GENERATED2026-10-13 03:53
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
TOTAL HEDGE (CURRENT)
$512,591/yr
TOTAL HEDGE (REPAIRED)
$104,524/yr
ANNUAL SAVINGS
$408,067/yr
ROLL CREDITS
$101,510
ADDITIONAL MAX LOSS
$3,500
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 41 positions
9 · ROLL NOW5 · REPAIR PLAN7 · LEAPS-ONLY20 · OK
Click any ticker row below to jump to its analysis section.
What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · IC $1,234,550 · notional $3,151,235
GLD →
+320C −450P +330P −409C
$382.06 320450 330409 $456.00 $469.93 1201.88x 13.6% SAFE 10 $136,000$382,060 ROLL NOW (39d)
MU (Main) →
+880C −1010P +340P
$988.56 8801010 3400 $1028.60 $1042.80 6705.51x 65.6% SAFE 5 $74,300$494,280 ROLL NOW (39d)
AMD →
+410C −550P +470P −618C
$594.49 410550 470618 $649.20 $662.43 801.33x 20.9% SAFE 2 $47,840$118,898 REPAIR PLAN (95d)
BMNR (Main) →
+25C −18P +45P
$23.73 2518 450 $65.83 $60.63 01.00x -89.6% ITM 50 $204,150$118,650 REPAIR PLAN (95d)
IREN (Main) →
+25C −47P +35P −44C
$35.08 2547 3544 $44.00 $48.56 121.75x 0.2% TIGHT 20 $32,000$70,160 REPAIR PLAN (95d)
IGV
+70C −115C
$111.22 700 0115 $96.50 $86.94 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $31,800$133,464 LEAPS-ONLY
MARA (Main)
+13C
$9.44 130 00 $16.75 $11.61 01.00x 0.0% N/A 400 $150,000$377,600 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Main)
+23C −18P +25P
$23.73 2318 250 $53.26 $47.74 01.00x -5.4% ITM 75 $226,950$177,975 OK
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +90P −195C
$177.47 165240 90195 $210.90 $214.89 1509.93x 49.3% SAFE 8 $13,440$141,976 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −195C
$177.47 500330 300195 $563.00 $384.71 301.48x -69.0% ITM 25 $157,500$443,675 OK
DELL
+310C −400P +320P −640C
$571.24 310400 320640 $562.50 $568.80 801.32x 44.0% SAFE 3 $75,750$171,372 OK
GLXY
+38C −38P +18P −22C
$19.86 3838 1822 $39.71 $37.12 2010.05x 11.9% SAFE 125 $27,625$248,250 OK
HIMS
+10C −20P +5P −35C
$30.75 1020 535 $17.47 $19.16 154.04x 83.7% SAFE 15 $7,395$46,125 OK
NVDA
+215C −225P +200P −235C
$226.75 215225 200235 $264.80 $231.66 251.50x 11.8% SAFE 10 $49,800$226,750 OK
Neville (...0865)10 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · IC $441,025 · notional $2,263,820
CRWV →
+105C −120P +40P −85C
$80.64 105120 4085 $125.45 $128.24 804.91x 50.4% SAFE 5 $10,225$40,320 ROLL NOW (39d)
IREN (Neville) →
+45C −65P +21P −38C
$35.08 4565 2138 $56.50 $57.84 4415.67x 40.1% SAFE 20 $6,000$70,160 ROLL NOW (39d)
MU (Neville) →
+970C −1110P +390P
$988.56 9701110 3900 $1220.00 $1230.05 7203.88x 60.5% SAFE 2 $50,000$197,712 ROLL NOW (39d)
SNDK →
+1200C −1380P +810P
$1487.82 12001380 8100 $1620.00 $1629.91 5702.36x 45.6% SAFE 1 $42,000$148,782 ROLL NOW (39d)
SPY
+640C −785C
$778.03 6400 0785 $764.00 $704.12 01.00x 0.0% N/A 12 $148,800$933,636 LEAPS-ONLY
CRCL
+45C −65P +40P −98C
$82.95 4565 4098 $87.00 $91.38 251.60x 51.8% SAFE 5 $21,000$41,475 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+300C −345P +310P −360C
$349.63 300345 310360 $373.00 $345.54 351.48x 11.3% SAFE 15 $109,500$524,445 OK
GOOG (Neville)
+340C −405P +360P −360C
$349.63 340405 360360 $398.00 $386.32 451.88x -3.0% ITM 5 $25,500$174,815 OK
INTC
+85C −100P +35P −105C
$101.45 85100 35105 $114.00 $115.58 653.24x 65.5% SAFE 5 $14,500$50,725 OK
SPCX
+150C −195P +135P −180C
$163.50 150195 135180 $186.00 $189.75 603.22x 17.4% SAFE 5 $13,500$81,750 OK
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 3 actionable · IC $180,200 · notional $983,846
AAPL →
+240C −330P +285P −350C
$340.68 240330 285350 $334.64 $337.97 451.48x 16.3% SAFE 5 $47,320$170,340 ROLL NOW (39d)
APP →
+460C −540P +185P −290C
$270.83 460540 185290 $588.00 $608.28 3553.77x 31.7% SAFE 1 $12,800$27,083 ROLL NOW (39d)
IREN (RetireInc) →
+50C −70P +23P −38C
$35.08 5070 2338 $63.43 $66.72 477.86x 34.4% SAFE 20 $13,700$70,160 ROLL NOW (39d)
MARA (RetireInc)
+40C
$9.44 400 00 $41.04 $11.84 01.00x 0.0% N/A 500 $52,000$472,000 LEAPS-ONLY
CLSK
+17C −17P +10P
$10.34 1717 100 $20.74 $18.49 72.87x 3.2% TIGHT 25 $9,350$25,838 OK
ENPH
+45C −60P +20P
$31.41 4560 200 $56.15 $58.48 406.48x 36.3% SAFE 10 $7,300$31,410 OK
MSTR (RetireInc)
+125C −185P +55P −170C
$152.00 125185 55170 $161.00 $163.35 13011.83x 63.8% SAFE 4 $4,800$60,800 OK
QCOM
+190C −210P +100P −195C
$173.94 190210 100195 $224.00 $227.39 1104.24x 42.5% SAFE 5 $17,000$86,970 OK
RKLB
+115C −135P +45P −73C
$65.41 115135 4573 $141.55 $148.30 904.39x 31.2% SAFE 6 $15,930$39,246 OK
Joint (...1782)8 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · IC $490,588 · notional $1,396,610
AMZN →
+200C −250P +215P −268C
$259.59 200250 215268 $267.92 $270.70 351.52x 17.2% SAFE 5 $33,960$129,795 REPAIR PLAN (39d)
IREN (Joint) →
+25C −47P +35P −44C
$35.08 2547 3544 $44.00 $48.56 121.75x 0.2% TIGHT 20 $32,000$70,160 REPAIR PLAN (95d)
GOOG (Joint)
+310C −355C
$349.63 3100 0355 $392.50 $351.08 01.00x 0.0% N/A 5 $41,250$174,815 LEAPS-ONLY
IBIT
+75C
$46.81 750 00 $70.58 $52.93 01.00x 0.0% N/A 50 $22,328$234,050 LEAPS-ONLY
MSTR (Joint)
+180C −200C
$152.00 1800 0200 $233.00 $175.46 01.00x 0.0% N/A 10 $53,000$152,000 LEAPS-ONLY
BMNR (Joint)
+23C −18P +25P
$23.73 2318 250 $36.42 $25.41 01.00x -5.4% ITM 150 $201,300$355,950 OK
COPX
+65C −90P +68P −90C
$85.37 6590 6890 $93.40 $96.68 221.77x 20.3% SAFE 20 $56,800$170,740 OK
HOOD
+65C −95P +80P −115C
$109.10 6595 80115 $114.95 $120.20 151.30x 26.7% SAFE 10 $49,950$109,100 OK
Main (...1299)14 fortress(es) · 5 actionable · overview rows

