GENERATED2026-09-30 03:51
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$389,442/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$100,125/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$289,317/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$66,525
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$-13,000
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 42 positions
2 · REPAIR SOON3 · REPAIR PLAN7 · LEAPS-ONLY30 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · IC $502,060 · notional $1,559,285
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$41.19 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.23 121.75x 15.0% SAFE 20 $32,000$82,370 REPAIR SOON (17d)
AMZN →
+200C −250P +215P −258C
$247.06 200250 215258 $267.92 $270.46 351.52x 13.0% SAFE 5 $33,960$123,530 REPAIR PLAN (52d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −355C
$338.44 3100 0355 $392.50 $349.21 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$169,220 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$47.31 750 00 $70.58 $52.07 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$236,550 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −170C
$153.84 1800 0170 $233.00 $169.65 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$153,840 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −18P +25P
$26.69 2318 250 $36.42 $24.41 01.00x 6.3% OK 150 $201,300$400,350 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −90C
$85.41 6590 6890 $93.40 $96.28 221.77x 20.4% SAFE 20 $56,800$170,820 OK
HOOD
+65C −95P +80P
$115.97 6595 800 $114.95 $119.32 151.30x 31.0% SAFE 10 $49,950$115,970 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P −1250C
$1066.35 670800 4201250 $792.36 $806.96 3804.31x 60.6% SAFE 1 $11,472$106,635 ROLL SOON (52d)
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · IC $1,208,360 · notional $3,385,208
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −55C
$41.19 2547 3555 $44.00 $50.23 121.75x 15.0% SAFE 20 $32,000$82,370 REPAIR SOON (17d)
BMNR (Main) →
+25C −18P +45P
$26.69 2518 450 $65.83 $59.54 01.00x -68.6% ITM 50 $204,150$133,450 REPAIR PLAN (108d)
IGV
+70C −111C
$105.17 700 0111 $96.50 $88.44 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$126,204 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+13C
$12.01 130 00 $16.75 $11.04 01.00x 0.0% N/A 400 $150,000$480,400 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Main)
+23C −18P +25P
$26.69 2318 250 $53.26 $46.93 01.00x 6.3% OK 75 $226,950$200,175 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +90P −240C
$189.13 165240 90240 $210.90 $214.53 1509.93x 52.4% SAFE 8 $13,440$151,304 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −240C
$189.13 500330 300240 $563.00 $373.06 301.48x -58.6% ITM 25 $157,500$472,825 OK
DELL
+310C −400P +320P
$538.70 310400 3200 $562.50 $570.44 801.32x 40.6% SAFE 3 $75,750$161,610 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$20.28 1316 100 $17.33 $17.73 62.39x 50.7% SAFE 50 $21,650$101,400 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −413C
$382.33 320450 330413 $456.00 $468.86 1201.88x 13.7% SAFE 10 $136,000$382,330 ROLL SOON (52d)
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P −26C
$23.13 3838 1826 $39.71 $34.94 2010.05x 24.3% SAFE 125 $27,625$289,125 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −32C
$28.68 1020 532 $17.47 $18.88 154.04x 82.6% SAFE 15 $7,395$43,020 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +340P −1350C
$1066.35 8801010 3401350 $1028.60 $1044.13 6705.51x 68.1% SAFE 5 $74,300$533,175 ROLL SOON (52d)
NVDA
+215C −225P +200P −240C
$227.82 215225 200240 $264.80 $229.46 251.50x 12.2% SAFE 10 $49,800$227,820 OK
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · IC $180,200 · notional $1,138,805
AAPL →
+240C −330P +285P −360C
$329.37 240330 285360 $334.64 $336.06 451.48x 13.5% SAFE 5 $47,320$164,685 REPAIR PLAN (52d)
MARA (RetireInc)
+40C
$12.01 400 00 $41.04 $11.18 01.00x 0.0% N/A 500 $52,000$600,500 LEAPS-ONLY
APP
+460C −540P +185P −335C
$305.90 460540 185335 $588.00 $610.41 3553.77x 39.5% SAFE 1 $12,800$30,590 ROLL SOON (52d)
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$13.33 1717 100 $20.74 $18.23 72.87x 25.0% SAFE 25 $9,350$33,324 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$31.83 4560 200 $56.15 $59.37 406.48x 37.2% SAFE 10 $7,300$31,830 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −55C
$41.19 5070 2355 $63.43 $66.31 477.86x 44.2% SAFE 20 $13,700$82,370 ROLL SOON (52d)
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −170C
$153.84 125185 55170 $161.00 $163.23 13011.83x 64.2% SAFE 4 $4,800$61,536 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +100P −220C
$184.30 190210 100220 $224.00 $226.62 1104.24x 45.7% SAFE 5 $17,000$92,150 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −85C
$69.70 115135 4585 $141.55 $148.31 904.39x 35.4% SAFE 6 $15,930$41,820 OK
Neville (...0865)10 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $441,025 · notional $2,279,519
SPY
+640C
$764.31 6400 00 $764.00 $702.98 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$917,172 LEAPS-ONLY
CRCL
+45C −65P +40P
$83.52 4565 400 $87.00 $90.86 251.60x 52.1% SAFE 5 $21,000$41,760 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −95C
$86.17 105120 4095 $125.45 $128.57 804.91x 53.6% SAFE 5 $10,225$43,085 ROLL SOON (52d)
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −350C
$338.44 300345 310350 $373.00 $344.68 351.48x 8.4% OK 15 $109,500$507,660 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −350C
$338.44 340405 360350 $398.00 $384.89 451.88x -6.4% ITM 5 $25,500$169,220 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −160C
$115.96 85100 35160 $114.00 $115.64 653.24x 69.8% SAFE 5 $14,500$57,980 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −55C
$41.19 4565 2155 $56.50 $58.10 4415.67x 49.0% SAFE 20 $6,000$82,370 ROLL SOON (52d)
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +390P −1250C
$1066.35 9701110 3901250 $1220.00 $1232.30 7203.88x 63.4% SAFE 2 $50,000$213,270 ROLL SOON (52d)
SNDK
+1200C −1380P +810P −1850C
$1721.32 12001380 8101850 $1620.00 $1628.37 5702.36x 52.9% SAFE 1 $42,000$172,132 ROLL SOON (52d)
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −155C
$149.74 150195 135155 $186.00 $189.99 603.22x 9.8% OK 5 $13,500$74,870 OK
Joint (...1782)9 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · overview rows

