GENERATED2026-10-12 23:49
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$499,047/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$99,914/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$399,133/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$101,895
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$3,500
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 41 positions
9 · ROLL NOW5 · REPAIR PLAN7 · LEAPS-ONLY20 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · IC $1,234,550 · notional $3,179,623
GLD →
+320C −450P +330P −409C
$382.11 320450 330409 $456.00 $469.84 1201.88x 13.6% SAFE 10 $136,000$382,110 ROLL NOW (39d)
MU (Main) →
+880C −1010P +340P
$996.33 8801010 3400 $1028.60 $1045.10 6705.51x 65.9% SAFE 5 $74,300$498,162 ROLL NOW (39d)
AMD →
+410C −550P +470P −665C
$591.27 410550 470665 $649.20 $662.96 801.33x 20.5% SAFE 2 $47,840$118,254 REPAIR PLAN (95d)
BMNR (Main) →
+25C −18P +45P
$24.04 2518 450 $65.83 $60.62 01.00x -87.2% ITM 50 $204,150$120,175 REPAIR PLAN (95d)
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −44C
$35.51 2547 3544 $44.00 $48.50 121.75x 1.4% TIGHT 20 $32,000$71,020 REPAIR PLAN (95d)
IGV
+70C −115C
$111.84 700 0115 $96.50 $87.22 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$134,208 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+13C
$9.53 130 00 $16.75 $11.55 01.00x 0.0% N/A 400 $150,000$381,200 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Main)
+23C −18P +25P
$24.04 2318 250 $53.26 $47.61 01.00x -4.0% ITM 75 $226,950$180,262 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +90P −198C
$181.76 165240 90198 $210.90 $213.91 1509.93x 50.5% SAFE 8 $13,440$145,408 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −198C
$181.76 500330 300198 $563.00 $384.59 301.48x -65.1% ITM 25 $157,500$454,400 OK
DELL
+310C −400P +320P −650C
$570.97 310400 320650 $562.50 $571.10 801.32x 44.0% SAFE 3 $75,750$171,291 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P −22C
$20.02 3838 1822 $39.71 $35.76 2010.05x 12.6% SAFE 125 $27,625$250,250 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −35C
$31.11 1020 535 $17.47 $18.56 154.04x 83.9% SAFE 15 $7,395$46,667 OK
NVDA
+215C −225P +200P −250C
$226.22 215225 200250 $264.80 $231.77 251.50x 11.6% SAFE 10 $49,800$226,215 OK
Neville (...0865)10 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · IC $441,025 · notional $2,268,883
CRWV →
+105C −120P +40P −100C
$80.32 105120 40100 $125.45 $128.80 804.91x 50.2% SAFE 5 $10,225$40,160 ROLL NOW (39d)
IREN (Neville) →
+45C −65P +21P −38C
$35.51 4565 2138 $56.50 $58.19 4415.67x 40.9% SAFE 20 $6,000$71,020 ROLL NOW (39d)
MU (Neville) →
+970C −1110P +390P
$996.33 9701110 3900 $1220.00 $1233.58 7203.88x 60.9% SAFE 2 $50,000$199,265 ROLL NOW (39d)
SNDK →
+1200C −1380P +810P
$1487.13 12001380 8100 $1620.00 $1629.47 5702.36x 45.5% SAFE 1 $42,000$148,713 ROLL NOW (39d)
SPY
+640C −785C
$778.55 6400 0785 $764.00 $704.04 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$934,260 LEAPS-ONLY
CRCL
+45C −65P +40P −98C
$84.33 4565 4098 $87.00 $90.94 251.60x 52.6% SAFE 5 $21,000$42,165 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −360C
$350.22 300345 310360 $373.00 $347.48 351.48x 11.5% SAFE 15 $109,500$525,330 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −360C
$350.22 340405 360360 $398.00 $386.42 451.88x -2.8% ITM 5 $25,500$175,110 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −105C
$101.58 85100 35105 $114.00 $115.64 653.24x 65.5% SAFE 5 $14,500$50,790 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −180C
$164.14 150195 135180 $186.00 $190.03 603.22x 17.8% SAFE 5 $13,500$82,070 OK
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 3 actionable · IC $180,200 · notional $991,239
AAPL →
+240C −330P +285P −350C
$339.71 240330 285350 $334.64 $337.06 451.48x 16.1% SAFE 5 $47,320$169,855 ROLL NOW (39d)
APP →
+460C −540P +185P −290C
$275.44 460540 185290 $588.00 $611.46 3553.77x 32.8% SAFE 1 $12,800$27,544 ROLL NOW (39d)
IREN (RetireInc) →
+50C −70P +23P −38C
$35.51 5070 2338 $63.43 $66.48 477.86x 35.2% SAFE 20 $13,700$71,020 ROLL NOW (39d)
MARA (RetireInc)
+40C
$9.53 400 00 $41.04 $11.79 01.00x 0.0% N/A 500 $52,000$476,500 LEAPS-ONLY
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$10.37 1717 100 $20.74 $18.58 72.87x 3.5% TIGHT 25 $9,350$25,919 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$31.89 4560 200 $56.15 $59.03 406.48x 37.3% SAFE 10 $7,300$31,889 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −170C
$154.32 125185 55170 $161.00 $162.59 13011.83x 64.4% SAFE 4 $4,800$61,728 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +100P −220C
$174.44 190210 100220 $224.00 $227.29 1104.24x 42.7% SAFE 5 $17,000$87,220 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −73C
$65.94 115135 4573 $141.55 $148.19 904.39x 31.8% SAFE 6 $15,930$39,564 OK
Joint (...1782)8 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · IC $490,588 · notional $1,405,380
AMZN →
+200C −250P +215P −278C
$261.52 200250 215278 $267.92 $270.93 351.52x 17.8% SAFE 5 $33,960$130,760 REPAIR PLAN (39d)
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −44C
$35.51 2547 3544 $44.00 $48.50 121.75x 1.4% TIGHT 20 $32,000$71,020 REPAIR PLAN (95d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −355C
$350.22 3100 0355 $392.50 $350.83 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$175,110 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$46.79 750 00 $70.58 $52.90 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$233,950 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −200C
$154.32 1800 0200 $233.00 $175.85 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$154,320 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −18P +25P
$24.04 2318 250 $36.42 $25.24 01.00x -4.0% ITM 150 $201,300$360,525 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P
$85.43 6590 680 $93.40 $97.23 221.77x 20.4% SAFE 20 $56,800$170,860 OK
HOOD
+65C −95P +80P −115C
$108.83 6595 80115 $114.95 $119.84 151.30x 26.5% SAFE 10 $49,950$108,835 OK
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · overview rows