GLD: HP 330P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened cost cap 25% → 50% of CC to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $382.06 Current HP: 330P (39d, 13.6% OTM) Current hedge: $4,399/yr Current ML: $256,000 If HP lapses: ML $586,000 (+$330,000) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 10 (1,000 sh) CC income: $19,812/yr Cost cap: 50% of CC = $9,906/yr IV: MEDIUM 13 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 330 → 330P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 13.6% OTM) | Cost: $6,156/yr (31% of CC) | New ML: $256,000 = ML | Roll DEBIT $690 | Margin (TIMS): $927
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 330 → 340P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 11.0% OTM) | Cost: $9,697/yr (49% of CC) | New ML: $246,000 ↓ $10,000 | Roll DEBIT $1,340 | Margin (TIMS): $293
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 330 CHEAP Dec 18 67d 13.6% $1.08 $1.13 $6,156 31% $256,000 = D $690
2 330 Dec 31 80d 13.6% $1.38 $1.45 $6,616 33% $256,000 = D $1,010
3 330 Jan 15 95d 13.6% $1.78 $1.85 $7,108 36% $256,000 = D $1,410
4 331 Jan 15 95d 13.4% $1.84 $1.91 $7,338 37% $255,000 -$1,000 D $1,470
5 332 Jan 15 95d 13.1% $1.93 $2.01 $7,723 39% $254,000 -$2,000 D $1,570
6 335 Dec 18 67d 12.3% $1.35 $1.42 $7,736 39% $251,000 -$5,000 D $980
7 333 Jan 15 95d 12.8% $2.02 $2.08 $7,992 40% $253,000 -$3,000 D $1,640
8 335 Dec 31 80d 12.3% $1.67 $1.77 $8,076 41% $251,000 -$5,000 D $1,330
9 334 Jan 15 95d 12.6% $2.09 $2.18 $8,376 42% $252,000 -$4,000 D $1,740
10 335 Jan 15 95d 12.3% $2.20 $2.26 $8,683 44% $251,000 -$5,000 D $1,820
11 336 Jan 15 95d 12.1% $2.28 $2.42 $9,298 47% $250,000 -$6,000 D $1,980
12 337 Jan 15 95d 11.8% $2.39 $2.45 $9,413 48% $249,000 -$7,000 D $2,010
▶ 13 340 PROT Dec 18 67d 11.0% $1.71 $1.78 $9,697 49% $246,000 -$10,000 D $1,340
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $470 — assignment locks a loss · $394, B $5.20 $58,500/yr $6,156/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $394 0.5σ, B $5.20 $58,500/yr $6,156/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($394, bid $5.20). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

