GENERATED2026-08-05 10:40
FORTRESS REPAIRHP Roll-Down Analysis
Payback gate: 12mo (1.0yr)
SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
NO ACTION
All positions healthy
PORTFOLIO ACTION SUMMARY · 6 positions
6 · OK
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What do these actions mean? (legend)
NO HEDGE — No HP leg at all — naked synthetic long, no catastrophic protection.
ROLL IMMEDIATELY — Healthy fortress, HP expires ≤14d — roll the hedge out NOW (theta cliff).
REPAIR NOW — Structurally bad (HP ITM/tight or costly) AND ≤14d — roll HP DOWN today.
REPAIR SOON — Structurally bad AND ≤35d — roll HP DOWN this week.
ROLL NOW — Healthy fortress, HP ≤45d — roll the hedge OUT (maintain/raise strike).
REPAIR PLAN — Structurally bad but >35d runway — plan the roll-down, no rush.
LEAPS-ONLY — CSV-declared SP=0/HP=0 — intentional LC-only structure, no hedge to roll.
OK — Healthy structure with ample HP runway — no action.
REPAIR = roll HP down to a cheaper OTM strike (structure is hurting). ROLL = roll HP out/up to a later expiry (structure is healthy, hedge just expiring).

Fortress Position Overview

FORTRESSSTOCKLCSPHPSC BE‑SS CC‑SS GAPRMHP OTM%STATUSCTRSICNOTIONALURGENCY
COIN (Main)
+165C −240P +85P −160C
$151.60 165240 85160 $210.90 $217.93 15510.23x 43.9% SAFE 8 $13,440$121,280 OK
COIN (Main)
+500C −330P +300P −160C
$151.60 500330 300160 $563.00 $342.60 301.48x -97.9% ITM 25 $157,500$379,000 OK
COIN (RetireInc)
+145C −200P +75P −160C
$151.60 145200 75160 $182.40 $188.71 1257.31x 50.5% SAFE 3 $5,940$45,480 OK
MU (Joint)
+670C −800P +420P −1200C
$882.04 670800 4201200 $792.36 $801.79 3804.31x 52.4% SAFE 1 $11,472$88,204 OK
MU (Main)
+880C −1010P +320P −1000C
$882.04 8801010 3201000 $1028.60 $1046.70 6905.64x 63.7% SAFE 5 $74,300$441,020 OK
MU (Neville)
+970C −1110P +370P −1000C
$882.04 9701110 3701000 $1220.00 $1237.41 7403.96x 58.1% SAFE 2 $50,000$176,408 OK

HP roll-downs do not change Safe Strike. SS = Max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2). HP is not in the formula.

Monthly hedge cost prorated: (30/DTE) × (Ask × Shares). Payback = ML increase / Annual savings.

EST = ask price estimated as mid × 1.10 (10% safety buffer). Verify with live prices before executing.

Always prefer longest viable DTE for repair rolls (fewer rolls/yr = lower annual cost).