| Ticker | Use Case | Mode | Best Pick | Score | Breakeven | Lev | Theta/day | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELL @ $406.31 |
Stock replacement (1-2yr) | NORMAL | $165C/$440P/$85P × 2ct Dec '28 |
87,930 | $373.83 (-8%) | 2.9x | $+15/d | FORTRESS_PREFERRED |
| DELL @ $406.31 |
Moderate-bull (1-2yr) | NORMAL | $370C/$460P/$220P × 3ct Dec '28 |
137,966 | $459.14 (+13%) | 4.6x | $-4/d | FORTRESS_PREFERRED |
| DELL @ $406.31 |
Active 6mo+ directional | BREAKOUT | $320C/$440P/$330P × 5ct Jan '27 |
1.4078 | $424.93 (+5%) | 4.5x | $-129/d | PURE_PREFERRED |
| DELL @ $406.31 |
3-4x thesis (2yr) | YOLO | $660C/$410P/$360P × 10ct Jun '27 |
549,799 | $709.71 (+75%) | 8.2x | $-155/d | FORTRESS_PREFERRED |
Score scales differ by mode: NORMAL/YOLO use WSPL (large integer, mode-specific weights); BREAKOUT uses sigma-weighted reward/risk (decimal). Don't compare scores across modes — compare WITHIN each row's column. Click any row to expand its full dashboard panel below.
| Chain | Type | Structure | Ct | Delta | IC | BE | Theta | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun '27 (345d) ↳ | Fortress | $240C/$440P/$230P | 3 | +1.381/sh (+414) | $36,920 | $401.53 (-1%) | $+8/d | 65,868 | |
| Sep '27 (437d) ↳ | Fortress | $230C/$410P/$230P | 3 | +1.276/sh (+383) | $45,916 | $396.53 (-2%) | $+13/d | 69,623 | |
| ▲ | Sep '27 (437d) ↳ | Pure | $210C | 4 | +0.950/sh (+380) | $99,691 | $459.23 (+13%) | $-48/d | 62,791 |
| Dec '27 (528d) ↳ | Fortress | $240C/$440P/$250P | 3 | +1.226/sh (+368) | $42,912 | $411.52 (+1%) | $+1/d | 74,280 | |
| Jan '28 (563d) ↳ | Fortress | $240C/$430P/$250P | 3 | +1.235/sh (+370) | $45,640 | $411.07 (+1%) | $-5/d | 74,090 | |
| Jun '28 (710d) ↳ | Fortress | $240C/$430P/$270P | 3 | +1.162/sh (+349) | $51,805 | $421.34 (+4%) | $-13/d | 74,604 | |
| ★ | Dec '28 (892d) ↳ | Fortress | $165C/$440P/$85P | 2 | +1.365/sh (+273) | $28,533 | $373.83 (-8%) | $+15/d | 87,930 |
★ = recommended pick (per Verdict below; multi-dim winner across score, capital, BE, theta, ROIC). ◆ = best Fortress by raw score (when not the ★). Shows what the scorer would pick without --anchor, so you can see the anchor trade-off in the table itself. ▲ = best Pure by raw score (when not the ★). Score = WSPL x sqrt(DTE/365). Positive theta = you collect time decay daily (paid to wait). Negative theta = you pay time decay daily (cost of holding long options).
| Dimension | THIS: Jun '27 Fortress 3ct | DEFAULT ★: Dec '28 Fortress 2ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 65,868 | 87,930 | DEFAULT ★ (-25%) |
| Contracts | 3 | 2 | THIS (+50%) |
| IC (capital) | $36,920 | $28,533 | DEFAULT ★ (+29%) |
| Max Loss | $99,920 | $99,533 | tie |
| Breakeven | $401.53 | $373.83 | DEFAULT ★ (+7%) |
| Theta/day | $8 | $15 | DEFAULT ★ (-43%) |
| Weighted P&L | $67,751 | $56,248 | THIS (+20%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 184% | 197% | DEFAULT ★ (-7%) |
| DTE | 345 | 892 | DEFAULT ★ (-61%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+67,751 | DEFAULT ★ $+56,248 | diff $+11,503 → THIS pays $+11,503 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 2, DEFAULT wins 6. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Sep '27 Fortress 3ct | DEFAULT ★: Dec '28 Fortress 2ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 69,623 | 87,930 | DEFAULT ★ (-21%) |
| Contracts | 3 | 2 | THIS (+50%) |
| IC (capital) | $45,916 | $28,533 | DEFAULT ★ (+61%) |
| Max Loss | $99,916 | $99,533 | tie |
| Breakeven | $396.53 | $373.83 | DEFAULT ★ (+6%) |
| Theta/day | $13 | $15 | DEFAULT ★ (-8%) |
| Weighted P&L | $63,629 | $56,248 | THIS (+13%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 139% | 197% | DEFAULT ★ (-30%) |
| DTE | 437 | 892 | DEFAULT ★ (-51%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+63,629 | DEFAULT ★ $+56,248 | diff $+7,382 → THIS pays $+7,382 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 2, DEFAULT wins 6. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Dec '27 Fortress 3ct | DEFAULT ★: Dec '28 Fortress 2ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 74,280 | 87,930 | DEFAULT ★ (-16%) |
| Contracts | 3 | 2 | THIS (+50%) |
| IC (capital) | $42,912 | $28,533 | DEFAULT ★ (+50%) |
| Max Loss | $99,912 | $99,533 | tie |
| Breakeven | $411.52 | $373.83 | DEFAULT ★ (+10%) |
| Theta/day | $1 | $15 | DEFAULT ★ (-90%) |
| Weighted P&L | $61,759 | $56,248 | THIS (+10%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 144% | 197% | DEFAULT ★ (-27%) |
| DTE | 528 | 892 | DEFAULT ★ (-41%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+61,759 | DEFAULT ★ $+56,248 | diff $+5,511 → THIS pays $+5,511 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 2, DEFAULT wins 6. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Jan '28 Fortress 3ct | DEFAULT ★: Dec '28 Fortress 2ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 74,090 | 87,930 | DEFAULT ★ (-16%) |
| Contracts | 3 | 2 | THIS (+50%) |
| IC (capital) | $45,640 | $28,533 | DEFAULT ★ (+60%) |
| Max Loss | $99,640 | $99,533 | tie |
| Breakeven | $411.07 | $373.83 | DEFAULT ★ (+10%) |
| Theta/day | $-5 | $15 | DEFAULT ★ (-135%) |
| Weighted P&L | $59,656 | $56,248 | THIS (+6%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 131% | 197% | DEFAULT ★ (-34%) |
