GENERATED2026-10-03 03:51
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$347,197/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$55,967/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$291,230/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$78,665
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$-27,500
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 41 positions
2 · ROLL IMMEDIATELY2 · REPAIR PLAN7 · LEAPS-ONLY30 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
Joint (...1782)8 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · IC $490,588 · notional $1,454,430
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −60C
$41.62 2547 3560 $44.00 $50.51 121.75x 15.9% SAFE 20 $32,000$83,230 ROLL IMMEDIATELY (14d)
AMZN →
+200C −250P +215P −260C
$251.51 200250 215260 $267.92 $271.07 351.52x 14.5% SAFE 5 $33,960$125,755 REPAIR PLAN (49d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −355C
$339.94 3100 0355 $392.50 $350.55 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$169,970 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$47.66 750 00 $70.58 $52.65 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$238,300 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −170C
$158.82 1800 0170 $233.00 $170.86 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$158,825 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −18P +25P
$26.27 2318 250 $36.42 $24.74 01.00x 4.8% TIGHT 150 $201,300$394,050 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$85.86 6590 680 $93.40 $96.44 221.77x 20.8% SAFE 20 $56,800$171,720 OK
HOOD
+65C −95P +80P −125C
$112.58 6595 80125 $114.95 $119.33 151.30x 28.9% SAFE 10 $49,950$112,580 OK
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · IC $1,208,360 · notional $3,347,321
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −60C
$41.62 2547 3560 $44.00 $50.51 121.75x 15.9% SAFE 20 $32,000$83,230 ROLL IMMEDIATELY (14d)
BMNR (Main) →
+25C −18P +45P
$26.27 2518 450 $65.83 $60.13 01.00x -71.3% ITM 50 $204,150$131,350 REPAIR PLAN (105d)
IGV
+70C −111C
$108.17 700 0111 $96.50 $87.30 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$129,804 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+13C
$11.26 130 00 $16.75 $11.09 01.00x 0.0% N/A 400 $150,000$450,400 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Main)
+23C −18P +25P
$26.27 2318 250 $53.26 $47.20 01.00x 4.8% TIGHT 75 $226,950$197,025 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +90P −215C
$183.01 165240 90215 $210.90 $214.53 1509.93x 50.8% SAFE 8 $13,440$146,408 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −215C
$183.01 500330 300215 $563.00 $378.21 301.48x -63.9% ITM 25 $157,500$457,525 OK
DELL
+310C −400P +320P −592C
$564.18 310400 320592 $562.50 $570.23 801.32x 43.3% SAFE 3 $75,750$169,254 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$20.09 1316 100 $17.33 $17.35 62.39x 50.2% SAFE 50 $21,650$100,450 OK
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −413C
$379.62 320450 330413 $456.00 $470.07 1201.88x 13.1% SAFE 10 $136,000$379,620 ROLL SOON (49d)
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P −28C
$22.98 3838 1828 $39.71 $35.90 2010.05x 23.8% SAFE 125 $27,625$287,250 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P
$28.92 1020 50 $17.47 $18.27 154.04x 82.7% SAFE 15 $7,395$43,380 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +340P −1125C
$1074.61 8801010 3401125 $1028.60 $1042.07 6705.51x 68.4% SAFE 5 $74,300$537,305 ROLL SOON (49d)
NVDA
+215C −225P +200P −250C
$234.32 215225 200250 $264.80 $229.60 251.50x 14.6% SAFE 10 $49,800$234,320 OK
Neville (...0865)10 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $441,025 · notional $2,298,036
SPY
+640C −780C
$769.48 6400 0780 $764.00 $703.45 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$923,370 LEAPS-ONLY
CRCL
+45C −65P +40P −91C
$80.58 4565 4091 $87.00 $89.75 251.60x 50.4% SAFE 5 $21,000$40,290 OK
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −110C
$89.65 105120 40110 $125.45 $128.54 804.91x 55.4% SAFE 5 $10,225$44,825 ROLL SOON (49d)
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −360C
$339.94 300345 310360 $373.00 $345.41 351.48x 8.8% OK 15 $109,500$509,910 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −360C
$339.94 340405 360360 $398.00 $385.38 451.88x -5.9% ITM 5 $25,500$169,970 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −138C
$119.69 85100 35138 $114.00 $115.67 653.24x 70.8% SAFE 5 $14,500$59,845 OK
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −49C
$41.62 4565 2149 $56.50 $57.48 4415.67x 49.5% SAFE 20 $6,000$83,230 ROLL SOON (49d)
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +390P −1250C
$1074.61 9701110 3901250 $1220.00 $1233.14 7203.88x 63.7% SAFE 2 $50,000$214,922 ROLL SOON (49d)