GLD: HP 330P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened cost cap 25% → 50% of CC to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $382.11 Current HP: 330P (39d, 13.6% OTM) Current hedge: $4,492/yr Current ML: $256,000 If HP lapses: ML $586,000 (+$330,000) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 10 (1,000 sh) CC income: $20,472/yr Cost cap: 50% of CC = $10,236/yr IV: MEDIUM 15 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 330 → 330P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 13.6% OTM) | Cost: $6,210/yr (30% of CC) | New ML: $256,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $690 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 330 → 340P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 11.0% OTM) | Cost: $9,697/yr (47% of CC) | New ML: $246,000 ↓ $10,000 | Roll DEBIT $1,330 | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 330 CHEAP Dec 18 67d 13.6% $1.10 $1.14 $6,210 30% $256,000 = D $690
2 330 Dec 31 80d 13.6% $1.38 $1.45 $6,616 32% $256,000 = D $1,000
3 330 Jan 15 95d 13.6% $1.79 $1.85 $7,108 35% $256,000 = D $1,400
4 331 Jan 15 95d 13.4% $1.86 $1.93 $7,415 36% $255,000 -$1,000 D $1,480
5 332 Jan 15 95d 13.1% $1.94 $2.01 $7,723 38% $254,000 -$2,000 D $1,560
6 335 Dec 18 67d 12.3% $1.37 $1.42 $7,736 38% $251,000 -$5,000 D $970
7 333 Jan 15 95d 12.9% $2.02 $2.09 $8,030 39% $253,000 -$3,000 D $1,640
8 335 Dec 31 80d 12.3% $1.65 $1.77 $8,076 39% $251,000 -$5,000 D $1,320
9 334 Jan 15 95d 12.6% $2.10 $2.18 $8,376 41% $252,000 -$4,000 D $1,730
10 335 Jan 15 95d 12.3% $2.23 $2.28 $8,760 43% $251,000 -$5,000 D $1,830
11 336 Jan 15 95d 12.1% $2.28 $2.42 $9,298 45% $250,000 -$6,000 D $1,970
12 337 Jan 15 95d 11.8% $2.38 $2.51 $9,644 47% $249,000 -$7,000 D $2,060
▶ 13 340 PROT Dec 18 67d 11.0% $1.72 $1.78 $9,697 47% $246,000 -$10,000 D $1,330
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $470 — assignment locks a loss · $394, B $5.30 $59,625/yr $6,210/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $394 0.5σ, B $5.30 $59,625/yr $6,210/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($394, bid $5.30). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