| DTE | 563 | 892 | DEFAULT ★ (-37%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+59,656 | DEFAULT ★ $+56,248 | diff $+3,408 → THIS pays $+3,408 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 2, DEFAULT wins 6. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Jun '28 Fortress 3ct | DEFAULT ★: Dec '28 Fortress 2ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 74,604 | 87,930 | DEFAULT ★ (-15%) |
| Contracts | 3 | 2 | THIS (+50%) |
| IC (capital) | $51,805 | $28,533 | DEFAULT ★ (+82%) |
| Max Loss | $99,805 | $99,533 | tie |
| Breakeven | $421.34 | $373.83 | DEFAULT ★ (+13%) |
| Theta/day | $-13 | $15 | DEFAULT ★ (-187%) |
| Weighted P&L | $53,491 | $56,248 | DEFAULT ★ (-5%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 103% | 197% | DEFAULT ★ (-48%) |
| DTE | 710 | 892 | DEFAULT ★ (-20%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+53,491 | DEFAULT ★ $+56,248 | diff $-2,757 → DEFAULT ★ pays $+2,757 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 1, DEFAULT wins 7. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Leg | Action | Strike | Price | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LC | BUY | $165.0C | $305.71 | +0.952 |
| SP | SELL | $440.0P | $172.28 | +0.422 |
| HP | BUY | $85.0P | $9.24 | -0.008 |
| Ct | Delta | IC | ML | BE | Theta | Lev | Score | ROIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | +1.365/sh (+273) | $28,533 | $99,533 | $373.83 (-8%) | $+15/d | 2.9x | 87,930 | +354% |
| Dimension | Fortress | Pure | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| $165C / $440P / $85P 2 contracts · Dec '28 (892d) |
$210C 4 contracts · Sep '27 (437d) |
||
| Score | 87,930 | 62,791 | FORT (+40%) |
| Contracts | 2 | 4 | PURE (-50%) |
| IC (capital) | $28,533 | $99,691 | FORT (-71%) |
| Max Loss | $99,533 | $99,691 | TIE |
| Breakeven | $373.83 | $459.23 | FORT (-19%) |
| Theta/day | $15 | $-48 | FORT (-70%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 197% | 58% | FORT (+242%) |
Fortress scores +40% with similar max loss (-0%). Clear winner.
| Stop | Stock at | Fortress 2ct | Pure 4ct | Stock 246sh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -5% | $385.99 | -$5,547 | -$7,717 | -$4,998 | |
| -10% | $365.68 | -$11,095 | -$15,433 | -$9,995 | |
| -15% | $345.36 | -$16,642 | -$23,150 | -$14,993 | |
| -20% | $325.05 | -$22,189 | -$30,867 | -$19,990 | |
| -30% | $284.42 | -$33,284 | -$46,300 | -$29,986 |
Loss = |net_delta_total * stock_price * stop_pct|. Delta-only first-order estimate; ignores vega/theta. Conservative (LOW-end) — real MTM loss is typically 10-30% larger due to extrinsic compression on a fast move.
| Move | Price | Fortress 2ct Dec'28 | Pure 4ct Sep'27 | F-P Diff | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -19% | $325 | $-19,514 | $-53,672 | $+34,158 | (Fort) |
| +0% | $406 | $+12,991 | $-21,167 | $+34,158 | (Fort) |
| +25% | $508 | $+40,044 | $+19,464 | $+20,581 | (Fort) |
| +50% | $609 | $+60,360 | $+60,095 | $+265 | (Fort) |
| +75% | $711 | $+80,676 | $+100,726 | $-20,050 | (Pure) |
| +100% | $813 | $+100,991 | $+141,357 | $-40,366 | (Pure) |
| +200% | $1,219 | $+182,253 | $+303,881 | $-121,628 | (Pure) |
| Weighted | — | $+56,248 | $+57,386 | $-1,139 | (Pure) |
How to read the Weighted row: your expected dollar P&L if all the scenarios above played out, with each weighted by how much it matters for this mode. Stock replacement view: small moves matter most. +25% gets the biggest weight, then +50% / +75%. -20% and flat both count (they hurt the score). The Score is this same number multiplied by √(DTE/365) so longer-dated chains get a small bonus.
No CC candidates found above breakeven. Run live (without --csv) if CC data was not included in the CSV export.
| Chain | Type | Structure | Ct | Delta | IC | BE | Theta | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun '27 (345d) ↳ | Fortress | $410C/$410P/$360P | 6 | +0.703/sh (+422) | $69,149 | $525.25 (+29%) | $-207/d | 136,880 | |
| ▲ | Jun '27 (345d) ↳ | Pure | $440C | 8 | +0.496/sh (+396) | $98,969 | $563.71 (+39%) | $-287/d | 156,276 |
| Sep '27 (437d) ↳ | Fortress | $370C/$460P/$290P | 4 | +1.047/sh (+419) | $31,103 | $453.88 (+12%) | $-87/d | 133,361 | |
| Dec '27 (528d) ↳ | Fortress | $370C/$460P/$310P | 4 | +0.981/sh (+392) | $39,892 | $469.73 (+16%) | $-89/d | 136,019 | |
| Jan '28 (563d) ↳ | Fortress | $370C/$460P/$320P | 4 | +0.954/sh (+381) | $43,512 | $478.78 (+18%) | $-90/d | 135,960 | |
| Jun '28 (710d) ↳ | Fortress | $370C/$460P/$190P | 3 | +1.099/sh (+330) | $18,536 | $445.89 (+10%) | $-33/d | 134,173 | |
| ★ | Dec '28 (892d) ↳ | Fortress | $370C/$460P/$220P | 3 | +1.128/sh (+338) | $26,483 | $459.14 (+13%) | $-4/d | 137,966 |
★ = recommended pick (per Verdict below; multi-dim winner across score, capital, BE, theta, ROIC). ◆ = best Fortress by raw score (when not the ★). Shows what the scorer would pick without --anchor, so you can see the anchor trade-off in the table itself. ▲ = best Pure by raw score (when not the ★). Score = WSPL x sqrt(DTE/365). Positive theta = you collect time decay daily (paid to wait). Negative theta = you pay time decay daily (cost of holding long options).