MU (Main): HP 340P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

Stock: $988.56 Current HP: 340P (39d, 65.6% OTM) Current hedge: $468/yr Current ML: $409,300 If HP lapses: ML $579,300 (+$170,000) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $162,598/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $40,650/yr IV: HIGH 92 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 340 → 350P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 64.6% OTM) | Cost: $1,144/yr (1% of CC) | New ML: $404,300 ↓ $5,000 | Roll DEBIT $205 | Margin (TIMS): $58,678
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 340 → 800P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 19.1% OTM) | Cost: $40,313/yr (25% of CC) | New ML: $179,300 ↓ $230,000 | Roll DEBIT $7,395 | Margin (TIMS): $27,130
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 350 CHEAP Dec 18 67d 64.6% $0.13 $0.42 $1,144 1% $404,300 -$5,000 D $205
2 370 Dec 18 67d 62.6% $0.16 $0.48 $1,307 1% $394,300 -$15,000 D $235
3 400 Dec 18 67d 59.5% $0.30 $0.55 $1,498 1% $379,300 -$30,000 D $270
4 370 Jan 15 95d 62.6% $0.42 $0.80 $1,537 1% $394,300 -$15,000 D $395
5 350 Jan 15 95d 64.6% $0.51 $0.82 $1,575 1% $404,300 -$5,000 D $405
6 410 Dec 18 67d 58.5% $0.31 $0.59 $1,607 1% $374,300 -$35,000 D $290
7 360 Dec 18 67d 63.6% $0.30 $0.60 $1,634 1% $399,300 -$10,000 D $295
8 380 Dec 18 67d 61.6% $0.27 $0.60 $1,634 1% $389,300 -$20,000 D $295
9 420 Dec 18 67d 57.5% $0.27 $0.60 $1,634 1% $369,300 -$40,000 D $295
10 360 Jan 15 95d 63.6% $0.41 $0.93 $1,787 1% $399,300 -$10,000 D $460
11 340 Jan 15 95d 65.6% $0.38 $0.99 $1,902 1% $409,300 = D $490
12 430 Jan 15 95d 56.5% $0.73 $0.99 $1,902 1% $364,300 -$45,000 D $490
▶ 13 800 PROT Dec 18 67d 19.1% $13.80 $14.80 $40,313 25% $179,300 -$230,000 D $7,395
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $1045, B $30.90 $173,812/yr $1,144/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $1065 0.6σ, B $25.10 $141,188/yr $1,144/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($1045, bid $30.90). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

AMD: HP 470P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 95d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 2.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $594.49 HP: 20.9% OTM Current hedge: $9,413/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $9,413/yr SS: $649.20 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 2 (200 sh) CC income: $40,195/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 14% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 4 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-03 INTRADAY (22d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 470 → 450 (Jan 15, 95d) | Save $2,843/yr | Payback 17mo (1.41yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.09yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 24.3% OTM | RM 1.33x → 1.42x | Margin (TIMS): $3,730
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 450 Jan 15 95d 24.3% $8.55 $2.20 $440 $6,570 $14,408 $2,843 100 $4,000 17mo 1mo 1.42x PASS
2 460 Jan 15 95d 22.6% $10.55 $0.20 $40 $8,107 $19,787 $1,306 90 $2,000 18mo 1mo 1.38x PASS
3 440 Jan 15 95d 26.0% $7.90 $2.85 $570 $6,071 $12,372 $3,343 110 $6,000 22mo 2mo 1.46x PASS
4 430 Jan 15 95d 27.7% $6.90 $3.85 $770 $5,302 $10,374 $4,111 120 $8,000 23mo 2mo 1.50x PASS
5 420 Jan 15 95d 29.4% $6.20 $4.55 $910 $4,764 $9,183 $4,649 130 $10,000 26mo 3mo 1.54x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $665, B $13.90 $31,275/yr $6,570/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $655 0.7σ, B $16.20 $36,450/yr $6,570/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 14% DRAWDOWN (stock $594.49 → $510.30, hedge $14,408/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $24,750/yr $14,408/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $24,750/yr $14,408/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($665, bid $13.90). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 14% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