MU (Main): HP 340P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

Stock: $996.33 Current HP: 340P (39d, 65.9% OTM) Current hedge: $468/yr Current ML: $409,300 If HP lapses: ML $579,300 (+$170,000) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $166,892/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $41,723/yr IV: HIGH 95 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-12-23 INTRADAY (72d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 340 → 340P (Jan 15 '27, 95d, 65.9% OTM) | Cost: $1,133/yr (1% of CC) | New ML: $409,300 = ML | Roll DEBIT $290 | Margin (TIMS): $59,607
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 340 → 810P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 18.7% OTM) | Cost: $40,450/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $174,300 ↓ $235,000 | Roll DEBIT $7,420 | Margin (TIMS): $27,084
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 340 CHEAP Jan 15 95d 65.9% $0.42 $0.59 $1,133 1% $409,300 = D $290
2 370 Jan 15 95d 62.9% $0.46 $0.70 $1,345 1% $394,300 -$15,000 D $345
3 360 Dec 18 67d 63.9% $0.30 $0.52 $1,416 1% $399,300 -$10,000 D $255
4 350 Jan 15 95d 64.9% $0.43 $0.74 $1,422 1% $404,300 -$5,000 D $365
5 400 Dec 18 67d 59.9% $0.44 $0.54 $1,471 1% $379,300 -$30,000 D $265
6 360 Jan 15 95d 63.9% $0.50 $0.83 $1,594 1% $399,300 -$10,000 D $410
7 380 Dec 18 67d 61.9% $0.19 $0.60 $1,634 1% $389,300 -$20,000 D $295
8 410 Dec 18 67d 58.8% $0.46 $0.60 $1,634 1% $374,300 -$35,000 D $295
9 420 Dec 18 67d 57.8% $0.32 $0.60 $1,634 1% $369,300 -$40,000 D $295
10 380 Jan 15 95d 61.9% $0.55 $0.90 $1,729 1% $389,300 -$20,000 D $445
11 390 Jan 15 95d 60.9% $0.64 $0.95 $1,825 1% $384,300 -$25,000 D $470
12 400 Jan 15 95d 59.9% $0.69 $1.01 $1,940 1% $379,300 -$30,000 D $500
▶ 13 810 PROT Dec 18 67d 18.7% $14.20 $14.85 $40,450 24% $174,300 -$235,000 D $7,420
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $1050, B $34.60 $194,625/yr $1,133/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $1075 0.6σ, B $25.05 $140,906/yr $1,133/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($1050, bid $34.60). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

AMD: HP 470P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 95d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 2.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $591.27 HP: 20.5% OTM Current hedge: $9,452/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $9,452/yr SS: $649.20 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 2 (200 sh) CC income: $40,384/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 14% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 4 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-03 INTRADAY (22d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 470 → 450 (Jan 15, 95d) | Save $2,459/yr | Payback 20mo (1.63yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.09yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 23.9% OTM | RM 1.33x → 1.42x | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 450 Jan 15 95d 23.9% $9.10 $2.85 $570 $6,993 $14,984 $2,459 100 $4,000 20mo 1mo 1.42x PASS
2 440 Jan 15 95d 25.6% $8.05 $3.90 $780 $6,186 $12,833 $3,266 110 $6,000 22mo 2mo 1.46x PASS
3 430 Jan 15 95d 27.3% $6.65 $5.30 $1,060 $5,110 $10,873 $4,342 120 $8,000 22mo 2mo 1.50x PASS
4 460 Jan 15 95d 22.2% $10.90 $1.05 $210 $8,376 $19,787 $1,076 90 $2,000 22mo 1mo 1.38x PASS
5 420 Jan 15 95d 29.0% $5.90 $6.05 $1,210 $4,534 $9,375 $4,918 130 $10,000 24mo 3mo 1.54x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $665, B $13.45 $30,262/yr $6,993/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $650 0.6σ, B $16.85 $37,913/yr $6,993/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 14% DRAWDOWN (stock $591.27 → $507.57, hedge $14,984/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $25,988/yr $14,984/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $25,988/yr $14,984/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($665, bid $13.45). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 14% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

