $1,624 $3,608 90 $22,500 75mo 4mo 1.95x FAIL
13 240 Dec 18 81d 29.1% $0.45 $0.56 $280 $1,014 $2,185 $3,582 90 $22,500 75mo 4mo 1.95x FAIL
14 245 Dec 18 81d 27.7% $0.50 $0.51 $255 $1,127 $2,614 $3,470 85 $20,000 69mo 4mo 1.90x FAIL
15 250 Dec 18 81d 26.2% $0.60 $0.41 $205 $1,352 $3,785 $3,244 80 $17,500 65mo 3mo 1.85x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $340, B $10.00 $56,250/yr $3,785/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $355 0.6σ, B $4.15 $23,344/yr $3,785/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 10% DRAWDOWN (stock $338.68 → $304.81, hedge $12,167/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $3,375/yr $12,167/yr DEFICIT $733/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $337/yr $12,167/yr DEFICIT $986/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($355, bid $4.15) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 10% drawdown, even MID is short ~$986/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).