| Dimension | THIS: Jun '27 Fortress 6ct | DEFAULT ★: Dec '28 Fortress 3ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 136,880 | 137,966 | DEFAULT ★ (-1%) |
| Contracts | 6 | 3 | THIS (+100%) |
| IC (capital) | $69,149 | $26,483 | DEFAULT ★ (+161%) |
| Max Loss | $99,149 | $98,483 | DEFAULT ★ (+1%) |
| Breakeven | $525.25 | $459.14 | DEFAULT ★ (+14%) |
| Theta/day | $-207 | $-4 | DEFAULT ★ (-5694%) |
| Weighted P&L | $140,792 | $88,254 | THIS (+60%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 204% | 333% | DEFAULT ★ (-39%) |
| DTE | 345 | 892 | DEFAULT ★ (-61%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+140,792 | DEFAULT ★ $+88,254 | diff $+52,537 → THIS pays $+52,537 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 2, DEFAULT wins 7. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Sep '27 Fortress 4ct | DEFAULT ★: Dec '28 Fortress 3ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 133,361 | 137,966 | DEFAULT ★ (-3%) |
| Contracts | 4 | 3 | THIS (+33%) |
| IC (capital) | $31,103 | $26,483 | DEFAULT ★ (+17%) |
| Max Loss | $99,103 | $98,483 | DEFAULT ★ (+1%) |
| Breakeven | $453.88 | $459.14 | THIS (-1%) |
| Theta/day | $-87 | $-4 | DEFAULT ★ (-2339%) |
| Weighted P&L | $121,880 | $88,254 | THIS (+38%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 392% | 333% | THIS (+18%) |
| DTE | 437 | 892 | DEFAULT ★ (-51%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+121,880 | DEFAULT ★ $+88,254 | diff $+33,626 → THIS pays $+33,626 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 4, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Dec '27 Fortress 4ct | DEFAULT ★: Dec '28 Fortress 3ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 136,019 | 137,966 | DEFAULT ★ (-1%) |
| Contracts | 4 | 3 | THIS (+33%) |
| IC (capital) | $39,892 | $26,483 | DEFAULT ★ (+51%) |
| Max Loss | $99,892 | $98,483 | DEFAULT ★ (+1%) |
| Breakeven | $469.73 | $459.14 | DEFAULT ★ (+2%) |
| Theta/day | $-89 | $-4 | DEFAULT ★ (-2385%) |
| Weighted P&L | $113,091 | $88,254 | THIS (+28%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 283% | 333% | DEFAULT ★ (-15%) |
| DTE | 528 | 892 | DEFAULT ★ (-41%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+113,091 | DEFAULT ★ $+88,254 | diff $+24,837 → THIS pays $+24,837 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 2, DEFAULT wins 7. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Jan '28 Fortress 4ct | DEFAULT ★: Dec '28 Fortress 3ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 135,960 | 137,966 | DEFAULT ★ (-1%) |
| Contracts | 4 | 3 | THIS (+33%) |
| IC (capital) | $43,512 | $26,483 | DEFAULT ★ (+64%) |
| Max Loss | $99,512 | $98,483 | DEFAULT ★ (+1%) |
| Breakeven | $478.78 | $459.14 | DEFAULT ★ (+4%) |
| Theta/day | $-90 | $-4 | DEFAULT ★ (-2411%) |
| Weighted P&L | $109,472 | $88,254 | THIS (+24%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 252% | 333% | DEFAULT ★ (-25%) |
| DTE | 563 | 892 | DEFAULT ★ (-37%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+109,472 | DEFAULT ★ $+88,254 | diff $+21,217 → THIS pays $+21,217 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 2, DEFAULT wins 7. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Jun '28 Fortress 3ct | DEFAULT ★: Dec '28 Fortress 3ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 134,173 | 137,966 | DEFAULT ★ (-3%) |
| Contracts | 3 | 3 | tie |
| IC (capital) | $18,536 | $26,483 | THIS (-30%) |
| Max Loss | $99,536 | $98,483 | DEFAULT ★ (+1%) |
| Breakeven | $445.89 | $459.14 | THIS (-3%) |
| Theta/day | $-33 | $-4 | DEFAULT ★ (-837%) |
| Weighted P&L | $96,202 | $88,254 | THIS (+9%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 519% | 333% | THIS (+56%) |
| DTE | 710 | 892 | DEFAULT ★ (-20%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+96,202 | DEFAULT ★ $+88,254 | diff $+7,948 → THIS pays $+7,948 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 4, DEFAULT wins 4. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Leg | Action | Strike | Price | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LC | BUY | $370.0C | $215.69 | +0.776 |
| SP | SELL | $460.0P | $185.37 | +0.452 |
| HP | BUY | $220.0P | $57.96 | -0.100 |
| Ct | Delta | IC | ML | BE | Theta | Lev | Score | ROIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | +1.128/sh (+338) | $26,483 | $98,483 | $459.14 (+13%) | $-4/d | 4.6x | 137,966 | +401% |
| Dimension | Fortress | Pure | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| $370C / $460P / $220P 3 contracts · Dec '28 (892d) |
$440C 8 contracts · Jun '27 (345d) |
||
| Score | 137,966 | 156,276 | PURE (-12%) |
| Contracts | 3 | 8 | PURE (-62%) |
| IC (capital) | $26,483 | $98,969 | FORT (-73%) |
| Max Loss | $98,483 | $98,969 | TIE |
| Breakeven | $459.14 | $563.71 | FORT (-19%) |
| Theta/day | $-4 | $-287 | FORT (-99%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 333% | 162% | FORT (+105%) |
Pure scores +12% on raw P&L from extra contracts. Fortress wins 4/4 efficiency dims (IC, BE, theta, ROIC). Trade 12% score for capital efficiency.