BMNR (Main): HP 45P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 95d

Stock: $23.73 HP: ITM Current hedge: $414,947/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $65.83 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 50 (5,000 sh) CC income: $79,065/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 23% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 5 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-20 INTRADAY (39d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 45 → 21 (Jan 15, 95d) | Save $379,984/yr | Payback N/A hedge only, N/A w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 11.5% OTM | RM 1.00x → 0.93x | Margin (TIMS): $279
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 21 Jan 15 95d 11.5% $1.82 $19.23 $96,150 $34,963 $38,037 $379,984 -3 $-15,000 N/A N/A 0.93x PASS
2 20 Jan 15 95d 15.7% $1.42 $19.63 $98,150 $27,279 $44,761 $387,668 -2 $-10,000 N/A N/A 0.95x PASS
3 19 Jan 15 95d 19.9% $1.09 $19.96 $99,800 $20,939 $50,524 $394,008 -1 $-5,000 N/A N/A 0.98x PASS
4 18 Jan 15 95d 24.1% $0.84 $20.21 $101,050 $16,137 $58,208 $398,811 0 $0 N/A N/A 1.00x PASS
5 17 Jan 15 95d 28.4% $0.69 $20.36 $101,800 $13,255 $48,026 $401,692 1 $5,000 0mo 0mo 1.02x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $61 — assignment locks a loss · $34, B $0.05 $2,812/yr $34,963/yr DEFICIT $2,679/mo
CC at MID $26 0.6σ, B $0.87 $48,938/yr $34,963/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 23% DRAWDOWN (stock $23.73 → $18.29, hedge $38,037/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $2,812/yr $38,037/yr DEFICIT $2,935/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $2,812/yr $38,037/yr DEFICIT $2,935/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($26, bid $0.87) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 23% drawdown, even MID is short ~$2,935/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Main): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 95d

Stock: $35.08 HP: 0.2% OTM Current hedge: $41,495/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Account: Main (...1299) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $57,319/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 22% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 4 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (24d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 32 (Jan 15, 95d) | Save $12,295/yr | Payback 6mo (0.49yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.09yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 8.8% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.94x | Margin: n/a (RTH)
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 32 Jan 15 95d 8.8% $3.80 $1.40 $2,800 $29,200 $20,209 $12,295 15 $6,000 6mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
2 30 Jan 15 95d 14.5% $2.90 $2.30 $4,600 $22,284 $25,204 $19,211 17 $10,000 6mo 2mo 2.06x PASS
3 27 Jan 15 95d 23.0% $1.85 $3.35 $6,700 $14,216 $34,963 $27,279 20 $16,000 7mo 2mo 2.25x PASS
4 25 Jan 15 95d 28.7% $1.32 $3.88 $7,760 $10,143 $23,437 $31,352 22 $20,000 8mo 3mo 2.38x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $49, B $0.45 $10,125/yr $29,200/yr DEFICIT $1,590/mo
CC at MID $40 0.6σ, B $1.60 $36,000/yr $29,200/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 22% DRAWDOWN (stock $35.08 → $27.25, hedge $20,209/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $6,975/yr $20,209/yr DEFICIT $1,103/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $7,650/yr $20,209/yr DEFICIT $1,047/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($40, bid $1.60) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 22% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,047/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.
Neville (...0865)10 fortress(es) · 4 actionable · overview rows

CRWV: HP 40P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

Stock: $80.64 Current HP: 40P (39d, 50.4% OTM) Current hedge: $702/yr Current ML: $50,225 If HP lapses: ML $70,225 (+$20,000) Account: Neville (...0865) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $28,527/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $7,132/yr IV: HIGH 18 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-11 INTRADAY (30d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 40 → 40P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 50.4% OTM) | Cost: $599/yr (2% of CC) | New ML: $50,225 = ML | Roll DEBIT $80 | Margin (TIMS): $2,113
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 40 → 62P (Jan 15 '27, 95d, 22.5% OTM) | Cost: $6,243/yr (22% of CC) | New ML: $38,975 ↓ $11,250 | Roll DEBIT $1,595 | Margin (TIMS): $2,017
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 40 CHEAP Dec 18 67d 50.4% $0.15 $0.22 $599 2% $50,225 = D $80
2 40 Jan 15 95d 50.4% $0.21 $0.39 $749 3% $50,225 = D $165
3 42 Dec 18 67d 47.3% $0.22 $0.28 $763 3% $48,975 -$1,250 D $110
4 42 Jan 15 95d 47.3% $0.41 $0.48 $922 3% $48,975 -$1,250 D $210
5 45 Dec 18 67d 44.2% $0.30 $0.36 $981 3% $47,725 -$2,500 D $150
6 45 Jan 15 95d 44.2% $0.52 $0.64 $1,229 4% $47,725 -$2,500 D $290
7 48 Dec 18 67d 41.1% $0.43 $0.48 $1,307 5% $46,475 -$3,750 D $210
8 48 Jan 15 95d 41.1% $0.76 $0.81 $1,556 5% $46,475 -$3,750 D $375
9 50 Dec 18 67d 38.0% $0.58 $0.63 $1,716 6% $45,225 -$5,000 D $285
10 50 Jan 15 95d 38.0% $0.99 $1.05 $2,017 7% $45,225 -$5,000 D $495
11 52 Jan 15 95d 34.9% $1.22 $1.33 $2,555 9% $43,975 -$6,250 D $635
12 55 Dec 18 67d 31.8% $1.02 $1.09 $2,969 10% $42,725 -$7,500 D $515
▶ 13 62 PROT Jan 15 95d 22.5% $3.10 $3.25 $6,243 22% $38,975 -$11,250 D $1,595
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $128 — assignment locks a loss · $99, B $2.07 $11,644/yr $599/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $92 0.6σ, B $3.35 $18,844/yr $599/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($99, bid $2.07). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