BMNR (Main): HP 45P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 95d

Stock: $24.04 HP: ITM Current hedge: $406,303/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $65.83 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 50 (5,000 sh) CC income: $61,784/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 23% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 5 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-20 INTRADAY (39d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 45 → 21 (Jan 15, 95d) | Save $373,068/yr | Payback N/A hedge only, N/A w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 12.6% OTM | RM 1.00x → 0.93x | Margin (TIMS): $296
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 21 Jan 15 95d 12.6% $1.73 $19.27 $96,350 $33,234 $40,054 $373,068 -3 $-15,000 N/A N/A 0.93x PASS
2 20 Jan 15 95d 16.8% $1.38 $19.62 $98,100 $26,511 $49,659 $379,792 -2 $-10,000 N/A N/A 0.95x PASS
3 19 Jan 15 95d 20.9% $1.07 $19.93 $99,650 $20,555 $53,501 $385,747 -1 $-5,000 N/A N/A 0.98x PASS
4 18 Jan 15 95d 25.1% $0.82 $20.18 $100,900 $15,753 $61,474 $390,550 0 $0 N/A N/A 1.00x PASS
5 17 Jan 15 95d 29.3% $0.71 $20.29 $101,450 $13,639 $46,105 $392,663 1 $5,000 0mo 0mo 1.02x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $61 — assignment locks a loss · $35, B $0.12 $6,750/yr $33,234/yr DEFICIT $2,207/mo
CC at MID $27 0.6σ, B $0.87 $48,938/yr $33,234/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 23% DRAWDOWN (stock $24.04 → $18.53, hedge $40,054/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $6,750/yr $40,054/yr DEFICIT $2,775/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $6,750/yr $40,054/yr DEFICIT $2,775/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($27, bid $0.87) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 23% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,775/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 95d

Stock: $35.51 HP: 1.4% OTM Current hedge: $39,189/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $50,915/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 22% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 4 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (24d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 32 (Jan 15, 95d) | Save $11,526/yr | Payback 6mo (0.52yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.10yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 9.9% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.94x | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 32 Jan 15 95d 9.9% $3.60 $1.40 $2,800 $27,663 $20,825 $11,526 15 $6,000 6mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
2 30 Jan 15 95d 15.5% $2.76 $2.24 $4,480 $21,208 $25,820 $17,981 17 $10,000 7mo 2mo 2.06x PASS
3 27 Jan 15 95d 24.0% $1.75 $3.25 $6,500 $13,447 $33,426 $25,742 20 $16,000 7mo 3mo 2.25x PASS
4 25 Jan 15 95d 29.6% $1.27 $3.73 $7,460 $9,759 $22,207 $29,431 22 $20,000 8mo 3mo 2.38x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $49, B $0.51 $11,475/yr $27,663/yr DEFICIT $1,349/mo
CC at MID $41 0.7σ, B $1.45 $32,625/yr $27,663/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 22% DRAWDOWN (stock $35.51 → $27.66, hedge $20,825/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $4,950/yr $20,825/yr DEFICIT $1,323/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $7,200/yr $20,825/yr DEFICIT $1,135/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($41, bid $1.45) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 22% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,135/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.
Neville (...0865)10 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · overview rows

