GENERATED2026-10-06 00:14
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$397,348/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$86,741/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$310,607/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$81,440
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$-15,500
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 41 positions
5 · REPAIR PLAN7 · LEAPS-ONLY29 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
Joint (...1782)8 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · IC $490,588 · notional $1,467,590
AMZN →
+200C −250P +215P −260C
$251.76 200250 215260 $267.92 $270.76 351.52x 14.6% SAFE 5 $33,960$125,880 REPAIR PLAN (46d)
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −60C
$40.41 2547 3560 $44.00 $48.96 121.75x 13.4% SAFE 20 $32,000$80,830 REPAIR PLAN (102d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −355C
$341.56 3100 0355 $392.50 $350.22 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$170,780 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$48.27 750 00 $70.58 $52.83 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$241,350 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −170C
$162.03 1800 0170 $233.00 $171.65 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$162,030 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −18P +25P
$26.70 2318 250 $36.42 $24.81 01.00x 6.4% OK 150 $201,300$400,500 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −89C
$86.23 6590 6889 $93.40 $95.31 221.77x 21.1% SAFE 20 $56,800$172,460 OK
HOOD
+65C −95P +80P −120C
$113.76 6595 80120 $114.95 $119.11 151.30x 29.7% SAFE 10 $49,950$113,760 OK
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · IC $1,208,360 · notional $3,350,152
BMNR (Main) →
+25C −18P +45P
$26.70 2518 450 $65.83 $60.40 01.00x -68.5% ITM 50 $204,150$133,500 REPAIR PLAN (102d)
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −60C
$40.41 2547 3560 $44.00 $48.96 121.75x 13.4% SAFE 20 $32,000$80,830 REPAIR PLAN (102d)
GLD
+320C −450P +330P −413C
$378.85 320450 330413 $456.00 $469.91 1201.88x 12.9% SAFE 10 $136,000$378,850 ROLL SOON (46d)
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +340P −1125C
$1064.83 8801010 3401125 $1028.60 $1043.07 6705.51x 68.1% SAFE 5 $74,300$532,415 ROLL SOON (46d)
IGV
+70C −115C
$109.56 700 0115 $96.50 $88.22 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$131,472 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+13C
$10.94 130 00 $16.75 $11.31 01.00x 0.0% N/A 400 $150,000$437,600 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Main)
+23C −18P +25P
$26.70 2318 250 $53.26 $47.26 01.00x 6.4% OK 75 $226,950$200,250 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +90P −210C
$187.33 165240 90210 $210.90 $213.24 1509.93x 52.0% SAFE 8 $13,440$149,864 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −210C
$187.33 500330 300210 $563.00 $378.92 301.48x -60.1% ITM 25 $157,500$468,325 OK
DELL
+310C −400P +320P −585C
$556.47 310400 320585 $562.50 $570.28 801.32x 42.5% SAFE 3 $75,750$166,941 OK
ETHA
+13C −16P +10P
$20.32 1316 100 $17.33 $17.49 62.39x 50.8% SAFE 50 $21,650$101,600 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P −25C
$23.00 3838 1825 $39.71 $35.05 2010.05x 23.9% SAFE 125 $27,625$287,500 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −32C
$29.41 1020 532 $17.47 $18.86 154.04x 83.0% SAFE 15 $7,395$44,115 OK
NVDA
+215C −225P +200P −250C
$236.89 215225 200250 $264.80 $230.52 251.50x 15.6% SAFE 10 $49,800$236,890 OK
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · IC $180,200 · notional $1,086,398
APP →
+460C −540P +185P −355C
$285.86 460540 185355 $588.00 $611.43 3553.77x 35.3% SAFE 1 $12,800$28,586 REPAIR PLAN (46d)
AAPL
+240C −330P +285P −340C
$333.51 240330 285340 $334.64 $337.09 451.48x 14.5% SAFE 5 $47,320$166,755 ROLL SOON (46d)
IREN (RetireInc)
+50C −70P +23P −60C
$40.41 5070 2360 $63.43 $66.34 477.86x 43.1% SAFE 20 $13,700$80,830 ROLL SOON (46d)
MARA (RetireInc)
+40C
$10.94 400 00 $41.04 $11.62 01.00x 0.0% N/A 500 $52,000$547,000 LEAPS-ONLY
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$12.26 1717 100 $20.74 $18.47 72.87x 18.4% SAFE 25 $9,350$30,638 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$33.31 4560 200 $56.15 $59.16 406.48x 40.0% SAFE 10 $7,300$33,310 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −170C
$162.03 125185 55170 $161.00 $161.93 13011.83x 66.1% SAFE 4 $4,800$64,812 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +100P −220C
$182.03 190210 100220 $224.00 $227.32 1104.24x 45.1% SAFE 5 $17,000$91,015 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −78C
$72.42 115135 4578 $141.55 $147.95 904.39x 37.9% SAFE 6 $15,930$43,452 OK
Neville (...0865)10 fortress(es) · nothing actionable · IC $441,025 · notional $2,303,370
CRWV
+105C −120P +40P −100C
$87.97 105120 40100 $125.45 $128.33 804.91x 54.5% SAFE 5 $10,225$43,985 ROLL SOON (46d)
IREN (Neville)
+45C −65P +21P −60C
$40.41 4565 2160 $56.50 $58.02 4415.67x 48.0% SAFE 20 $6,000$80,830 ROLL SOON (46d)
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +390P −1150C
$1064.83 9701110 3901150 $1220.00 $1230.15 7203.88x 63.4% SAFE 2 $50,000$212,966 ROLL SOON (46d)
SNDK
+1200C −1380P +810P −1830C
$1706.51 12001380 8101830 $1620.00 $1621.15 5702.36x 52.5% SAFE 1 $42,000$170,652 ROLL SOON (46d)
SPY
+640C −780C
$773.11 6400 0780 $764.00 $703.08 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$927,732 LEAPS-ONLY
CRCL
+45C −65P +40P −91C
$83.54 4565 4091 $87.00 $89.70 251.60x 52.1% SAFE 5 $21,000$41,770 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −360C
$341.56 300345 310360 $373.00 $346.88 351.48x 9.2% OK 15 $109,500$512,340 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −360C
$341.56 340405 360360 $398.00 $386.16 451.88x -5.4% ITM 5 $25,500$170,780 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −133C
$117.47 85100 35133 $114.00 $115.52 653.24x 70.2% SAFE 5 $14,500$58,735 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −195C
$167.16 150195 135195 $186.00 $190.23 603.22x 19.2% SAFE 5 $13,500$83,580 OK
Joint (...1782)8 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · overview rows