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 17d

Stock: $41.19 HP: 15.0% OTM Current hedge: $21,471/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $27,037/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $63,255/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 21% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 2 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (37d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 32 (Jan 15, 108d) | Save $8,179/yr | Payback 9mo (0.73yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.08yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 22.3% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.94x | Margin (TIMS): $1,582
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 32 Jan 15 108d 22.3% $2.79 $-2.37 $-4,740 $18,858 $41,231 $8,179 15 $6,000 9mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
2 30 Jan 15 108d 27.2% $2.14 $-1.72 $-3,440 $14,465 $30,417 $12,572 17 $10,000 10mo 2mo 2.06x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (31d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $0.92 $21,368/yr $18,858/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $47 0.6σ, B $1.62 $37,626/yr $18,858/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 21% DRAWDOWN (stock $41.19 → $32.39, hedge $41,231/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $9,987/yr $41,231/yr DEFICIT $2,604/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $9,987/yr $41,231/yr DEFICIT $2,604/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($47, bid $1.62) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 21% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,604/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

AMZN: HP 215P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 52d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 2.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $247.06 HP: 13.0% OTM Current hedge: $11,055/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $9,378/yr SS: $267.92 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $25,279/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 11% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 8 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (30d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 215 → 210 (Jan 15, 108d) | Save $1,774/yr | Payback 17mo (1.41yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.09yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 15.0% OTM | RM 1.52x → 1.59x | Margin (TIMS): $4,286
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 210 Jan 15 108d 15.0% $4.50 $-1.54 $-770 $7,604 $17,067 $1,774 40 $2,500 17mo 1mo 1.59x PASS
2 205 Jan 15 108d 17.0% $3.65 $-0.69 $-345 $6,168 $14,025 $3,211 45 $5,000 19mo 2mo 1.66x PASS
3 205 Dec 18 80d 17.0% $2.80 $0.16 $80 $6,388 $18,934 $2,991 45 $5,000 20mo 2mo 1.66x PASS
4 200 Jan 15 108d 19.0% $2.94 $0.02 $10 $4,968 $11,491 $4,410 50 $7,500 20mo 3mo 1.74x PASS
5 200 Dec 18 80d 19.0% $2.30 $0.66 $330 $5,247 $15,512 $4,132 50 $7,500 22mo 3mo 1.74x PASS
6 195 Dec 18 80d 21.1% $1.75 $1.21 $605 $3,992 $12,547 $5,386 55 $10,000 22mo 4mo 1.81x PASS
7 195 Jan 15 108d 21.1% $2.39 $0.57 $285 $4,039 $9,294 $5,340 55 $10,000 22mo 4mo 1.81x PASS
8 210 Dec 18 80d 15.0% $3.55 $-0.59 $-295 $8,098 $23,041 $1,280 40 $2,500 23mo 1mo 1.59x PASS
9 175 Dec 18 80d 29.2% $0.70 $2.26 $1,130 $1,597 $5,247 $7,782 75 $20,000 31mo 7mo 2.10x FAIL
10 175 Jan 15 108d 29.2% $1.02 $1.94 $970 $1,724 $3,887 $7,655 75 $20,000 31mo 7mo 2.10x FAIL
11 180 Dec 18 80d 27.1% $0.87 $2.09 $1,045 $1,985 $6,388 $7,394 70 $17,500 28mo 6mo 2.03x FAIL
12 180 Jan 15 108d 27.1% $1.27 $1.69 $845 $2,146 $4,731 $7,232 70 $17,500 29mo 6mo 2.03x FAIL
13 185 Dec 18 80d 25.1% $1.22 $1.74 $870 $2,783 $8,098 $6,595 65 $15,000 27mo 6mo 1.96x FAIL
14 185 Jan 15 108d 25.1% $1.68 $1.28 $640 $2,839 $5,999 $6,540 65 $15,000 28mo 6mo 1.96x FAIL