CRWV: HP 40P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

Stock: $80.32 Current HP: 40P (39d, 50.2% OTM) Current hedge: $468/yr Current ML: $50,225 If HP lapses: ML $70,225 (+$20,000) Account: Neville (...0865) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $27,547/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $6,887/yr IV: HIGH 18 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-11 INTRADAY (30d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 40 → 40P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 50.2% OTM) | Cost: $599/yr (2% of CC) | New ML: $50,225 = ML | Roll DEBIT $95 | Margin (TIMS): $2,107
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 40 → 62P (Jan 15 '27, 95d, 22.2% OTM) | Cost: $6,436/yr (23% of CC) | New ML: $38,975 ↓ $11,250 | Roll DEBIT $1,660 | Margin (TIMS): $2,006
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 40 CHEAP Dec 18 67d 50.2% $0.16 $0.22 $599 2% $50,225 = D $95
2 40 Jan 15 95d 50.2% $0.32 $0.39 $749 3% $50,225 = D $180
3 42 Dec 18 67d 47.1% $0.20 $0.30 $817 3% $48,975 -$1,250 D $135
4 45 Dec 18 67d 44.0% $0.32 $0.36 $981 4% $47,725 -$2,500 D $165
5 42 Jan 15 95d 47.1% $0.39 $0.52 $999 4% $48,975 -$1,250 D $245
6 45 Jan 15 95d 44.0% $0.49 $0.68 $1,306 5% $47,725 -$2,500 D $325
7 48 Dec 18 67d 40.9% $0.41 $0.49 $1,335 5% $46,475 -$3,750 D $230
8 48 Jan 15 95d 40.9% $0.67 $0.84 $1,614 6% $46,475 -$3,750 D $405
9 50 Dec 18 67d 37.7% $0.61 $0.66 $1,798 7% $45,225 -$5,000 D $315
10 50 Jan 15 95d 37.7% $1.02 $1.09 $2,094 8% $45,225 -$5,000 D $530
11 52 Jan 15 95d 34.6% $1.23 $1.39 $2,670 10% $43,975 -$6,250 D $680
12 55 Dec 18 67d 31.5% $1.09 $1.16 $3,160 11% $42,725 -$7,500 D $565
▶ 13 62 PROT Jan 15 95d 22.2% $3.25 $3.35 $6,436 23% $38,975 -$11,250 D $1,660
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $129 — assignment locks a loss · $98, B $2.15 $12,094/yr $599/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $92 0.7σ, B $3.15 $17,719/yr $599/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($98, bid $2.15). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

IREN (Neville): HP 21P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

Stock: $35.51 Current HP: 21P (39d, 40.9% OTM) Current hedge: $3,369/yr Current ML: $94,000 If HP lapses: ML $136,000 (+$42,000) Account: Neville (...0865) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $50,915/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $12,729/yr IV: HIGH 4 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (24d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 21 → 22P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 38.0% OTM) | Cost: $4,685/yr (9% of CC) | New ML: $92,000 ↓ $2,000 | Roll DEBIT $660 | Margin (TIMS): $1,787
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 21 → 25P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 29.6% OTM) | Cost: $9,152/yr (18% of CC) | New ML: $86,000 ↓ $8,000 | Roll DEBIT $1,480 | Margin (TIMS): $1,611
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 22 CHEAP Dec 18 67d 38.0% $0.42 $0.43 $4,685 9% $92,000 -$2,000 D $660
2 22 Jan 15 95d 38.0% $0.60 $0.79 $6,071 12% $92,000 -$2,000 D $1,380
▶ 3 25 PROT Dec 18 67d 29.6% $0.80 $0.84 $9,152 18% $86,000 -$8,000 D $1,480
4 25 Jan 15 95d 29.6% $1.21 $1.27 $9,759 19% $86,000 -$8,000 D $2,340
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $58 — assignment locks a loss · $55, B $0.22 $4,950/yr $4,685/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $41 0.7σ, B $1.45 $32,625/yr $4,685/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($55, bid $0.22). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