IREN (Neville): HP 21P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

Stock: $35.08 Current HP: 21P (39d, 40.1% OTM) Current hedge: $3,369/yr Current ML: $94,000 If HP lapses: ML $136,000 (+$42,000) Account: Neville (...0865) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $57,319/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $14,330/yr IV: HIGH 5 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (24d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 21 → 22P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 37.3% OTM) | Cost: $5,230/yr (9% of CC) | New ML: $92,000 ↓ $2,000 | Roll DEBIT $760 | Margin (TIMS): $1,758
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 21 → 27P (Jan 15 '27, 95d, 23.0% OTM) | Cost: $14,216/yr (25% of CC) | New ML: $82,000 ↓ $12,000 | Roll DEBIT $3,500 | Margin (TIMS): $1,475
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 22 CHEAP Dec 18 67d 37.3% $0.41 $0.48 $5,230 9% $92,000 -$2,000 D $760
2 22 Jan 15 95d 37.3% $0.62 $0.79 $6,071 11% $92,000 -$2,000 D $1,380
3 25 Dec 18 67d 28.7% $0.77 $0.91 $9,915 17% $86,000 -$8,000 D $1,620
4 25 Jan 15 95d 28.7% $1.18 $1.32 $10,143 18% $86,000 -$8,000 D $2,440
▶ 5 27 PROT Jan 15 95d 23.0% $1.77 $1.85 $14,216 25% $82,000 -$12,000 D $3,500
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $58 — assignment locks a loss · $52, B $0.31 $6,975/yr $5,230/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $40 0.6σ, B $1.60 $36,000/yr $5,230/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($52, bid $0.31). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

MU (Neville): HP 390P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

Stock: $988.56 Current HP: 390P (39d, 60.5% OTM) Current hedge: $842/yr Current ML: $194,000 If HP lapses: ML $272,000 (+$78,000) Account: Neville (...0865) Contracts: 2 (200 sh) CC income: $70,370/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $17,592/yr IV: HIGH 83 qualifying
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 390 → 400P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 59.5% OTM) | Cost: $599/yr (1% of CC) | New ML: $192,000 ↓ $2,000 | Roll DEBIT $108 | Margin (TIMS): $24,275
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 390 → 800P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 19.1% OTM) | Cost: $16,125/yr (23% of CC) | New ML: $112,000 ↓ $82,000 | Roll DEBIT $2,958 | Margin (TIMS): $20,204
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 400 CHEAP Dec 18 67d 59.5% $0.30 $0.55 $599 1% $192,000 -$2,000 D $108
2 410 Dec 18 67d 58.5% $0.31 $0.59 $643 1% $190,000 -$4,000 D $116
3 420 Dec 18 67d 57.5% $0.27 $0.60 $654 1% $188,000 -$6,000 D $118
4 430 Jan 15 95d 56.5% $0.73 $0.99 $761 1% $186,000 -$8,000 D $196
5 400 Jan 15 95d 59.5% $0.50 $1.07 $822 1% $192,000 -$2,000 D $212
6 390 Dec 18 67d 60.5% $0.23 $0.76 $828 1% $194,000 = D $150
7 430 Dec 18 67d 56.5% $0.34 $0.80 $872 1% $186,000 -$8,000 D $158
8 450 Jan 15 95d 54.5% $1.00 $1.18 $907 1% $182,000 -$12,000 D $234
9 440 Dec 18 67d 55.5% $0.40 $0.84 $915 1% $184,000 -$10,000 D $166
10 410 Jan 15 95d 58.5% $0.43 $1.29 $991 1% $190,000 -$4,000 D $256
11 390 Jan 15 95d 60.5% $0.56 $1.38 $1,060 2% $194,000 = D $274
12 420 Jan 15 95d 57.5% $0.49 $1.41 $1,083 2% $188,000 -$6,000 D $280
▶ 13 800 PROT Dec 18 67d 19.1% $13.80 $14.80 $16,125 23% $112,000 -$82,000 D $2,958
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $1,230 — assignment locks a loss · $1065, B $25.10 $56,475/yr $599/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $1065 0.6σ, B $25.10 $56,475/yr $599/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($1065, bid $25.10). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