15 190 Dec 18 80d 23.1% $1.38 $1.58 $790 $3,148 $10,038 $6,230 60 $12,500 24mo 5mo 1.88x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (31d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $275, B $3.00 $17,419/yr $7,604/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $265 0.6σ, B $4.95 $28,742/yr $7,604/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 11% DRAWDOWN (stock $247.06 → $218.79, hedge $17,067/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $4,355/yr $17,067/yr DEFICIT $1,059/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $4,355/yr $17,067/yr DEFICIT $1,059/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($265, bid $4.95) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 11% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,059/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · overview rows

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Oct 16 '26, 17d

Stock: $41.19 HP: 15.0% OTM Current hedge: $21,471/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $27,037/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $63,255/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 21% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 2 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (37d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 32 (Jan 15, 108d) | Save $8,179/yr | Payback 9mo (0.73yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.08yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 22.3% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.94x | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 32 Jan 15 108d 22.3% $2.79 $-2.37 $-4,740 $18,858 $41,231 $8,179 15 $6,000 9mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
2 30 Jan 15 108d 27.2% $2.14 $-1.72 $-3,440 $14,465 $30,417 $12,572 17 $10,000 10mo 2mo 2.06x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (31d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $0.92 $21,368/yr $18,858/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $47 0.6σ, B $1.62 $37,626/yr $18,858/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 21% DRAWDOWN (stock $41.19 → $32.39, hedge $41,231/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $9,987/yr $41,231/yr DEFICIT $2,604/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $9,987/yr $41,231/yr DEFICIT $2,604/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($47, bid $1.62) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 21% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,604/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

BMNR (Main): HP 45P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 108d

Stock: $26.69 HP: ITM Current hedge: $329,514/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $65.83 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 50 (5,000 sh) CC income: $90,220/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 24% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 5 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-20 INTRADAY (52d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 45 → 24 (Jan 15, 108d) | Save $280,002/yr | Payback N/A hedge only, N/A w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 10.1% OTM | RM 1.00x → 0.85x | Margin (TIMS): $363
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 24 Jan 15 108d 10.1% $2.93 $15.42 $77,100 $49,512 $44,611 $280,002 -6 $-30,000 N/A N/A 0.85x PASS
2 22 Jan 15 108d 15.7% $2.25 $16.10 $80,500 $38,021 $53,905 $291,493 -4 $-22,500 N/A N/A 0.89x PASS
3 21 Jan 15 108d 21.3% $1.72 $16.63 $83,150 $29,065 $64,889 $300,449 -3 $-15,000 N/A N/A 0.93x PASS
4 20 Jan 15 108d 25.1% $1.39 $16.96 $84,800 $23,488 $67,593 $306,025 -2 $-10,000 N/A N/A 0.95x PASS
5 19 Jan 15 108d 28.8% $1.15 $17.20 $86,000 $19,433 $57,454 $310,081 -1 $-5,000 N/A N/A 0.98x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (31d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $60 — assignment locks a loss · $35, B $0.47 $27,290/yr $49,512/yr DEFICIT $1,852/mo
CC at MID $31 0.7σ, B $0.96 $55,742/yr $49,512/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 24% DRAWDOWN (stock $26.69 → $20.23, hedge $44,611/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $27,290/yr $44,611/yr DEFICIT $1,443/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $27,290/yr $44,611/yr DEFICIT $1,443/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($31, bid $0.96) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 24% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,443/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · overview rows