| Stop | Stock at | Fortress 3ct | Pure 8ct | Stock 246sh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -5% | $385.99 | -$6,876 | -$8,055 | -$4,998 | |
| -10% | $365.68 | -$13,752 | -$16,109 | -$9,995 | |
| -15% | $345.36 | -$20,628 | -$24,164 | -$14,993 | |
| -20% | $325.05 | -$27,504 | -$32,219 | -$19,990 | |
| -30% | $284.42 | -$41,256 | -$48,328 | -$29,986 |
Loss = |net_delta_total * stock_price * stop_pct|. Delta-only first-order estimate; ignores vega/theta. Conservative (LOW-end) — real MTM loss is typically 10-30% larger due to extrinsic compression on a fast move.
| Move | Price | Fortress 3ct Dec'28 | Pure 8ct Jun'27 | F-P Diff | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -19% | $325 | $-66,969 | $-98,969 | $+32,000 | (Fort) |
| +0% | $406 | $-31,697 | $-98,969 | $+67,272 | (Fort) |
| +25% | $508 | $+14,883 | $-44,659 | $+59,542 | (Fort) |
| +50% | $609 | $+45,356 | $+36,603 | $+8,753 | (Fort) |
| +75% | $711 | $+75,830 | $+117,865 | $-42,036 | (Pure) |
| +100% | $813 | $+106,303 | $+199,127 | $-92,824 | (Pure) |
| +200% | $1,219 | $+228,196 | $+524,175 | $-295,979 | (Pure) |
| Weighted | — | $+88,254 | $+160,742 | $-72,488 | (Pure) |
How to read the Weighted row: your expected dollar P&L if all the scenarios above played out, with each weighted by how much it matters for this mode. Convexity view: bigger moves matter most. +75% and +100% get the biggest weights. Tail at +200% counted; downside lightly weighted. The Score is this same number multiplied by √(DTE/365) so longer-dated chains get a small bonus.
| Chain | Type | Structure | Ct | Delta | IC | BE | Theta | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep '26 (73d) ↳ | Fortress | $360C/$410P/$360P | 8 | +1.056/sh (+845) | $59,652 | $434.56 (+7%) | $-350/d | 0.8351 | |
| Oct '26 (101d) ↳ | Fortress | $370C/$440P/$360P | 7 | +1.093/sh (+765) | $43,019 | $435.73 (+7%) | $-408/d | 0.9115 | |
| Nov '26 (136d) ↳ | Fortress | $370C/$420P/$360P | 7 | +0.949/sh (+664) | $57,687 | $452.41 (+11%) | $-308/d | 1.14 | |
| Dec '26 (164d) ↳ | Fortress | $360C/$420P/$340P | 6 | +1.021/sh (+613) | $51,761 | $446.27 (+10%) | $-196/d | 1.29 | |
| ◆ | Jan '27 (192d) ↳ | Fortress | $320C/$440P/$330P | 5 | +1.009/sh (+504) | $44,932 | $424.93 (+5%) | $-129/d | 1.41 |
| ★ | Jan '27 (192d) ↳ | Pure | $320C | 7 | +0.773/sh (+541) | $99,925 | $462.75 (+14%) | $-147/d | 1.63 |
| Mar '27 (255d) ↳ | Fortress | $300C/$420P/$280P | 4 | +1.231/sh (+492) | $43,521 | $414.40 (+2%) | $-25/d | 1.34 | |
| Jun '27 (345d) ↳ | Fortress | $240C/$440P/$230P | 3 | +1.381/sh (+414) | $36,920 | $401.53 (-1%) | $+8/d | 1.18 | |
| Sep '27 (437d) ↳ | Fortress | $230C/$410P/$230P | 3 | +1.276/sh (+383) | $45,916 | $396.53 (-2%) | $+13/d | 1.12 | |
| Dec '27 (528d) ↳ | Fortress | $240C/$440P/$250P | 3 | +1.226/sh (+368) | $42,912 | $411.52 (+1%) | $+1/d | 1.12 | |
| Jan '28 (563d) ↳ | Fortress | $240C/$430P/$250P | 3 | +1.235/sh (+370) | $45,640 | $411.07 (+1%) | $-5/d | 1.09 | |
| Jun '28 (710d) ↳ | Fortress | $240C/$430P/$270P | 3 | +1.162/sh (+349) | $51,805 | $421.34 (+4%) | $-13/d | 1.01 | |
| Dec '28 (892d) ↳ | Fortress | $165C/$440P/$125P | 2 | +1.350/sh (+270) | $30,673 | $379.18 (-7%) | $+12/d | 0.9362 | |
| ● | Now | Stock | 246 sh @ $406.31 | 246 | +1.000/sh (+246) | $99,952 | $406.31 (+0%) | $0/d | 0.8627 |
★ = top breakout score across Fortress, Pure, Stock. ◆ = best Fortress (when not winner). ▲ = best Pure (when not winner). ● = Stock baseline reference. Read in light of Score Breakdown + Stop Profile. Positive theta = you collect time decay daily (paid to wait). Negative theta = you pay time decay daily (cost of holding long options).