SNDK: HP 810P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

Stock: $1487.82 Current HP: 810P (39d, 45.6% OTM) Current hedge: $1,357/yr Current ML: $99,000 If HP lapses: ML $180,000 (+$81,000) Account: Neville (...0865) Contracts: 1 (100 sh) CC income: $65,240/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $16,310/yr IV: HIGH 69 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (17d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 810 → 850P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 42.9% OTM) | Cost: $2,125/yr (3% of CC) | New ML: $95,000 ↓ $4,000 | Roll DEBIT $305 | Margin (TIMS): $43,454
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 810 → 1150P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 22.7% OTM) | Cost: $15,472/yr (24% of CC) | New ML: $65,000 ↓ $34,000 | Roll DEBIT $2,755 | Margin (TIMS): $35,748
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 850 CHEAP Dec 18 67d 42.9% $2.50 $3.90 $2,125 3% $95,000 -$4,000 D $305
2 820 Jan 15 95d 44.9% $4.40 $5.90 $2,267 3% $98,000 -$1,000 D $505
3 830 Dec 18 67d 44.2% $2.40 $4.30 $2,343 4% $97,000 -$2,000 D $345
4 840 Dec 18 67d 43.5% $2.55 $4.30 $2,343 4% $96,000 -$3,000 D $345
5 810 Jan 15 95d 45.6% $3.50 $6.20 $2,382 4% $99,000 = D $535
6 840 Jan 15 95d 43.5% $4.80 $6.90 $2,651 4% $96,000 -$3,000 D $605
7 880 Dec 18 67d 40.9% $3.60 $4.90 $2,669 4% $92,000 -$7,000 D $405
8 850 Jan 15 95d 42.9% $5.10 $7.00 $2,689 4% $95,000 -$4,000 D $615
9 870 Dec 18 67d 41.5% $1.50 $5.00 $2,724 4% $93,000 -$6,000 D $415
10 860 Dec 18 67d 42.2% $0.20 $5.10 $2,778 4% $94,000 -$5,000 D $425
11 890 Dec 18 67d 40.2% $2.20 $5.30 $2,887 4% $91,000 -$8,000 D $445
12 900 Dec 18 67d 39.5% $4.20 $5.30 $2,887 4% $90,000 -$9,000 D $445
▶ 13 1150 PROT Dec 18 67d 22.7% $26.30 $28.40 $15,472 24% $65,000 -$34,000 D $2,755
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $1,630 — assignment locks a loss · $1555, B $83.80 $94,275/yr $2,125/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $1555 0.2σ, B $83.80 $94,275/yr $2,125/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($1555, bid $83.80). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.
RetireInc (...7291)9 fortress(es) · 3 actionable · overview rows

AAPL: HP 285P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

Stock: $340.68 Current HP: 285P (39d, 16.3% OTM) Current hedge: $2,854/yr Current ML: $69,820 If HP lapses: ML $212,320 (+$142,500) Account: RetireInc (...7291) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $73,116/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $18,279/yr IV: MEDIUM 10 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-02 INTRADAY (21d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 285 → 285P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 16.3% OTM) | Cost: $3,759/yr (5% of CC) | New ML: $69,820 = ML | Roll DEBIT $405 | Margin (TIMS): $6,037
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 285 → 305P (Jan 15 '27, 95d, 10.5% OTM) | Cost: $8,933/yr (12% of CC) | New ML: $59,820 ↓ $10,000 | Roll DEBIT $2,040 | Margin (TIMS): $5,074
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 285 CHEAP Dec 18 67d 16.3% $1.29 $1.38 $3,759 5% $69,820 = D $405
2 285 Jan 15 95d 16.3% $2.10 $2.21 $4,246 6% $69,820 = D $820
3 290 Dec 18 67d 14.9% $1.64 $1.68 $4,576 6% $67,320 -$2,500 D $555
4 290 Jan 15 95d 14.9% $2.55 $2.65 $5,091 7% $67,320 -$2,500 D $1,040
5 295 Dec 18 67d 13.4% $2.05 $2.11 $5,747 8% $64,820 -$5,000 D $770
6 295 Jan 15 95d 13.4% $3.05 $3.25 $6,243 9% $64,820 -$5,000 D $1,340
7 300 Dec 18 67d 11.9% $2.53 $2.63 $7,164 10% $62,320 -$7,500 D $1,030
8 300 Jan 15 95d 11.9% $3.65 $3.85 $7,396 10% $62,320 -$7,500 D $1,640
▶ 9 305 PROT Jan 15 95d 10.5% $4.50 $4.65 $8,933 12% $59,820 -$10,000 D $2,040
10 305 Dec 18 67d 10.5% $3.15 $3.30 $8,989 12% $59,820 -$10,000 D $1,365
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $340, B $11.00 $61,875/yr $3,759/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $360 0.7σ, B $3.35 $18,844/yr $3,759/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at SS ($340, bid $11.00). Conservative far-OTM strike covers the hedge in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown — minimal assignment risk.