MU (Neville): HP 390P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

Stock: $996.33 Current HP: 390P (39d, 60.9% OTM) Current hedge: $786/yr Current ML: $194,000 If HP lapses: ML $272,000 (+$78,000) Account: Neville (...0865) Contracts: 2 (200 sh) CC income: $66,757/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $16,689/yr IV: HIGH 85 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 390 → 400P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 59.9% OTM) | Cost: $588/yr (1% of CC) | New ML: $192,000 ↓ $2,000 | Roll DEBIT $106 | Margin (TIMS): $26,446
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 390 → 810P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 18.7% OTM) | Cost: $16,180/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $110,000 ↓ $84,000 | Roll DEBIT $2,968 | Margin (TIMS): $20,203
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 400 CHEAP Dec 18 67d 59.9% $0.44 $0.54 $588 1% $192,000 -$2,000 D $106
2 410 Dec 18 67d 58.8% $0.46 $0.60 $654 1% $190,000 -$4,000 D $118
3 420 Dec 18 67d 57.8% $0.32 $0.60 $654 1% $188,000 -$6,000 D $118
4 390 Jan 15 95d 60.9% $0.64 $0.95 $730 1% $194,000 = D $188
5 400 Jan 15 95d 59.9% $0.69 $1.01 $776 1% $192,000 -$2,000 D $200
6 440 Dec 18 67d 55.8% $0.60 $0.76 $828 1% $184,000 -$10,000 D $150
7 430 Jan 15 95d 56.8% $0.76 $1.11 $853 1% $186,000 -$8,000 D $220
8 450 Jan 15 95d 54.8% $0.86 $1.11 $853 1% $182,000 -$12,000 D $220
9 440 Jan 15 95d 55.8% $0.91 $1.12 $861 1% $184,000 -$10,000 D $222
10 430 Dec 18 67d 56.8% $0.53 $0.80 $872 1% $186,000 -$8,000 D $158
11 450 Dec 18 67d 54.8% $0.58 $0.80 $872 1% $182,000 -$12,000 D $158
12 460 Dec 18 67d 53.8% $0.53 $0.84 $915 1% $180,000 -$14,000 D $166
▶ 13 810 PROT Dec 18 67d 18.7% $14.20 $14.85 $16,180 24% $110,000 -$84,000 D $2,968
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $1,234 — assignment locks a loss · $1075, B $25.05 $56,362/yr $588/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $1075 0.6σ, B $25.05 $56,362/yr $588/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($1075, bid $25.05). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

SNDK: HP 810P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

Stock: $1487.13 Current HP: 810P (39d, 45.5% OTM) Current hedge: $1,451/yr Current ML: $99,000 If HP lapses: ML $180,000 (+$81,000) Account: Neville (...0865) Contracts: 1 (100 sh) CC income: $66,230/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $16,557/yr IV: HIGH 69 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (17d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 810 → 830P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 44.2% OTM) | Cost: $1,961/yr (3% of CC) | New ML: $97,000 ↓ $2,000 | Roll DEBIT $255 | Margin (TIMS): $46,807
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 810 → 1150P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 22.7% OTM) | Cost: $16,016/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $65,000 ↓ $34,000 | Roll DEBIT $2,835 | Margin (TIMS): $35,800
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 830 CHEAP Dec 18 67d 44.2% $2.70 $3.60 $1,961 3% $97,000 -$2,000 D $255
2 810 Jan 15 95d 45.5% $4.60 $5.20 $1,998 3% $99,000 = D $415
3 810 Dec 18 67d 45.5% $2.15 $3.70 $2,016 3% $99,000 = D $265
4 840 Dec 18 67d 43.5% $2.90 $3.80 $2,070 3% $96,000 -$3,000 D $275
5 850 Dec 18 67d 42.8% $3.00 $4.20 $2,288 3% $95,000 -$4,000 D $315
6 820 Jan 15 95d 44.9% $4.80 $6.10 $2,344 4% $98,000 -$1,000 D $505
7 840 Jan 15 95d 43.5% $5.50 $6.60 $2,536 4% $96,000 -$3,000 D $555
8 850 Jan 15 95d 42.8% $6.00 $7.30 $2,805 4% $95,000 -$4,000 D $625
9 880 Dec 18 67d 40.8% $3.90 $5.20 $2,833 4% $92,000 -$7,000 D $415
10 900 Dec 18 67d 39.5% $4.60 $5.20 $2,833 4% $90,000 -$9,000 D $415
11 860 Jan 15 95d 42.2% $6.40 $7.80 $2,997 5% $94,000 -$5,000 D $675
12 820 Dec 18 67d 44.9% $1.65 $5.70 $3,105 5% $98,000 -$1,000 D $465
▶ 13 1150 PROT Dec 18 67d 22.7% $27.50 $29.40 $16,016 24% $65,000 -$34,000 D $2,835
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $1,629 — assignment locks a loss · $1555, B $87.80 $98,775/yr $1,961/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $1555 0.2σ, B $87.80 $98,775/yr $1,961/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($1555, bid $87.80). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 3 actionable · overview rows