| Dimension | THIS: Sep '26 Pure 11ct | DEFAULT ★: Jan '27 Pure 7ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 0.8571 | 1.63 | DEFAULT ★ (-47%) |
| Contracts | 11 | 7 | THIS (+57%) |
| IC (capital) | $97,563 | $99,925 | THIS (-2%) |
| Max Loss | $97,563 | $99,925 | THIS (-2%) |
| Breakeven | $458.69 | $462.75 | THIS (-1%) |
| Theta/day | $-789 | $-147 | DEFAULT ★ (-439%) |
| Weighted P&L | $327,956 | $205,860 | THIS (+59%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 336% | 206% | THIS (+63%) |
| DTE | 73 | 192 | DEFAULT ★ (-62%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+327,956 | DEFAULT ★ $+205,860 | diff $+122,096 → THIS pays $+122,096 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 6, DEFAULT wins 3. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Oct '26 Pure 10ct | DEFAULT ★: Jan '27 Pure 7ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1.01 | 1.63 | DEFAULT ★ (-38%) |
| Contracts | 10 | 7 | THIS (+43%) |
| IC (capital) | $98,080 | $99,925 | THIS (-2%) |
| Max Loss | $98,080 | $99,925 | THIS (-2%) |
| Breakeven | $468.08 | $462.75 | DEFAULT ★ (+1%) |
| Theta/day | $-612 | $-147 | DEFAULT ★ (-317%) |
| Weighted P&L | $288,755 | $205,860 | THIS (+40%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 294% | 206% | THIS (+43%) |
| DTE | 101 | 192 | DEFAULT ★ (-47%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+288,755 | DEFAULT ★ $+205,860 | diff $+82,895 → THIS pays $+82,895 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 5, DEFAULT wins 4. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Nov '26 Pure 9ct | DEFAULT ★: Jan '27 Pure 7ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1.18 | 1.63 | DEFAULT ★ (-27%) |
| Contracts | 9 | 7 | THIS (+29%) |
| IC (capital) | $96,692 | $99,925 | THIS (-3%) |
| Max Loss | $96,692 | $99,925 | THIS (-3%) |
| Breakeven | $477.44 | $462.75 | DEFAULT ★ (+3%) |
| Theta/day | $-471 | $-147 | DEFAULT ★ (-221%) |
| Weighted P&L | $251,460 | $205,860 | THIS (+22%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 260% | 206% | THIS (+26%) |
| DTE | 136 | 192 | DEFAULT ★ (-29%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+251,460 | DEFAULT ★ $+205,860 | diff $+45,600 → THIS pays $+45,600 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 5, DEFAULT wins 4. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Dec '26 Pure 8ct | DEFAULT ★: Jan '27 Pure 7ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1.27 | 1.63 | DEFAULT ★ (-22%) |
| Contracts | 8 | 7 | THIS (+14%) |
| IC (capital) | $97,381 | $99,925 | THIS (-3%) |
| Max Loss | $97,381 | $99,925 | THIS (-3%) |
| Breakeven | $481.73 | $462.75 | DEFAULT ★ (+4%) |
| Theta/day | $-368 | $-147 | DEFAULT ★ (-151%) |
| Weighted P&L | $220,087 | $205,860 | THIS (+7%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 226% | 206% | THIS (+10%) |
| DTE | 164 | 192 | DEFAULT ★ (-15%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+220,087 | DEFAULT ★ $+205,860 | diff $+14,227 → THIS pays $+14,227 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 5, DEFAULT wins 4. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Mar '27 Pure 6ct | DEFAULT ★: Jan '27 Pure 7ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1.30 | 1.63 | DEFAULT ★ (-20%) |
| Contracts | 6 | 7 | DEFAULT ★ (-14%) |
| IC (capital) | $99,748 | $99,925 | tie |
| Max Loss | $99,748 | $99,925 | tie |
| Breakeven | $476.25 | $462.75 | DEFAULT ★ (+3%) |
| Theta/day | $-165 | $-147 | DEFAULT ★ (-12%) |
| Weighted P&L | $168,353 | $205,860 | DEFAULT ★ (-18%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 169% | 206% | DEFAULT ★ (-18%) |
| DTE | 255 | 192 | THIS (+33%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+168,353 | DEFAULT ★ $+205,860 | diff $-37,506 → DEFAULT ★ pays $+37,506 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 1, DEFAULT wins 6. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Jun '27 Pure 5ct | DEFAULT ★: Jan '27 Pure 7ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1.21 | 1.63 | DEFAULT ★ (-26%) |
| Contracts | 5 | 7 | DEFAULT ★ (-29%) |
| IC (capital) | $97,844 | $99,925 | THIS (-2%) |
| Max Loss | $97,844 | $99,925 | THIS (-2%) |
| Breakeven | $475.69 | $462.75 | DEFAULT ★ (+3%) |
| Theta/day | $-101 | $-147 | THIS (+31%) |
| Weighted P&L | $140,573 | $205,860 | DEFAULT ★ (-32%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 144% | 206% | DEFAULT ★ (-30%) |
| DTE | 345 | 192 | THIS (+80%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+140,573 | DEFAULT ★ $+205,860 | diff $-65,286 → DEFAULT ★ pays $+65,286 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 4, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Sep '27 Pure 4ct | DEFAULT ★: Jan '27 Pure 7ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1.10 | 1.63 | DEFAULT ★ (-33%) |
| Contracts | 4 | 7 | DEFAULT ★ (-43%) |
| IC (capital) | $99,691 | $99,925 | tie |
| Max Loss | $99,691 | $99,925 | tie |
| Breakeven | $459.23 | $462.75 | THIS (-1%) |
| Theta/day | $-48 | $-147 | THIS (+67%) |
| Weighted P&L | $119,043 | $205,860 | DEFAULT ★ (-42%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 119% | 206% | DEFAULT ★ (-42%) |
| DTE | 437 | 192 | THIS (+128%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+119,043 | DEFAULT ★ $+205,860 | diff $-86,817 → DEFAULT ★ pays $+86,817 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 3, DEFAULT wins 4. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Dec '27 Pure 4ct | DEFAULT ★: Jan '27 Pure 7ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1.05 | 1.63 | DEFAULT ★ (-35%) |