APP: HP 185P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

Stock: $270.83 Current HP: 185P (39d, 31.7% OTM) Current hedge: $1,731/yr Current ML: $48,300 If HP lapses: ML $66,800 (+$18,500) Account: RetireInc (...7291) Contracts: 1 (100 sh) CC income: $14,615/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $3,654/yr IV: HIGH 8 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-04 INTRADAY (23d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 185 → 185P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 31.7% OTM) | Cost: $2,179/yr (15% of CC) | New ML: $48,300 = ML | Roll DEBIT $330 | Margin (TIMS): $8,859
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 185 → 200P (Jan 15 '27, 95d, 26.2% OTM) | Cost: $2,805/yr (19% of CC) | New ML: $46,800 ↓ $1,500 | Roll DEBIT $660 | Margin (TIMS): $8,506
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 185 CHEAP Dec 18 67d 31.7% $2.55 $4.00 $2,179 15% $48,300 = D $330
2 185 Jan 15 95d 31.7% $3.20 $5.80 $2,228 15% $48,300 = D $510
3 190 Jan 15 95d 29.8% $4.80 $6.10 $2,344 16% $47,800 -$500 D $540
4 190 Dec 18 67d 29.8% $2.10 $4.80 $2,615 18% $47,800 -$500 D $410
▶ 5 200 PROT Jan 15 95d 26.2% $6.70 $7.30 $2,805 19% $46,800 -$1,500 D $660
6 195 Dec 18 67d 28.0% $3.80 $5.20 $2,833 19% $47,300 -$1,000 D $450
7 200 Dec 18 67d 26.2% $4.10 $5.50 $2,996 21% $46,800 -$1,500 D $480
8 195 Jan 15 95d 28.0% $5.30 $7.80 $2,997 21% $47,300 -$1,000 D $710
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $608 — assignment locks a loss · $365, B $1.25 $1,406/yr $2,179/yr DEFICIT $64/mo
CC at MID $310 0.7σ, B $8.70 $9,788/yr $2,179/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($310, bid $8.70). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.

IREN (RetireInc): HP 23P Maintenance Roll-Out · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

Stock: $35.08 Current HP: 23P (39d, 34.4% OTM) Current hedge: $4,492/yr Current ML: $107,700 If HP lapses: ML $153,700 (+$46,000) Account: RetireInc (...7291) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $57,319/yr Cost cap: 25% of CC = $14,330/yr IV: HIGH 3 qualifying ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (24d) inside new HP tenor
CHEAPEST PICK (lowest annual cost, ML preserved): HP 23 → 25P (Dec 18 '26, 67d, 28.7% OTM) | Cost: $9,915/yr (17% of CC) | New ML: $103,700 ↓ $4,000 | Roll DEBIT $1,440 | Margin (TIMS): $1,605
PROTECTIVE PICK (lowest ML within cost cap): HP 23 → 27P (Jan 15 '27, 95d, 23.0% OTM) | Cost: $14,216/yr (25% of CC) | New ML: $99,700 ↓ $8,000 | Roll DEBIT $3,320 | Margin (TIMS): $1,501
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM% BIDASKHEDGE/YR%CC NEW MLΔMLROLL
▶ 1 25 CHEAP Dec 18 67d 28.7% $0.77 $0.91 $9,915 17% $103,700 -$4,000 D $1,440
2 25 Jan 15 95d 28.7% $1.18 $1.32 $10,143 18% $103,700 -$4,000 D $2,260
▶ 3 27 PROT Jan 15 95d 23.0% $1.77 $1.85 $14,216 25% $99,700 -$8,000 D $3,320
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS BELOW SS $67 — assignment locks a loss · $52, B $0.31 $6,975/yr $9,915/yr DEFICIT $245/mo
CC at MID $40 0.6σ, B $1.60 $36,000/yr $9,915/yr SELF-FUNDING
FULLY SUSTAINABLE CC at MID covers hedge in normal + stress
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($40, bid $1.60). Self-funds in BOTH normal and 0% drawdown. At SS the position bleeds, so don't drift too far OTM.
Joint (...1782)8 fortress(es) · 2 actionable · overview rows