SNDK
+1200C −1380P +810P −1875C
$1719.24 12001380 8101875 $1620.00 $1625.44 5702.36x 52.9% SAFE 1 $42,000$171,924 ROLL SOON (49d)
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −175C
$159.50 150195 135175 $186.00 $189.76 603.22x 15.4% SAFE 5 $13,500$79,750 OK
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $180,200 · notional $1,105,818
MARA (RetireInc)
+40C
$11.26 400 00 $41.04 $11.70 01.00x 0.0% N/A 500 $52,000$563,000 LEAPS-ONLY
AAPL
+240C −330P +285P
$333.60 240330 2850 $334.64 $337.40 451.48x 14.6% SAFE 5 $47,320$166,800 ROLL SOON (49d)
APP
+460C −540P +185P −295C
$270.49 460540 185295 $588.00 $610.19 3553.77x 31.6% SAFE 1 $12,800$27,049 ROLL SOON (49d)
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$12.68 1717 100 $20.74 $18.17 72.87x 21.1% SAFE 25 $9,350$31,688 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$33.38 4560 200 $56.15 $58.83 406.48x 40.1% SAFE 10 $7,300$33,380 OK
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −49C
$41.62 5070 2349 $63.43 $66.61 477.86x 44.7% SAFE 20 $13,700$83,230 ROLL SOON (49d)
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −170C
$158.82 125185 55170 $161.00 $164.19 13011.83x 65.4% SAFE 4 $4,800$63,530 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +100P −220C
$185.53 190210 100220 $224.00 $227.63 1104.24x 46.1% SAFE 5 $17,000$92,765 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −90C
$73.96 115135 4590 $141.55 $148.01 904.39x 39.2% SAFE 6 $15,930$44,376 OK
Joint (...1782)8 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · overview rows

AMZN: HP 215P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 49d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 2.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $251.51 HP: 14.5% OTM Current hedge: $8,268/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $7,821/yr SS: $267.92 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $21,145/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 11% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 4 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (27d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 215 → 210 (Jan 15, 105d) | Save $1,390/yr | Payback 22mo (1.80yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.11yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 16.5% OTM | RM 1.52x → 1.59x | Margin (TIMS): $4,377
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 210 Jan 15 105d 16.5% $3.70 $-1.67 $-835 $6,431 $14,339 $1,390 40 $2,500 22mo 1mo 1.59x PASS
2 205 Dec 18 77d 18.5% $2.17 $-0.14 $-70 $5,143 $15,998 $2,678 45 $5,000 22mo 3mo 1.66x PASS
3 200 Dec 18 77d 20.5% $1.66 $0.37 $185 $3,934 $12,680 $3,887 50 $7,500 23mo 4mo 1.74x PASS
4 205 Jan 15 105d 18.5% $3.05 $-1.02 $-510 $5,301 $11,732 $2,520 45 $5,000 24mo 3mo 1.66x PASS
5 180 Dec 18 77d 28.4% $0.68 $1.35 $675 $1,612 $5,143 $6,210 70 $17,500 34mo 8mo 2.03x FAIL
6 180 Jan 15 105d 28.4% $1.03 $1.00 $500 $1,790 $3,772 $6,031 70 $17,500 35mo 8mo 2.03x FAIL
7 185 Dec 18 77d 26.4% $0.85 $1.18 $590 $2,015 $6,660 $5,807 65 $15,000 31mo 7mo 1.96x FAIL
8 185 Jan 15 105d 26.4% $1.27 $0.76 $380 $2,207 $4,884 $5,614 65 $15,000 32mo 7mo 1.96x FAIL
9 190 Dec 18 77d 24.5% $1.06 $0.97 $485 $2,512 $8,295 $5,309 60 $12,500 28mo 6mo 1.88x FAIL
10 190 Jan 15 105d 24.5% $1.55 $0.48 $240 $2,694 $6,083 $5,127 60 $12,500 29mo 6mo 1.88x FAIL
11 195 Dec 18 77d 22.5% $1.37 $0.66 $330 $3,247 $10,073 $4,574 55 $10,000 26mo 5mo 1.81x FAIL
12 195 Jan 15 105d 22.5% $1.96 $0.07 $35 $3,407 $7,387 $4,415 55 $10,000 27mo 5mo 1.81x FAIL
13 200 Jan 15 105d 20.5% $2.41 $-0.38 $-190 $4,189 $9,299 $3,633 50 $7,500 25mo 4mo 1.74x FAIL
14 210 Dec 18 77d 16.5% $2.81 $-0.78 $-390 $6,660 $19,554 $1,161 40 $2,500 26mo 1mo 1.59x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 06 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $275, B $3.90 $20,057/yr $6,431/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $270 0.6σ, B $5.25 $27,000/yr $6,431/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 11% DRAWDOWN (stock $251.51 → $223.23, hedge $14,339/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $2,366/yr $14,339/yr DEFICIT $998/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $3,446/yr $14,339/yr DEFICIT $908/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($270, bid $5.25) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 11% drawdown, even MID is short ~$908/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 14d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened cost cap 25% → 50% of CC to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $41.62 Current HP: 35P (14d, 15.9% OTM) Current hedge: $13,557/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $63,857/yr Cost cap: 50% of CC = $31,929/yr IV: HIGH 4 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (34d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Jan 15 '27, 105d, 15.9% OTM) | Cost: $25,724/yr (40% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $6,960 | Margin (TIMS): $1,167