| Contracts | 4 | 7 | DEFAULT ★ (-43%) |
| IC (capital) | $97,902 | $99,925 | THIS (-2%) |
| Max Loss | $97,902 | $99,925 | THIS (-2%) |
| Breakeven | $474.75 | $462.75 | DEFAULT ★ (+3%) |
| Theta/day | $-52 | $-147 | THIS (+65%) |
| Weighted P&L | $112,832 | $205,860 | DEFAULT ★ (-45%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 115% | 206% | DEFAULT ★ (-44%) |
| DTE | 528 | 192 | THIS (+175%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+112,832 | DEFAULT ★ $+205,860 | diff $-93,028 → DEFAULT ★ pays $+93,028 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 4, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Jan '28 Pure 4ct | DEFAULT ★: Jan '27 Pure 7ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1.04 | 1.63 | DEFAULT ★ (-36%) |
| Contracts | 4 | 7 | DEFAULT ★ (-43%) |
| IC (capital) | $98,906 | $99,925 | THIS (-1%) |
| Max Loss | $98,906 | $99,925 | THIS (-1%) |
| Breakeven | $477.26 | $462.75 | DEFAULT ★ (+3%) |
| Theta/day | $-50 | $-147 | THIS (+66%) |
| Weighted P&L | $111,828 | $205,860 | DEFAULT ★ (-46%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 113% | 206% | DEFAULT ★ (-45%) |
| DTE | 563 | 192 | THIS (+193%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+111,828 | DEFAULT ★ $+205,860 | diff $-94,031 → DEFAULT ★ pays $+94,031 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 4, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Jun '28 Pure 4ct | DEFAULT ★: Jan '27 Pure 7ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 0.9434 | 1.63 | DEFAULT ★ (-42%) |
| Contracts | 4 | 7 | DEFAULT ★ (-43%) |
| IC (capital) | $99,737 | $99,925 | tie |
| Max Loss | $99,737 | $99,925 | tie |
| Breakeven | $499.34 | $462.75 | DEFAULT ★ (+8%) |
| Theta/day | $-52 | $-147 | THIS (+64%) |
| Weighted P&L | $102,997 | $205,860 | DEFAULT ★ (-50%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 103% | 206% | DEFAULT ★ (-50%) |
| DTE | 710 | 192 | THIS (+270%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+102,997 | DEFAULT ★ $+205,860 | diff $-102,863 → DEFAULT ★ pays $+102,863 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 2, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Dec '28 Pure 3ct | DEFAULT ★: Jan '27 Pure 7ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 0.8978 | 1.63 | DEFAULT ★ (-45%) |
| Contracts | 3 | 7 | DEFAULT ★ (-57%) |
| IC (capital) | $91,712 | $99,925 | THIS (-8%) |
| Max Loss | $91,712 | $99,925 | THIS (-8%) |
| Breakeven | $470.71 | $462.75 | DEFAULT ★ (+2%) |
| Theta/day | $-22 | $-147 | THIS (+85%) |
| Weighted P&L | $85,838 | $205,860 | DEFAULT ★ (-58%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 94% | 206% | DEFAULT ★ (-55%) |
| DTE | 892 | 192 | THIS (+365%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+85,838 | DEFAULT ★ $+205,860 | diff $-120,021 → DEFAULT ★ pays $+120,021 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 4, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Leg | Action | Strike | Price | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LC | BUY | $320.0C | $142.75 | +0.773 |
| SP | SELL | $440.0P | $103.86 | +0.423 |
| HP | BUY | $330.0P | $50.98 | -0.188 |
| Ct | Delta | IC | ML | BE | Theta | Lev | Score | ROIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | +1.009/sh (+504) | $44,932 | $99,932 | $424.93 (+5%) | $-129/d | 4.5x | 1.41 | +448% |
| Dimension | Fortress | Pure | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| $320C / $440P / $330P 5 contracts · Jan '27 (192d) |
$320C 7 contracts · Jan '27 (192d) |
||
| Score | 1.41 | 1.63 | PURE (-14%) |
| Contracts | 5 | 7 | PURE (-29%) |
| IC (capital) | $44,932 | $99,925 | FORT (-55%) |
| Max Loss | $99,932 | $99,925 | TIE |
| Breakeven | $424.93 | $462.75 | FORT (-8%) |
| Theta/day | $-129 | $-147 | FORT (-12%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 386% | 206% | FORT (+87%) |
Pure scores 14% higher on breakout score (sigma-weighted (5 targets at 0.5-3sigma of expected move), expiry P&L net of theta over 6-month hold). Fortress remains capital-efficient (see dimensions); see Score Breakdown below for per-target P&L.
| sigma | Move | Price | Weight | Fortress 5ct | Pure 7ct | Stock 246sh | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5sigma | +28% | $521.24 | 15% | $+55,686 | $+40,940 | $+28,272 | (Fort) |
| 1sigma | +57% | $636.16 | 20% | $+113,149 | $+121,389 | $+56,544 | (Pure) |
| 1.5sigma | +85% | $751.09 | 30% | $+170,613 | $+201,837 | $+84,816 | (Pure) |
| 2sigma | +113% | $866.02 | 25% | $+228,076 | $+282,286 | $+113,088 | (Pure) |
| 3sigma | +170% | $1,095.87 | 10% | $+343,002 | $+443,183 | $+169,631 | (Pure) |
| Weighted average P&L | 100% | $+173,486 | $+205,860 | $+86,229 | (Pure) | ||
Each row is the at-expiry P&L if the stock lands at the target price. Score = (weighted-avg P&L) / (max-loss + theta-cost-over-hold) * time-fit. Read this table to override the score winner if your conviction favors a specific scenario row.
| Stop | Stock at | Fortress 5ct | Pure 7ct | Stock 246sh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -5% | $385.99 | -$10,248 | -$10,998 | -$4,998 | |
| -10% | $365.68 | -$20,495 | -$21,996 | -$9,995 | |
| -15% | $345.36 | -$30,743 | -$32,993 | -$14,993 | |
| -20% | $325.05 | -$40,991 | -$43,991 | -$19,990 | |
| -30% | $284.42 | -$61,486 | -$65,987 | -$29,986 |
Loss = |net_delta_total * stock_price * stop_pct|. Delta-only first-order estimate; ignores vega/theta. Conservative (LOW-end) — real MTM loss is typically 10-30% larger due to extrinsic compression on a fast move.