AMZN: HP 215P Roll-Down · exp Nov 20 '26, 39d

RELAXED PASS — no candidate met the standard constraints. Widened gap-mult 2.0x → 8.0x; payback gate 1.0yr → 3.0yr to surface the best available option below. Treat as a guideline breach, not a clean repair.
Stock: $259.59 HP: 17.2% OTM Current hedge: $5,241/yr Baseline (roll-fwd, savings vs this): $5,666/yr SS: $267.92 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 5 (500 sh) CC income: $21,243/yr IV: MEDIUM OTM floor: 10% Stress: 12% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 3 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-10-29 AMC (17d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 215 → 210 (Jan 15, 95d) | Save $1,074/yr | Payback 28mo (2.33yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.11yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 19.1% OTM | RM 1.52x → 1.59x | Margin (TIMS): $4,508
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 210 Jan 15 95d 19.1% $2.39 $-1.36 $-680 $4,591 $12,871 $1,074 40 $2,500 28mo 1mo 1.59x PASS
2 205 Jan 15 95d 21.0% $1.93 $-0.90 $-450 $3,708 $10,374 $1,958 45 $5,000 31mo 3mo 1.66x PASS
3 200 Jan 15 95d 23.0% $1.56 $-0.53 $-265 $2,997 $6,628 $2,669 50 $7,500 34mo 4mo 1.74x PASS
4 185 Jan 15 95d 28.7% $0.85 $0.18 $90 $1,633 $3,112 $4,033 65 $15,000 45mo 7mo 1.96x FAIL
5 190 Jan 15 95d 26.8% $1.05 $-0.02 $-10 $2,017 $3,996 $3,649 60 $12,500 41mo 6mo 1.88x FAIL
6 195 Jan 15 95d 24.9% $1.28 $-0.25 $-125 $2,459 $5,033 $3,207 55 $10,000 37mo 5mo 1.81x FAIL
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $275, B $6.30 $35,438/yr $4,591/yr SELF-FUNDING
CC at MID $280 0.7σ, B $4.80 $27,000/yr $4,591/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 12% DRAWDOWN (stock $259.59 → $228.76, hedge $12,871/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $5,344/yr $12,871/yr DEFICIT $627/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $2,812/yr $12,871/yr DEFICIT $838/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($280, bid $4.80) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 12% drawdown, even MID is short ~$838/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

IREN (Joint): HP 35P Roll-Down · exp Jan 15 '27, 95d

Stock: $35.08 HP: 0.2% OTM Current hedge: $41,495/yr Baseline: current hedge (no same-strike quote) SS: $44.00 (unchanged) Account: Joint (...1782) Contracts: 20 (2,000 sh) CC income: $57,319/yr IV: HIGH OTM floor: 8% Stress: 22% DD Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr) 4 PASS ⚠ ER 2026-11-05 INTRADAY (24d) inside new HP tenor
RECOMMENDED: Roll HP 35 → 32 (Jan 15, 95d) | Save $12,295/yr | Payback 6mo (0.49yr) hedge only, 1mo (0.09yr) w/income (gate: 12mo (1.0yr)) | HP moves to 8.8% OTM | RM 1.75x → 1.94x | Margin (TIMS): $1,188
#NEW HPEXPIRYDTEOTM%ASK ROLL CR/SHROLL TOTALHEDGE/YRSTRESS/YRSAVED/YR GAPML+PAYBACKPB+INCNEW RM
1 32 Jan 15 95d 8.8% $3.80 $1.40 $2,800 $29,200 $20,209 $12,295 15 $6,000 6mo 1mo 1.94x PASS
2 30 Jan 15 95d 14.5% $2.90 $2.30 $4,600 $22,284 $25,204 $19,211 17 $10,000 6mo 2mo 2.06x PASS
3 27 Jan 15 95d 23.0% $1.85 $3.35 $6,700 $14,216 $34,963 $27,279 20 $16,000 7mo 2mo 2.25x PASS
4 25 Jan 15 95d 28.7% $1.32 $3.88 $7,760 $10,143 $23,437 $31,352 22 $20,000 8mo 3mo 2.38x PASS
POST-REPAIR SUSTAINABILITY CC chain Nov 13 (32d)
SCENARIO CC INCOME HEDGE COST VERDICT
CC at SS $49, B $0.45 $10,125/yr $29,200/yr DEFICIT $1,590/mo
CC at MID $40 0.6σ, B $1.60 $36,000/yr $29,200/yr SELF-FUNDING
AT 22% DRAWDOWN (stock $35.08 → $27.25, hedge $20,209/yr)
CC at SS income stress-adjusted $6,975/yr $20,209/yr DEFICIT $1,103/mo
CC at MID income stress-adjusted $7,650/yr $20,209/yr DEFICIT $1,047/mo
SUSTAINABLE (NORMAL) Stress requires MID+ CC or capital
CC WRITING STRATEGY
WRITE CCs at MID ($40, bid $1.60) in NORMAL markets. Self-funds today.
In 22% drawdown, even MID is short ~$1,047/mo — tighten CCs above MID (closer to ATM) OR plan to inject capital.

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).