AAPL: HP 285P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 52d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 3.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $329.37 HP: 13.5% OTM Current hedge: $5,931/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $6,456/yr SS: $334.64 (unchanged) Account: RetireInc (...7291) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $27,392/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 10% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 6 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (30d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 285 → 280 (Dec 18, 80d) | Save $1,163/yr | Payback 26mo (2.15yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.09yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 15.0% OTM | RM 1.48x → 1.53x | Margin (TIMS): $5,910
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 280 Dec 18 80d 15.0% $2.32 $-0.65 $-325 $5,292 $16,995 $1,163 50 $2,500 26mo 1mo 1.53x PASS
2 275 Dec 18 80d 16.5% $1.90 $-0.23 $-115 $4,334 $14,030 $2,122 55 $5,000 28mo 2mo 1.58x PASS
3 280 Jan 15 108d 15.0% $3.25 $-1.58 $-790 $5,492 $12,589 $964 50 $2,500 31mo 1mo 1.53x PASS
4 275 Jan 15 108d 16.5% $2.68 $-1.01 $-505 $4,529 $10,392 $1,927 55 $5,000 31mo 2mo 1.58x PASS
5 270 Dec 18 80d 18.0% $1.57 $0.10 $50 $3,582 $11,520 $2,874 60 $7,500 31mo 3mo 1.63x PASS
6 270 Jan 15 108d 18.0% $2.28 $-0.61 $-305 $3,853 $8,534 $2,603 60 $7,500 35mo 3mo 1.63x PASS
7 235 Dec 18 80d 28.7% $0.46 $1.21 $605 $1,049 $2,738 $5,407 95 $25,000 55mo 9mo 2.00x FAIL
8 235 Jan 15 108d 28.7% $0.67 $1.00 $500 $1,132 $2,028 $5,324 95 $25,000 56mo 9mo 2.00x FAIL
9 240 Dec 18 80d 27.1% $0.53 $1.14 $570 $1,209 $3,148 $5,247 90 $22,500 51mo 8mo 1.95x FAIL
10 240 Jan 15 108d 27.1% $0.83 $0.84 $420 $1,403 $2,332 $5,053 90 $22,500 53mo 8mo 1.95x FAIL
11 245 Dec 18 80d 25.6% $0.66 $1.01 $505 $1,506 $3,582 $4,950 85 $20,000 48mo 7mo 1.90x FAIL
12 250 Dec 18 80d 24.1% $0.73 $0.94 $470 $1,665 $5,292 $4,791 80 $17,500 44mo 7mo 1.85x FAIL
13 245 Jan 15 108d 25.6% $1.00 $0.67 $335 $1,690 $2,653 $4,766 85 $20,000 50mo 7mo 1.90x FAIL
14 250 Jan 15 108d 24.1% $1.07 $0.60 $300 $1,808 $3,920 $4,648 80 $17,500 45mo 7mo 1.85x FAIL
15 255 Dec 18 80d 22.6% $0.99 $0.68 $340 $2,258 $6,456 $4,198 75 $15,000 43mo 6mo 1.79x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Oct 30 (31d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $340, B $5.80 $33,677/yr $5,292/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $345 0.6σ, B $4.20 $24,387/yr $5,292/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 10% DRAWDOWN (stock $329.37 → $296.43, hedge $16,995/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $1,742/yr $16,995/yr DEFICIT $1,271/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $871/yr $16,995/yr DEFICIT $1,344/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($345, bid $4.20) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 10% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,344/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).