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 37P (Jan 15 '27, 105d, 11.1% OTM) | Cost: $31,286/yr (49% of CC) | New ML: $52,000 ↓ $4,000 | Roll DEBIT $8,560 | Margin (TIMS): $1,095
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 35 CHEAP Jan 15 105d 15.9% $3.40 $3.70 $25,724 40% $56,000 = D $6,960
2 35 Dec 18 77d 15.9% $2.66 $2.80 $26,545 42% $56,000 = D $5,160
▶ 3 37 PROT Jan 15 105d 11.1% $4.25 $4.50 $31,286 49% $52,000 -$4,000 D $8,560
4 36 Dec 18 77d 13.5% $2.86 $3.30 $31,286 49% $54,000 -$2,000 D $6,160
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 06 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $1.20 $24,686/yr $25,724/yr DEFICIT $87/mo
CC at MID $48 0.6σ, B $1.76 $36,206/yr $25,724/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($48, bid $1.76). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · overview rows

BMNR (Main): HP 45P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 105d

Stock: $26.27 HP: ITM Current hedge: $338,929/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $65.83 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 50 (5,000 sh) CC income: $80,143/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 23% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 5 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-20 INTRADAY (49d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 45 → 24 (Jan 15, 105d) | Save $289,393/yr | Payback N/A hedge only, N/A w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 8.6% OTM | RM 1.00x → 0.85x | Margin (TIMS): $320
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 24 Jan 15 105d 8.6% $2.85 $15.90 $79,500 $49,536 $46,407 $289,393 -6 $-30,000 N/A N/A 0.85x PASS
2 22 Jan 15 105d 14.4% $2.13 $16.62 $83,100 $37,021 $53,360 $301,907 -4 $-22,500 N/A N/A 0.89x PASS
3 21 Jan 15 105d 20.1% $1.58 $17.17 $85,850 $27,462 $66,395 $311,467 -3 $-15,000 N/A N/A 0.93x PASS
4 20 Jan 15 105d 23.9% $1.26 $17.49 $87,450 $21,900 $67,786 $317,029 -2 $-10,000 N/A N/A 0.95x PASS
5 19 Jan 15 105d 27.7% $1.05 $17.70 $88,500 $18,250 $58,226 $320,679 -1 $-5,000 N/A N/A 0.98x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 06 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $60 — assignment locks a loss · $35, B $0.36 $18,514/yr $49,536/yr DEFICIT $2,585/mo
CC at MID $30 0.6σ, B $0.98 $50,400/yr $49,536/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 23% DRAWDOWN (stock $26.27 → $20.19, hedge $46,407/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $18,514/yr $46,407/yr DEFICIT $2,324/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $18,514/yr $46,407/yr DEFICIT $2,324/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($30, bid $0.98) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 23% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,324/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Main): HP 35P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Oct 16 '26, 14d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened cost cap 25% → 50% of CC to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $41.62 Current HP: 35P (14d, 15.9% OTM) Current hedge: $13,557/yr Current ML: $56,000 If HP lapses: ML $126,000 (+$70,000) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $63,857/yr Cost cap: 50% of CC = $31,929/yr IV: HIGH 4 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (34d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 35 → 35P (Jan 15 '27, 105d, 15.9% OTM) | Cost: $25,724/yr (40% of CC) | New ML: $56,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $6,960 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 35 → 37P (Jan 15 '27, 105d, 11.1% OTM) | Cost: $31,286/yr (49% of CC) | New ML: $52,000 ↓ $4,000 | Roll DEBIT $8,560 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 35 CHEAP Jan 15 105d 15.9% $3.40 $3.70 $25,724 40% $56,000 = D $6,960
2 35 Dec 18 77d 15.9% $2.66 $2.80 $26,545 42% $56,000 = D $5,160
▶ 3 37 PROT Jan 15 105d 11.1% $4.25 $4.50 $31,286 49% $52,000 -$4,000 D $8,560
4 36 Dec 18 77d 13.5% $2.86 $3.30 $31,286 49% $54,000 -$2,000 D $6,160
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 06 (35d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $51, B $1.20 $24,686/yr $25,724/yr DEFICIT $87/mo
CC at MID $48 0.6σ, B $1.76 $36,206/yr $25,724/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($48, bid $1.76). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).