AAPL: HP 285P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

Stock: $339.71 Current HP: 285P (39d, 16.1% OTM) Current hedge: $3,042/yr Current ML: $69,820 If HP lapses: ML $212,320 (+$142,500) Account: RetireInc (...7291) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $69,527/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $17,382/yr IV: MEDIUM 10 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-02 INTRADAY (21d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 285 → 285P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 16.1% OTM) | Cost: $3,841/yr (6% of CC) | New ML: $69,820 = ML | Roll DEBIT $410 | Margin (TIMS): $6,031
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 285 → 305P (Jan 15 '27, 95d, 10.2% OTM) | Cost: $9,125/yr (13% of CC) | New ML: $59,820 ↓ $10,000 | Roll DEBIT $2,080 | Margin (TIMS): $5,054
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 285 CHEAP Dec 18 67d 16.1% $1.33 $1.41 $3,841 6% $69,820 = D $410
2 285 Jan 15 95d 16.1% $2.13 $2.24 $4,303 6% $69,820 = D $825
3 290 Dec 18 67d 14.6% $1.64 $1.76 $4,794 7% $67,320 -$2,500 D $585
4 290 Jan 15 95d 14.6% $2.57 $2.75 $5,283 8% $67,320 -$2,500 D $1,080
5 295 Dec 18 67d 13.2% $1.97 $2.23 $6,074 9% $64,820 -$5,000 D $820
6 295 Jan 15 95d 13.2% $3.05 $3.30 $6,339 9% $64,820 -$5,000 D $1,355
7 300 Jan 15 95d 11.7% $3.75 $3.90 $7,492 11% $62,320 -$7,500 D $1,655
8 300 Dec 18 67d 11.7% $2.50 $2.76 $7,518 11% $62,320 -$7,500 D $1,085
▶ 9 305 PROT Jan 15 95d 10.2% $4.55 $4.75 $9,125 13% $59,820 -$10,000 D $2,080
10 305 Dec 18 67d 10.2% $3.20 $3.35 $9,125 13% $59,820 -$10,000 D $1,380
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $340, B $10.50 $59,062/yr $3,841/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $355 0.6σ, B $4.40 $24,750/yr $3,841/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($340, bid $10.50). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

APP: HP 185P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

Stock: $275.44 Current HP: 185P (39d, 32.8% OTM) Current hedge: $1,544/yr Current ML: $48,300 If HP lapses: ML $66,800 (+$18,500) Account: RetireInc (...7291) Contracts: 1 (100 sh) CC income: $16,473/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $4,118/yr IV: HIGH 10 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-04 INTRADAY (23d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 185 → 185P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 32.8% OTM) | Cost: $1,498/yr (9% of CC) | New ML: $48,300 = ML | Roll DEBIT $175 | Margin (TIMS): $9,020
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 185 → 210P (Jan 15 '27, 95d, 23.8% OTM) | Cost: $3,458/yr (21% of CC) | New ML: $45,800 ↓ $2,500 | Roll DEBIT $800 | Margin (TIMS): $8,447
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 185 CHEAP Dec 18 67d 32.8% $2.40 $2.75 $1,498 9% $48,300 = D $175
2 185 Jan 15 95d 32.8% $3.80 $4.40 $1,691 10% $48,300 = D $340
3 190 Dec 18 67d 31.0% $2.90 $3.40 $1,852 11% $47,800 -$500 D $240
4 190 Jan 15 95d 31.0% $4.50 $5.10 $1,959 12% $47,800 -$500 D $410
5 195 Dec 18 67d 29.2% $3.40 $3.90 $2,125 13% $47,300 -$1,000 D $290
6 195 Jan 15 95d 29.2% $5.30 $6.10 $2,344 14% $47,300 -$1,000 D $510
7 200 Dec 18 67d 27.4% $4.10 $4.60 $2,506 15% $46,800 -$1,500 D $360
8 200 Jan 15 95d 27.4% $6.10 $7.00 $2,689 16% $46,800 -$1,500 D $600
▶ 9 210 PROT Jan 15 95d 23.8% $8.50 $9.00 $3,458 21% $45,800 -$2,500 D $800
10 210 Dec 18 67d 23.8% $5.70 $6.50 $3,541 21% $45,800 -$2,500 D $550
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $611 — assignment locks a loss · $365, B $3.30 $3,712/yr $1,498/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $315 0.7σ, B $10.40 $11,700/yr $1,498/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($365, bid $3.30). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