| Move | Price | Fortress 5ct Jan'27 | Pure 7ct Jan'27 | Stock 246sh | F-P Diff | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -19% | $325 | $-97,408 | $-96,391 | $-19,990 | $-1,017 | (Stock) |
| +0% | $406 | $-18,622 | $-39,508 | $0 | $+20,886 | (Stock) |
| +25% | $508 | $+49,012 | $+31,596 | $+24,988 | $+17,416 | (Fort) |
| +50% | $609 | $+99,801 | $+102,701 | $+49,976 | $-2,900 | (Pure) |
| +75% | $711 | $+150,589 | $+173,805 | $+74,964 | $-23,216 | (Pure) |
| +100% | $813 | $+201,378 | $+244,909 | $+99,952 | $-43,531 | (Pure) |
| +200% | $1,219 | $+404,533 | $+529,326 | $+199,905 | $-124,793 | (Pure) |
| Weighted | — | $+173,486 | $+205,860 | $+86,229 | $-32,374 | (Pure) |
How to read the Weighted row: your expected dollar P&L if all the scenarios above played out, with each weighted by how much it matters for this mode. Active directional view: targets at 0.5-3 sigma of expected move over the chosen horizon. 1.5-sigma carries the biggest weight (most likely breakout magnitude). The Score is this same number multiplied by √(DTE/365) so longer-dated chains get a small bonus.
| Chain | Type | Structure | Ct | Delta | IC | BE | Theta | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ | Jun '27 (345d) ↳ | Fortress | $660C/$410P/$360P | 10 | +0.274/sh (+274) | $49,708 | $709.71 (+75%) | $-155/d | 549,799 |
| ▲ | Jun '27 (345d) ↳ | Pure | $680C | 15 | +0.128/sh (+192) | $98,422 | $745.61 (+84%) | $-285/d | 778,627 |
| Sep '27 (437d) ↳ | Fortress | $690C/$410P/$360P | 9 | +0.560/sh (+504) | $54,788 | $750.88 (+85%) | $-125/d | 520,653 | |
| Dec '27 (528d) ↳ | Fortress | $700C/$310P/$260P | 8 | +0.524/sh (+419) | $59,489 | $774.36 (+91%) | $-76/d | 488,867 | |
| Jan '28 (563d) ↳ | Fortress | $630C/$330P/$280P | 7 | +0.342/sh (+240) | $63,864 | $721.23 (+78%) | $-113/d | 478,944 | |
| Jun '28 (710d) ↳ | Fortress | $600C/$240P/$195P | 6 | +0.378/sh (+227) | $72,793 | $721.32 (+78%) | $-103/d | 458,075 | |
| Dec '28 (892d) ↳ | Fortress | $540C/$240P/$195P | 5 | +0.489/sh (+244) | $76,848 | $693.70 (+71%) | $-86/d | 446,653 | |
| ● | Now | Stock | 246 sh @ $406.31 | 246 | +1.000/sh (+246) | $99,952 | $406.31 (+0%) | $0/d | 293,243 |
★ = recommended pick (per Verdict below; multi-dim winner across score, capital, BE, theta, ROIC). ◆ = best Fortress (when not winner). ▲ = best Pure (when not winner). ● = Stock baseline reference. Score = WSPL x sqrt(DTE/365), tail-weighted for 3-4x thesis. Positive theta = you collect time decay daily (paid to wait). Negative theta = you pay time decay daily (cost of holding long options).
| Dimension | THIS: Sep '27 Fortress 9ct | DEFAULT ★: Jun '27 Fortress 10ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 520,653 | 549,799 | DEFAULT ★ (-5%) |
| Contracts | 9 | 10 | DEFAULT ★ (-10%) |
| IC (capital) | $54,788 | $49,708 | DEFAULT ★ (+10%) |
| Max Loss | $99,788 | $99,708 | tie |
| Breakeven | $750.88 | $709.71 | DEFAULT ★ (+6%) |
| Theta/day | $-125 | $-155 | THIS (+19%) |
| Weighted P&L | $475,833 | $565,511 | DEFAULT ★ (-16%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 869% | 1138% | DEFAULT ★ (-24%) |
| DTE | 437 | 345 | THIS (+27%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+475,833 | DEFAULT ★ $+565,511 | diff $-89,678 → DEFAULT ★ pays $+89,678 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 2, DEFAULT wins 6. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Dec '27 Fortress 8ct | DEFAULT ★: Jun '27 Fortress 10ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 488,867 | 549,799 | DEFAULT ★ (-11%) |
| Contracts | 8 | 10 | DEFAULT ★ (-20%) |
| IC (capital) | $59,489 | $49,708 | DEFAULT ★ (+20%) |
| Max Loss | $99,489 | $99,708 | tie |
| Breakeven | $774.36 | $709.71 | DEFAULT ★ (+9%) |
| Theta/day | $-76 | $-155 | THIS (+51%) |
| Weighted P&L | $406,462 | $565,511 | DEFAULT ★ (-28%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 683% | 1138% | DEFAULT ★ (-40%) |
| DTE | 528 | 345 | THIS (+53%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+406,462 | DEFAULT ★ $+565,511 | diff $-159,049 → DEFAULT ★ pays $+159,049 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 2, DEFAULT wins 6. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Jan '28 Fortress 7ct | DEFAULT ★: Jun '27 Fortress 10ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 478,944 | 549,799 | DEFAULT ★ (-13%) |
| Contracts | 7 | 10 | DEFAULT ★ (-30%) |
| IC (capital) | $63,864 | $49,708 | DEFAULT ★ (+28%) |
| Max Loss | $98,864 | $99,708 | THIS (-1%) |
| Breakeven | $721.23 | $709.71 | DEFAULT ★ (+2%) |
| Theta/day | $-113 | $-155 | THIS (+27%) |
| Weighted P&L | $385,635 | $565,511 | DEFAULT ★ (-32%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 604% | 1138% | DEFAULT ★ (-47%) |