AMZN: HP 215P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 46d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 2.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $251.76 HP: 14.6% OTM Current hedge: $7,657/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $7,246/yr SS: $267.92 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $23,043/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 11% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 2 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (24d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 215 → 210 (Jan 15, 102d) | Save $1,342/yr | Payback 22mo (1.86yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.10yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 16.6% OTM | RM 1.52x → 1.59x | Margin (TIMS): $4,406
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 210 Jan 15 102d 16.6% $3.30 $-1.44 $-720 $5,904 $13,688 $1,342 40 $2,500 22mo 1mo 1.59x PASS
2 205 Jan 15 102d 18.6% $2.63 $-0.77 $-385 $4,706 $11,004 $2,541 45 $5,000 24mo 2mo 1.66x PASS
3 180 Jan 15 102d 28.5% $0.91 $0.95 $475 $1,628 $3,346 $5,618 70 $17,500 37mo 7mo 2.03x FAIL
4 185 Jan 15 102d 26.5% $1.13 $0.73 $365 $2,022 $4,330 $5,225 65 $15,000 34mo 6mo 1.96x FAIL
5 190 Jan 15 102d 24.5% $1.37 $0.49 $245 $2,451 $5,547 $4,795 60 $12,500 31mo 5mo 1.88x FAIL
6 195 Jan 15 102d 22.5% $1.69 $0.17 $85 $3,024 $6,978 $4,223 55 $10,000 28mo 4mo 1.81x FAIL
7 200 Jan 15 102d 20.6% $2.10 $-0.24 $-120 $3,757 $8,767 $3,489 50 $7,500 26mo 3mo 1.74x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 06 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $275, B $3.90 $21,938/yr $5,904/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $270 0.6σ, B $5.05 $28,406/yr $5,904/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 11% DRAWDOWN (stock $251.76 → $223.55, hedge $13,688/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $2,756/yr $13,688/yr DEFICIT $911/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $3,769/yr $13,688/yr DEFICIT $827/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($270, bid $5.05) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 11% drawdown, even MID is short ~$827/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 102d