IREN (RetireInc): HP 23P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

Stock: $35.51 Current HP: 23P (39d, 35.2% OTM) Current hedge: $4,492/yr Current ML: $107,700 If HP lapses: ML $153,700 (+$46,000) Account: RetireInc (...7291) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $50,915/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $12,729/yr IV: HIGH 2 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (24d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 23 → 25P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 29.6% OTM) | Cost: $9,152/yr (18% of CC) | New ML: $103,700 ↓ $4,000 | Roll DEBIT $1,240 | Margin (TIMS): $1,600
PROTECTIVE PICK: same as CHEAPEST (no higher-strike candidate clears the cost cap).
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 25 CHEAP PROT Dec 18 67d 29.6% $0.80 $0.84 $9,152 18% $103,700 -$4,000 D $1,240
2 25 Jan 15 95d 29.6% $1.21 $1.27 $9,759 19% $103,700 -$4,000 D $2,100
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $66 — assignment locks a loss · $55, B $0.22 $4,950/yr $9,152/yr DEFICIT $350/mo
CC at MID $41 0.7σ, B $1.45 $32,625/yr $9,152/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($41, bid $1.45). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.
Joint (...1782)8 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · overview rows

AMZN: HP 215P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 3.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $261.52 HP: 17.8% OTM Current hedge: $4,913/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $5,312/yr SS: $267.92 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $24,273/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 12% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 2 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (17d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 215 → 210 (Jan 15, 95d) | Save $951/yr | Payback 32mo (2.63yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.10yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 19.7% OTM | RM 1.52x → 1.59x | Margin (TIMS): $4,550
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 210 Jan 15 95d 19.7% $2.27 $-1.25 $-625 $4,361 $12,199 $951 40 $2,500 32mo 1mo 1.59x PASS
2 205 Jan 15 95d 21.6% $1.86 $-0.84 $-420 $3,573 $9,701 $1,738 45 $5,000 35mo 2mo 1.66x PASS
3 185 Jan 15 95d 29.3% $0.96 $0.06 $30 $1,844 $2,958 $3,467 65 $15,000 52mo 6mo 1.96x FAIL
4 190 Jan 15 95d 27.3% $1.02 $0.00 $0 $1,959 $3,746 $3,352 60 $12,500 45mo 5mo 1.88x FAIL
5 195 Jan 15 95d 25.4% $1.22 $-0.20 $-100 $2,344 $4,783 $2,968 55 $10,000 40mo 4mo 1.81x FAIL
6 200 Jan 15 95d 23.5% $1.50 $-0.48 $-240 $2,882 $6,051 $2,430 50 $7,500 37mo 3mo 1.74x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $275, B $6.95 $39,094/yr $4,361/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $280 0.6σ, B $5.45 $30,656/yr $4,361/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 12% DRAWDOWN (stock $261.52 → $230.09, hedge $12,199/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $3,825/yr $12,199/yr DEFICIT $698/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $3,262/yr $12,199/yr DEFICIT $745/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($280, bid $5.45) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 12% drawdown, even MID is short ~$745/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 95d

Stock: $35.51 HP: 1.4% OTM Current hedge: $39,189/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $50,915/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 22% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 4 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (24d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 32 (Jan 15, 95d) | Save $11,526/yr | Payback 6mo (0.52yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.10yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 9.9% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.94x | Margin (TIMS): $1,212
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 32 Jan 15 95d 9.9% $3.60 $1.40 $2,800 $27,663 $20,825 $11,526 15 $6,000 6mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
2 30 Jan 15 95d 15.5% $2.76 $2.24 $4,480 $21,208 $25,820 $17,981 17 $10,000 7mo 2mo 2.06x PASS
3 27 Jan 15 95d 24.0% $1.75 $3.25 $6,500 $13,447 $33,426 $25,742 20 $16,000 7mo 3mo 2.25x PASS
4 25 Jan 15 95d 29.6% $1.27 $3.73 $7,460 $9,759 $22,207 $29,431 22 $20,000 8mo 3mo 2.38x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $49, B $0.51 $11,475/yr $27,663/yr DEFICIT $1,349/mo
CC at MID $41 0.7σ, B $1.45 $32,625/yr $27,663/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 22% DRAWDOWN (stock $35.51 → $27.66, hedge $20,825/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $4,950/yr $20,825/yr DEFICIT $1,323/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $7,200/yr $20,825/yr DEFICIT $1,135/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($41, bid $1.45) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 22% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,135/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).