| DTE | 563 | 345 | THIS (+63%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+385,635 | DEFAULT ★ $+565,511 | diff $-179,876 → DEFAULT ★ pays $+179,876 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 3, DEFAULT wins 6. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Jun '28 Fortress 6ct | DEFAULT ★: Jun '27 Fortress 10ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 458,075 | 549,799 | DEFAULT ★ (-17%) |
| Contracts | 6 | 10 | DEFAULT ★ (-40%) |
| IC (capital) | $72,793 | $49,708 | DEFAULT ★ (+46%) |
| Max Loss | $99,793 | $99,708 | tie |
| Breakeven | $721.32 | $709.71 | DEFAULT ★ (+2%) |
| Theta/day | $-103 | $-155 | THIS (+34%) |
| Weighted P&L | $328,438 | $565,511 | DEFAULT ★ (-42%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 451% | 1138% | DEFAULT ★ (-60%) |
| DTE | 710 | 345 | THIS (+106%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+328,438 | DEFAULT ★ $+565,511 | diff $-237,073 → DEFAULT ★ pays $+237,073 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 2, DEFAULT wins 6. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Dec '28 Fortress 5ct | DEFAULT ★: Jun '27 Fortress 10ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 446,653 | 549,799 | DEFAULT ★ (-19%) |
| Contracts | 5 | 10 | DEFAULT ★ (-50%) |
| IC (capital) | $76,848 | $49,708 | DEFAULT ★ (+55%) |
| Max Loss | $99,348 | $99,708 | tie |
| Breakeven | $693.70 | $709.71 | THIS (-2%) |
| Theta/day | $-86 | $-155 | THIS (+44%) |
| Weighted P&L | $285,716 | $565,511 | DEFAULT ★ (-49%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 372% | 1138% | DEFAULT ★ (-67%) |
| DTE | 892 | 345 | THIS (+159%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+285,716 | DEFAULT ★ $+565,511 | diff $-279,795 → DEFAULT ★ pays $+279,795 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 3, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Leg | Action | Strike | Price | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LC | BUY | $660.0C | $69.08 | +0.143 |
| SP | SELL | $410.0P | $108.94 | +0.428 |
| HP | BUY | $360.0P | $89.56 | -0.297 |
| Ct | Delta | IC | ML | BE | Theta | Lev | Score | ROIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | +0.274/sh (+274) | $49,708 | $99,708 | $709.71 (+75%) | $-155/d | 8.2x | 549,799 | +207% |
| Dimension | Fortress | Pure | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| $660C / $410P / $360P 10 contracts · Jun '27 (345d) |
$680C 15 contracts · Jun '27 (345d) |
||
| Score | 549,799 | 778,627 | PURE (-29%) |
| Contracts | 10 | 15 | PURE (-33%) |
| IC (capital) | $49,708 | $98,422 | FORT (-49%) |
| Max Loss | $99,708 | $98,422 | PURE (+1%) |
| Breakeven | $709.71 | $745.61 | FORT (-5%) |
| Theta/day | $-155 | $-285 | FORT (-46%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 1138% | 814% | FORT (+40%) |
Pure scores +29% on raw P&L from extra contracts. Fortress wins 4/4 efficiency dims (IC, BE, theta, ROIC). Trade 29% score for capital efficiency.
| Stop | Stock at | Fortress 10ct | Pure 15ct | Stock 246sh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -5% | $385.99 | -$5,556 | -$3,894 | -$4,998 | |
| -10% | $365.68 | -$11,113 | -$7,789 | -$9,995 | |
| -15% | $345.36 | -$16,669 | -$11,683 | -$14,993 | |
| -20% | $325.05 | -$22,225 | -$15,578 | -$19,990 | |
| -30% | $284.42 | -$33,338 | -$23,367 | -$29,986 |
Loss = |net_delta_total * stock_price * stop_pct|. Delta-only first-order estimate; ignores vega/theta. Conservative (LOW-end) — real MTM loss is typically 10-30% larger due to extrinsic compression on a fast move.
| Move | Price | Fortress 10ct Jun'27 | Pure 15ct Jun'27 | Stock 246sh | F-P Diff | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -19% | $325 | $-99,708 | $-98,422 | $-19,990 | $-1,286 | (Stock) |
| +0% | $406 | $-53,398 | $-98,422 | $0 | $+45,024 | (Stock) |
| +50% | $609 | $-49,708 | $-98,422 | $+49,976 | $+48,714 | (Stock) |
| +100% | $813 | $+102,912 | $+100,508 | $+99,952 | $+2,404 | (Fort) |
| +200% | $1,219 | $+509,222 | $+709,973 | $+199,905 | $-200,751 | (Pure) |
| +300% | $1,625 | $+915,532 | $+1,319,438 | $+299,857 | $-403,906 | (Pure) |
| +400% | $2,032 | $+1,321,842 | $+1,928,903 | $+399,809 | $-607,061 | (Pure) |
| +700% | $3,250 | $+2,540,772 | $+3,757,298 | $+699,666 | $-1,216,526 | (Pure) |
| +1000% | $4,469 | $+3,759,702 | $+5,585,693 | $+999,523 | $-1,825,991 | (Pure) |
| Weighted | — | $+565,511 | $+800,878 | $+208,789 | $-235,367 | (Pure) |
How to read the Weighted row: your expected dollar P&L if all the scenarios above played out, with each weighted by how much it matters for this mode. 3-4x thesis: huge moves matter most. +200% (3x) and +300% (4x) get the biggest weights. +400% counted as tail; +700% / +1000% rows shown above are eye candy and don't count. The Score is this same number multiplied by √(DTE/365) so longer-dated chains get a small bonus.
No CC candidates found above breakeven. Run live (without --csv) if CC data was not included in the CSV export.