Stock: $40.41 HP: 13.4% OTM Current hedge: $25,765/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $25,765/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $58,175/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 22% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 2 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (31d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 32 (Jan 15, 102d) | Save $8,159/yr | Payback 9mo (0.74yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.09yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 20.8% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.94x | Margin (TIMS): $1,510
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 32 Jan 15 102d 20.8% $2.46 $1.04 $2,080 $17,606 $38,754 $8,159 15 $6,000 9mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
2 30 Jan 15 102d 25.8% $1.85 $1.65 $3,300 $13,240 $30,417 $12,525 17 $10,000 10mo 2mo 2.06x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 06 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $49, B $1.14 $25,650/yr $17,606/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $46 0.6σ, B $1.70 $38,250/yr $17,606/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 22% DRAWDOWN (stock $40.41 → $31.52, hedge $38,754/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $8,550/yr $38,754/yr DEFICIT $2,517/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $8,550/yr $38,754/yr DEFICIT $2,517/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($46, bid $1.70) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 22% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,517/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · overview rows

BMNR (Main): HP 45P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 102d

Stock: $26.70 HP: ITM Current hedge: $338,162/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $65.83 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 50 (5,000 sh) CC income: $78,999/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 23% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 5 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-20 INTRADAY (46d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 45 → 24 (Jan 15, 102d) | Save $292,537/yr | Payback N/A hedge only, N/A w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 10.1% OTM | RM 1.00x → 0.85x | Margin (TIMS): $324
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 24 Jan 15 102d 10.1% $2.55 $15.60 $78,000 $45,625 $47,414 $292,537 -6 $-30,000 N/A N/A 0.85x PASS
2 22 Jan 15 102d 15.7% $1.93 $16.22 $81,100 $34,532 $57,255 $303,630 -4 $-22,500 N/A N/A 0.89x PASS
3 21 Jan 15 102d 21.3% $1.42 $16.73 $83,650 $25,407 $68,885 $312,755 -3 $-15,000 N/A N/A 0.93x PASS
4 20 Jan 15 102d 25.1% $1.14 $17.01 $85,050 $20,397 $63,517 $317,765 -2 $-10,000 N/A N/A 0.95x PASS
5 19 Jan 15 102d 28.8% $0.93 $17.22 $86,100 $16,640 $54,571 $321,522 -1 $-5,000 N/A N/A 0.98x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 06 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $60 — assignment locks a loss · $35, B $0.41 $23,062/yr $45,625/yr DEFICIT $1,880/mo
CC at MID $30 0.7σ, B $1.02 $57,375/yr $45,625/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 23% DRAWDOWN (stock $26.70 → $20.54, hedge $47,414/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $23,062/yr $47,414/yr DEFICIT $2,029/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $23,062/yr $47,414/yr DEFICIT $2,029/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($30, bid $1.02) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 23% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,029/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 102d

Stock: $40.41 HP: 13.4% OTM Current hedge: $25,765/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $25,765/yr SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $58,175/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 22% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 2 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (31d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 32 (Jan 15, 102d) | Save $8,159/yr | Payback 9mo (0.74yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.09yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 20.8% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.94x | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 32 Jan 15 102d 20.8% $2.46 $1.04 $2,080 $17,606 $38,754 $8,159 15 $6,000 9mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
2 30 Jan 15 102d 25.8% $1.85 $1.65 $3,300 $13,240 $30,417 $12,525 17 $10,000 10mo 2mo 2.06x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 06 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $49, B $1.14 $25,650/yr $17,606/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $46 0.6σ, B $1.70 $38,250/yr $17,606/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 22% DRAWDOWN (stock $40.41 → $31.52, hedge $38,754/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $8,550/yr $38,754/yr DEFICIT $2,517/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $8,550/yr $38,754/yr DEFICIT $2,517/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($46, bid $1.70) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 22% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,517/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 1 actionable · overview rows

APP: HP 185P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 46d (no viable candidates)

Stock: $285.86 Current HP: 185P (46d, 35.3% OTM) Current hedge: $0/yr Gap: 0 Account: RetireInc (...7291) Contracts: 1 (100 sh) IV: MEDIUM
No HP candidates passed all filters. Reasons:
  • No candidate puts were priced for the roll-down DTE window. Try --hp-min-dte 60 or extend --hp-max-dte.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).